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There's even more bad news as China's economy exposes a deeper problem in shadow banking. The shadow banking sector is estimated to be worth at least $3,000,000,000,000, and that's in China alone. And it all started with real estate. The country is facing a financial meltdown. Every week, there is a new headline about its impairments.

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The Fed operates on behalf of a few Wall Street banks, acting as a pump to strip mine wealth and equity from the American middle class. Companies and financial institutions used to make investments based on factory visits, management teams, production, financial figures, bank books, and inventory. Now, Wall Street only focuses on the Fed's next move. The country has been financialized, and industry has left for China through outsourcing.

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Speaker 1: Well, the intersection with the global financial crisis specifically is a wild story that to be truly told, you need to put the evidence on screen as well. But the short version is that he had a company called Liquid Funding Limited that was domiciled in The Bahamas that was partially owned by Bear Stearns. And Bear Stearns, you know, is where he had come up for a long time. And Liquid Funding Limited was selling CDOs, the same types of CDOs that eventually caused the global financial crisis. It was capitalized at, I believe, dollars 100,000,000 and allowed to sell $20,000,000,000 with a B of CDOs. Speaker 1: And I actually just was looking at that statistic earlier today because this is the craziest story. And that little CDO factory that Jeffrey Epstein was running tied into Bear Stearns. And if you recall, Bear Stearns was one of the, you know, the first to collapse, right? That shut down in the months directly preceding Bear Stearns starting to collapse. And Jeffrey Epstein redeemed all of those CDOs, all of those assets. Speaker 1: The terms are I don't know the technical terms for what he did. But basically, he made a run on the bank on those exact assets that were the exact problem. And he was tied into the exact bank that was financially distressed. And then he wound that whole company, Liquid Funding Limited, up and disappeared. And later, JPMorgan, the bank that he later worked with after, you know, Bear Stearns was his early banking career, and then he later was doing all of his money laundering and banking and referring of people at JPMorgan, They came in, swooped up Bear Stearns for pennies on the dollar. Speaker 1: They also later spun Liquid Funding Limited back up. There's a whole There's a very overt financial paper trail that Jeffrey Epstein was better acquainted with the problem than almost anyone in the world because he was deeply enmeshed in Bear Stearns and knew the leadership of Bear Stearns very well. And he understood CDOs, he was selling CDOs. And then he just so happens to wind his whole shop up and close it down and redeem it all right at the moment when things are about to go bust. So, that's a wild rabbit hole, and it's very interesting. Speaker 0: I mean, what is that? I mean, that suggests Well, it doesn't suggest it's like direct evidence of, if I'm assuming we can verify what you're saying, that the biggest events in the world are actually not quite as organic or accidental as we're led to believe and that, you know, this is like puppet master stuff. Mean, it is. I don't know what to say. I don't want this to be true, Speaker 1: but Speaker 0: that's what it looks

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Wealth manager Zhangji Enterprise filed for bankruptcy. "$64,000,000,000 in liabilities is what the company has flagged already." Zhangji says the liquidity is dried up, but the the amount that could be recovered from these asset disposals is expected to be low. And this is a little bit of a surprise for investors because they thought going back a few months, there was a government inquiry into this. They thought, well, maybe we'd be able to avoid liquidation, and, there would just be a little livestream put out to the company. But, no, bankruptcy is the case, and it looks like the investors in the company, the equity holders, are gonna lose about 75% of their cash.

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Citibank, HSBC, and JPM are the top three liquidity banks. SWIFT messages are sent to these banks to release liquidity and ensure the debits and credits align. In essence, our platform combines the liquidity competition of Citibank with the messaging capabilities of SWIFT, offering both messaging and liquidity services.

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The Fed operates as a pump on behalf of Wall Street banks, strip-mining wealth from the American middle class. Companies and financial institutions used to invest based on factory visits, management, production, and financial figures. Now, Wall Street only focuses on the Fed's next move. The country has been financialized, and industry has been outsourced to China.

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Jack Ma, a Communist Party member, was effectively removed from Alibaba and silenced for a time. He remained in good standing with the party, avoiding any criticism of Xi. Jack Ma's reappearance in February at a symposium for private entrepreneurs indicates a potential policy correction. The crackdown on private entrepreneurs may have been excessive during economic restructuring. The party now needs private business people to revitalize the economy. Consequently, they are now embracing them, signaling renewed support and cooperation.

