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Ashton Rutansi frames Going Underground’s fourth week of what he calls Epstein fury, ahead of a UN Security Council debate on the Middle East, noting that the US-Israeli war in West Asia has broadened from a regional clash into a disruption of livelihoods in NATO nations. He argues the conflict began as a US-Israeli sabotage attack leveraging Kushner and Wittkopf negotiations, but now threatens energy, food production, medicines, and chip supply, with Iran threats to Gulf infrastructure and desalination plants. He suggests the US president is more focused on Netanyahu-related pressure and Gulf money than on broader strategic consequences, including a possible end to a US presence in the Middle East and the political jeopardy of the GOP in November. He also mentions Trump’s controversial actions, including strikes and environmental damage in the Gulf, and consequences of attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.
Brandon Wykert, senior national security editor at 1945, described by Tucker Carlson as one of America’s most informed free-speaking voices, joins from Naples, Florida. He asserts that Netanyahu is pressuring Trump toward nuclear escalation, potentially the first use of nuclear weapons in battle since Hiroshima and Nagasaki. Wykert, author of The Shadow War, Iran’s Quest for Supremacy, and A Disaster of Our Own Making, clarifies that his work does not advocate war; rather, it sought a middle path between invasion and surrender, with the Abraham Accords now off the table.
Wykert characterizes Iran’s escalation as methodical and counter-punching rather than initiating new attacks. He says the US and Israel began hostilities on February 28 against the advice of the US military Joint Chiefs of Staff. He notes Iran escalated only after being attacked, emphasizing Iran’s graduated escalation and decentralized regime and command-and-control, with Tehran’s leadership leveraging economic attacks as a strategic tactic to exploit vulnerabilities in the US-led coalition. He argues Iran has studied American-Israeli modes of warfare and anticipated decapitation strikes, leading to a high-end insurgency linked to economic disruption, calibrated to inflict costs on the US and its partners.
On access to high-level sources, Wykert claims they “don’t take my calls” in the Trump administration, suggesting limited engagement and that his own views were not aligned with an invasion. He references political shifts within the administration, including Tulsi Gabbard’s remaining power and JD Vance’s role, and speculates about internal divisions that might preclude a more aggressive path.
The discussion turns to casualty figures, with Wykert disputing official counts and suggesting potential underreporting. He describes casualty management and media control as a strategy to avoid destabilizing the news cycle, calling it a “perception management” tactic. He raises concerns about false flag risks, pointing to historical events like Lavon and Tonkin as possible precedents, and predicts the possibility of a terrorist attack to rally American support for ground operations, though he doubts Iran would want to consolidate public support for a broader war.
The conversation touches on alleged CIA disinformation and targeted efforts against journalists like Tucker Carlson and Brandon himself, arguing that the intelligence community and allied Five Eyes networks may be pressuring narratives counter to what Wykert views as America’s best interests. He cites shifting White House statements on imminent Iranian nuclear threat, underscoring alleged inconsistencies.
Towards the end, Wykert praises Joe Kent, a former director of the National Counterterrorism Center who resigned, describing him as honorable and stating that the administration’s course is dangerous and potentially unconstitutional. He asserts that the war may be serving Israeli interests and warns that the conflict risks a broader—perhaps strategic—realignment, with Putin potentially playing a mediating role and Russia and China ascending as the United States declines. He concludes that Iran seeks to “bloody” the US and Israel to deter future aggression, implying that a reduced American presence and negotiated off-ramp could emerge, reshaping the regional order.