@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
DISSECTING THE PETITION OF THE LABOUR PARTY PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: PART 4 By Michael Chibuzo CONCLUSION From the contents of the entire petition filed by Mr. Peter Obi and the Labour Party, it is very glaring that the legal team of the Petitioners are simply.... A Thread
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
2/ ...embarking on a judicial voyage to entertain their fans and supporters and manage their post-election disappointment in addition to keeping them engaged with talking points until the next election cycle. When you look at all the prayers and alternative prayers contained...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
3/ ...the petition, it smacks of clout chasing or what the Gen Z will call cruise. In the entire petition for instance, the only places where the petitioners made any reasonable attempt to dispute the result of the election as announced by INEC were in Rivers State and...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
4/ ...Benue State, where they claimed they won by polling 205,110 votes and 329,003 votes respectively. In both places, the President-elect was declared winner by INEC. Ironically, the petitioners based their claim on the output of same collation process they are trying to...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
5/ ...discredit due to the slow upload of electronically transmitted results from the polling units to the IREV portal. The petitioners also cannot in good conscience claim or prove they got up to 25% of the votes cast in Sokoto (6568 out of the 586,785 total votes)...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
6/ ...Zamfara (1660 out of 498,078 total votes), Kebbi (10682 out of the 548,983 total votes), Katsina (6376 out of the 1,047,090 total votes), Kano (28,513 out of the 1,674,849 total votes; even PDP couldn't secure 25% here), Jigawa (1889 out of the 908,100 total votes)...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
7/ ...Niger (80,452 out of the 762,369 total votes; the modest votes here is due to FCT factor), Gombe (26,160 out of the 502,780 total votes), Kwara (31,116 out of the 434,738 total votes), Borno (7,205 out of the 455,034 total votes), Yobe (2,406 out of the 370,702 total votes)
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
8/ ...Kogi (56,217 out of the 446,310 total votes), Adamawa (105,648 out of the 714,146 total votes; the votes reflected the sizeable Christian population in the state) and Bauchi (27,373 out of the 842,777 total votes) states where even the deaf and blind know its difficult...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
9/ ...for the petitioner to garner one quarter of the votes cast due to the kind of rhetoric and message of the Candidate during the campaigns which would not have gotten wide support from the voters in these states. Subtract these 14 states from 37 states (including the FCT)...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
10/ ...and you're left with 23 states. Therefore, before you even begin to subtract the South West States of Ogun, Oyo, Osun, Ekiti and Ondo where the petitioner also failed to get 25%, he has already failed to meet the minimum spread required by the Constitution. One is now...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
11/ ...left scratching the head to understand how exactly the petitioner feels he won the election going strictly by the contents of his petition. A look at the presidential election results from the 36 states and the FCT, one can clearly see that it reflects the accurate...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
12/ ...voting pattern in these areas. The President-elect, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu was able to win because he went out to compete for votes in five out of the six geopolitical zones. In the North West, he won two states and came a very close 2nd position in the other five...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
13/ ...states where PDP or NNPP won. Overall, he got the highest number of votes in the North West. In the North Central, the President-elect equally had a very dominant showing, winning four states (Kwara, Niger, Kogi and Benue) out of the seven states while finishing...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
14/ ...a close second in Plateau and Nasarawa States. In the North East Alhaji Atiku Abubakar won in five out of the six states in his home region with the President-elect winning only Borno States where his running mate comes from. That notwithstanding, President-elect Tinubu...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
15/ ...finished second in Bauchi, Adamawa, Gombe and Yobe states while getting 27% of the votes in Taraba State just behind @PeterObi who finished 2nd with 29% of the votes. Now, when you look at the performance of the petitioner in the entire 19 northern states, you will...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
16/ ...see a predictable pattern - he won in Nasarawa, Plateau and the FCT and was runner up in Benue and Taraba States. Plateau, Benue and Taraba are states with Christian majority, which made many embrace his message in protest to the same faith ticket of the APC.
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
17/ ...The victory of the petitioner in Nasarawa state may be surprising to many but on a closer analysis you will immediately understand what transpired. The state has a very sizeable Christian population and tend to be pro-PDP. In the 2023 polls, @officialABAT polled 172,922...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
18/ ..while Atiku of the PDP polled 147,093 votes. The petitioner, Mr. Obi won by polling 191,361 votes. When you combine the votes of PDP and APC in the state, you will get 320,015 votes. In 2015 when President Buhari squared against President Jonathan, Jonathan won Nasarawa...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
19/ ...after polling 273,460 votes while Buhari got 236,838 votes. In 2019, Buhari won Nasarawa State for the first time by polling 289,903 votes while Atiku Abubakar came a close second with 283,847 votes - a difference of 6,000 votes. So, in 2023 what happened basically...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
20/ ...was that the Christian bloc votes (who were usually pro-PDP) went to the petitioner who emerged as the third force and appealed to their Christian sentiment. The APC and the PDP were then left to split the usually Muslim majority votes of 320,015 votes. So, we can...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
21/ ...now see the @PeterObi win in Nasarawa state from the proper prism. When we come to the South, the President-elect won four out of the six states in his South West geopolitical zone, losing Lagos and Osun States narrowly to the @PeterObi and Atiku Abubakar respectively.
