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One chokepoint controls 30% of the world's oil supply. Iran has effectively shut it down. 👀 The economic consequences for everyday Americans are just starting to hit. Gas. Food. Supply chains. This is what a war nobody voted for actually costs. https://t.co/7KzseOpfVK
Video Transcript AI Summary
Speaker 0: Nearly two weeks into this conflict, the official story is cracking, and the number of Americans wounded is slowly coming out. Yesterday, we reported based on our sources that the number of American wounded was at least one hundred and thirty seven. After our report ran, the Pentagon has now publicly acknowledged about one hundred and forty wounded. That confirms our sources on this. So why did it take a little news show like ours to report this information? Why wasn't Fox News reporting this information? The Pentagon I know it's really weird. Why is the mainstream media silent on this? The Pentagon finally comes out and actually admits to this.
Speaker 1: Reuters comes out and reports this. Exclusive. As many as one hundred and fifty US troops wounded so far in Iran war. They just published this today, this morning. March 10. That's remarkable. Exclusive. Just curious how that's an exclusive when we reported it yesterday. Yesterday. Whatever. Hey, Reuters. Bite me. Anyway, this war is clearly not winding down no matter what the messaging says. President Trump is saying the war could end very soon. But Iran says talks with The United States are off the table for now. Tehran is prepared to keep striking as long as it takes. And they're vowing an eye for an eye. So what is an eye for an eye actually mean? Does it mean you hey, you killed our leader. We kill yours? Does it mean, hey, you killed all these girls who were the daughters of members of the the Iranian Navy at a girls school, do we also do that to you? Like, what is actually does that look like?
Speaker 0: Does it mean we took out your water infrastructures or you took out ours? So we do that. Right. Your gas infrastructure, civilian infrastructure, that's that's a war crime. But we did it. Your oil infrastructure, we do that. Like, what exactly does that look like? Meanwhile, the Strait Of Hormuz is getting worse by the minute. US intelligence tracking Iranian mine laying threats now as Gulf energy infrastructure there is taking a major hit with about 1,900,000 barrels per day of refining capacity across Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and The UAE. All down. CBS now says shipping through the Strait Of Hormuz has ground to a virtual halt. Nothing getting through. That's of just a few minutes ago. And Israel's hammering Beirut's southern suburbs and Lebanon. So they've essentially invaded Lebanon.
Speaker 2: And then there's the neocon political class in Washington saying the quiet part out loud. Senator Lindsey Graham is now openly talking about, you know, going back to South Carolina to tell the sons and daughters in South Carolina, you know, you gotta send your loved ones to the Middle East. That's what I'm doing here in South Carolina. I gotta tell them to go fight in the Middle East, and he's calling on other Middle East countries that have been sitting on the fence that we've supported over the years as allies. Get off the fence. Go bomb Iran. Help out with Iran. And, oh, by the way, Spain, we're pissed off at you because you don't want us using your air bases or airspace to bomb Iran. Listen.
Speaker 0: To our allies step up, get our air bases out of Spain. They're not reliable. Move all those airplanes to a country that would let us use them when we're threatened by a regime like Iran. To our friends in Spain, man, you have lost your way. I don't wanna do business with you anymore. I want our air bases our air bases out of Spain into a country that will let us use them. To our Arab friends, I've tried to help you construct a new Mideast. You need to up your game here. I can't go to South Carolina and say we're fighting and you won't publicly fight. What you're doing behind the scenes, that has to stop. The double dealing of the Arab world when it comes to this stuff needs to end. I go back to South Carolina. I'm asking them to send their sons and daughters over to the Mideast. What I want you to do in The Mideast to our friends in Saudi Arabia and other places, step forward and say this is my fight too. I join America. I'm publicly involved in bringing this regime down. If you don't, you're making a great mistake, and you're gonna cut off the ability to have a better relationship with The United States. I say this as a friend.
Speaker 1: Ugh. He's an odious friend.
Speaker 0: Say this as a friend.
Speaker 3: With friends pick up a gun and go fight yourself, you coward. Yeah. I freaking hate that. But you're calling so, like, bluntly for somebody else to go die for his stupid cause.
Speaker 0: Yeah.
Speaker 1: I am so curious about this. I mean, he's a liar. But how many people in South Carolina are really walking up to him and saying, who are we gonna get to fight with us? Who are we gonna get to fight Iran? Worried about this. My son can go, but who's going with him? Let's make some war playdates. Who does that?
Speaker 0: Larry Johnson is a former CIA analyst, NRA gun trainer, and, he's been looking at all of this and doing some incredible writing over at his website, Sonar twenty one. Larry, thank you for joining us. Great to see you back on the show.
Speaker 4: Hi, guys. Good to see you.
Speaker 0: So I wanna talk about the American war wounded first because Mhmm. I know that this is, near and dear to your heart and, of course, something that you've been watching, closely. And the lies, of course, that are coming out about this. Again, I spoke to sources over the past forty eight hours that were telling us here at Redacted about 137 Americans wounded. Then the Pentagon comes out and then confirms about a hundred and forty. So right pretty much right on the nose. And does that number sound low to you? Or does that sound about right?
Speaker 4: That sounds a little low. So on March 4, let's go to Germany. Stuttgart, just North West of Germany, there is a hospital called Landstuhl Regional Medical Center. Landstuhl's primary mission is to handle American war wounded. On March 4, they issued a memo telling all the pregnant women that were about to give birth that, sorry, don't come here. We're not birthing any more babies. We gotta focus on our main mission. So that was the first clue that there was there were a lot of casualties inbound. I know, without mentioning his name, somebody who was involved dealing with the combat casualties during the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, and he dealt with the personnel at Lunstul. And he called someone up and said, can't say anything, but there's a lot of casualties. Then 13 miles to the east of Landstuhl is an army base called Kaiserslautern. Kaiserslautern and the Stars and Stripes issued for that base had an appeal, a blood drive appeal. Hey. We need lots of people to show up and donate blood. So those that was on March 5. So I wrote about this March 6. So I wrote about this four days ago, that, yeah, we had a lot more casualties, and there are more coming, because Iran's not gonna stop. You know, right now, we're getting signals that the Trump administration is reaching out, trying, oh, hey, let's talk, let's talk cease fire. Iran's having none of it. They've been betrayed twice by Donald Trump and his group of clowns.
Speaker 0: Right.
Speaker 4: You know? And and so they're not ready to say no. No. They've got the world, by the testicles is the polite way of saying it, withholding the Strait Of Hormuz. They've shut down the movement of not only oil, liquid natural gas. They're the supplier of about 25%, 25 to 30% of the world's liquid natural gas, and, about 30%, 30 to 35% of the world's urea, which is used for fertilizer. Now, that may not I just learned that that may not be as important as I once thought it was because most of it comes out of Oman. Oman, you don't have to worry about things going through the Strait Of Hormuz. But on oil and liquid natural gas, huge. 94% of The Philippines depended upon the flow of gas, both liquid and the petroleum oil, out of the Persian Gulf. India, 80%. Japan, South Korea. So this is gonna have a major impact on certain economies in the world. Now there there I I I've said this ironically. I I think Vladimir Putin's sitting there going, maybe Donald Trump really does like me, because what he's done is he's making Russia rich again in a way I mean, they're getting, you know, they were selling they were forced to sell their oil previously under sanctions at, like, $55 a barrel. Now they're getting $88.90 dollars a barrel. Well, and they just opened it up to India. I mean, that story over the past forty eight hours, like, so they The United States has eased its restriction on Russian oil flowing to India. I mean, talk about an absolute disaster.