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First speaker notes that China is a reascending power, not a rising one, pointing out that from 1500 to now China had the world’s largest GDP 70% of those years. He suggests that Confucian thinking underpins China’s view of reasserting long-standing dominance, and explains the blending of public-private partnerships and the role of organizations that backstop private companies in China. He describes China’s capital allocation as both rigid and flexible. The process starts with Xi Jinping and his close circle drafting priorities, including involvement in the five-year plan. The plan moves from a small central group to the Politburo, then to the provinces and finally to the prefectures. He explains it as a cascading set of venture capitalists operating against national priorities, with provinces and local actors rewarded for aligning capital and labor with those priorities. The result is an ecosystem where hundreds of venture capitalists coordinate human capital across regions to advance targeted goals, producing major companies such as BYD and Xiaomi. Second speaker adds that China maintains a five-year plans for every industry, detailing forecasts not just for catching up but for what is possible. This framework drives innovation across sectors, including nuclear power, and supports the notion that China is charting new avenues of development. He reiterates that the country is returning to a position it has long held rather than pursuing a status as the world’s largest economy, emphasizing a national-pride motivation amid different governance structures. Third speaker emphasizes the historical perspective, noting how remarkable it is that China held the world’s largest GDP 70% of the years since 1500. He reflects on how technological innovations, such as ship technology, have driven great empires, with China repeatedly on the heels of such shifts. He suggests that this may be China’s moment of resurgence across the board. The discussion also cites Lee Kuan Yew’s foresight, as highlighted by a work by Graham Allison and related quotes: China is not just another big player, but the biggest player in the history of the world, and China’s displacement of the world balance requires the world to find a new equilibrium. The dialogue ties this historic perspective to the idea that China’s current reemergence is both a continuation of a long pattern and a contemporary strategic effort guided by centralized planning and broad industry-wide five-year frameworks.

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China's property bubble has claimed its biggest casualty yet. Evergrande has been delisted from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. It used to be the country's largest developer. Evergrande was buried under more than $300,000,000,000 of debt. It promised homes to millions of buyers but left behind empty towers and unfinished projects. It shattered confidence in China's property sector, and now the company is being liquidated. Evergrande's creditors face huge losses, and China's economy faces deeper troubles. The Hong Kong court had already ordered its liquidation last year. Evergrande was once China's largest developer. It is now the world's biggest property failure.

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The Fed operates like a pump, benefiting a few Wall Street banks while stripping wealth from the American middle class. In the past, investments were based on evaluating factories and management teams across the country. Now, the focus is solely on the Fed's actions. This shift has led to the financialization of our economy and the outsourcing of industry, with much of it moving to China.

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Speaker 0 questions systemic risk in the Chinese economy, referencing the 2008 financial crisis and the domino effect if a large bank fails. Speaker 1 says: 'the total amount of, the debt to the nonfinancial sector in China. It's about 370,000,000,000,000.' The shadow banking sector 'account for about 77% of it,' while 'The commercial bank themselves account for 65 percent' and are 'the backbone of the Chinese financial system.' Consequently, risk and losses may fall back to commercial banks as they are 'the lender to those shadow bank through those shadow bank to the to the developer child property developer and to the local government financing vehicle and also to some of those private enterprises with less than credit.' He adds that the 'market proport proport of the shuttle banking system to the formal banking system' signals risk; the Chinese government is 'unlikely to pay them out,' but will 'broker some of those SSLs and so on in restructuring.'

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Funds can now be withdrawn, but it will still take several days to receive them after the request is made.

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Evergrande, the world's largest property developer, has gone bankrupt, causing an 8% drop in indexes. This is part of a larger issue in China, where all public or listed property developers are facing default bankruptcy. China's economy heavily relied on real estate for growth, but now the sector is collapsing after an unregulated climb. The situation is comparable to the US financial crisis, but with three and a half times more banking leverage. China's regulators are trying to protect individuals from short sellers, but the situation is expected to worsen.

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China is currently experiencing a cultural revolution similar to the one in the past. The chairman's goal is to achieve common prosperity, which has led to the takeover of private industries and companies. Jack Ma, the CEO of Alibaba, was forced to retire and disappeared for a few months after criticizing China's regulators. There is a power struggle between different factions within the government. Chairman Xi changed the constitution to allow for unlimited presidency, and he is known as a hardcore communist. Many celebrities and wealthy individuals have become quiet and low-profile, as they fear disappearing or facing consequences. People still disappear in China, and there are secret prisons known as prisoners conscious.

