@McSqueezyTheCow - McSqueezyTheCow
Friendly reminder that the New York Fed backstopped #UBS through its reverse repo facility.
@McSqueezyTheCow - McSqueezyTheCow
(ISDA) -- Re: Basel III Reform
"The Federal Reserve has previously estimated that implementing these final measures could result in a capital increase of up to 20% for the largest US bank holding companies, while the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision expects the revised market risk standards will lead to a weighted average rise in capital requirements of 57% for G-SIBs."
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Now that I definitely have your attention again, let's quickly discuss the upcoming changes GSIBs can expect.
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GSIB | noun | Global Systemically Important Bank.
http://Risk.net defines a GSIB as a "bank whose systemic risk profile is deemed to be of such importance that the bank's failure would trigger a wider financial crisis and threaten the global economy."
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But first, some housekeeping. Let's make it all make sense.
Formed in 1974 by central bankers from the G10 countries and headquartered in Basel, Switzerland, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) is an international committee made up of 45 members from Central Banks in 28 jurisdictions, formed to develop standards for banking regulation.
More specifically, "the BCBS serves to help national banking and financial markets supervisory bodies move toward a more unified, globalized approach to solving regulatory issues".
"The BCBS has developed a series of highly influential policy recommendations known as the Basel Accords". These accords have been through three phases, which are denotes as Basel I, II, and III.
As the subprime-mortgage crisis, and ensuing global financial crisis (GFC) exposed cracked in previous accords, Basel III was formed. "The Basel III regulations are designed to reduce damage to the world economy from banks that take on excessive risk". And although BCBS agreed on Basel III in November of 2010, a series of extensions postponed the introduction of these accords for some time. "As of 2022, it is still in the process of implementation".
"An updated version of the accord, called Basel IV, began implementation in January 2023", per Investopedia.
Under Basel III: [As outlined by Investopedia]
• Banks must maintain capital reserves equal to at least 8% of their risk-weighted assets
• The minimum amount of equity, as a percentage of assets, is increased from 2% to 4.5%
• An additional buffer of up to 2.5% required, bringing the total equity requirement to as much as 7%.
This buffer can be used during times of financial stress, but banks doing so will face constraints on their ability to pay dividends and otherwise deploy capital.
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With the groundwork done, let's jump back into some of the details of what ISDA has dubbed "Preparing for the Basel III Endgame".
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"All around the world, banks are getting ready to implement a package of capital requirements for market risk, credit risk and operational risk that will finally complete the Basel III reforms developed in response to the 2008 financial crisis. Within days, US prudential regulators are expected to publish their legislative proposals, following similar proposals in the UK and the EU. As in those jurisdictions, it is critical that the impact of the proposed rules is thoroughly tested and any increase in capital requirements does not disproportionately affect costs for businesses, consumers and investors."
"Implementing additional capital requirements is a complex challenge. The Basel III regulatory reforms are long overdue, but, as many policymakers have recognized, a further significant increase in capital requirements could have serious consequences. The Federal Reserve has previously estimated that implementing these final measures could result in a capital increase of up to 20% for the largest US bank holding companies, while the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision expects the revised market risk standards will lead to a weighted average rise in capital requirements of 57% for G-SIBs."
@McSqueezyTheCow - McSqueezyTheCow
Citigroup, the parent company of Citibank, reported that 85.74% of their $1.286 trillion in deposits are uninsured, according to call report data for the period ending September 30th.
Schedule RC - Balance Sheet (Form Type - 031) tells us that Citigroup has:
• $721,253,000,000 of deposits in domestic offices, and
• $564,851,000,000 of deposits in foreign offices
Schedule RC-O - Other Data for Deposit Insurance and FICO Assessments(Form Type - 031) tells us that Citigroup has:
$537,913,000,000 of estimated uninsured deposits in domestic offices, such as Puerto Rico and other U.S. territories.
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A quick segue.. for housekeeping
"The call report collects basic financial data of commercial banks in the form of a balance sheet, an income statement, and supporting schedules. The Report of Condition schedules provide details on assets liabilities, and capital accounts. The Report of Income schedules provide details on income and expenses", according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
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The Maths...
