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The Turkish media reported that Russian forces won the siege at Mariupol, except for a steel plant where Ukrainian soldiers and 50 French officers are trapped. The presence of French officers was kept secret due to the recent French elections. It is speculated that French officers may have fired missiles sinking the Russian flagship. NATO may have maintained control over these sensitive missiles.

In a Ukrainian village, a column of Russian military vehicles was stopped by Ukrainian security forces. There were damaged Russian vehicles in the area, leading to questions about who was responsible. The damaged vehicles were attributed to Ukrainian artillery, while the bombing of the village was attributed to Russia. The discussion highlights the conflicting narratives surrounding the events in the village.

Gilbert Doktorov and the host discuss the recent Russian strike aimed at Lvov, using Soreshnik (Arashnik) missiles, and what it signals about NATO, Western responses, and the trajectory of the war. - Initial facts and uncertainties about the strike: The Russians did not provide a clear description of what they did or where. Doktorov says it’s unclear whether at least one or six to nine missiles were fired, and whether the targets included the largest single gas storage facility in Ukraine. He notes that if a gas storage facility were hit, it would imply enormous destruction and heat Ukraine’s heating, but no confirmation has been given about the exact damage or targets. Reports indicate several missiles were released, but the exact number and impact remain uncertain. A Ukrainian gas storage target would have produced a large explosion if hit. - Context of the attack: The strike was not isolated; it occurred amid drones, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles hitting multiple cities, including Kyiv. Zelensky urged Ukrainians to stay indoors, suggesting the Russians intended a larger attack. Doktorov argues this demonstrates Russian confidence that their weapons cannot be stopped by existing air defenses. He contends the attack serves as a message to the West, downplaying the significance of Western “domes” or defenses. - Western and Ukrainian reactions: Ukraine’s foreign minister called for a United Nations Security Council meeting, signaling seriousness. Ukraine’s leadership framed the strike as a response to Western provocations and ongoing escalations. - Arashnik weapon system and balance of power: There is discussion about whether Arashnik missiles have multiple warheads or dummy warheads, and how many were launched. The conversation notes that Russia’s use of the weapon, and the surrounding firepower (drones, missiles), are part of a broader strategy to exert pressure on the region and test Western defenses. - Domestic Russian dynamics and deterrence: Doktorov suggests the strike reflects pressure from within Moscow by hardliners who want a stronger, more forceful stance. He contrasts Putin’s leadership with Khrushchev, arguing Khrushchev was decisive and provocative, while Putin has been more restrained but could be compelled to show force by hardline factions. The conversation links recent events (attack on Putin’s residence, the northern energy and military infrastructure strikes, and the broadened use of missiles) to a perceived revival of Russian deterrence. - Role of the United States and Trump: The discussion covers the U.S. role and ambiguities surrounding Trump, including speculation that Trump’s policies may be both deceptive and strategic. They reference reports about Trump’s possible green light for attacks on Russian tankers and the broader implications for NATO and European security. The Financial Times editorial is cited as considering incentives and pushback to manage Trump’s Greenland agenda, suggesting Europe’s limited leverage over Trump, who could push to dissolve or weaken NATO rather than sustain it. - European strategic responses and deterrence: The editors discuss possible European tactics to counter Trump (e.g., threatening to expel U.S. troops), while recognizing that many Europeans prefer to keep U.S. military presence. They debate whether Trump’s aims include breaking NATO or extracting concessions, and consider whether European states will push back or acquiesce to U.S. leadership. - Prospects for peace and endgame: The speakers debate whether negotiations remain possible or are now merely for optics. They discuss whether a direct war between Russia and NATO could emerge if Russia escalates further, especially with energy infrastructure and civilizational effects in Ukraine. They foresee a likely “frozen conflict” outcome, with Russia annexing territories east of the Dnieper and Odessa, leaving Ukraine landlocked and largely excluded from NATO and EU integration, while warning that Western military presence and support could trigger direct confrontation if Russia chooses to escalate. - Civilians and dislocation: They emphasize that as the war intensifies, civilian suffering will grow, with mass displacement and humanitarian crises likely, particularly if Kyiv and other cities become uninhabitable due to outages and destruction. - Overall tone: The discussion underscores deep uncertainty, strategic signaling, and the perception that both Western policies and Russian deterrence are shifting in ways that could escalate or reshape the conflict, with no clear, imminent path to a settlement.