Speaker 4: Well, yeah. And remember what had happened there is India was playing a double game too. You know, bricks India is the I in bricks, and Iran is the new I in bricks. And so what was India doing? Well, India was pretending to play along with The United States, but then going to Russia and saying, hey, Russia. Yeah. We'll buy we'll buy your oil, but we needed a discount because we're going against the sanctions, and we need to cover ourselves. So Russia said, okay. As a BRICS partner, we'll let you have for $55 barrel. So they got a discount. So now when all of a sudden the the the oil tap is turned off, including the liquid natural gas, India goes running back to Russia. Now remember, on, February 25-26, India was in Israel buttering up the rear end of BB, Net, and Yahoo, kissing rear end all they could. Oh, man. It was a love fest. We're partners with Israel. And then Israel attacks their BRICS partner. And what does India say? Nothing. Zero. They don't say a thing about the murdered girls. So now all of a sudden, the oil's turned off. It's nine days now with no oil coming out of there for India. They go running back to Russia. Hey, buddy. Let's let's get back together. And Russia says, sure. That's great. But it's gonna cost you $89 now a barrel. No more friends and family program. Gonna get market conditions.
Speaker 0: We've had many journalist friends that have had their bank accounts shut down. We were literally in the middle of an interview with a great journalist from the gray zone who found out that his banking was just shut down. Literally, in the middle of an interview, he got a message that his banking was shut down. Well, Rumble Wallet prevents that, because Rumble can't even touch it. No one can touch it. Rumble Wallet lets you control your money, not a bank, not a government, not a tech company, not even Rumble can touch it. It's yours, only yours, yours to protect your future and your family. You can buy and save digital assets like Bitcoin, Tether Gold, and now the new USA USA app USAT, which is Tether's US regulated stablecoin all in one place. Tether Gold is real gold on the blockchain with ownership of physical gold bars, and USAT keeps your money steady against inflation. No banks needed. It's not only a wallet to buy and save, but it also allows you to support your favorite creators by easily tipping them if you want with the click of a button. There'll be no fees when you tip our channel or others, and we actually receive the tip instantly unlike other platforms where we have to wait for payouts. So support our show today and other creators by clicking the tip button on our Rumble channel.
Speaker 1: Now I wanna ask you about president Trump responding to CBS News reports that there may be mines in the Strait Of Hormuz. That doesn't make a ton of sense. He says we have no indication that they did, but they better not. But they are picking and choosing who gets to go through, and their allies can go through. So why would they mine their allies? What do we make of this? Do we need to respond to this at all?
Speaker 4: Yeah. I don't think they've done it yet. But let's recall the last time Iran mined the Persian Gulf. They didn't mine the Strait Of Hormuz. They mined farther up. It was 1987, 1988. Why did they do that? Well, in September 1980, when Jimmy Carter and Zbigniew Brzezinski were still in office, The United States encouraged a guy named Saddam Hussein, don't know if you've ever heard of him, but they encouraged Saddam Hussein to launch a war against Iran. And then Ronald Reagan comes in with Donald Rumsfeld and Cap Weinberger, and by 1983 had provided chemical weapons, or the precursors that Iraq needed to build chemical weapons, and Iraq started using chemical weapons against Iran in 1983 and continued to do it in '84, 85, 86. During that entire time, Iran never retaliated with chemical weapons. They were not going because they saw it as an act against God. They were serious about the religion. So 'eighty seven, 'eighty eight, they start dropping mines there in the Persian Gulf. Well, at that time, they didn't have all these missiles, so the United States Navy, a Navy SEAL, a good friend of mine, set up what was called the Hercules barge, and he had a Navy SEAL unit with him, and they fought off attacks by Iranian gunboats. He had some Little Bird helicopters from the one sixtieth, the special operations wing of the Air Force. And but we ended up disrupting the Iranian plan to mine The Gulf back then. Well, we couldn't do that today. We do not have that capability because Iran would blow us out of the water with drones and with missiles. You as we've seen, it's been happening over the last ten days. So United States would be in a real pickle.
Speaker 1: And especially given the rhetoric of US war hawks in power for three decades. Like Yeah. Yes. They kind of had to prepare all of this time. Did we think that they weren't paying attention when we said it to the world?
Speaker 4: Well, when we're writing our own press clippings and then reading them, there is a tendency to say, god, I am great. Can you see this? How good we are? And so they really believed that our air def the Patriot air defense systems and the THAAD systems would be they they could shut down the Iranian missiles and drones. And what they discovered was, nope. They didn't work. And they worked at an even lower level than the you know, Pentagon kept foul. We're shooting down 90%.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Well, here's where this war stands tonight. Nearly two weeks into this conflict, the official story is already cracking, and the number of Americans wounded is slowly coming out. Now yesterday, we reported based on our sources that the number of American wounded was at least one hundred and thirty seven. Well, after our report ran, what do you know? The Pentagon has now publicly acknowledged about one hundred and forty wounded.
That confirms our sources on this. So why did it take a little news show like our little show here at Redacted to report this information? Like, why wasn't Fox News reporting this information? The Pentagon I know it's really weird. Why is the mainstream media silent on this?
So the Pentagon finally comes out and actually admits to this. If the number was this high, why did the American people hear so little about it until now? That's a great question. Well, now look at this. Sorry.
I'm just gonna pull my
Speaker 1: notes here. Well, I guess Fox News likes to support the troops until they get hurt.
Speaker 0: So Reuters comes out and reports this. Exclusive. As many as one hundred and fifty US troops wounded so far in Iran war. They just published this today, this morning. March 10.
That's that's remarkable. Exclusive. Just curious how that's an exclusive when we reported it yesterday. Yesterday. Whatever.
Hey, Reuters. Bite me. Anyway, this war is clearly not winding down no matter what the messaging says. President Trump is saying the war could end very soon. But Iran says talks with The United States are off the table for now.
That Tehran is prepared to keep striking as long as it takes. And they're vowing an eye for an eye. So what is an eye for an eye actually mean? Well, that's a great question. Does it mean you hey, you killed our leader.
We kill yours? Does it mean, hey, you killed all these girls who were the daughters of members of the the Iranian Navy at a girls school, do we also do that to you? Like, what is actually an eye for an eye actually mean?
Speaker 1: Does it mean we took out your water infrastructures or you took out ours? So we do that. Right. Your gas infrastructure, civilian infrastructure, that's that's a war crime. But we did it.
Speaker 0: Your oil infrastructure, we do that. Like, what exactly does that look like? Meanwhile, the Strait Of Hormuz is getting worse by the minute. US intelligence tracking Iranian mine laying threats now as Gulf energy infrastructure there is taking a major hit with about 1,900,000 barrels per day of refining capacity across Bahrain, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and The UAE. All down U CBS now says shipping through the Strait Of Hormuz has ground to a virtual halt.
Nothing getting through. That's of just a few minutes ago. And Israel's hammering Beirut's southern suburbs and Lebanon. So they've essentially invaded Lebanon. It's a shit storm.
And then there's the neocon political class in Washington saying the quiet part out loud. Senator Lindsey Graham, your favorite warmonger, is now openly talking about, you know, going back to South Carolina to tell the sons and daughters in South Carolina, you know, you gotta send your loved ones to the Middle East. That's what I'm doing here in South Carolina. I gotta tell them to go fight in the Middle East, and he's calling on other Middle East countries that have been sitting on the fence that we've supported over the years as allies. Get off the fence.
Go bomb Iran. Help out with Iran. And, oh, by the way, Spain, we're pissed off at you because you don't want us using your air bases or airspace to bomb Iran. Listen.
Speaker 2: To our allies step up, get our air bases out of Spain. They're not reliable. Move all those airplanes to a country that would let us use them when we're threatened by a regime like Iran. To our friends in Spain, man, you have lost your way. I don't wanna do business with you anymore.
