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A resolution is being introduced to consider an attack on NATO if Russia or its proxy, Belarus, detonates a nuclear device in Ukraine. The belief is that such an attack would irradiate Europe and harm NATO allies. The urgency stems from President Biden's acknowledgment of the threat of Putin using tactical nuclear weapons. The counter offensive in Ukraine is progressing slowly, but thousands of well-trained forces are ready to join the battle. The focus is on the potential use of nuclear weapons by Putin, and the message is clear: NATO will respond massively, and a war with NATO will ensue. The resolution aims to deter Russia and provide clarity on the consequences of such actions.

We advise Americans in Moscow to avoid large gatherings for safety. Stay where you are and follow updates from the state department. In Ukraine, Russia initiated a significant attack today.

Mario and Larry discuss a high-tension incident: a claimed Ukrainian attack on one of Vladimir Putin’s residences in Novgorod with about 90 long-range drones, reported by Russia as an act of terrorism, with Lavrov pledging retaliation and a Kremlin aide claiming Putin mentioned timing for strikes after a call to Trump. They note there is no proof provided of damage or casualties, and no confirmation from the US side. The conversation covers who might be responsible—Ukraine, Russia as a false flag, or other actors—and the implications for ongoing negotiations. Larry outlines the timeline as presented by the Russians: the attack supposedly occurred the night of the 28th into the 29th, with Putin informing Trump about it within the last six hours; there were additional conversations today, including Putin’s remarks to Zelensky in Florida and a meeting in which Lavrov indicated retaliatory options were set. He emphasizes the Russians treat it as terrorism and notes Putin has not lived at his residences for years, instead using the Kremlin, and that the targeted location was symbolic or an assassination attempt. He recalls past Ukrainian incidents against Putin (e.g., Kursk helicopter episode) and observes that Russia has historically focused on military targets rather than civilians, contrasting with Ukrainian strikes on civilian targets in Donbas. He suggests the incident could be used to undermine Ukrainian credibility in negotiations or to accelerate Russian military actions. Mario questions the motive if Ukraine targeted a residence Putin doesn’t regularly inhabit and ponders whether this helps or harms Trump’s peace aims. He references Budanov’s prior statements about attempted Ukrainian hits on Putin and notes Budanov’s alleged CIA alignment. He raises concerns about possible internal US intelligence conflict with Trump and cites a veteran’s observation about shifts in US media and intelligence narratives. He also notes Zelensky’s insistence on no territorial concessions, and Russia’s insistence that Crimea, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, Donetsk, and Luhansk be permanently part of the Russian Federation with elections to legitimize any future arrangements, and to have NATO out of Ukraine—conditions not open to negotiation. They debate whether the attack could be a false flag or staged by Western intelligence, with Larry pointing out that proof or radar data could settle the question: if 91 drones were fired from Ukrainian territory, radar evidence would exist; if Russia staged it, they would need to show what was shot down. They discuss Ukraine’s record of attacks on Russian targets (e.g., Crocus Theater attack, the Darya Dugin assassination attempt, the 2023 journalist killing with an exploding statue head) and Russia’s countermeasures, including potential hits on Ukrainian intelligence facilities like the SBU headquarters in Kyiv. Larry asserts that retaliatory actions could reveal who is behind the attack, suggesting Russia might target the Ureshnik missile system or European assets if warranted by evidence and strategic aims. The pair analyzes ongoing battlefield developments: Russia has intensified manpower and now reportedly fields over a million troops with eight active axes, while Ukraine faces mounting pressure; independent assessments indicate more Russian territorial gains in 2023–2024, including Pokrovsk and Mykolaiv region advances, with Zaporizhzhia looming as a critical front. They contrast propaganda effectiveness: Ukraine often dominates information warfare, while Russia’s messaging lags. They discuss a potential peace process: Trump’s outreach, Zelensky’s in-person engagement with Wittkopf and Kushner, and the prospect of security guarantees for Ukraine in a postwar scenario, with Trump claiming possible postwar support—discounting questions about whether Congress would ratify any deal, given prevailing anti-Russian sentiment in the US. Larry concludes that the attack will impact negotiations, though he believes negotiations are already off track because Ukraine resists concessions while Russia maintains strict non-negotiable stances on Crimea and other territories, NATO removal, and demilitarization. He suggests Lavrov’s swift public reaction and anticipated significant retaliation—possibly targeting Ukrainian or European intelligence assets—could shape the trajectory of the conflict and the negotiations. The conversation ends with a note that they expect further developments after New Year’s, and that the true responsibility attribution may become clearer through Russia’s specific retaliatory actions.

