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Trump is currently leading by 11 points among independent voters in Georgia, with 54% to 30%. Four years ago, Biden had a 9-point advantage with independents when he won the state. This marks a significant 20-point swing towards Trump. Additionally, there are slight improvements for Biden among young voters and non-college-educated whites, but the shift among independents is particularly notable.

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Donald Trump is just 4 electoral votes shy of the 270 needed to win the presidency. Currently, Alaska shows Trump leading by nearly 15 points with 56% reporting, which would give him 3 electoral votes. Additionally, he is favored to win Maine's 2nd congressional district, potentially reaching the crucial 270. Key states like Michigan and Wisconsin are also leaning towards Trump, with significant leads reported. In Michigan, Trump is ahead by 324,000 votes with 83% reporting, and in Wisconsin, he leads by 108,000 votes with 96% reporting. Other battleground states, including Arizona and Nevada, show Trump with favorable margins. Despite the outstanding calls, all indicators suggest a Trump victory is imminent.

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President Trump received more votes than any previous incumbent president in history, but still lost the election. No incumbent who received 75% of the primary vote has ever lost reelection. President Trump received 94% of the primary vote, a record high. He also won 18 out of 19 bellwether counties, which have historically predicted the eventual president. Biden did not have coattails for down ballot races, yet Republicans maintained control of the Senate and won all 27 toss-up races in the House. They did not lose a single seat in the House. President Trump won in Florida, Ohio, and Georgia.

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We are awaiting more votes from the key battleground states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Both campaigns are closely monitoring the situation as six top battlegrounds remain undecided. Stay tuned for the next significant update on the vote count.

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President Trump is leading in a morning consult poll in seven swing states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The poll shows that he is ahead of President Biden in all of these areas.

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Here's what's happening: Trump has taken the lead in key areas, including Bucks County and the battleground state of Georgia. While votes are still being counted and some states remain uncalled, the Republican Party is projected to control the Senate. The Harris campaign is telling supporters to go home and wait until tomorrow, a stark contrast to the historic victory they had hoped to witness. Despite running a flawless campaign with widespread celebrity support, the outcome is uncertain, causing alarm both domestically and internationally. As of now, only two of the seven swing states, Georgia and North Carolina, have been called. Pennsylvania has been won by Donald Trump.

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In Georgia and North Carolina, early voting shows low propensity voters are participating, but urban and female turnout is down compared to 2020. This trend is surprising to many. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris has significant challenges to address as Trump is expected to win today.

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The story focuses on exit polls in Georgia, where independent voters now make up 31% of the electorate, a slight increase from four years ago. Early exit poll results show Trump leading among independents by 11 points, with 54% support compared to 30% for Biden. In the previous election, Biden had a 9-point advantage among independents, contributing to his victory in the state. This indicates a significant 20-point swing towards Trump among independent voters in Georgia.

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Poll numbers show Joe Biden's presidency is viewed more negatively than Donald Trump's. 46% of voters say Biden's presidency has been mostly bad, while only 25% say it has been mostly good. This trend is reflected in swing state polls as well. Voters seem nostalgic for Trump's presidency and are leaning towards supporting him in the upcoming election. Kellyanne Conway, a Fox News contributor and former White House chief of staff, believes voters are feeling less prosperous, safe, and fair under Biden's leadership compared to Trump's.

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NBC News projects that Donald Trump has won Pennsylvania, bringing his electoral vote count to 266, while Kamala Harris has 194. This marks the third of seven major swing states called. The results present significant challenges for the Democratic ticket. Trump is expected to speak soon at the Palm Beach Convention Center, where the crowd is eagerly awaiting him. As we prepare for his remarks, it's clear that the electoral college favors Trump, and he might even secure a popular vote majority. While concerns about democratic legitimacy and the electoral process are valid, if Trump wins, he will have legitimately won according to the current constitutional order. The preservation of American democracy will require ongoing efforts moving forward.

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This is a crucial moment for the Harris campaign to reach 270 electoral votes. They are focusing on the blue wall states: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan, where they have the best chances. Currently, two of these states are leaning red. The campaign remains hopeful but is also considering possibilities in the Sun Belt. In North Carolina, Trump leads by 142,000 votes with 85% reporting. While there are still outstanding votes in urban areas that could favor Democrats, the situation resembles 2016 more than 2020. The Harris campaign is analyzing the remaining votes to strategize, but the outlook in North Carolina appears more favorable for Trump at this stage.

