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If Trump gains an additional 150,000 votes in Arizona, it would result in a 10-point victory. This outcome would also mean that Kerry becomes a senator. This is why there's optimism about the remaining votes, contrasting with Steven Richards' less enthusiastic stance on Twitter.

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Only about half the votes have been counted, which accounts for around 8 million votes. It's difficult to foresee how the remaining votes will significantly alter the current margin, even if the counting takes a couple more weeks.

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Donald Trump will not be president of the United States. Many believe his candidacy is a joke, and there's a strong consensus that he has no chance of winning. Predictions indicate he will never be elected, and his campaign is seen as absurd. Despite some discussions about his potential, the overall sentiment is that the race is effectively over for him. The Republican Party is urged to prepare for the fallout and focus on preserving conservative values. Ultimately, Trump is viewed as a candidate who will not succeed, and his political future is bleak.

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Joe Biden will not drop out of the race. He is determined to win and will continue running.

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I advise candidates that despite running a strong campaign and becoming the nominee, there is still a risk of having the election stolen from them.

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It'll be a long day, and we don't expect an early call for this race. However, we are optimistic about turning the page on Donald Trump and installing Vice President Harris as the next president of the United States.

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I don't believe Donald Trump will be president again. If Putin is betting on that, he will be in for a surprise. That's my first point.

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Donald Trump is approaching a near 100% chance of winning, as indicated by the betting markets. It's a dramatic shift, and Elon Musk has declared, "game, set, match." Musk is currently with Trump at Mar-a-Lago, highlighting their alignment.

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Donald Trump wants unchecked power. The question for the American people in 13 days is what they want.

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Donald Trump will not be president of the United States. Many believe his candidacy is a joke, and there's a consensus that he lacks the qualities needed for the role. Despite his claims of running for president, the idea of him delivering a State of the Union address seems absurd. Even if he were to win all toss-up states, he would still lose the election. The Republican Party is facing a wake-up call, and the race is effectively over. The focus now should be on minimizing damage and preserving conservative values. Ultimately, Trump’s chances of becoming president are deemed nonexistent.

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The current US president, who is seeking reelection, is not campaigning despite being unpopular and predicted to lose according to polls. This is a major concern because when someone who is behind in the polls doesn't feel the need to campaign, it raises a red flag. If this person ends up winning without putting in any effort, it could lead to a chaotic situation.

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Some people are feeling "nauseously optimistic." Republicans blocked legislation for early processing of mail-in ballots, so final tallies will come in late, similar to 2020. Expect a "red shift" where Trump appears to perform better initially, followed by a "blue shift" as absentee ballots are counted later. Don’t be alarmed if Trump seems to overperform at first; many ballots, especially from Milwaukee, are still uncounted. While there may be claims of irregularities from Republicans, all ballots will be securely counted. It's important to stay calm while waiting for results, as Wisconsin's elections are free, fair, and secure, and the rightful winner will receive the state's electoral votes.

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In 2024, I hope Trump and Governor DeSantis will compete for the Republican nomination. Trump is struggling after his 2020 loss, losing support from big donors. DeSantis is seen as a strong contender due to his shrewdness, ruthlessness, and ambition.

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The speaker claims that the current election is the most consistently tight general election ever, particularly in seven key battleground states: Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. The margins in these states average only 1 or 2 points, based on polling data. The speaker states that the average error for statewide polling in battleground states since 1972 is 3.4 points. Therefore, an average error across these states could cause all of them to swing in one direction.

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Donald Trump is currently leading in key battleground states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, surpassing 50% of the vote. This marks a notable increase from his previous performances in 2016 and 2020. Trump's supporters are optimistic, expecting him to express gratitude to his team during his speech. There are discussions about the impact of abortion on the election, with some believing it was overemphasized as a driving issue. The focus is shifting to how Trump will address the nation moving forward, with concerns about his leadership style and ability to prioritize the country over himself. The political landscape is changing, with the Republican Party emerging as a multiracial working-class party, but the implications for policy, especially on climate issues, remain uncertain.