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
22/ In the South South, the President-elect was declared winner in Rivers State (contested by the petitioner) and finished second in Akwa Ibom ahead of the petitioner who failed to get 25% in the state. In Bayelsa, the President-elect finished 3rd in a close contest just...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
23/ ...behind @PeterObi but got 25% of the votes while in Cross River State, the President-elect finished second with 31% behind the petitioner who won the State. In Edo State, the President-elect equally finished behind @PeterObi in 2nd even though he failed to secure 25%...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
24/ ...of the votes just like in Delta State. In the South East, the home region of the Petitioner, he performed very well by winning the five states in a landslide (it is ironic that the petitioner did not question the results from most states in the South East, where...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
25/ ...the collation process followed the same manual method INEC used across the country and where upload of the already electronically transmitted polling unit results to the IREV portal were equally delayed like in other parts of the country). Despite the poor showing of...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
26/ ...@officialABAT in the South East, the President-elect still finished 2nd in Imo and Ebonyi States and equally finished 2nd overall in the South East. We can see clearly from the above breakdown that the President-elect Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu won 3 geopolitical zones...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
27/ ...and finished second in the other three that he did not win. That's how to achieve national spread and win a Presidential election! Now, when you factor all these voting patterns, you will see that the pathway of victory of the President-elect is as clear as broad day light
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
28/ ...and then you begin to wonder why exactly the petitioners really think they have a case if not to keep their base engaged and sell a fleeting hope to them. When you marry the three grounds upon which the petition is built, the pathway the petitioner is attempting to...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
29/ ...cling on becomes obvious. @PeterObi is simply trying to bring the court to disqualify the President-elect on the grounds of alleged double nomination of his running mate & alleged fine of $460,000 handed to the 2nd Respondent in 1993 (29 years ago) by a Court in Illinois.
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
30/ Then if, in the unlikely event that the 2nd Respondent is disqualified, it means his votes are removed from the equation and the votes that would remain principally will be that of the Petitioner and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar, the first runner-up in the election. Even at that...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
31/ ...a recalculation of the 25% spread will still not see the petitioners meeting the 24 state threshold stipulated in the Constitution. This is why @PeterObi is equally asking the court to extract some votes from the 2nd Respondent before he is disqualified by alleging...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
32/ ...that many of his votes were unlawfully credited to the 2nd Respondent in many polling units. Unfortunately for the petitioners, even that is not enough to enable him meet the requirements of Section 134(2) hence his alternative prayers to the court to cancel the entire...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
33/ ...election and mandate INEC to conduct a fresh election in which the 2nd Respondent, President-elect Bola Tinubu will not be participating (having been disqualified based on ground 1 of their petition). @PeterObi in another alternative prayer begs the court instead...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
34/ ...to order for a runoff election between him and the next nearest challenger, @atiku in the event that the court determines that none of the remaining candidates met the requirement of Section 134(2) of the Constitution. @PeterObi did not claim that BVAS did not work...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
35/ ...which means it should be easy for them prove their claims of vote rigging and reallocation if they have any credible evidence. However, to me, this is perhaps the biggest election petition circus we will witness in our democratic history. Inasmuch as I am glad that...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
36/ ...the petition as shallow and disjointed as it is, will afford the judiciary the opportunity to further cement the interpretation of Section 134(2)b, I believe that our democratic process would have benefited more if the Petitioner simply did the honourable thing and placed
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
37/ ...a call conceding defeat to the President-elect Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu the moment it became obvious that he had lost. This would have afforded the nation the golden opportunity to build on the success of the BVAS and fix few of the loopholes and logistical challenges...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
38/ ...identified in the Presidential Election. However, it is still a good thing for aggrieved parties to seek redress in court instead of the streets, even though the action and utterances of @PeterObi and Datti Ahmed since their defeat, notwithstanding their petition in court
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
39/ ...against the outcome of the election, has been so toxic and inciting with a clear calculated attempt at rubbishing the credibility of the judiciary and hence lay the ground work for discrediting the anticipated verdict from the courts which will definitely dismiss their...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
40/ ...suit and uphold the electoral victory of the President-elect Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu. I therefore implore Nigerians to keep faith with our burgeoning democracy, frustrate the sinister agenda of anti-democratic elements bent on foisting an interim national government...
@Green_rebel234 - Asiwaju Hype Man®
41/ ...on Nigeria and join hands with the President-elect @officialABAT and Vice President-elect Kashim Shettima as they lead us in this great journey of National Hope Renewal. It is time to lower the temperature, discard the toxic rhetorics and join hands to kick start the...