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Michigan shows a significant shift, with Donald Trump gaining ground compared to 2020. If Kamala Harris wins Pennsylvania, she would reach 219 electoral votes, needing more states to secure a win. Virginia and Minnesota are expected to lean Democratic, while North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona remain critical battlegrounds. The presidential race is tight, which could influence Senate outcomes. Currently, Republicans have a net gain of one seat, but many races are still undecided. The focus remains on the balance of power in both the Senate and House of Representatives as results continue to come in.

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The speaker claims that the current election is the most consistently tight general election ever, particularly in seven key battleground states: Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. The margins in these states average only 1 or 2 points, based on polling data. The speaker states that the average error for statewide polling in battleground states since 1972 is 3.4 points. Therefore, an average error across these states could cause all of them to swing in one direction.

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Donald Trump is currently leading in key battleground states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, surpassing 50% of the vote. This marks a notable increase from his previous performances in 2016 and 2020. Trump's supporters are optimistic, expecting him to express gratitude to his team during his speech. There are discussions about the impact of abortion on the election, with some believing it was overemphasized as a driving issue. The focus is shifting to how Trump will address the nation moving forward, with concerns about his leadership style and ability to prioritize the country over himself. The political landscape is changing, with the Republican Party emerging as a multiracial working-class party, but the implications for policy, especially on climate issues, remain uncertain.

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Joe Biden and Donald Trump are currently competing in the Sun Belt. Biden hopes to expand his support, but it is uncertain how long this will take. Trump is leading in Pennsylvania with a million votes, and he is also leading in other states. However, there is a possibility of surprises, especially in Alaska. Ultimately, the outcome will determine where we end up on the West Coast. This process is not exact, but it is estimated that Trump has the advantage.

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NBC News projects that Donald Trump has won Pennsylvania, bringing his electoral vote count to 266, while Kamala Harris has 194. This marks the third of seven major swing states called. The results present a significant challenge for the Democratic ticket. Trump is expected to speak soon at the Palm Beach Convention Center, where the crowd is eagerly awaiting his remarks. As the situation unfolds, it's clear that the electoral college favors Trump, and he might secure a popular vote majority. Despite concerns about democratic legitimacy and past events, if Trump wins, it aligns with the constitutional process. The focus now shifts to the preservation of American democracy and the constitutional order moving forward.

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Trump is in a competitive position for the popular vote, with recent polls showing a tight race against Harris. Current polling indicates Trump is ahead in some surveys, while Harris leads in others, making the national popular vote too close to call. Historically, Republicans haven't won the popular vote since 2004, and the last two elections showed Democrats with significant leads at this point. However, Trump’s potential to win the popular vote raises the possibility of a Democrat winning the electoral college despite losing the popular vote. State-level polling reveals Trump is performing well in key states, which could lead to a scenario where he gains in the national popular vote but loses in the electoral college. This situation could reignite discussions about electoral college reform.

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Donald Trump has won Montana and Utah, securing 4 and 6 electoral votes, respectively. Nevada remains too early to call. Currently, Trump has 172 electoral votes, while Kamala Harris has 81, with 270 needed to win. In key races, Harris leads in Pennsylvania with 49.9% to Trump's 49.2%, holding an 18,000 vote lead with 43% of votes counted. In Michigan, Harris has 51.6% and a 46,000 vote lead, with only 16% of votes in. Wisconsin shows Harris at 49.8% with a 15,000 vote lead, while Trump leads North Carolina with 52% and a 196,000 vote margin, with 66% counted. In Georgia, Trump leads with 51.9% and a 208,000 vote advantage, with 79% of votes in.

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A recent poll by Seattle College and The New York Times reveals that Donald Trump is the clear favorite among Republican voters. He leads with 54% support, while his closest rival, Ron DeSantis, only has 17%. The poll analyzed 26 different demographic groups, and Trump came out on top in every single one. Even among Republican voters with a college degree or those earning over $100,000 per year, Trump still holds a significant lead. If the field were to narrow down to just Trump and DeSantis, Trump would win by a margin of over 30 points. This data solidifies Trump's position as the leader of the Republican Party.

