TruthArchive.ai - Tweets Saved By @peruvian_bull

peruvian_bull
Posted - August 22, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Saved - August 23, 2025 at 11:10 AM

@peruvian_bull - Roberto Rios

Literally everyone saw this coming 4% is next. Then 8%. When it gets bad enough, they’ll get rid of the benchmark altogether

@TFTC21 - TFTC

Powell confirms the Fed is abandoning its 2% average inflation target. https://t.co/7J2W3cNyHL

peruvian_bull
Posted - July 1, 2025 at 9:21 PM
Saved - July 1, 2025 at 10:58 PM
reSee.it AI Summary
Debt-based banking systems are inherently inflationary. If a bank lends you $100 at 5%, you owe $105 after a year. The extra $5 comes from new loans, as banks must continually expand credit to cover previous debts with interest. This is why they target a 2% inflation rate, which reflects their credit creation goals. Analyzing U.S. commercial bank credit shows it rarely goes negative, only during banking crises like in 2009, 2010, and 2023. The system relies on perpetual inflation to survive.

@peruvian_bull - Roberto Rios (Peruvian Bull)

debt-based banking systems are inherently inflationary imagine you live in a town with money supply set at $0. A bank opens for business and gives you a loan for $100 at 5%. In a year you have to pay back $105. Where does the other $5 come from? From new loans. The bank finds another customer and lends him money. You provide a service to said customer and that grants you the additional $5 you need to repay interest on your loan. the banks must continually expand the credit supply in order to pay off the previous year's debt with interest. this is why they say "2% inflation target". What they're really telling you is their credit creation target. 2% is the low end of their range. look at commercial bank credit in the United States. If you extrapolate this data to excel and look for YoY change. it only goes negative about 3% of the time. and the years it does go negative- 2009, 2010, and 2023- are all coincident with banking crises. the system needs eternal inflation to SURVIVE.

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 12, 2025 at 1:34 AM
Saved - June 12, 2025 at 4:19 AM

@peruvian_bull - Roberto Rios (Peruvian Bull)

If they don’t actually use the money from the new convertible to do something, I’ll be livid I’m normally a plan truster when it comes to RC but they need to do something with the cash! 80% of market cap in cash is insane

@peruvian_bull - Roberto Rios (Peruvian Bull)

The dilution comes in 7 years from now In return GME gets a loan for 0% interest. Unsecured.

@Stonkfather2021 - Stonkfather 🏴‍☠️

For those numpties screaming ‘dilution’ How many additional shares are in the GameStop float as a result of the last bond offering? #gme

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 11, 2025 at 9:41 PM
Saved - June 12, 2025 at 4:19 AM

@peruvian_bull - Roberto Rios (Peruvian Bull)

The dilution comes in 7 years from now In return GME gets a loan for 0% interest. Unsecured.

@Stonkfather2021 - Stonkfather 🏴‍☠️

For those numpties screaming ‘dilution’ How many additional shares are in the GameStop float as a result of the last bond offering? #gme

peruvian_bull
Posted - May 29, 2025 at 11:09 PM
Saved - May 29, 2025 at 11:37 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Just spoke on a bitcoin / GME panel at the conference The combination of the two Achilles’ heels of the financial system 🔥 https://t.co/1ML8ZzwlRS

Video Transcript AI Summary
The market faces an existential crisis due to the GameStop event exposing derivative-linked counterparty risks, compounded by algorithmic trading that is not fully understood. Economics and finance professors advocate for infinite liquidity, promoting 24/7 trading and an unlimited supply of stocks. This argument focuses on liquidity, a side effect of the market, as the main objective. Optimizing for tradable shares leads to exemptions for market makers to create short shares and delay mandatory buy-ins.
AI Similar Videos
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Existential crisis in a lot of ways because of the after effects of GameStop blowing up a giant fund. The whole market, as we know, is tied together by derivatives, swaps, all these counterparty risks that are just stacked on algorithmic, like, algorithmic trading mechanisms that most of the people that are actually running this stuff don't understand. Speaker 1: Yeah. And they they employ economics professors, finance professors to tell you that we need infinite liquidity. That stocks need to be able to be traded twenty four seven, three 60 five. There should be an infinite amount of stocks at the bid and the ask. There should be an infinite amount trades happening. And, you know, that's kind of like a I would call it like form of sophistry. Right? Like an argument where they take a side effect of the market, which is liquidity, and offering investors a way to trade and make it the main focus. And when liquidity is the main focus, then you optimize for the amount of shares tradable at any given time, which means market makers, have a, you know, exemption to making short shares, and then they also have provisions where they can kick those share buy ins, those forced buy ins down
peruvian_bull
Posted - January 24, 2025 at 9:48 PM
Saved - January 25, 2025 at 3:25 AM
reSee.it AI Summary
The year has started with multiple currencies crashing as the Dollar Milkshake returns, echoing past crises. In 2022, the Japanese Yen and British Pound faced historic lows, prompting rare interventions. The Dollar Milkshake Theory explains how the dollar strengthens amid global financial chaos, driven by its reserve status. As the dollar rises, countries struggle with debt and currency devaluation. Current pressures on the Yen and Pound reflect this ongoing crisis, with rising yields and bearish sentiment. The system's dynamics ensure the dollar's dominance, even as global economies face turmoil.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Milkshake Returns The year has barely begun and multiple currencies are crashing as DXY rises once again. What happens when the Dollar Milkshake returns to claim more victims? A THREAD: 🧵👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

In September 2022, I published a viral piece online entitled “The Sword of Damocles and the Dollar Milkshake” where I discussed the growing crisis in the British Pound and the Japanese Yen, which had both slid to historic lows against the Dollar.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

On September 22 of that year, the Japanese government and BOJ intervened for the first time in nearly a quarter century, selling dollars and buying yen, after the yen had weakened by about 25 yen in six months, briefly hitting 145 per dollar.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Yen-buying interventions were rare. The one before this had occurred in 1998 during the Asian financial crisis, which caused a yen sell-off and capital flight from the region. Prior to that, Japan intervened to support the yen in 1991-1992.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

These foreign exchange reserves are by definition limited, since they are another currency (dollars) that the host country (in this case, Japan) cannot print.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The British had faced a similar problem. On September 28th, The BoE announced it would purchase as much government debt as necessary to restore order following financial turmoil sparked by Prime Minister Liz Truss's tax-cutting plans.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Market pressures forced pension funds to sell gilts to meet emergency collateral calls on under-water derivatives positions.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The British government bond market had a 8+ sigma move in rates across the curve in one day at the worst point of the crisis, which was basically statistically impossible if we use the VaR models most commonly applied to risk management.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

On September 23, 2022, five-year gilt yields experienced a sharp increase of over 50 basis points, the largest single-day rise since 1991. On September 25, two-year gilt yields jumped by 44 bps, a surge only comparable to the Black Wednesday crisis of 1992.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The emergency measures continued throughout October 2022 for both nations, and even the Euro struggled as it neared and then broke parity with the dollar in the same month. It seemed that the currency crisis was a worldwide phenomenon.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

This was due to the Dollar Milkshake Theory, which was posited by @SantiagoAuFund years earlier. Dollar Milkshake is a framework for understanding how a sovereign debt default might occur, with gold, DXY, and equities all climbing as investors scramble for safety and liquidity.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The paradox is the dollar’s strength amid financial chaos, driven by its global reserve status. As the system melts DOWN, the dollar melts UP.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund And if you take a look at the graphs below, you can clearly see this playing out. Gold is moving higher as a hedge against uncertainty, the DXY is surging on dollar demand, and equities are holding strong despite the turmoil. Milkshake is in full force in 2025.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund To understand the full nuances of the DMT, we must first dig into the history of the dollar system. After World War II, the Bretton Woods system made the U.S. dollar the star of the show, pegging it to gold at $35 an ounce .