I want our air bases our air bases out of Spain into a country that will let us use them. To our Arab friends, I've tried to help you construct a new Mideast. You need to up your game here. I can't go to South Carolina and say we're fighting and you won't publicly fight. What you're doing behind the scenes, that has to stop.
The double dealing of the Arab world when it comes to this stuff needs to end. I go back to South Carolina. I'm asking them to send their sons and daughters over to the Mideast. What I want you to do in The Mideast to our friends in Saudi Arabia and other places, step forward and say this is my fight too. I join America.
I'm publicly involved in bringing this regime down. If you don't, you're making a great mistake, and you're gonna cut off the ability to have a better relationship with The United States. I say this as a friend.
Speaker 1: Ugh. He's an odious friend.
Speaker 0: Say this as a friend.
Speaker 3: With friends pick up a gun and go fight yourself, you coward. Yeah. I freaking hate that. But you're calling so, like, bluntly for somebody else to go die for his stupid cause.
Speaker 0: Yeah.
Speaker 3: Go fight it yourself.
Speaker 0: I would love that.
Speaker 1: Right. And I I am so curious about this. I mean, he's a liar. But how many people in South Carolina are really walking up to him and saying, who are we gonna get to fight with us? Who are we gonna get to fight Iran?
Worried about this. My son can go, but who's going with him? Let's make some war playdates. Who does that?
Speaker 0: Larry Johnson is a former CIA analyst, NRA gun trainer, and, he's been looking at all of this and doing some incredible writing over at his website, Sonar twenty one. Larry, thank you for joining us. Great to see you back on the show.
Speaker 4: Hi, guys. Good to see you.
Speaker 0: So I wanna talk about the American war wounded first because Mhmm. I know that this is, near and dear to your heart and, of course, something that you've been watching, closely. And the lies, of course, that are are coming out about this. Again, I spoke to sources over the past forty eight hours that were telling us here at Redacted about 137 Americans wounded. Then Right.
The Pentagon comes out and then confirms about a hundred and forty. So right pretty much right on the nose. And does that number sound low to you? Or does that sound about right?
Speaker 4: That sounds a little low. So on March 4, let's go to Germany. Stuttgart, just North West of Germany, there is a hospital called Landstuhl Regional Medical Center. Landstuhl's primary mission is to handle American war wounded. On March 4, they issued a memo telling all the pregnant women that were about to give birth that, sorry, don't come here.
We're not birthing any more babies. We gotta focus on our main mission. So that was the first clue that there was there were a lot of casualties inbound. I know, without mentioning his name, somebody who was involved dealing with the combat casualties during the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, and he dealt with the personnel at Lunstul. And he called called someone up and said, can't say anything, but there's a lot of casualties.
Then 13 miles to the east of Landstuhl is an army base called Kaiserslautern. Kaiserslautern and the Stars and Stripes issued for that base had an appeal, a blood drive appeal. Hey. We need lots of people to show up and donate blood. So those that was on March 5.
So I wrote about this March 6. So I wrote about this four days ago, that, yeah, we had a lot more casualties, and there are more coming, because Iran's not gonna stop. You know, right now, we're getting signals that the Trump administration is reaching out, trying, oh, hey, let's talk, let's talk cease fire. Iran's having none of it. They've been betrayed twice by Donald Trump and his group of clowns.
Speaker 0: Right.
Speaker 4: You know? And and so they're not ready to say no. No. They've got the world, by the testicles is the polite way of saying it, withholding the Strait Of Hormuz. They've shut down the movement of not only oil, liquid natural gas.
They're the supplier of about 25%, 25 to 30% of the world's liquid natural gas, and, about 30%, 30 to 35% of the world's urea, which is used for fertilizer. Now, that may not I just learned that that may not be as important as I once thought it was because most of it comes out of Oman. Oman, you don't have to worry about things going through the Strait Of Hormuz. But on oil and liquid natural gas, huge. 94% of The Philippines depended upon the flow of gas, both liquid and the petroleum oil, out of the Persian Gulf.
India, 80%. Japan, South Korea. So this is gonna have a major impact on certain economies in the world. Now there there I I I've said this ironically. I I think Vladimir Putin's sitting there going, maybe Donald Trump really does like me, because what he's done is he's making Russia rich again in a way I mean, they're getting, you know, they were selling they were forced to sell their oil previously under sanctions at, like, $55 a barrel.
Now they're getting $88.90 dollars a barrel.
Speaker 0: Well and they just opened it up to India. I mean, that story over the past forty eight hours, like, so they The United States has eased its restriction on Russian oil flowing to India. I mean, talk about an absolute disaster.
Speaker 4: Well, yeah. And remember what had happened there is India was playing a double game too. You know, bricks India is the I in bricks, and Iran is the new I in bricks. And so what was India doing? Well, India was pretending to play along with The United States, but then going to Russia and saying, hey, Russia.
Yeah. We'll buy we'll buy your oil, but we needed a discount because we're going against the sanctions, and we need to cover ourselves. So Russia said, okay. As a BRICS partner, we'll let you have it at 55 you know, it was normally selling 59. They let them have for 55 barrel, dollars a barrel.
So they got a discount.
Speaker 1: So Oh, sorry.
Speaker 3: Go ahead. No. Please finish.
Speaker 4: So now when all of a sudden the the the the oil tap is turned off, including the liquid natural gas, India goes running back to Russia. Now remember, on, February 2526, India was in Israel buttering up the rear end of BB, Net, and Yahoo, kissing rear end all they could. Oh, man. It was a love fest. We're partners with Israel.
And then Israel attacks their BRICS partner. And what does India say? Nothing. Zero. They don't say a thing about the murdered girls.
So now all of a sudden, the oil's turned off. It's nine days now with no oil coming out of there for India. They go running back to Russia. Hey, buddy. Let's let's get back together.
And Russia says, sure. That's great. But it's gonna cost you $89 now a barrel. No more friends and family program. Gonna get market conditions.
Mhmm. And so so Russia's Russia's playing some diplomatic hardball, but, you know, being friendly about it. But they sent India a message on this. India, of all the countries in the world right now that are most damaged by this war, it will be India and its economy.
Speaker 0: We've had many journalist friends that have had their bank accounts shut down. We were literally in the middle of an interview with a great journalist from the gray zone who found out that his banking was just shut down. Literally, in the middle of an interview, he got a message that his banking was shut down. Well, Rumble Wallet prevents that, because Rumble can't even touch it. No one can touch it.
Rumble Wallet lets you control your money, not a bank, not a government, not a tech company, not even Rumble can touch it. It's yours, only yours, yours to protect your future and your family. You can buy and save digital assets like Bitcoin, Tether Gold, and now the new USA USA app USAT, which is Tether's US regulated stablecoin all in one place. Tether Gold is real gold on the blockchain with ownership of physical gold bars, and USAT keeps your money steady against inflation. No banks needed.
It's not only a wallet to buy and save, but it also allows you to support your favorite creators by easily tipping them if you want with the click of a button. There'll be no fees when you tip our channel or others, and we actually receive the tip instantly unlike other platforms where we have to wait for payouts. So support our show today and other creators by clicking the tip button on our Rumble channel. It's wallet.rumble.com. Go to Rumble Wallet today, open an account, and step away from big banks for good.
Wallet.rumble.com is the place to go.
Speaker 1: Now I wanna ask you about president Trump responding to CBS News reports that there may be mines in the Strait Of Hormuz. That doesn't make a ton of sense. He says we have no indication that they did, but they better not. But they are picking and choosing who gets to go through, and their allies can go through. So why would they mine their allies?
What do we make of this? Do we need to respond to this at all?
Speaker 4: Yeah. I don't think they've done it yet. But let's recall the last time Iran mined the Persian Gulf. They didn't mine the Strait Of Hormuz. They mined farther up.