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In a recent New York Times poll, we were shown to be leading by a significant margin of 37 points, which is truly remarkable. Meanwhile, DeSantis has experienced a significant decline in popularity, and I believe he may be out of the race. However, it's important to remember that nothing is certain until it's over. As Yogi Berra famously said, "It ain't over till it's over."

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Joe Biden and Donald Trump are currently competing in the Sun Belt. Biden hopes to expand his support, but it is uncertain how long this will take. Trump is leading in Pennsylvania with a million votes, and he is also leading in other states. However, there is a possibility of surprises, especially in Alaska. Ultimately, the outcome will determine where we end up on the West Coast. This process is not exact, but it is estimated that Trump has the advantage.

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Trump is in a competitive position for the popular vote, with recent polls showing a tight race against Harris. Current polling indicates Trump is ahead in some surveys, while Harris leads in others, making the national popular vote too close to call. Historically, Republicans haven't won the popular vote since 2004, and the last two elections showed Democrats with significant leads at this point. However, Trump’s potential to win the popular vote raises the possibility of a Democrat winning the electoral college despite losing the popular vote. State-level polling reveals Trump is performing well in key states, which could lead to a scenario where he gains in the national popular vote but loses in the electoral college. This situation could reignite discussions about electoral college reform.

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Speaker 0: Will Donald Trump win the presidency? Speaker 1: No way. Speaker 0: Trump will never be president. Speaker 1: He won't be elected. Speaker 0: Take it to the bank, he will never be president. Speaker 1: Hillary Clinton has a 100% chance of winning. Speaker 0: What can Trump do to turn things around? Speaker 1: We don't care about Kentucky or Indiana. Speaker 0: All red in the middle of the country. Speaker 1: Ohio is done. Speaker 0: Panic time in Florida. Speaker 1: Trump is now the favorite. Speaker 0: Utah is their only hope.

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Donald Trump will not be president of the United States. Many believe his candidacy is a joke, and despite his claims of running, there’s a strong consensus that he lacks the necessary support. Predictions indicate he will never hold the office, and even if he wins all toss-up states, he would still lose. The Republican Party is facing a wake-up call, with concerns about minimizing damage in the election. The race is effectively over, and Trump has no viable path forward. Discussions reflect a belief that he is an absurd candidate, and the focus is shifting to how to salvage the party's future rather than supporting his campaign.

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Donald Trump is considering another run for president in 2016. Some believe he has the best chance among declared Republican candidates. Current forecasts show Hillary Clinton as a strong favorite, leading by double digits in several key states, including Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio. Despite this, there are projections of Trump winning states like Ohio and Florida, along with several others such as Kentucky, Indiana, and Texas. The political landscape remains complex, with ongoing debates about Trump's viability as a candidate.

