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- The discussion frames Iranian capabilities as the current biggest threat to the US Navy, noting that Iran’s position is now stronger, with significant new efforts in the last six months supported by China and Russia. The guest emphasizes that Iranian capabilities today are far more lethal than in 2020 and that Iran has benefited from Chinese and Russian involvement, including help with integrated air defenses. - On the protests in Iran, the guest contends that Mossad, with CIA and MI6, joined the efforts to provoke the regime into a brutal crackdown, aiming to trigger a stronger US response. He argues the protests were legitimate at their core (economic grievances and reformist aims) and that the attempt to exploit them for regime change failed. He explains that, after discovering 40,000 starlight terminals used to orchestrate regime-change efforts, the intelligence community judged the operation a failure, and President Trump was advised that a broader, more forceful campaign would be required, potentially including more firepower and assets. - Regarding Russia and China’s responses to potential regime collapse in Iran, the guest asserts that Russia would intervene only if the regime seemed in danger of collapsing, and China would respond similarly, considering strategic and financial consequences. - In the Maduro Venezuela operation, the guest recounts paying off many actors to enable the abduction of Maduro and his wife, noting air defenses largely stood down due to bribes, with one battery reportedly firing and damaging a helicopter. He suggests the operation accomplished regime alteration but not a change in leadership style, since the new president reportedly will not take instructions from Washington. He speculates that continued oil income from the captured Venezuelan oil could influence outcomes, and he notes skepticism about the profitability of Venezuelan drilling for major oil corporations, who may turn to private or mercenary groups. - The “secret weapon” comment (the discombobulator) is described as an exaggeration; the guest hints at undisclosed capabilities but declines further public discussion, citing high clearance and Pentagon confidentiality. - On Iran’s protests and possible US strikes, the guest reiterates that the initial protests were economically driven and that the Mossad-CIA-MI6 effort to provoke a harsher regime response stalled, leading to the decision for a larger potential strike. He outlines a plan for a prolonged air campaign with multiple carriers and a heavy emphasis on air power over naval action, suggesting a Kosovo-like approach with extensive air sorties to degrade Iran’s air and missile defenses, using surface ships as needed but relying on air power for sustained damage. He notes that the air campaign would require time and additional assets, possibly two to three more carrier groups, and would hinge on the ability to degrade defenses to enable broader bombing operations. - When discussing Iranian capabilities against the US Navy, the guest says Iran’s current capabilities are more dangerous, with Iran receiving about 500 missiles from China and improved Russian integrated air defenses. He notes concern about long-range missiles capable of reaching US bases and questions whether Iran’s Orion missiles could reach Diego Garcia. He asserts that Russian help could be more for deterrence or limited military support rather than supplying exotic missiles like Reshnik, and that the Chinese missiles could threaten ships at sea. - On the US mobilization (Lincoln, submarines, aircraft, drones, HIMARS, Patriot/THAAD), the guest says the response is a time-buying effort to pressure negotiations, with more assets likely and ongoing dialogue with Iran. He suggests the US may pursue enriched uranium settlements, acknowledging Netanyahu’s and Trump’s positions, while noting Iran’s insistence that missile development is not negotiable and that JCPOA prospects are unlikely. - About Iran’s possible escalation strategies, the guest analyzes several options: drone swarms could threaten bases; sea mines in the Strait of Hormuz would be a last resort but remain a hazard; a swarm of boats and diesel submarines pose challenges but are not existential threats to carriers; and long-range missiles (including those supplied by China) could target US bases or ships. He emphasizes that the navy can defend against many of these threats but highlights the difficulty of countering missiles and the threat submarines pose in shallow gulf waters. - On Russia and China’s potential responses if the regime falls: Russia would likely intervene militarily or economically to prevent regime disintegration, while China could leverage financial power (including debt leverage) and maintain strategic flexibility. The Turkish role is described as a wild card; Turkey could be motivated to counter Israeli hegemony in the region, potentially drawing NATO into conflict, despite NATO’s current limited capacity. - Finally, the guest touches on broader geopolitical implications: he suggests Europe is drifting towards greater autonomy from the US, NATO’s effectiveness is questionable, and the regime’s fall could trigger wider regional instability. He argues Taiwan is a separate, less feasible target for conflict, given distance and economic stakes, and calls for more cautious rhetoric regarding Taiwan. He closes by noting that Ukraine’s fate and Europe’s stance will influence how the US and its allies manage any Iran escalation.

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Entering Red Square are the Russian aerospace force troops. Joining the parade are the S 400 Triumph anti aircraft missile systems of the 584 Guards Air Defense Missile Regiment of the Russian Aerospace Force commanded by Major Alexey Kryvorotko. The S 400 system enables Russia to maintain efficient air defense against all types of air and space threats, which has been confirmed during the special military operation.

