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Speaker argues that "For that that would be a critical mistake." He references "president Trump" and says that "if he were president, there would be no war." He adds, "I personally believe that is the case." He asserts, "There would be no war had president Trump been president at that time because myself and president Trump have had very good trust based relations." He concludes, "And I'm confident that if we had stayed on that path, we could move as quickly as possible to a resolution of the conflict in Ukraine." Overall, the speaker emphasizes trust with Trump and a swift path to Ukraine resolution.

The speaker states that there are plans to send more weapons to Ukraine, confirming that the country will receive additional arms. The speaker emphasizes that this action is necessary: “We have to. They they have to be able to defend themselves.” The speaker asserts that Ukraine is being attacked and hit hard, describing the situation with repetition to underscore the intensity: “They're getting hit very hard now,” followed by “They're getting hit very hard.” The speaker reiterates the need for further weapon deliveries, saying, “We're gonna have to send more weapons.” The emphasis is on defensive capabilities, with a clear indication that the weapons being sent are primarily defensive in nature: “Your defensive weapons primarily.” Throughout, the message conveys that the defense of Ukraine requires continued and increased military support in the form of weapons, due to the heavy blows Ukraine is sustaining.

I was very disappointed by the speech given by Vice President JD Vance at the conference yesterday. Our allies needed to hear a renewed commitment from America to NATO and our European partners. They needed to know that we are willing to stand up to the Kremlin and provide Ukraine with the help it needs to fight Russia's war. Instead, they got a condescending lecture that attacked our allies. The speech sent the wrong message and I believe it was enthusiastically greeted in the Kremlin.

Speaker 0: The discussion reports that Russia has covertly tested three new weapon systems over the past twenty-eight days, with two of them described as complete game changers. These tests are said to be causing nerves inside NATO, and none of these three have been made public by President Putin, who typically announces such developments. One system, however, is not being kept secret. Speaker 0: According to the report, Russian President Putin just rolled out their most advanced hypersonic missiles to date. These missiles are described as "no one can shoot down"—at least in the view of the speaker—unless future assessments prove otherwise. The specific system named is the Orenshik Oreshnik hypersonic missiles. They are set for combat duty by the end of the year, and they are characterized as capable of extremely high speeds and long-range strikes. The deployment of these missiles is framed as something NATO will be watching very closely. The report suggests that European leaders are exhibiting a willingness to engage in war-related actions, with two particularly troubling points highlighted: the idea that they want to be part of the conflict and the accompanying casualties. It is claimed that they want to participate in the death and destruction in the European Union and in The UK. Speaker 0: The report specifically notes German Chancellor Mertz saying that they are ready to draft young men to war if they cannot reach their volunteer numbers, effectively suggesting compulsory service to fight Russia. Speaker 0: It is also stated that the UK is telling its populace to prepare to sacrifice their sons and daughters, and the speaker emphasizes that "Sons and daughters, colleagues, veterans will all have a part to play, to build, to serve, and if necessary, to fight." The speaker adds that more families will know what sacrifice for our nation means. Speaker 1: The accompanying commentary underscores the need to explain the changing threat and the necessity of staying ahead of it, reinforcing the idea that sacrifice and readiness are central to national defense in the current context.