It was 1987, 1988. Why did they do that? Well, in September 1980, when Jimmy Carter and Zbigniew Brzezinski were still in office, The United States encouraged a guy named Saddam Hussein, don't know if you've ever heard of him, but they encouraged Saddam Hussein to launch a war against Iran. And then Ronald Reagan comes in with Donald Rumsfeld and Cap Weinberger, and by 1983 had provided chemical weapons, or the precursors that Iraq needed to build chemical weapons, and Iraq started using chemical weapons against Iran in 1983 and continued to do it in '84, 8586. During that entire time, Iran never retaliated with chemical weapons.
They were not going because they saw it as an act against God. They were serious about the religion. So 'eighty seven, 'eighty eight, they start dropping mines there in the Persian Gulf. Well, at that time, they didn't have all these missiles, so the United States Navy, a Navy SEAL, a good friend of mine, set up what was called the Hercules barge, and he had a Navy SEAL unit with him, and they fought off attacks by Iranian gunboats. He had some Little Bird helicopters from the one sixtieth, the special operations wing of the Air Force.
And but we ended up disrupting the Iranian plan to mine The Gulf back then. Well, we couldn't do that today. We do not have that capability because Iran would blow us out of the water with drones and with missiles. You as we've seen, it's been happening over the last ten days. So United States would be in a real pickle.
I agree with you, Natalie, that I don't I don't think Iran's ready to start laying mines because they've got standoff weapons. They've got shore to ship missiles they can fire. They've got drones that they can fire. So they don't they're not in a situation where they need to close it off so that nobody can get out. Because just yesterday, Araci it was either Araci or Ali Larajani announced that any country that would expel The United States and Israel, diplomats, and and military from their country, they'd get free passage.
They'd get to take all the oil out they wanted.
Speaker 1: Well, I guess I mean, the president is responding to reports from CBS News, and he's saying the military hasn't told me this. I just wonder, and I'm spitballing here, who at CBS News might feed him this kind of intelligence given that CBS is run by a proxy of the Massad? I'm just curious.
Speaker 4: Barry Weiss, by chance. Oh
Speaker 0: my god.
Speaker 1: I'm suggesting exactly that. And I I have no intelligence, but it would make ideological sense to me.
Speaker 0: No. We are cynical bastards around here, Larry.
Speaker 4: Actually, Natalie, you have a lot of intelligence connecting those dots.
Speaker 3: Thank you.
Speaker 4: We've got a lot of stupid people in Washington that aren't connecting those dots. You know, we're we're seeing I've seen all the Washington symptoms and signs that they're getting a little nervous in the service here. The the other day, they leaked out the results of the National Intelligence Council memo or assessment that had been prepared prior to the war warning, you're not gonna get regime change out of Iran. Now, normally, that remains secret. It's top secret, but that got leaked.
And why did that get leaked? Because the intelligence community is now positioning itself saying, when this thing turns, you know, turns into a a floating turd, it's not our fault. We're you know, we told you not to do it. You did it. General general Raisin Cain, Dan Cain, he did the same thing after they tried to talk Trump out of doing this, and, you know, one of his underlings went out and talked to three different media outlets.
So you can tell things are start starting to come apart at the seams because this war is not working out as they planned. And the bottom line is this. They're wanting Iran to agree to some deal to cease fire. Iran, mark my words, Iran is not going to agree to a cease fire. They're gonna keep this war going until at some point such point, The United States will negotiate with them and end all sanctions on Iran at a minimum.
Speaker 0: I wanna ask you this, Larry. Reports from inside the Trump administration that there are warhawks inside the Trump administration that desperately want to take the island Of Kharg. Oh, god.
Speaker 4: I hope I hope they're the first ones on the boat.
Speaker 0: Yeah. Exactly. So let's just lay this out for our audience. Here's a picture of this island. Now, for those in our audience that don't know, this is arguably one of the most important pieces of land in the world.
This is where 90% of all the oil flows from Iran, is out of Karg Island. 90%. And I had to when I when I saw those statistics over the past forty eight hours, had to do a double take and convert 90% of all the Iranian oil flows from this little island, this airfield. To my mind, it's only about four I think four miles four miles long, four miles long, two miles wide. And there are and it's and it is difficult to defend from an American perspective.
So there are those in the Trump administration who want to take this piece of land from which to be able to launch attacks to prevent any oil flows out of the Strait Of Hormuz into the rest of the world. This sounds like an absolute disaster if the Americans try to take this, but what do you think about this?
Speaker 4: Oh, yeah. They well, I I hope that the ones that advocate that put them in uniform, put them at the front of the front of the the column, they go in first. Because, you know, they forget that one of the largest producers of drones in the world, one of the innovators is Iran, and Iran got its drones thanks to the CIA. Most people don't know that. You know, that famous triangle drone we've been looking at?
Iran brought one of those down twelve years ago, and then they copied it. And that that was a CIA drone at the time. CIA was sort of the leader in it. So once once you get US troops on that island, they're not gonna have any cover. They're not gonna have time to build shelter, you know, that would resist all these drones.
I mean, Iran Iran wouldn't have to land troops on Karg Island to take it back. All they'd have to do is kill them with drones as we've seen in the war in Ukraine, for God's sake. Are these people not paying attention? I mean, really, I I I'm insulted by the level of stupidity. It is.
Well
Speaker 0: yeah. Well, we've heard from the Trump administration the surprise about being, like, attacking our military bases in the region. Like, where did the surprise come from? You've been on our show for three years talking about if if we attack Iran, a, b is what is going to happen. They are going to attack our military that are stationed in Bahrain, in Qatar, and these other locations, and that's exactly what happened.
Speaker 1: And especially given the rhetoric of US war hawks in power for three decades. Like Yeah. Yes. They kind of had to prepare all of this time. Did we think that they weren't paying attention when we said it to the world?
Speaker 4: Well, when when we're writing our own press clippings and then reading them, there is a tendency to say, god, I am great. Can you see this? How good we are? And so they really believed that our air def the Patriot air defense systems and the THAAD systems would be they they could shut down the Iranian missiles and drones. And what they discovered was, nope.
They didn't work. And they worked at an even lower level than the you know, Pentagon kept foul. We're shooting down 90%.
@Glenn_Diesen - Glenn Diesen
Alex Krainer: Iran War Goes Global - Economic, Energy & Food Crisis https://youtu.be/WzWBIS17aqY https://t.co/K5JdZtll2n
Video Transcript AI Summary
The discussion centers on the cascading economic and geopolitical consequences of the unfolding West Asia conflict, with an emphasis on energy markets, food production, and the potential reconfiguration of global power relations.
Key points and insights:
- The Iran-related war is described as an “absolutely massive disruption” not only to oil but also to natural gas markets. Speaker 1 notes that gas is the main feedstock for nitrogen fertilizers, so disruptions could choke fertilizer production if Gulf shipments are blocked or LNG tankers are trapped, amplifying downstream effects across industries.
- The fallout is unlikely to be immediate, but rather a protracted process. Authorities and markets may react with forecasts of various scenarios, yet the overall path is highly uncertain, given the scale of disruption and the exposure of Western food systems to energy costs and inputs.
- Pre-war conditions already showed fragility in Western food supplies and agriculture. The speaker cites visible declines in produce variety and quality in France, including eggs shortages and reduced meat cuts, even before the current shock, tied to earlier policies and disruptions.
- Historical price dynamics are invoked: oil prices have spiked from around $60 to just over $100 a barrel in a short period, suggesting that large-scale price moves tend to unfold over months to years. The speaker points to past predictions of extreme oil shortages (e.g., to $380–$500/barrel) as illustrative of potential but uncertain outcomes, including possible long-term shifts in energy markets and prices.