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We're seeing Trump take the lead in key areas. In the battleground state of Georgia, Trump has prevailed. Despite votes still being counted, we're committed to ensuring every vote is tallied. The atmosphere is somber as the map's implications sink in. The outcome isn't what many hoped for, particularly regarding a potential historic election. The campaign, despite being flawlessly run and endorsed by numerous prominent figures, faces uncertainty. People worldwide are waking up to this, with many expressing alarm. Of the seven swing states, only Georgia and North Carolina have been called. Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin remain uncalled. Trump has won Pennsylvania, presenting a significant challenge for the Democratic ticket. We've achieved something incredible, overcoming seemingly impossible obstacles. It's going to be a tough speech.

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NBC News has projected Donald Trump as the winner of the presidential race in Ohio, the home state of his vice presidential running mate. This result is not surprising, as Ohio, once a key swing state like Florida, is no longer viewed as such.

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Donald Trump has officially been elected president, defeating Vice President Kamala Harris. This marks a significant political comeback in modern American politics. CNN has made this projection following Trump's victory in Wisconsin.

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In a recent CNN poll, it was revealed that Donald Trump is leading in the battleground states of Georgia and Michigan. In Georgia, where Biden won by a narrow margin in 2020, Trump is preferred by 5% of registered voters. In Michigan, which Trump won in 2016 but Biden won in 2020, Trump is now ahead by 10 points. Interestingly, a significant portion of those polled in each state did not vote in 2020, and these less engaged voters heavily favored Trump, with a 26-point lead in Georgia and a 40-point lead in Michigan.

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Speaker 0 asks Speaker 1 why they are behind Trump in swing state polls. Speaker 1 responds by saying that the polls are not accurate because there are 10 polls in total, and in 8 of them, they are actually ahead of Trump in those states. Speaker 1 suggests checking all the polls instead of just relying on CNN and New York Times. They emphasize not to believe the negative portrayal and encourage reviewing the actual poll data.

The Megyn Kelly Show

Trump's Garbage Truck Moment, and Biden Biting Babies, w/ Stu Burguiere, RedSteeze, Spencer Kimball

Guests: Stu Burguiere, RedSteeze, Spencer Kimball

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Megyn Kelly opens the Halloween episode of her show by discussing her Halloween candy-giving traditions and the importance of manners. She mentions the upcoming live coverage of the election night on Sirius XM and YouTube, highlighting a diverse lineup of guests to analyze the results. Spencer Kimball from Emerson polling joins to discuss recent polls, particularly a CNN poll showing Kamala Harris with a lead in Michigan and Wisconsin. Kimball explains that polls are ranges and emphasizes that the CNN poll may be an outlier, suggesting that Harris is underperforming compared to Biden in 2020. He notes that Trump appears to be gaining momentum as election day approaches, particularly in key states like Pennsylvania, where polls show a tight race. The conversation shifts to the potential paths to victory for both candidates. Kimball analyzes states like Georgia, North Carolina, and Arizona, indicating that Trump has a solid chance in these areas. He mentions that North Carolina is historically challenging for Democrats and discusses the implications of Harris pulling advertising from the state. In Arizona, Kimball points out that immigration is a significant issue, with both genders leaning towards Trump, which is unusual compared to other swing states. He also discusses Nevada, where early voting numbers show a surprising Republican turnout, suggesting that Trump could have a better chance than expected. The discussion continues with a focus on the Rust Belt states, particularly Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Kimball believes Wisconsin is the most favorable for Trump, while Michigan remains a toss-up. He highlights that Harris is struggling with minority groups and older voters compared to Biden's performance in 2020. As the show progresses, the hosts analyze Trump's campaign strategies, including his recent antics, which they believe resonate well with voters. They contrast this with Harris's inability to connect with the electorate, emphasizing the importance of authenticity in campaigning. The episode concludes with a humorous segment about Biden's odd behavior at a recent event, where he pretended to eat a baby's foot, prompting discussions about the appropriateness of such actions for a sitting president. The hosts express concern over Biden's mental acuity and how it may impact the election.