The Megyn Kelly Show

Independents Go Blue, Trump's Announcement & COVID Lockdowns, w/ Victor Davis Hanson & Jennifer Sey
Guests: Victor Davis Hanson, Jennifer Sey
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Megyn Kelly discusses the recent midterm elections, highlighting that NBC News projects Republicans will take control of the House of Representatives with a narrow margin of 219 seats. This is a significant drop from earlier expectations of a larger Republican victory. Ongoing vote counting in California and Arizona raises concerns about the efficiency of the electoral process, particularly in Maricopa County, where officials have faced criticism for delays and mishaps. Victor Davis Hanson joins the show, expressing disappointment in the Republican performance despite President Biden's unpopularity. He notes that the GOP's failure to capitalize on Biden's low approval ratings and issues like inflation and gas prices contributed to their underwhelming results. He points out that mail-in voting has become a significant factor, with Democrats mastering the process, leading to suspicions about election integrity. Hanson critiques both Trump and McConnell for their roles in the election, suggesting that Trump's actions may have alienated moderate voters. He emphasizes the need for Republicans to address mail-in voting and develop a cohesive message that resonates with voters, rather than solely attacking Biden. He also discusses the demographic shifts in voting patterns, particularly among young voters and women, who were mobilized by issues like abortion. The conversation shifts to Trump’s anticipated announcement regarding his presidential candidacy. Hanson believes it would be wiser for Trump to focus on supporting Republican candidates in the Georgia runoff rather than making an early announcement. He warns that Trump's divisive rhetoric could further alienate swing voters and emphasizes the need for a candidate who can unite the party. Jennifer Sey, former Levi's president, later joins the show to discuss her experiences with cancel culture and the impact of COVID policies on education. She criticizes the hypocrisy of corporate leaders who promote social causes while failing to address their own shortcomings. Sey's new book, "Levi's Unbuttoned," explores her journey and the challenges she faced in standing up for her beliefs. She highlights the importance of accountability in leadership and the need for genuine integrity in business practices. The discussion also touches on the failures of mask mandates and the long-term consequences of school closures during the pandemic, emphasizing the need for continued advocacy for students' rights and educational equity.

Breaking Points

Colbert Vs Zohran On 'Anti-Semitism' Before Election Day
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It's primary day in the New York City mayoral race, with Zoron Mandani and Brad Lander cross-endorsing each other, significant due to Lander's status as the highest Jewish elected official in the city. This endorsement counters accusations of anti-Semitism against Zoron, which have been central to the Cuomo campaign. Zoron affirmed Israel's right to exist while addressing rising anti-Semitism, proposing an 800% increase in funding for anti-hate crime initiatives. Polls show a mixed picture, with one indicating Zoron leading at 52% against Cuomo's 48%. Zoron has strong support among younger, college-educated voters and Asian communities, while Cuomo's base is older Black voters. The election's dynamics are influenced by early voting trends and the extreme heat on election day, potentially affecting turnout. Cuomo's campaign has been criticized as lackluster, relying heavily on name recognition and endorsements from establishment figures like Bill Clinton. The outcome remains uncertain, with both candidates having distinct voter bases and strategies.

The Megyn Kelly Show

Vance Takes Centerstage, and "Ear Truthers" in Media, w/ Donald Trump, Jr., Rep. Donalds, and Taibbi
Guests: Donald Trump, Jr., Rep. Donalds, Taibbi
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Megyn Kelly hosts the final day of the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, where former President Trump is set to accept the Republican nomination. The week has been significant for the GOP, especially following Trump's recent assassination attempt, which some left-wing commentators have controversially claimed was staged. JD Vance, Trump's vice presidential pick, delivered a heartfelt speech honoring his mother, Beverly, who has overcome addiction and is now ten years sober. Vance's story resonates with many Americans facing similar struggles. On the Democratic side, there are growing concerns about President Biden's re-election campaign, with reports suggesting that top Democrats are urging him to withdraw. Axios reports that Biden's viability as a candidate is increasingly questioned, with speculation about his potential exit from the race. Donald Trump Jr. joins the show, discussing the unity within the Republican Party compared to the division in 2016. He reflects on how many former skeptics of Trump, like Vance, have come to support him after witnessing his policies in action. Trump Jr. expresses pride in his father's resilience following the assassination attempt, noting the media's negative reactions and conspiracy theories surrounding the incident. The conversation shifts to the Secret Service's handling of the assassination attempt, with Trump Jr. and Rep. Byron Donalds demanding accountability for the security failures that allowed the shooter to remain on the roof for several minutes before Trump took the stage. They emphasize the need for thorough investigations into the incident. As the convention progresses, emotional speeches from Gold Star families highlight the pain caused by the Biden administration's withdrawal from Afghanistan. These families express their anger over Biden's comments about not losing soldiers during his presidency, contrasting his behavior with Trump's compassion for them. The discussion also touches on the media's portrayal of the convention and the backlash against Vance's remarks about his family history, which some commentators have misinterpreted as promoting white nationalism. The hosts criticize the media's tendency to distort narratives and their failure to report on the convention's significant moments. As speculation mounts about Biden's potential withdrawal from the race, the hosts predict that the media will quickly pivot to support the new Democratic nominee, regardless of the circumstances surrounding Biden's exit. They conclude that the Democratic Party's internal struggles and the Republican Party's unity will shape the upcoming election landscape.