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund But by the time Vietnam rolled around, U.S. spending was out of control. Charles de Gaulle, France’s president, called America’s bluff and asked for gold in exchange for dollars. That put major strain on U.S. gold reserves and forced President Nixon to pull the plug in 1971.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund The monetary economist consensus was that this would’ve hurt the dollar’s standing, right? Nope. Instead, the dollar became even more powerful. The Eurodollar market, dollars floating outside the U.S. in global trade and finance began to explode in volume.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund The Eurodollar market began in the 1950s with an innovation by Midland Bank in the UK, which capitalised on the high cost of capital in post-World War II Britain.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund Midland’s ability to lend in U.S. dollars gave it a competitive edge, allowing it to participate in the forwards market by lending itself dollars and investing in higher-yielding gilts to capture the spread.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund This practice set the stage for the explosive growth of the Eurodollar market from the 1950s to the 1970s, expanding to the point where today, nine out of every ten dollars worldwide are Eurodollars. You can read more about it here: https://dollarendgame.substack.com/p/eurodollar-i-origins?utm_source=publication-search

Eurodollar I: Origins The Genesis of the Eurodollar is shrouded in mystery. But it would eventually grow to be more powerful than anyone could have imagined. dollarendgame.substack.com

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund This structure creates a sustained demand for U.S. dollars outside the U.S., reinforcing the dollar’s global dominance as these offshore derivatives, now totalling over $400 trillion, dwarf the $36 trillion in domestic U.S. dollar debt.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund Brent Johnson's Dollar Milkshake Theory predicts that as the sovereign debt bubble unravels, demand for the U.S. dollar will surge against other currencies. This strengthening effect draws capital into the dollar, even as inflation and debt levels strain global economies.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund The theory suggests that while many assets may decline in this environment, the dollar will rise sharply, alongside gold, as investors seek safe havens from sovereign debt instability. Here’s a quote from one of his videos on the topic:

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund Essentially, the issue is an extension of Triffin’s dilemma. Every other country trades, borrows, and lends in a currency THEY CANNOT PRINT.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund This creates massive consistent demand for dollars, which preserves the dollar’s value on the forex markets and leads to a buoying effect on the dollar.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund The cruel irony of this system, as Johnson so brilliantly elaborates, is the longer it goes on the STRONGER it becomes.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund As more and more eurodollars are lent into existence, the overall debt load on the global economy grows, which increases demand for dollars and ensures the next correction will be even more severe.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund The Fed no longer even tracks the existence of Eurodollars or of Eurodollar debt- these metrics were deemed too difficult to measure and the reporting was phased out in the mid 2000s. M3 Money Supply, for example, which included some Eurodollar measures, was eliminated in 2006.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund If the dollar begins to rise too aggressively or too quickly, then a Milkshake crisis appears as follows, as outlined by Johnson:

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund We’ve seen this play out several times before. As mentioned previously, in the fall of 2022 there was a massive prolonged spike in the dollar, which began to cause massive issues across the global financial system.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

This had accelerated due to the Fed’s rapid hiking cycle which was announced in March of that year- literally the fastest in its history, outpacing even the Volcker Shock of the early 1980s. The rise in interest rates had occurred when the rest of the world was even farther behind the curve.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund The Eurozone did not even start hiking out of the zero bound until late 2022, and Japan was pinning rates in the negative territory while running a massive yield curve control program- one that began blowing up in their face, as previously discussed.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Godzilla Returns In a desperate bid to save their falling currency, the Japanese have begun hiking rates. USDJPY has begun collapsing, and with it, the carry trade that held up their massive overleveraged economy. A THREAD 🧵🔥👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund The terminal rate for the ECB was a full 100 bps lower than the US, and at one point the spread between Japanese rates and the US Fed funds was in excess of 500 bps.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund This caused massive carry trades to open up, which were put on by borrowing in Euros or Yen and lending in USD- effectively shorting these weaker currencies and buoying the Dollar.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund Paradoxically, everything these sovereigns did would make it worse. If they tried to defend their currency with forex reserves, they only delayed the inevitable, and burn through billions of dollars to do so.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund Raising rates to parity with the US meant widespread defaults, as both Europe and Japan are heavily indebted, although to different extents, obviously. Truly there is no option and no fiat solution to the Milkshake- no other currency can usurp the Almighty Dollar.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund Now, the Milkshake has returned. This month, the DXY has climbed to a record 109, a two year high, just within the first few days of the new year. Now it is trading at 107, still very close to the highs.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund This comes off the back of a record year for the dollar, where it gained almost 7% against the major currencies. All this occurred despite three rate cuts from the Fed and an acceleration in both headline CPI and Core PCE inflation.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund The Indian rupee, for example, fell to an all time record low last Friday as the dollar strengthened again, putting pressure on regional currencies. The east asian currency has had 10 consecutive losing weeks due to a strengthening dollar and weak capital inflows.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund This happened even though regular interventions by the Reserve Bank of India have helped stem the losses. Even state banks have been reported to be aiding in the interventions to help the devaluing currency!

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund Japan continues to face a growing fiscal crisis, with its debt-to-GDP ratio towering at a staggering 260%, the highest among developed nations. The Yen has been in a slow motion train crash since 2022 when the global hiking cycle began.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund The Bank of Japan’s yield curve control (YCC) program has kept borrowing costs artificially low for years, but cracks are showing. The 10-year Japanese Government Bond yield just hit 1.2%, the highest since July 2011.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund In the last 3 months, despite the Fed easing cycle, we’ve seen a resumption of the weakness, with dollar yen headed back to the 160 level where they have intervened many times before.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund We have covered extensively on this substack, in pieces like Tokyo Drifting so check those out for more detail: https://dollarendgame.substack.com/p/tokyo-drifting-into-a-currency-crisis The process has put immense pressure on the currency, with the BoJ making frantic moves to try and slow the decline of their currency.

Tokyo Drifting Into A Currency Crisis The Bank of Japan is standing idly by while their currency depreciates past the limit set in September 2022. Is all hope lost for the Japanese Yen? dollarendgame.substack.com

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund Issues are also arising across the Atlantic, as the UK is now grappling with a toxic mix of soaring gilt yields and a crumbling Pound, an unnerving combo usually reserved for emerging markets, not the sixth-largest economy in the world.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund Gilt yields have surged to their highest levels since 1998, a grim milestone that marks the same levels of financial strain that infamously forced Liz Truss out of office in 2022 after her fiscal policies spooked markets and tanked the currency.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

