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Over 6 million illegal immigrants have been apprehended at the southern border since 2021, leading to concerns about deliberate planning by government and non-government entities. The migration pipeline starts in South America, with migrants flying into Ecuador before crossing the dangerous Darien Gap jungle into Panama. Various international organizations, including the Red Cross and Doctors Without Borders, aid migrants and provide maps and instructions on how to reach the US border. This organized mass migration is part of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, which promotes world socialism and views migration as a core development consideration. The facilitation of illegal migration poses national security threats and could lead to permanent political demographic change in the United States.

DHS allegedly admitted in a memo that the Venezuelan government was emptying prisons and rehabilitation centers, releasing inmates with instructions to go to the U.S. It is claimed that DHS knew this was happening, and that the Tren de Aragua gang is now heavily present in the U.S. DHS has allegedly acknowledged in writing that Venezuela is emptying prisons and rehabilitation centers with the understanding that those released should go to the United States. DHS is purportedly processing these individuals without knowing their whereabouts. The estimated number of people who have come across the border in the last 2-3 years is said to be about 10-11 million, but one speaker believes the number is closer to 15-18 million.

There are concerns about the infiltration of terrorist organizations into the United States, particularly those sympathetic to the Palestinian cause. The open borders and weak policies of the Biden administration have allowed for potential threats to enter the country. The Mexican cartels, responsible for killing Americans with fentanyl, could also collaborate with terrorists. It is unknown how many sleeper cells or terrorists are present in the US, but the close alliance with Israel suggests that the conflict between Israel and Hamas could spread to American streets. Law enforcement and intelligence agencies are worried, but their ability to address these threats is hindered by distractions and resource limitations. The US is seen as a likely target due to its support for Israel.

America needs to recognize that cartel operations have evolved significantly over the past four years. Historically, cartels operated primarily south of the border, trafficking drugs and humans to the U.S. However, they now extend their influence throughout the entire country, establishing networks in major cities and acquiring properties for their operations. This shift has led to the exploitation of unaccompanied children, who are now being placed with unvetted sponsors due to changes in monitoring policies. The previous system, which involved vetting sponsors, has been replaced by a more lenient agreement, allowing criminal networks to take advantage of the situation. Cartels are aware of U.S. policies and manipulate them to facilitate their operations, treating border patrol as a means to transport migrants quickly.

A transnational criminal organization from Venezuela, Trenaragua, has reached the US border, blending in with regular migrants. They pose a threat to borderland families, engaging in extortion to fund their activities. With little known about them in the US, there are concerns about increased crimes like human smuggling and sex trafficking. Tracking down gang members is difficult due to limited criminal records and strained relations between the US and Venezuela. Stay tuned to learn more about Trenaragua and how they differ from MS 13.

We've discussed Panama and the Darien Gap, but the situation in Colombia is alarming. During my recent visit, I observed the powerful Guytonista paramilitary group controlling smuggling routes and operating openly in the region. They facilitate human smuggling and are the primary cocaine suppliers to the U.S. The Colombian government, led by a far-left former guerrilla, appears to tolerate their activities, collaborating with them and the UN. This partnership allows terrorists and migrants to flow freely toward the U.S. border. Colombia's failure to manage its territory and the ongoing drug trade necessitate a drastic shift in U.S. policy. The U.S. should consider Colombia an adversarial nation and impose sanctions until they address these issues effectively. The American public needs to be aware of this situation.

The borders are open and countries like Venezuela, Iran, Russia, and China are collaborating, including drug trafficking. There are concerns about sleeper cells infiltrating the US and using various pressure points to exert influence. The Securities Exchange Commission is turning a blind eye to hold them accountable due to financial gains. This situation poses a significant threat to American foreign policy.