Speaker 0: Every Russian missile brings terror as it claims over 30 lives in just one night. This war destroys infrastructure and today in Kherson, rescuers were harmed due to shelling.

Speaker 0: Russian rockets continue to cause fear and destruction. Over 30 lives were lost just last night. This is the reality of war. Today, in Kherson, rescue workers were injured due to shelling.

Ukrainian engineers designed drone launching systems disguised as wooden cabins on cargo trucks. These mobile containers concealed launch platforms, charging stations, and remote-controlled roofs. The design allowed vertical or angled launches, with signal shielding to avoid detection. Operatives moved the trucks into Russia, parking near airbases. Drones were preloaded and launched remotely, guided by live video feeds to targets within a few kilometers. Some drones carried high-explosive warheads. The operation hit at least five major airbases, damaging strategic bombers, including aircraft Russia no longer manufactures. Ukraine struck 34% of Russia's strategic bomber fleet. Targets included strategic nuclear bombers at Belaya Airbase in Siberia, Ivanovo Airbase near Moscow, Dyajalevo Airbase, and naval bases. Over 40 aircraft were reportedly hit. Some drones used fiber optic control systems, immune to jamming, but with limited range. A signal-enhancing drone can counter Russian electronic warfare. The drones are equipped with RPG warheads with piezoelectric triggers. The Tu-160 can release nuclear cruise missiles.

Recent reports indicate that in Mariupol, where Russian forces have gained control, a significant steel plant remains under siege by Ukrainian soldiers. Notably, 50 French senior officers are reportedly trapped there, having been involved in directing the battle. This information was kept secret due to its potential impact on the recent French elections, which could have favored Marine Le Pen had the public known about the officers' perilous situation. Additionally, there are NATO officers present in Ukraine as advisors. Speculation arises that the Russian Black Sea Fleet's flagship, Moskva, was sunk by anti-ship missiles, possibly fired by the French, as these missiles are too sensitive for Ukrainian control and must remain under NATO oversight.

**Original Language Summary:** Украинская сторона использует сельскохозяйственный квадрокоптер для сброса боеприпасов на позиции. Данный квадрокоптер был сбит из стрелкового оружия и теперь находится в музее. **English Translation:** The Ukrainian side is using an agricultural drone to drop munitions on positions. This particular drone was shot down with small arms fire and is now in a museum.

Recent reports indicate that in Mariupol, where Russian forces have gained control, a significant steel plant remains under the hold of Ukrainian soldiers. It has emerged that 50 French senior officers are trapped there alongside them. These officers have been actively involved in the conflict, but their presence was kept secret due to recent French elections. Disclosure of their situation could have influenced the election outcome in favor of Marine Le Pen. Additionally, there are NATO officers in Ukraine as advisors. It is speculated that the Russian Black Sea Fleet's flagship, Moskva, was sunk by anti-ship missiles, possibly fired by French forces, as NATO likely maintains control over such sensitive weaponry.

The speaker says Ukraine is a bigger, more powerful country, and mentions that Vladimir called after the tanker was seized. They state that the Russian ships involved were a submarine and a destroyer, which both left very quickly when they arrived. They took over the ship, and the oil is being unloaded right now.

