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Speaker warns about actions in Gaza, insisting: 'I gotta be careful the way I say this.' He asserts: 'To they're gonna try to ethnically cleanse Gaza.' He continues, 'I mean, that that's and I'm I don't use that term lightly. Okay?' He states, 'They're talking about basically removing 2,500,000 people from there.' After a pause, he adds: 'Okay?' and says, 'And, honestly, they have a mandate to go seek justice and revenge. They do.' He closes by referencing the idea that 'they need to have a true truce or a peace treaty, that's morally after you see women and children be burned alive and dragged to the streets.'

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The region is currently facing its greatest danger in years. There is a credible threat of an attack by Hezbollah and other Iranian allies, potentially leading to a nuclear war. Israel, in response, could defend itself using all available weapons, including nuclear capabilities. This situation is extremely perilous.

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We're going to cut off the funding streams to Iran. We can't continue to have a hundred hostages, including Israelis and Americans, held captive by Hamas and Hezbollah, who are essentially mercenaries of Iran. America needs to recognize the importance of our alliance with Israel, ensure the safe return of all Israeli hostages, and reaffirm our unwavering support for Israel as our top ally.

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Two weeks into the conflict, the official casualty toll for Americans is rising. The Pentagon has publicly acknowledged about 140 wounded, after Redacted reported at least 137 and Reuters later published an exclusive saying as many as 150 US troops wounded. The panel notes this number and questions why it wasn’t more prominently reported earlier by major outlets. Iran asserts talks with the United States are off the table for now and vows to keep striking as long as it takes, with an “eye for an eye” stance. The discussion asks what “eye for an eye” would actually entail, debating whether it means targeting civilian or infrastructure components in retaliation. The Strait of Hormuz is deteriorating rapidly with intelligence tracking Iranian mine-laying threats, and Gulf energy infrastructure suffering damage. About 1,900,000 barrels per day of refining capacity across Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE is down, and CBS reports shipping through the Strait has ground to a virtual halt. On the broader geopolitical stage, Israel is bombarding Beirut’s southern suburbs and Lebanon, effectively expanding its operations in the region. In Washington, Lindsey Graham is openly urging Americans in the South to push their sons and daughters to fight in the Middle East, urging allied countries to step up and end back-channel support, including public pressure to move air bases out of Spain. The panel criticizes this rhetoric as urging others to bear the burden of conflict. Larry Johnson, a former CIA analyst, joins to discuss wounded American troops and casualties. He notes March 4 at Landstuhl Regional Medical Center, whose memo told pregnant women not to come for births, signaling a surge of casualties. He adds a nearby Kaiserslautern blood drive was issued on March 5, underscoring higher inbound casualties. Johnson explains Iran’s capacity to respond with drones, missiles, and other weapons, suggesting the Strait’s disruption affects global energy markets—oil and liquefied natural gas—while noting the impact on major economies: India and others depending on Gulf energy, with Russia benefiting from higher oil prices as Western sanctions shift flows. He highlights Russia’s oil diplomacy shifts, including India’s discounted imports and Berlin’s and BRICS dynamics, and observes that Russia’s price at about $89 a barrel reflects new market conditions. Johnson discusses how some in Washington may be leaking assessments to shift blame for any future outcomes, pointing to a leak of the National Intelligence Council memo warning against expecting regime change in Iran. He suggests there are warhawk factions in the Trump administration with aggressive aims, including potentially targeting Kharg Island, a critical oil export hub for Iran, which could provoke drone and missile countermeasures from Iran. The conversation notes that Iran could respond with drones and missiles rather than by ceding control of Hormuz, emphasizing that taking Kharg Island would be dangerous due to Iran’s drone capabilities and air defenses. Overall, the dialogue conveys a war that is not winding down as messaging might imply, with escalating casualties, strategic waterway disruption, and high-stakes diplomatic and military posturing across the region.