According to Barclays’ global head of currency distribution, Mimi Rushton, there’s been a 300% spike in trade inquiries about sterling options. Hedge funds are positioning for the Pound to fall another 8%, signaling deep bearish sentiment and a lack of confidence in the UK’s economic outlook.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund Up north, the Canadian economy isn’t faring much better. The Canadian dollar has depreciated nearly 8% against the U.S. dollar in the past year, sinking to a two-decade low of C$1.43. Like the UK, Canada is facing rising bond yields and a weakening currency.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund On the bond side, Canadian government yields are creeping higher, with the 10-year yield reaching 3.47% as of January 10, 2025. Meanwhile, looming trade threats from a new U.S. administration are adding to the uncertainty.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund All of this doesn’t even mention the elephant in the room, which is the Euro. The currency has been weakening substantially over the past year again, and is nearing parity with the dollar for the first time since it broke it in 2022.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund Before that, we have to go to 1999 to find another time that the Euro and Dollar were at parity. The Eurozone is facing a whole host of issues, including weakening economic growth, an immigration crisis, high interest rates, and growing inflation.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund In December 2024, Eurozone inflation reached a five-month high of 2.4%, driven by rising services costs.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund The ECB has been reducing interest rates to support the economy, lowering them from 4% to 3% over the past year. However, the recent spurt in inflation has led to doubts regarding the pace of future rate cuts, similar to the Fed.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund In any regard, it appears that the Dollar Milkshake is alive and well. This system is a cruel one- the lower DXY goes, the more dollar debt gets borrowed, and therefore the more pressure grows to push DXY higher since dollar demand is higher.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund Once it goes higher, however, these countries have to either let their currencies blow out or intervene using billions of dollars of reserves.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund This ultimately leads to a stronger dollar and more capital inflows into the US, boosting equity and bond markets and keeping our Treasury market alive despite the massive debt load. America drinks their milkshake. (//END)

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SantiagoAuFund Thanks for reading this long thread! If you enjoyed, you can follow me here @peruvian_bull. This thread is an excerpt of my substack post, which you can find here: https://dollarendgame.substack.com/p/the-milkshake-returns

The Milkshake Returns The year has barely begun and multiple currencies are crashing as DXY rises once again. What happens when the Dollar Milkshake returns to claim more victims? dollarendgame.substack.com
peruvian_bull
Posted - November 7, 2024 at 8:16 PM
Saved - November 7, 2024 at 11:23 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

$100K by Inauguration Day 👀

@WatcherGuru - Watcher.Guru

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 25bps.

peruvian_bull
Posted - October 21, 2024 at 11:43 AM
Saved - October 21, 2024 at 1:53 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

NVIDIA is in a bubble but it's only going to get bigger https://t.co/okBKVNoBhi

Video Transcript AI Summary
There's a bubble, according to the speaker, who advises someone to call Bennett and buy $50,000,000 in swaps on MBS, specifically Garibaldi or triple B. When questioned about the certainty of this action, the speaker confirms and declares it's time to call bullshit on everything.
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Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Hey. There's a bubble. How do you know? Trust me. Call Bennett. Buy 50,000,000 in swaps on the MBS. What do we got? Garibaldi? Or triple b. Speaker 1: Mark, you sure? Speaker 0: Yeah. Yeah. It's time to call bullshit. Speaker 1: Bullshit on what? Speaker 0: Every fucking thing.
peruvian_bull
Posted - October 14, 2024 at 11:04 PM
Saved - October 16, 2024 at 1:44 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Why did the borrow rate for $GME rip upwards to 2,100% on IBRK?! Glitch better have my money 💸 https://t.co/Pazv6l4qZp

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@StrangleManiac $IEP up to 1500% as well https://t.co/DG24woJZWx

peruvian_bull
Posted - October 14, 2024 at 7:55 PM
Saved - October 16, 2024 at 3:06 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

hey DoJ: fines are cool, but where are the arrests? i want to see people in jail for enabling the laundering of hundreds of millions of drug cartel blood money. americans are on the streets, addicted, suffering, and dying from fentanyl. when do we see jail time for bankers?

@TFTC21 - TFTC

TD Bank fined $3 billion for enabling drug cartel money laundering, the largest penalty of its kind in U.S. history. https://t.co/YaNfKGZSW9

Video Transcript AI Summary
TD Bank pled guilty to felonies, including conspiring to violate the Bank Secrecy Act and commit money laundering, and agreed to a $1.8 billion criminal penalty. Combined with civil enforcement actions, the United States will impose approximately $3 billion against TD Bank. TD Bank became the largest bank in US history to plead guilty to Bank Secrecy Act program failures and the first bank to plead guilty to conspiracy to commit money laundering. This is the largest penalty under the Bank Secrecy Act, and the first time the Justice Department has assessed a daily fine against a bank. TD Bank will restructure its corporate compliant program at its US-based bank, the 10th largest in the United States, and agreed to a 3-year monitorship and a 5-year term of probation. The bank will continue to remediate and improve its anti-money laundering compliance program.
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Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Good afternoon, everyone. Before we get started, I wanna extend my sympathy to the millions of Americans who've had their lives turned upside down by hurricane Milton and hurricane Helene. I know I speak for all of us in expressing my gratitude to the first responders on the ground who are carrying out rescue missions. And I wanna thank all the volunteers who are helping their neighbors get through these storms. And now to the subject of today's announcement. Today, TD Bank pled guilty to multiple felonies, including conspiring to violate the Bank Secrecy Act and commit money laundering. TD Bank has also agreed to a $1,800,000,000 criminal penalty. Combined with civil enforcement actions announced today by other agencies, the United States will be imposing a total of approximately $3,000,000,000 against TD Bank. TD Bank created an environment that allowed financial crime to flourish. By making its services convenient for criminals, it became one. Today, TD Bank became the largest bank in US history to plead guilty to bank secrecy act program failures and the 1st bank in history to plead guilty to conspiracy to commit money laundering. This is also the largest ever penalty under the Bank Secrecy Act, and the first time the justice department has assessed a daily fine against a bank. As part of the plea agreement, TD Bank will fundamentally restructure its corporate compliant program at its US based bank, which is the 10th largest in the United States. The bank has also agreed to the imposition of a 3 year monitorship and a 5 year term of probation. While the bank has started its remediation, it will continue to remediate and improve its anti money laundering compliance program to ensure that the bank operates lawfully and safely moving forward.
peruvian_bull
Posted - September 30, 2024 at 10:50 PM
Saved - October 7, 2024 at 8:45 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Chinese stocks going PARABOLIC, up 21% in 5 days! I already told you why: LIQUIDITY IS EVERYTHING. https://t.co/p4pfOLJ7qo

peruvian_bull
Posted - October 3, 2024 at 3:38 AM
Saved - October 3, 2024 at 6:27 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

This is how empires die @PythiaAtDelphi https://t.co/9aQ8Sx05ll

peruvian_bull
Posted - October 3, 2024 at 2:12 AM
Saved - October 3, 2024 at 10:27 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Benjamin, get the musket https://t.co/KUcEF99cM4

peruvian_bull
Posted - September 27, 2024 at 1:15 AM
Saved - September 27, 2024 at 3:02 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

global liquidity about to rip 🚀🚀🚀 https://t.co/E0nQCyGRBu

peruvian_bull
Posted - September 14, 2024 at 10:22 PM
Saved - September 15, 2024 at 12:06 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Why is Buffett dumping all his BofA shares now?!