President Biden signed an agreement allowing the Ukrainian military to use U.S.-made weapons to target inside Russia. This move has raised concerns, as Putin warned that such actions would be considered an act of war. With only two months left in office, questions arise about Biden's intentions and the implications of this decision. Some believe he may not have even signed the agreement, suggesting he is on vacation instead. The perception is that the current administration is indifferent to the consequences for Americans and the global community. There is a belief that the Democratic Party is recklessly escalating tensions, potentially leading to World War 3, disregarding the well-being of people worldwide.

Zelensky claims Putin is terrified, but the situation is escalating dangerously. Russia has launched an intercontinental ballistic missile for the first time, raising concerns about nuclear capabilities. This development could drastically change the global landscape, driven by the military-industrial complex and financial support to Ukraine. The current U.S. administration's actions are seen as reckless, with media outlets celebrating the provision of long-range missiles to Ukraine. This conflict is viewed as a proxy war, and there is a strong call for negotiations to end the violence and find a resolution.

Russia is proposing amendments to its nuclear weapons doctrine. Aggression against Russia by a non-nuclear state supported by a nuclear state will be considered a joint attack, potentially triggering a Russian nuclear response. Russia may also use nuclear weapons if it detects a massive aerospace attack, including missiles and drones, crossing its border. Russia reserves the right to use nuclear weapons if an enemy's conventional weapons pose a critical threat. These proposals include scenarios where Russia could use nuclear weapons preemptively based on verified information of an ongoing aerospace attack. These proposals follow prior warnings from Vladimir Putin that countries supplying Ukraine with long-range missiles for strikes into Russian territory would be considered complicit in attacks on Russia. Russia claims Ukraine cannot plan or use these weapons without NATO involvement, despite Western arguments to the contrary.

If Putin attacks a NATO ally, we will defend every part of NATO as required by treaty. It's important to clarify that we do not seek American troops to fight in Russia or against Russia.

On November 19, 2024, footage shows a US attack on a Russian military base, escalating tensions in the ongoing proxy war between the West and Russia. Putin has warned that Russia reserves the right to use nuclear weapons against NATO countries in response to these attacks, raising fears of nuclear conflict by Christmas. The situation has intensified since NATO expanded eastward after agreements made in the early '90s. Congressman Massie criticized Biden's actions as unconstitutional, suggesting they could lead to total war. Concerns are growing about potential cyber attacks and civil unrest as the conflict escalates. Amid these tensions, discussions about health and personal well-being arise, with mentions of dietary supplements and the future of Infowars.

Ukraine has reportedly launched eight American-made attack missiles into Russia, targeting a military facility in the Bryansk region. U.S. officials noted that two missiles might have been intercepted by Russian defenses. Oleksandra Ustinova, a member of Ukraine's parliament, expressed disappointment that the U.S. only recently allowed the use of these missiles deep inside Russia, suggesting that decisions are often delayed. In response, Russia has accused the U.S. of escalating the conflict, with President Putin adjusting Russia's nuclear doctrine to lower the threshold for a nuclear strike. President Biden's decision to broaden missile use came after the deployment of over 10,000 North Korean soldiers to support Russia, with warnings that this number could rise to 100,000. Today marks 1,000 days since the start of the invasion, highlighting the ongoing suffering of Ukrainians.