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Chinese companies were allowed to list in US markets without following US laws, even after committing fraud. This was facilitated by a memorandum of understanding signed in 2013, when Joe Biden was taking the lead and Xi Jinping had just become president. The lack of audit transparency and corporate governance in these Chinese companies posed a risk to US shareholders. Meanwhile, Hunter Biden set up a fund in China, creating a potential quid pro quo situation. The SEC, under Jay Clayton, failed to take action against these fraudulent activities, potentially to protect their own interests and maintain capital flow from China. Gary Cohn, former president of Goldman Sachs, was hired by Trump and played a role in facilitating the China IPOs. The current SEC chair, Gensler, has been instructed to go soft on China, which raises concerns about the independence of the SEC.

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This isn't a recession. This isn't even a crisis in the traditional sense. What we're witnessing is the complete unraveling of the economic model that powered the world's second largest economy for four decades. And the West, we're completely unprepared for what comes next. For forty years, China's growth seemed unstoppable. Double digit GDP increases, gleaming cities rising from farmland, a manufacturing powerhouse that became the world's factory. Western corporations moved their supply chains there. Emerging markets tied their futures to Chinese demand. Everyone believed the twenty first century would belong to Beijing. But beneath the surface, something was fundamentally broken. The property sector that once drove 30% of China's economy has imploded. Evergrande, with its 300,000,000,000 in liabilities, was just the first domino. Country Garden followed, then China, South City. Now even state backed developers are failing.

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Shadow banks are simply lenders that are not banks. And in China, they take the form of trust or wealth management products. Many of them are sponsored by banks even though the banks themselves don't lend the money. The wealth management products take money from investors by promising them higher yields than they could get in a bank, then they lend the money out to businesses that are either too small or too risky for the big banks. One big risk is the loans go bad, and the question there is who takes the loss.

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Speaker 0: Once you've got everything under one roof and you've got all your ID together in one place, it means you can be switched off at the touch of a button. So they brought this system in in Thailand, and suddenly, like simultaneously, over 3,000,000 people had their bank accounts shut down. Thailand has become a case study for the use of biometric data in every facet of life. Every banking transaction is monitored and scrutinized. Any perceived discrepancies flagged as fraud and punished without due process. Regulations have overwhelmed the system resulting in a full fledged banking crisis. Over 3,000,000 Thai bank accounts were frozen instantaneously without warning as a result of government overreach. Transaction denied, you'd contact your bank to see why the payment failed only to learn that your account has been frozen, all of your accounts for that matter. The bank is investigating you for suspicious activity and potential money laundering or fraud. There was no warning, call, or letter, and there is no clarification as to what transaction was flagged. You're completely locked out of your accounts. You have lost the ability to purchase. You cannot fill your gas tank. You cannot purchase groceries. You've been completely removed from the financial system, and you do not know when or if you will regain access to your funds. This is the reality for millions of people banking in Thailand. That's crazy stuff, folks, and this freaked the entire country out. But the article goes on to say, thousands of accounts are frozen each week. Panic has ensued. Retailers are no longer accepting cards demanding payment in cash as they too are worried that they will be removed from the banking system. Confidence in the government and the entire banking system evaporated. People rationally fear that their account will be targeted next without warning. Government overreach has backfired, and the people are removing themselves from the banking system entirely. And that's a really good thing to see, folks. Yeah. So it backfired, and it caused the people in Thailand to see how much they need to keep cash alive and depend on cash. And it's saying it serves as a test case for what this digital ID is gonna do. Well, it also serves as a test case for why you shouldn't accept it. And so many of us have been warning about this for so long, folks, and it's imperative that people see this because this is what's been going on. All everyone's been arguing over whether Charlie Kirk died or whether he didn't, it doesn't matter. What matters is what they're gonna do with it.

