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In a Ukrainian village, a column of Russian military vehicles was stopped by Ukrainian security forces. There were damaged Russian vehicles in the area, leading to questions about who was responsible. The damaged vehicles were attributed to Ukrainian artillery, while the bombing of the village was attributed to Russia. The discussion highlights the conflicting narratives surrounding the events in the village.

Gilbert Doktorov and the host discuss the recent Russian strike aimed at Lvov, using Soreshnik (Arashnik) missiles, and what it signals about NATO, Western responses, and the trajectory of the war. - Initial facts and uncertainties about the strike: The Russians did not provide a clear description of what they did or where. Doktorov says it’s unclear whether at least one or six to nine missiles were fired, and whether the targets included the largest single gas storage facility in Ukraine. He notes that if a gas storage facility were hit, it would imply enormous destruction and heat Ukraine’s heating, but no confirmation has been given about the exact damage or targets. Reports indicate several missiles were released, but the exact number and impact remain uncertain. A Ukrainian gas storage target would have produced a large explosion if hit. - Context of the attack: The strike was not isolated; it occurred amid drones, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles hitting multiple cities, including Kyiv. Zelensky urged Ukrainians to stay indoors, suggesting the Russians intended a larger attack. Doktorov argues this demonstrates Russian confidence that their weapons cannot be stopped by existing air defenses. He contends the attack serves as a message to the West, downplaying the significance of Western “domes” or defenses. - Western and Ukrainian reactions: Ukraine’s foreign minister called for a United Nations Security Council meeting, signaling seriousness. Ukraine’s leadership framed the strike as a response to Western provocations and ongoing escalations. - Arashnik weapon system and balance of power: There is discussion about whether Arashnik missiles have multiple warheads or dummy warheads, and how many were launched. The conversation notes that Russia’s use of the weapon, and the surrounding firepower (drones, missiles), are part of a broader strategy to exert pressure on the region and test Western defenses. - Domestic Russian dynamics and deterrence: Doktorov suggests the strike reflects pressure from within Moscow by hardliners who want a stronger, more forceful stance. He contrasts Putin’s leadership with Khrushchev, arguing Khrushchev was decisive and provocative, while Putin has been more restrained but could be compelled to show force by hardline factions. The conversation links recent events (attack on Putin’s residence, the northern energy and military infrastructure strikes, and the broadened use of missiles) to a perceived revival of Russian deterrence. - Role of the United States and Trump: The discussion covers the U.S. role and ambiguities surrounding Trump, including speculation that Trump’s policies may be both deceptive and strategic. They reference reports about Trump’s possible green light for attacks on Russian tankers and the broader implications for NATO and European security. The Financial Times editorial is cited as considering incentives and pushback to manage Trump’s Greenland agenda, suggesting Europe’s limited leverage over Trump, who could push to dissolve or weaken NATO rather than sustain it. - European strategic responses and deterrence: The editors discuss possible European tactics to counter Trump (e.g., threatening to expel U.S. troops), while recognizing that many Europeans prefer to keep U.S. military presence. They debate whether Trump’s aims include breaking NATO or extracting concessions, and consider whether European states will push back or acquiesce to U.S. leadership. - Prospects for peace and endgame: The speakers debate whether negotiations remain possible or are now merely for optics. They discuss whether a direct war between Russia and NATO could emerge if Russia escalates further, especially with energy infrastructure and civilizational effects in Ukraine. They foresee a likely “frozen conflict” outcome, with Russia annexing territories east of the Dnieper and Odessa, leaving Ukraine landlocked and largely excluded from NATO and EU integration, while warning that Western military presence and support could trigger direct confrontation if Russia chooses to escalate. - Civilians and dislocation: They emphasize that as the war intensifies, civilian suffering will grow, with mass displacement and humanitarian crises likely, particularly if Kyiv and other cities become uninhabitable due to outages and destruction. - Overall tone: The discussion underscores deep uncertainty, strategic signaling, and the perception that both Western policies and Russian deterrence are shifting in ways that could escalate or reshape the conflict, with no clear, imminent path to a settlement.