- Gold as a barometer: gold prices surged in 2023 after a long period of stagnation, suggesting that the environment could produce substantial moves in safe-haven assets, with potential volatility up to very high levels (even speculative ranges like $5,000 to $10,000/oz or more discussed).
- Structural vulnerabilities: over decades, redundancy has been removed from food and energy systems, making them more fragile. Large agribusinesses dominate, while smallholder farming has been eroded by policy incentives. If input costs surge (oil, gas, fertilizer), there may be insufficient production capacity to rebound quickly, risking famine-like conditions.
- Policy paralysis and governance: the speaker laments that policymakers remain focused on Russia, Ukraine, and net-zero policies, failing to address immediate shocks. This could necessitate private resilience: stocking nonperishables, growing food, and strengthening neighborhood networks.
- Broader systemic critique: the discussion expands beyond energy to global supply chains and the “neoliberal” model of outsourcing, just-in-time logistics, and dependence on a few critical minerals (e.g., gallium) concentrated in a single country (China). The argument is that absorption of shocks requires strategic autonomy and a rethinking of wealth extraction mechanisms in Western economies.
- Conspiracy and risk framing: the speakers touch on the idea that ruling elites use wars and engineered shocks to suppress populations, citing medical, environmental, and demographic trends (e.g., concerns about toxins and vaccines, chronic disease trends, CBDCs, digital IDs, 15-minute cities). These points are presented as part of a larger pattern of deliberate disruption, though no definitive causality is asserted.
- Multipolar transition: a core theme is that the Western-led liberal order is collapsing or in serious flux. The BRICS and Belt and Road frameworks, along with East–West energy and technology leadership (notably China in nuclear tech and batteries), are shaping a move toward multipolar integration. The speaker anticipates that Europe’s future may involve engagement with multipolar economies and a shift away from exclusive Western hegemony.
- European trajectory: Europe is portrayed as unsustainable under current models, potentially sliding toward an austerity-driven, iron-curtain-like system if it cannot compete or recalibrate. The conversation envisions a gradual, possibly painful transition driven by democratic politics and public pressure, with a risk of civil unrest if elites resist reform.
- NATO and European security: there is speculation about how the Middle East turmoil could draw Europe into broader conflict, especially if Russia leverages the situation to complicate European decisions. A cautious approach is suggested: Russia has shown a willingness to create friction without provoking Article 5, but could exploit Middle East tensions to pressure European governments while avoiding a full European war.
- Outlook: the speakers foresee no easy return to the pre-war status quo. The path forward could involve a reordering of international trade, energy, and security architectures, with a possible pivot toward multipolar alliances and a greater emphasis on grassroots resilience and regional cooperation.
Overall, the dialogue emphasizes the profound interconnectedness of energy, agriculture, finance, and geopolitics, arguing that the current crisis could catalyze a permanent reordering of the global system toward multipolarism, while underscoring the fragility of Western economic and political models in absorbing such shocks.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Welcome back. We are joined today by Alex Kraner, a market analyst, author, and former head fund manager. Also, we can add the host of the Alex Kraner podcast, and I will leave a link in the description. And I saw you had a new video come out just now. Thank you for coming on.
I we keep seeing this uncontrolled war unraveling in in Iran that is it seems to be spiraling out of control. There's no efforts to deescalate or seeking an off ramp. And I was wondering what do you see as being this economic consequences of this war around the world. So, you know, they can be the minor things. For example, if there's less oil, you know, fewer fishing boats go out, food prices go up, people can't pay their bills, you have socioeconomic instability.
And I guess what's fascinating here is that the entire world is impacted by this war. So what is it that you expect to see in terms of the very integrated global economy being affected by taking all this energy off the market?
Speaker 1: Glenn, thank you for having me. It's always a pleasure to join you. Unfortunately, here we are discussing fairly bad developments in the world. Let's say that it would be impossible to predict the fallout from the current war in the in in West Asia. And the reasons are because we have just had a a an absolutely massive disruption not only in the in the oil market, but also in in natural gas markets.
And then, you know, it impacts many other industries because, you know, natural gas is the main feedstock for production of of fertilizers, nitrogen fertilizers. So if one third of the feedstock is stuck in The Gulf and half of all the LNG tankers are stuck in The Gulf, we could be in a lot of trouble. I think that the the fallout will not happen overnight, and there's going to be a lot of discussion. Oh, this is gonna happen, and that's gonna happen. But we already start from a very, very bad point because many western nations have already been destroying their agricultural production for for many years now, you know, over over net zero policies and and and whatnot.
And you can already you if the let's say that the reduced food production in the West is already discernible. I live in France, and, you know, I'm one of those people who likes to buy fresh ingredients and and cook my food at home. And so I'm very you know, I I tend to be discerning about what I buy. And France has always had, of all the countries where I lived, the best food merchandising industry and food distribution. You know, you always had a very wide variety of high quality produce available at all times.
It was pretty much taken for granted. But even before this war started, I started noticing, I mean, this this started happening probably since the since the pandemic, that the both the variety and the quality of produce that's offered in the market has been on a on a decline, and I mean drastic decline. You know? This year, in the last, you know, maybe six to twelve months, for the first time ever, many supermarkets have signs we're out of eggs, for example. The meat section is visibly reduced.
I think there's less than half of what used to be available, and there are many fewer cuts that are available. At the same time, you know, the processed foods are doesn't seem that they're they're impacted. It's, you know, the the junk and the low quality stuff. So now add the largest ever disruption that ever impacted oil markets and and natural gas markets in the world, and we can't tell how this will unfold and and and you know, because this is a situation that will snowball. You know, now we now we're aware, we're rationally aware that something's not right and that it's going to have consequences, but what those consequences will be is nearly impossible to predict.
You know, I I used to be an oil market analyst, and I I remember that in 2012, I read I read reports drafted by the the American military intelligence, by British military intelligence, Ministry of Defense actually, and by the German Ministry of Defense, and they were all they were all predicting that we are going into a period of shortage of oil and that this is going to have extreme consequences. The British Ministry of Defense was predicting that by 2040, the price of oil will go to $500 a barrel. Now I know that that might sound high, but, you know, even even just as recently as 2022, we had a we had a analysis report by JPMorgan saying that the oil is going the the price of the barrel is going to $380 per barrel. Today, we are trading just over $100 a barrel, and the war has been going on for, what, just over two weeks. These types of large scale price events never happened overnight.
So we had a jolt because I think that two or three months ago, the barrel of oil was trading at about $60. So we are now 67, 70% higher than two months ago, but this could just be the first jolt. Large scale price events tend to tend to span months and years. So we can't exclude the possibility that the price of a barrel really does go to 380 or to $500 a barrel or or who knows where. And what the consequences of that will be, I think it's impossible to predict.
You know, we've been talking about gold prices for many, many years, and gold prices have done more or less nothing until 2023. Until then, they were, you know, kind of languishing between 1,600 and 2,000, you know, bouncing in horizontal range. But then once they went above, once the price went decisively above $2,000 an ounce, then it kept going, and then over the next two years, so between the 2023 and now, we now have gold at $5,000 an ounce. And, you know, there's no telling where it might go. It might go to 5 to to to 10,000 or 20,000.
Nobody can predict these things. And then another troubling factor is that over these over the over the decades, we've removed redundancy out of the system in the sense that, let's say if you have larger agricultural concerns that are producing massive quantities of corn and wheat and soybeans and these strategic crops, but you keep putting small hold farmers at a disadvantage and you are slowly destroying smallhold farmers, once these large concerns that that are producing food in in great bulk, once they start going bankrupt because they can't pay for the oil, they can't pay for the gas, they can't pay for the fertilizer and so forth, we don't have family owned farms to fall back on. Because, you know, in the past, if all these mountains of corn and wheat don't materialize, okay, there's still family farms that are producing food. It'll be expensive, but at least it's there. We have destroyed this to a large extent.