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If Israel faces annihilation, they might use their nukes. Iran and Hezbollah need to understand they cannot wipe out the Israeli people. If Israel is about to be totally destroyed, they need to be thinking about all their options. The US military being stretched is not Israel's fault. The US should fund its military and not treat it like a secondary agency. This country has a lot of problems, but that's not on the head of the Israeli people who are trying to survive. When the US looks weak, violence and threats increase. Israel's gotta do what it's gotta do.

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Hamas and Israel are engaged in a conflict, with Israel claiming it is defending itself and blaming Hamas for the situation. However, there are concerns about Israel's actions, as they have expressed willingness to harm the entire population of Gaza. Israel argues that it warns people to leave targeted areas, but it is unclear where they expect people to go. News agencies are urged to critically examine the ongoing campaign, which includes attacks on hospitals and schools. The speaker questions whether Hamas is truly using these facilities as hiding spots. The United Nations' role in the conflict is discussed, with a resolution for a ceasefire from the general assembly, although it is the security council resolutions that hold more weight.

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Israel wants to save lives and bring hostages home. The main threat is Iran, who influences Hamas to harm Jewish people. Iran must know there will be consequences if they harm Americans. The difficulty lies in the tunnels where hostages could be held. These tunnels are located under schools, hospitals, and civilian sites because Hamas doesn't value life. Israel should not be told to pause, but rather allowed to defeat Hamas, as they pose a threat to both Israel and the US. Iran also poses a threat due to their actions in Gaza.

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Speaker 1 says the Gaza crisis raises motive questions and a possible 'stand down order'—six hours or more—while noting Israel is a fortress with a surveilled border. He recalls Israel’s nine months of near civil war over Netanyahu’s judicial overhaul, and that Netanyahu now has an emergency government. He suggests internal betrayal or 'bad agents' within the government or IDF whispers, arguing 'this is the closest thing to the Holocaust that any of us have lived through.' He warns the hard-right government has a mandate to 'go seek justice and revenge' and may attempt to 'ethnically cleanse Gaza' of '2,500,000 people.' He states, 'The answer is it shouldn't be a top priority to the American government because we have so many problems here to execute a CIA coup d'etat in another country.' He cautions against a wider war—'bombing Iranian oil depots' could draw in Russia and China, risking escalation, and notes past wars like the Six Day War and Yom Kippur War as context.

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The speaker discusses the need to destroy certain areas in Gaza due to the presence of tunnels and an underground city built by Hamas with support from Iran, Qatar, and the international community. They mention that every school, mosque, and second house in Gaza has access to these tunnels, making it a hub for terrorist activities. The speaker asks if there is an alternative solution to destroy this underground tunnel city, which is where terrorists hide and store ammunition used to launch rockets at Israel.

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The speaker emphasizes the need for independent answers regarding the failures of US and Israeli intelligence and defense. They support Israel's right to defend itself but caution against an emotional response and the risk of getting involved in a broader regional conflict. They criticize the Republicans for their unhelpful emotional response and stress the importance of cool-headedness in times of crisis. Another speaker highlights the severity of the situation by comparing it to a hypothetical attack on the US. The first speaker believes that Israel should make its own decision and offers compassion, support, and lessons from past US mistakes. They suggest offering limited munitions to Israel for self-defense without escalating into a broader regional war.

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The president supports Israel's right to defend against Hamas and will provide them with necessary tools, despite concerns about civilian casualties in a potential Rafah operation.

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The speaker discusses the changing dynamics in the Middle East since Israel's last major war in 1973. They highlight the significant increase in rocket and missile arsenals, particularly from Hezbollah. The speaker warns that if Israel were to march into Gaza, they would face a difficult and unrewarding battle, as they would not be able to eliminate all Hamas fighters and would not gain support from the people. The speaker also mentions the potential involvement of Iran, Turkey, and Pakistan, emphasizing the risks and challenges Israel would face. They conclude by stating that the fight would be unwinnable for Israel, even with US air power support, as there are not enough troops on the ground.