Speaker emphasizes the importance of supporting Ukraine for national security. They urge to stop complaining about Trump and focus on increasing defense spending. Stressing the significance of a strong NATO alliance for security, they highlight the need to work with the US president, regardless of who it may be. The speaker underscores the mutual interest of the US in a robust NATO.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio traveled to Germany for the Munich Security Conference and delivered what the speakers describe as “the most important American speech in the last thirty years,” calling on Europe to join Trump’s new world order or face consequences. He told NATO allies that “playtime is over right now,” that a new world order is being written by the United States, and that “you’re either with us or you’re against us.” He previewed the speech on the tarmac, then argued that the West must thrive again and that European leaders are “total losers” managing Europe’s decline, particularly in Germany. He framed NATO as a transaction: “NATO is a transaction between countries, that NATO is only worth supporting if you are worth defending,” and claimed Europe is “declining fast under stupid policies,” making NATO a questionable expense. Rubio criticized a liberal globalist, borderless agenda of mass immigration and sovereignty transfers to Brussels, calling the transformation of the economy foolish and voluntary, leaving the U.S. dependent on others and vulnerable to crisis. The discussion notes that Rubio’s rhetoric is not subtle, stating that “the rules that govern the world are dead” and the old order has ended, with these conversations already ongoing with allies and world leaders behind closed doors. The segment connects Rubio’s speech to broader strategic implications: the United States wants Europe “with us,” but is prepared to rebuild the global order alone if necessary. The commentary emphasizes a leverage play: pick a side—join the U.S. or face consequences—and links this to economic policy and currency strategy. On economic and currency policy, the program asserts that the dollar’s reserve status and the old world order are being challenged. Trump’s team reportedly signals that a strong dollar is no longer the default; a weaker dollar would help U.S. exports and reshoring, mirroring a Chinese approach that kept the yuan cheap for decades to build export power. The segment cites Reuters that China’s treasury holdings have fallen to their lowest level since 2008 as banks are urged to curb exposure to U.S. Treasuries, with pressure to bring holdings home to fund their own needs. China is also tightening rare earth export controls, aiming to influence the “factory floor.” The discussion suggests a currency war with a weaker dollar in the U.S. plan and a stronger yuan as China seeks global reserve status, while Europe is squeezed in the middle, invited to align with the U.S. or step aside. The synthesis notes a GOP intra-party knife fight: Rubio aligns with neocon perspectives; JD Vance is viewed as problematic for expansion of military conflicts, potentially contrasting with a no-war stance. The overall takeaway is that Rubio’s Munich speech is framed as a signal flare indicating the West’s reorganization and the dollar’s vulnerability. Sponsor segment: The host discusses critical minerals and North American independence, highlighting Project Vault, a $12 billion strategic mineral reserve designed to shield the private sector from supply shocks in essential minerals. At a Critical Minerals Ministerial, JD Vance and Marco Rubio delivered a message to China that the U.S. will no longer allow market flooding to kill domestic projects. The segment focuses on niobium, a rare earth mineral with no domestic US production, currently sourced abroad, and vital for space and defense applications. North American Niobium (ticker NIOMF) is exploring in Quebec, with drilling permits planned; the company also targets neodymium and praseodymium magnets. The leadership includes Joseph Carrabas, former Rio Tinto and Cliffs Natural Resources figures, and Carrie Lynn Findlay, a former Canadian cabinet minister. The sponsor emphasizes the strategic importance of niobium and rare earths for U.S. security and manufacturing resilience.

Under Joe Biden, the risk of World War III is high due to the proxy war in Ukraine. The objective should be a total cessation of hostilities and dismantling the "globalist neocon establishment." The State Department, Defense Bureaucracy, and Intelligence Services need an overhaul to prioritize America First. The greatest threat to Western civilization is internal, including open borders, lawlessness, and the decline of the nuclear family. The speaker claims to be the only one who can end the Ukraine conflict and clean house of warmongers in the deep state. Some believe Biden's policies are escalating the conflict, potentially leading to nuclear war. Russia has allegedly changed its law to allow a nuclear response. Ending the war would be easy with the right leadership. The speaker promises to replace current officials with those who defend American interests.

If Putin attacks a NATO ally, we will defend every part of NATO as required by treaty. It's important to clarify that we do not seek American troops to fight in Russia or against Russia.

I love Europe, but Europeans don't respect Americans, and a relationship without mutual respect can't last. We're not obligated to protect Ukraine, especially when we have our own problems at home, like fentanyl deaths and veterans needing help. We've been bailing out Europe for 80 years, and it's time for them to handle their own security. Americans across the political spectrum don't want to be in a nuclear war with Russia or continue the Ukraine war. The entitlement we're seeing from European leaders and Zelensky suggests the relationship is over. We'll still trade and visit, but the dynamic needs to change. Americans are tired of paying for Europe's security while receiving disrespect in return. It's time for the relationship to evolve.