So I think that we are in a serious trouble because this cannot come back overnight. Know? This takes time and skill and know how and and and commitment and dedication. And once you uproot it, it'll take years for smallhold farming to come back if they allow it because they're still you know, the bureaucracy is still destroying family farming and there's no in a way, there's no reverse gear. They're not saying nobody's saying, Oh, this was a bad idea.
Let's quickly reverse these policies. All the incentives and all the directives that went from the EU from central governments to their bureaucracy are still there, and the incentives are still there. So the, you know, the the big train wreck is still happening. And so I I I I'm I'm afraid that we might be going to a place that nobody's prepared for because it hasn't happened in since maybe since since the the last World War. And, you know, people who lived through the through World War two, they do remember famine.
And so we might be going to a place of famine. And, you know, unfortunately, our policymakers, our governments are not taking this seriously. I don't know if they're discussing this at all. I don't I don't see it being discussed anything. It's an urgent matter.
But, you know, they are still obsessed with Russia, with Ukraine, with net zero policies and and so forth. And so, unfortunately, I'm afraid that ordinary people will have to take these things into their own hands and see if they can, you know, make make food for themselves, plant potatoes and leeks and tomatoes and, you know, stock up on nonperishable items.
Speaker 0: Well, that was part of the problem of the we've seen in the past few years with the Ukraine war alone, these limitations on artificial fertilizers and all of these things because of of the sanctions. This, of course, will add further to it. But there seems to be a much wider challenge at the sector. That is over the past few decades now under this neoliberal economics, we kinda let the market dictate everything in terms of, you know, outsourcing what others might produce more efficiently. So assuming that the markets are already or will always be open, we also saw The U US outsourcing its in the development of critical medicine to China.
I mean, critical minerals, of course, depend on China. And, again, not just nations, but we see businesses organizing this just in time logistics, there's no need for storage. We saw people as well becoming more dependent on living paycheck to paycheck. It's across society. It's it's it doesn't seem like we are capable of absorbing a shock unlike, you know, the second World War.
At least there was some strategic autonomy and, yeah, ability to absorb these kind of shocks. And even in the military sphere, I see the the the Iranians have blown up a lot of American radars worth, you know, hundreds of millions of dollars. I think it's their their t p y two radars. And, you know, if if you wanna rebuild this as well as the interceptors and all these weapons stockpiles, which The US has been burning through, it needs, you know, access to, like, gallium and other rare earths, which just happens that China controls, I think, about 98 of the total. So it's just it's just an unmitigated disaster.
So it's not clear what we're gonna do. We're not gonna make peace and restore trust in the supply chains. And yet, if if we want to have complete strategic autonomy, we need we need many years, if not decades, to reorganize the entire economy. But we seem to be just heading straight into massive conflicts, war, dismantling supply chains without any ability to absorb any of these shocks. I mean, how yeah.
If if if if we could predict what will happen, it would be one thing, but I think it's too many unknown variables perhaps, which is why it's so difficult to assess.
Speaker 1: Yes. Correct. I I I'm afraid that there's a there's a very significant conflict between the ruling establishments in the in the in the Western worlds and the people. And, unfortunately, this is one of those things that keeps happening throughout history, that people who hold the levers of powers, who enjoy all the privileges of the system as it is, you know, set up today, they don't want to change the system. And what happens is that, you know, with the, you know, with money lending and usury and this fraudulent money that we have, over time, you know, this this mechanism acts as a as a wealth extraction conveyor belt.
And so it creates a polarization of wealth, meaning that the people who are at the levels levers of power, they become more and more wealthy. A greater and greater amount of capital, of collateral, is in their hands, while the ordinary people are increasingly disenfranchised poor, have difficulty paying their bills, have difficulty making a living, live paycheck to paycheck and so forth. And so what has always been the first reflex of the ruling establishment has been to get rid of the people. And they usually did this by crying barbarians at the gate. If there were no barbarians at the gates, they would invent them.
They would orchestrate wars, and then they would sacrifice, especially military aged men in very large numbers in these wars because military aged men are exactly their greatest threat the the greatest threat to themselves. Well, I think that war against Russia was intended to serve this purpose, but it hasn't quite worked out and people are not convinced. And people in France, Germany, Poland, Great Britain, none of them think that Russia is the greatest existential threat, so none of them are willing to send their sons to to fight and die in that war. So I think that other other approaches are being used, and this goes into into conspiracy theory realm, which we all know that there are no conspiracies. You know?
Everything is a coincidence. But it does appear that a lot of what they do is now used as plan b, plan c, and so forth to keep getting rid of the people. And, you know, in Canada, we now see that the one of one of their leading medical treatments is called medical assistance in dying, and they're so excited about it that they already since the law passed, they already killed a 100,000 people for, you know, for a population of the size of Canada that's very significant. I think it's now become the third leading cause of death in Canada. Well, it's being passed in France.
European countries are enthusiastically adopting it, and it's one of those things where if you if you say the wrong word, you can't even opt out of it anymore. You know? If you if you say today, well, maybe I'll consider it, you're you're already done. They're you know, they don't give you an out. You you have to fight to save your life.
Then our our supplies are increasingly toxic, which very often turns out to be strange because it's like, oh, yeah. Well, sorry, you know, we got some lead in the water. That was, you know, a mistake. Oh, we have all these cancer causing agents in our toothpaste. Well, that's a mistake, obvious.
But, you know, there's been a lot of mistakes all going in the same direction. So the rates of chronic diseases, the rates of cancers, and so forth are exploding, and I have to be I have to wonder if that is not on purpose. And in fact, it's almost certain that it is on purpose because we have we have very detailed data from, let's say, the vaccine industry where, you know, the the the statistics from systems like VAERS in The United States show that over the last thirty years, the safety of these shots has been on the decline and the side effects have been increasingly severe. And then fewer and fewer people are recovering from these side effects ever. And, you know, that's that's a trend that has now been going on for more than thirty years.
So if you have this trillion dollar industry that has all the research money can buy, all these specialists, all all the all the production facilities, and the trend of safety is on a steady decline for thirty years going, you have to suspect that it's deliberate because otherwise somebody would say like, oh, you know, we made these mistakes, we correct them. And so with all the know how, with all the research, with all the investment, we should see an increase in safety and effectiveness but we see the opposite. Anyhow, you know, there's I I what I've been saying for since the pandemic now that it's that we are fighting a thousand battles at this time, and it's not just that. It's the CBDCs. It's the it's the digital digital IDs.
It's the fifteen minute cities. It's the net zero. It's the assault on farmers. It's the destruction of food production. It's the toxification of the environment steady.
It's it's wars breaking out everywhere and more and more of them breaking out almost as though it's it's being done deliberately. So in the end, I think that we won't solve it. We I I I don't see that we we're going to be able to vote our way out of it. I think that it's going to take people simply taking things into their own hands, making sure that they know how to take care of their families and their health, making sure that they know how to procure food, making sure that they have good relations with their neighbors, that they're net that they network in their community, that they know, you know, who can who can fix your car, who can fix your leaky roof, who knows how to treat wounds and and set broken bones and so forth. And in the end, you know, when the CBDCs get unrolled, and that's almost 100% going to be a train wreck, I I I think they're going to fail because it's an extremely, extremely ambitious complex problem that they need to tackle, we are not going to survive without gray and black markets.