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Speaker 0: The discussion reports that Russia has covertly tested three new weapon systems over the past twenty-eight days, with two of them described as complete game changers. These tests are said to be causing nerves inside NATO, and none of these three have been made public by President Putin, who typically announces such developments. One system, however, is not being kept secret. Speaker 0: According to the report, Russian President Putin just rolled out their most advanced hypersonic missiles to date. These missiles are described as "no one can shoot down"—at least in the view of the speaker—unless future assessments prove otherwise. The specific system named is the Orenshik Oreshnik hypersonic missiles. They are set for combat duty by the end of the year, and they are characterized as capable of extremely high speeds and long-range strikes. The deployment of these missiles is framed as something NATO will be watching very closely. The report suggests that European leaders are exhibiting a willingness to engage in war-related actions, with two particularly troubling points highlighted: the idea that they want to be part of the conflict and the accompanying casualties. It is claimed that they want to participate in the death and destruction in the European Union and in The UK. Speaker 0: The report specifically notes German Chancellor Mertz saying that they are ready to draft young men to war if they cannot reach their volunteer numbers, effectively suggesting compulsory service to fight Russia. Speaker 0: It is also stated that the UK is telling its populace to prepare to sacrifice their sons and daughters, and the speaker emphasizes that "Sons and daughters, colleagues, veterans will all have a part to play, to build, to serve, and if necessary, to fight." The speaker adds that more families will know what sacrifice for our nation means. Speaker 1: The accompanying commentary underscores the need to explain the changing threat and the necessity of staying ahead of it, reinforcing the idea that sacrifice and readiness are central to national defense in the current context.

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The global military and political landscape remains unstable, particularly in the Middle East, with ongoing conflicts fueled by the West's attempts to maintain dominance. NATO's military presence near Russia's borders has increased, prompting a response to ensure safety and security. Russia is modernizing its armed forces, enhancing capabilities, and developing new military technologies, including advanced robotics and hypersonic systems. Efforts are underway to integrate combat experience into training and improve communication between military units and the defense industry. Additionally, there is a focus on expanding military cooperation with allied nations to strengthen collective defense efforts.

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We will continue testing these systems, including in combat conditions, based on the security threats to Russia. We have a supply of these systems ready for deployment.