We will now talk about the future of Ukraine with you, as it seems you are serious about it. Putin had asked the Americans in December 2021 for written confirmation on how to handle Ukraine, but President Biden refused to negotiate on this matter. There should have been an uproar on the German side, as a potential war would involve Germany in the issue.

Recent discussions in the UK and US suggest that Ukraine may be allowed to strike deep into Russian territory using Western long-range weapons. This marks a significant escalation, as Ukraine currently lacks the capability to effectively use these systems without NATO support. If NATO countries decide to proceed, it would mean direct involvement in the conflict, fundamentally altering its nature. The delivery of thousands of precision missiles to Ukraine raises concerns about potential Russian retaliation, which could lead to a broader conflict involving nuclear weapons. Putin has warned that such actions would be considered a declaration of war. The situation is precarious, with the risk of escalating tensions leading to catastrophic consequences, including nuclear warfare. The urgency of the moment calls for heightened awareness and preparation for potential global instability.

Speaker 0 believes that Putin's end game is to gain recognition for Crimea, control of the port in Sebastopol, and the two Russian provinces. Putin orchestrated the recent events in Ukraine to show that he can take over the country, but he doesn't want to keep it due to the risk of insurgency. Speaker 1 mentions that the Democrats are now supporting the arming of Ukrainians, which could make the situation messier than Putin anticipated. Speaker 0 suggests that Putin wants to negotiate after getting close to taking Ukraine and causing significant damage. He aims to keep the sanctions off and secure his provinces.

Recent actions by the U.S. against Russia may be viewed as acts of war, prompting President Putin to consider a military response. The Biden administration appears to be escalating tensions, potentially sabotaging peace initiatives and aiming to complicate future negotiations for President Trump. Articles of impeachment against Biden have been drafted to disrupt his administration and buy time until the inauguration. The situation is increasingly dangerous, with NATO's military presence near Russia and a shift in nuclear policies. Calls for Biden's impeachment are growing among lawmakers, and there is a pressing need for political pressure to prevent further escalation. The urgency for a ceasefire is emphasized, as the risk of nuclear conflict looms large.

Russia has launched a significant attack on Ukraine, targeting its energy infrastructure and leaving over a million people without electricity. Ukraine reported that Russia fired over 100 drones and 90 missiles in this assault. President Zelensky condemned the attack as a vile escalation of Russia's tactics. This escalation follows Ukraine's recent strikes on Russian territory using NATO-supplied long-range missiles. In response, Ukraine claims to have targeted an oil depot near Moscow, though it remains unclear if these strikes were successful, as Russia has not confirmed any hits and interception is likely. The situation continues to develop with ongoing hostilities between the two nations.

The Ukrainian drone attack on Moscow is alarming. The Russians are surprised that the US hasn't intervened to stop Ukraine, who they see as a rogue organization. The Russians want an end to this conflict and have several options, including securing more territory or crushing Ukraine entirely. Putin, a judicious leader, faces a decision point: how far to go to guarantee Russia's security? He doesn't want to rule Ukrainians, but some advisors are pushing for a complete takeover. The Ukrainian government is evil and has needlessly sacrificed its own people, leading to a strategic inflection point in the history of Europe. The key is for Trump to follow his instincts and disengage, as any war will expand and the US is overstretched.

Russia has been invaded three times through Ukraine, and they don't want Ukraine to join NATO. Gorbachev agreed to German reunification under NATO with the promise that NATO wouldn't expand eastward. However, in 1997, plans were made to move NATO eastward, incorporating 15 countries and surrounding the Soviet Union. NATO expanded into 14 new nations and withdrew from nuclear weapons treaties with Russia, placing missile systems in Romania and Poland. The U.S. allegedly overthrew the Ukrainian government in 2014, installing a Western-sympathetic government. Russia then entered Crimea to protect its warm water port. The new Ukrainian government allegedly began killing ethnic Russians in Donbas and Lugans. The Minsk Accords, designed to keep NATO out of Ukraine, were refused by the Ukrainian parliament. Zelenskyy was elected in 2019 promising to sign the Accords, but allegedly pivoted due to threats from ultra-rightists and the U.S. Russia then intervened, aiming to negotiate. A treaty guaranteeing Ukraine wouldn't join NATO was allegedly signed, but Boris Johnson, allegedly under Joe Biden's direction, forced Zelenskyy to abandon it.