Joe Biden's recent actions have raised concerns about the state of the United States. He admitted to sending cluster bombs to Ukraine due to a shortage of ammunition, and called up reserve forces, indicating a lack of troops. These actions, along with the low recruitment numbers, highlight the dangerous situation we are in. Former President Trump claims that he had rebuilt the military and brought peace through strength, but now the arsenals are empty, the stockpiles are bare, and the treasury is drained. Trump criticizes Biden for dragging the country into World War 3 and accuses him of corruption. Trump believes that admitting Ukraine into NATO at this time is unwise and emphasizes the need for a foreign policy that prioritizes America's interests. He also calls for a focus on defense procurement and the defense industrial base. Trump promises to provide record funding for the military and demands reimbursement from Europe for the cost of rebuilding stockpiles sent to Ukraine. He blames Biden's woke policies and political purges for the recruitment issues and pledges to restore the honor and traditions of the armed forces. Trump concludes by stating that Marxism, communism, and fascism will not be tolerated.

Speaker: Discussing the future of Ukraine, Putin requested written plans from the Americans, but Biden refused to negotiate. This should have sparked concern in Germany, as a potential war would involve them. If conflict arises as the Americans warned, Germany will be drawn into the issue.

We must not abandon Ukraine or allow NATO to weaken. It goes against our national interests and the promises we've made. We need Congress to pass funding for NATO as soon as possible.

Speaker 0: The transcript portrays Putin issuing a chilling World War III threat with a flying Chernobyl-style nuclear weapon. The classified missile is rumored to reach Mach 15, change direction midair, and the Russians believe no one can shoot it down. They’ve already tested earlier versions on Ukraine. Even with high-tech missile defense systems, it cannot be stopped. Russia reportedly has hypersonic missiles that fly hundreds of feet above the ground, alongside ballistic missiles. The speaker asserts the Russians have it all, and that the US says Russia is ahead of us in hypersonic missiles. The Pentagon is described as keeping most powerful capabilities secret, with about two generations of weapons tucked away. The speaker claims Russia has almost a two-to-one nuclear superiority over the US, and that once war starts, nobody wins: even if 95% of missiles are shot down, they would still flatten every city and military base. A classified unnamed ballistic missile is shown dropping many dummy warheads as a demonstration. The narrative references alleged testing in Ukraine and notes a claim that a demonstration MIRV (multiple independently targetable reentry vehicle) was presented: a demonstration that Russia can penetrate defenses and deliver nuclear payloads, though no warheads were involved in that particular display. The speaker recalls Biden announcing long-range cruise missiles, and Putin responding by attacking a missile factory, with subsequent release of photos showing holes in the centers of buildings within the factory. Western media allegedly dismissed these as not powerful missiles, but the speaker counters that it was a MIRV demonstration, and Russia later confirmed the demonstration of capability to field nuclear payloads. The speaker also claims Trump is frustrated with NATO and the EU, accusing them of starting the war with Russia and not wanting it to end. It is stated that Trump decided, over a week prior, not to provide Tomahawks to Zelenskyy. In response, EU and NATO are said to be supplying comparable or more advanced weapons to Ukraine, which would escalate the conflict on the escalatory ladder. Putin is said to be amassing nuclear weapons and attack submarines, with references to maps in the Daily Mail illustrating Russia’s buildup in the Arctic Circle as preparations for war with NATO are described. A segment mentions footage of the Skyfall ballistic missile factory. Speaker 1: Closing outro promoting Infowars, urging followers to connect on X (Twitter) at real Alex Jones and at AJN Live, and to download the Alex Jones app, urging support against the “democrat deep state party” and declaring that they will never be silenced.