@Malone_Wealth - Kevin Malone

Buffett Sells Another BILLION of Bank of America. Banks Arfuqed https://t.co/b5UjOyJxCK

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 20, 2024 at 10:41 AM
Saved - June 21, 2024 at 1:55 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Archegos had significant exposure to a basket of total return swaps, one of which likely included $GME (see double top in late January 2021) it went parabolic in March and was likely why their fund blew up credit: u/brocaaa https://t.co/MKyy3KyAay

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 20, 2024 at 3:22 AM
Saved - June 21, 2024 at 1:16 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

you need to read this article. prime brokers likely transferred hedgefund losses on $GME into time-based derivatives to push losses into the future. this is why they used the swaps. @DarioCpx https://justdario.com/2024/06/why-gme-is-not-a-david-vs-goliath-story-but-a-godzilla-vs-kong-one/

WHY GME IS NOT A “DAVID VS GOLIATH’ STORY, BUT A "GODZILLA VS KONG" ONE - JustDario Do you remember the scene from “The Big Short” movie when Charlie and Jamie, the dynamic duo of the “bedroom hedge fund” Brownfield, stumble across Jared Vennet’s pitch in the JP Morgan lobby? If you don’t, here is the link for a quick refresher. Keith Gill, also known as @TheRoaringKitty,... justdario.com
peruvian_bull
Posted - June 21, 2024 at 9:09 AM
Saved - June 21, 2024 at 12:16 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

this is the bombshell. A company called LaTour Trading LLC, a registered broker-dealer, filed a no-action relief that was granted that permitted funds to close out FTDs just by submitting a creation order to an ETF issuer (Authorized Participant). This passed in 2017. https://t.co/26DqLO9RBW

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

after researching for the past two days, i think i fully understand the ETF loophole. rushing to make a video now https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCBOudZhQEQuOb14_-DK3PUw

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 20, 2024 at 4:08 AM
Saved - June 21, 2024 at 3:22 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Criand wiped his account. But his DD lives on. does anyone have a compilation of all his best posts?

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 20, 2024 at 4:58 AM
Saved - June 21, 2024 at 3:18 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

yeah WTF is going on open interest already at 25K https://t.co/HtTSyXz3zU

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 15, 2024 at 4:11 PM
Saved - June 15, 2024 at 7:33 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

New video going over the shareholder list from 2024! many thanks to @lawsondt @6days1week for putting the PPT together 🫡 https://youtu.be/2POUtTTB980

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 15, 2024 at 12:21 AM
Saved - June 15, 2024 at 12:42 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Two Citadel jets just flew from Paris to Tours, which is the headquarters of Societe General (France's 3rd largest bank) what are you doing Kenny? https://t.co/TdrGwYpiHZ

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 14, 2024 at 4:53 PM
Saved - June 14, 2024 at 5:48 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Swiss Flowbank just declared bankruptcy! Things are getting spicy in Switzerland. ht @runews

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@runews source: https://www.flowbank.com/

FlowBank - Invest in global markets with a Swiss bank. FlowBank is a fully licensed Swiss bank under the regulation of the FINMA. Our trading platforms give you access to invest in global financial markets. flowbank.com
peruvian_bull
Posted - June 13, 2024 at 8:27 PM
Saved - June 14, 2024 at 1:49 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

ROARING KITTY EXERCISED THE CALLS 9M shares total now!

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/1df8jno/gme_yolo_update_june_13_2024/

From the Superstonk community on Reddit: GME YOLO update – June 13 2024 56K votes, 5.4K comments. 1.1M subscribers in the Superstonk community. A place for theoretical discussions about GameStop stock ($GME). Opinions and… reddit.com
peruvian_bull
Posted - June 13, 2024 at 1:07 AM
Saved - June 13, 2024 at 6:56 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

they're using wash trades to mess with Roaring Kitty's options position there is nothing they won't do

@evan12286 - Evan

@DarioCpx @0x_Mattt @TheRoaringKitty Definitely wash trades, also check out the Bid/Ask at the time of the trades, they’re manipulating options sentiment by printing a higher bid than the ask. https://t.co/Py9WCfRRiD

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 10, 2024 at 5:32 PM
Saved - June 10, 2024 at 10:03 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Don't forget that $GME almost collapsed the financial system. https://t.co/Xdnnbv8vKF

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 10, 2024 at 11:42 AM
Saved - June 10, 2024 at 3:51 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

here's XRT (Retail ETF that holds $GME with 400% short interest consistently) This is their institutional positions https://t.co/6XbsnrRKqS

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 9, 2024 at 8:20 PM
Saved - June 9, 2024 at 9:09 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

"but $GME didn't break the stock market" fractional shares were getting filled at $5K in the 30s before the buy button shut off https://t.co/7Rf5uOk4QY

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 9, 2024 at 12:38 PM
Saved - June 9, 2024 at 12:45 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Global Liquidity is about to rip. Bitcoin is hyper sensitive to global liquidity. Do with this information what you will

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 6, 2024 at 3:32 PM
Saved - June 6, 2024 at 4:16 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

So the new house spending bill PROHIBITS the SEC from implementing the Consolidated Audit Trail? They are throwing the kitchen sink at it Ht @GuyBuddyFrwend https://t.co/FSXRYi8WsR

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 5, 2024 at 3:35 AM
Saved - June 5, 2024 at 9:15 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@SECGov @Petr0n0mics Or how about the time Patrick Byrne saw massive naked shorting in his company Overstock and tried to fight back by pulling certificates from brokers and then eventually issued a crypto dividend? you responded by investigating him, not the brokers shorting his stock https://t.co/Nt93VA0EIB

peruvian_bull
Posted - May 11, 2023 at 9:11 PM
Saved - June 4, 2024 at 5:42 AM
reSee.it AI Summary
The central banks are trapped in a black hole of their own design, facing a choice between saving their currencies or the system itself. The Federal Reserve has trapped the Treasury beyond the event horizon, and the financial gravity is becoming overwhelmingly strong. The United States' hegemonic influence of the Dollar has made it a superpower, but this could also become an existential risk. The US has weaponized the Dollar, but this power cannot last forever. The banking system is breaking, with an accelerating withdrawal of money throughout the system. Sanctions against Russia and the actions of the Bank of Japan are causing concerns. The US is edging towards default, and the drums of economic war are beating. The Treasury's debt issuance is going parabolic, and Kuroda's strategy in Japan is failing. Argentina is facing exponential inflation, and China is teetering on the brink. The Fed may be repeating the mistakes of the Bank of Amsterdam, and there is a movement to direct register the float of an entire company. The financial system is complex, and the SEC's incompetence is staggering. There are discussions on various topics such as Ayahuasca, the singularity in the monetary system, and the illusion of the financial system. The posts also touch on the recent events surrounding GameStop, the Chinese shadow banks, and the commercial property market. The Bank of Japan is stuck beyond the event horizon, and arguments for infinite liquidity are criticized. Gold's recent rally may signal the end of Western manipulation, and the quality of economic data is questioned. The Japanese Yen crisis and the potential currency crisis in Japan are also discussed.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Peruvian Bull Meta Thread: A compilation of all my best work. The central banks are trapped in a black hole of their own design. They will soon be forced to choose which to save- their currencies or the system itself. The Dollar Endgame Thesis. 🧵🔥👇 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f0yIATTy0J8

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Federal Reserve has trapped the Treasury beyond the event horizon. The Financial Gravity is now overwhelmingly strong 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Financial Gravity and the Fed's Dilemma: The Fed is trapped in a black hole of it's own design. There is no way out; only hard choices lie ahead. A Thread 👇👇👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The United States has become a superpower due to hegemonic influence of the Dollar. However, this can become an existential risk. 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Dollar as a World Reserve Currency has allowed the US to subjugate the entire world and become an Empire. However- our greatest weapon could turn into an existential risk. A Thread 🧵👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The US has weaponized the Dollar to be a secret Excalibur. To punish enemies far and wide. However, this power cannot last forever... 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Dollar is the world reserve currency. This grants immense geopolitical and economic hegemony to the United States. But, Treasury wants to keep their Excalibur a secret. A Thread: 🧵👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Federal Reserve has stolen the American Dream. Only the wealthy have benefited. 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Federal Reserve is responsible for far more of the evils in this world than you can possibly imagine. A thread: 🧵👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The banking system is breaking. 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Fed’s O/N Reverse Repo figure has been sitting at a record $2.2 Trillion, shattering all previous records. Time to follow a thread 🧵👇...