Fox News alert: B-52 bombers are flying off the coast of Venezuela. Trump says he’s not bluffing. Right now, more than 10,000 US soldiers are built up in the Caribbean on ships in Puerto Rico, locked and loaded. Special operations helicopters were seen 90 miles from Venezuela’s coast. The chopper units are used by Delta Force, Navy SEALs, and the Green Berets. The Black Ops were spotted off the coast of Trinidad. Also seen were little birds—smaller but faster aircraft designed for quick insertion of special operators behind enemy lines. The Ghost was also confirmed to be in the Caribbean. That’s the nickname for MV Ocean Trader, a ship designed for black ops and special missions because it’s dark and blends in with cargo. There’s more. 10% of US naval power is now in the region. It’s a major shift with submarines, several destroyers, and F-35 fighters in Puerto Rico, on top of the cocaine boats being smoked to pieces by the week. Kilos of cocaine are washing ashore. Don’t tell Hunter. Dozens of bad hombres are being described as shark bait. Maduro’s attention is captured. He’s the dictator of the narco state, and the US has doubled the bounty on his head to 50 million dollars. According to the New York Times, Maduro offered the United States a dominant stake in Venezuela’s oil, gold, and mineral wealth and promised to cut ties with Russia and China. Trump and Rubio said no. That suggests the gunboat diplomacy could end with Maduro removed and Venezuela aligned with the US, not Putin or China. American action in Latin America hasn’t always ended well; the Bay of Pigs is cited as a historical reference. It’s the US backyard, and Trump is reestablishing the Monroe Doctrine, referred to here as the Dunro Doctrine. Hopefully, a Venezuelan general does the right thing and collects the 50-million-dollar bounty. No one wants a messy conflict in South America. Maduro controls drug traffickers who are well-armed, and Biden allowed hundreds of thousands of Venezuelans into the United States, who could be activated. If Trump can pull this off and push China and Russia out of Venezuela after what he did with the Iranians, it will give him significant power to deter Russia and Ukraine and China and Taiwan.

The open border situation is allowing countries like Venezuela, Iran, Russia, and China to collaborate, including drug trafficking. The concern is that intelligence operatives and sleeper cells have infiltrated the US, and there are worries about how they might exploit different pressure points to influence American foreign policy. The Securities and Exchange Commission has turned a blind eye to hold them accountable due to financial gains. This poses a significant challenge for managing both foreign policy and the potential threats from within the country. It is seen as a disaster for American foreign policy.

Venezuela's significance stems from its connections with Iran, Russia, and China, forming an authoritarian network. A retired admiral in Venezuela highlighted Iranian influence in the Ministry of Defense, prompting research into these ties. The presence of over 350,000 Venezuelans in Syria, more than in Brazil, raises questions about their roles. Historical analysis reveals that after the Cuban Revolution, Cuba aimed to control Venezuela for its oil. Despite initial failures, Syrian operatives trained Venezuelan insurgents, leading to the rise of Hugo Chavez and the Bolivarian movement. This deep-rooted Middle Eastern influence explains Iran's strong presence in Venezuela, surpassing that of Russia and China, and shaping the current geopolitical landscape.

