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Early voting numbers show Kamala Harris falling short in swing states, raising questions about voter enthusiasm. There are two possibilities: either Trump is set for a decisive win, or early voting is skewing the results. Observations from Pennsylvania suggest a shift in energy, particularly among historically Democratic demographics like Gen Z. The Republican Party appears more organized this time, learning from past elections, and focusing on a broad coalition of voters rejecting censorship and economic decline. This coalition could reshape the Republican Party, similar to Reagan's impact. The upcoming election is seen as a starting point for revitalizing the country, with optimism for the future.

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Happy election day! I want to share a surprising experience from voting. While in line, I spoke with four young, single women who fit the demographic expected to support Kamala Harris. To my surprise, they all expressed support for Trump, citing concerns about safety, affordability, and their futures. This demographic, which is crucial for Kamala, seems to be shifting. Despite ads suggesting women can vote for Kamala without pressure, it appears that social pressure from other women may be influencing their choices. The young suburban women I encountered are secretly leaning towards Trump, which I believe is not reflected in polls. This could indicate a significant shift in voter sentiment, potentially leading to a strong victory. What was your voting experience like? Stay in line; we can win and put America first!

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I was out getting champagne and chatted with a store clerk about voting. He mentioned he voted early, and I expressed confidence that Kamala Harris would win. I emphasized that women are voting in unprecedented numbers, especially on reproductive rights. Despite his skepticism about close numbers, I insisted she would win swing states and more. I told him he wasted his vote, then left with my champagne. Ultimately, Harris did not win, and there were 18 million fewer votes than in 2020. High turnout is crucial for Democrats, and one cannot predict election outcomes without considering the effects of racism and misogyny.

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I was on the ticket because I could code-talk to white guys watching football, putting them at ease and giving them permission to vote for the ticket. Across swing states, except Minnesota, we didn't get enough of those votes. I said I'd give good stuff, but also 10% problematic stuff, so someone had to make decisions to handle it. We had the most qualified presidential candidate in history, which should have won. The other side had a very unqualified person. The question was how to get hits and whether to call him weird or emphasize policy differences. History will judge if those decisions were right or wrong.

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The race is very close, and we're awaiting results from three key states. Polling indicated a tight contest, and rural areas voted significantly less for her compared to Joe Biden four years ago, which she couldn't offset in suburban and urban areas. It's crucial to honor democracy and the will of the people. As the son of a refugee, I deeply value this country and its institutions. I believe the vice president will respect the final outcome, regardless of whether it’s favorable. There’s an important message in that commitment to democracy.

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In Georgia and North Carolina, early voting shows low propensity voters are participating, but urban and female turnout is down compared to 2020. This trend is surprising to many. Meanwhile, Kamala Harris has significant challenges to address as Trump is expected to win today.

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I'm upset about the erosion of our border and sovereignty over the past three years. As an American citizen, I feel underserved and overtaxed. I registered as a Republican at 18 in the Philadelphia suburbs, which were red then, but now I'm outnumbered. Despite voting differently, we are proud Americans, and the American flag flies outside our homes. In my New Jersey beach cottage, I enjoy time with my labs, Lola and Taylor. Back in Delaware County, I teach figure skating. I believe Trump will perform better this year due to concerns about inflation, the border, and perceptions of Harris being too liberal. There’s a quiet Trump vote; despite his odd behaviors, I believe he is patriotic and loves this country more than the other side. The suburbs are key in close races.

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The discussion centers on the 2020 election, which Speaker 1 claims was rigged due to fake ballots and other factors, including the influence of 51 intelligence agents. Speaker 0 counters that recounts in swing states and over 50 lawsuits found no widespread corruption or voter fraud, citing a potential case of voter fraud in six battleground states that uncovered fewer than 475 cases. Speaker 1 asserts Wisconsin has practically admitted the election was rigged and other states are doing the same. Speaker 0 questions how Speaker 1 will appeal to independent suburban women voters. Speaker 1 references polls showing him leading, including with women. Speaker 0 notes polls can change. Speaker 1 states he would like to be less combative but feels the press's dishonesty necessitates it to get his message across and win.

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Looking at the numbers, Black voters really showed up for Kamala Harris. However, white women voters didn't follow suit. In states where reproductive rights were taken away and efforts were made to emphasize the importance of reelecting the person responsible for taking those rights away to restore them, that message didn't resonate enough with white women to vote for Vice President Harris. This is a critical moment. White women now have a second chance to shift how they engage with the patriarchy.