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

There's an accelerating withdrawal of money throughout the banking system. The Fed has created a Singularity which is ripping apart the banks. 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

A new financial crisis is brewing. There is an accelerating withdrawal of money throughout the entire system. The Dying Banks and the Singularity. A Thread 🧵👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The sanctions against Russia have wounded them. But could this be a bridge to far for the World Reserve Currency? 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

A lot has changed in just under a week. The timeline has accelerated. Let me explain 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Japanese have wandered far into the oceanic depths. Have they finally encountered a monster even the mighty BoJ cannot defeat? 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Japanese Yen surged this morning as the BOJ undertook a surprising change in policy and raised the cap on the 10yr bond to 0.50% They are battling a Godzilla. Can they win? A short thread 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Dissection of SVB's financials just prior to collapse. What if they're not an anomaly?👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Most people don't realize how crucial Silicon Valley Bank is. Billions of dollars in venture debt. Untold amounts of warrants and convertible notes in early-stage firms. If SVB fails, this could be the Lehman moment for the startup world.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Republicans and Democrats are edging default. If the US actually failed to pay its Treasury bonds, the results would be disastrous 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

1/ The United States is one of the largest economies in the world and holds $31T of federal debt. However, if the country were to default on its obligations, the consequences would be far-reaching and severe. Time for a thread. 🧵👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The drums of economic war have begun to beat. The cracks are widening in the dollar based global monetary system ... 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Battle has begun for the future of the global monetary system. The fate of superpowers hangs in the balance. Bretton Woods III: Economic Warfare 🧵🔥👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Treasury is accelerating beyond the Event Horizon. The debt issuance is going parabolic. 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The United States is entering an exponential debt spiral. Welcome to the Monetary Event Horizon. A Thread ⚡️🧵👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Kuroda's strategy of Yield Curve Control is beginning to fail...👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Japanese are desperately trying to hold the line against the odds on their plan of Yield Curve Control. The Bank of Japan is TRAPPED. A THREAD👇🧵🔥

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Argentina is falling apart. Exponential inflation is here 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Argentina Enters the Endgame- Is the beleaguered South American nation in the early stages of hyperinflation? A THREAD 👇🧵🔥

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Chinese are teetering 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Warning signals are flashing red in the world’s largest real estate market. Is China on the brink of another 2008? a thread 🧵🔥👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Could the Fed be repeating the same mistakes as the Bank of Amsterdam before the collapse of the Guilder? 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Bank of Amsterdam's collapse signaled the end of the Guilder as a reserve currency. Could history be repeating itself? How the first Central Bank Died- A Thread. 🧵🔥👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Not finance related, but Ayahuasca is a powerful medicine for transformation 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

My Ayahuasca experience: Opening the Door to the Heart of Darkness. A thread about encountering the Jungian Shadow 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Deep in the monetary black hole, hides the Singularity. It could change everything 👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

THE SINGULARITY: There exists a hidden flaw in the monetary system, deep into the Black Hole... that could spell disaster for fiat currencies. A THREAD 👇⚡️ https://substackfwd.xyz/?url=https://dollarendgame.substack.com/p/the-singularity

The Singularity There exists a hidden flaw in the monetary system, deep into the Black Hole... that could spell disaster for the Dollar. substackfwd.xyz

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Fed has created a Financial Illusion greater than any other. What is left of Economic Reality? 👇 https://t.co/aH5g1QDL2Z

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Simulacrum: what if our financial markets are an illusion- and the abstraction has overtaken reality? The Fed has broken the Financial Matrix. A THREAD 🧵🔥👇 https://t.co/nSVDmtEHra

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The financial system is not some monolith upon which all transactions are made. It's far more complex (and interesting) 👇⚡️ https://t.co/39rFFnHmIW

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Layered Money The financial system doesn't work how you think it does. A THREAD 🧵👇⚡️

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The SEC's incompetence is staggering. Are they complicit in the financial crimes of the people they regulate? 👇 https://t.co/ds7xMKoa0l

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The SEC is a criminal organization. The true story of their epic failure to prosecute the largest fraud of all time: Bernie Madoff. A Thread 🧵⚡️👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

There is a movement to direct register the float of an entire company. Barely anyone in the financial world knows about this 👇 https://t.co/m3yOY5OMz0

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

PowerPoint on Gamestop and DRS- A THREAD 👇🧵⚡️ (1/31) https://t.co/s7dViDTEXw

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Did the Saudis make a secret deal selling oil for gold? ANOTHER revealed this controversial theory in 1997-could it still be in place?

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

ANOTHER: The controversial anon blogger in 1997 who revealed an astounding gold-for-oil deal hidden in the markets that shaped geopolitics for the last few decades. A THREAD 🧵⚡️👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

$GME almost broke the financial system, until they panicked and turned off the buy button. Dive in 👇🤯 https://t.co/9WKlENasN5

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

3 YEARS AGO TODAY, JAN 28th 2021: Price was going parabolic, and then Robinhood turned off the BUY BUTTON on $GME. What was revealed would shock the financial world- and the story still isn't over! A THREAD 🧵🔥👇 https://t.co/47rH6RoFVV

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

China's deflationary crisis has been spreading to equities, and authorities will utilize the inevitable liquidity injections to save the day. Are things going from bad to worse for the Asian behemoth? 👇⚡️ https://t.co/K5BV3vXg3K

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Crisis in Shanghai: Stock markets are getting hit hard in China, indicative of a vicious deleveraging cycle. CPI print was NEGATIVE again in December. What will they do to stem the bleeding? A THREAD 🧵👇⚡️ https://t.co/CwI10QJXgA

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Was $GME on the way to being cellar-boxed by malicious market makers before January 2021? Their playbook for bankrupting companies 👇 https://t.co/y3ug9i83kE

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

CELLAR BOXING: A post made in March 2004 laying out the entire naked shorting scam- how Market Makers profit from destroying companies. This is how they steal your wealth! $GME $AMC $MMTLP A THREAD 🧵🔥👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Chinese shadow banks are falling like dominoes. Are their real estate woes big enough to bring China down? 👇 https://t.co/0A4ToXZURK

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

China Crumbles: Xi's economic miracle is running into serious problems. Now the property market contagion is spreading to the shadow banking sector, and authorities are panicking on what to do. A THREAD: 🧵👇🔥 https://t.co/wNT8lKPnVC

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Regional banks are heavily exposed to the commercial property market. Is the downturn just beginning? 👇 https://t.co/bwU10M7CHd

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Shades of 2008? Warning signs are brewing in the commercial property market, and contagion is already beginning to spread to Europe. Are we seeing the CRE version of the Financial Crisis? A THREAD 🧵🔥👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Bank of Japan is stuck beyond the Event Horizon. The recent rate hike only confirms it 👇 https://t.co/3pjudSCKJV

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The BoJ is Trapped: The Bank of Japan just raised rates for the first time since 2007. Is Ueda sleepwalking into a currency crisis? A THREAD 🧵👇⚡️

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The arguments for infinite liquidity are nonsensical. Don't believe the dogma that unlimited naked shorting and excessive derivatives are positive outcomes for markets 👇 https://t.co/0u9KqOnEME