Mario: Let's start with Venezuela. Do you think this is a strategy by Trump? Larry: I saw something similar back in 1988. The CIA was involved with trying to provoke Manuel Noriega into taking some action, so we could say we had to respond to set the stage for a military invasion, which I believe that in 2018, Donald Trump signed a finding authorizing a covert CIA action to get rid of Maduro. That attempt failed. And now the objective is to get control of the oil. That's the number one priority, with an eye toward the risk of a renewed Iran conflict and the prospect of shutdown of the Persian Gulf, and the need to have an alternative supplier. Ukraine defeating Russia was the plan, and Russia’s military is now around 1,500,000. Mario: What’s your initial reaction to Venezuela? I talked to John Kuriaki who said to read naval movements to gauge what the military plans. The buildup on the coast of Venezuela is significant. They’ve got 14, 12 warships, including the Gerald Ford. Do you think they are bluffing or this is a Trump strategy? Larry: It could be a bluff. I saw something similar in 1988. I was in the Central America branch, and the CIA’s analytical thrust was to provoke Noriega into taking action to justify a response and invasion. That happened in 1988. But that time there were US bases in Panama; Quarry Heights was full. Southern Command was there. Now Southern Command has moved to Miami, just near Southcom. Another issue: within the military, the concept of supported and supporting commands means the special operations command (SOCOM) would normally be the supporting commander, but here Southern Command would be subordinate to SOCOM, which is problematic because SOCOM cannot fight a conventional war. Delta Force, SEAL Team Six, and others are light infantry for raids, not mass warfare. So launching shells or sending ground forces won’t solve Venezuela; terrain is rugged and favors ambushes. If US troops ashore, body bags would likely exceed those from Iraq and Afghanistan. Venezuelans will fight, and insurgents from Brazil and Colombia could join. Decapitation strikes against Maduro could provoke an insurgency that the US would struggle to pacify. Mario: Could we see a decapitation strike like Israel against Hezbollah and Iran? Larry: Decapitating Maduro would still leave loyalists and other actors with weapons; an insurgency could erupt, and the US would be unable to pacify it. The real objective here is unclear. The State Department’s INL/INSCR programs have long documented Venezuela as a transit point for drugs; Trump claimed fentanyl is the issue, but most cocaine also goes to Europe. The 2018 Trump era mentioned the Trendy Aragua as a pretext to justify covert actions; I believe Trump signed a finding authorizing a CIA operation to remove Maduro, leading to Guaidó, but that failed. The broader agenda appears to be regaining oil influence and countering Russia, China, and Iran’s influence in Venezuela. Mario: Elaborate the agenda and strategy behind these strikes on boats out of Venezuela and Trump’s public acknowledgement of a CIA covert operation. What’s the strategy and intention? Larry: The objective is to restore oil control in Venezuela and reduce adversary influence. Maduro once aligned with the CIA, and Chavez/Maduro have maintained cordial relations with Moscow and Beijing. The US aims to curtail BRICS and reduce Venezuelan ties to Russia, China, and Iran, potentially moving Venezuela away from the dollar-based system. The theory that this is a message to Putin circulates, but if that were the aim, it’s a poor strategy given the broader geopolitical dynamics in Syria, Iran, and the Palestinian-Israeli arena. The US previously overpromised in the Red Sea and failed to secure freedom of navigation, signaling limited military capacity for large-scale campaigns. The objective of any Venezuela action must be concrete, otherwise it risks entanglement in an insurgency. Mario: Turning to general foreign policy under Trump. What about the national security strategy? Europe’s criticisms, and Trump’s approach to Ukraine—Witkoff and Kushner meeting Putin? Larry: The 2025 national security strategy signals change, but these documents are not blueprints; they’re guidelines. Europe is being asked to step up, while the US distances itself, arguing Europe’s resources and industrial capacity have diminished while Russia and China shift. Europe’s censorship and defense spending are under scrutiny. The US–UK intelligence relationship still lingers, but overall the West’s ability to project force is questioned. Russia and China’s relationship is deep and mutually reinforcing; the Rand Corporation’s earlier ideas that Ukraine would defeat Russia to force Moscow to join the West have not materialized. Ukraine’s fight has forced Russia to mobilize and shift front lines; casualty counts are contested, but Russia’s front has expanded with a larger force and higher attrition. Mario: What about Ukraine negotiations and Putin’s terms? Larry: Putin’s terms (as stated on 06/14/2024) are: Crimea, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, Donetsk, and Luhansk permanently part of Russia; Ukraine must withdraw forces from those territories before negotiations begin. An election must be held in Ukraine with a legitimately elected president, potentially replacing Zelenskyy, and Russia would then talk to Ukraine. Russia’s stance treats these territories as non-negotiable; freezing lines is not acceptable to Russia. If negotiations fail, Russia is likely to maintain control over large parts of Donbas and southern Ukraine, potentially extending into Kharkiv and Odessa. Western military support is insufficient in scale to match Russia’s production; Russia’s oil revenue remains a significant portion of GDP, and the global south is pivoting toward BRICS, with Modi’s meeting signaling stronger ties with Russia and China. The strategic trend is a shift away from Western dominance toward a multipolar order. Mario: Larry, appreciate your time. Larry: Pleasure as always, Mario.

