@NormEisen - Norm Eisen (norm.eisen on Threads)
Important tacit admission here from Giuliani. If Trump''s fraud claims are false, then he should be convicted. And the claims are clearly false. We break 'em down one by one: https://voterprotectionprogram.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/000A-Myths-and-Facts-of-the-2020-Presidential-Election-20210113-FINAL.pdf
@NormEisen - Norm Eisen (norm.eisen on Threads)
This is populist illiberal gobbledygook. Mail in voting is constitutional, and the courts have rejected all the challenges Want proof? We @Protect_Voters list this and all the other lies here, and we knock them all down: https://voterprotectionprogram.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/000A-Myths-and-Facts-of-the-2020-Presidential-Election-20210113-FINAL.pdf
@NormEisen - Norm Eisen (norm.eisen on Threads)
I’m back more or less live tweeting day 2 of the bogus Lake election fraud claims trial. Lake witness Richard Baris, a self-proclaimed pollster is testifying. Cross shows that he is not a respected pollster. 1/x
@NormEisen - Norm Eisen (norm.eisen on Threads)
I think the judge will understand how everything Baris is saying is junk statistics but his testimony is definitely playing to conspiracy theorists. He is very argumentative and pitching his business; I’m hoping the lawyers tie together all the weaknesses at closing! 2/x
@NormEisen - Norm Eisen (norm.eisen on Threads)
Baris claims he’s never inaccurately predicted an election outside the sampling error To clarify, that could mean he INCORRECTLY predicts the winner of elections all the time but does so within margin of error (a margin created by their own sampling and prediction choices)! 3/x
@NormEisen - Norm Eisen (norm.eisen on Threads)
Cross shows that Lake relies on Baris, a pollster who has never studied polling “in an academic setting” His org, Big Data Poll, received F grade from @FiveThirthyEight and is excluded from their aggregation (F grade only given to 11 of 500 polling orgs for bad methodology) 4/x
@NormEisen - Norm Eisen (norm.eisen on Threads)
Key point: Baris’s so-called analysis is basis of Lake’s claim that she would have won if it weren’t for election day chaos. 5/x
@NormEisen - Norm Eisen (norm.eisen on Threads)
Dr. Kenneth Mayer is 1st witness for Hobbs & Maricopa He has a PhD in poli sci from Yale & is a political scientist at UW-Madison Stark contrast from Lake’s polling expert, who had no experience studying polling “in an academic setting” 6/x
@NormEisen - Norm Eisen (norm.eisen on Threads)
Dr. Mayer said he reviewed the complaint, affidavits, & watched all testimony so far He found claims by Lake & co. to be “pure speculation” unsupported by any data while there is “quite a bit of data that suggests that those things actually did not happen” 7/x
@NormEisen - Norm Eisen (norm.eisen on Threads)
Dr. Mayer tore through Lake polling expert Baris’s weak stats & he blasted Lake's false claims that Election Day issues caused enough disruption to change the outcome. Importantly - Dr. Mayer has strong credentials & experience to talk about these things 8/x
@NormEisen - Norm Eisen (norm.eisen on Threads)
Hobbs & co. brought in Maricopa co-election directors Ray Valenzuela & Scott Jarrett Valenzuela confirmed all early ballots are signature matched Jarrett testified during Lake’s case-in-chief yesterday; today he addressed 3 claims raised by Lake team & witnesses ⬇ 9/x
@NormEisen - Norm Eisen (norm.eisen on Threads)
1) Wait times Jarrett: Perception of wait times is individual & Maricopa’s ballot is known to be very long 10/x
@NormEisen - Norm Eisen (norm.eisen on Threads)
2) Ballot printing Jarrett: Fit to print setting affecting ballot image size was due to a temp. tech. -- not the elections dept. & no reason to believe it was intentional or that any votes were not counted 11/x
@NormEisen - Norm Eisen (norm.eisen on Threads)
3) Voting access Jarrett: There were 223 polling places on election day (people had options!) 12/x