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Over the past few days, the conversation covered rising U.S. gas prices, with average prices surpassing $4 per gallon on Tuesday, the highest in nearly four years. The discussion then shifted to geopolitical tensions around Iran, Israel, and the United States. It was noted that Donald Trump is reportedly seeking an off ramp from the war against Iran, but every time there are negotiations toward ceasefires or frameworks for talks, Israel allegedly bombs to scuttle those plans. Joe Kent was cited as saying that there is significant frustration inside the Trump administration because Israeli actions derail negotiations. Further comments stated that whenever Trump attempts to move toward negotiation, Israelis “come in and they kill negotiators,” “kill members of the government,” and “bomb the infrastructure” to show that the U.S. is not negotiating in good faith, with the implication that U.S. verbal assurances are hollow while Israel acts unrestrained. It was suggested that only when the U.S. actually restrains Israel’s support will their behavior change, despite reports of high-level admonitions from the Vice President or others. Trump published a note on Truth Social addressed to Europe and the UK, criticizing their inability to obtain jet fuel due to the Strait of Hormuz and urging the United Kingdom to buy oil from the United States, build up courage, and take control of Hormuz, implying the U.S. would no longer assist them. The program then brought in economist Professor Richard Werner to analyze global economic directions amid oil and gas price concerns, food stocks, fertilizer, helium, and related supply chains. Werner, based in Europe, emphasized Europe’s dependence on energy, fertilizer, and other raw materials from abroad, noting that Europe has thrived on an international trade model that moved up value-added production. He described the current situation as a policy-induced crisis or potential catastrophe, with energy supply already restricted by past policy choices (e.g., cutting ties with Russia for energy, decommissioning nuclear and coal plants). He warned of a possible major shock to the economy, comparing the risk to the 2020 experience of policy-induced throttling. The discussion touched on financial vulnerability, including concerns about how embargos or disruptions could affect food supply chains and economic stability. Werner described the situation as intentional policy shifts and indicated a broader realignment of the global order, with institutions like BRICS, the Belt and Road Initiative, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, and the New Development Bank fostering greater influence for China and other non-U.S. actors. He asserted that there is a push for a new international order that gives more power to alternative players, criticizing U.S. dominance in the IMF and World Bank. Werner argued that the “petrodollar system” established after the 1970s allowed continued U.S. economic supremacy, and suggested the world is witnessing a shift away from the dollar’s dominance toward alternative systems, potentially including digital currencies. He claimed Western countries are moving toward digital control measures, including strict currency surveillance and restrictions, while BRICS countries show more interest in gold as a store of value. He also described increasing censorship and sanctions in the EU regarding dissenting opinions, tying this to the rollout of digital currencies and the potential for controllable spending if governments “switch off” money. The exchange concluded with gratitude for Werner’s analysis and a hope for cooler heads to prevail to minimize impact, while acknowledging the likelihood of a new world order.

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The authority and the influence of this group is rising with every year. And BRICS is now one of the key groups, key organizations in the world, and our voice is heard loudly across the international arena.

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Ashwin Rutansi hosts Going Underground from Dubai, discussing the World Government Summit in the UAE, which brought together 6,000 attendees, 35 heads of state, ministers, and leaders from civil society, academia, and business. The conversation centers on BRICS, its role on the world stage, and tensions in the region amid US naval activity in the Gulf. Victoria Panova, head of BRICS Expert Council (Russia), vice director of HSE University, and Sherpa of the G20 advisory group for Russia, shares her impressions and analysis. Panova’s first impression of the summit is the remarkable diversity and high level of organization, with attendees from various paths of life and countries, creating a vibrant environment for dialogue. She notes the forum’s focus on AI and technological challenges, even as regional security concerns linger behind the scenes due to US carrier presence and broader tensions in the region. She observes dual-use nature of AI and weapons and questions why security issues are not more openly addressed, pointing to the UN Security Council’s blockages and the existence of a “peace council” that is not fully formed. Discussing BRICS members and expansion, Panova explains that UAE and Iran are among the newer members and emphasizes BRICS’ need to demonstrate capacity during “count times.” She outlines the original six invited countries and the current mix of members, partners, and invited states, noting Argentina’s initial interest and its later hesitation. The question of why Saudi Arabia is not a full member while UAE and Iran are is explained in terms of historical invitations, internal Brazilian debates, and consensus-based BRICS governance, which requires broad agreement rather than unilateral action. Panova highlights the New Development Bank (NDB) as BRICS’ key financial instrument, distinguished by its lack of Western member states and absence of political conditionalities, although she acknowledges its current smaller scale and ongoing need for growth. Dilma Rousseff is noted as head of the NDB, with Putin’s influence cited in ensuring continuity of leadership. The discussion touches on Venezuela’s BRICS status, Maduro’s kidnapping incident, and the Brazilian veto influenced by internal Brazilian opinions and Mato Grosso considerations, with the BRICS civil council issuing a declaration in support of Maduro, though BRICS itself remains constrained by consensus requirements. On global order and currency systems, Panova argues that BRICS aims to reduce dependence on the dollar, noting that non-dollar trade is already significant (e.g., Brazil-China trade where 48% is non-dollar, Russia-India trade using rubles and renminbi). She emphasizes that while the dirham in Dubai is pegged to the dollar, BRICS members seek to diversify payment systems and currencies, including potential BRICS digital currency discussions at the sherpa level, with the first sherpa meeting in February to set detailed priorities. The dialogue also considers Donald Trump’s impact on BRICS. Panova suggests Trump’s stance against BRICS aligns with de-dollarization efforts and the pursuit of independent payment systems, although she acknowledges that Trump has used sanctions as bargaining leverage and that BRICS seeks to strengthen collective action rather than rely on any single country. The interview closes with expectations for India-hosted sherpas and the lead-up to the BRICS leaders’ summit, underscoring BRICS’ evolving role as a potential counterweight to Western-dominated institutions. Overall, the discussion emphasizes BRICS’ pursuit of financial autonomy, diversified currencies, and enhanced global influence through structured diplomacy, expansion, and alternative development financing, set against ongoing regional security complexities and Western geopolitical pressures.