And people are generally very, very good at creating gray and black markets because they simply have needs that are urgent and, you know, you need to eat, you need to have water and and roof over your head, and then these black markets self organize. But that means that the political establishment loses control, and then, you know, we need I I I think that ultimately the solution will be for the Western world to integrate with with the eastern solutions, you know, SEO, bricks and the bricks organization, Belt and Road, multipolar integrations, and so forth. And maybe this war in Iran now is a is a great catalyst that that will accelerate all of these all of these changes. But, you know, one thing that everybody has to keep in mind, we will not get solutions from our governments. That that that's just the way they're the way things are today, we cannot expect that our governments will will deliver us, and we shouldn't expect it even if we vote the current the current governments out of power and replace them with the new ones.
Just look at how things are going in The United States. You know? Voting Trump into the office was practically a revolution, and now it's it seems that Trump revolution is very, very much jeopardized pretty much by Trump's own goal in Iran. Yeah. Well, a lot of
Speaker 0: the problems we have today, we have different solutions in the past. This is not advocacy, but in the past colonization, it tended to have some be like a safety valve to release some pressure that is economic pressure could be unreleased could be released by colonizing political dissent. They could get a new if if, you know, you opened up to to send them abroad, it would release some of this, the sense of purpose, you know, built up nationalism, prestige. All of this could be done abroad, but the but the same kind of dynamics, the problems building up. We don't have them to we don't really have them today.
Yes. But, yeah, it's a very it's it's a good point with Trump because he was, like, he was seen as the the revolutionary, though he was definitely not part of the establishment. He would do something very different. You know, the fact that the entire political class and entire media went after him, it was kind of worn wore as a badge of honor to show that, well, they don't own me. And people, you know, they didn't not vote before because of it.
They voted because of it. This was important.
Speaker 1: Yes.
Speaker 0: Yeah, here is. And I'm I'm not even sure how to explain what happened to Trump because, you know, one can say, yes, that The US is to a large extent controlled or influenced by Israeli foreign policy, but that can't be it only because I I I don't doubt it, but but one also has to look at the threats against Panama, the, you know, the kidnapping of president of Venezuela. Now the war on Iran, of course, that can be explained, but he's already saying Cuba is next in line. They he might go for Nicaragua. He already attacked Cuba.
Why not threaten Canada? And it's just it's just yeah. Threatened Colombia as well and, yeah, Greenland, of course. I mean, they did the list of quite impressive for a second.
Speaker 1: It would be it would be quicker to list it would be quicker to list the countries that he didn't threaten.
Speaker 0: No. I know, which is why it's hard to understand what happened because he was, you know, he was the peace president. That that's that's what he was running on, and he prided himself in the first administration of not starting new wars, all of these things. So I'm not sure what happened to to Trump. He's you know, when he says, you know, we want peace, but peace through through strength, well, that's like the NATO motto.
That means essentially hegemonic peace. We'll be so powerful, no one can challenge us. We had hegemonic peace. That's why people voted for Trump because they they thought that this was exhausting The US. It was creating collective balancing, and but but here we are.
Back back to the same thing. That being said, this list of countries he wants to invade, from, you know, Venezuela, he said, oh, we got their oil in Iran. You know, Lindsey Graham made a point, oh, we're gonna make a ton of money if we can control their oil. Greenland have all these resources. How how do you see the are are we seeing the beginning of some energy war here, or because a competition over controlling the international resources?
You can say, yes. It's just The United States playing this game now. But if they're trying to, essentially, corner the market now with military force, other countries will have to respond in some way.
Speaker 1: Yes. But, you know, I think it's it's a lot more complicated than it has been for the past century because let's say this the scramble for The Middle East started, let's call it, about a hundred and twenty years ago. So it was nineteen o two, nineteen o three that the British realized that they need oil, that Middle East is very rich with oil, and they already started colonizing the Middle East in order to secure access to to to oil. And this has been almost a a constant of the foreign policy of Western powers. But, you know, today, we we do have a an energy transformation process that is based on, you know, advances in nuclear power and and electricity generation and battery technology and so forth.
And it's coming from it's coming largely largely from China, but it's other other countries are also participating. So, you know, at the moment where you have, you know, when you when you have battery technology that, you know, you can charge a a car battery in five minutes or ten minutes, and it runs, it can run 3,000 kilometers on one charge, that's a massive game changer that then impacts automotive industry. And then, you know, with respect to to, you know, the need for heavy oil for ships and diesel, you know, diesel engines and generators, well, you know, Middle East is not the only game in town anymore, and maybe this is why Trump was keen on controlling Venezuela's oil supply, and then maybe this this is why he's keen on securing Canadian resources. But, you know, then there's you know, Russia has massive energy supplies oil supplies is one it's one of the world's largest oil producers, and it's completely unrealistic for Trump to think that he can control Russia. And, clearly, they're losing grip on the Middle East, and I think that, you know, it's been let's say that it's been almost obvious that if he pulled the trigger on war against Iran that The United States would end up evicted from the Middle East.
And this is now probably going to happen. I don't see how they avoid it, and we can see even Trump in the last, I think, twenty four, forty eight hours has been saying, well, we don't really even have to be there because it's it's very it's it's very clear that this is an unwinnable war and that the longer it goes on, the more it plays to the advantage of Russia, China, and Iran, and the less it plays to the advantage of Western powers, which are growing weaker and weaker and weaker. So I think in the end, we're going back to the you know, I I I kind of predicted this in the past that either we're going to have the fall of the Western Empire or the West is going to close itself off into a block, you know, into into, like, a a former Soviet block, and we're going to have an iron curtain. And then they're going to try to regroup and reorganize themselves for for the next hurrah of of imperial wars and colonialism. But, you know, only the political establishments that are in charge in the West want this.
The people don't want this. And I think that today, unlike in the past, the people are more aware than ever before that their political establishments are basically Epstein classes and that the way we're going to win a better future and an emancipation is going to have to be by changing our political establishments rather than going along with, you know, whatever agenda they set in front of us. And, you know, given that they no longer control the narratives as as they one once did, then, you know, I think that the people have a very, good chance to actually prevail and that we see a complete transformation of the global order. And I think that, you know, like this is now that that discontinuity that we've been talking about for a while that the, you know, the five hundred years of Western centric global order is collapsing, and now it is collapsing. And so the energy dimensions will play a role, but maybe not in the same way that it has done in the twentieth century because oil is no longer the only game in town.
And then, you know, advanced technologies, we have a lot of catching up to do because, you know, China is leading the way. In nuclear technology, China and Russia are leading the way. The United States has nuclear technologies that are that are advanced and that could that could help them to catch up, but they're far behind, and they're too expensive still. American nuclear power plants generate energy that's five times more expensive than what the Chinese can build. So it's we we we really are far behind.
But, you know, if we integrate, if we if we say, okay. We have to give up on colonialism. We have to give up on imperialism. Well, then, you know, we can trade as partners in good faith constructively. And then, you know, we can sell them what we have, things that we do do well and buy from them things that we don't have, that we need.
And in that way, maybe, you know, the the dream of of the dream of peace and prosperity becomes realistic, not not a utopia. Because we also have to understand that the the wars, the misery that we've had to live with for so long are are the result of our money system and our political systems in the West, primarily in the West. West has been the driver of wars in the world. And so once this system is over overhauled and reorganized, then, you know, the the need to go to war drops away. It's it's not necessary.
So I'm I'm very hopeful in that respect. And maybe, you know, sometimes in history, very, very bad things happen, but, you know, they they blow open the path to very, very good things. So we have to we have to be very, how do you call we have to keep alert. We have to keep alert, and we have to make sure we're not hypnotized to sleep by our political leaders.
Speaker 0: Yeah. Well, a lot of this adjustment of of The United States away from the former model it had. That is after World War two, The United States was, you know, the factory of the world. It was the creditor of the world. It had dominated in technologies.
It controlled the maritime corridors of the world. It controlled the natural resources by allying up with the Arab states. It controlled the main development banks. It had the sole reserve currency. I mean, across all the economic levers of power, The US was dominant, and this is why hegemony could be established on the principle of a liberal hegemon.