New York Times investigation says the last known missile fired by the United States in the Afghan war on August 29, which the Biden administration called a righteous strike, might have killed 10 innocent people, including seven children and a USA worker. The report shows video of Zamari Ahmadi loading canisters of water into his trunk to bring to his family, while the US military was surveilling him and thought those jugs could be explosives and that Ahmadi was communicating with Isis. The US launched a hellfire missile, obliterating the car in a dense residential neighborhood. Witnesses say Ahmadi had multiple passengers and was not related to Isis; the Times tallies 10 innocent people killed. Amadi had worked as an electrical engineer since 2006 for a California based aid and lobbying group, and his family insists he was innocent and applied for a refugee settlement in the United States.

Mario and Larry discuss a high-tension incident: a claimed Ukrainian attack on one of Vladimir Putin’s residences in Novgorod with about 90 long-range drones, reported by Russia as an act of terrorism, with Lavrov pledging retaliation and a Kremlin aide claiming Putin mentioned timing for strikes after a call to Trump. They note there is no proof provided of damage or casualties, and no confirmation from the US side. The conversation covers who might be responsible—Ukraine, Russia as a false flag, or other actors—and the implications for ongoing negotiations. Larry outlines the timeline as presented by the Russians: the attack supposedly occurred the night of the 28th into the 29th, with Putin informing Trump about it within the last six hours; there were additional conversations today, including Putin’s remarks to Zelensky in Florida and a meeting in which Lavrov indicated retaliatory options were set. He emphasizes the Russians treat it as terrorism and notes Putin has not lived at his residences for years, instead using the Kremlin, and that the targeted location was symbolic or an assassination attempt. He recalls past Ukrainian incidents against Putin (e.g., Kursk helicopter episode) and observes that Russia has historically focused on military targets rather than civilians, contrasting with Ukrainian strikes on civilian targets in Donbas. He suggests the incident could be used to undermine Ukrainian credibility in negotiations or to accelerate Russian military actions. Mario questions the motive if Ukraine targeted a residence Putin doesn’t regularly inhabit and ponders whether this helps or harms Trump’s peace aims. He references Budanov’s prior statements about attempted Ukrainian hits on Putin and notes Budanov’s alleged CIA alignment. He raises concerns about possible internal US intelligence conflict with Trump and cites a veteran’s observation about shifts in US media and intelligence narratives. He also notes Zelensky’s insistence on no territorial concessions, and Russia’s insistence that Crimea, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, Donetsk, and Luhansk be permanently part of the Russian Federation with elections to legitimize any future arrangements, and to have NATO out of Ukraine—conditions not open to negotiation. They debate whether the attack could be a false flag or staged by Western intelligence, with Larry pointing out that proof or radar data could settle the question: if 91 drones were fired from Ukrainian territory, radar evidence would exist; if Russia staged it, they would need to show what was shot down. They discuss Ukraine’s record of attacks on Russian targets (e.g., Crocus Theater attack, the Darya Dugin assassination attempt, the 2023 journalist killing with an exploding statue head) and Russia’s countermeasures, including potential hits on Ukrainian intelligence facilities like the SBU headquarters in Kyiv. Larry asserts that retaliatory actions could reveal who is behind the attack, suggesting Russia might target the Ureshnik missile system or European assets if warranted by evidence and strategic aims. The pair analyzes ongoing battlefield developments: Russia has intensified manpower and now reportedly fields over a million troops with eight active axes, while Ukraine faces mounting pressure; independent assessments indicate more Russian territorial gains in 2023–2024, including Pokrovsk and Mykolaiv region advances, with Zaporizhzhia looming as a critical front. They contrast propaganda effectiveness: Ukraine often dominates information warfare, while Russia’s messaging lags. They discuss a potential peace process: Trump’s outreach, Zelensky’s in-person engagement with Wittkopf and Kushner, and the prospect of security guarantees for Ukraine in a postwar scenario, with Trump claiming possible postwar support—discounting questions about whether Congress would ratify any deal, given prevailing anti-Russian sentiment in the US. Larry concludes that the attack will impact negotiations, though he believes negotiations are already off track because Ukraine resists concessions while Russia maintains strict non-negotiable stances on Crimea and other territories, NATO removal, and demilitarization. He suggests Lavrov’s swift public reaction and anticipated significant retaliation—possibly targeting Ukrainian or European intelligence assets—could shape the trajectory of the conflict and the negotiations. The conversation ends with a note that they expect further developments after New Year’s, and that the true responsibility attribution may become clearer through Russia’s specific retaliatory actions.