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Ao falar sobre a moeda BRICS, a possível nova moeda de reserva, o apresentador baseia-se numa nota recebida de um economista russo. Ele afirma que é "só 1 símbolo" e que, se criada "1 nova moeda de reserva pelo grupo", ela não terá forma de papel moeda, será "1 moeda digital". Além disso, destaca que ela não será, "ao contrário do que se diz", pra minar a ideia, mantendo a ideia de "1 moeda única". Discussing the BRICS currency as a potential new reserve currency, the presenter relies on a note given by a Russian economist. He says it is "só 1 símbolo" and that, if "1 nova moeda de reserva pelo grupo" is created, it will not have "forma de papel moeda", it will be "1 moeda digital", and it is important to note that it will not be, "ao contrário do que se diz", to mine the idea, "1 moeda única".

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The Biden administration plans to expand the World Bank to compete with China's influence in third world countries. China has been outpacing the World Bank in lending money to these countries, and the US wants to catch up. However, these loans often go unpaid, resulting in billions of dollars being written off. Chinese banks have started reducing their lending due to the lack of repayment. Despite US taxpayers having no choice but to contribute to the World Bank, more trillions of dollars are expected to be given to international organizations like it. The speaker suggests that the US should withdraw from the World Bank, IMF, and United Nations, as they believe these organizations exploit American wealth for woke ideology and benefit a small donor class and third world dictators.

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- Speaker 0 introduces Illumicorp (Luma Corp) and its founders’ dream to transform the world into a centralized, global organization. After competition and dissent are eliminated, a utopian world will be built for all based on need. The speaker invites initiates to tour a world where class structure conceals a hidden capstone of elite directors who own and manage Illumicorp. The three classes (rich, middle, poor) are depicted as assets and resources for Illumicorp, with the organization divided into branches sharing a five-level hierarchy. Initiates start at the bottom (the initiate category) and must carry out orders for sub corporations and institutions, becoming the face of Illumicorp to the outside world, while never speaking about orders or masters publicly. Six administrative branches exist, and initiates will be placed in top positions within one sector to decide strategy and programs. - Illumicorp’s strategy is described as “control the head, and you control the body,” with global influence through international banking. The IMF and WTO are presented as tools that impoverish disobedient nations. Debt is described as a weapon against countries that don’t share Illumicorp’s vision. The Federal Reserve System is portrayed as “a collection of international banks owned by Illumicorp members,” created to form a centralized banking system, with money printed as a loan, accruing interest, and public taxes going toward debt repayment. Illumicorp purportedly funds itself through the public debt. - Through mergers and acquisitions, Illumicorp is said to own most of US oil, transport, banking, media, food, and communications industries. By consolidating power, conglomerates can influence labor and government. The plan envisions corporations replacing government as a centralized international body to meet global needs, with corporatism forming the foundation for world government once Illumicorp goes public. - Illumicorp’s control of the American military is highlighted as a tool: the military-industrial complex has been nurtured to serve as a prototype for a global police force. The aim is to migrate patriotism toward belief in a global government protecting all through superior force. The target is framed as Islamic nations resisting western domination, with oil reserves underpinning global domination. Illumicorp allegedly uses federal military funding to develop new forms of warfare and population reduction, including weather manipulation (as a weapon) via technologies like HARP and chemtrails. - The political system in America is presented as under Illumicorp’s control: a two-party system reduces issues to black-and-white debates, while media shapes public opinion. A “rogue candidate program” supposedly provides a voice for the dispossessed and builds a database of potential dissidents. In education, Illumicorp allegedly created the General Education Board in 1902 to condition obedience through curriculum, producing obedient workers. Associations like the American Historical Association are claimed to uphold an official history aligned with Illumicorp, while media and advertising program the public’s emotions to support the future agenda. Cable news allegedly promotes infotainment to subliminally reinforce desired attitudes, including environmental duty and eventually the great cleansing to reduce the global population to a manageable size. - Religion is described as a powerful tool for social control, with Illumicorp’s invisible influence in churches shaping opinions on current issues through policies written at Luma Corp headquarters. Christians would be rallied to support actions believed to be end-times prophecies, while Islamic fundamentalism is portrayed as a threat used to justify violence. A final phase allegedly involves a global cleansing. - Speaker 1 references the “control grid” project, describing a grid of finance, industry, government, and military under Illumicorp’s control. The Internet, GPS, RFID chips, and real ID cards linked to federal databases will monitor the population, with cell phones locating individuals. Intelligence and homeland security would identify and remove dissidents from the grid. People would choose to support the system to access its luxuries or lose access if they reject it. - Speaker 2–Speaker 7 introduce broader global conspiracy themes, including the emergence of a new world order and the idea that the UN is taking over global government. They reference Geithner’s remarks about a global currency, and quote a conspiracy description of a monolithic, ruthless conspiracy using infiltration, subversion, and control across military, diplomatic, intelligence, economic, scientific, and political operations. They describe an occult symbolography (red circle, serpent biting its tail, etc.) and discuss Luciferian elements in certain symbols. - Speaker 8 discusses Lucent Technologies and the idea that people will be chipped and money controlled by chips, with fear of being enslaved. They reference personal testimonies about chip control, and cite a “secret” network of military preparations for a New World Order, including guillotines and martial law, with testimonies from a self-identified Christian perspective about an imminent crisis. - Multiple voices recount concerns about vaccines, genetically modified foods, chemtrails, environmental policies, and population reduction plans. They argue vaccines have harmed children, that vaccines have caused autism and autoimmune diseases, and that pharmaceutical and biotech industries are part of a broader plot. They reference the biodiversity treaty, seed patenting, Monsanto, GMOs, and alleged plans to reduce the world population to a fraction of current numbers. They claim the North American Union and global currency (the amero) are steps toward a single world government, orchestrated by a global elite including the Rockefellers. They discuss the Georgia Guidestones’ command to maintain humanity at 500,000,000 in perpetual balance with nature, and link the stones to a broader occult agenda. - The program closes with calls to action: to win souls and follow Christian ethical guidance, to reject secret societies (notably Freemasonry) after learning more from recommended reading (Masonry Beyond the Light), and to prepare for what is described as imminent persecution and martyrdom for faith. They urge pastors, dads, and families to act with understanding, discipline, and commitment to biblical principles, and to rely on prayer and evangelism as the world reportedly moves toward the New World Order. - Throughout, the speakers repeatedly frame Illumicorp and associated elites as deliberately manipulating politics, media, education, religion, technology, and global economics to create a surveilled, choked, global grid, with drastic population reduction and a one-world government as the ultimate outcome.

