@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
AI’s Greatest Secret: It’s the Free Marketplace of Ideas That Made It Smart In discussions of artificial intelligence, much attention is given to the power of predictive models, their efficiency, and the algorithms that drive them. People debate which AI models are “smarter,” which perform better, and which techniques yield the most powerful results. Yet, these conversations often overlook a deeper reality: the intelligence of AI is not found in its computational methods but in the vast body of human knowledge it has absorbed. The real genius behind AI is not the machine itself, but the centuries of intellectual free exchange that made its intelligence possible. Consider a financial market where traders collectively shape the price of an asset. The price at any given moment is not the product of one trader’s insight but of countless interactions, competing pressures, and decentralized decision-making. Now, imagine a series of algorithms that attempt to predict future price movements. Some of these algorithms will be better than others. Some will find deeper patterns, use more sophisticated models, or adjust more dynamically to changes. But all of them—whether simple or complex—are only as good as the market they analyze. Their intelligence is derivative of the decentralized intelligence encoded in the market itself. This is precisely the situation with AI. Large language models and predictive systems do not generate wisdom from scratch. They process and reorganize the accumulated output of human thought. Every book, article, forum discussion, and research paper these models ingest is a reflection of centuries of debate, refinement, and intellectual evolution. The intelligence we attribute to AI is, in reality, an emergent property of the open marketplace of ideas—the same process that has allowed science, philosophy, and literature to progress over millennia. Yet, despite this reality, much of the discourse around AI treats its intelligence as if it originates from within the machine itself. We speak of AI “learning” or “thinking,” but these words mislead. AI does not think; it remixes. It does not generate new ideas; it reconfigures past ones in ways that are often compelling but fundamentally derivative. Its brilliance—such as it is—comes not from the neural network’s architecture but from the depth and breadth of the human knowledge it is trained on. This realization leads to an unsettling truth: if the underlying intellectual marketplace that AI draws from is damaged, the intelligence of AI will decline along with it. If free expression is restricted—if the vast, messy, often controversial conversations that shape human knowledge are curtailed—then AI will become less useful, not more. Just as a financial market cannot produce good price signals without open competition, an AI trained on a censored or ideologically constrained dataset will be a weaker, narrower, and more brittle version of itself. This raises an existential question not just for AI, but for human civilization. If we continue to believe that intelligence is generated by AI rather than distilled from human intellectual history, we risk taking for granted the real source of its power. AI is not an independent mind. It is a mirror—one that reflects back the collective insights of human thought, refined through centuries of open discourse. If we allow the mechanisms that generated that knowledge to atrophy, no amount of computational efficiency will save us. The intelligence behind intelligence will have been lost.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
One example of the irresponsibility of media, this Business Insider article on March 4, comparing flu and COVID19. Corona19 looks apocalyptic!!! Except... They used the INFECTION fatality rate (IFR) for flu, and the CASE fatality rate (CFR) for C19 ! https://businessinsider.com/coronavirus-compared-to-flu-mortality-rates-2020-3?amp…
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
IFR is percentage of infected who die. CFR is percentage of tested-positives who dies. And, usually for CFR the tested-positives are already in the hospital because they're VERY sick. (Especially in February.) IFR usually is two or more orders of magnitude lower than CFR.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKCN26D0XI/ https://t.co/3AMwVXmfiH
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi - LooFWIRED.com Mag
🎥 — SCIMO 454 — 🎥 The Lockdowner apology we'll never hear. https://t.co/xfmwG2LII9
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi - LooFWIRED.com Mag
It’s not about having gotten the science wrong in 2020. It’s about having gotten the civil liberties wrong in 2020.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi - LooFWIRED.com Mag
Same general point I made about Piers Morgan’s “apology.” — Piers Morgan: “But my prejudice against the unvaccinated was justified by The Science!” Moment 289 https://youtu.be/8QCKAaiJNEU
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi - LooFWIRED.com Mag
Those excusing themselves on the basis that they got the science wrong have not learned the right lesson. There are no scientific facts that would have justified medical authoritarianism. Learn anything else and we’re left ripe for totalitarianism. https://www.loofwired.com/p/were-at-risk-of-learning-the-wrong
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
Mother of God they have learned nothing.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