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In a wide-ranging discussion about the Ukraine war and related strategic developments, Colonel and the host cover several key topics, facts, and analyses. Skyfall/Burevznik nuclear-powered cruise missile - The Skyfall (Burevznik) is a nuclear-powered, nuclear-capable cruise missile. A test five years ago ended with five deaths and an explosion; a newer test reportedly flew 14 hours and 15,000 miles. Its characteristics include very long range, low-altitude flight to hug terrain, and high maneuverability, making detection and interception challenging. - The U.S. perspective is that it is not a silver bullet, but it represents an advanced capability: maneuvering over great distances, flying subsonically at very low altitude (within about 20 meters of the ground), and potentially approaching from unexpected directions. - Russia claims it cannot be shot down; the guest cautions that nothing is invulnerable until proven operational, but the missile adds a troubling dimension to deterrence and arms competition. - The broader significance is that it accentuates concern about nuclear weapons and underscores the desirability of nuclear arms reduction talks before START’s expiration. Nuclear arms talks and China’s potential role - The guest indicates Russia is pushing for nuclear arms reduction talks before START expires (February). China is conceptually willing to join, according to some Russian sources, but no authoritative statements from China are cited. Any willingness would depend on Western engagement to explore meaningful participation. Poseidon and other advanced weapons - Poseidon is described as a Russian nuclear-powered autonomous underwater vehicle (a "massive unmanned torpedo drone") intended as a strategic deterrent. Its exact status is uncertain; reports and videos circulate, but it remains largely experimental. - The discussion notes general concerns about U.S. safety from advanced weapons such as Poseidon and other long-range strike capabilities. Encirclement near Donbas: Pokrovsk and Kupiansk - Grasimov claimed 49 Ukrainian battalions are involved in Donbas, with about 31 allegedly encircled near Pokrovsk (for roughly 5,000 troops). Ukraine says supply lines are not cut and that encirclement is not complete. - The analysts explain that Russia has achieved notable progress in Kupiansk and Pokrovsk areas. Ukraine has mounted limited counterattacks in the north near Pokrovsk to disrupt a potential northern encirclement pivot at Rodinsky, but sustained pressure is difficult due to Ukraine’s manpower and logistics constraints. - The northern shoulder near Rodinsky is a focal point: if Russians move beyond Rodinsky, encirclement risk increases. Ukraine’s ability to keep tens of thousands of troops supplied and to hold the city is limited; Russia’s reserves enable more methodical advances. - The overarching view: Ukraine can slow Russian advances but cannot realistically stop or reverse the broader trajectory due to manpower, equipment, and ammunition imbalances. Russia’s advantage in resources makes a prolonged war of attrition unfavorable to Ukraine. Ukraine’s manpower, equipment, and ammunition - The central constraint for Ukraine is manpower. Even with missiles, drones, and air defense, without sufficient infantry to hold and seize territory and to provide reserves, Ukraine cannot win. - Russia’s industrial capacity and reserves enable it to sustain campaigns, whereas Ukraine’s supply and manpower constraints limit sustained operations. - The discussion notes Western missiles (Storm Shadow, Flamingo) and the pace of Tomahawk deliveries, with the implication that gaps in long-range standoff capability affect Ukraine’s offensive and defensive options. Mercenaries and potential foreign troop contributions - Reports of North Korean troops aiding Pokrovsk are discussed. The guest sees little likelihood of other countries sending troops, given the risk of provoking Russia. Mercenary recruitment by other countries is mentioned as a potential but unverified factor. Western sanctions and energy dynamics - The significant development of American sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil (two-thirds of Russia’s oil exports, roughly 4.4 million barrels per day) is analyzed. China’s state-owned majors and India are reducing seaborne imports but still engaging via pipelines or other mechanisms; the long-term impact on Russia’s revenue is likely substantial but may be offset through workarounds. - The guest emphasizes that history shows Russia tends to absorb economic pain and adapt, making it unlikely that sanctions alone will force strategic changes in Russia’s posture. Global Thunder and other security signals - The Global Thunder nuclear command exercise is mentioned, but the guest signals incomplete knowledge of this particular exercise’s details. Other security signals include drone activity near the Kremlin and assertions about Russia’s broader strategic planning, including potential NATO-related concerns and the Arctic buildup. NATO, European militaries, and relative capabilities - The discussion contrasts Europe’s growing modernization and ambition with actual combat experience. Europe’s strategic parity with Russia is viewed as plausible at a high level, but conventional capabilities lag Russia’s real-time battlefield experience and industrial scale. - The guest warns that perception of inevitable war between NATO and Russia could create self-fulfilling dynamics, urging cautious interpretation of escalatory signaling on both sides. Trump’s negotiation tactics and Ukraine peace prospects - The host questions Trump’s peace negotiation tactics: threats of Tomahawk missiles, meetings with Putin, and attempts to tailor a peace deal offering to freeze lines or concede Donbas. The guest describes Trump’s approach as transactional and inconsistent, with fluctuating positions that depend on the perceived personal and political gains. - The guest argues that Russia’s position has remained consistent since 2014-2022, centering on existential-security demands and denazification logic, including ensuring rights and language protections for ethnic Russians within the contested territories. A lasting peace would require a win-win vision that both sides can accept; transactional bargaining alone is unlikely to lead to a durable settlement. Venezuela and broader geopolitics - The discussion notes a Wagda-linked cargo flight to Venezuela amid sanctions evasion talk, with implications of mercenaries or military parts and a broader strategic alignment with Russia. The host and guest agree that U.S. regime-change impulses in Venezuela complicate international norms, risk escalation, and could inadvertently shift attention away from Ukraine. Overall, the conversation traces the evolving military balance in Ukraine, the emergence of new weapons systems and strategic deterrence concerns, the limits of Western capabilities and sanctions, and the complex interplay of diplomacy, negotiation tactics, and geopolitical aims shaping the conflict and potential resolutions.

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This is not just a nuclear carrier or nuclear weapons carrier. This is a nuclear missile or nuclear submarine drone. Because it's in the water, it can carry a much larger payload than something flying through the air. So you've got two systems now operating with nuclear reactors in them. This is a whole new level of technology. The US created a nuclear missile once. It was nuclear powered. It was contamination in flight. Everything around was contaminated. They had to back off. They couldn't master the technology. But it was traceable too because of the radiation. It was leaking everywhere. These systems don't leak radiation. They're very effective. And what they are, first of all, just to understand, is they're second strike systems. So if The US, in this case, starts getting feisty and psychotic and tries to because The US, by the way, does have a policy of first strike, whether it's from space or whether it's missile bound or whether it's submarines out of coast. If The US thinks that they can decapitate the Russian leadership and somehow take out all the Russian missiles that are on tracked carriers, on rail carriers, on ships all over the place. But let's assume somehow they decide they can do this. You've got two issues here. One, you've got the Poseidon, which may already be in place or can be launched from a carrier and travel over three, four, five days to get in place and then explode and create a wave. I mean, if they could actually put a 100 megaton explosion, I mean, a city buster missile is one megaton. 10 megatons is something that you wipe out the entirety of something like the size of New York. If they could put a 100 megaton warhead as has been proposed, you'd be facing a 200 meter wave, a 150, 200 meter wave that would destroy most anything in its path. And that considering 80%, almost 80% of the American population lives on either of the East or the West Coast, the majority being on the East Coast, that's one of those vengeance weapons that would just destroy The US effectively as a country. Then you've got the Borovayashnik, which can fly for weeks, months maybe. Who knows nobody knows exactly how long it can actually fly. If tensions are growing very high, you put a five, six, 10 of those up in the air, and they're just doing circles and waiting for command. So the enemy knows that if they do a decapitating strike, they're gonna get wet. They're gonna get a surprise.