Speaker 0: Every Russian missile brings terror as it claims over 30 lives in just one night. This war destroys infrastructure and today in Kherson, rescuers were harmed due to shelling.

Speaker 0: Russian rockets continue to cause fear and destruction. Over 30 lives were lost just last night. This is the reality of war. Today, in Kherson, rescue workers were injured due to shelling.

This morning it appears the Khokovka Dam in Southern Ukraine was blown up, which is an act of terrorism, not a military tactic. The dam was effectively Russian, in Russian-controlled territory, and supplied water to Crimea. Ukraine had previously considered destroying it. It's likely the Ukrainians blew it up, just like they blew up Nord Stream. The media immediately blamed Putin, claiming he's simply evil. They ignore the possibility of Ukrainian involvement, portraying Zelenskyy as a saint. Lindsey Graham was recently seen celebrating the killing of Russians with Zelenskyy. We're told to blindly support Ukraine because it's "in our best interest," a tautology. The media lies and ignores important stories. A whistleblower revealed the US government has evidence of crashed alien aircraft, but major news outlets ignored it. We're manipulated by lies and silenced by taboos. That's why we are coming to Twitter, hoping for a platform free from gatekeepers.

The explosion at a hospital in Gaza City during Joe Biden's Middle East visit sparked a global debate. Audio and photographic analysis shed new light on the incident. The audio analysis revealed that the missile came from various possible firing points, contradicting the Israeli Defense Forces' claim. The tape released by the IDF, allegedly featuring Hamas operatives discussing the incident, was found to be digitally manipulated and lacking credibility. Image analysis conducted by Forensic Architecture at London University supported the audio analysis, concluding that the missile was fired from the northeast, not the southwest as claimed by the IDF. Hamas and Islamic Jihad have provided little evidence to support their claims, while the US supports Israel's version of events. A full inquiry is called for, but unlikely during the ongoing conflict.

Ukrainian authorities attempted to target the separatist-held area but accidentally hit civilian areas, including a hospital and residential buildings. The attacks caused significant damage, with multiple floors and buildings being destroyed. The residents expressed their frustration and fear, as their homes were destroyed and their lives were put at risk. The Ukrainian army's actions were criticized for endangering innocent lives and lacking proper targeting.

A suspected female assassin enters a cafe where a pro Putin blogger is speaking. She hands him a statue of himself, claiming to be an artist depicting heroes of Putin's military operation. As she leaves, the statue explodes, killing the blogger and injuring 32 others. The Russian FSB quickly blames Ukraine for organizing the attack and arrests the 26-year-old woman. She had been previously arrested for attending an anti-war protest.

On October 17, 2023, a bomb hit Al Aqly Baptist Hospital in Gaza City, causing significant casualties. Israel and Hamas deny responsibility. A weapons expert and US army veteran analyzed the claims made by Israel. The video of the attack has been verified as a JDAM strike by The Washington Post. The expert explains that the sound signature and precision of the strike indicate a guided munition. The expert also dismisses the possibility of the rocket coming from Hamas, as their rockets are smaller and produce less sound. He further refutes the claim that the rocket failed in the air, stating that failed rockets have a different explosion pattern. The expert suggests that the strike was intentional, despite the hospital being bombed just two days prior.