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

some tradfi bros like @ConwayYen disagree with a lot of what I say. since they are intelligent, their points are worth considering. but they are WRONG! Time for a thread on $GME, DRS, and the morality of markets. 🧵⚡️👇 https://t.co/LyuXTG4wO3

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Gold's recent rip could be a sign that decades of Western manipulation of bullion is finally coming to an end. But is this rally an omen of something far worse happening in global macro? ⚡️👇 https://t.co/p9JY4DnAKt

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Gold Endgame Begins: Gold is ripping to new all-time highs, and China could be behind the move. Is the Western gold market manipulation finally reaching its finale? A THREAD 🧵👇🔥 https://t.co/MpZ6a9ZysN

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Unemployment, Payrolls, and CPI all have problems. And the quality of the data seems to be getting worse 👇 https://t.co/DZthbyrl2E

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

The Potemkin Economy: More and more news reports come out concerning the booming economy- but underneath the surface, things are not as they seem. Can we even trust the veracity of the data anymore? A THREAD 👇⚡️🧵

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

A stellar Twitter Spaces on the Japanese Yen Crisis with informative rants from @acrossthespread and @DarioCpx Probably the best spaces we've ever done 👇👇 https://t.co/3wXhHNEcGv

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

https://t.co/j0JXD9pt0P

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

@acrossthespread @DarioCpx Japan is currently trying to ride both sides of the impossible trilemma, and their currency is blowing out. Another step in the Dollar Endgame 👇👇👇

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Tokyo Drifting Into A Currency Crisis The Bank of Japan intervened twice last week as JPY crossed the redline set in September 2022. What lies in store for the Japanese Yen? A THREAD 🧵👇🔥 https://t.co/qbNkGaqM0W

peruvian_bull
Posted - February 12, 2024 at 7:50 PM
Saved - June 4, 2024 at 5:41 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

CELLAR BOXING: A post made in March 2004 laying out the entire naked shorting scam- how Market Makers profit from destroying companies. This is how they steal your wealth! $GME $AMC $MMTLP A THREAD 🧵🔥👇

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 3, 2024 at 8:44 PM
Saved - June 3, 2024 at 9:41 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

So E*TRADE wants to kick Keith Gill off the platform now?!?! Such BS https://t.co/LAus3SCDJN

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 3, 2024 at 5:10 AM
Saved - June 3, 2024 at 2:59 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

do the math. if he has 5M in cold shares and another potential 12M in options (he needs to get the cash to exercise all these) he has a total of 17M shares, which would be 4.8% of the total outstanding float of 351M. Roaring Kitty would be just under the SEC threshold of 5% https://t.co/cMNLlgRRi2

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 3, 2024 at 1:21 PM
Saved - June 3, 2024 at 2:56 PM
reSee.it AI Summary
GameStop announces an equity offering, while DFV builds a call wall at $20 on the June 21 expiry. This coincides with OPEX, causing massive buying support as dealers hedge the Delta and buy shares. DFV's strategy forces dealers to purchase GameStop shares, making him highly regarded as a trader.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

So GameStop announces an at the market equity offering and that same week DFV begins building a massive call wall at $20 on the June 21 expiry. That’s the same date as OPEX, which is the rollover of trillions of dollars of derivatives This Creates massive buying support at 20 because the dealers have to hedge the Delta and buy shares in case he exercises Basically making the dealers buy a lot of the shares that GameStop releases to raise capital. He’s officially the greatest trader of all time

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 3, 2024 at 3:15 AM
Saved - June 3, 2024 at 4:23 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

What. The. Hell. 😅😅😅 Market is gonna get crazy tomorrow

@nope_its_lily - Lily

If IBKR is right, on IBKR overnight trading there is 306,500 shares bid-side for GME @ 27.59 and 100 on ask @ 27.99.

peruvian_bull
Posted - June 1, 2024 at 5:33 PM
Saved - June 2, 2024 at 7:41 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Is NVIDIA basically propping up the whole market? https://t.co/y2icUwa7KB

peruvian_bull
Posted - May 30, 2024 at 4:09 PM
Saved - May 31, 2024 at 3:05 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Banks have half a trillion in unrealized losses and the Fed will print every penny of it if any of the GSIBs actually fail https://t.co/IHjmA3G6bh

peruvian_bull
Posted - May 30, 2024 at 2:17 AM
Saved - May 30, 2024 at 2:42 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

If Boston Consulting Group and the DTCC are involved you know it’s going to be shit

@The_DTCC - DTCC

WATCH: Three of the world’s largest Financial Market Infrastructures – DTCC, @Clearstream and @EuroclearGroup, in collaboration with @BCG, unveiled a new blueprint to build a digital asset ecosystem for the industry. Download the whitepaper: https://www.dtcc.com/-/media/DASCPWhitePaper.pdf https://t.co/YZy9WdnXsD

Video Transcript AI Summary
The financial industry is moving towards a joint approach for digital asset security. A consortium of DTCC, Clearstream, and Euroclear, along with BCG, created the DSCP framework. This framework is based on 6 core principles to ensure a secure and efficient digital asset ecosystem. It addresses risks and provides controls to mitigate them, aiming to establish a secure and scalable ecosystem. The goal is to drive market adoption, enhance integrity, and promote operational scalability, while also setting industry standards.
AI Similar Videos
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: To ensure adoption and scale, the industry needs to move from isolated initiatives to a joint approach. To work towards this, a consortium of financial market infrastructures, DTCC, Clearstream, and Euroclear, have collaborated with BCG to develop the digital asset securities control principles framework or DSCP. The framework is based on 6 core principles for a secure and efficient digital asset security ecosystem, outlines a comprehensive perspective on risks, and a set of controls to effectively mitigate these risks, laying the foundation for a secure and scalable ecosystem, ultimately driving market adoption, enhancing market integrity, and promoting operational scalability. This framework aims to help drive the broader conversation around industry standards.
peruvian_bull
Posted - May 27, 2024 at 6:22 PM
Saved - May 28, 2024 at 11:53 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

the entire financial system runs on microsoft excel and programming languages from the 1960s. few.

peruvian_bull
Posted - May 25, 2024 at 5:27 PM
Saved - May 27, 2024 at 3:42 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

also, to clarify, I believe the notional amount of swaps rolling over in the next 2 weeks is $8.7B, not $87B as stated in the video Looks like the notionals are x100, not x1,000 like Richard had assumed. I made the same mistake in my stack piece which I corrected.