Speaker 1: We have not gone to war with Russia. Russia is isolated, more than five years ago, a regional power threatening neighbors, not out of strength but out of weakness. Ukraine had influence for decades since the Soviet breakup. We have considerable influence on our neighbors and generally don't need to invade to have cooperation. Russia's military action violates international law and signals less influence. They don't pose the number one national security threat to United States; I am concerned about a nuclear weapon going off in Manhattan. Speaker 2: It is up to the Ukrainian people to decide how they organize themselves. The Ukrainian government is prepared to negotiate with Russia, and the international community supports a diplomatic process to de-escalate tensions, move Russian troops back from Ukraine's borders, and organize elections; the Ukrainian people will choose leadership. They will want a relationship with Europe and with Russia; this is not a zero-sum game.

Zelenskyy said many remarkable and disturbing things, like when he repeatedly rejected President Trump's statement that we should pursue a ceasefire. How could you reject a ceasefire? He also kept saying Europe is doing so much more than us, which begs the question: what do you need us for? If Europe is so great, why are you begging us for money, protection, and guarantees? President Trump is a peacemaker, having brought peace for four years during his previous term. Today, we saw what it's like to have a strong leader in the White House, and the whole world witnessed the strength of American leadership.

The speaker believes European globalist elites are in a panic because they realize the U.S. is no longer following the same path, and there is no future in Ukraine. Ukraine will never be a NATO member, and no one will go to war with Russia. European armies are "boutique forces" not designed for serious war. The leaked German military discussion is tragic and suggests a decline in professionalism. The conversation was amateurish, with no appreciation for the gravity of providing Taurus missiles to Ukraine, which risks a serious war by attacking Russian territory with Western assistance. Putin has made it clear that Berlin could face similar attacks if such actions occur.

I truly believe the time has come for Europe to have its own military. The Armed Forces of Europe must be created. This isn't harder than standing firm against Russian attacks, which we've already done. It's not just about increasing defense spending as a GDP ratio. Money is needed, of course. But money alone won't stop an enemy assault. People and weapons don't come free, but it's not just about budgets. It's about people realizing they need to defend their own home.

Speaker 0 raises questions about what’s happening culturally in Europe, noting crackdowns on free speech and people looking less like us, and asks whether a massive shift in world alliances is occurring long term. Speaker 1 responds that there is definitely a new world order, with changes in trade, globalization, and the way we invest in our economy versus foreign supply chains. They say the president is willing to shake up old alliance structures, and that NATO is much different now because of the president’s leadership, whereas ten years ago it was effectively a protectorate of the United States of America. They mention Venezuela as an example and state that the president is putting a stamp on world history, but in an America-first way.

Speaker 0 states he wanted Ukraine, not Russia, to join NATO. He felt Ukraine needed to be in the EU and NATO. Speaker 1 brings up that Secretary of State Baker primed Gorbachev in the early nineties not to expand NATO. Speaker 0 responds that times change and the United States must be flexible and adjust to the times, which is why there is strong support for Speaker 1's country now. Speaker 1 says it doesn't matter what Baker primed Gorbachev with in the past, and that we have to see what is going on now.

The speaker is meeting with the secretary general and plans to send them sophisticated military equipment, for which they will be fully reimbursed. The U.S. is in for about $350 billion, while Europe is in for $100 billion, though the speaker believes Europe should contribute more. As the U.S. sends equipment, they will be reimbursed. The speaker mentions sending text pictures and files, with the European Union paying for it. The U.S. will send patriots, which are needed because Putin "bombs everybody in the evening."

The speaker claims that another individual threatened to abandon NATO and encouraged Putin to invade allied countries, stating Russia could "do whatever the hell they want." The speaker says that five days before Russia attacked Ukraine, they met with President Zelensky to warn him about Russia's invasion plans. They claim to have mobilized a global response of over 50 countries to defend against Putin's aggression. The speaker asserts that, as president, they will stand strong with Ukraine and NATO allies.

