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The Department of Treasury is issuing record levels of debt, with $7 trillion issued in just 3 months and $23 trillion in a year. This has bloated the treasury market, raising concerns about a potential crash. The economy is propped up by debt, with federal debt rising by $1 trillion every 90 days. US treasuries are seen as cash but are actually promises to pay back in the future. The illusion that all debt will be repaid is crucial, as any doubts could lead to a financial system collapse. Fiscal trends are worsening, with a $2 trillion deficit that will increase during a recession. Collapse seems inevitable without intervention. Visit profsaintonj.com for more details.

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The federal government is overspending, with deficits hitting record highs due to wars, welfare, and interest on debt. Tax revenue is not keeping up with spending, leading to a ballooning national debt. Interest payments on debt are consuming a large portion of tax revenue, making the situation unsustainable. The government shows no signs of cutting spending, leading to predictions of inflation, defaults, and debt crises in the future. This financial Ponzi scheme could end in disaster if not addressed soon.

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Over the past two decades, the national debt in the United States has skyrocketed. In the year 2000, it was $5 trillion, but under Republican President George W. Bush and Democratic President Barack Obama, it doubled twice, reaching $20 trillion by the end of Obama's term. In the last six years, with both Republican and Democratic presidents, the debt has grown to $31.5 trillion. This level of spending is unsustainable and has led to inflation and rising costs for everyday items. The debt ceiling, which is coming up, has historically been used as leverage to force spending reforms. It is important to note that defaulting on the debt is not an option, as there is sufficient revenue to cover interest payments. The Republicans aim to use the debt ceiling as a tool for meaningful structural reforms to address the underlying problem. Joe Biden's refusal to negotiate is unreasonable, and the press should not simply repeat partisan talking points. Biden's recent State of the Union speech was disappointing, angry, and divisive. He failed to take responsibility for policy failures, such as inflation and the border crisis. The speech could have been an opportunity for Biden to reach out to the new Republican majority, but instead, he doubled down on failed policies. The removal or weakening of the blue slip, a senator's ability to influence judicial appointments in their state, would be detrimental to the institution of the Senate. The prediction that weakening the Senate's filibuster for judges would result in more conservative Supreme Court justices has proven true. Democrats were willing to prioritize partisan politics over the integrity of the Senate.

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Politicians promise more "free stuff," leading to deficit spending, where the government spends more than it earns. To cover this, the Treasury borrows money by issuing bonds, which are essentially IOUs. These Treasury bonds constitute the national debt, requiring repayment by current and future taxpayers through taxation. Therefore, issuing bonds allows the government to spend today by stealing prosperity from the future. The Treasury then conducts a bond auction involving the world's largest banks.

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The speaker argues for a movement to deflate what is termed “the parasitic system,” describing it as large-scale states and corporations that siphon wealth from grassroots communities. The core idea is to live independently and locally—growing, preparing, fermenting, storing, foraging, hunting one’s own food and medicine, and swapping within local networks—so as to reduce support for large governments and big corporations. This shift, the speaker claims, destroys inflation, corruption, and power abuse allegedly used by “rich elites” to steal money and power. Key premises include: - Deflating the parasitic system is necessary because people must “start living independently locally and no longer feed and support large scale states and companies.” Otherwise, the decay repeats itself. - Large-scale states and corporations are described as parasitic and destructive by nature due to their excessive scale, which enables wealth to be siphoned upward and concentrates power among an “extreme parasitic sociopathic elite.” - The relationship between parasite and host is invoked: in a healthy parasite-host dynamic, the parasite remains subordinate and non-destructive toward its host. - The speaker characterizes the system as an overarching “multiple host cancer” driven by parasitic sociopathic elites, enabled by the scale of the elites and institutions. - The National Jamming of anti-monopoly or anti-government sentiment (referred to as “NJAM”) is presented as a more gradual return to local living, or a collapse with significant suffering, depending on outcomes. On justice and resistance: - The speaker claims that seeking justice through courts within the parasitic system—described as “the parasitic monster, biggolfpluscorp”—will fail, equating this to asking justice from the parasites that feed on you. - The recommended response is to “starve the parasitic monster” and instead “feed yourself, your household and your local community.” Geopolitical note: - The speaker issues a warning to Belgium to brace for the process described as deflation, citing specific 2024 Belgian debt figures and extrapolations: “Belgian national debt 2024 in billions of euros. Federal Janapr, plus 29.6 to 534.89, sub governments, plus 22%, 652.57, equals 113% of bbp. Extrapolation 2024, plus 108.3 to 724.79, = 125% of BBP.” Source attribution: - The message references Source2mia.org and ends with a request to “Please like and follow.”