Lucas Wilhelm and Tom Colmer discovered the abandoned ship Andromeda in a deserted harbor on Rugen. The yacht became notable after investigators from the federal criminal police removed its navigation technology during an investigation into a possible plot involving explosives on the Nord Stream pipelines. Experts believe a group of six may have used the Andromeda for this purpose. Investigators found remnants of explosives on board, suggesting they were stored in boxes. A former combat diver expressed skepticism about using the Andromeda solely for transporting explosives, citing logistical challenges. Intelligence agencies suspect the saboteurs could be Russians or Ukrainians, with accusations flying between Russia, the USA, and Great Britain. The investigation into the Andromeda remains ongoing.

Прошлогодний БМП с украинскими накладками и новыми улучшениями был атакован, но украинские военные смогли эвакуировать его в тумане с помощью дронов. Эвакуация прошла успешно на расстоянии 500 метров в два этапа. Last year's BMP with Ukrainian modifications and upgrades was attacked, but Ukrainian military managed to evacuate it in the fog with the help of drones. The evacuation was successful at a distance of 500 meters in two stages.

Ukrainians at the NATO Innovation Summit stated 30% of their casualties were from drone strikes. In the Kursk offensive, drones account for the majority, if not almost all, of Russian tank and vehicle losses. FPV drones are currently operated in a one v one fashion. In the next few years, drone warfare will evolve to one v many. Command and data links, essential for drone operation, are becoming more vital. Countermeasures exist to jam or deny these links. The goal is to make drones more autonomous, enabling one operator to control many drones simultaneously.

Larry: Lavrov claimed Ukraine attempted to attack Putin’s official residence in Novgorod with around 91 long-range drones in December; allegedly all intercepted, no proof provided, no reported injuries or damage. Lavrov said retaliation is coming, targets for retaliatory strikes and timing had been set. Putin supposedly mentioned this on a call to Trump two days before the Zelensky meeting in Florida; Yuri, a Kremlin aide, said Putin was shocked and outraged, and that it would influence Washington’s approach to working with Zelensky. Russians claim Trump was relieved that no Tomahawk missiles were provided to Ukraine. No US confirmation; Trump described the meeting with Putin as very productive, and discussions included the temporary ceasefire not being an option. Budanov had suggested it wouldn’t be the first assassination attempt on Putin, but the most consequential due to timing. The question posed: who is the target—Ukraine, Zelensky, Budanov—or a Russian false flag to justify attacks and derail negotiations. Speaker 1: Timelines. The attack allegedly began the night of the 28th and continued into the 29th. The Russians say it was an attack on one of Putin’s residences, described as terrorism. Putin hasn’t lived at his residences for three years, using the Kremlin instead, but this is not the first Ukrainian attempt to target Putin; there was a proposed attack when he flew into Kursk by helicopter. Russians are upset that this attack had no military objective, only potential assassination, and they know Putin wasn’t there. The Russians view it as real and plan to respond; Lavrov indicated that negotiations would be reexamined. Budanov claims Ukrainian intelligence has targeted Putin multiple times; the attack timing coincides with Zelensky in Florida, suggesting possible rifts or risk of undermining negotiations. The possibility of Western (American or British) intelligence involvement is raised, with speculation about CIA influence or European intelligence, particularly Britain’s MI6, given its Ukrainian roots. The question remains whether the attack was staged to derail negotiations or a genuine strike. Larry: If Ukraine did this, why would they? Ukraine might want to eliminate an obstacle to peace, though that could backfire; some argue Putin is more restrained than any immediate successor. If 91 drones were launched, Western intelligence would likely be involved, possibly undermining Trump’s approach. There is a sense of mixed messages from U.S. intelligence, with individuals like Susan Miller pushing claims of Russian interference that contradict other narratives. Zelensky stated no territory would be ceded as part of negotiations; Russia’s position is that Crimea, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, Donetsk, and Luhansk must be permanently part of the Russian Federation, elections must occur in Ukraine before negotiations, NATO must be out of Ukraine, and demilitarization is non-negotiable. Russia suggests there will be no 800,000-man army; these conditions are not open for negotiation. Russia may be willing to discuss numbers of troops for Ukraine, but not to concede core territorial goals. Speaker 0: If CIA or other elements were behind this, could it be to undermine Trump or push for a peace deal by pressuring Putin? Putin showed up in uniform with the military leadership, signaling a hard stance on land/territory, stating that negotiations should proceed without ceasing. Some argue this would trigger a stronger Russian push, while others see this as undermining Trump’s efforts. Trump and Zelensky had discussed a peace plan with 90-95% agreement, with a few thorny issues, possibly territorial. Trump characterized their call as productive; Russia reportedly agreed to support Ukraine postwar with discounted energy and resources. Lavrov’s rapid response to the attack and the potential retaliation would affect ongoing negotiations, which some view as already derailed due to Ukraine’s intransigence on concessions. Speaker 1: Could European intelligence be involved? Britain’s MI6 is seen as critical; there is a suggestion that British intelligence could have acted without American consultation. This would strain relations with Trump, especially after new security strategy. The transcript also notes a broader shift in Western posture: some European leaders are pushing for stronger defense and a more independent European stance, which might influence the dynamic around negotiations and intelligence actions. Speaker 0: Zelensky’s Christmas remark, “may he perish,” followed by an attack on Putin’s residence, prompts questions about who’s pulling Zelensky’s strings. Zelensky is described as the “highest paid actor in the world” with large sums allegedly pilfered from Ukraine’s aid; Zelensky could be expendable to those steering Ukraine’s direction. The meeting in Mar-a-Lago between Zelensky, Trump, and others occurred while the Putin residence attack was underway, suggesting an attempt to undermine negotiations. Budanov’s connection to the CIA and potential independent actions by Ukrainian intelligence raise further concerns about internal Ukrainian divisions. Speaker 1: Russia’s potential retaliation could target Ukrainian intelligence assets like the SBU headquarters in Kyiv, or European assets inside Ukraine if evidence points to Western involvement. Russia’s current military actions include continuing strikes on power infrastructure, with movements in Zaporizhzhia and around Kherson, indicating an axis of attack. Independently, Russia claims significant ground progress; Ukraine counters with claims of selective advances by Russia and a favorable propaganda edge for Ukraine. The battlefield metrics show Russia increasing manpower and maintaining multiple axes of attack, with eight or more fronts, while Ukrainian recoveries of bodies show a ratio suggesting heavy Ukrainian losses. Speaker 0: The conversation ends with expectations for retaliation, possible new European involvement, and the enduring fear that negotiations remain unsettled. The next days could reveal more about who is behind the attack, how Russia responds, and whether a path to peace remains possible, given the conflicting narratives and competing strategic interests.

