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Megyn Kelly opens the show with a celebratory tone, reflecting on Donald Trump's significant electoral victory and the Democratic Party's struggles. She highlights Vice President Kamala Harris's delayed concession and her upcoming speech at Howard University. The discussion shifts to the collapse of polling accuracy, with guests emphasizing that many pollsters failed to predict Trump's support, particularly among working-class voters and minorities. They note that the polling industry has been warned repeatedly about the existence of "shy Trump voters" who do not openly express their support. The conversation delves into the demographics that contributed to Trump's success, including working-class men and women, Black men, and Latino voters, who showed surprising support for him. The panel critiques the media's handling of the election and the Democrats' failure to connect with these groups. They argue that identity politics and the Democrats' messaging alienated potential voters, particularly among women and minorities. Kelly and her guests discuss the implications of Trump's victory for the Democratic Party, suggesting that it signals a need for a reevaluation of their strategies and policies. They express skepticism about the Democrats' ability to learn from this defeat, pointing out that many in the party continue to blame racism and misogyny for their losses rather than addressing their own shortcomings. The panel also critiques the celebrity endorsements that failed to resonate with voters, arguing that figures like Oprah Winfrey and Jennifer Lopez do not connect with the working-class electorate. They emphasize that Trump's appeal lies in his populist messaging and willingness to challenge the status quo, contrasting it with the Democrats' focus on elite concerns. As the discussion progresses, they speculate on Trump's potential agenda if he takes office again, including judicial appointments and immigration reform. The guests express mixed feelings about the future, acknowledging the challenges ahead while also recognizing the political landscape's shifting dynamics. In conclusion, the panel reflects on the election's outcome as a decisive moment that could reshape American politics, urging both parties to reconsider their approaches moving forward.

In this episode of the Megyn Kelly Show, Megyn discusses the reasons behind Donald Trump's electoral success with guest Batya Ungar-Sargon, author of *Second Class: How the Elites Betrayed America's Working Men and Women*. They argue that the real divide in America is class-based, not racial or political, highlighting how working-class Americans, including former Democrats, resonated with Trump's agenda. They criticize the media's failure to understand this shift and the elitism of celebrities and politicians who dismiss Trump supporters as ignorant. They also explore how the Democratic Party has abandoned its pro-labor roots, leading to a loss of support among working-class voters, including Latinos and Black Americans. The hosts emphasize that Trump's appeal lies in his focus on issues important to the working class, such as strong borders and economic opportunity, contrasting this with the Democrats' current positions. They predict that unless the Democrats address these concerns, they will continue to lose elections. The conversation underscores a growing disconnect between elites and everyday Americans.

Megyn Kelly opens with the New York Times’ Out of Power piece on the voter registration crisis. The analysis notes that while Democrats still outnumber Republicans nationwide, the edge has narrowed, and in 30 states Democrats lost ground between 2020 and 2024, creating a swing of about 4.5 million voters toward Republicans. In battlegrounds Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, Democratic registration erosion was significant, with North Carolina erasing roughly 95% of the 2020 advantage. 'There is no silver lining. There is no cavalry coming across the Hill,' says Michael Pruzer, director of data science for Decision Desk HQ, highlighting alarm that the trend is ongoing and not easily reversed. "Mark Halperin attributes the shift to both Trump dynamics and a Democratic branding problem, arguing the party and its media allies live in a blue bubble. The discussion notes that Republicans have built a professional voter-registration machine, while Democrats lack a plan to fix mechanics. Sean Spicer stresses that 'the death cycle of the Democratic party' is not solely Trump’s fault, but the party’s 'message and mechanics' are failing to mobilize new voters. The segment also cites the financial edge: 'the financial advantage of Donald Trump and the RNC is just north of $300 million cash on hand. The DNC has $13 million.' This, combined with ground-game deficits, compounds the challenge for Democrats. "Gavin Newsom's approach dominates the discussion as Democrats search for a leader who can counter Trump. The panel notes Newsom's aggressive social-media presence, mocking Trump-style postures, and a growing belief he is in a top tier, even if some doubt his ultimate bid. They debate whether style can compensate for a lack of substantive policy, and whether the party needs to pick a candidate who can bridge the culture-war divide with a centrist, issue-focused agenda. They contrast the 'rapid response choir' antics and 'Descent is patriotic' mariachi-led stunts with calls for real, tangible proposals that improve everyday life for voters and win back working-class trust." "Beyond campaigns, the panel critiques coverage and culture, noting the cable-news edge and talk of MSNBC rebranding to 'MS Now' as an attempt to present insurgent identity; they doubt such branding will fix a declining audience. They discuss the Smithsonian controversy and the broader culture-war dynamic; there is skepticism about the Democrats’ ability to frame a coherent through-line—'two big M’s, message and mechanics'—that resonates with a broad electorate. The exchange ends with a sense of urgency: leadership, a clear agenda, and an organized ground game are essential to counter Trump’s influence and to appeal to working-class voters while bridging cultural divides."