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The national debt is projected to reach $144 trillion in 30 years, causing concern about its impact on the economy. The US federal government is on an unsustainable fiscal path as the debt grows faster than the economy. Borrowing from future generations is worrisome, and it's crucial to prioritize fiscal sustainability sooner rather than later. Two important factors for American prosperity are the dynamic and innovative economy, which sets it apart from other countries, and the role of the United States as the leading voice in supporting and defending democracy and security arrangements globally. Politics does not influence the Federal Reserve's decisions on timing, as incorporating politics could lead to worse economic outcomes. The Federal Reserve values integrity and plans to maintain it.

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The Federal deficit is much larger than reported due to the way Biden's team hid student loan cancellations. The deficit for the previous fiscal year was $1.7 trillion, a 20% increase from the previous year. However, the actual increase was $600 billion, making the deficit $2 trillion. This puts the US on track to be $45 trillion in debt by 2033 and $144 trillion by 2053. Debt service, recessions, and wars further contribute to the deficit. Debt service costs are rising, recessions increase spending and decrease tax revenue, and wars add to the financial burden. With additional plans for global warming funds, corporate welfare, and welcoming illegal immigrants, the Treasury will continue to be looted until there are consequences.

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When we see downgrades like this, it typically makes the cost of borrowing more expensive for the consumer. You're already seeing it today, and the average thirty year fixed mortgage went up to past 7%. We haven't seen that since April. We also know that homebuilder sentiment, for example, is at the lowest level since 2023 according to the National Association of Homebuilders, their monthly index. We also know that it could have a hampering effect on the ability of the Federal Reserve to make a decision that would sit well with consumers who are looking to enter the, you know, housing market or trying to borrow a car. We heard from the Fed president of Atlanta who said possibly only one quarter point rate cut given what is happening not just with the downgrade, but also that volatility that we're seeing when it comes to tariffs.

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The US dollar's position as the world's reserve currency is being questioned due to the use of sanctions as a foreign policy tool. This move is seen as a strategic mistake by US political leaders, as it weakens American power. The massive debt of $33 trillion is a clear indication of the consequences. Even US allies are reducing their dollar reserves, seeking ways to protect themselves. The imposition of restrictive measures on certain countries raises concerns and sends a signal to the world. It is important for the United States to understand the impact of these actions and the significance of the dollar for their own country.

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In the last 48 hours, there has been bad news. The rating agency has downgraded the American government's ability to repay from AAA to AA. This is concerning because it means the cost of borrowing money to cover our deficits has increased. A double A bond is not as reliable as a triple A bond.

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The US government prints its own money, so why borrow in the same currency? Confusion arises from the language and concepts surrounding this. The government prints money and sells bonds to borrow. This process leads to debt and deficit discussions.