Several buildings under out-of-state ownership have been taken over by Venezuelan gangs. An investigation is underway to determine how a concentration of Venezuelans came to be in these buildings and who funded it, possibly the federal government. These gangs intimidate property management, collect rents, and are attracted to areas with Venezuelan migrants. A task force of local, state, and federal law enforcement is conducting ongoing operations, making arrests. It remains to be seen if this is an organized criminal effort, but if Venezuelan migrants are conducting crime in an organized manner, they are a problem. The mayor believes this is a result of failed border policy, as Venezuela does not share criminal histories with the U.S. Migrants crossed the border illegally, requested asylum, were not adequately vetted, and were released into the country. Federal agencies may have worked with local nonprofits to house them in Aurora. While most are good people, a criminal element exploits them. The city is aware of reports that this gang has targeted local police and is prioritizing police safety.

Alastair Crook discusses the growing talk of a possible war with Iran and how current developments resemble a broader “model” drawn from other recent U.S. military ventures, notably in Venezuela and Syria. He notes a palpable sense in the United States after a controversial press conference by Trump and in comments from the secretary of state that Cuba, Colombia, and Mexico are among the countries potentially targeted, with Venezuela’s fate also in play. He argues that the situation in Venezuela is following a pattern similar to Syria: Gulf states pressured Assad to cut links with Iran and Hezbollah while Russia and Turkey backed him, leading to a management-style “buyout” of control. In Venezuela, Maduro was removed and Beltrie Rodriguez has become acting president, with Rodriguez connected to Doha and the Qatari business and oil sectors. Crook suggests that the arrangement mirrors a “CEO replacement” or management buyout of a state, with U.S. and regional interests reconfiguring leadership, security, and oil ownership. He points to the involvement of Cuban security forces and notes rival power centers such as Cabello (a former head of security/intelligence) returning from Cuba, indicating ongoing instability and potential spillover into Colombia and Mexico. On Israel, Crook describes a crisis connected to Netanyahu’s legal jeopardy, corruption trials, and a broader domestic fight over accountability and governance. He highlights allegations of treachery within Netanyahu’s close circle related to Qatar and Doaa (Doha) influence, including the Four Seasons hotel stays in the U.S. and questions over what Qatar sought in return. He says hardline elements in Israel—Israeli ministers and security leaders—are using these revelations to demand investigations and possible resignations, intensifying internal divisions. In parallel, he says Netanyahu is trying to present a war with Iran as a political solution to domestic crises. He references Israeli cabinet discussions and Netanyahu’s expectation that a U.S. green light for a strike on Iran might be forthcoming as a way to reset political momentum, particularly with the MAGA crowd in the U.S. and the Likud party seeking to maintain power. Crook emphasizes that Netanyahu’s calculus is tied to broader regional and transatlantic dynamics. In Israel, there is talk that Iran’s defense and missile systems are being upgraded to create a shield that would complicate any attack, shifting the emphasis from a nuclear focus to destroying missiles to retain a feasible option to strike Iran’s nuclear capabilities. He notes that in Iran, protests and currency pressures are framed by foreign influence, including claims of Al-Qaeda links, though he argues such claims are part of a broader propaganda effort. He also points to the currency collapse and external destabilization as signs of precursors to conflict, with murmurs in Hebrew press that a broader war against Hezbollah and disarmament might be pursued if a “green light” is extended by the United States. Crook concludes that war with Iran would likely be driven by a combination of strategic aims and political calculations: decapitation or disruption of Iran’s missile structure, potential regime-change dynamics, and internal U.S. and Israeli political pressures. He stresses that the war is not simply a military objective but also a crucible for the future of Israel, U.S. policy, and the MAGA movement, with eschatological and messianic narratives intersecting with realpolitik. He also cautions against assuming a purely rational strategic calculation, noting how ideological commitments and domestic political infighting could push leaders toward dramatic actions despite uncertain outcomes. Finally, he asserts that the relationship between America’s Israel policy and its domestic political landscape will shape the trajectory of any potential confrontation.

