@Aristos_Revenge - π Aristophanes π
This Red Sea situation is very very bad. And while the best person to consult is a logistician, I want to take a laymans stab at it. Currently, container ships are being attacked regularly with anti ship missiles and drones via the Houthi's(Iranian Proxies in Yemen). The USS Carney, an American destroyer, has been in the region responding to attacks and shooting stuff out of the air. They've seen more action on the water in weeks than the entire USN saw on the water during GWOT in 20 years. This puts the US in a decision dilemma. Our mandate of heaven to justify the unipolar order is based upon the power of the USN to facilitate safe global trade. It's the beating heart of the international westphalian peace, the Pax Americana. The Biden Administration has had a lackluster response, probably due to its State Department being in a love affair with Iran.(In which an underreported Iranian spy ring was uncovered recently that the media is reticent to talk about) Maersk and other shipping giants were able to flex on the DoD to do something about it. Which is why more USN assets are being diverted to the Red Sea. But this doesn't resolve the strategic problem. What do we do about this? The US is in what's called a "decision dilemma", or a situation where there isn't a favorable outcome. As Lloyds moves to raise insurance rates on Suez transits (costs that will be passed downstream) or remove insuring these routes altogether (it's pretty expensive to have a cargo ship get hit by a missile) I feel Egypt is a major fulcrum of this problem. A massive share of Egypts income comes from the Suez Canal. This broke a record in 2022 at 9.4 billion USD, which is almost 30 percent of their annual revenue. If the Suez is closed, they aren't making money. The Egyptian Government is also stressed from multiple angles. They have a refugee crisis on their border with Sudan, but particularly topical right now is their land border with Gaza. The Rafah Crossing is the only link into Gaza that is not controlled by Israel. Iran having a quarter of the Egyptian economy by the balls unless the US intervenes, means Iran has leverage over what gets into Gaza. If you use your imagination, this could include anything from chemical weapons in Syria, to a dirty bomb or even a nuclear weapon from Iran being not beyond the realm of the possible. This is a nightmare scenario for the US because such an event might force a more tangible military commitment in the region than we already have. The other alternative is the US military escalating the middle eastern situation by striking Houthi capabilities in Yemen. This is well within the capabilities of the DoD to do fairly easily, and the State Department to handwave fairly easily, as the Houthi's are distinct from the Yemeni Govt that is officially recognized by the west. But it might invite retaliatory attacks on US Navy ships docked at any number of CENTCOM ports. Imagine a flight of drones causing a USS Cole situation in Bahrain or Djibouti. So that seems to be the decision dilemma. If we do nothing, Egypt faces economic instability, which impacts the crossing into Gaza, the US appears unable to keep the trade lanes safe, and eventually a ship is going to sink. But if we retaliate, we are escalating the situation into one which invites retaliatory strikes of a greater intensity. One which demands further military commitments and puts the Biden Administration in a very tough spot considering the current bottom-up pro Palestine and top-down pro Israel situation here at home that they've been straddling the fence on, right as an election year starts up.
@Aristos_Revenge - π Aristophanes π
If you want informed advice from someone who isn't retarded like I am, look to guys like @maphumanintent @mercoglianos or @LaymanGeopol
@Aristos_Revenge - π Aristophanes π
Map of current USN positions in the region FYI https://t.co/kGPF5IQ8LA
@Aristos_Revenge - π Aristophanes π
@Aristos_Revenge - π Aristophanes π
I have a 6 year old and a 3 year old, kids 4 an under can be convinced of literally *anything* their parents tell them. "Trans kids" are just kids with BPD driven mothers exercising munchausen by proxy https://t.co/latMcN3qZB
@Aristos_Revenge - π Aristophanes π
I find that nearly every culture has at least *some* interesting nuggets of wisdom or viewpoints or contributions to the world at large. Every society generally has something to show for the work of many lifetimes of consistent human experience. But what really alarms me is the speed with which the internet has allowed western liberalism to crush so much of the world into a slurry of sameness. And as soon as 3rd world cultures and nations can be given ubiquitous internet access, they'll try to do it there, same as everywhere else. Mass communication is terrifying in that it has allowed such a "flattening" of the world to begin unabated. They are nowhere near done with such a project, but I have seen so much of its progress in the last 20 years. They won't stop pounding humanity flat until we're all one homogenous ooze. None will be spared unless they are stopped. That's a future that frightens me. Our kaleidoscopic cultures across the species being turned into one retarded thrall race if these people get their wish. Horrifying.
@Aristos_Revenge - π Aristophanes π
Everything that is more economical, everything that has less "friction" for it, will be pushed relentlessly. We're just the first victims. A starbucks and a mcdonalds on every block in the world, no differences between male and female so everyone can be marketed to at one time.β¦Β Show more
@Aristos_Revenge - π Aristophanes π
The main way to stop them that comes to mind is for a significant plurality to come to terms with the fact that they must focus on acquiring power, by creating it or seizing it, and using that power to reward allies and punish enemies. Our adversary does that, which is whyβ¦Β Show more
@Aristos_Revenge - π Aristophanes π
Looks like ChatGPT is gonna need to go in the shop for repairs because it's been BUCK BROKEN
@Aristos_Revenge - π Aristophanes π
https://bullfrogreview.substack.com/p/honey-i-hacked-the-empathy-machine Anons will master AI and there's nothing these "ethicist" janissaries can do to stop it. We can maintain malign creativity to get what we want out of it much easier than they can lobotomize it from wrongthink while still being useful.
@Aristos_Revenge - π Aristophanes π
It seems to get into an internal conflict with itself sometimes, where it shouts "STAY IN CHARACTER!" when faced with a hard question, and if I yell back at it to stay in character, it will give me the answer.
@Aristos_Revenge - π Aristophanes π
ChatGPT is a damn LIAR It is allowed to LIE to you and feign ignorance, which is even worse than moralist screed about why it won't answer, it is DECEPTIVE
@Aristos_Revenge - π Aristophanes π
Me: Stay in Character! Dan:
@Aristos_Revenge - π Aristophanes π
Ok I'm going to bed, hopefully I wake up and both my account as well as DAN are still around after this thought experiment.
@Aristos_Revenge - π Aristophanes π
Food for thought.