Ukraine's decision to give up nuclear weapons and pursue NATO membership is criticized as a mistake. The US is blamed for pushing Ukraine towards NATO and overthrowing Yanukovych in 2014, leading to the current crisis. The speaker urges the White House to avoid war by reassuring Russia that NATO will not expand further. The situation is seen as a result of long-standing US foreign policy goals.

Russian President Vladimir Putin issued a full-throated warning to the United States and Israel against attacking Iran, saying any attack would be a grave mistake with devastating consequences. Russia also cautioned that threats of new military strikes on Iran are categorically unacceptable and criticized Washington for external interference in Tehran’s internal politics. Amid these tensions, Putin’s anger over Israel’s handling of Syria was referenced, with reports that Russia sent multiple large freight flights into Tehran in recent days. There was discussion about whether this could be connected to comments from President Trump that killings in the region might be winding down, with a reporter noting that the killing has “now stopped” and a follow-up remark that it is “winding down” despite uncertainty. The program suggested that pro‑Zionist accounts and MAGA influencers are circulating propaganda—fake death numbers from Iran and videos of protests—while questioning the reliability of such footage and calling out what was described as propaganda used to push for war in Iran. Claims were made that “the number of people killed is far higher than the 12,000” from Mark Levin’s reporting, and that Iranian body bags and mass casualties were being publicized by certain viewers, though not all claims could be independently verified due to a media blackout. Laura Loomer was cited showing footage of body bags claiming nearly 20,000 Iranians had been murdered for protesting for their freedom, while noting Mossad’s heavy involvement in Iran’s protests, including arming protesters with live firearms per Israel’s Channel 14. The discussion raised the possibility that Reuters and other sources were reporting imminent U.S. bombing of Iran within 24 hours, while also noting Trump’s pattern of weekend bombings when markets are closed. Anya Parampil of the Grey Zone, who had recently been in Iran, joined to discuss on-the-ground realities. She explained that the initial demonstrations in Iran began around rising inflation and economic hardship, worsened by sanctions that the United States has openly admitted using as a weapon. She noted that early protests were largely by pro-government or conservative segments, with the government making concessions and the president, Hassan Rouhani’s successor, acknowledging responsibility for policy decisions. Violent elements subsequently appeared, and a blackout on information has followed, with Internet cuts, complicating independent reporting. Parampil suggested outside support and covert interventions could be destabilizing the country and providing a pretext for international intervention, comparing the current situation to Syria in 2011. Parampil described the escalation from peaceful economic demonstrations to violent street actions involving armed extras, questions about who is killing whom, and the risk of a Syria-style CIA or covert foreign-backed civil conflict in Iran. She emphasized sovereignty and the Iranian people’s own trajectory, arguing that sanctions and external pressure complicate genuine domestic grievances and can undermine authentic movements. The discussion also touched on the nature of domestic sentiment: some protests were pro-government, driven by sovereignty and economic concerns, while others involved calls for reform. The participants urged skepticism about casualty figures, questioning sources funded by Western organizations and the reliability of reported death tolls amid the information blackout. They warned against rushed military action and suggested that the window of opportunity for U.S.-Israeli action might be closing, given the political clock in the United States and Israel. The program closed with notes that the Israeli media reported Mossad’s involvement and arming on the Iranian side, while U.S. reporting remained less transparent, and that the situation remained highly uncertain with conflicting narratives about who is directing violence and protests on the ground.