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**Original Language Summary:** Построен дронопорт, который генеральный директор называет самым большим в мире. Дроны находятся в гаражах Ангара, взлетные полосы отделены защитными валами. Информация о сборке и применении Гераней будет представлена в будущем выпуске военной приемки. **English Translation:** A drone port has been built, which the CEO claims is the largest in the world. The drones are housed in hangar-like garages, and the runways are separated by protective barriers. Information about the assembly and deployment of Geran drones will be featured in a future military acceptance segment.

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Speaker 0: The transcript portrays Putin issuing a chilling World War III threat with a flying Chernobyl-style nuclear weapon. The classified missile is rumored to reach Mach 15, change direction midair, and the Russians believe no one can shoot it down. They’ve already tested earlier versions on Ukraine. Even with high-tech missile defense systems, it cannot be stopped. Russia reportedly has hypersonic missiles that fly hundreds of feet above the ground, alongside ballistic missiles. The speaker asserts the Russians have it all, and that the US says Russia is ahead of us in hypersonic missiles. The Pentagon is described as keeping most powerful capabilities secret, with about two generations of weapons tucked away. The speaker claims Russia has almost a two-to-one nuclear superiority over the US, and that once war starts, nobody wins: even if 95% of missiles are shot down, they would still flatten every city and military base. A classified unnamed ballistic missile is shown dropping many dummy warheads as a demonstration. The narrative references alleged testing in Ukraine and notes a claim that a demonstration MIRV (multiple independently targetable reentry vehicle) was presented: a demonstration that Russia can penetrate defenses and deliver nuclear payloads, though no warheads were involved in that particular display. The speaker recalls Biden announcing long-range cruise missiles, and Putin responding by attacking a missile factory, with subsequent release of photos showing holes in the centers of buildings within the factory. Western media allegedly dismissed these as not powerful missiles, but the speaker counters that it was a MIRV demonstration, and Russia later confirmed the demonstration of capability to field nuclear payloads. The speaker also claims Trump is frustrated with NATO and the EU, accusing them of starting the war with Russia and not wanting it to end. It is stated that Trump decided, over a week prior, not to provide Tomahawks to Zelenskyy. In response, EU and NATO are said to be supplying comparable or more advanced weapons to Ukraine, which would escalate the conflict on the escalatory ladder. Putin is said to be amassing nuclear weapons and attack submarines, with references to maps in the Daily Mail illustrating Russia’s buildup in the Arctic Circle as preparations for war with NATO are described. A segment mentions footage of the Skyfall ballistic missile factory. Speaker 1: Closing outro promoting Infowars, urging followers to connect on X (Twitter) at real Alex Jones and at AJN Live, and to download the Alex Jones app, urging support against the “democrat deep state party” and declaring that they will never be silenced.

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За Белгород, Донбасс и Крокос! Для победы России необходимо ввести полярные задания в стратегические ядерные ракеты и нацелить их на города США! Ярс, Сармат и Посейдон — готовим к запуску! Вашингтон, мы идем за тобой! --- For Belgorod, Donbass, and Krokos! To achieve victory for Russia, we need to implement polar missions in our strategic nuclear missiles and target them at U.S. cities! Yars, Sarmat, and Poseidon — preparing for launch! Washington, we are coming for you!

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The speaker asserts that the Russian army of 2022 differs greatly from the present army due to combat experience. They claim that the experience gained across all units during the special military operation distinguishes the Russian army from all others, and any other army would suffer huge damage trying to gain that experience. The speaker believes that currently, Russia has the strongest, most professional army globally. They state that aside from the Russian and Ukrainian armies, no other army truly knows how to fight, because until an army engages in real war, combat challenges remain hidden. The speaker says that Russia has processed all of this over the past three years and is advancing technologically.

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In 2016 Russia announced a new type of torpedo called Poseidon. It is 20 meters long and 2 meters in diameter, three times the size of a conventional torpedo. This torpedo uses a small nuclear reactor as propulsion, and it has a limited range. Poseidon is expected to carry a 2 megaton nuclear warhead. It can be launched from a submarine or from a special vessel. Poseidon travels slowly and is not easily detected, moving underwater before it detonates. The nuclear explosion would cause radioactive contamination and could have long-term effects.