Larry: Lavrov claimed Ukraine attempted to attack Putin’s official residence in Novgorod with around 91 long-range drones in December; allegedly all intercepted, no proof provided, no reported injuries or damage. Lavrov said retaliation is coming, targets for retaliatory strikes and timing had been set. Putin supposedly mentioned this on a call to Trump two days before the Zelensky meeting in Florida; Yuri, a Kremlin aide, said Putin was shocked and outraged, and that it would influence Washington’s approach to working with Zelensky. Russians claim Trump was relieved that no Tomahawk missiles were provided to Ukraine. No US confirmation; Trump described the meeting with Putin as very productive, and discussions included the temporary ceasefire not being an option. Budanov had suggested it wouldn’t be the first assassination attempt on Putin, but the most consequential due to timing. The question posed: who is the target—Ukraine, Zelensky, Budanov—or a Russian false flag to justify attacks and derail negotiations. Speaker 1: Timelines. The attack allegedly began the night of the 28th and continued into the 29th. The Russians say it was an attack on one of Putin’s residences, described as terrorism. Putin hasn’t lived at his residences for three years, using the Kremlin instead, but this is not the first Ukrainian attempt to target Putin; there was a proposed attack when he flew into Kursk by helicopter. Russians are upset that this attack had no military objective, only potential assassination, and they know Putin wasn’t there. The Russians view it as real and plan to respond; Lavrov indicated that negotiations would be reexamined. Budanov claims Ukrainian intelligence has targeted Putin multiple times; the attack timing coincides with Zelensky in Florida, suggesting possible rifts or risk of undermining negotiations. The possibility of Western (American or British) intelligence involvement is raised, with speculation about CIA influence or European intelligence, particularly Britain’s MI6, given its Ukrainian roots. The question remains whether the attack was staged to derail negotiations or a genuine strike. Larry: If Ukraine did this, why would they? Ukraine might want to eliminate an obstacle to peace, though that could backfire; some argue Putin is more restrained than any immediate successor. If 91 drones were launched, Western intelligence would likely be involved, possibly undermining Trump’s approach. There is a sense of mixed messages from U.S. intelligence, with individuals like Susan Miller pushing claims of Russian interference that contradict other narratives. Zelensky stated no territory would be ceded as part of negotiations; Russia’s position is that Crimea, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, Donetsk, and Luhansk must be permanently part of the Russian Federation, elections must occur in Ukraine before negotiations, NATO must be out of Ukraine, and demilitarization is non-negotiable. Russia suggests there will be no 800,000-man army; these conditions are not open for negotiation. Russia may be willing to discuss numbers of troops for Ukraine, but not to concede core territorial goals. Speaker 0: If CIA or other elements were behind this, could it be to undermine Trump or push for a peace deal by pressuring Putin? Putin showed up in uniform with the military leadership, signaling a hard stance on land/territory, stating that negotiations should proceed without ceasing. Some argue this would trigger a stronger Russian push, while others see this as undermining Trump’s efforts. Trump and Zelensky had discussed a peace plan with 90-95% agreement, with a few thorny issues, possibly territorial. Trump characterized their call as productive; Russia reportedly agreed to support Ukraine postwar with discounted energy and resources. Lavrov’s rapid response to the attack and the potential retaliation would affect ongoing negotiations, which some view as already derailed due to Ukraine’s intransigence on concessions. Speaker 1: Could European intelligence be involved? Britain’s MI6 is seen as critical; there is a suggestion that British intelligence could have acted without American consultation. This would strain relations with Trump, especially after new security strategy. The transcript also notes a broader shift in Western posture: some European leaders are pushing for stronger defense and a more independent European stance, which might influence the dynamic around negotiations and intelligence actions. Speaker 0: Zelensky’s Christmas remark, “may he perish,” followed by an attack on Putin’s residence, prompts questions about who’s pulling Zelensky’s strings. Zelensky is described as the “highest paid actor in the world” with large sums allegedly pilfered from Ukraine’s aid; Zelensky could be expendable to those steering Ukraine’s direction. The meeting in Mar-a-Lago between Zelensky, Trump, and others occurred while the Putin residence attack was underway, suggesting an attempt to undermine negotiations. Budanov’s connection to the CIA and potential independent actions by Ukrainian intelligence raise further concerns about internal Ukrainian divisions. Speaker 1: Russia’s potential retaliation could target Ukrainian intelligence assets like the SBU headquarters in Kyiv, or European assets inside Ukraine if evidence points to Western involvement. Russia’s current military actions include continuing strikes on power infrastructure, with movements in Zaporizhzhia and around Kherson, indicating an axis of attack. Independently, Russia claims significant ground progress; Ukraine counters with claims of selective advances by Russia and a favorable propaganda edge for Ukraine. The battlefield metrics show Russia increasing manpower and maintaining multiple axes of attack, with eight or more fronts, while Ukrainian recoveries of bodies show a ratio suggesting heavy Ukrainian losses. Speaker 0: The conversation ends with expectations for retaliation, possible new European involvement, and the enduring fear that negotiations remain unsettled. The next days could reveal more about who is behind the attack, how Russia responds, and whether a path to peace remains possible, given the conflicting narratives and competing strategic interests.