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

What is going on with the swap data? by @rnewton7777 https://t.co/dNjzLPJ9Ai

Video Transcript AI Summary
In this video, the speaker discusses swap data related to GameStop (GME) equity swaps. They analyze the dollar amounts and dates of the swaps and highlight the significance of certain periods, such as May 2022. The speaker theorizes that these swaps are being used to manage short positions and explains how they are rolled over into larger swaps. They also speculate on the potential impact of these swaps on the stock price and express concern about the large position represented by the swaps. The speaker thanks Peruvian Bull for providing the data and invites viewers to share their thoughts.
AI Similar Videos
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: What's going on you guys? This is the ultra rare midnight video. But this is incredibly fascinating. It's going to be hard to explain. I want you to bear with me. Peruvian Bull posted earlier some swap data. He said it comes from GME Equity Swaps. Alright. So as we know, this data was not available immediately following the squeeze of January 2021. Now we've got a look into some data here. Alright. Some people are just gonna immediately go to the dollar amounts and say, that's incredible, especially because these are note notated in 1,000. So especially this grouping here at the bottom represents $87,000,000,000 in swaps that expire June 3rd. And then we've got several groupings up above that add up to a pretty significant amount of money, like, 1 point 5,000,000,000 or something like that. Alright. So what I found really interesting right away were the dates. So let me talk about what's going on with these dates. The the dates are in several groupings. The oldest ones in this list here are actually right here. They go back to May of 2022. And why is this period of time so interesting to me? It's always been an anomaly. This was when cost to borrow really ran up. I think I've got it open here on the chart right here. So this is that time period right here. And if we take that data and we look at our chart, we're looking at a significant, you know, purchase of swaps, half a $1,000,000,000, 500,000,000 dollars worth of swaps, which at the time at that price range would have represented about 20,000,000 shares. Well, what's what's interesting is this is during a inexplicable cycle, one of our, you know, last major cycles leading up into the stock dividend split. Right away, 2 2 days later, you can see enormous fails to deliver on XRT. And you can see cost of borrow runs up shortly after to 38%. And then you can see, the activity on the fails to deliver on GameStop. So this has always been, since I started tracking the data very closely, our most interesting period of time. So that stood out to me immediately. This swap data looks extremely realistic to me. The number of shares makes sense. The time period makes perfect sense. They would have been rolling into a new swap during this time, So their old swap would have been expiring, and they'd be picking up a new swap. And there'd be all kinds of exposure of their position during that time. Because the theory here is that, you know, to short a stock, you need to have a locate. Well, that locate needs to be borrowed from someone. However, in theory, some form of collateral, you know, like a swap might allow you to maintain a short position, as your collateral because, you know, in theory, you're good for that share down the road like an option. Right? The next batch of swaps is really interesting as well. It's a smaller batch. It's about $105,000,000 worth of swaps and it occurs right after the stock dividend split right here. So this would have represented 3,200,000 shares. You know, not a lot, but it's a 2 year swap or so. And it occurs right after the stock dividend split. So somebody might have needed some shares right then. The final batch is enormous out of these top ones. It occurs in August and we're used to there being August cycles. So this one's about $900,000,000 over the course of about a week and a half. Alright? And it represents approximately at the time 27,000,000 shares. So across the whole thing, you've got, like, 15,000,000 shares represented in today's number of shares. Okay? Or, you know, how much would that be? One sixth of the outstanding represented by these swaps. Right? What's really fascinating to me right away is they all, instead of being 2 year duration bullet swaps, expire at the end of this month. Right? That's what's gonna stand out to everybody. But why would they do that? Why would they specifically have them all expire at the end of May? Right? That's that's bizarre. Okay. And then this final batch down here is extremely interesting. So these ones were all entered in May of last year. So let me go back to the chart here. That would have been after these guys. So these are the newest ones. What's concerning about this is that's $87,000,000,000 in swaps. Right? And at the the share price at that particular time, that represents anywhere from 2 to, like, 4 or 5,000,000,000 shares. Okay? So all you do is you take the notational value of the swap divided by the underlying price. I'm just taking like an average across the previous 5 days. And that's what it seems to do because what's incredibly interesting is when you look at the chart here, when they are getting this new swap to the day this chart's gonna look ultra confusing, but I'll explain it all really quick. They enter a swap here. That was our deep blow after Ryan Cohen bought in in 2022. They bought swaps here. This was after the stock dividend split when they started, like, aggressively hammering the price down. And they entered this gigantic $87,000,000,000 series of swaps when they took the price down real low back here. Even after the start after the company had announced, you know, like an incredible earnings call. So they're they're gonna have to run down, and this has always been a theory of mine. If they're gonna roll a swap, you need the price as low as possible to do so. And that would be your target price. Right? You're gonna hail Mary the the price down to get a better deal on your swap. You just have to. Right? Then let it run for a while afterwards. You don't really care, in the interim till you have to roll it again. Okay? So when I started to look at this, I was like, okay. That's lining up incredibly well. Like, to me, these these are the time periods we're familiar with May, August. Right? But where are the other ones? Where where are the swaps coming in afterwards and all that kind of stuff? And and I started to think about my my swap theory from back in the day. And you'll remember these videos. This was about a year ago. And I had started to produce something that looked like this. Let me let me open it up and see what see what I can show you guys on the screen here. I had started to look at the volumetric data, on GameStop. Let's see if I can make this the appropriate size on the screen here. There we go. This is an old PowerPoint. And I looked at all the data going back back to 2012 and noticed that there were these repeated patterns and spikes of extraordinary volume that far outweighed the background data, which is extremely small. And it's just a handful of days that landed in March, May, August and sometimes in November. Right? And January a bit. Alright? So in, you know, retrospect I realized, well that has to do with the earnings cadence on GameStop. Right? GameStop would put out January guidance. They don't do quarter 1 earnings until March. They're a month delayed. Late May, early June would be when quarter, what would that be? Oh, sorry. This would be q 4. This would be, q 1 and the shareholders meeting during, you know, summer. And then you have q2 and q3. Right? So it makes sense. You would have a lot of volume. Right? But then what I started to think about was, like, but what if they were, you know, running this thing down? Because when you look at the peak here after the PlayStation 4 and, Xbox 1 release, this thing's been getting run down ever since. Right? And you can look at these little ups and downs. And I started to think, well, there's a little bit of something going on here where every time they pushed it down, it popped up a bit a year later. And I was maybe just a little bit wrong. It's not a year later. It's 2 years later. These are bullet swaps. I was actually onto something here and now I think I figured it out. So I'm gonna show you guys what I think is the, the answer to our puzzle. And I'm hesitant to even say that in this video. I don't want to get people too excited. But what are we looking at here? So currently, in the data that Peruvian bull just put out this this evening, we've got data on the following swaps. This grouping of swaps from mid 2022, and that's basically it, and some kind of monster behemoth swap of $87,000,000,000. Right? And all of these are expiring this coming end of month. So why would that be? Why would you buy, bullet swaps or whatever these are and not have them go for the typical 2 years? Right? Why would you and why would this one be a 1 year? Exactly. Like, almost exactly a 1 year duration. Here's my theory. What they've been doing is managing the existing position, which was a series of bullet swaps being entered into in, you know, in the earnings call months. As we know, March, May, August, and November. So these would have been going back years. So here's a bullet swap. It was entered into in November. You can see the, the red, you know, you can see the dip right there. They crushed the price down with that excess 20 to 30 1,000,000 shares. At the time, it would have probably been more like 10,000,000 that would have been presplit. That's significant when the outstanding back then was only, like, 70,000,000 or so shares. And then the swap is due 2 years later. They enter a new swap, and then, you know, it would be due 2 years later. I feel that the last of these series of bullet swaps that they could safely enter into were these 2 here. This would have been, March or sorry. May of 2020. This would have been right after COVID. And then this would have been August of 2020. So 3 months later, but then we all know that Ryan Cohen started buying in. That signal to them to cease what they were doing. And then so what happens here is this. This is it's gonna be hard to follow. I'm hoping this this presents well. But, basically, all of these run ups, I had said in the last video, it's probably options related, probably swaps. The the last of those swaps, getting rolled before basically they all start getting rolled into the the super big swap. So let me explain how this works. So you got this swap that was, rolled in March of 2019. It's due to expire in March of 2021. That's when this thing's all gone to the moon. This is where it begins. They say, you know what? We can't roll this thing into another bullet because then it's gonna produce another cycle 2 year later. Let's put it in a giant 1 year equity agreement that's gonna be managed somewhere else. And that's why we got no previous cycle or next cycle 2 years later off of this this one. So we saw a gigantic run up on the stock here in March, enormous, which the company sold shares into. It went up to $350. And then rather than pick up another bullet swap, they started immediately dumping everything they could into this gigantic swap here, whatever it is. Some kind of basket or something. I don't know. It could have all been baskets before this, but something big happened here. They put it into this thing. Right? The next swap was from June, late May early June of 2019. That expires and causes the giant run up into June. Again, we hit $350. GameStop issue shares into it. They roll it into a bullet because they can't put it immediately into this big thing. But they like they've done with these recent ones, they just set the duration until the next May. Right? And then when they re up this thing, it gets bigger. They just put it in there. Alright? And that's what they did with the August one. We got an August cycle. They rolled it for a little bit and then dumped it in at this one and make it bigger. And that's what they're doing. This thing's getting bigger and bigger and bigger. It's like a black hole as it eats all these and all the cycles disappear. And then something that occurred to me as I've always wondered about why there was no November cycle in 2021. And I had presumed in that last video, like, a long time ago when I was doing all this, that it would have been because they probably didn't enter a swap in 2020. That would have been post Ryan Cohen. Right? That would have been extremely dangerous to do. But I was working on, like, a 1 year swap premise. If it's a 2 year, then it would have been right after GameStop's, 2 share buybacks. Stock was running up. Cost of borrow was, like, a 100%. It was on ratio. There was all kinds of madness going on back here. So they would have not entered that November swap, and that would explain why there was no November cycle in 2020. And thus they didn't have to put that thing into into here. Alright? So that kinda like literally everything. I think that's a pretty quick explanation. But basically you can see the anatomy of the crime right in front of us. Each of these is a staggered, like, layering of these 2 year swaps around a 3 month cadence. And they've been steadily just parking them all in this gigantic growing super swap down here. Right? That's expiring on June 3rd. But, unfortunately, what that means is let me find it here. The last time they rolled it, there wasn't a huge run up. So this thing must be gigantic and somehow not have an impact on price like bullet swaps do. So I'm not sure how that how that works. So I I think people are extremely excited about the month to come. I am too, because there's still all of these guys expiring, and they should be rolling them into the big one. Alright? But, I don't know if that's gonna produce a cycle or not, like a a swap cycle. I'm still super excited for, like, the OpEx tailwind on on June 6th though. So potentially, this could produce cyclical activity. But, I'm actually just terrified. Honestly, I I am actually legitimately terrified because if that is truly an $87,000,000,000 swap and it's being renewed every year, the monthly premium on that thing, because it shows that it's being all these are being paid monthly, I believe. Where it'll show yeah. Right here. So just like in the big short, Michael Burry was having to pay out monthly on his swaps. They're paying out monthly, and they're just they're just losing their premium every month because the stock price is just it can't possibly go down. But if if that's their side of the trade, that is an egregious position. That represents over 2,000,000,000 shares, maybe up to 4,000,000,000 shares. Which makes sense given, like, how long they were doing this for all the way back from this time period, 2014, all the way down. And they put all the bullets into one spot. And they kinda curtailed the squeeze by putting everything in there and probably cleaning up everything they borrowed from, XRT and all the other ETFs, mutual funds. They they basically ripped all all the shares of GameStop out of. Right? So they've got this gigantic naked position here, and I think it's exposed now. I think we can we basically can see what's happening. But now that the the company is really healthy, the stock's doing, like, a bullish crossover. And, like, what are they gonna do with this? Like, chip away at it? I guess they could, like, each time they roll it, not go in as deep and, like, actually buy some shares. And then maybe we see this thing, like, the price just basically every 12 months, like, run up a bit as they try to whittle away at this position over the next, like, many years? How do you how do you manage a position that egregious? That that to me, you know, we've always talked about it. The idea that they could be short a 1000000000 shares or 2,000,000,000 shares. Now we see it. It's it's literally just right here in like, that's crazy to me. So if that's the case, and it seems to make a lot of sense. Like, the durations on them and everything line up, and would explain all the cycles and the lack of cycles specifically after specific key dates. So I've put this, on this new tab here. It's called bullet swap black hole. And if you wanna check it out, you can. But it explains the cost of our surge in 2022. It explains why we didn't have a November cycle, it explains why the cycles ever since have been super muted if existing at all, Because the bullet swaps have all been put into basically what must be the obligations warehouse if if that's what this thing is, behind the scenes. And it's interesting to me that when UBS got their, you know, Credit Suisse deal and picked this whole thing up back here, They basically needed a $100,000,000,000 lifeline. That's awful close to what we're seeing as the the total cost of this whole position. $87,000,000,000 plus the bullets that are still outstanding. So, that's that's the video, you guys. You can tell me what you think, but, that's crazy. So, anyway, thank you to Peruvian Bolt. Let me know what you guys think about the whole thing, if you can add any details. And I'll see you guys in the next one. Monday should be super interesting. We'll see in a few hours here what happens at market open.
peruvian_bull
Posted - May 26, 2024 at 3:28 PM
Saved - May 26, 2024 at 9:09 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