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You know, you have this little group called BRICS. It's fading out fast. But BRICS is, they wanted to try and take over the dollar, the dominance of the dollar, and, the standard of the dollar. And I said, anybody that's in the BRICS consortium of nations, we're gonna tariff you 10%. And they had a meeting the following day and almost nobody showed up. They were they said, leave me alone. We didn't wanna they didn't wanna be tariffed to their that's amazing. No. We're not gonna let the dollar slide. If we have a smart president, you're never gonna let the dollar slide. If you have a dummy, that could happen.

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The discussion centers on India’s position in 2025 amid a shifting international order and U.S. efforts to recalibrate a multipolar world. - The year 2025 is characterized as eventful for India, with the country under pressure to choose a path in a world where power is more distributed. The conversation opens with a framing of the U.S. adjusting to multipolarity, the return of Trump, and various global tensions, noting that India’s role has received relatively less attention. - Speaker 1 reflects that 2025 was not a good year for India. At the start of the year, India expected to remain a fulcrum of U.S. policy to contain China and to shuttle between powers, maintaining a growing trade relationship with China while navigating U.S. pressures. The Trump presidency disrupted this balance. India perceived U.S. interference in its domestic politics, including alleged U.S. fingerprints in color revolutions in Bangladesh and Nepal, and a perception that U.S. entities like the National Endowment for Democracy were involved. The 50% trade tariff on India by the U.S. shocked New Delhi, and Trump’s public and private statements criticizing India complicated the relationship. - The discussion notes India’s sensitivity to becoming overly dependent on the U.S. for strategic protection against China, given Modi’s emphasis on Indian sovereignty and self-reliance. Modi’s perceived humility toward Trump, followed by a cooling of the relationship after Trump’s tariff threats, created a crisis of confidence in the U.S.-India alignment. Modi’s personal interactions with Trump—such as a cordial birthday exchange followed by threats of 100% tariffs on India—were seen as signaling mixed signals from Washington. - India’s options in 2025 include: (1) retrenchment and continuing to seek a balancing act between the U.S., China, and Russia; (2) charting an independent course by strengthening ties within BRICS and the Global South; or (3) aligning more with the U.S. with the hope of future U.S. policy shifts. The economic reality complicates choices: while India’s exports did reasonably well despite tariffs and some FDI, opening Indian dairy and agriculture to the U.S. market would threaten farmers’ livelihoods, potentially destabilizing an electorate sensitive to domestic issues. - There is a broader point about Washington’s approach: demand loyalty from regions and countries while using tariffs and pressure to shape alignment, and Trump’s approach is described as a fear-and-intimidation strategy toward the Global South. - On the China-India axis, the speakers discuss how China’s rise and India’s size create a power disparity that makes simple dominance difficult for either side. India’s strategy involves leveraging BRICS and other forums (including the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, SCO) to expand multipolar governance and reduce dependence on a single power center. The interlocutors emphasize that BRICS operates by consensus and is not a vetoed UN-style body; thus, it offers a platform where major powers can cooperate without a single dominant voice. - The potential paths for India include growing within BRICS and the Global South, seeking mutual economic advantages, and developing a strategy that reduces vulnerability to U.S. coercion. One line of thought suggests using digital tools to help Indian small and medium-sized enterprises access global markets, and building coalitions using shared developmental and financial needs to negotiate better terms in global trade, similar to how an OPEC-like approach could coordinate commodity pricing for the Global South. - The conversation also touches on border and regional issues: a historical context where Russia resolved border tensions with China via settlements that altered the balance of power; the suggestion that India and China could adopt joint administrative arrangements for disputed border zones to reduce conflict risk and foster cooperation, though this requires careful handling to avoid loss of face for either side. - The role of China is described as patient and multipolar-friendly, seeking to buy more from India and to cultivate mutual trade, while recognizing India’s internal challenges, such as power reliability and structural issues like caste and crony capitalism, which affect India’s ability to produce and export higher-value goods. - The broader takeaway is a vision of a more integrated multipolar Eurasia, where India’s leadership within BRICS/SC0 and its ability to create innovative economic arrangements—such as “resource bourses” or shared supply chains—could alter the balance of power and reduce dependency on U.S. policy dynamics. There is an emphasis on avoiding a new Cold War by fostering dialogue and joint governance mechanisms that include China, India, Russia, Brazil, South Africa, and other Global South actors. - The speakers close with a cautious optimism: 2026 could be better if nations learn to push back against coercive power, redefine security around development and governance rather than force, and pursue multipolar institutions that preserve autonomy while enabling peaceful competition. The expectation is that seeds of hope exist within these analyses, even as the present year has been challenging.