What you witnessed was evil. What you witnessed was mass hysteria. What you witnessed was totalitarianism.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
CRIMES AGAINST HUMANITY “It appears that the vaccination campaign was in effect a mass iatrogenic event that killed 0.213% of the world population (1 death per 470 living persons, in less than 3 years), and did not measurably prevent any deaths.” https://correlation-canada.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/2023-09-17-Correlation-Covid-vaccine-mortality-Southern-Hemisphere.pdf
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
Four recent Moments on civil liberties, which must be fought for more than ever.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
Epic must-see talk in 2021 by @NickHudsonCT. Was censored immediately.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
If they demand Covid interventions again, make them see how authoritarian they are by your non-compliance.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
THEM: We forced vaccination because we care! ME: If you cared, you would respect ~ civil liberties ~ bodily autonomy ~ informed consent ~ natural immunity ~ that few were at risk from Covid ~ that the vaccines didn’t slow transmission ~ that even if the vaccines did slow transmission, it’s not epidemiologically sensible to push the unvaccinated into their own clusters with unchecked transmission ~ that the unvaccinated — e.g., for flu — were never before fired, banished, prevented from travel and denied medical care ~ that the vaccines were never tested for all cause mortality, i.e., whether they actually raised or lowered mortality If you cared, you would mind your f***ing business.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
Devastating thread on the censorial bones of the federal government. This should frighten you more than any of the unethical and devastating Covid interventions. https://t.co/BJis6aoSeO
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
More than 100 Science Moment episodes on the complex issues around free expression. https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLHmody2xNMCvOcQyhMtXfnS9PiUMUryHk
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
Your regular reminder that at the start of Covid doctors were recommending using invasive ventilation rather than “high-flow nasal oxygen or noninvasive ventilation due to risk of dispersion of aerosolized virus.” That is to say, they were intubating patients they otherwise…
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
@Scott_755 If you don’t see the obvious parallels between the treatment of the unvaccinated and the Jews, you might as well not have remembered the Holocaust at all. Why we remember the Holocaust. Moment 117 https://youtu.be/WvG2a_sJsH4
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
Lest we forget just how totalitarian things got with Covid, please leave in the comments example where individuals, groups or companies went beyond what was mandated to “help save us from Covid.”
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
I’ll start with a couple of the most obvious: ~ Masking outdoors: Billions of people wore masks outdoors, despite it not being mandated. ~ Snitches: Millions of people went out of their way to enforce the mask mandates, despite not having any responsibility for doing so.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
One of many: A middle aged masked man walked up to my 8th grade son and his buddy walking down the neighborhood street in Bellingham, WA and said, "I need you two to put masks on or I'm gonna have to shove eleven inches up your ass." We left the state.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
A coffeehouse in the town I grew up in kept mandating masks after Massachusetts lifted its mandate. I don't know what things are like there now because I haven't gone back (last time I was there was a year ago or over), but I was sad. I loved talking with the owner.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
A grown 30-something man waited outside for my then 17yo son, and parked behind him, blocking him in to 'teach him a lesson' after my son didn't wear a mask into the gas station. He wouldn't move until store employees threatened to call the police. Heroic!
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
Journalists like @charlesrusnell were eager to participate in the Stasi-like hunt for mask-less New Years's parties. Not the parties of the rich and famous. No. The parties of regular folks. This was in 2022 by the way... after the arrival of Omicron.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
In Québec, a building owner (with whom I had a contract for interior design) only allowed me to enter the building (for an important task) under strict conditions: double masks! Hand washing + gloves and not alllowed to touch anything! Because? No vax#
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
Sprouts corporate put out a requirement that anyone in their store 2 years of age or older must wear a mask. One store, at least, did not allow an autistic teen to shop with her mother w/o a mask. Oh, state gov had set the "requirement" for 10+ yrs old.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
On Friday we will, hopefully, visit my fiancé's mum for the first time in 3 years. She has been unable to accept a visit from us despite my being 6 months pregnant, because we are unvaccinated. His sister has used it as an excuse to alienate him, and we were uninvited from his..
