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Speaker 0 and Speaker 1 discuss the Trump administration’s approach to foreign policy and its global impact. - Unpredictability as a negotiation asset: Speaker 0 notes that Trump’s rhetoric is out of the norm and concerning, citing statements about Greenland, Iran, Venezuela, and Gaza. Speaker 1 counters that Trump starts with a very tough position and then moderates it as a negotiation tactic, arguing that unpredictability has value but erodes credibility because “what he says this week will not be what he might do next week or the week after.” - Gaza, Venezuela, and Iran as case studies: Gaza is described as having no peace, only ongoing uncertainty. In Venezuela, Speaker 0 sees a new regime leader working with the old regime, making regime change unlikely; Speaker 1 cautions that Rodriguez would have to dismantle the army and paramilitaries to improve Venezuela, implying changes may be blocked by corruption and drug trafficking networks. In Iran, despite expectations of a strike, Trump did not strike, which Speaker 1 attributes to calculated restraint and the need to avoid provoking Iranian retaliation; Speaker 0 asks why, and Speaker 1 emphasizes the complexity and the risk of escalation. - Domestic and diplomatic capacity under Trump: Speaker 1 argues the administration relies on nontraditional figures (e.g., Jared Kushner, Steve Witkoff) rather than professional diplomats, contributing to a lack of sustained policy execution. He notes the Pentagon, State Department, and National Security Council have been stripped of expertise, with many positions unfilled. He describes diplomacy as being conducted by envoy, with trusted associates who lack deep diplomatic experience. - Global power shifts and alliances: Speaker 1 says unpredictability can undermine US credibility; however, there is a real shift as the US appears to retreat from international engagement. He asserts that Russia and China have lost clients due to various internal and regional dynamics, while the US withdrawal from international organizations has allowed China to gain influence, including within the UN. He predicts that the US could become weaker in the long run relative to its previous position, even if economically stronger domestically. - Regional dynamics and potential alliances: The conversation touches on the theoretical possibility of an Islamic or Middle Eastern NATO-like alliance, led by Pakistan and Saudi Arabia with potential Turkish involvement. Speaker 1 argues that such an alliance would not resemble NATO but that regional powers are likely to form bilateral and regional arrangements to counterbalance major powers like the US, Russia, and China. In the Middle East, Israel is cast as an influential actor shaping regional alignments, with Gulf states wary of Iranian retaliation and crisis spillover. - The Iran crisis and military posture: Speaker 1 explains why Gulf states and Israel did not want an immediate strike on Iran due to the risk of massive retaliation and limited US regional presence at the time. He notes the Abraham Lincoln and George H.W. Bush carrier groups' movements suggest potential future force projection, but states that any strike would likely be small if undertaken given current hardware positioning. He suggests the crisis will continue, with Iran’s internal repression and external deterrence shaping the dynamics. He also points to the 2000 missiles and the IRGC’s scale as factors in regional calculations. - Reflection on impact and timing: The discussion notes the potential for longer-term consequences in US credibility and global influence once Trumpism passes, with the possibility of the US reemerging weaker on the world stage despite possible internal economic strength. Speaker 0 closes with appreciation for the discussion; Speaker 1 agrees.

The speaker asserts that the world experienced a total lack of leadership under Biden for the last four years. They praise Trump's leadership over the last hundred days, citing respect and strength, beginning with the statement that "all hell will pay" if people aren't let go. The speaker claims that over 40 Americans have come home and far more terrorists are no longer threatening the homeland under Trump's leadership. They highlight the pulling together of agencies to address the Abbey Gate bombing and Trump's engagement with the 13 Gold Star families. The speaker also emphasizes the revitalization of shipyards, cyber, and space, attributing it to teamwork. They conclude by stating it's an honor to serve in the administration and that the world is far better and safer because of it.

Speaker argues that "For that that would be a critical mistake." He references "president Trump" and says that "if he were president, there would be no war." He adds, "I personally believe that is the case." He asserts, "There would be no war had president Trump been president at that time because myself and president Trump have had very good trust based relations." He concludes, "And I'm confident that if we had stayed on that path, we could move as quickly as possible to a resolution of the conflict in Ukraine." Overall, the speaker emphasizes trust with Trump and a swift path to Ukraine resolution.

The speaker states they cannot return someone to the United States because they were supposedly asked to smuggle a terrorist into the country. The speaker finds the idea preposterous and claims they lack the power to return the individual. When asked about releasing the person inside Taliban territory, the speaker says they are not fond of releasing terrorists into their country. They claim to have transformed the murder capital of the world into the safest country in the Western Hemisphere and do not want to revert to releasing criminals and becoming the murder capital again. The speaker concludes that this will not happen.

The president's strategy drove recent events. He and the speaker discussed it at length on Sunday. The president may have goaded China into a bad position, leading them to be perceived as bad actors. The U.S. is willing to cooperate with allies and trading partners who did not retaliate. The message was simple: don't retaliate, and things will turn out well.