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America can print its own currency to pay off its debts, but African countries, whose debts are in US dollars, have to earn those dollars by exporting crops. The World Bank's principle is that countries should only grow export crops, not their own food. This ensures oversupply and low prices for tropical raw materials. African countries are forced to buy grain from the US or Europe, giving those countries control over them. If African countries do something the US doesn't like, they can be sanctioned and denied grain exports. Owning foreign debt in dollars means African countries have to sell what the US wants, not what they want. The speaker believes the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund are the most evil organizations in the world.

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Speaker 0: The United States just lost a war it didn't even know it was fighting. While Washington celebrates military victories and economic growth numbers, the real battlefield has shifted to the global payment system. This week, something unprecedented happened in the shadows of international finance. Brazil quietly activated the Brixbridge system. For the first time in eighty years, major economies completed cross-border transactions without touching a single US bank. The American media is not reporting this story, but I can tell you, as someone who spent decades inside the system, this is not just another trade deal. This is the financial equivalent of splitting the atom, and the explosion is coming. The United States has enjoyed what we call monetary imperialism for nearly a century. Every time you buy oil, coffee, or electronics anywhere in the world, those transactions flow through New York banks. Washington collects a tax on every trade, every investment, every breath of the global economy, but that monopoly just ended, and most people don't even realize it happened. My name is Paulo Nogueira Batista junior. I served as executive director at the International Monetary Fund. I sat across the table from finance ministers of collapsing nations. I know how empires fall. They don't collapse from outside invasions. They collapse when their money stops working. And the American money is about to stop working. And the explanation of what happened this week in Brazil: President Lula signed an executive order that sounds boring to most people, but this order just declared independence from The US financial system. Brazil can now trade directly with Russia, China, India, and South Africa using our own central bank digital currencies. No dollars. No swift system. No permission from Washington. Think about what our country has achieved. Every international bank transfer in the world flows through this Belgian company controlled by the US Treasury until now. Till the BRICS Bridge is not just an alternative to SWIFT. It is a declaration of war against monetary colonialism, and it's working. In November 2024, Russia and China settled $20,000,000,000 in bilateral trade using this new system. In December, India and Brazil completed energy transactions worth $15,000,000,000. By January 2025, South Africa joined the network. The numbers are still small compared to the global economy, but remember, every revolution starts with small numbers. The Internet started with a few university computers.

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America can print its own currency to pay debts, but African countries must earn US dollars to repay debts. The World Bank's principle discourages countries from growing their own food, pushing them to focus on export crops. This leaves them vulnerable to sanctions if they act against US interests. The speaker criticizes the World Bank and IMF as the most evil organizations. Translation: America can print money to pay debts, but African countries must earn US dollars to repay debts. The World Bank discourages countries from growing their own food, making them reliant on exports and vulnerable to sanctions. The speaker criticizes the World Bank and IMF as the most evil organizations.

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In this discussion, the guests analyze the implications of a United States military attack on Venezuela and its broader impact on Latin America, Asia, and the evolving world order. The Chilean ambassador to BRICS describes the event as a historic milestone: it is “the first time we have seen a US military attack on the South American mainland,” differing from past interventions in Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean. He notes that at a Saturday press conference, President Trump warned Colombia and Mexico that they might be next, and Secretary of State Rubio warned Cuba to watch out. This is presented as potentially the beginning of a larger shift, not an isolated incident like the 1989 invasion of Panama. The ambassador points to Trump’s 2025 national security doctrine, which places the Western Hemisphere at the center of US strategy, marking a significant departure from Bush’s focus on the Middle East and Obama’s pivot to Asia. He argues the motive is not humanitarian or stabilizing Latin America, but subjugation, resource extraction, and domination of governments in the region, a stance he characterizes as an attempt to reassert empire in the Western Hemisphere. On the macro level, the discussion addresses Latin America’s changing economic architecture, including a shift from the United States as the primary trading partner to China as a dominant partner for many countries. The US response, including the Venezuelan action, is framed as a mercantilist impulse to secure resources and influence, rather than a pro-democracy or pro-human rights initiative. The conversation emphasizes that the region’s instability is intertwined with oil, minerals, and strategic resources, and that the US move may be more about controlling these assets than about leaders’ legitimacy. The speakers then examine regional dynamics within Latin America. The region is fragmented, with SELAC (the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States) weak and unable to unify a response. Some governments—Argentina, Ecuador, the Dominican Republic, Panama, Costa Rica—have openly sided with the US, while others are more cautious about Maduro’s leadership. The ambassador reiterates that Maduro’s regime was unpopular domestically due to authoritarianism and incompetence, yet the US action targets Venezuela’s oil and sovereignty more than Maduro’s personal legitimacy. He suggests that anti-American sentiment could grow across the region, regardless of specific governments. A key theme is the emergence of BRICS as a counterweight to US hegemony. The ambassador notes that Trump has attacked BRICS members—South Africa, Brazil, and India—through trade measures and visa policies, highlighting BRICS’ rise with the New Development Bank and expanding membership (including Indonesia). He argues that BRICS represents a shift toward a multipolar world where the Global South seeks to diversify dependencies and leverage different centers of power. He differentiates BRICS from the Global South, describing BRICS as a forum aligned with Global South demands, while acknowledging that neither China nor Russia are part of the traditional Global South, though China and India are influential within BRICS. The conversation argues for active nonalignment as a guiding principle for the Global South in a multipolar order. The ambassador cites examples like Brazil under Lula who resisted US pressure, and contrasts European concessions in trade deals (e.g., the EU-US golf-course agreement) with the need for greater strategic autonomy. He asserts that Europe’s capitulation has weakened its economic and political independence, while Latin America must avoid overreliance on the US and diversify with China and other partners. He argues that the long-term consequences of US military actions could be counterproductive, weakening US standing and strengthening China’s position by eroding a sense of predictable community in the Americas. In closing, the ambassador emphasizes that the Maduro-led Venezuela episode underscores the rise of Asia, the relative decline and fragmentation of the West, and the importance of multipolarity for smaller and medium-sized states. He reiterates the value of active nonalignment as a compass for Latin America, Africa, and Asia in navigating a turbulent, power-shifting world. He and the host note that the discussion will extend to the ambassador’s work on active nonalignment and BRICS, with a link to his writings provided.

