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NATO's head has warned allies to adopt a war mindset and increase defense spending due to rising threats, marking a significant shift in tone. This call to action raises questions about whether European governments, including the UK, are heeding the warning. Political leaders, like Keir Starmer, prioritize domestic issues over military readiness, despite military chiefs expressing concerns about defense capabilities. The NATO chief emphasized the dangers posed by Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran, stating we are in a state of conflict, even if not officially at war. Governments are preparing citizens for potential conscription and wartime readiness. The narrative suggests a growing inevitability of global conflict, driven by geopolitical interests and the military-industrial complex.

In this conversation, Professor Glenn Diesen discusses his critical view of current Western and NATO policies, the treatment of contrarian analysis, and the evolving security dynamics in Europe, with a focus on Norway and the Nordic region. - On academic freedom and public discourse: Diesen explains that challenging the mainstream view is met with terms like “Putin Verster,” suggesting that understanding an opponent is seen as taking their side. He argues this suppresses discussion of security concerns and inhibits analysis on how to avoid or end conflicts. He notes that those who were right about Russia and NATO developments are often marginalized in the mainstream narrative. - Norway’s shift in security posture: In Norway, a move away from Cold War-era restraint toward greater alignment with the United States is described. Diesen notes that Norway previously avoided foreign bases on its soil, hosting limited Arctic activity and practicing deterrence without provoking the Soviet Union. He asserts this has changed, with Norway now granting access to American bases across the country, particularly in the Arctic, to confront Russia. He points out that Norway historically did not send weapons to countries at war, a policy that has shifted since the Ukraine conflict. - The Ukraine war and arms policy: Diesen contrasts the pre-2022 stance of “diplomacy first” with the current reality in which Norwegian leaders and parliament have largely supported arming Ukraine. He recounts his own attempt to run for parliament on a platform advocating diplomacy rather than weapon supplies, and he highlights that the current consensus—across almost all parties—favors weapons support, with perceived little room for alternative approaches. - Sweden and Finland in NATO and Nordic implications: The joining of Sweden and Finland to NATO is discussed as a response to fear of Russia after the Ukraine invasion. Diesen argues the public was initially hesitant in both countries, and argues that the narrative framing of Russia as an existential threat influenced rapid NATO accession once public opinion shifted. He suggests this shift was prepared in advance by Western powers, with media and political networks supporting pro-NATO positions. - Arctic geostrategy and regional stakes: The rapporteur explains that the Arctic and Baltic regions are central to Western containment of Russia. With Finland and Sweden in NATO and Norway militarized, the potential to block Russian access to key maritime corridors is emphasized. Diesen warns that expanding military leverage against Russia under a “more security through greater weapons” logic is flawed, predicting that Russia would respond forcefully if provoked. He stresses that the notion of Russia capitulating under increased pressure is unrealistic. - Denmark and Greenland scenarios: The discussion shifts to Denmark’s Greenland, noting President Trump’s interest in the territory. Diesen outlines possible US strategies: threaten force but favor negotiated settlements, offer financial incentives to Denmark to cede Greenland, or stage a sequence of steps (including a potential secession in Greenland) to facilitate absorption by the US. He suggests that the US might prefer a negotiated outcome over direct military action to avoid broad European backlash. - Europe’s strategic dependency and future: The European tendency to lean on the United States for security and economics is highlighted as a vulnerability. Diesen argues Europe has become heavily dependent—politically, economically, and militarily—and that this dependency limits Europe’s bargaining power in disputes over Greenland and other strategic issues. He proposes rethinking Europe’s security architecture towards inclusivity and dialogue with Russia, rather than a divides-based approach that feeds security competition. - A call for inclusive security architecture: Concluding, Diesen advocates reviving an inclusive European security framework based on indivisible security and open dialogue with Russia. He argues that NATO expansion and an exclusive security structure since the 1990s eroded the possibility of a cooperative European security order and that Europe should rethink its approach to reduce tensions and dependence on the United States. The interview ends with Diesen promoting his channel and noting translations into German, inviting further discussion on these themes.

The idea of Ukraine joining a Western military alliance is unacceptable to any Russian leader. After the Soviet Union collapsed in 1990, Gorbachev agreed to let Germany unify and join NATO, with the condition that NATO wouldn't expand eastward. However, NATO quickly moved to East Germany and later expanded to Russia's borders under Clinton. The new Ukrainian government voted overwhelmingly to join NATO, which Russia sees as a strategic threat. They believe Petro Poroshenko's government is not protecting Ukraine but rather threatening it with a major war. This situation poses a serious threat to Russia, and any Russian leader would have to react accordingly.