Trump said Putin is crazy, but he hadn't been told about the drone attack, an attempt to assassinate Putin. Since May 19, there have been 7 to 11 drone attacks into Russia proper, inevitably carried out with the assistance of western intelligence. This explains why Putin ordered the military to retaliate and strike back at Ukraine. The attack targeted military installations. Over 83 ballistic missiles and over 700 Russian missiles and drones were fired, but there were only 30 civilian casualties. With that amount of firepower, civilian casualties would be in the thousands if Russia was targeting civilians. The Russian defense ministry is trying to explain why they're doing what they're doing.

Drones: A year ago, Ukraine had more drones, but now drone numbers are roughly at parity. Both sides launch a similar number of drones. Russia uses fiber optic drones more actively, which are immune to Western electronic warfare systems. These drones render jamming antennas useless. The army is actively using unmanned systems, including remotely controlled carts that can carry ammo, food, evacuate wounded soldiers, or carry explosives. Russia considers its approach to warfare as complex, dangerous, and highly professional.

Russia has launched a significant attack on Ukraine, targeting its energy infrastructure and leaving over a million people without electricity. Ukraine reported that Russia fired over 100 drones and 90 missiles in this assault. President Zelensky condemned the attack as a vile escalation of Russia's tactics. This escalation follows Ukraine's recent strikes on Russian territory using NATO-supplied long-range missiles. In response, Ukraine claims to have targeted an oil depot near Moscow, though it remains unclear if these strikes were successful, as Russia has not confirmed any hits and interception is likely. The situation continues to develop with ongoing hostilities between the two nations.