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China is set to showcase a range of advanced weapons at a large-scale parade, with the full list kept under wrap. The event, in front of Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and other leaders, has drawn international attention. Analysts using social media photos and rehearsal footage identify key systems: new anti ship missiles from the YJ series, including YJ-15: "new ramjet powered supersonic anti ship cruise missile"; YJ-17: "wave rider with hypersonic glide vehicle, also known as HGV"; YJ-19: "an HCV missile, perhaps driven by an air breathing scramjet"; YJ-21: "Chinese Navy's new possible hypersonic anti ship missile"; and YG twenty's "Biconic aerodynamic configuration points to it being a maneuverable reentry vehicle." Also two new extra large torpedo shaped unmanned underwater vehicles: "The first labeled AJX zero zero two, which has a length of around 18 to 20 meters and, one or 1.5 meter in a diameter" and "second was hidden under a tampoline." The world's largest program of extra large uncrewed underwater vehicles, XLUUVS, with at least five types already in the water. A huge rectangular vehicle in camouflage colors covered with a tarpaulin is claimed to be the most powerful laser air defense system in the world, if confirmed, with capabilities to shoot down missiles and drones using a powerful laser (South China Morning Post daily that is). Other items: "h q nine" still shrouded in mystery; "h q 29" described as a satellite hunter capable of intercepting missiles at altitude 500 kilometers; mobility on a wheeled vehicle, with containers two each approximately 1.5 meters in diameter and satellites in low orbit.

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Русский текст (сжатая версия): Безусловно, интерес с индийской стороны к самолету Су-57 огромный. Это единственный самолет пятого поколения, который реально и регулярно применяется в боевой работе, демонстрирует лучшие качества и технические характеристики; все видят подтверждение того, что технологии и решения, заложенные в Су-57, обеспечат его превосходство на протяжении ближайших 40–50 лет. В рамках кооперации и технологического партнерства предлагаем совместные разработки на платформе Су-57 и рассмотреть возможность производства этого самолета здесь, в Индии, так как производятся сегодня самолеты Су-30. Такого предложения не может ни один заказчик, и мы уверены, что у Су-57 будет замечательная, большая, очень яркая судьба на индийском рынке. English translation: Undoubtedly, the Indian side's interest in the Su-57 is enormous. It is the only fifth-generation fighter truly and regularly used in combat, showing its best qualities and technical characteristics; all see evidence that the technologies and solutions built into the Su-57 will ensure its superiority over the next 40–50 years. Within the framework of established cooperation and technological partnership, we propose joint developments on the Su-57 platform and to consider producing this aircraft here in India, since Su-30s are produced today. Such an offer cannot be made by any other customer, and we are confident that the Su-57 will have a remarkable, large, and very bright destiny in the Indian market.

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**Original Summary:** Опыт ведения специальной военной операции изучают все армии мира и лидеры отрасли вооружений. Необходимо быть на шаг впереди, как это получалось в последнее время, и уверен, будет получаться в будущем. **English Translation:** The experience of conducting the special military operation is being studied by all the world's armies and leaders in the arms industry. It is necessary to be one step ahead, as has been the case recently, and it is believed this will continue in the future.

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Spanish MAM 23 informa que sistemas de misiles Hawk están en camino a Ucrania para reforzar las defensas aéreas contra amenazas rusas. A pesar de haber sido desarrollado en los años cincuenta, los sistemas Hawk modernizados siguen siendo muy efectivos, demostrando éxito contra drones Shahed y misiles de crucero. Las fuerzas ucranianas han interceptado más de 40 drones y 14 misiles utilizando el sistema, probando su valor en la guerra moderna. Con un radar avanzado y componentes digitales mejorados, el Hawk ofrece precisión, adaptabilidad y fiabilidad. Su rica historia en conflictos a nivel mundial ahora se extiende a Ucrania, reforzando su papel crítico en estrategias de defensa aérea en capas, una reliquia de la Guerra Fría convertida en un activo moderno en el campo de batalla. --- Spanish MAM 23 reports that Hawk missile systems are en route to Ukraine to bolster air defenses against Russian threats. Despite being developed in the 1950s, modernized Hawk systems remain highly effective, demonstrating success against Shahed drones and cruise missiles. Ukrainian forces have intercepted over 40 drones and 14 missiles using the system, proving its value in modern warfare. With advanced radar and upgraded digital components, the Hawk offers precision, adaptability, and reliability. Its rich history in conflicts worldwide now extends to Ukraine, reinforcing its critical role in layered air defense strategies, a Cold War relic turned modern battlefield asset.