This is the correct take. Ken Griffin is not some rugged entrepreneur who started from nothing and built a company by himself. He was also bailed out during COVID. His “innovation” is front running retail orders to steal a couple cents from you every time you trade.

@operationdanish - Dr Danish

Just another rich to richer story 😂 Lets do a quick rewrite: “Ken Griffin started a hedge fund from his Harvard dorm using today’s equivalent of a million dollars from his rich family. He built a portfolio that made money when volatility was higher and ended up getting crazy lucky because of a once in a lifetime volatility event. This is a great tale of how the rich continue to get richer without doing any REAL WORK.”

peruvian_bull
Posted - May 25, 2024 at 4:55 AM
Saved - May 25, 2024 at 5:23 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Anon 4chan user shares chat from a UBS trader, the bank is going to try to exercise 485K calls between now and earnings to exit the Bill Hwang position The recent share offering would let them do this without triggering the 10% SEC insider rule Totally speculation. Big if true https://t.co/kq1AJl0FrQ

peruvian_bull
Posted - May 19, 2024 at 8:23 PM
Saved - May 20, 2024 at 12:48 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

wow that is a lot of swaps rolling over in the next two weeks https://t.co/cMEijs9UG2 https://t.co/eyl7zoRA8d

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Found the swaps data 💯

peruvian_bull
Posted - May 19, 2024 at 9:14 PM
Saved - May 20, 2024 at 4:56 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Fidelity sending out emails asking for borrows https://t.co/GqRhEVIfMe

peruvian_bull
Posted - May 19, 2024 at 6:55 PM
Saved - May 20, 2024 at 3:15 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Found the swaps data 💯

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

digging for total return and basket swaps on $GME right now

peruvian_bull
Posted - May 20, 2024 at 2:56 AM
Saved - May 20, 2024 at 2:59 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

I’m on the front page of Reddit 😅 https://t.co/khmVtraqOa

peruvian_bull
Posted - May 17, 2024 at 4:08 PM
Saved - May 17, 2024 at 4:57 PM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

Atobitt keeping it 💯 (he OK'd me to share) https://t.co/qe2eQ310lX

peruvian_bull
Posted - May 16, 2024 at 12:04 AM
Saved - May 16, 2024 at 1:00 AM

@peruvian_bull - Peruvian Bull

SPDR Retail ETF that traded multiples of the float today has 586K shares https://t.co/S3e1M3CK2C

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