A Venezuelan American speaker describes the impact of the regime on their family and millions of others. Their family lost everything—work, savings, investments—wiped out by a narco dictatorship that has held Venezuela in a death grip for over twenty-five years. The Venezuelan exodus is described as the second largest displacement crisis on Earth after Syria, a humanitarian disaster and not just tragedy. The regime has jailed hundreds of political prisoners and thousands have been murdered for speaking out. More than a third of the population has fled, not for opportunity or the American dream, but to survive because staying often means death. The speaker contends Venezuela is not merely a collapsed state but an occupied one, with territory, natural resources, and institutions overrun by hostile foreign powers: Iranian militias, Chinese corporations, Russian intelligence, all exploiting the country with impunity. Venezuela, they argue, is no longer a local crisis but a geopolitical threat endangering the Western Hemisphere, a launchpad for authoritarian expansion in the Americas. Amid this, Maria Corina Machado is highlighted as a leader who dared to push for freedom. In 2024, she supposedly led a peaceful democratic uprising that won the election. Her team allegedly smuggled physical voting receipts out of the country—hard proof of victory the regime attempted to bury. The speaker says her courage has sparked belief among millions of Venezuelans that change is possible. Some people have questioned Machado’s decision to dedicate her Nobel Prize to Donald Trump. The speaker accepts the criticism but argues it was a brilliant strategic move on the global political stage. Machado is portrayed as understanding Trump’s character, his campaign for the prize, and the symbolic, personal value of the recognition to him. The claim is that this gesture might keep Trump’s attention focused on Venezuela at a time when U.S. presence and pressure in the Caribbean is rising. The dedication is described not as flattery or optics, but as a strategic act to protect and preserve a form of power that could shift history, grounded in the belief that the ultimate aim is freedom. The speaker emphasizes that Machado is not asking for a U.S. invasion or war; Venezuela is already invaded and held hostage by a narco state with foreign agents and enemies of democracy—Russians, Iranians, Chinese—operating freely to expand influence across Latin America. Machado is calling for the support of the only military capable of countering that threat, framed as liberation rather than imperialism. The argument is that the fight is for Venezuela’s life, not theory or politics, and that the world should recognize what’s at stake. The fight for Venezuela is a fight for freedom, democracy, and continental stability, and if liberty, human dignity, and peace in the Americas matter, Venezuela’s fight must matter to all.

Voter participation is crucial to prevent authoritarian regimes like those in Cuba and Venezuela from influencing America. Hugo Chavez rose to power in Venezuela through a coup, became a dictator, and established a mafia-controlled government that seized the oil and election industries. Despite low popular support, Chavez manipulated elections with the help of Smartmatic, a company created by Venezuelan engineers to rig election technology. This system has spread to the U.S. election infrastructure, posing a threat to democracy. The Venezuelan mafia, backed by China and Iran, has interfered in elections across 72 countries. It's vital to stay informed, vote, and support initiatives that promote fair elections.

Venezuela is turned into a narco terrorist state that continues to work with the FARC, continues to work with ELN from Colombia to send record amounts of cocaine from Venezuela, from Colombia into the Mexican cartels that continue to come into The United States at record amounts. "We have seized more cocaine this year than past years." "The amount of methamphetamine coming into this country continues to be on the uptick, and we still see record amounts of fentanyl coming into our country." "But the Venezuelan corruption, the Venezuelan dictatorship, he is a narco terrorist." "They continue to send this poison to The United States killing hundreds of thousands of Americans, not to mention the TDA members that they send to our country to destroy the beautiful streets of The United States."

The speaker argues that Venezuela has already been invaded, naming Russian agents, Iranian agents, and terrorist groups such as Hizbola and Hamas operating freely in alignment with the regime. They also point to the Colombian guerrilla and drug cartels as factors that have taken over 60% of the population, not only in drug trafficking but also in human trafficking and networks of prostitution. This, the speaker says, has transformed Venezuela into the criminal hub of The Americas. The regime’s sustainability, according to the speaker, relies on a powerful and heavily funded repression system. The speaker asks where this funding comes from, answering with multiple illicit streams: drug trafficking, the black market of oil, arms trafficking, and human trafficking. They assert that these flows must be cut, arguing that once repression is weakened, “it's over” because violence and terror are all the regime has left. The speaker urges the international community to cut these sources of funding and support. They claim that the other regimes that back Maduro and the criminal structure are active and have turned Venezuela into a safe haven for their operations, extending their influence into the rest of Latin America.