Unlimited Hangout

The Pre-Planned Chaos of the 2020 Election with Charlie Robinson
Guests: Charlie Robinson
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Whitney Webb and Charlie Robinson discuss predictions of chaos around the 2020 U.S. presidential election and how intelligence-linked simulations anticipated turmoil long before the coronavirus crisis, with outcomes ranging from a constitutional crisis to martial law. They point to simulations produced by networks tied to former Bush or Obama officials, neocon think tanks like PNAC, and allied groups. They argue these drills are not mere “war games” but part of a toolkit that maps possible futures, and note a pattern of simulations preceding major events such as 9/11, the anthrax attacks, London’s bombings, and the coronavirus crisis. Two organizations created around March are highlighted: the Transition Integrity Project and the National Task Force on Election Crises. The Transition Integrity Project’s cofounder Rosa Brooks is described as an Obama-era DOD and Hillary Clinton State Department adviser, previously special counsel to the president of George Soros’ Open Society Foundations, and affiliated with the New America Think Tank, funded by Eric Schmidt, the Gates Foundation, Pierre Omidyar, Jeff Skoll, Reid Hoffman, and Craig Newmark. The other cofounder, Nils Gilman, is vice president of programs for the Berggruen Institute, which envisions a transnational network addressing AI and gene editing. Membership overlaps exist across both groups, including Michael Chertoff, Max Boot, David Fromm, Bill Crystal, John Podesta, Robert Gates, and Larry Wilkerson, with Wilkerson being a prominent public figure in both efforts. The groups’ membership is not fully public, but various reports note their overlap and the presence of PNAC-linked figures. The groups reportedly gamed four election scenarios: ambiguous results, a Biden victory, a Trump victory, and a narrow Biden win. A particularly striking hypothetical under a clear Trump win describes the Biden campaign encouraging Cascadia—California, Oregon, and Washington—to secede unless Republicans agreed to reforms such as granting statehood to Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico; dividing California into five states; mandating Supreme Court retirements at 70; and eliminating the Electoral College. The scenario then envisions Congress awarding the presidency to Biden, with Pence and Republicans resisting, leading to a constitutional crisis in which the military’s role remains unclear. The discussion emphasizes that the people behind these simulations—like PNAC alumni—“are not Nostradamus” but seek to shape outcomes by prefiguring them. The conversation also covers how some involved openly support Biden, and how the campaigns leverage narratives of democracy threats. Hillary Clinton’s recent remarks about not conceding are juxtaposed with the TIP projections. They discuss campaign energy differentials, the debate dynamics, and the perception that Biden’s team seeks stability and predictability, while Trump’s unpredictability complicates control. They examine cyber and foreign interference narratives. Cybereason, an Israeli-founded cybersecurity firm with Unit 8200 ties, has major investors such as Lockheed Martin and Microsoft-linked entities; its founder served in Israeli intelligence. Cybereason’s work, and broader CTI League efforts, are cited as manifesting the external dimension of election security narratives. The discussion critiques media and political elites who promote foreign-interference threats while overlapping with pro-Israel intelligence circles. They argue these dynamics intersect with broader agendas, including AI governance and the World Economic Forum’s Great Reset, suggesting a convergence of technocratic power, media narratives, and political operatives aimed at managing or engineering political outcomes. They close by signaling ongoing reporting on these themes, highlighting the need to recognize the pattern of simulations, prepositioning, and narratives intended to normalize drastic interventions around elections, including potential continuity-of-government scenarios.
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