Part I.
$721,253,000,000 Domestic Deposits
+ $564,851,000,000 Foreign Deposits
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$1,286,104,000,000 Total Deposits
Part II.
$564,851,000,000 Foreign Deposits
+ $537,913,000,000 Uninsured Domestic Deposits
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$1,102,764,000,000 Total Uninsured Deposits
Part III.
$1,102,764,000,000 Total Uninsured Deposits /
$1,286,104,000,000 Total Deposits X 100 =
85.7445
Wayment, Squeezy! Why so many uninsured deposits?
Per FDIC’s September 2013 Final Rule on the Definition of Deposits at Foreign Branches of U.S. Banks Press Release, a final rule was approved clarifying that “deposits in foreign branches of U.S. banks are not FDIC-insured."
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Okay. So, why does all of this matter??
Simply put, uninsured deposits are a risk to banks, as they can lead to a depositor run on a bank.
According to FDIC, "Uninsured depositor runs triggered the failures of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank in March 2023".
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Let's delve deeper, shall we?
As pointed out by Jiang et al. in their working paper, “Monetary Tightening and U.S. Bank Fragility in 2023: Mark-to-Market Losses and Uninsured Depositor Runs?”
• “…unlike insured depositors, uninsured depositors stand to lose a part of their deposits if the bank fails, potentially giving them incentives to run”
• “If uninsured deposit withdrawals cause even small fire sales, substantially more banks are at risk”
• “…for sufficiently high increases in interest rates, we have multiple equilibria in which uninsured depositor run[s] making banks insolvent becomes a possibility”
• “Even if only half of uninsured depositors decide to withdraw, almost 190 banks with assets of $300 billion are at a potential risk of impairment”
• "...even if only 10% of uninsured depositors decided to withdraw their money, we would have 66 banks failing with about $210 billion of assets. If 30% of uninsured depositors ran instead, which is close to the share of withdrawals just preceding the shutdown of the SVB, we would have 106 banks failing accounting for $250 billion of assets"
• "SVB had a disproportional share of uninsured funding"
@McSqueezyTheCow - McSqueezyTheCow
When we last left off our discussion on former #FTX-US President @brettharrison88, we briefly discussed his employment history.
Let's continue today by highlighting some direct and indirect relationships of the man of the hour; give or take a few degrees of separation.
"What a tangled web we weave when first we practice to deceive"
- Unknown
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But first, a recap of Brett's present and past:
• Founder and CEO at Architect [.xyz], a decentralized finance (DeFi) platform aimed at streamlining the crypto market structure equipping financial institutions with innovative technological solutions for trading futures, options, tokenized assets, and more
• Head of Semi-Systematic Technology at #Citadel Securities, where he managed Options, ETF, ADR, and OTC technology groups
• Senior Software Developer at Headlands Technologies LLC, a privately funded global quantitative trading company that develops and implements quantitative trading strategies in exchange-traded financial (ETF) products, such as equities and other securities
• Head of Trading Systems Technology at Jane Street, where he led the firm’s algorithmic trading system development
• Studied at Harvard, earning a BS and MS in Computer Science. It was through Harvard that Harrison would come to intern at Jane Street.
As a student intern at Jane Street, Harrison started on the American depositary receipts (ADR) desk as a trader.
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Why does this matter, Squeezy?? Great question!
First, there is the obvious implication of being President of a company who perpetrated and is now on trial for fraud, losing billions of investor dollars, and causing a chain reaction of loss and damages within the crypto industry.
Second, of late, Brett Harrison--or a bot--has gone on a block-party, seemingly insulating himself from any and everyone who posts [and/or reposts] anything regarding himself, FTX #stokens, and the like.
(..interesting!)
Lastly, and what is really the heart of today's post; interconnectedness.
If we look at present and past connections of Brett Harrison, there are a myriad of conclusions which could be drawn and relationships that could--and frankly should-- be scrutinized.
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So, let's go back to the beginning... Harvard!