Trump said Putin is crazy, but he hadn't been told about the drone attack, an attempt to assassinate Putin. Since May 19, there have been 7 to 11 drone attacks into Russia proper, inevitably carried out with the assistance of western intelligence. This explains why Putin ordered the military to retaliate and strike back at Ukraine. The attack targeted military installations. Over 83 ballistic missiles and over 700 Russian missiles and drones were fired, but there were only 30 civilian casualties. With that amount of firepower, civilian casualties would be in the thousands if Russia was targeting civilians. The Russian defense ministry is trying to explain why they're doing what they're doing.

On October 17, 2023, the Alakhli Arab Hospital in Gaza was bombed, resulting in the death of 100 Palestinians. Gaza officials blame Israel for the attack, while the Israeli army denies responsibility, claiming it was due to a failed rocket launch by the Palestinian Islamic Jihad. Al Jazeera broadcasted the incident live, providing evidence of the events. Al Jazeera's digital investigations team analyzed the footage and established a timeline. They identified four Israeli airstrikes near the hospital, as well as rocket launches from Gaza intercepted by the Iron Dome. The last rocket launched from Gaza was intercepted, and shortly after, an explosion hit the hospital. The Israeli army's claim of a failed rocket launch causing the hospital strike was found to be unsupported by the investigation.

After Russia invaded Ukraine, the Nord Stream pipelines exploded under the Baltic Sea. Investigative journalist Seymour Hersh revealed that the US and CIA blew up the pipelines to stop Russian gas supplies to Germany. The US wanted to promote its own gas exports to Europe. The operation involved planting bombs during NATO drills and detonating them remotely. The destruction of the pipelines led to increased gas prices in Europe, benefiting US gas producers. The US government's massive financial aid to Ukraine is also questioned.

The mayor of Bucha initially reported the city was free from Russian troops without mentioning any tragedies. A city council deputy later urged residents to stay indoors during a military sweep, still not mentioning any atrocities. Days later, she mentioned bodies in an interview. The Ukrainian National Police released a video of a sweep in Bucha without mentioning bodies. Reports of bodies only surfaced when the Ukrainian military and media arrived, suggesting a coordinated effort to create a dramatic narrative. Translation: The mayor and city council deputy of Bucha did not mention atrocities initially, but later reports of bodies emerged coinciding with the arrival of the Ukrainian military and media.

A leaked document revealed that the government had vital information that they claimed was so important, yet they were unaware it was missing until it was published by The Guardian. The interesting part is that three high-level US officials initially suggested that the leak had the hallmarks of Russian disinformation. The documents also revealed that NATO and US military were assisting Ukraine, with the UK having the largest contingent. This information is likely to be used by Moscow to argue that they are not only confronting Ukraine but also NATO.