The speaker believes the most important part of the Trump doctrine is to only commit troops when necessary, but then to "punch hard." This approach respects American service members. President Trump beat ISIS quickly with overwhelming force, accomplishing what people thought was impossible. Regarding Iran, the speaker advocates for strong action, referencing the Soleimani strike as an example. Despite predictions of broader war, the speaker claims that the Soleimani action actually brought peace and checked Iran.

The speaker claims that during his first term, President Trump rescued over 50 hostages and detainees from around the world, which is more than every president before him combined. According to the speaker, Trump authorized operations in places like Afghanistan using Seal Team six and Delta, and approved taking out figures like Baghdadi and Soleimani. The speaker states that Trump's directive was to protect the homeland without endangering the armed forces and intelligence community. The speaker believes the media did not give credit to the Trump administration for these successes due to hatred and disinformation. The speaker alleges that the transition from Trump to Biden administrations involved a refusal to continue successful policies to avoid attributing them to Trump.

Before the brutal killings and Iran's involvement in attacks, President Trump took a tough stance, defeating ISIS and maintaining peace in the Middle East. He avoided endless wars and gave no taxpayer money to Iran. Speaker 1 emphasizes that evil only respects unyielding strength, promising to show enemies that any harm to Americans will be met with a strong response. President Trump asserts that he will bring back the strength needed to make America strong again. This message is approved by Donald J. Trump.

The speaker believes the U.S. was stronger under President Trump, citing respect from the world and positive receptions from military and law enforcement. They claim veterans and law enforcement officers express gratitude for efforts to re-elect Trump and desire a strong leader to prevent war. The speaker asserts that during Trump's presidency, there were no new wars, citing the Abraham Accord, peace, and the embassy move to Jerusalem. They state Iran was broke, and Vladimir Putin did not act aggressively. They believe the U.S. is on the verge of World War 3 due to a lack of respected leadership. They claim border patrol agents are not allowed to do their jobs, resulting in over 10 million illegal border crossings. The speaker hopes to reverse this on November 5th.

Before 1,000 were brutally killed, including Americans, and before Iran helped Hamas plan the attack, killing Americans, Trump played hardball with Iran, destroyed ISIS, kept the Middle East at peace, and kept the U.S. out of endless wars through strength. Evil only respects unyielding strength. When Trump is back in the White House, if enemies spill a drop of American blood, the U.S. will spill a gallon of theirs. Trump is the strength needed to make America strong again. Donald J. Trump approves this message.

I can be tougher than anyone, but that's not how you make deals. We had a president who talked tough about Putin, but Putin still invaded Ukraine. Diplomacy is the path to peace and prosperity. America is a good country when it engages in diplomacy, like President Trump is doing. Putin occupied parts of Ukraine, including Crimea, back in 2014. Obama was president then, followed by Trump, then Biden, and now potentially Trump again. Nobody stopped Putin back then. People were dying on the contact line. I even signed a ceasefire deal with him in 2019, along with Macron and Merkel, but he broke it, killed our people, and didn't exchange prisoners.

Donald Trump's foreign policy failures are highlighted, including inaction after Iran's attacks and drone downing. Criticized for surrendering American interests to Russia and Iran, he is deemed the worst foreign policy president of the speaker's generation. Supporters' claims of avoiding wars are dismissed as surrendering. Trump is portrayed as weak and fearful, not a master of foreign policy.

The speaker believes President Trump gets to define "America First" because he was elected and leads the movement. The President is focused on the core American national interest: ensuring Iran does not have a nuclear weapon. When asked how long diplomacy should be given before military action, the speaker says the President will pursue diplomacy until he believes there is no opportunity left. Once diplomacy has run its course, the President will do what he needs to end Iranian enrichment and the nuclear program. The speaker advises the President to trust his instincts, which he believes are the best of any president or political leader he's ever seen. The speaker thinks the President knows when diplomacy has run its course and when to employ the military to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. The President will continue working the process and allow diplomacy to unfold, while retaining the option to do whatever is necessary to keep Americans safe.

Thirteen US service members died at AbiGate during the Afghanistan withdrawal, and three died in a drone attack in Jordan this year. The President mistakenly claimed to be the only president without troops dying, but he deeply cares about service members and their families. He attended the dignified transfers of fallen soldiers and will continue to honor them. The President was comparing the number of service members who died under his leadership to previous years to emphasize his commitment to keeping troops safe.

President Trump, along with Mike Pompeo, met with Taliban leaders to negotiate a conditions-based withdrawal from Afghanistan. Trump made it clear that any harm to Americans would result in consequences, showing a satellite photo of a Taliban leader's home as a warning before leaving the room.