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The Chinese army displayed the capabilities of its FPV drones and the massive swarms they create that can work in unison.

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Russia is quietly deploying a smart artillery shell that doesn't need GPS and is changing the game in Ukraine. The Krasnopal M2 is a 152 millimeter projectile also available in 155 millimeter variants with semi active laser guidance that locks on to laser marked targets typically spotted by drones. It boasts pinpoint accuracy within two meters, a 50 kilogram frame, and a high explosive fragmentation warhead designed to demolish armored vehicles, fortifications, and command hubs. Its effective range hits 26 kilometers, stretching to 30 kilometers with advanced long barrel howitzers like the two s 19 Mistah s, two a 65 Mistah b, or two s 43 Malva. A standout feature, it operates without reliance on GPS or GLONASS rendering it resilient against electronic jamming in today's high stakes electronic warfare environment. On the front lines in Eastern and Southern Ukraine, these munitions have proven lethal against top tier western armor with a drone integration cutting the time from target detection to impact dramatically. This development highlights Russia's doctrinal evolution focusing on swift selective firepower and self reliant tech amid ongoing sanctions. As Bekhan Ozdoyev, head of Rostec's weapons cluster notes, the ability to produce and deploy high precision selective fire systems is today one of the keys to ensuring tactical and strategic superiority on the battlefield. In a grueling war of attrition, the Krasnopold m two enhance Russia's edge, enabling more efficient evasive operations that challenge countermeasures.

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The transcript reports that Russia has completed tests of the Burovesnik missile, with launches slated for 2027. It is described as a doomsday weapon that is rewriting global security, and the speaker asks why Russia built it and what makes it a game changer. The Burovesnik is propelled by a solid-fuel booster and a nuclear air-breathing jet, and during tests it covered a distance of 14,000 kilometers in fifteen hours. It is described as subsonic and capable of operating at high or low altitudes. The weapon is said to have the ability to loiter for months with unlimited range, and it carries a one megaton warhead, which the speaker equates to 70 Hiroshima bombs, ensuring devastating retaliation. Development of the missile reportedly began in 2001 after the United States abandoned the ABM treaty. The missile is described as being sized like the KH-one 101 cruise missile, and it is characterized as a vengeance weapon targeting critical infrastructure. According to the speaker, its endless flight time disrupts the strategic balance and is an alarm to the West. The Burovesnik is described as ground-launched with no carrier needed, delivering precision strikes with a payload range of 50 kilotons to one megaton, stated as the equivalent of 70 Hiroshima bombs. It is presented as a response to US Tomahawks in Europe or Ukraine, and as a key lever in new START talks. The transcript notes that Russia could ramp up production if the treaty ends. The speaker ends with a promo-style call to action, saying not to miss the next big reveal and to follow new rules, geopolitics on X, or cutting edge geopolitical updates, implying ongoing updates about this missile and related strategic developments.

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The deputy leader in the conversation discusses the country's most powerful nuclear missile defense system, the Format missile complex, which will be in use for the next 50 years. The confidence in its longevity comes from its reliance on Russian-made components, ensuring high reliability. Additionally, the preparation and training of missile troops are underway, with a mass production of new missiles already started in 2019. The infrastructure and personnel are being prepared for the deployment of the Format missile complex this year.

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**Original Language Summary:** Военно-морской флот приложит все усилия, чтобы корабль прошел все виды испытаний и завершил государственное испытание в срок боевой стрельбой. Существуют три этапа: закладка доски, спуск на воду, и передача крейсера военно-морскому флоту. Экипаж прошел обучение и подготовит корабль к приему в боевой состав флота. При выводе из эллинга судостроители монтируют в корме подводной лодки ящик, скрывающий винт, так как по количеству лопастей и их форме можно понять шум, издаваемый лодкой под водой. **English Translation:** The navy will make every effort to ensure the ship passes all tests and completes state tests on time with live firing. There are three stages: laying the board, launching, and transferring the cruiser to the navy. The crew has been trained and will prepare the ship for acceptance into the navy. When leaving the slipway, shipbuilders install a box in the stern of the submarine, concealing the propeller, as the number and shape of the blades reveal the noise the boat makes underwater.