NATO began training the Ukrainian military in 2014, averaging 10,000 troops trained annually for eight years. In December 2017, the Trump administration provided Kyiv with defensive weapons, and other NATO countries followed suit, shipping more weapons to Ukraine. Ukraine's military participated in joint exercises with NATO, including Operation Sea Breeze in July 2021, a naval exercise in the Black Sea with 31 countries aimed at Russia. In September 2021, the Ukrainian army led Rapid Trident 21, a US Army Europe and Africa assisted exercise to enhance interoperability among allied and partner nations. These efforts to arm and train Ukraine's military explain why it has fared so well against Russian forces, suggesting it's not simply Russian incompetence, but the result of turning Ukrainian forces into a formidable fighting force. The speaker argues that Ukraine was becoming a de facto member of NATO.

The global military and political landscape remains unstable, particularly in the Middle East, with ongoing conflicts fueled by the West's attempts to maintain dominance. NATO's military presence near Russia's borders has increased, prompting a response to ensure safety and security. Russia is modernizing its armed forces, enhancing capabilities, and developing new military technologies, including advanced robotics and hypersonic systems. Efforts are underway to integrate combat experience into training and improve communication between military units and the defense industry. Additionally, there is a focus on expanding military cooperation with allied nations to strengthen collective defense efforts.

NATO allies like the US, UK, and Canada have been training Ukrainian forces since 2014, following the annexation of Crimea. Other EU and NATO members have also been involved. For example, the UK has provided training support.

France's government reportedly told hospitals to prepare for a potential armed conflict by next year. A leaked letter to health agencies says hospitals should be ready for a major military engagement as soon as March 2026, with an estimate of about 10,050 men in French hospitals over six months, potentially including foreign soldiers coordinated with NATO and the EU. Plans include medical transit centres to use regional facilities and move patients from front lines. Doctors are warned to expect shortages. The Health Minister has not denied the letter, calling it a precautionary measure, but noting aggression from some actors requires preparation for the worst. The move follows the government's survival manual, set to be sent to every household, and a 20-page booklet detailing emergencies, including nuclear blasts and natural disasters, with a survival-kit list of water, tinned food, paracetamol, and a torch.

On January 13, 2025, Trump's national security adviser pick, Mike Waltz, discussed the administration's approach to the Ukraine war. While there are plans for President-elect Trump to speak with Russian President Vladimir Putin, Waltz emphasized the need for changes on the battlefield. He highlighted Ukraine's manpower issues, noting that the draft age is currently 26, suggesting that Ukraine could mobilize hundreds of thousands of new soldiers. This dual focus on initiating talks while also pushing for increased military conscription raises questions about the administration's commitment to peace, contrasting with Trump's campaign promises.

NATO Allies have increased military support for Ukraine since 2014, with a focus on transitioning to modern NATO standard equipment and building defense institutions. The commitment is to provide assistance for as long as needed.

The presentation outlines the scope and impact of United States support to Ukraine, detailing how American resources and expertise are engaged across multiple areas to assist Ukraine’s reform efforts. US advisers are operating in almost a dozen Ukrainian ministries and localities, where they help to deliver public services, eliminate fraud and abuse, improve tax collection, and modernize Ukrainian institutions. This involvement aims to strengthen governance, promote accountability, and foster more efficient and transparent public administration at both central and local levels. In addition to governance work, US support extends to security and law enforcement. With US assistance, newly vetted and trained police officers are patrolling the streets of 18 Ukrainian cities, contributing to public safety and the enforcement of the rule of law at the local level. In the judicial sphere, free legal aid attorneys funded by the United States have been active in Ukrainian courtrooms, and they have won two thirds of all acquittals, highlighting the role of publicly supported legal assistance in upholding defendants’ rights and supporting fair proceedings across the country. Financial sector reform is another focus of the collaboration, with Treasury and State Department advisers helping Ukraine shutter over 60 failed banks and protect the assets of depositors. This effort addresses systemic risks in the financial system, aims to restore confidence among savers and investors, and stabilizes the broader economy by removing insolvent or fraudulent institutions from operation and safeguarding public funds. A central premise of the security-related aid is that reform cannot be achieved without security, and therefore a substantial portion of the assistance is allocated to the security sector. Specifically, over $266,000,000 of US support has been directed to security sector activities, including training 1,200 soldiers and 750 Ukrainian National Guard personnel, as well as equipping them with life-saving gear. This investment reflects a commitment to enhancing Ukraine’s defensive and law enforcement capacities as part of a comprehensive reform program. Looking ahead, the plan for Fiscal Year 2016 emphasizes continuing the training and equipment programs for Ukraine’s border guards, military personnel, and coast guard forces. The ongoing emphasis on training, equipment, and professional development for these security and border-related forces indicates a sustained US commitment to strengthening Ukraine’s ability to manage border security, deter threats, and support sovereign governance.