The Venezuelan government has dispatched Trende Aragua, this gang, to come into The United States and commit mayhem. And one of the things that was leaked from someone in the intel community was that didn't happen. There is no official link between the Venezuelan government and Trendy Aragua. Therefore, it's not an incursion. It's not an invasion. The FBI very clearly is the intelligence element that is responsible for domestic security. The Maduro, Venezuelan government is supporting Trendy Aragua and their criminal activities here enabled by president Biden's four years of open borders where they very freely came in and out of our country and were able to to begin to control territory here in The United States.

The speaker argues that there has been an “unbelievable success in by, degrading Iran,” moving Iran from a first-rate power to a second- or third-rate power. Iran is described as “throwing their weight all over the place” and “exporting terrorism,” not only across the Middle East but also to Venezuela, where they are “in cahoots with the Maduro regime.” The claim extends to Iran exporting terrorism to America and to the American hemisphere, and to Hamas and Iran’s proxies attempting to get their guys into the United States. The speaker asserts that Hamas and Iran’s proxies are a threat not only to the United States but to Israel and to “all America’s allies in The Middle East,” and to America itself.

Iran has achieved unbelievable success in degrading itself from a first-rate power to a second- or third-rate power. It has been throwing its weight around, exporting terrorism not only across the Middle East but to Venezuela, and it’s in cahoots with the Maduro regime. They are exporting terrorism to America and to the American hemisphere, and they want these Hezbollah and Hamas operatives to get their people into the United States. Hamas and Iran’s proxies are a threat not only to us, but to Israel, all of America's allies in the Middle East, and to America itself.

Speaker 0 and Speaker 1 discuss the possibility of a coup in Venezuela and the implications of U.S. actions. They emphasize naval movements as a signal of U.S. seriousness, noting the deployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford and associated ships as a trigger that indicates a real threat or action. They remark that if Maduro steps down, chaos could follow, and acknowledge that Maduro has discussed amnesty with the U.S. that Trump reportedly refused. Speaker 2 repeatedly highlights naval movements as a metric for U.S. intent to attack a country, recalling lessons from the CIA. He argues the U.S. is not strategically benefiting from intervention in Venezuela, given that the U.S. has decided not to buy or refine Venezuelan oil, and questions what upside there is for the U.S. in such action. He asserts that drugs in Venezuela originate from Colombia and Ecuador and transit through Venezuela to West Africa and Europe, rather than serving the U.S. market, and he links this to broader critiques of U.S. foreign policy. Both speakers discuss the regional calculus: China’s increasing influence in Latin America, including a Caribbean refinery operation that refines Venezuelan crude, challenging U.S. refinery interests. They suggest China’s refiners and pipelines complicate U.S. strategies. They also discuss the potential role of Pakistan, Iran, or other powers in shaping outcomes, noting that many regional players (Colombia, Brazil, Mexico, and others) oppose U.S. intervention. Speaker 1 notes that a regime-change operation could undermine U.S. trust as an ally and references a platform called Polymarket where Maduro’s potential departure had been speculated, though newer developments show Maduro mobilizing the military. They raise a question about whether Maduro sought amnesty for the U.S. to step down, and say Trump’s refusal could reflect a desire for a political “scalp” to prove anti-drug policy, comparing this to the Panama case of Manuel Noriega. Speaker 2 elaborates that covert action programs are highly classified, and that even discussing them publicly is risky. He suggests that any coup would require a limited force to seize the presidential palace, pacify the military, and control key communications, with no clear plan for post-coup governance. They discuss the opposition leadership, noting Maria Machado as potentially not more effective than Juan Guaidó and suggesting the military would likely take power after Maduro’s departure. They compare possible futures to Libya post-NATO intervention, warning that anticipated constitutions and reforms often do not materialize in practice, leading to prolonged conflict. Speaker 2 emphasizes the international unpopularity of regime-change in Venezuela and argues that U.S. actions could provoke regional instability and further migration. The dialogue ends with reflections on the inherent dangers of regime change, the lessons from past interventions, and the possibility of Venezuelan instability if Maduro leaves. They caution against assuming flowers will greet invading forces and stress that historical outcomes often diverge from planners’ expectations, with a warning that a hypothetical post-regime-change period could be chaotic and military-led.