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Argentina’s decline from one of the world’s wealthiest nations to a country crippled by inflation and debt is tied to repeated economic crises and decades of mismanagement. The conversation begins with a chart illustrating that, while global inflation has hovered in the high single digits in recent years, Argentina’s inflation has not been that low for decades and has been higher than 100% for almost all of 2023. A century ago, Argentina’s GDP per person was higher than France’s or Germany’s, but persistent mismanagement over time has led to ongoing economic crises. The transcript attributes a large portion of Argentina’s inflation problem to Juan Domingo Peron, who was elected president in 1946. It notes Peron’s inspiration from Mussolini’s fascist Italy and his beliefs in nationalism and government intervention. Peron increased wages for the poor but funded extensive welfare schemes and embraced economic isolationism, which laid the foundations for economic disaster. The legacy of Peron remains dominant in Argentine politics, according to the summary, with voters having elected a series of populous presidents who have followed the same irresponsible irresponsible policies. Amid growing discontent over the economy, voters have propelled Javier Mille, described as an anarcho capitalist outsider, into the second round of the presidential election. Mille’s platform advocates a free market approach that includes slashing public spending, scrapping most taxes, and blowing up the central bank. The analysis notes, however, that even if Mille wins, a Malay government would probably be too weak to implement his radical agenda. The broader point made is that fixing Argentina’s economic dysfunction requires a political consensus that remains elusive. In summary, the narrative connects Argentina’s current high inflation and debt challenges to historical policies dating back to Peron, whose mix of welfare expansion and economic isolationism is seen as foundational to the country’s present struggles. Contemporary politics reflect a desire for radical change, embodied by Mille’s candidacy, but structural constraints and a lack of broad political consensus are presented as significant obstacles to reform.

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America is going bankrupt quickly, but nobody seems to notice. The Defense Department budget is a trillion dollars a year. Interest payments on the national debt have exceeded the Defense Department budget and are over a trillion dollars a year and rising. The U.S. is adding a trillion dollars to the debt every three months, soon to be every two months, then every month. Eventually, the only thing the U.S. will be able to pay is interest. This situation is like a person with too much credit card debt and does not have a good ending. Spending must be reduced.

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The speakers discuss a sharp warning signal they see in precious metals and the implications for the broader economy. Speaker 0 notes that gold prices have more than doubled in the last year and silver prices have nearly tripled. They interpret this as a major warning of an impending financial and economic crisis. They compare this to the subprime crisis warning in 2007, when Ben Bernanke said the issue was contained to subprime and many did not grasp its significance. The speaker explains they were short the market and anticipated the crisis, which subsequently materialized about a year later. Based on the current situation, they believe gold and silver’s rise signals a forthcoming dollar crisis and a US Treasury crisis, suggesting it could hit next year and emphasizing that people need to take action while there is time. The core message is that the metal price increases are not merely inflationary signals but warnings of structural vulnerabilities in US sovereign credit and the dollar, with a potentially tight timeframe for response. Speaker 1 adds that a significant portion of our debt remains sustainable in part because we can trade global currencies, which allows politicians to continue spending more than would otherwise be possible. This point underscores how the international currency system enables higher debt levels and ongoing fiscal expansion, contributing to the conditions that the speakers warn about. Key assertions include: 1) gold and silver surges reflect a looming US dollar and US Treasury crisis rather than just typical commodity inflation; 2) the crisis could emerge within a short horizon, possibly next year; 3) historical parallel to the 2007 subprime episode is used to support the claim that seemingly contained problems can escalate into a major crisis; 4) the global currency system’s flexibility enables continued high spending, contributing to fiscal vulnerabilities. The overall message is a warning to prepare for a potential financial crisis tied to sovereign credit and dollar stability, emphasizing swift consideration of actions in light of the perceived urgency.

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The US government prints its own money, so why borrow in the same currency? Confusing language aside, the government sells bonds to borrow money. Despite the confusion, it's clear the government prints money and borrows, leading to debt and deficits.