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The speakers discuss election night, noting no surprises as key states like Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan are too close to call early on. The Harris campaign aimed to drive up numbers to counteract rural votes for Trump. Some felt Harris ran a flawless campaign, while Trump had a "trashy week." Completed rural counties showed Trump's vote share increased relative to 2020. Public polling indicated a close race. The crowd at the Harris event was described as "nauseously optimistic," focusing on the "blue wall" in the Midwest. Later, NBC News called North Carolina and Georgia for Trump. Trump also gained in key counties. Eventually, NBC News projected Trump won Pennsylvania, presenting an "insurmountable future" for Harris. A short statement from Cedric Richmond, the Harris campaign co-chair, stated they would continue to fight to ensure every vote is counted. The mood at the Harris event grew somber, with attendees being told to go home and wait until tomorrow.

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The speaker believes they were on the ticket because of progressive actions in Minnesota, but also because they could "code talk" to white men, putting them at ease. The speaker suggests they provided a "permission structure" for this demographic to vote for the ticket. They claim that, with the exception of Minnesota, the ticket did not get enough of this demographic in swing states.

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In a recent New York Times poll, we were shown to be leading by a significant margin of 37 points, which is truly remarkable. Meanwhile, DeSantis has experienced a significant decline in popularity, and I believe he may be out of the race. However, it's important to remember that nothing is certain until it's over. As Yogi Berra famously said, "It ain't over till it's over."

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The speaker believes they were on the ticket because of progressive actions in Minnesota, but also because they could "code talk" to white men, putting them at ease. The speaker suggests they provided a "permission structure" for this demographic to vote for the ticket. They claim that, with the exception of Minnesota, the ticket did not get enough of this demographic in swing states.

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I've spoken with many concerned individuals who have valid emotions. Politicians, including Trump, are imperfect, but we achieved significant progress during his administration. While Trump's stance on abortion may not resonate with everyone, a notable percentage of women still voted for him, indicating that abortion isn't the sole issue for many. People have diverse concerns, such as border security, crime, and inflation. Women and men alike have multifaceted priorities. If abortion is your primary concern, consider living in a pro-choice state. However, many voters prioritize other issues and believe Trump can address them, even if not perfectly. I acknowledge my perspective as a man and refrain from commenting on abortion.

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The speaker believes they were on the ticket because of progressive actions in Minnesota, but also because they could "code talk" to white men, putting them at ease. The speaker suggests they provided a "permission structure" for this demographic to vote for the ticket. They claim that, with the exception of Minnesota, the ticket did not get enough of this demographic in swing states.

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The math is concerning for Democrats, as they are down 1.7 million early votes in battleground states. In urban areas, they are short by 1.4 million votes among women voters, while rural voters have exceeded expectations by 300,000. Democrats need to secure early victories, as Republicans typically perform better on election day. Currently, the margins do not favor Democrats in these key states.

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The speakers discuss election night, noting no surprises and very close races in Georgia, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. Public polling indicated a close race, and early results confirm this. The Harris campaign aimed to increase voter turnout to counteract Trump's expected rural votes. Some believe the Harris campaign was flawless, with strong get-out-the-vote efforts, while Trump's rallies were not well-attended. Reproductive rights are a key issue for young women voters. Trump's vote share increased in rural counties compared to 2020. North Carolina and Georgia were called for Trump. Trump also gained ground in key Pennsylvania counties. The Republican Party will control the Senate. The Harris campaign acknowledged the need to count all votes. The mood at the Harris event grew somber as results came in. The focus shifted to the "blue wall" states, which remained uncalled. Pennsylvania was later called for Trump, presenting an insurmountable challenge for Harris. Trump declared victory, stating they overcame obstacles thought impossible.

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The speaker believes the Schimmel campaign was struggling before Musk's involvement, and while Musk may have given a boost, it didn't solve the Republican issue of low propensity voters turning out for non-Trump candidates. Musk attempted to tie the Supreme Court race vote to larger political issues, but it wasn't sufficient. This is an equation Republicans must solve, particularly in the upcoming midterms, which party strategists will need to address. The speaker does not believe this will be an issue in 2028.

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Pollsters show Trump down 4-5 points, but Rasmussen and Mark Pence polls show him almost even. The New York Times poll, showing Trump further down, surveyed only 37% Trump voters, despite him winning by almost 1.5 points. The Washington Post polled over 2,000 people, but only 840 were identified as Trump voters. This echoes 2016 when polls were wrong, and 2020 when Biden's strength was overestimated by 4-5 points. In 2024, an NPR poll had Kamala Harris winning by four points on election eve. The Des Moines Register had Trump losing Iowa by three points, but he won by 12. Pollsters may be trying to create momentum, fundraise, and energize opposition, despite Trump losing support due to trade war controversies.