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Colonel Lawrence Wilkerson and Glenn discuss the trajectory of U.S. policy under Trump and the broader implications for the international order. Wilkerson argues that the postwar world order, built after World War II, is unraveling intentionally, driven by what he calls a disastrous blend of decision making and strategic aims. He faults Steve Miller’s comments on bases in Greenland and contends that the United States already had, historically, bases in Greenland and that current rhetoric reflects a Hobbesian view of a world governed by force rather than law. He attributes the drift to “the brains of some truly stupid people,” and notes that the guide for decision making is Trump’s morality, which Wilkerson asserts is deficient, shaping both domestic and international actions. On domestic policy and its international spillovers, Wilkerson cites the Minnesota situation as an example of how Trump’s approach translates into draconian, forceful actions at home. He contends that the “morality” guiding decisions in both spheres leads to a reckless use of force and an undermining of the rule of law. He emphasizes that the law disappears in the international sphere and domestic governance declines when empire comes home, suggesting that the United States is acting in ways that weaken rather than strengthen the rule of law globally. Turning to foreign policy, Wilkerson argues that America’s military posture is misposed and maldeployed. He questions why the United States maintains a large presence in the Caribbean and Gulf regions at a time when potential adversaries like China and Russia require attention elsewhere. He contends that the United States has a depleted carrier fleet and is not fulfilling presence missions or developing coherent war plans, raising concerns about the feasibility of any significant action against Iran. The discussion notes that an attack on Iran could be logistically problematic given the current force distribution, and Wilkerson fears the United States risks humiliation and strategic setback if it pursues major military action without a credible, well-deployed plan. The conversation shifts to the broader effects of U.S. strategy on global alignments. Wilkerson argues that Europe’s leaders have changed dramatically since the end of the Cold War, predicting that NATO may eventually fade as Europe develops its own security identity, a concept Powell explored historically. He cites Powell’s vision of a European security identity (ESI) separate from NATO, consisting of a modest European brigade that could grow into a fuller defense structure, potentially reducing Europe’s reliance on NATO and even integrating Russia gradually. He suggests Clinton’s era disrupted these ideas, with Serbia bombing and a shift toward a more aggressive line that drew Russia back into the geopolitical frame, complicating efforts to maintain a balanced, law-based security architecture. Powell’s long-term predictions about Europe’s leadership and the likelihood that Europe would be governed by leaders without the experience of warfare are discussed as prescient, though not realized. Wilkerson notes Powell’s belief that the center could not hold as NATO’s purpose evolved and leadership changed, leading to the potential dissolution of the NATO framework and the emergence of a European security identity. The conversation emphasizes that this shift would require a carefully calibrated approach to arms control, law, and alliance structures, rather than casting law aside in favor of a unilateral, morality-based approach to security. Regarding China and the future global order, Wilkerson aligns with Mearsheimer in predicting potential conflict with China, arguing that the combination of the U.S. unilateral approach, strategic competition, and the push toward a lawless, orderless world heightens the risk of a major confrontation. He asserts that China, studying U.S. behavior, would rather avoid a nuclear or conventional war and would seek to avoid destabilizing actions that could provoke a broader conflict. The discussion closes with reflections on U.S. regional influence, the BRICS movement, and the dollar’s reserve status. Wilkerson contends that the BRICS’ move toward dedollarization faced obstacles due to U.S. threats, and he notes China’s official stance against wanting to be the world’s reserve currency, warning that clinging to exclusive dominance harms global stability. He praises an earlier postwar framework grounded in law and international norms and laments its abandonment under current leadership, describing the present era as a disaster for both the United States and the wider world.