A drone carrying a large amount of explosives hit the Olenegorsky Gorniak ship, causing significant damage. The drone approached the ship slowly, alarming the Russians. According to a Ukrainian source, the explosive payload weighed almost half a metric ton. It is believed that around 100 Russian soldiers or personnel were on board when the strike occurred.

We've been hit by what appears to be a drone. The vessel's on fire. There's a fire in the front deck. We've been hit. Where's the fire extinguisher? We have been hit. The vessel is on fire. We are off the coast of Tunis. It was a loud explosion. I was on the top deck. The police are arriving. Patty, it was a massive explosion.

The Andromeda, an abandoned yacht in a deserted harbor on Rugen, gained notoriety after investigators from the federal criminal police boarded it. The ship, once part of a charter fleet, is now stripped of its navigation technology. Investigators suspect that a group of six used the 15-meter yacht to transport explosives for an operation involving the Nord Stream pipelines. Remnants of explosives were found on board, and the yacht underwent a thorough three-day inspection. A former combat diver expressed skepticism about the practicality of using the Andromeda solely for transporting explosives, suggesting that the evidence might have been planted to mislead investigators. Intelligence agencies suspect the saboteurs may be Russian or Ukrainian, with accusations flying between Russia, the USA, and Great Britain. The case remains under investigation.

Satellite images reveal two dolphin pools at the entrance of Sevastopol harbor on the Russian-occupied Crimean Peninsula. However, the depth of the sea in the Baltic Sea makes it challenging for dolphins to be used there. The use of dolphins for terror attacks is complex due to the significant water depth. While a diver could reach a depth of 50 meters, the use of 100 kilograms of TNT explosives makes it unlikely for a single diver to carry out such an attack. It is more plausible that technical means, such as submarines or underwater drones, were used. These drones are commonly used for surveillance and could potentially be used for attacks on pipelines. Access to the pipeline system would be necessary for the use of remotely controlled cleaning robots, which could also be armed with explosives.

We've been hit by what appears to be a drone. The vessel's on fire. There's a fire in the front deck. We've been hit. Where's the fire extinguisher? Where's the fire extinguisher? We have been hit. The vessel is on fire. We are off the coast of Tunis. It was a loud explosion. I was on the top deck. The police are arriving. Patty, it was a massive explosion.

Ukrainians are not superheroes and face casualties on a daily basis. Today, I will show you unique videos of Russians destroying Ukrainian equipment. "This is an American m triple seven howitzer." "The Russian UAV hits the exact target and destroys the howitzer." "The rare and valuable SAM has been destroyed." "The UAV dives and hits the target." "This is a Polish AHS Crab Self Propelled Artillery Unit. The hit causes fire and destroys the launcher." "A battery of Ukrainian S-three 100 SAMs." "A kamikaze drone strike on the installations leads to a powerful explosion and the destruction of an adjacent installation." "Everything that you saw earlier was the work of the Russian Zala Lancet UAV." "At least 250 different pieces of equipment were destroyed by Russians using it." "The range of such a warhead drone is about 70 kilometers." "Lancets are launched with a metal rail." "The Russians are increasingly using lancets."

**Original Language Summary:** По ситуации с атакой беспилотников в Мурманской области: жертв и пострадавших нет. На месте работают правоохранительные органы и службы. Меры безопасности усилены. Просьба отнестись с пониманием к ограничениям и сообщать на номер 112 о подозрительных лицах, предметах и ситуациях. **English Translation:** Regarding the drone attack in the Murmansk region: there are no casualties or injuries. Law enforcement and relevant services are at the scene. Security measures have been strengthened. The public is asked to understand the restrictions and report any suspicious individuals, objects, or situations to 112.