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
When my local subreddit featured pictures of an antilockdown demo, I posted some spirited defenses of it to counter all the gross insults and was mass reported to the police by the brave redditors who screenshotted their reports and sent them to me to mock and threaten me.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
Another one. When my company announced the Christmas party would go on in 2021, they first invited everyone, only to later, after I'd already made plans with dozens of people, announce it was only for those who could produce a negative test AND proof of double vaccination.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
A young restaurant employee in the Netherlands shouted at my wife that the injection was mandatory (it wasn't, obvs.). A LCA airport check-in clerk, who was being the most friendly ever, stopped talking to me when I answered "it's a private matter" to "the question"
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
In Swift Current, SK my cousin had been on the road for hours running errands. Stopped at her mother in laws home so kids could use the toilet. Neighbour called the cops. Despicable. I tell you, if that was my neighbour, we'd have more than a few words.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
My daughters Nursery had a ‘requirement’ for people to mask when collecting their children, but we were stood outside and their guidance actually referred to indoor shared spaces. I neglected to play along, plus Id already had Covid by then and so had my kids.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
A story of mine from December 2021: “A friend usually has a huge fancy dress New Years party, and we were looking forward to it. Word got out that my wife and I were invited, and — because I have been a vocal agitator against mandates of all kind — https://markchangizi.substack.com/p/if-changizis-invited-then-im-not… Show more
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
We were not invited to large family events and also were accidentally added to a WhatsApp group made to ensure we were avoided last summer. They questioned if it would be safe to meet us down wind on a beach but the consensus was no. I have never been so angry for so long https://t.co/YE5LsQ6pl9
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Most people wouldn’t recognize the arrival of tyranny even if it 1/ banned church services 2/ shut down their business 3/ forced them to stay home 4/ stopped schooling their kids 5/ lost them their job cuz “inessential” 6/ kept sick family from seeing their loved ones 7/ prevented their doctors from making their own medical decisions 8/ demanded they cover their identity and ability to express themselves in public 9/ coordinated which speech and viewpoints would be allowed in the public square 10/ jabbed them in the arm with a rushed medication, and refusal to submit meant being fired and banished
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
Expunging the history of one’s unethical or mistaken viewpoints is not how we move toward a better world. We can be forgiving, but that does not mean forgetting, much less ignoring.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
Ok, maybe Scott Adams can’t even be said to be now on Team Reality. Fair enough.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
They need to be honest, apologize, be forgiven, and then redeem themselves. I don’t see these steps. I just see them stepping into leading us despite having been part of the problem.
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Yup. Cernovich. https://t.co/wevRTlidMX
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
I’d prefer that our leaders getting us out of this mess weren’t the ones that not only got us into it, but hid the fact that they did.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
So, we have loads of “leaders” today trying to “help” us understand what happened in March 2020 that we ended up with civil rights violations en masse, devastated economies, and epic prejudice against the unvaccinated, and they themselves were significant parts of the cause.🤦
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
People CAN be forgiven. And they can overcome their mistakes. But they can’t move forward without a hit to their reputation as if it never happened. Free expression works BECAUSE when people express themselves, they put reputation at stake. See our new book, EXPRESSLY HUMAN.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
On holding those accountable for pushing the interventions, it’s not sufficient to say, “They’re on our side NOW.” (1) Their behavior helped CAUSE the mass hysteria and civil liberties violations, (2) and free expression works BECAUSE when we speak we put reputation at stake.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
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@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
In a (decentralized) social network, who counts as a “leader” is essentially whoever has high reputation and lots of followers, so that their voice can in effect sway the network. They aren’t leaders in the “hey, who do we elect to be our leader” sort of way.
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
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@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
Piers Morgan: “But my prejudice against the unvaccinated was justified by The Science!” https://youtu.be/8QCKAaiJNEU
@MarkChangizi - Mark Changizi
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
🔥 Culpability Principle 🔥 1/ You’ve heard of the Precautionary Principle, but we desperately need a new principle, one I will describe in this thread. It’s called… The Intervention Culpability Principle.
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
2/ The Precautionary Principle is NOT that we should take precautions when there are perceived dangers. Unfortunately, this is almost the exact opposite of what the Precautionary Principle actually says. https://rumble.com/vr38xq-the-precautionary-principle-demands-you-show-theyre-safe-and-effective.-mom.html
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
3/ The Precautionary Principle says that the burden of evidence is on those proposing the novel interventions to show that they will work, and will have low harms. https://youtu.be/JfUsm6frk8s
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
4/ What’s the justification for the Precautionary Principle? Society culturally evolves into somewhat optimal spots, with no designer. When we make perturbations, it almost always shifts things from some current local optimum to something less optimal. https://youtu.be/lnJ5pTPMVPE
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
5/ And there’s a long history of our human interventions wrecking things. The greatest historical democides (mass deaths by government) are usually due to the results of society’s well intentioned policies.
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
6/ So, that’s the what and why of the Precautionary Principle. But I said we need another principle. What’s that?
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
7/ Whereas the Precautionary Principle concerns how to behave BEFORE initiating novel interventions, this new principle concerns how to behave AFTER having implemented the novel interventions.
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
8/ The mainstream covid narrative is that the interventions worked ~ they slowed spread ~ they saved hospitals ~ any costs were small relative to this ~ and they were certainly not the cause of most of the supposed covid deaths that the interventions were protecting us from
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9/ It’s been the skeptics and narrative outsiders that have been having to provide evidence, mostly ignored, that the interventions ~ did not slow the spread ~ did not save hospitals ~ had devastating harms ~ and are quite probably the principal cause of most of the supposed…
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
10/ That is to say, in the post-intervention situation we’re now in, the burden has been on those skeptical of the interventions to demonstrate the failure of the interventions. Why is that?
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
11/ That has things backwards. Why isn’t the burden on those that supported the draconian civil-liberties-violating interventions to demonstrate that the interventions were in fact successful?