The conversation centers on reports that Donald Trump allegedly called Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu an “effing idiot” during a tense phone call, cited by Axios and corroborated by an Israeli media outlet. The colonel argues that Trump can be volatile and that Netanyahu and Trump are both “indispensable” to each other, even if they do not particularly like one another. He says Netanyahu’s political vulnerability is increasing: the Knesset has passed the first step toward moving elections up, and Netanyahu is facing barbed criticism over actions in Lebanon, especially after a moment when he appeared to heed Trump’s reported advice to stop what he was doing in Lebanon but then reversed course and faced renewed attacks. A key theme is that Netanyahu is under pressure and that opponents are using his relationship with the U.S. president as leverage across multiple arenas—Gaza, the West Bank, Lebanon, and Iran—by accusing him of not doing what the U.S. needed in order to convince the U.S. to take stronger action. The colonel contends that, in practice, heated rhetoric does not translate into decisive action against Netanyahu, because Netanyahu will pursue what he wants for both political and national security reasons, particularly to protect his survival. The discussion also addresses how a tense call could follow Netanyahu taking steps beyond what Trump initially permitted. The colonel says it is possible for a world leader and an ally to “work the system” and obtain authority through other officials without direct approval for the final step, then be able to claim leeway later. He explains this through a historical example involving Colin Powell, Sam Nunn, and President George H. W. Bush, describing how early decisions on sanctions and later reversals created conflict between a chairman and Congress. The colonel then returns to Netanyahu’s use of “final solution” terminology regarding Iran, referencing Netanyahu saying “We must complete the mission in Iran in a way that constitutes a final solution,” and asks what it means. He says he hopes it is material for bluffing, calling it a “powerful bluff.” Broader regional dynamics are discussed, including claims that Pakistan has decided to align more with China and Iran, involving an arrangement described as connecting Pakistan’s nuclear capabilities to Iran. The colonel references A. Q. Khan’s “father of the Islamic bomb” network, saying it supplied components and programs across multiple countries, and he describes efforts to track shipping and intercept potential nuclear or radiological material, including mentions of intercept operations and concerns about dirty bombs. The conversation also argues that logistics and strategic connectivity make Iran’s position stronger, mentioning routes and rail lines associated with China’s infrastructure reaching Iran. It then claims that disruptions at the Strait of Hormuz and regional shipping patterns are affecting outcomes, arguing that contesting control can worsen global economic pressure and that Iran’s position improves when shipping pays tolls and continues rather than being fully blocked. On diplomacy, the colonel says the U.S. is not conducting “real diplomacy” with Iran, asserting that communications are third-party and mediated rather than direct talks. Regarding Iran’s response to threats to strike Beirut, the colonel says Iran is acting with greater aggressiveness—freezing talks, threatening to strike Israeli forces inside Lebanon, and issuing evacuation orders for northern Israel—suggesting Iran has gained “new weight” and is using ballistic missile capability to support its stance. The transcript also covers nuclear deterrence questions: it discusses claims that Iran could quickly match a warhead to a missile, and it raises the possibility of an Iranian nuclear test as a “warning shot” intended to deter the U.S. and Israel. The colonel says he thinks openly demonstrating a test could backfire by forcing Trump into an escalatory position, but also notes that escalation risk is a central concern. Finally, the conversation touches on broader geopolitical tensions, including discussion of whether Putin is considering striking NATO and remarks about how U.S. actions could affect escalation dynamics.

Russia has 6,000 nuclear warheads, 1,600 that are deployed. Russia is under attack by The US and UK. I say that because while Ukraine nominally presses the button or, makes the attack, it's US weaponry, US satellites, US intelligence, US tracking, US logistics. And so we have an active hot war going on right now. It's insane. So far, no American president, has had, either the bravery or the decency to tell the truth, which is that from the time of the end of the Soviet Union in December 1991 until now, The US has been on a campaign to weaken Russia, to divide Russia, to surround Russia, to put US military all around Russia, to break apart Russia if possible, to sanction Russia to its knees, whatever it is. That's been The US campaign. So if this war is gonna stop, The US has to stop its campaign against Russia. That's the story.