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Larry Johnson and Glenn discuss the shifting dynamics of the US dollar, the international financial system, and the rise of competing powers. - Johnson recalls the 1965 term exorbitant privilege describing the US dollar’s reserve-currency advantages. In 1971, the US closed the gold window, ending fixed gold value for the dollar; the dollar later became backed by “our promise,” enabling the petrodollar system as oil purchases were conducted in dollars. The dollar’s dominance rested on predictability, a stable legal system, and non-abusive use of the dollar as an economic tool rather than a political weapon. - Trump-era sanctions expanded broadly, impacting friends and adversaries alike, and BRICS nations began moving away from the dollar. Russia’s disconnection from SWIFT after its 2022 actions is noted as a turning point that encouraged the BRICS’ development of alternative financial infrastructure, including China’s cross-border interbank payment system (CIPS). This shift accelerates the decline of the dollar’s dominance. - Nations like Russia and China (and India, Brazil) are unloading US Treasuries and increasing gold and silver holdings. This is tied to concerns about the dollar’s reliability and the reduced faith in paper promises. The BRICS countries reportedly plan a currency tied to gold, with components of their reserves backing individual BRICS currencies, signaling a structural move away from the dollar. - The paper-gold issue is central: for every ounce of real gold, there is a range of 20-to-1 to 100-to-1 in paper gold. This disparity can undermine trust in the paper promise and create a run on physical gold. The price gap between New York (lower) and Shanghai (higher) for gold demonstrates a market dislocation and growing demand for physical metal. - Glenn emphasizes that a unipolar dollar system allows the US to run large deficits via inflation, which acts as a hidden tax on global dollar holders. Weaponizing the dollar through sanctions challenges trust and accelerates decoupling, prompting other nations to seek alternatives to reduce exposure. - Johnson argues that the US is confronting a historic realignment: the Bretton Woods order is dissolving, the dollar’s international dominance is waning, and sanctions and coercive policies are provoking pushback. He highlights Japan as a major remaining dollar treasuries holder that is now offloading, further increasing dollar supply and depressing its value. - The geopolitical implications are significant. Johnson warns that potential US actions against Iran—given their strategic position and the Gulf oil supply—could trigger a severe global disruption, including a price surge in oil. He notes that such actions would complicate global stability and magnify inflationary pressures. - The discussion also covers NATO’s cohesion, Western attempts to shape global alignments, and how rapidly shifting leverage could undermine existing alliances. Johnson suggests that Russia’s strategic gains in the war in Ukraine, combined with Western missteps, may prompt a rapid reevaluation of settlements and borders, while also noting that Russia’s position has hardened. - On Venezuela, Johnson argues that the stated pretexts (drug trafficking, oil control) were questionable and points to economic motives, including revenue opportunities for political allies like Paul Singer, and to Greenland’s strategic interests as possible motivators for US actions. - Looking ahead, Johnson predicts hyperinflation for the United States as the dollar loses value globally, while gold and silver retain value. He asserts that the ruble and yuan may hold value better, and that a mass shift toward de-dollarization is likely to continue, potentially culminating in a new multipolar financial order. - Both speakers agree that trust and predictability are crucial; the current trajectory—threats, sanctions, and unilateral actions—undermines trust and accelerates the move toward alternative currencies and stronger physical-commodity holdings. The overall tone is that a pivotal, watershed moment is unfolding in the global monetary system.

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Ironically, it’s happening organically outside of BRICS anyway. For example, Enbridge and Brazil trade with China 48% in non-dollar terms. Russia–China trade is 95% in rubles and renminbi. Russia also trades with India similarly. BRICS is not driving this alone; these are individual developments. BRICS, a bit more than a decade ago, was the first to implement a framework agreement between them to move toward using national currencies more. It was still a time of less turbulence in the international scene, and the move was not for each country at once but addressed different pockets of activity. China, at that point, not only advanced this BRICS framework agreement but also struck agreements with 22 countries outside BRICS to use the renminbi. Russia did not abandon the dollar; it started using its own currency and other currencies as well. The aim was not to be against the dollar but to avoid being ordered by others about what they should or should not do. This shift occurred before Trump, though Trump contributed to the trend as well; the speaker notes they cannot simply blame Biden. The era of dollar and SWIFT being used as a weapon began to become explicit. The claim is that the dollar was promoted as a public good available to everyone no matter what happened, and then that expectation was broken. Russia has faced the most sanctions, over 20,000 in total, and the speaker suggests there may be more to come. There is large pressure from the US on each country. The UAE is mentioned as being cautious about moving too far, but each BRICS member now understands that this could be turned against them as well. That awareness is driving the direction toward greater use of national currencies and non-dollar transactions.

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Speaker 0 argues that Venezuela may not want to ally with this Western form of economic exchange, noting they have tried to join BRICS twice but were vetoed by neighboring Brazil. They describe Venezuela as one of the few countries not controlled by private equity oligarchs and central banksters, and say Venezuela pushed back on a monetary exchange that relies on high-interest promissory notes back to Rothschild Boulevard, like Saddam Hussein, Bashar al-Assad, and Muammar Gaddafi. They claim Maduro has effectively been kidnapped, and that Trump said, “kidnapped is fine.” The question is how such events can be real and presented as beneficial to Americans, asserting that economically, there is no benefit to the average citizen or to national security, and that it puts the United States in more imminent, grave danger as the U.S. “agitates around the world,” including in relation to Israel’s enemies. Speaker 1 adds that there will be a political and economic reset, suggesting that silver and gold are at record highs and that gold and silver have tripled historically in short periods, leading to a system reset of sorts. They say Venezuela’s attempts to join the system were to be part of a new framework that Russia, China, Iran and BRICS were trying to create, which would go against the dollar as the global reserve currency and directly affect the U.S. economy. They ask whether this should change. Speaker 0 elaborates that the issue is about flipping countries into the same central banker–controlled monetary exchange system. Speaker 1 notes that Trump, from day one, warned that if you mess with the U.S. dollar or trade outside of the dollar, the U.S. will punish you via sanctions or strikes, and that this is what has been happening. They discuss the possibility that if the system resets and a combination of gold, silver, and possibly crypto or other minerals backs a new dollar or digital currency emerges, the entire game could reset and eliminate these types of issues. In such a scenario, countries might have a looser ability to choose or replace the type of system their country is under.

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Speaker 0 conveys a policy stance: 'When I came in, the first thing I said is any BRICS state that even mentions the destruction of the dollar will be charged a 150% tariff, and we don't want your goods. We don't wanna partake. And' The central assertion is that any BRICS state mentioning the destruction of the dollar would incur a 150% tariff, with the speaker stating they do not want the goods or participation from those states. The transcript ends with an unfinished conjunction, 'And', suggesting the thought continued beyond the excerpt. The excerpt provided ends abruptly, with 'And' indicating continuation.