Speaker 0: This thing over with. You see the hatred he's got for Putin. It's very tough for me to make a deal with that kind of hate. I'm aligned with the world. I wanna get the things set. If you want me to be tough? I could be tougher than any human being you've ever seen, but you're never gonna get a deal that way. Speaker 1: For four years in The United States Of America... we had a president who stood up at press conferences and talked tough about Vladimir Putin, and then Putin invaded Ukraine. The path to peace... is engaging in diplomacy. Speaker 2: He occupied it, our parts, big parts of Ukraine, parts of East and Crimea. So 2014. We signed ceasefire, gas contract, but after that, he broken the ceasefire, he killed our people, and he didn't exchange prisoners. What kind of diplomacy? Speaker 0: You should be thanking the president for trying to bring it into this conference. Speaker 2: We have problems. Speaker 0: You're gambling with World War three. You have the cards. With us, you have the cards. Without us you don't have any cards. I gave you the javelins to take out all those tanks. Obama gave you sheets. What if Russia breaks his fire?

Glenn: Welcome back. We are joined today by Professor John Mersheimer to understand what is happening in the world with this new great power rivalry and how the outcome of the Ukraine war will impact this new Cold War. Have we entered a new Cold War? Who are the players, competing interests, and the rules? Mersheimer: I think we have entered a new Cold War. We're in a multipolar system, and the United States, China, and Russia are the three great powers. The United States is certainly in a cold war with China. China is powerful and threatens to dominate East Asia, and the United States will almost certainly go to great lengths to prevent that from happening, which axiomatically creates an intense security competition in China. An intense security competition is a cold war, and the name of the game is to make sure that security competition does not turn into a hot war. We are in a cold war with the Chinese, or the Chinese are in a cold war with us. The hot war is avoided. Regarding Russia, since we moved into multipolarity, the Russians and the Chinese have been close allies against the United States. This is largely a result of the Ukraine war, which has pushed the Russians into the arms of the Chinese and caused closer Sino-Russian cooperation. The United States, through the Biden administration, was involved in a cold war with both Russia and China. Trump tried to change that, seeking good relations with Russia to form a Russia-plus-US alliance against China, but he has been unable to make that happen. The result is that the United States is basically still in a cold war with both Russia and China. The war in Ukraine has made me worry greatly that the Cold War in Europe could turn into a hot war, even as the U.S.-China relationship remains cooler so far. Glenn: European leaders hoped the United States and Europe would unite in this new Cold War, with liberal hegemony fading and a return to unity against Russia. But Ukraine has instead divided Europe. How do you explain this? Is it the US not seeing Russia as the same threat as Europeans, or a concern about pushing Russia toward China, or Europe’s costs of the partnership? Is this uniquely a Trump-era approach? Mersheimer: From an American point of view, good relations with Russia make sense. China is the peer competitor, and the United States wants to pivot to East Asia to prevent China’s dominance. Russia is the weakest of the three great powers and not a major threat to Europe. The Americans believe Europe can deal with Russia, freeing them to focus on China. Europe, by contrast, is threatened by Russia’s proximity and thus prioritizes Russia. NATO expansion into Ukraine is seen by many Europeans as a disaster, poisoning Russia–Europe relations, making Europe deeply committed to using Ukraine to weaken Russia. The transatlantic alliance becomes strained, especially with Trump raising the possibility of leaving NATO. Europeans fear losing the American pacifier that keeps centrifugal forces in check, which would complicate European coordination with Russia. Glenn: If the United States signals a departure, won’t Europe face greater challenges in managing Russia? And is Russia truly an empire-building threat, or is this a post-2014 narrative that intensified after February 2022? Mersheimer: Bringing Ukraine into NATO was destined to cause trouble. The crisis began in 2014, and the 2022 war is ongoing. The Ukrainians and Europeans want a security guarantee for Ukraine, essentially NATO membership, while Russia demands territory and rejects a security guarantee that would enshrine NATO’s presence near its borders. The Europeans see NATO expansion as threatening, while the Americans view Russia as the weaker power and the need to pivot to China. The controversy over responsibility for this disaster arises from competing interpretations of NATO expansion and Russian aggression. Glenn: Do you see Russia changing course soon? There has been escalation—Odessa blockades, port attacks, and targeting infrastructure. Could this signal a new stage of the war? Mersheimer: The Russians believe Ukraine is on the ropes and expect to win on the battlefield in 2026, possibly expanding fronts in Kharkiv and Sumy. They may consider increasing conventional force and possibly using nuclear weapons if the war drags on. They view the conflict as existential and fear losing, which could push them toward drastic measures to end the war. The Russians could escalate if they think they cannot win conventionally. Glenn: What are the non-nuclear options to win quickly? Could the Russians deliver a decisive conventional victory? Mersheimer: It’s a war of attrition. If Ukraine’s army is weakened, Russia could surround large Ukrainian formations, disrupt logistics, and open larger fronts. They may build up forces in the rear, potentially for a breakthrough or to deter Western escalation. The battlefield outcome may determine the next steps, including whether nuclear options are considered. Glenn: How will Ukraine end? Is it a military defeat, economic collapse, or political fragmentation? Mersheimer: Ukraine is likely to be defeated on the battlefield. Its economy is in desperate shape, and losing Odessa or more territory would worsen it. Politically, Ukraine will face internal divisions once the war ends. Europe will face a broken Russia–Ukraine relationship, with some European states viewing the conflict differently. Ukraine’s demographic decline compounds its bleak outlook, and the country may become a problematic rump state. The war should have been settled earlier; the negotiators in Istanbul in 2022 could have sought a different path. Zelensky’s choice to align with Western powers and walk away from Istanbul negotiations deepened Ukraine’s predicament. Glenn: Any final reflections? Mersheimer: The war’s outcome will reshape Western unity and European security. Historians may view this as a major mistake in weakening the West. The blame for the disaster will likely be attributed in the West to Russia’s imperialism, but the expansion of NATO is also central. Europe’s economic and political landscape will be altered, and Ukraine’s future will be deeply challenging.