There is mistrust towards the Israeli and US governments due to past instances of misinformation. People are skeptical and want an international investigation to determine the truth. However, the US government does not believe it is appropriate at this time. The Israeli government has provided evidence supporting their claim that the hospital attack was a misfire from Gaza. In contrast, Hamas has made a claim without any evidence. It is unfortunate that many believe the terrorist organization's claim over the Israeli government's evidence. The US government is conducting its own assessment.

Hamas and Israel are in disagreement over the authenticity of a video showing two alleged Hamas operatives discussing an attack. Hamas and independent Arab journalists claim the video is a fabrication due to various linguistic factors. Israel, on the other hand, asserts that the missile fired by Islamic Jihad originated from a cemetery near a hospital. However, upon closer examination of the video, the missile's trajectory does not align with this location. The Israelis also suggest that the missile was fired from a southwestern location, contradicting their previous claim. Islamic Jihad maintains that it was an Israeli missile but has not provided evidence to support this.

On September 6th, a tragic incident occurred in Constantineivka, Ukraine, where 16 civilians, including a child, were killed and 30 others injured. Initially, President Zelensky blamed Russian terrorists for targeting the market, and the international community condemned the attack. However, a thorough investigation by journalists from The New York Times reveals that the missile actually originated from Ukraine. Evidence includes on-site findings, analysis of surveillance footage, and the discovery of burn marks near a village northwest of Constantineivka. This revelation challenges previous accusations against Russia and raises questions about the true perpetrators of the attack.

Hamas and Israel are in disagreement over the authenticity of a video showing two alleged Hamas operatives discussing an attack. Hamas dismisses it as a fabrication, supported by independent Arab journalists who question the credibility of the video's language and tone. Israel, on the other hand, claims that the missile fired by Islamic Jihad originated from a cemetery near a hospital. However, upon closer examination, the missile's trajectory does not align with this location. Israel's presentation also contradicts itself by suggesting the missile was fired from a southwestern location. Islamic Jihad maintains that it was an Israeli missile but has not provided evidence to support their claim.

On October 17, 2023, the Alakhli Arab Hospital in Gaza was bombed, resulting in numerous Palestinian casualties. Gaza officials blame an Israeli air strike, while the Israeli army denies responsibility, claiming it was a failed rocket launch by the Palestinian Islamic Jihad. Al Jazeera broadcasted live footage that allegedly supports the Israeli army's claims. However, an investigation by SANAD's digital investigations team analyzed multiple videos, including Al Jazeera's livestream, and established a timeline of events. The team identified four Israeli air strikes near the hospital and cross-referenced the footage with another video showing rocket launches from Gaza. The investigation concluded that the Israeli army's claim of a failed rocket launch causing the hospital strike had no basis.

The explosion at a hospital in Gaza City during Joe Biden's Middle East visit sparked a global debate. Audio and photographic analysis shed new light on the incident. The audio analysis, conducted by a consortium of NGOs, used Doppler effect sound analysis to track the missile. It concluded that the missile came from various possible firing points east of the hospital, contradicting the IDF's claim. Forensic Architecture at London University conducted image analysis, which matched the audio analysis, suggesting the missile was fired from the northeast. However, this is a preliminary investigation, and a full inquiry is needed. Hamas and Islamic Jihad have provided little evidence to support their claims, while the US supports Israel's version of events.

In the past, false information has been used to manipulate public opinion for war. In 1990, a girl claimed she saw babies killed in Kuwait, but it was a lie. Her father was Kuwait's ambassador. A similar tactic was used by Colin Powell, who falsely claimed Iraq had weapons of mass destruction, leading to a US invasion and many Iraqi deaths. This raises the question of whether similar misinformation is being used in the case of Ukraine.

There is video footage of a peace concert near Gaza that was attacked, with cars appearing to be damaged by directed energy weapons. Evidence suggests that most casualties were caused by the Israeli Defense Force, not Hamas terrorists as claimed. The IDF may have orchestrated the attack to justify their subsequent bombings in the area. This event highlights the loss of humanity and the support for evil actions.