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Rick and the other speaker discuss using financial warfare to destabilize Venezuela and Brazil and to influence the outcome in Ukraine with a projection of oil at $20 per barrel. They propose that a $20 oil price would grab Putin’s attention more than any weapon system. Venezuela is described as utterly dependent on oil, Brazil as dependent as well, making them vulnerable targets for financial pressure. They consider bombing labs and cartel depots in Venezuela but argue that financial techniques are the number one option, with the potential to destabilize both countries without kinetic action. The other speaker questions the practicality and broader consequences, noting that at $20 per barrel, frackers could be bankrupted and Saudi Arabia’s economic model—driven by high lifting costs and survival needs—could be jeopardized, suggesting that domino effects could occur beyond Maduro’s government. Rick responds that there are many approaches beyond bombing, and reinforces that oil prices could drop for reasons unrelated to financial warfare, which could still pressure the targets. He argues that oil may head toward low prices anyway and that there are numerous techniques—banking system disruption, hacking, power grid interference—that could destabilize these nations. He points to Russia as an example where sanctions or pressure did not fully work due to Russia’s alliances, resources, and China ties, while noting Brazil is more vulnerable and Venezuela absolutely vulnerable. They also touch on geopolitical dynamics: they agree with Brazil’s direction and Bolsonaro’s situation, signaling support for active measures against those trends. They emphasize that these measures do not need to involve bombs or kinetic methods, highlighting that powerful financial techniques can be used to achieve strategic goals. The conversation closes with a reaffirmation that aggressive financial strategies could be employed to influence both countries and, indirectly, the broader geopolitical landscape, including actions related to Ukraine.

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Secretary Yellen issued special drawing rights worth $18 billion to Vladimir Putin without explaining why she didn't use the funds to help poor countries with vaccines. Most of these special drawing rights went to wealthy countries, leaving smaller countries with very little. The IMF and Secretary Yellen remained silent on the matter, raising questions about their actions.

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The speaker discusses the expansion of the BRICS group, which now includes Argentina, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, and UAE. They argue that the BRICS countries are becoming increasingly influential in the global economy, with a larger share of global GDP and oil production compared to the G7. The speaker also highlights the strategic trade routes controlled by BRICS and their goal of settling trades in local currencies to bypass the US dollar. They emphasize that BRICS aims for economic sovereignty and independence from the US, particularly due to the weaponization of the dollar. The speaker acknowledges that there are challenges to overcome, but believes recent events have motivated BRICS to take action.

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Pepe Escobar and Glenn discuss the Iran situation amid escalating US-Israeli pressure and Iran’s response. Key points: - Iran as “the holy grail” in US policy: Iran has long been seen as the ultimate target within a broader project that includes Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, and Iran, with the goal of reshaping West Asia and advancing a Greater Israel concept. The project dates back to at least the nineties, with frameworks like the Project for the New American Century and Clean Break cited as influencing DC thinking. - War planning and messaging: The war was described as planned for decades, with Iran identified as the likely target when other measures failed. The Trump administration reportedly pressed forward, and the “barbarian baboon in the White House” metaphor is used to underscore perceived Zionist influence and financial beneficiaries around the war. - Domestic US-financial dynamics: The war’s perceived profitability for insiders is highlighted, naming Jared Kushner, Ivanka Trump, Steve Lutnick, and others as profiting from related moves. The discussion emphasizes that financial markets (bond yields, gold, oil) influence US decisions, with high bond yields constraining US action. - Iranian strategic posture: Iran’s leaders reportedly signaled that there are no conversations with the US at the moment, and that a deal is impossible given the lists of demands from both sides. The Iranians have shifted from defense to offense, with missiles and drones increasingly employed. - Iranian deterrence and capabilities: The talk notes Iran’s use of missiles such as the Khorramshahr 4 and Fateh-2, with added emphasis on underground missile cities in the Sistan Baluchistan region and near the Afghan border. Iran’s deterrence is described as decentralized and mosaic, enabling precise targeting and escalation control. The Iranian approach includes limiting attacks to dual-use civilian infrastructure in Israel while avoiding civilianTargeted attacks in Iran, and threatening Dimona if Natanz is bombed. - Israeli and Iranian targeting: Iran has begun to attack civilian dual-use infrastructure in Israel and is targeting Haifa refineries and military installations near Ben Gurion Airport, while Israel continues to strike near Natanz and other Iranian sites. The balance of escalation is framed as a deterrence dynamic, with both sides escalating in different ways. - International alignment and support: Russia and China are described as backing Iran diplomatically and with intelligence support, including satellite intel and the movement of Iranian Shahids between Russia and Iran. The three BRICS actors—Russia, China, and Iran—are cited as central to a multipolar Eurasian integration project, with BRICS described as currently comatose or nonfunctional due to internal divisions and external pressures (e.g., UAE and India’s actions). - BRICS and SCO status: The Shanghai Cooperation Organization released a weak statement; BRICS is portrayed as having internal problems, with India’s actions, especially in relation to Iran, criticized as betrayals from many countries. Russia and China are positioned as active backers of Iran, while BRICS’s future is uncertain. - Iran’s regional strategy and neighbors: The discussion covers Azerbaijan, Turkey, and India’s roles. Azerbaijan could be drawn into potential conflicts, with Iran warning that involvement could bring severe consequences. Turkey is described as hedging and pursuing its own strategy; Erdogan’s stance is viewed as unreliable. India’s involvement is criticized for inviting Iran to participate in naval exercises and later backing away from condemning US actions against Iran, while still seeking to preserve a Middle East corridor aligned with energy and transport routes. - Long-term outlook: Iran is portrayed as fighting for the global South with Russia and China, challenging Western-dominated orders. The potential for a postwar settlement remains remote, given the Iranians’ demands (no more US bases in West Asia, reparations, no sanctions). Mediation is considered unlikely unless Russia intervenes as a mediator. The conversation concludes with the view that Iran’s resistance, continuity through leadership like the IRGC, and soft-power appeal have changed global perceptions, while the broader Eurasian integration project remains dependent on Iran, Russia, and China. - Closing note: The participants reflect on the costs and uncertainty of the conflict, noting that ending the crisis will require navigating deep geopolitical fault lines, including Azerbaijan and the broader energy architecture of Eurasia.