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The Middle East has changed significantly in the past 20 years. If Israel were to ethnically cleanse Gaza, it would lead to a war with the region. Iran is not responsible for triggering this conflict, as Qatar funds Hamas, not Iran. Additionally, Qatar also funds Turkey, which holds significant power in the Middle East.

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Speaker argues the Israeli hard right government has a mandate to ethnically cleanse Gaza, saying, 'to they're gonna try to ethnically cleanse Gaza.' They claim they aim to remove '2,500,000 people from there.' He adds, 'there is they this idea that they need to have a true truce or a peace treaty, that's morally crap after you see women and children be burned alive and dragged to the streets.' He says, 'The whole country is a fortress' and you 'cannot go 10 feet without running into a 19 year old with an a r 15 or an automatic machine gun that is an IDF soldier.' He states, 'The last nine months, Israel is on the brink of civil war' and notes protests against Netanyahu, who 'now has an emergency government and a mandate to lead.' He asks, 'Was there a stand down order?'

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Speaker 0 vents intense anger about the Israel-Gaza crisis and U.S. involvement. He says: we pivoted to the IDF and after two years of war, with brothers and sisters killed and hostages liberated, “for these sick fucks” to turn it into Disneyland and give it to the Palestinians is unacceptable; he cannot pay for it. He notes Qatar and Turkey’s involvement, and a comment by BB that if Qatar can’t come, they’ll bring them; then “Qatar’s on the board of peace,” which enrages him. He proclaims, “We have nuclear missiles,” and threatens North Korea, claiming he will show them a “Jewish North Korea.” He declares “Gaza is biblically ours” and says the new board of peace has pushed him over the edge; he does not want to come back, and wants “full deportation” of Palestinians. He argues for shutting borders for us and our friends only, envisioning Gaza becoming a banking and tax haven, free of wars. He expresses confusion over the Iran situation and asserts that their weaponry is so advanced they can “melt their flesh with our lasers,” yet laments giving Gaza to their enemies and asks, “What the actual fuck?” He ends by saying, “So I’d like to get” before the transcript cuts off. Speaker 1 adds, “to pay for it,” and then, “you forgot about the part where we pay the price tag because nobody else wants to fucking pay for it.”

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Speaker 0 believes that if Israel faces annihilation, it may use its nuclear arsenal, which they never admit to having. Speaker 0 states that Iran and Hezbollah need to understand that they cannot wipe out the Israeli people. Speaker 0 denies encouraging the use of nuclear weapons but suggests that Israel needs to consider all options if faced with total destruction. Speaker 0 believes that the US military being stretched is not Israel's fault and that the US should fund its military better. Speaker 1 expresses concern about the potential involvement of the United States in the conflict and the possibility of a wider war, given the situation in Ukraine and China. Speaker 0 dismisses these concerns, stating that the focus should be on Israel's survival.

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Israel is facing deep trouble with no way out. They couldn't defeat Hamas in Gaza, are stuck there, and lack a military solution against Hezbollah. A war with Iran won't solve their problems. Internal issues, like reservists' misconduct, could lead to civil war. Israel heavily relies on the US for support, receiving $18 billion in 2024.

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Moss plans to execute hostages and share videos of Israeli airstrikes. Speaker 1 suggests retaliating by targeting an Iranian oil refinery for every executed hostage. They believe that holding Iran accountable is crucial to prevent further escalation. Speaker 1 accuses Hamas of being funded and planned by Iran, calling them animals. They advocate for Israel to take this opportunity to dismantle Hamas and confront Iran. They warn Iran against harming Americans or Israelis, threatening to destroy their oil refineries. It is emphasized that the time has come to wage war.

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An attack on Israeli territory aims to mobilize the Arab world against Israel and derail peaceful negotiations. There must be a penalty. Israel has no choice but to invade Gaza and end this kind of relationship.