Trump's strategic approach to negotiations is impressive. He plays the long game, never making a deal he isn't willing to walk away from. Many misunderstand his tactics, focusing on sensational news rather than the underlying economics. For instance, his dealings with North Korea and tariffs on Colombia and Mexico were calculated moves to leverage better agreements. Countries quickly adjusted their stances when faced with potential consequences, like tariffs or border control issues. Trump’s methods reveal a deep understanding of negotiation dynamics, aiming for mutual benefits without compromising national security. The key is to look beyond the headlines and understand the real implications of his strategies.

Before 1,000 people were killed, including Americans, and Iran aided Hamas in planning an attack, President Biden provided $1 billion of taxpayers' money to Iran. In contrast, Trump took a tough stance, defeating ISIS, maintaining peace in the Middle East, and avoiding prolonged wars through strength. Speaker 1 emphasizes that evil only respects unwavering strength and promises that if American blood is shed, a greater retaliation will follow. Trump asserts that his leadership will restore America's strength. This message is approved by Donald J. Trump.

The speaker claims his administration brokered a historic ceasefire between India and Pakistan using trade as leverage, suggesting they trade goods instead of nuclear missiles. He praises the "very powerful," "strong," "good," and "smart" leaders of both countries. He expresses hope the ceasefire will hold and commends Marco Rubio, Marco Stanup, JD Vance, and the entire group for their hard work. He suggests arranging a dinner between the leaders. He states that millions of people could have died from the escalating conflict.

President Biden wanted the speaker to be the last person in the room for big decisions, as he was for President Obama. The speaker confirmed they were the last person in the room for the Afghanistan decision. They also stated they feel comfortable with that.

President Trump's strategy was to hit back very hard. The media predicted civilization would melt down. However, half the countries in the world decided to lower trade barriers and make a deal with the president. They needed access to US markets and determined it was in their best interest. These countries came to the table because of President Trump's actions. Some may not want to admit it, but it is the truth. Deal-making is an art, and President Trump has mastered it.

Donald Trump was working to bring peace between Iran and Israel, and Israel didn’t want that at all. They tried to murder the negotiators in that round of peace talks from Hamas in Doha, and they tried to tell the world that Trump signed off on this, that Trump knew, totally false. Trump did not know. Not only did they do this, they tried to implicate Trump in it. A couple of weeks later he responded with an executive order that I’m going to read verbatim because it’s bet not one in a hundred people knows this even happened. This was in September: he signed an executive order called the Assuring the Security of the State of Qatar. The order states: The United States and the State of Qatar have been bound together by close cooperation, shared interests, and the close relationship between our armed forces. The State of Qatar has hosted The United States forces, enabled critical security operations, and stood as a steadfast ally in pursuit of peace, stability, and prosperity both in The Middle East and abroad, including as a mediator that has assisted The United States attempts to resolve significant regional and global conflicts. Listen: In recognition of this history and in light of the continuing threats to the state of Qatar posed by foreign aggression, it is the policy of The US to guarantee the security and territorial integrity of the state of Qatar against external attack. The United States shall regard any armed attack on the territory sovereignty or critical infrastructure of the state of Qatar as a threat to the peace and security of The United States. Oh, wait a second. What was the last act of foreign aggression against Qatar? What happened that exact same month? It was a bombing by Israel. So Israel bombs Qatar and Donald Trump issues an executive order saying if you do that again, reading by the language here, we’re going to war with you. Donald Trump took the side of Qatar over and above Israel and told Israel, and who knows if he’d actually do it, it’s in the executive order, If you do this again, that’s tantamount to an attack on us. That’s a security guarantee. Keep that in mind because there are a lot of Trump voters who are upset about nine eleven; the residue was still in their mouth. That part of the world did it to us. Islam did it to us. And anyone who wants to have a normal relationship with an Islamic country is probably pro Al Qaeda. I get it. I know those feelings. Had them. But here Donald Trump, the guy that you voted for taking Qatar’s side against Israel. Why is that? Because Donald Trump is a secret Islamist? No. Because Qatar is a lot better for The United States than Israel has been.

The speaker states the Taliban was killing American soldiers with snipers, so the speaker got involved with the Taliban. Abdul is the head of the Taliban, and the speaker told Abdul to stop, or there would be problems. The speaker sent Abdul a picture of his house. For 18 months, no one was killed. Mike Pompeo negotiated a good agreement for the U.S. to withdraw without losing soldiers or leaving Americans or $85 billion in equipment behind. The speaker claims the agreement required certain actions, but "they" didn't do them, so the agreement was terminated. The speaker believes "these people" executed the worst withdrawal, causing the most embarrassing moment in American history. The speaker believes Russia attacked Ukraine because of the perceived incompetence of "she and her boss."

While on a plane with President Trump, we discussed the Middle East. He drew a map, noting troop strengths in various countries. He highlighted the border between Syria and Turkey, mentioning the 500 U.S. troops stationed there and the significant forces in both Turkey (750,000) and Syria (250,000). Trump expressed concern about a potential conflict between these nations and asked his generals about the fate of the 500 U.S. troops. The generals warned that they would become cannon fodder. In response, Trump ordered their withdrawal.