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Speaker 0 asks Speaker 1 why they are behind Trump in swing state polls. Speaker 1 responds by saying that the polls are not accurate because there are 10 polls in total, and in 8 of them, they are actually ahead of Trump in those states. Speaker 1 suggests checking all the polls instead of just relying on CNN and New York Times. They emphasize not to believe the negative portrayal and encourage reviewing the actual poll data.

Breaking Points

SHOCK POLL Shows Trump Midterm WIPEOUT
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The episode centers on the ongoing government shutdown and the strategic maneuvering around funding, highlighting how Democrats secured funding for most agencies while DHS remained funded under negotiation. The discussion examines leverage dynamics, with lawmakers debating potential concessions on policing reforms, body cameras, and masking requirements for federal agents, framed by the base’s demand for accountability. The hosts review how media coverage, including a New York Times focus group, shapes perceptions of whether Democrats should run as progressives or moderates, while noting the evolving definition of those labels and their political implications. A key throughline is polling and projections about the 2024 to 2026 electoral landscape, including reweighted scenarios for a Trump-Kamala Harris rematch and shifting Senate odds. The conversation analyzes how voter turnout, post-2024 sentiment, and independent voters could tilt midterm outcomes, potentially producing a Democratic shift in Congress even as general disillusionment persists. The hosts compare historical midterm dynamics and consider which races might swing based on voter engagement, party branding, and the broader political climate.

The Megyn Kelly Show

Megyn's Biggest Losers of Election, and Kimmel Cries Over Trump, with Don Trump Jr. and Piers Morgan
Guests: Don Trump Jr., Piers Morgan
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Megyn Kelly opens the show discussing the aftermath of Donald Trump's significant victory over Kamala Harris, highlighting Trump's 4.2 million vote lead in the popular vote and his 312 Electoral College votes. She introduces Donald Trump Jr., who shares his excitement and adrenaline-fueled experience during the election. Trump Jr. reflects on the cultural shift he observed, noting increased support from diverse demographics, including African-American men and young voters, which he attributes to dissatisfaction with Democratic policies. He recounts the moment they realized Trump had won, particularly when Pennsylvania was called, marking a significant breakthrough in the blue wall states. Trump Jr. emphasizes the importance of decisive voting to prevent ballot manipulation, referencing concerns from the 2020 election. He discusses the Democrats' disconnect from voters, particularly regarding issues like gender identity in sports, which he believes alienates many. Kelly and Trump Jr. analyze the Democratic Party's struggles, citing the New York Times' report on Harris's campaign failures, including her inability to effectively address Trump's messaging on transgender issues. Trump Jr. argues that the Democrats' focus on identity politics and celebrity endorsements backfired, leading to a loss of support among key voter demographics. Piers Morgan joins the discussion, criticizing the emotional reactions of late-night hosts to Trump's victory and highlighting the disconnect between their views and the electorate's sentiments. He argues that the woke mindset has been rejected by voters, suggesting that the Democratic Party must adapt to remain relevant. Morgan emphasizes the need for a centrist candidate to challenge Trump effectively in future elections. The conversation concludes with reflections on the implications of Trump's win for the future of American politics, emphasizing the need for both parties to address the concerns of everyday Americans rather than relying on elite narratives.

The Megyn Kelly Show

Megyn Goes Behind-The-Scenes of Her Trump Rally Speech, Plus Key States to Watch, with Henry Olsen
Guests: Henry Olsen
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Megyn Kelly welcomes viewers to the election day show, promising extensive coverage with over 20 guests and live analysis starting at 8:00 PM. She shares her experience attending Donald Trump's final rally in Pennsylvania, noting his emotional connection with supporters and his acknowledgment that this could be his last campaign. Trump expressed a sense of sadness about the end of campaigning, highlighting his love for engaging with people. Henry Olsen, a senior fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center, joins the show to discuss his predictions for the election. He forecasts a close race, with Kamala Harris leading in the popular vote but Trump winning the Electoral College. Olsen emphasizes the importance of swing states like Georgia and North Carolina, suggesting that if Trump secures these states, he has multiple paths to victory. Olsen also discusses early voting trends, noting higher turnout in rural and Republican-leaning areas compared to urban centers, which he believes is favorable for Trump. He mentions that while women are voting in higher numbers, the overall female share of the vote remains consistent with previous elections, countering narratives of a significant shift. The conversation touches on various states, including Nevada and Pennsylvania, where early voting data suggests a Republican advantage. Olsen expresses skepticism about claims of a surge in young female Democratic voters, arguing that the data does not support such a narrative. As the show progresses, Kelly takes calls from listeners, discussing their thoughts on the election and their voting experiences. Many callers express optimism for Trump, while others share concerns about the integrity of the voting process in their states. Kelly concludes by encouraging viewers to tune in for the election night coverage, emphasizing the importance of voter turnout and the need for engagement in the electoral process. She highlights the significance of the election for the future of the country and the stakes involved.

