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Ryan explains the observations about the violence in Rafa, referring to a map of the Rafa site.
On Sunday, the IDF reported an RPG attack at Rafa Airport, which has not operated for some time. They also said snipers appeared, the IDF was trying to clear a tunnel, and that some fighters might be hiding in that tunnel. The key point, according to Ryan, is how far Rafa Airport is behind enemy lines, with IDF positions nearby and extensive rubble all around, and no tunnel network connecting Rafa to the rest of Gaza. This leads to two possibilities if the IDF story is accurate: either Hamas fighters managed to move through the rubble for kilometers to ambush from behind the lines, or they have been hiding in a tunnel for eight months since the area has been under IDF control for roughly eight months, raising questions about how they would be provisioned (food and water).
Ryan then relays information from a source familiar with the situation who says that shortly after the attack, American intelligence indicated that a bulldozer operated by a settler company that has been destroying homes in Rafa ran over either unexploded ordinance or some improvised explosive device that had not detonated during the fighting in Rafa many months ago, and that the United States relayed this intel to Israel. He notes that there is a large stock of IDs and a large amount of unexploded ordnance from shells and bombs that did not explode, and that a bulldozer hitting such ordnance could cause an explosion.
Ryan adds a fine point: if this account is true, it would suggest White House officials believe Israel lied to them. He states that they “believe” this, and when they conveyed that they knew what had happened, Netanyahu responded by reopening the crossings. Netanyahu had previously said that because of the attack, all crossings would be closed with no food or medicine entering. After the White House’s message related to Israel, Netanyahu announced the crossings would be reopened on Monday morning, just a few hours later due to the time difference. The closure and then rapid reversal are highlighted as a consequence of the White House’s position.
The discussion then returns to whether US officials “called Netanyahu out” and whether Netanyahu’s initial story about the violence was challenged, leading to the reversal of the crossing closures.