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Peter Schiff and the hosts discuss how surging gold and silver prices relate to potential banking instability and a broader dollar crisis. Key points: - Silver production is about 800,000,000 ounces per year, while bank shorts on silver are claimed at 4,400,000,000 ounces according to some reports. The implication is that if silver continues to rise, the biggest banks in America could face severe coverage challenges for their short positions. The discussion notes that many banks are “barely covering their asses to stay afloat.” - Gold and silver price levels are highlighted: gold at about $4,600 per ounce after a bounce, and silver at about $92 per ounce. Peter Schiff, introduced as a silver and gold expert and economist, has authored The Real Crash, How to Save Yourself and Your Country, and America’s Coming Bankruptcy. The host mentions the book. - Peter Schiff’s perspective on timing and crisis: he says the 2013 book predicted the current situation and that gold and silver have risen significantly—gold up, silver up substantially. He believes the price moves signal a major warning of a financial or economic crisis, comparing it to the subprime warning before the 2008 crisis. He asserts this time the warning concerns the U.S. government sovereign credit and a potential dollar crisis and U.S. Treasury crisis, possibly unfolding next year. - Connection to global debt and the dollar: Schiff explains that much debt is sustainable because the U.S. dollar serves as the global reserve currency, enabling continued spending. He notes foreign central banks buying gold instead of U.S. Treasuries, moving out of dollars into gold, and cites U.S. intervention in oil-rich Venezuela as part of broader moves to keep oil prices down. He argues that the dollar’s reserve status is eroding, and a meaningful decline in the dollar relative to other currencies could soon impact consumer prices and interest rates, leading to higher costs for Americans. - Impact on the average person: Schiff asserts that the reserve currency status has long supported a standard of living that relies on importing goods paid for with dollars created “out of thin air.” As the dollar collapses and the world shifts away from the dollar, the dollars earned and saved by ordinary people will buy less, with price spikes across goods and services. He suggests a future scenario where prices rise dramatically while wages do not keep pace, giving an example of a hamburger potentially rising from $15 to $30 or $50, and services versus goods diverging in price movement. - Preparation and investment stance: Schiff emphasizes that gold and silver have performed well since the turn of the century, outperforming the Dow in real terms. He argues for moving wealth into real money rather than paper assets and notes, in general terms, opportunities in mining stocks as a hedge, including juniors and mid-tier producers. He references the broader strategy of diversifying out of U.S. stocks, bonds, and dollars to protect wealth during what he describes as a coming real crisis; he stresses focusing on real assets rather than relying on the dollar. - Final remarks: Schiff reiterates that the crisis is coming and that some Americans should consider protecting wealth through precious metals and mining opportunities, while the hosts acknowledge the outlook and thank him for the insights.

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The United States can always print money to pay off any debt it has, so there is no chance of default.

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The speaker states that supporting US consumers is the reason for their actions, which are part of the dollar being a reserve currency. Regarding the US fiscal situation, the speaker acknowledges that US federal debt is on an unsustainable path, but not at an unsustainable level currently, and the limit is unknown. They state that the US is running very large deficits at full employment, which needs to be addressed sooner rather than later. The largest and fastest-growing parts of federal spending are Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, and interest payments, requiring bipartisan solutions. Domestic discretionary spending is a small and declining percentage of federal spending.