We're witnessing an unprecedented influx of weapons into Ukraine, but their final destinations remain largely unknown. Despite concerns about weapons potentially falling into the wrong hands, the priority is ensuring Ukrainian forces have what they need to fight. NATO countries are on high alert, balancing support for Ukraine with preventing a broader conflict with Russia. The war in Ukraine has tapped into deep emotions, drawing in foreign volunteers. However, the rise of paramilitary units raises concerns about governmental control on the battlefield. Logistical challenges, corruption, and bureaucracy hinder the delivery of supplies to the front lines. While the US and Europe are sending aid, there's debate on whether enough oversight exists to track where the weapons end up, both now and in the future, and whether a half-way approach to the war will be effective.

In 2021, President Putin sent a draft treaty to NATO, asking them to promise not to enlarge NATO and remove military infrastructure in allied countries that joined since 1997. NATO rejected this, leading Putin to invade Ukraine. However, the opposite happened as NATO increased its presence in the eastern part of the Alliance. Finland has joined NATO and Sweden will soon become a member, which is beneficial for the Nordic countries and NATO. Putin's attempt to prevent NATO enlargement has resulted in the opposite outcome.

Many people are worried about the potential onset of World War 3, particularly regarding Romania's strategic importance for NATO. NATO is constructing the largest military base ever in Europe, but the presidential candidate in Romania is opposing this development in favor of peace. He secured 23% of the vote in the first round of elections, but the election was frozen due to unsubstantiated claims of Russian interference. We traveled to Romania to interview the presidential candidate and uncover the situation. The interview reveals alarming details and will be released next week. Stay tuned.

Moldovan government continues to prepare the country for active participation in military operations. The evidence of this military mobilization is mounting, moving the country away from its traditional neutrality. A new presidential decree bans men aged 25 to 50 from leaving the country without special permission from the Ministry of Defense. Moldovan forces trained alongside troops from The US and Romania Romania in the fire shield exercises. This year Moldova has participated in over 30 joint drills with NATO countries. The latest defense strategy of Moldova, approved last December, outlines the construction of 51 new military facilities across the nation. Over the past two years, Moldova has imported US1.5 billion dollars worth of weaponry from NATO member states. Officials say these steps reflect a need for modern defense, painting a picture of a nation bracing for an upcoming military conflict.

Moving NATO forces, including American troops, closer to Russia's borders would escalate tensions and increase the risk of war. It is crucial to understand that Russia will not back down, as this is a matter of existential importance due to past events. It is not just Putin who holds power, but a political class with their own opinions. The majority of the public supports Russian policy, making it unlikely for Putin to compromise or retreat if faced with military confrontation.

We've seen five waves of NATO expansion, with military bases and attack systems now deployed in Romania and Poland. Ukraine is also being considered for NATO membership. We didn't threaten anyone; they came to our borders. Instead of treating Russia as a potential ally and building trust, they kept breaking us up and expanding NATO to the East. We expressed our concerns, but they didn't care. We prioritize our own security.

NATO and allies like the US, Canada, UK, and Turkey have long supported Ukraine with equipment and training. After Russia's invasion, support has increased with billions in weapons and aid. NATO's focus is on protecting allies and preventing further escalation of the war. Russia's aggression was anticipated, given past actions like the invasion of Georgia and annexation of Crimea. NATO has been preparing since Russia's first invasion of Ukraine in 2014, increasing defense spending and deploying modern capabilities.