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Mario: Let's start with Venezuela. Do you think this is a strategy by Trump? Larry: I saw something similar back in 1988. The CIA was involved with trying to provoke Manuel Noriega into taking some sort of action. They could say, oh, well, we gotta go respond to this to set the stage for our military invasion, which I believe that in 2018, Donald Trump signed a finding authorizing a covert action by the CIA to get rid of Maduro. That attempt failed. And now the objective, get control of the oil. That's the number one priority. And I think it's being done with an eye looking forward, recognizing the potential risk. If conflict is renewed with Iran, prospect of the shutdown of Persian Gulf— Mario: Ukraine defeated Russia. Larry: Yeah. That was the plan. Russia's military is now around 1,500,000. Mario: Let’s talk Venezuela. What’s your initial reaction? When John Kuriaki suggested the best indicator is naval movements, and the buildup off Venezuela is significant. I’ve heard they have 14, twelve warships, including the Gerald Ford. Do you think they are bluffing? Is this Trump strategy? Larry: It could be a bluff. I saw something similar in 1988. I was in the CIA’s Central America branch. They tried to provoke Noriega into action to justify invasion, which happened in December 1988. What’s different now is the base infrastructure. In Panama, Quarry Heights was full; Southern Command was there. Southern Command has moved to Miami. The weaponization of the idea of a “supported vs. supporting” commander is reversed here: Southern Command would be subordinate to Special Operations Command. SOCOM cannot fight a conventional war; they’re light infantry, raids, hostage rescue. So the question is: what will the ships actually do? Shells into Venezuela won’t defeat Venezuela. Ground forces would require mass, and Venezuela is three times the size of Vietnam with rugged terrain that favors ambushes. If US troops ashore, you’d stack body bags far beyond Iraq and Afghanistan. Mario: Do Venezuelans have the will to fight Maduro? Larry: Yes. It will rally insurgents from Brazil and Colombia. If we decapitate Maduro, there are loyalists with weapons; an insurgency could follow, and the US would be hard-pressed to pacify it. The State Department’s INL/INSCR reports on narcotics note Venezuela as a transit point for marijuana and some cocaine, with fentanyl less central than claimed by Trump. The 2018 emphasis on Trendy Aragua looked CIA-driven. Trump reportedly signed a covert action finding in 2018 to remove Maduro, leading to the Guaidó fiasco; that covert action included some public diplomacy via USAID. The objective now, as you asked, is oil control and curtailing Russia, China, and Iran’s influence, with an eye toward BRICS. Mario: Could there be a decapitation strike on Maduro, and would someone like Maria take over? Larry: A decapitation strike could spark insurgency; the US would not be able to pacify it. The broader agenda seems to include a strategy to seize oil and reduce regional influence by Russia and China. Venezuela’s role as a transit point and possible BRICS alignment complicates any straightforward regime-change scenario. Mario: Moving to general foreign policy under Trump. The national security strategy (NSS) for 2025 signals a shift, but you question how binding NSS papers are. What did you make of it, and how does it relate to Ukraine? You’ve noted Trump isn’t serious about peace in Ukraine on some occasions. Larry: The NSS is a set of guidelines, not a blueprint. Europe is being asked to step up, the US distancing itself from Europe, and the strategic relationship with Europe is damaged by the perception of long-term reliability and sanctions. The document highlights China as an economic rival rather than an enemy; it criticizes Europe’s defense spending and censorship, and it frames Russia as less of a direct threat than before, though the reality is nuanced. The US-EU relationship is strained, and the US wants Europe to shoulder more of the burden in Ukraine while maintaining strategic pressure. Mario: What about Ukraine? Zelensky’s negotiation posture, security guarantees, and the Moscow terms? Larry: Putin spoke on 06/14/2024 with five Russian demands: Crimea, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, Donetsk, and Luhansk are permanently part of Russia; Ukraine must withdraw its forces from those republics; there must be an election in Ukraine with a legitimately elected president (the Russians argue Zelensky is illegitimate for not holding elections); they suggest a successor to Zelensky and elections within 90 days. Freezing lines in Donbas is not accepted by Russia; the Russians claim further territory may be annexed with referenda. If peace talks fail, Russia is likely to push to occupy Kharkiv, Sumy, Mykolaiv, and Odessa, potentially Kyiv. Western support is insufficient to alter that trajectory, given Russia’s large artillery and drone production. The US and Europe cannot match Russia’s drone and shell output; even if they supply Tomahawks, escalation risks, including nuclear considerations, grow. Russia’s economy and war capacity remain robust, and the BRICS poles are strengthening as Western leverage wanes. Mario: What about sanctions strategy and Russia’s oil revenues? Larry: Oil remains a significant but not decisive portion of Russia’s GDP. The West’s sanctions are not enough to force collapse; Russia has endured the 1990s and remains resilient. BRICS cooperation and the shift to the Global South are changing the global order, with Russia and China deepening ties and reducing Western influence. The war in Ukraine has not produced a decisive Western victory, and the global south is moving away from Western-led sanctions, reshaping geopolitical alignments. Mario, it’s been a pleasure.