The Megyn Kelly Show

Trump's Garbage Truck Moment, and Biden Biting Babies, w/ Stu Burguiere, RedSteeze, Spencer Kimball
Guests: Stu Burguiere, RedSteeze, Spencer Kimball
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Megyn Kelly opens the Halloween episode of her show by discussing her Halloween candy-giving traditions and the importance of manners. She mentions the upcoming live coverage of the election night on Sirius XM and YouTube, highlighting a diverse lineup of guests to analyze the results. Spencer Kimball from Emerson polling joins to discuss recent polls, particularly a CNN poll showing Kamala Harris with a lead in Michigan and Wisconsin. Kimball explains that polls are ranges and emphasizes that the CNN poll may be an outlier, suggesting that Harris is underperforming compared to Biden in 2020. He notes that Trump appears to be gaining momentum as election day approaches, particularly in key states like Pennsylvania, where polls show a tight race. The conversation shifts to the potential paths to victory for both candidates. Kimball analyzes states like Georgia, North Carolina, and Arizona, indicating that Trump has a solid chance in these areas. He mentions that North Carolina is historically challenging for Democrats and discusses the implications of Harris pulling advertising from the state. In Arizona, Kimball points out that immigration is a significant issue, with both genders leaning towards Trump, which is unusual compared to other swing states. He also discusses Nevada, where early voting numbers show a surprising Republican turnout, suggesting that Trump could have a better chance than expected. The discussion continues with a focus on the Rust Belt states, particularly Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Kimball believes Wisconsin is the most favorable for Trump, while Michigan remains a toss-up. He highlights that Harris is struggling with minority groups and older voters compared to Biden's performance in 2020. As the show progresses, the hosts analyze Trump's campaign strategies, including his recent antics, which they believe resonate well with voters. They contrast this with Harris's inability to connect with the electorate, emphasizing the importance of authenticity in campaigning. The episode concludes with a humorous segment about Biden's odd behavior at a recent event, where he pretended to eat a baby's foot, prompting discussions about the appropriateness of such actions for a sitting president. The hosts express concern over Biden's mental acuity and how it may impact the election.

PBD Podcast

ELECTION DAY RECAP w/ Rod Blagojevich | PBD Podcast | Ep. 203
Guests: Rod Blagojevich
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In this episode of the podcast, Patrick Bet-David hosts former Governor Rod Blagojevich and discusses the recent midterm elections. The conversation begins with an overview of the election results, noting that while some Republicans like Ron DeSantis and Marco Rubio performed well, the anticipated "red wave" did not materialize, leading to a more subdued outcome. Blagojevich expresses surprise at the results, particularly regarding Kari Lake in Arizona, suggesting her campaign was strong enough to secure a win. The discussion shifts to the implications of the election results, with Blagojevich identifying Donald Trump as a significant loser due to the failure of candidates aligned with election denialism. He emphasizes that the abortion issue, particularly following the Dobbs decision, played a crucial role in swaying voters, particularly women, against Republican candidates. The hosts agree that the Republican Party needs to reconsider its approach if it hopes to win future elections, with DeSantis being highlighted as a potential unifying candidate. The conversation also touches on the role of pollsters and political consultants, with Blagojevich criticizing their accuracy and suggesting that they have lost credibility. The hosts discuss the impact of economic factors, including inflation and rising interest rates, on voter sentiment and the potential for a challenging economic landscape ahead. As the podcast progresses, they delve into the influence of billionaires in politics, highlighting the disparity in donations between Democrats and Republicans, and the implications of Citizens United on campaign financing. Blagojevich advocates for campaign finance reform to reduce the influence of money in politics, suggesting that public financing of campaigns could help restore trust in the electoral process. The hosts also discuss the growing trend of people leaving blue states like California and Illinois for states with more favorable business climates and lower crime rates. They speculate on the potential for a second wave of migration as voters react to the election outcomes and ongoing economic challenges. Finally, the episode concludes with a discussion on the importance of addressing crime and public safety, with Blagojevich sharing insights from his experience as governor. The podcast wraps up with a call to action for viewers to engage with the content and participate in future live events as the show continues to grow.
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