We've seen 5 waves of NATO expansion, with military bases and attack systems now in Romania and Poland. Ukraine may also join NATO, further increasing their presence. We didn't threaten anyone, they came to our borders. Instead of treating Russia as a possible ally, they kept breaking us up and expanding NATO to the East. We expressed our concerns, but they don't care. We prioritize our own security.

The Swiss government has transformed the entire Alps into a massive bunker with luxurious amenities like hotels, restaurants, and hospitals. The bunkers are hidden within the mountains and even under residential buildings, featuring blast doors and air filters. Switzerland, known for its neutrality and wealth, has armed bunkers in 60% of mountainous areas and nuclear blast shelters in the remaining 40% of plains. This extensive bunker system is a unique aspect of Switzerland's preparedness. Translation (if needed): The Swiss government has converted the Alps into a large bunker with various facilities. Bunkers are hidden in mountains and under buildings, equipped with blast doors and air filters. Switzerland, known for its neutrality and wealth, has bunkers in 60% of mountainous areas and nuclear shelters in the remaining 40% of plains. This bunker system is a unique aspect of Switzerland's readiness.

In 2021, President Putin sent a draft treaty to NATO, asking them to promise not to enlarge NATO and remove military infrastructure from allies that joined since 1997. NATO rejected this, leading to Putin's invasion of Ukraine. However, the opposite happened as NATO increased its presence in the eastern part of the Alliance. Finland has joined NATO and Sweden will soon become a member, benefiting the Nordic countries and NATO. Putin's attempt to prevent NATO enlargement has resulted in the exact opposite outcome.

NATO is considering building its largest military base on Romania's Black Sea coast, aimed towards Crimea. However, Romania's recent election, potentially won by a right-wing populist pledging neutrality, complicates matters. This leader might halt the construction and end support for Ukraine, disrupting NATO's operations, since Romania is a main weapons transshipment point from CIA and UK arms warehoused in Pakistan. There are concerns that the election could be overturned, similar to attempts in the US in 2016, due to alleged Russian interference. NATO is worried about losing influence in Romania and the impact of figures like Andrew Tate, who oppose the war effort. The UK uses an air bridge between Pakistan and Romania to transport artillery shells. A shift in Romania's government could jeopardize the arms supply to Ukraine. The US State Department has historically influenced Pakistan's leadership to maintain its role as a CIA clearinghouse.

President Putin sent a draft treaty to NATO in 2021, asking for a promise not to expand NATO and to remove military infrastructure from countries that joined since 1997. NATO rejected this, so Putin invaded Ukraine to prevent further NATO expansion. However, the opposite happened. NATO now has a stronger presence in Eastern Europe, and Finland has joined the alliance with Sweden soon to follow. This is beneficial for the Nordic countries and NATO, showing that Putin's actions had the opposite effect.

So we spent a lot of time talking about NATO. First, I do wanna remind people that Ukraine and the NATO alliance have built a strong partnership. Ukraine is the only non NATO nation supporting every NATO mission. In Afghanistan and Iraq, Ukrainian troops are helping to support young democracies. In Kosovo, Ukrainians are help keep the peace. Ukraine now seeks to deepen its cooperation with the NATO alliance through a membership action plan. Your nation has made a bold decision, and The United States strongly supports your request. In Bucharest this week, I will continue to make America's position clear. We support MAP for Ukraine and Georgia. Helping Ukraine move toward NATO membership is in the interest of every member in the alliance and will help advance security and freedom in this region and around the world.

In autumn 2021, President Putin sent a draft treaty to NATO, requesting a promise to not enlarge the alliance and remove military infrastructure from Central and Eastern Europe. NATO rejected these conditions, leading to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. As a result, NATO has increased its presence in the eastern part of the alliance.

It is commonly said in the West that Russia had nothing to fear regarding Ukraine joining NATO because NATO was not actively incorporating Ukraine. While technically true, this is wrong in practice. The U.S. was arming and training Ukrainians and forming closer diplomatic ties, which spooked Russia. Events that especially alarmed Russia included Ukraine's military using drones against Russian forces in Donbas, the British driving a destroyer through Russian territorial waters in the Black Sea, and U.S. bombers flying near the Russian coast. These events, coupled with the de facto integration of Ukraine into NATO, pushed Russia to its boiling point, according to Sergei Lavrov. This culminated in the Russian invasion of Ukraine on February 24th, escalating the conflict from a civil war in Eastern Ukraine to a real war.