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We will discuss the entry of new countries and I believe that if they comply with the established rules, we will accept their entry. Our president, Luiz Inácio Lourenço, has traveled to Saudi Arabia and I support the idea of having our own currency for trade between countries. Why does Brazil need the dollar to trade with China or Argentina? We can use our own currencies. Additionally, I think the BRICS Bank should be more effective and generous than the IMF. The bank exists to help save countries, not to establish them, which is what the IMF often does.

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The speaker discusses various points from the BRICS meeting. They mention their support for the open and fair multilateral trading system, as well as a strong global financial safety net centered around the IMF. They also condemn terrorism in all its forms, but the speaker suggests that terrorism is often used as a tool by certain leaders to create problems and justify measures. They mention examples such as the Moscow bombings in 2001 and the creation of the Muslim Brotherhood in 1928, suggesting involvement by the CIA and British intelligence. The speaker finds it interesting that the BRICS leaders believe in the threat of terrorism despite its alleged manipulation. They briefly mention the Bataclan incident but don't elaborate.

Tucker Carlson

Gold, Crypto, the Debt Crisis, and How to Survive When the US Needs a Bailout
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The episode opens with a reflection on how money shapes global outcomes more than ideology, setting the stage for a wide‑ranging conversation about debt, currency, and policy. The guest, a veteran debt trader, walks through the mechanics of emerging markets debt, explaining how regimes like the Brady Plan created a framework to move risky loans off bank balance sheets by attaching them to US Treasuries. He describes how sovereign and quasi‑sovereign debt evolved into a global asset class that opened access to a broad investor base, from Eurobonds to local currency issuances, and how crises in the 1990s and 2000s repeatedly demonstrated the power of “bazookas”—large bailouts and swap lines—to restore market confidence, often after long, painful transitions. The IMF is explained as a backstop that aims to stabilize economies through austerity and reform, though the guest questions its long‑term effectiveness, noting how domestic politics and repeated bailouts complicate genuine economic resilience in many countries. As the discussion deepens, they explore the dynamics of the U.S. reserve currency, the role of military power in sustaining that privilege, and the unsettling precedent set by sanctioning assets during international conflicts, which could drive a shift toward gold or other hedges. The conversation then pivots to how markets function today, including the concentration risk in equities, the explosive growth of options trading, and the rise of passive investing that tips the scales toward a few megacap stocks. The guest argues that this dynamic, combined with heavy capital expenditure by AI and data‑center companies, creates structural vulnerabilities if one or two large names lose momentum. They critique ESG and other external constraints as distortions in fiduciary decision‑making and warn that excessive regulation can dampen the very innovation that keeps the market vibrant. The dialogue also covers the practicalities of hedging and diversification, with recommendations toward gold, silver, foreign markets, and productive real estate as potential shields against systemic risk. A substantial portion of the talk is devoted to the future of money, including crypto, stablecoins, and tokenization as a way to democratize finance, potentially changing how assets are priced, settled, and regulated. The discussion culminates in a nuanced view of how technology, policy, and global capital flows will interact in the coming years, raising questions about energy needs, credit cycles, and the endurance of the dollar’s primacy, while insisting that history shows economies can muddle through crises with the right mix of risk management and resilience.

Shawn Ryan Show

Erik Bethel - World Bank Director | #144
Guests: Erik Bethel
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Eric Bethel, a global finance professional, discusses his extensive career, including his role as the US ambassador to Panama and his work at the World Bank, where he helped deploy over $100 billion in capital. He expresses concerns about data privacy, particularly regarding companies like TikTok, which he believes collects intrusive information on users, especially children. Bethel emphasizes the importance of privacy and shares his use of secure communication tools like Signal and the Brave browser. He explains the World Bank's mission to eliminate poverty and promote shared prosperity, detailing its structure as a multilateral institution owned by various countries. Bethel highlights the misalignment of incentives within the World Bank, where countries may prefer grants over loans, leading to a lack of motivation to graduate from poverty. He suggests that a restructuring of incentives could better align the interests of the bank and the countries it serves. Bethel also discusses the geopolitical landscape, particularly regarding China, which he views as a significant adversary. He notes that China has been a major recipient of World Bank loans despite being a developed nation and raises concerns about the implications of this for global power dynamics. He points out that China’s economic growth has led to its increasing influence in international institutions and its ability to win procurement contracts from the World Bank. He shares insights into the potential dangers of central bank digital currencies, particularly those modeled after China's system, which he believes could infringe on individual freedoms. Bethel advocates for a decentralized digital currency that protects privacy and autonomy. Bethel recounts his upbringing in Miami, shaped by his family's Cuban heritage and his father's work as a US diplomat. He reflects on his education at the Naval Academy and his transition into finance, where he worked at firms like Morgan Stanley and Franklin Templeton before joining the World Bank. He expresses optimism about the American entrepreneurial spirit and discusses his current work with a venture capital fund focused on maritime sustainability. Bethel highlights the importance of technology in improving commercial shipping efficiency, promoting sustainability, and enhancing national security. In conclusion, Bethel emphasizes the need for the US to strengthen its manufacturing base and energy independence while remaining vigilant against adversarial influences, particularly from China. He believes that with the right leadership and a return to core values, America can navigate its challenges and continue to thrive.
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