Megyn Kelly opens the Halloween episode of her show by discussing her Halloween candy-giving traditions and the importance of manners. She mentions the upcoming live coverage of the election night on Sirius XM and YouTube, highlighting a diverse lineup of guests to analyze the results. Spencer Kimball from Emerson polling joins to discuss recent polls, particularly a CNN poll showing Kamala Harris with a lead in Michigan and Wisconsin. Kimball explains that polls are ranges and emphasizes that the CNN poll may be an outlier, suggesting that Harris is underperforming compared to Biden in 2020. He notes that Trump appears to be gaining momentum as election day approaches, particularly in key states like Pennsylvania, where polls show a tight race. The conversation shifts to the potential paths to victory for both candidates. Kimball analyzes states like Georgia, North Carolina, and Arizona, indicating that Trump has a solid chance in these areas. He mentions that North Carolina is historically challenging for Democrats and discusses the implications of Harris pulling advertising from the state. In Arizona, Kimball points out that immigration is a significant issue, with both genders leaning towards Trump, which is unusual compared to other swing states. He also discusses Nevada, where early voting numbers show a surprising Republican turnout, suggesting that Trump could have a better chance than expected. The discussion continues with a focus on the Rust Belt states, particularly Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Kimball believes Wisconsin is the most favorable for Trump, while Michigan remains a toss-up. He highlights that Harris is struggling with minority groups and older voters compared to Biden's performance in 2020. As the show progresses, the hosts analyze Trump's campaign strategies, including his recent antics, which they believe resonate well with voters. They contrast this with Harris's inability to connect with the electorate, emphasizing the importance of authenticity in campaigning. The episode concludes with a humorous segment about Biden's odd behavior at a recent event, where he pretended to eat a baby's foot, prompting discussions about the appropriateness of such actions for a sitting president. The hosts express concern over Biden's mental acuity and how it may impact the election.

In this episode of "Matter of Opinion," Ross Douthat discusses the transformation of the Republican Party, particularly under Donald Trump's influence, shifting from a wealthy, white suburban base to a more diverse, blue-collar coalition. Douthat and guest Reihan Salam reflect on their early experiences in Washington, D.C., and their book "Grand New Party," which argued for Republicans to embrace working-class voters. They note that while their ideas were initially rejected during the Tea Party era, Trump's rise capitalized on the discontent they had identified, albeit in a more chaotic and divisive manner. They explore how Trump's presidency saw gains among urban and Hispanic voters, yet he did not create a new majority. The conversation shifts to the challenges facing the Republican Party, including the need for a coherent economic agenda that resonates with middle America. They discuss the evolving political landscape, the impact of cultural issues, and the potential for a second Trump presidency to solidify or reshape the coalition. Ultimately, they emphasize the importance of addressing economic fairness and opportunity while navigating the complexities of a changing electorate.

The podcast discusses the significant Democratic victories in recent off-year elections, characterizing them as a decisive "shellacking" for Republicans across various states including Virginia, New Jersey, Georgia, Mississippi, and Pennsylvania. Democrats achieved 18 out of 18 key markers for a "fantastic night," with notable margins in races and shifts in every county in Virginia. The analysis highlights that voters disliking both parties overwhelmingly broke for Democrats, driven by high turnout among anti-Republican voters and a lack of motivation among the Republican base. Key demographic shifts were observed, with significant swings away from the GOP among Latino voters and young men, who had previously shown some support for Trump. Republicans' gerrymandering strategies, based on the assumption of maintaining Trump's 2024 coalition and Latino strength, are now seen as miscalculations that could backfire. The hosts attribute Republican struggles to their failure to address voters' material conditions, such as housing, inflation, and cost of living, while focusing on issues like Israel or perceived "authoritarian crackdowns." They argue that voters, especially younger generations, are cynical and demand tangible improvements, rejecting a political approach that offers no solutions to everyday economic struggles. The perceived disconnect, exemplified by lavish parties amidst public hardship, further alienates voters, leading to a widespread desire to "vote their ass out."