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Speaker 1 explains that a family member will unlock an entire family tree that upends Erica Kirk’s image and potentially exposes her connection to a network of financial fraud, casino gambling, and foreign influence. Everything told is verifiable and in the public domain. Erica Kirk is described as, at the time, with her roommate Nicole Rothstein. Speaker 1 recounts that Nicole Rothstein is Erica Kirk’s cousin. Nicole responded to a clip featuring Erica Kirk about Shabbat, saying, “as her cousin who is fully Jewish, half of her family is Jewish. While she herself is a Christian, she has celebrated many Jewish holidays with our side of the family and highly respects the Jewish religion.” The speaker notes Nicole Rothstein’s account may no longer be available. Nicole’s father is Alan Rothstein, who appears in an Instagram post sitting next to her, with Erica Kirk writing about “God’s strategic planning” and being blessed to have “uncle Allen” in her life. The speaker then identifies Alan P. Rothstein in an SEC document, confirming he is the same person. The SEC document describes him as a member of the board of directors of Innumerall and notes he also owned Shazoom LLC. The speaker notes that from 2002 through 2007, Alan Rothstein was the co-founder and chairman of NanoDynamics Incorporated. Further digging suggests Alan Rothstein, Erica’s uncle, may have been involved in questionable activities. For NanoDynamics, the suit in bankruptcy court is mentioned, with the implication that a trustee may allege improper withdrawal of funds by a director or founder before collapse. Innumerall is described as a penny stock trading on the OTC markets before bankruptcy. Shazoom LLC is described as a business funding company with little footprint—no major client reviews, no press releases of funded deals, and no industry presence. The speaker suggests this may indicate a shell company used to move money rather than conduct commerce. The transcript states that the Rothsteins are a famous crime family, with Erica Kirk positioned at the center as the new CEO of Turning Point. The speaker asks again who Erica Kirk is—whether she is an innocent widow thrust into the limelight by the death of her husband, or if there is more to the story. A final breadcrumb invites viewers to count the stars on the American flag in the AmericaFest 2025 logo.

Breaking Points

DOTCOM ALL OVER AGAIN: AI Shady Finance Deals
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The discussion begins with the recent Amazon Web Services (AWS) outage, highlighting the dangers of single points of failure in an economy heavily reliant on cloud infrastructure. This event underscores concerns about market concentration and the cascading effects of system failures, drawing parallels to the 2008 financial crisis's "tight coupling" of banks. The conversation then shifts to "vendor finance" or "round tripping" in the AI industry, where major companies like Nvidia invest in startups that subsequently purchase their products (e.g., GPUs for data centers). This circular financing model creates artificial demand and inflates stock values, with AI-linked companies responsible for a significant portion of recent stock gains and GDP growth. Historical parallels are drawn to the dot-com bubble (Cisco) and 19th-century railroad bubbles, both of which involved speculative financing and ultimately burst. The hosts and guest express concern that this unsustainable model could lead to a severe financial crash, potentially resulting in consolidation by powerful "oligarchs" who acquire cheap assets in the aftermath.

The Pomp Podcast

Automated Crypto Investing | Jesse Proudman | Pomp Podcast #545
Guests: Jesse Proudman
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Jesse Proudman discusses Strix Leviathan, a hedge fund he co-founded three years ago, focusing on defensive crypto strategies that aim for better risk-adjusted returns. The fund seeks to capture 60-70% of gains in bull markets while limiting losses in bear markets, appealing to family offices and high-net-worth individuals. Proudman introduces Makara, a consumer-facing technology platform designed to simplify crypto investment for a broader audience. Makara, registered as crypto's first robo-advisor, offers thematic investment baskets based on user interests, aiming to educate and engage new investors. Proudman emphasizes the importance of SEC registration for credibility and transparency in the crypto space. He contrasts the current market dynamics with 2017, noting that institutional acceptance has changed the landscape, leading to quicker recoveries from dips. He believes the asset class is here to stay, despite ongoing regulatory challenges and market volatility. Interested individuals can learn more at makaradigital.com and strixfund.com.

Coldfusion

When Risk Taking Goes Too Far - The Archegos Collapse
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In 2021, Archegos Capital Management, led by Bill Huang, faced catastrophic losses, marking a significant cautionary tale in finance. Huang, once worth over $30 billion, utilized aggressive investment strategies, heavily borrowing to amplify his positions in stocks like Baidu and ViacomCBS. Despite his devout Christian beliefs, his approach lacked diversification and relied on risky total return swaps, allowing him to conceal his investments from banks. When stock prices fell, Huang refused to sell, leading to a panic among banks, resulting in over $10 billion in losses. This incident has sparked discussions on the need for stricter regulations for family offices, which hold substantial assets yet operate with minimal oversight.