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Speaker describes Russia’s nuclear underwater weapon project, the Status Six oceanic multipurpose system, codenamed Poseidon. Public reports begin in September 2015. Poseidon is an unmanned torpedo-shaped drone that can be loaded onto and launched by a submarine, or remain dormant in a box on the ocean floor until activated. Once armed, it has a range of 10,000 kilometers and travels slowly across the ocean for weeks or months to avoid detection, then accelerates to over 100 miles per hour when near an enemy coastline to detonate its nuclear bomb before detection. The bomb carried by Poseidon is allegedly the most powerful nuclear device ever created, capable of 200 megatons of explosive power and detonated underwater. For comparison, the Tsar Bomba, the largest tested nuclear device, was 50 megatons. The Poseidon bomb is described as a cobalt bomb designed to unleash more radioactive fallout than a normal nuclear bomb, making the resulting wave both enormous and highly radioactive. A 200-megaton underwater detonation is said to unleash a 500-meter-high tsunami toward an enemy coastline, far taller than most structures. The comparison notes that the Empire State Building would be minuscule beside such a wave, and even the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami maxed at about 30 meters, which Poseidon’s 500-meter wave would exceed by a wide margin. The tsunami would deliver catastrophic devastation, with highly radioactive water contaminating ground and drinking water. The transcript states that the Russian Navy has allegedly ordered 30 Poseidon armed drones, with half assigned to the Northern Fleet in the Arctic Ocean and half to the Pacific Fleet based in Vladivostok. Poseidon is described as a weapon of last resort, intended to be used only when all other hope in a war seems lost, and once initiated there is “never any going back.” The speakers emphasize Poseidon’s purpose as a last-ditch option designed to circumvent capable US and European missile defense systems. The description includes a hypothetical modeling finding from the University of Washington: a 100-megaton underwater detonation off the coast of Long Island would flood Long Island, New York City, and portions of surrounding states; Poseidon’s 200-megaton capacity would double that destructive potential, creating a far larger, more radioactive flood. The overall portrayal frames Poseidon as an extraordinarily powerful, nuclear underwater weapon with dramatic strategic implications, reserved for extreme scenarios.

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Искусственный интеллект стал модной темой, и его обсуждают на всех совещаниях. Возможности использования искусственного интеллекта колоссальны, особенно в военном деле. Тот, кто быстрее освоит эти технологии, получит огромные преимущества на поле боя. Есть и другие идеи и разработки, о которых поговорим позже. Сейчас нужно начать работать по плану. **English Translation:** Artificial intelligence has become a fashionable topic, discussed in every meeting. The possibilities for using artificial intelligence are colossal, especially in military affairs. Whoever masters these technologies faster will gain huge advantages on the battlefield. There are other ideas and developments that will be discussed later. Now we need to start working according to the plan.

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На пусковой установке зенитно-ракетной системы С-350 Витязь, успешно демонстрируемой в зоне СВО. По большой пачке РСЗО HIMARS шло «порядка 12-16 целей»; комплекс «успешно справился, ни одной цели не достигло своей точки». Цель захвачена на дальности «порядка 90 километров», подпустив ближе, «устойчиво сопровождая была поражена на дальности порядка 70 километров». Ракета маневрирует параллельно цели. По нам применяется и АТАК МС и РСЗО HIMARS. Цели были успешно поражены. Это «один из новейших образцов вооружения Российской Федерации». Комплекс имеет зенитно-управляемые ракеты с головками самонаведения, «высокую мобильность, маневренность». Комплекс имеет автономную систему питания, ему «не обязательно привязываться к системам свэп». Разброс дивизиона повышает живучесть экипажей. С момента обнаружения до поражения цели — «от полутора до трех секунд», как при участии оператора, так и в автоматическом режиме. «Автоматический режим у данного комплекса работает идеально, не было совершено в данном режиме ни одного лишнего пуска ракеты и все цели были успешно поражены»。 At the launcher site of the S-350 Vityaz air defense system, successfully demonstrated in the zone of the SVO. For a large batch of HIMARS MLRS there were «about 12-16 targets»; the complex «successfully coped, not a single target reached its point». The target was captured at a distance of «about 90 kilometers» and, by approaching closer, was «consistently engaged at a distance of about 70 kilometers». The missile maneuvers parallel to the target. For us, ATAK MS and HIMARS MLRS were used. The targets were successfully destroyed. This is «one of the newest samples of weapons of the Russian Federation». The system is equipped with guided missiles with homing heads, «high mobility, maneuverability». The system has an autonomous power supply; it «does not have to be tied to SWEP systems». The division’s dispersion increases crew survivability. From detection to destruction — «from one and a half to three seconds», whether with operator involvement or in automatic mode. «Automatic mode of this complex works perfectly, there has not been a single extra rocket launch in this mode, and all targets were successfully destroyed».
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