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The speaker argues that using the dollar as a tool of foreign policy is one of the biggest strategic mistakes by the US political leadership, stating that the dollar is the cornerstone of US power and that printing more dollars leads to their wide dispersion worldwide. Inflation in the United States is described as minimal, about 3% to 3.4%, and the speaker asserts that the US will not stop printing. The debt of $33 trillion is said to indicate emission, and the dollar is described as the main weapon used by the United States to preserve its power globally. Once the political leadership decided to use the US dollar as a tool of political struggle, the speaker claims a blow was dealt to American power. The speaker avoids strong language but calls the strategy a stupid thing to do and a grave mistake, pointing to world events as evidence. The speaker notes that US allies are downsizing their dollar reserves, and asserts that these actions cause everyone to seek ways to protect themselves. They claim that US restrictive measures—such as placing restrictions on transactions and freezing assets—cause great concern and send a signal to the world. A historical point is made: until 2022, about 80% of Russian foreign trade transactions were conducted in US dollars and euros, with US dollars accounting for approximately 50% of Russia’s transactions with third countries; currently, the share is down to 13%. The speaker emphasizes that Russia did not ban the use of the US dollar; it was a decision by the United States to restrict transactions in US dollars. The speaker contends that the policy is foolish from the standpoint of US interests and taxpayers because it damages the US economy and undermines US power, and notes that transactions in Yuan accounted for about 3%. Today, 34% of transactions are in rubles, and a little over 34% in yuan. The speaker asks why the United States did this, offering “self conceit” as the guess, claiming the US probably thought it would lead to full collapse, but nothing collapsed. Additionally, the speaker states that other countries, including oil producers, are thinking of and already accepting payments for oil in yuan. The question is posed to the United States about whether anyone realizes what is happening and what they are doing, as the speaker suggests that the US is cutting itself off. Finally, the speaker asserts that all experts say this, and that anyone intelligent in the United States should understand what the dollar means for the US, but claims the US is “killing it with your own hand.”

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Jerome Powell, the Fed chair, criticized federal spending, stating that the current path is unsustainable. This is significant because Powell has been supportive of Congress's spending habits. The US is facing massive deficits and increasing debt, which is draining the economy and posing a threat to the financial system. The Fed's role is not to manage the economy but to print money and deliver it to Wall Street and Congress through cheap debt. Powell's criticism is noteworthy as it shows concern about excessive printing. However, Congress continues its spending spree without any checks or balances. The media fails to address this issue, leaving most Americans unaware of the impending crisis.

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Moody's downgraded America's credit rating, but the speakers claim Moody's doesn't disclose who is on the decision-making committee. According to Laura Loomer, Moody's CEO since 2021, Robert Faubber, is committed to DEI and ESG, which the Trump administration opposes. One speaker says Faubber is a "total lib" who hates Trump. The speakers question what race or gender has to do with repaying debt and ask if Moody's is implying someone's sex determines loan repayment ability. They also question why the downgrade occurred now, after alleged excessive spending by Democrats under Biden, and economic shutdowns. One speaker says that credit rating agencies did nothing as the economy was destroyed, but now sound the alarm when Trump calls for spending cuts and a balanced budget.

Breaking Points

Markets PANIC Over Trump Bill's Exploding Deficit
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Yesterday, the Dow dropped 800 points due to a weak 20-year Treasury bond auction, signaling a lack of demand and rising yields. This reflects a broader trend of moving away from the dollar as a reserve currency, exacerbated by Trump's tax bill, which is projected to increase the deficit by $4 trillion. Moody's downgraded US debt, and the bond market's instability has led to concerns about economic direction. Despite some positive jobless claims, retailers like Walmart and Target are raising prices due to tariffs, indicating consumer uncertainty and potential economic challenges ahead.

Coldfusion

America's Debt Crisis Is Bigger Than You Think
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In this episode of Cold Fusion, Dagogo Altraide discusses the escalating US national debt, which has surged from $39,000 per household in 1980 to over $260,000 in 2024, totaling more than $35 trillion. The US is projected to spend over a trillion on interest payments this year, surpassing its defense budget. This debt crisis poses risks not only to Americans but also to the global economy, as a potential default could lead to a loss of confidence in US bonds, skyrocketing interest rates, and market volatility. The episode outlines two potential outcomes: a positive scenario where the US manages to attract investment despite a default, leading to economic recovery, and a negative scenario characterized by a crisis of confidence, higher borrowing costs, and global repercussions. Solutions to the debt issue include economic growth, printing money, raising taxes, or cutting spending. The most feasible option appears to be cutting government waste, which could significantly alleviate the debt problem. The urgency for reform is emphasized, as the consequences of inaction could unfold over the next decade.