My First Million

The Dark Story Behind Pornhub’s $1.5B Business Empire
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The episode narrates the explosive rise and upheavals surrounding a dominant adult site network, detailing how a trio of Canadian students built a platform that outpaced its rivals by combining in‑house content, a traffic‑first growth strategy, and aggressive rollups of competing sites. After early years of directory links and pirated content, they built a unified hosting network, leveraging a top‑tier search‑engine optimization approach to become the leading destination for adult traffic. The story emphasizes the risky, high‑stakes nature of operating at such scale, including protective moves like securing content licensing, pursuing private equity style consolidations, and expanding via acquisitions to control more traffic and reduce vulnerability to lawsuits. The narrative ties in the tension between content creators, platforms, and the legal system, highlighting how different owners, from the original founders to later strategic buyers, navigated litigation, government scrutiny, and public relations. A pivotal shift occurs when a German founder reorganizes the empire, improves monetization, and uses aggressive debt to finance growth, culminating in a dramatic ownership transition to a shadowy overseas financier. This ownership change introduces new dynamics: vast leveraged debt, media strategy experiments, and efforts to diversify beyond adult content, including attempts to create broader media ventures. The discussion then pivots to the wider ecosystem around the company—payments processors cutting ties after a high‑profile activist intervention, private equity players entering the frame, and a series of ownership handoffs. The hosts connect the dot to broader themes about value creation, risk, and the human cost of rapid expansion in tech and media businesses. They also reflect on the idea that modern platforms can seem empowering and exciting while operating within a web of financial engineering, legal scrutiny, and reputational risk, ultimately offering a cautionary lens on scale, governance, and the human consequences behind a billion‑dillion‑dollar empire.

Philion

OnlyFans Ruined an Entire Generation..
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The episode traces a controversial arc in tech and online entertainment, beginning with a young coder rising from privilege to become a pivotal figure in a global subscription platform. The narrative follows how his early ventures built a fortune through shady automation and adult content, eventually evolving into a more sophisticated business that used creator monetization tools, live streaming, and generous revenue splits to drive mass adoption. The story emphasizes timing, especially the surge in digital connection during a global disruption, which amplified demand from users seeking connection and supply from creators seeking income. It also highlights the tension between rapid growth and legal scrutiny, including investigations into content safeguards, regulatory concerns, and the reputational risk for investors tied to high-profile platforms. The episode explains how leadership shifts reshaped the platform into an adult-first ecosystem, with new marketing funnels and partnerships that drew millions of users and creators, while still facing lawsuits, settlements, and questions about payment handling, content moderation, and platform integrity. It discusses the financial engineering behind payout structures, equity arrangements, and offshore banking that sustained cash flow even as controversy mounted. The closing segments reflect the difficulty of exiting such a highly valued yet embattled business, the challenge of aligning incentives for continued growth, and the broader implications for founders, investors, and policymakers grappling with ethics, accountability, and the long-term viability of high-risk platforms. The episode leaves the listener with a meditation on the broader consequences of rapid platform-driven wealth, the social costs of a model that concentrates attention and money, and the uneasy balance between innovation, opportunity, and responsibility in the digital economy.

Breaking Points

HUGE BUBBLE: Trump PUMPS Private Equity With 401k Changes
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Is private equity the next bubble? The discussion argues PE is under stress as rising rates and frozen exit markets collide with a model built on cheap debt, capital inflows, and eventual exits. Endowments like Yale and Harvard are quietly selling PE stakes at deep discounts; the Trump administration reportedly finalizing an executive order to allow 401(k) plans to invest in private equity. Rachel Wasserman explains the PE playbook: private equity can mean many things, but the buyout sector is the largest and most problematic, extracting value by loading debt, selling assets, and distributing to shareholders rather than growing the business. The model relies on low interest rates for debt, capital, and a growing economy, but COVID, rate hikes, tariffs have created pressures, shrinking valuations. There is dry powder, yet exits are hard to realize; prices aren't agreeing. Valuation distortions are aided by financial engineering, such as nav squeezing and evergreen funds. Continuation funds let pension funds sell at a discount and new money enters at inflated NAV; carry around 20% of gains over an 8% hurdle. The scenario could lead to mass layoffs and premature AI deployment to prop up portfolio companies; not investment advice, but a bubble is possible; the impact would hit investors and employees, not banks. Wasserman will publish on Substack and LinkedIn.
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