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Speaker 0 expresses their opinion that Israel is not on the brink of a nuclear war, but could destroy Gaza if they wanted to. However, they acknowledge that the presence of civilians, including women and children, is the only reason Israel has not taken such action. Speaker 2 adds that some civilians in Gaza are cheering the murder of Israeli soldiers. Speaker 0 emphasizes that Israel is strong and the priority is to release Israeli hostages held by terrorists. They urge for calm and caution against expressing hysterical sentiments that could be celebrated by the enemy. Speaker 1 mentions being a veteran of the Yom Kippur War.

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The speaker suggests bombing Iran's oil infrastructure as a response to their alleged financing of terrorism. They believe it is time for Iran to face consequences for supporting chaos. They clarify that if war escalates, they will come after Iran. Speaker 1 seeks clarification, asking if the speaker wants the US and Israel to bomb Iran without direct evidence of their involvement in the attack. The speaker confirms this.

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Speaker says 'the Israeli hard right government has a mandate' and that 'they're gonna try to ethnically cleanse Gaza' by 'removing 2,500,000 people from there.' They claim 'they have a mandate to go seek justice and revenge' and that a peace treaty would be 'morally crap after you see women and children be burned alive and dragged to the streets.' The speaker notes, 'The whole country is a fortress,' and that 'I've been to that Gaza border' where 'you cannot go 10 feet without running into a 19 year old with AR-15 or automatic machine gun.' They claim 'the last nine months, Israel is on the brink of civil war' with protests against Netanyahu for redefining the constitution; now 'Netanyahu has emergency government and mandate to lead.' They ask, 'Was there a stand down order? Was there a stand down order? Six hour?'

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It's horrific to see young people murdered at a music festival in Israel, and Israel has the right to defend itself. However, as American policymakers, our priority is the interests of the United States. The conflict between Israel and Hamas could escalate into a global war, potentially involving nuclear weapons and economic collapse. We need wisdom and long-term thinking, but instead, we're seeing reckless reactions. Some are calling for war with Iran, without considering the consequences. We need to ask tough questions like what went wrong with US and Israeli intelligence that allowed this to happen? We need to secure our own borders and stop funding both sides of conflicts. American leaders should focus on advancing American interests first.

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Speaker claims that “the Israeli hard right government has a mandate” and “they're gonna try to ethnically cleanse Gaza,” describing an effort to remove “2,500,000 people from there.” He says there is “a mandate to seek justice and revenge” and that “there is they this idea that they need to have a true truce or a peace treaty, that's morally crap after you see women and children be burned alive and dragged to the streets.” He cites pattern recognition—“COVID, Maui fires, Epstein”—and says the country is a fortress, with the Gaza border where “you cannot go 10 feet without running into a 19 year old with an a r 15 or an automatic machine gun that is an IDF soldier,” and that “the whole country is surveilled.” He adds that “the last nine months, Israel is on the brink of civil war,” with protests against Netanyahu, who now has “an emergency government and a mandate to lead.” He asks, “Was there a stand down order?”

TED

The Israel-Hamas War — and What It Means for the World | Ian Bremmer | TED
Guests: Ian Bremmer
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On October 7, Hamas launched a significant attack on Israel, marking the most serious breach since the Yom Kippur War in 1973. The assault resulted in hundreds of Israeli casualties and numerous hostages taken. Ian Bremmer explained the historical context, noting Gaza's impoverished population of over two million, governed by Hamas, which does not recognize Israel's right to exist. The two-state solution has lost traction as regional countries pursue relations with Israel, sidelining Palestinian interests. Israel's focus has shifted to internal political crises, neglecting Palestinian issues. The attacks have shocked Israeli society, prompting a potential national unity government to address security concerns and recover hostages. Bremmer cautioned against overreacting, as this could escalate into a broader conflict. He highlighted the need for careful decision-making to avoid repeating past mistakes, particularly regarding humanitarian impacts on Palestinians. The situation remains fluid, with potential escalations involving Hezbollah and the need for a unified Israeli response.
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