All In Podcast

Ray Dalio | The All-In Interview
Guests: Ray Dalio
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The discussion centers on the significant financial challenges facing the U.S., including a federal debt of $36.4 trillion against a GDP of $29.1 trillion, resulting in a debt-to-GDP ratio of 125%. This ratio has risen sharply since the pandemic, with federal debt increasing by 80% and GDP by 38%. The U.S. is currently running a nearly $2 trillion annual deficit, with projections indicating that annual budget deficits will average 6.1% of GDP through 2035. Ray Dalio emphasizes the importance of understanding the mechanics of debt cycles, noting that only 20% of currency debt markets since 1700 remain, all having devalued over time. He describes the "big debt cycle," which lasts about 80 years, and warns of the risks associated with rising debt service burdens. Dalio outlines four potential actions to address the looming debt crisis: increasing taxes, cutting spending, central bank debt monetization, and restructuring debt. He stresses the urgency of implementing these measures to avoid a more severe crisis, advocating for a "3% solution" to reduce the deficit. The conversation also touches on the geopolitical landscape, particularly the U.S.-China dynamic, and the potential for increased internal conflict as economic pressures mount. Dalio warns that without decisive action, the U.S. could face significant turmoil, both domestically and internationally, as it navigates these complex challenges.

Unlimited Hangout

Sanctions & the End of a Financial Era with John Titus
Guests: John Titus
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Since the Ukraine-Russia conflict began, major shifts in the international financial system have unfolded, with sanctions aimed at Russia seemingly rebounding off the ruble while inflicting greater pain on the West. This has fed questions about why a policy that appears punitive to one side ends up hurting the sanctioning side and has fueled talk of the dollar’s waning dominance and the possible demise of the petrodollar system, alongside a wider move toward a multipolar world order. Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) are advancing in both Ukraine and Russia and among their allies, framing a global control architecture that many see as a critical element of a broader digital governance regime. Whitney Webb and John Titus discuss how, on March 2, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, asked about China, Russia, and Pakistan moving away from the dollar, pivoted to the world reserve currency and the durability of the dollar, inflation, and the rule of law—points Titus argues reveal a scripted witness with a broader agenda about the dollar’s reserve status and the sustainability of US fiscal paths. Titus notes a shift in public officials, including Cabinet-level figures, acknowledging debt unsustainability, which he interprets as a signal that the days of US currency dominance may be numbered, given that the US debt path is already out of control. They examine what losing reserve currency status would mean at home: a large fraction of currency in circulation is overseas, and if dollars flow back to the US, inflation could surge. The conversation turns to the petrodollar system’s fragility as Saudi Arabia and the UAE push back on sanctions enforcement, with implications for the dollar’s hegemony. Russia’s strategy to accept payment for energy in rubles or via Gazprom Bank, and to require non-sanctioned banks, is presented as an actionable workaround that forces a reevaluation of Western sanctions’ effectiveness and Europe’s consequences, including higher energy prices and potential shortages. The Bear Stearns bailout and broader 2008 crisis are revisited, highlighting the distinction between official Treasury/TARP bailout narratives and what Titus calls the Fed’s real bailout and political cover. He argues the endgame is when the US borrows to pay interest on debt, including entitlements, creating an unsustainable trajectory that drives a multipolar challenge to US control. CBDCs are analyzed through questions of backing, issuer sovereignty, and settlement mechanisms. Titus argues the US CBDC would be issued by the private-leaning regional Federal Reserve banks, complicating governance and accountability, while Russia contemplates a digital ruble with programmable features and a two-tier system where the central bank maintains the ledger but commercial banks handle access. The broader framework includes debates about the World Economic Forum, the Bank for International Settlements, and the balance of power between public sovereigns and private financial interests, with the BIS and private banks often seen as critical sovereign-like actors. The discussion ends with a warning about the evolving digital-finance landscape, the risks of central bank digital currencies, and the importance of understanding who ultimately holds sovereign power in money issuance.
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