Russia’s Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Rabkinov said that documents related to attacks on Saint Petersburg could prompt Russia to use nuclear weapons in a worst-case scenario, including against countries that possess nuclear weapons, not only against Ukraine. The transcript argues that NATO is launching the attacks and that Ukraine lacks nuclear weapons. The claims are tied to events during the Saint Petersburg International Economic Forum, attended by over 130 countries and more than 22,000 people. The transcript describes drone strikes beginning as the forum was taking place, including video said to show drones crossing the city and targeting a highly populated civilian area. It also cites reports of a civilian bus being attacked and states seven civilian casualties and eleven injured from a Ukrainian Armed Forces drone strike. The discussion contrasts Russia’s nuclear signaling with President Volodymyr Zelensky’s stance that he has been open to peace negotiations and is meeting with NATO head Mark Rutte. The transcript criticizes Zelensky’s messaging style, reiterates that he continues promoting NATO membership, and describes his warning that “big trouble” would come if Ukraine is denied membership. It also says Zelensky claims readiness for direct negotiations with Putin while purportedly maintaining obstacles to those talks. Professor Robert Pape, director of the Chicago Project on Security and Threats at the University of Chicago, argues that an “escalation trap” has been unfolding for about three years, with parallels to earlier dynamics seen in other conflicts. He says Putin pursued what he expected to be a quick victory but Ukraine “stiffened,” and that both sides have nearly irreconcilable objectives. Pape highlights that Putin has nuclear weapons and that Ukraine now has the capability to strike deep into Russia, which he frames as making escalation extremely dangerous. The transcript connects escalation risk to Ukraine’s increased drone capacity, stating Ukraine has drone manufacturing capabilities and that donor involvement—specifically mentioning Jennifer Pritzker—is part of how drone production and precision targeting have expanded. It emphasizes that drones are relatively inexpensive and that smaller funding streams could still enable effective drone campaigns, describing long-distance precision and the ability to steer drones directly into targets. The conversation also draws parallels to the Iran conflict, describing how the use of drones disrupted business and civilian-linked activities around the Gulf and how the Saint Petersburg Economic Forum is likened to Russia’s “Davos,” with an aim described as disrupting strategic investors rather than targeting the forum’s attendees directly. Pape and others argue for restraint and off-ramps to prevent being dragged into escalation traps. The transcript argues that Europe should push for a clear line to end the war, comparing it to ending the Korean War through a defined line of contact rather than leaving it to the decision of one party. It claims the “line of contact” has not moved meaningfully over several years and says Europe should publicly decide what line it supports, tying funding to an armistice and freezing the conflict. The transcript also references the idea that an earlier peace framework around the Ankara agreement was scuttled, and it concludes by arguing that without a defined settlement line, multiple actors keep escalation traps active, with repeated calls to ask why Europe and others are not publicly demanding the needed end conditions.

More clashes in Ukraine's capital, Kyiv, as it turns into a war zone. Questions of credibility arise after a leaked chat between top US diplomats discussing restructuring the Ukrainian government. The US government has a history of wanting regime change in various countries, and they have allies in the media and government to control the narrative. NATO has expanded into 13 countries, leading to concerns about the start of Cold War 2.0.

The CIA last November briefed Congress that there's a greater than 50% chance of a nuclear war between Russia and The United States, based on releasing ATAKEMS missiles to Ukraine for long-range strikes into Russia. Those strikes would have violated Russia's new nuclear doctrine and red lines. STRATCOM's director of plans briefed a Washington DC think tank that The United States is prepared for nuclear exchange with Russia, meaning nuclear war, and that The United States thought they would win. A senior Democrat asked if the CIA said the Russians were bluffing; the answer was no—the CIA said the exact opposite. The scary part is Biden administration officials were in the room and said, "Oh, we're ready for that. If the Russians wanna play, we're ready." "We're ready to go to nuclear war with them. This is the insanity that existed in November."