Europe must quickly increase its support for Ukraine as artillery shells, air defense interceptors, and drone production capabilities dwindle. Europe could use proposals and potentially collateralize frozen Russian assets to act fast. The speaker is concerned about the cutoff of intelligence streams from the U.S. and pressure on allies like the UK not to use US intelligence for their own weapons. The primary purpose of US intelligence has been to give Ukrainians advanced warning of Russian attacks. Key weapon systems require support from US satellite queuing and the military GPS system to hit their targets. Without this support, more Ukrainians will die, and Europe cannot replace this capability quickly.

The speaker states that they personally know the current NATO Secretary General, Mr. Rutte, who is a former Prime Minister of the Netherlands. They mention having visited the Netherlands for a discussion, describing Rutte as an intelligent, systemic, and effective example, and noting that the Netherlands’ economy is in good shape, “this part of his merit.” The speaker then criticizes Rutte for what they perceive as push for war with Russia, asking rhetorically what Rutte is saying about war with Russia and asserting that “they want to prepare for war with Russia.” The speaker contends that Rutte should read a specific source: the new US National Security Strategy. According to the speaker, the United States is a key player in NATO, its creator, main sponsor, and “all the main means come from the US.” They claim that “money, technologies, weapons, ammunition” all originate from the United States, calling this the foundation of NATO’s resources. The speaker asserts that in the new NATO national security strategy, Russia is not identified as an enemy or a target. Despite this, the General Secretary of NATO is preparing with them for war, and the speaker questions whether Rutte can read, implying a belief that the strategy does not designate Russia as an enemy, yet there is a push toward preparing for conflict. Overall, the speaker juxtaposes Rutte’s economic leadership in the Netherlands with a narrative of impending confrontation with Russia, emphasizing the reliance of NATO on U.S. resources and critiquing the alignment between the US strategy and the perceived stance of NATO leadership toward Russia.