Here we see a young, bright-eyed, and bushy-tailed Brett Harrison pictured next to Pablo Azar when they were both staff at The Harvard College Mathematics Review.
Connection I:
Pablo Azar would later go on to become the Chief Economist for Algorand, as well as a Financial Economist for the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, after completing two PhD's at MIT.
Who or what is Algorand?, you ask.
Designed to improve blockchain decentralization, Algorand is a Boston-based blockchain company created by MIT professor Silvio Micali "that aims to create a truly democratic and efficient public ledger".
(Both Silvio Micali and SEC Chair Gary Gensler have ties to MIT's Digital Currency Initiative; the outfit that worked with the Fed on "Project Hamilton"; CBDC).
Algorand would go on to create and sell its own coin, ALGO, which would ultimately help the company increase its market cap to $24 billion.
Quick fun fact: Since graduating in 1989, Ken Griffin has donated over $500 million to the Faculty of Arts and Sciences (FAS).
The Harvard Gazette writes,
"In recognition of Griffin’s commitment to Harvard’s mission over the years, the Graduate School of Arts and Sciences will be renamed the Harvard Kenneth C. Griffin Graduate School of Arts and Sciences in his honor."
..I bet that makes it easy to recruit the best and the brightest minds, hey Kenny?
Connection II & III:
John Clarke and Owen Colegrove founded Algofi, low-cost crypto lending market on the Algorand blockchain.
Prior to Algorand, Colgrove was a Quantitative Strategist at Citadel, and Clarke a Quantitative Trader.
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Onto Jane Street!
I'll save the "quantitative trading firm and liquidity provider with a unique focus on technology and collaborative problem solving" rigamarole, as many are likely aware of Jane Street, since it's often mentioned in conjunction with Citadel, BlackRock, Vanguard, etc.
Connection:
Jane Street is important to this story because it is where Brett Harrison would meet a young hopeful presidential candidate, Sam Bankman-Fried.
(lols intensify)
Bankman-Fried would go on to be co-founder and CEO at crypto exchange FTX.
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Heartlands Tech...
While developing software for the company, Brett worked under CEO Matthew (Matt) Andersen.
Connection:
Prior to being CEO at Heartlands, Andersen was previously:
• Managing Director at Citadel Investment Group
• Co-CEO at Citadel Derivatives Group
and served on the:
• SEC’s Equity Market Structure Committee (“EMSAC”), as well as the
• SEC’s Fixed Income Market Structure Committee (“FIMSAC”)
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Onto Citadel... of course. The hedge fund - market maker that was started in a Harvard dorm room in the 80's after Ken Griffin sweet-talked staff into letting him install a satellite dish on the roof of the Cabot house to trade bonds with $265,000 raised from family members and friends.
Connection:
Heath Tarbert, who is now Chief Legal Counsel and Head of Corporate Affairs at Circle, was previously Chief Legal Officer at Citadel, Vice Chair, Board of Directors at International Organization of Securities Commissions, Chair & Chief Executive at CFTC, and worked at the Dept of the Treasury.
Fun Fact: Circle was a sponsor of Crypto Bahamas, an "invitation-only event featuring collaboration and networking among leading players in the crypto and traditional finance industry" hosted April 26 - 29 of last year, hosted by FTX and #SALT.
SALT is a global thought leadership and networking forum encompassing finance, technology and geopolitics. SALT’s biannual events and technology solutions connect leading asset managers and entrepreneurs with top asset owners, investment advisors and policy experts.
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The exchange that needs no introduction... FTX!
Connection I:
Mark Wetjen, who currently “advises on derivatives, digital assets, and financial technology matters for Patomak Global Partners" was previously FTX's former Head of Policy & Regulatory Strategy, #DTCC Managing Director and Head of Global Public Policy, and Chairman of the DTCC Deriv/SERV LLC (Deriv/SERV) Board of Director.
Fun Fact: At Crypto Bahamas, Wetjen said:
"with a couple agencies where Chris and I used to serve, there's actually a fair amount of flexibility in how the regulations are written.”
(...convenient!)
As it turns out, Mark was referring to Chris Giancarlo.
Oh, and that agency where they both used to work???