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
12/ The wisdom of the Precautionary Principle is that, in the absence of very good arguments, we presume society’s current functioning has found some local optimum. Most deviations from that will lower the utility, often astronomically so.
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13/ And this is in the best of circumstances. It’s even more relevant when interventions are implemented quickly, when civil liberties are violated, or when they’re implemented under a perceived pressure to “do something to save us.”
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
14/ But those very reasons justifying the Precautionary Principle also argue that the post-intervention presumption should be that the interventions failed. The presumption should definitely NOT be that the interventions worked as planned!
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
15/ They rarely do work as planned, and those in power that implemented the interventions are exactly the folks you cannot trust when they claim they worked as planned, no matter how well intentioned they might be.
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
16/ This is especially the case for interventions that were not implemented with an eye for the Precautionary Principle in the first place, as was the case for the covid interventions, where one was a “denier” to even suggest that cost-benefit analyses must be done.
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
17/ So, just as the Precautionary Principle puts the burden on the interventionists before their implementation, this new principle puts the burden on the interventionists after the interventions have been implemented. Here’s the new principle…
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
18/ The Culpability Principle The burden is on those supporting the novel interventions to show they worked as advertised.
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
19/ It is the interventionists’ responsibility to fully and independently audit the consequences of the interventions, against the starting assumption that they did NOT work, and that they DID have significant harms.
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
20/ And the Culpability Principle is even more relevant for interventions that ~ never took the Precautionary Principle seriously ~ were implemented in haste ~ were implemented in fear ~ were implemented with righteous justification ~ were perceived as “common sense” ~…
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
21/ For covid, the Culpability Principle says the burden is on the lockdowners (maskers, supporters of mandatory vaccination, etc.) to show that ~ the interventions slowed the spread ~ the interventions saved hospitals ~ any costs were small relative to the benefits ~ the…
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
22/ The Precautionary and Culpability Principles comprise the wisdom that our greatest threat comes from our own actions. They’re just the pre- and post-game versions of the same core principle.
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
23/ Precautionary Principle: The burden is on you to convince me twelve ways to Sunday that your ingenious scheme to save us ISN’T GOING TO royally fuck things up. Culpability Principle: The burden is on you to convince me twelve ways to Sunday that your ingenious scheme to…
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
24/ But, some might reply, once the interventions have actually occurred, won’t it be obvious whether the interventions worked as advertised? Not at all!
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
25/ Not even supposing everyone is acting as independent and objective scientists. And especially not in a climate where a mainstream narrative will inevitably have formed post-hoc justifying the wisdom and ethics of the interventions.
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
26/ Finally, as an addendum, because the Precautionary Principle is commonly misunderstood to dangerously mean the opposite — “We must take all the precautions!” — it would greatly help to rename these two principles as follows:
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
27-end/ The Intervention Precautionary Principle and the The Intervention Culpability Principle
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——LOCKDOWNS CRUSH—— Low wage Leisure & hospitality workers hit industry devastated hardest, flattened at 50%. not recovered.
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Harms of public health interventions against covid-19 must not be ignored https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m4074
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“Nearly 1.6 billion learners across the globe endured school closures that lasted from a few months to two years, and the consequences of these learning gaps will reverberate for generations, according to a recent report from the World Bank.” https://www.latimes.com/california/newsletter/2022-03-14/global-learning-loss-8-to-3-newsletter-8-to-3
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Oxfam's Davos report,"Profiting from Pain" "COVID-19 [interventions are] already set to drive the biggest systemic increase in income inequality ever seen." https://oi-files-d8-prod.s3.eu-west-2.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/2022-05/Oxfam%20Media%20Brief%20-%20EN%20-%20Profiting%20From%20Pain%2C%20Davos%202022%20Part%202.pdf
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The following four slides provide a small sample of the astronomically disastrous effects worldwide due to Covid hysteria and the consequent draconian and ineffective interventions, including lockdowns, masks, social distancing and many others.
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
As I discussed in early March (and early on pinned the tweet below), we were overwhelmed with hysteria, and had set ourselves on a path of self-destruction.
@MarkChangizi - MarkChangizi.substack.com
Hysteria and mass delusion are the ultimate underlying cause of the great totalitarian man-made disasters, more so than even the dictators themselves. https://youtu.be/S4L8Xh9C8dI
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And fear is the most likely source of hysteria, tapping into unique instinctual reactions we have to it. https://youtu.be/dBCHU64HCX0
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Worst of all is a particular variety of fear, one that not only can produce hysteria, but rips society apart more firmly than any other fear: Fear of infection Inside any pandemic — or the *perception* of a pandemic — are the seeds of totalitarianism. https://youtu.be/uQJocunRHiA
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