Much like the Americans have criticized the British for in the beginning of the nineteenth century, they called it a free trade empire, because if the British were more competitive, all you have to do is push free trade, and no one would be able to compete with the British. But but now that this is gone, the essentially, the Americans can't compete well with the Chinese anymore. They're no longer the factory of the world. They can't produce that much. They're the deader of the world now.
And not just China, but you see through, for example, BRICS and these other multipolar form formats that a new world is being developed where it's not organized around The US. So having everything open and liberal is no longer the recipe for American leadership as it was intended to be after the nineties. But I heard some Americans refer to how they should reorganize the world. And remind me a bit of what you said there, that is, well, we have to stand up for then Western civilization, which means that the West should essentially, you know, block itself off a little bit from the rest. But this would mean for Europe to be exclusive economic zone for The US, which could be nice if it was after World War two, but a declining empire.
It's very different. That is, The US would be poor. It would be politically subordinated if it's not able to diversify and trade properly with the other great powers such as China and Russia. So how do you keep such a system in place? Because when you compare it to the Soviet system, that that seems about right.
Either you need some authoritarian model, or you have to demonize the outside world that is immoral to trade with Chinese or Russians. But anyways, this is not a model for prosperity. It's not a model for freedom. So I'm I'm just wondering how how do you see Europe how sustainable is this? Because after a while, the political elites, which advocate for this kind of economic isolationism and political subordination to, you know, what Rutte calls daddy, it it doesn't seem to have been based on much public support.
So after a while, wouldn't these governments just be washed away? And, I mean, in Europe, we just celebrated liberating ourselves from Russian energy and essentially liberated us ourselves from, you know, having industries. But now we see this extra hit in The Middle East. How how I mean, I can see why the Americans would wanna carve out zones of exclusive influence given that they can't compete properly with China and BRICS. But but why why how how would Europe look like in this formula format?
Speaker 1: Well, I think that the European system is is completely unsustainable, and I think that we are really in the danger of falling into some kind of an al Turkic Soviet type system, you know, where, you know, if you're unable to compete on world markets and you're unable to, let's say, destroy the regions and nations of the world that are are outcompeting you, then you erect an iron curtain, and you you you create, like, a like, a spider behind that iron curtain where, you know, it's all very, very austere. You know, you impose austerity. You impose a very, very rigid system of governance on on the people. But this is all these all these things with fifteen minute cities that they've been, you know, planning for us. But, you know, here we're talking about a very small political elite or, you know, quote unquote elite trying to exert control over, you know, hundreds of millions of people.
That never worked. That never ever worked in the past. It can sustain itself for some time. You know, Soviet Union was such a thing and it sustained itself for about three generations, but then it it it it still disintegrated. It still fell apart.
So it's not going to work anyway. And I suspect that in the West, it's not going to last as long as the Soviet Union did. You know? So it's going to fall apart anyhow, but something will inevitably have to take its place. And I think that that will largely depend on the people.
You know? It'll depend on a a a political awakening and people asserting themselves into the political process and rejecting war, rejecting an unaccountable system of democracy, you know, where you get to you get to vote between candidate a and b and c, but all three candidates have, you know, invisible strengths to some oligarchy that you are not allowed to even discuss. So I think that all of this has to change. And I think that in Europe, particularly, that transition might end up being very, very painful. And I hope that it won't involve revolutions and civil wars, but it might because, you know, the people who are in power now are not going to relinquish their power voluntarily.
So it's it's I I I think it's going to be very, very complicated in Europe. But, you know, history might be partly instructive in this sense, but but not not entirely. You know, we shouldn't we shouldn't fear French Revolution because, you know, back then, there were no other source you know, there were no other seats of power that had any influence in the in the same way that they do today. For example, Russia and China are, in in a way, leading the way towards a a different model of governance, and that will have a significant influence in Europe. And these are not fake models in the sense that, you know, Soviet communist revolution was a fake system in this sense because it wasn't it didn't emerge bottom up from the Russian people seeking seeking to over overhaul their system.
It was imported from the West, and it was a kind of a color revolution that happened. And then you had, basically, a government that you could in in some ways compare to Volodymyr Zelenskyy's, you know, Ukrainian government now. You know? Same thing. It was it was installed from outside.
I think this is you know, today we can we're we're not as vulnerable to these things, particularly since the the narrative is not under control. Well, I think that the beginning will be, let's say, the beginnings will take place through the democratic process, you know, because at some point point, Emmanuel Macron gets voted out, Friedrich Mertz gets voted out, maybe AFD takes takes power. We already are hearing sounds from European politicians that we have to reestablish good connections, good relations with Russia. You know, a year ago, you could not say that even. Well, yesterday we saw or today maybe even, we saw the Belgium prime minister say we need to fix our relations to Russia.
The Americans are dropping sanctions against Russia because of the, you know, market conditions. I think that the voices saying that we have to fix our relations with Russia, I think those voices are going to be growing stronger and stronger. Now we'll see how the other side will react. If they react with heavy handed repression, then we're moving in the direction of a civil war or a or a revolution. But if if they're forced to yield, then maybe we're going to have a gradual transition where, you know, Europe is going to be forced to open its markets to not just to Russian energy, but gradually towards towards the bricks, towards the multipolar integrations, Belt and Road, will need investment.
Investment might come from China and from the East. So I think that maybe there's a better chance in the near future that we are going to have a more orderly transition than we have had in the past. But it's basically, you know, it's very, very hard to answer these questions because even just us discussing this is already a step in the right direction, you know, in the sense that we are now aware that the current system is unsustainable, that very radical changes are coming our way, and that we have to be alert and engaged if we want positive outcomes out of this, and that we have to reject these simplistic narratives that tell us we're the good guys, those are the bad guys, and we have to fight, and we have to never give up, and we have to never let down the sanctions, and, you know, we just simply have to win. There's no compromise. I think that those arguments are going to be losing their hold.
So I I I genuinely hope for for good outcomes, but I I I think there's going to be a rough period for sure in the in the next probably one or two or three years.
Speaker 0: Well, you do see that the leadership of The United Kingdom, Germany, Scandinavian countries, the Baltic States, Poland, they seem not to care much about the you know, how the world is changing around them, that they will stick to their guns, that there can't be any compromise. So effectively, what what you described. But, yeah, this is a last question. I was wondering how you see this the possibility of this pulling in the Europeans into not just the Iran war, but possibly more direct with Russia. That is you know, you've probably seen in British media the reports that the Russians likely had Iran retaliate against British forces and provided intelligence in the Middle East region as as retaliation for the British attack on Bryansk.
I mean, I I don't have any difficulty in imagining this. I I think after four years of Britain taking the lead in in trying to, well, weaken Russia by essentially killing Russians, this is seems, yeah, very plausible. But but it does beg the question of whether or not this is something that can, again, pull the Europeans into the Middle East. Because if they get put pulled into the Middle East, I would assume that the Russians would step up any support for for Iran as well. So how how how do you see the possibility of this spreading?
Because this goes back to the main point. Everyone is affected by the Iran war. Usually, we we try to, you know, contain the conflict. You don't want it to regionalize or globalize, but this was always destined to, you know, become a global conflict. Because if Iran fears well, faces an existential threat, it will respond in a way which affects the global economy to to retaliate against Americans.
So now everyone has a stake in this. So it's just yeah. It's it's not the kind of war you wanna fight. So how do you see this possibility of the Europeans being pulled into this mess?
Speaker 1: I I think that the Russians will make this extremely difficult for the Europeans. You know, Russians have been very, very patient. They have been very, very careful not to make the mistake of providing any pretext for Europeans to evoke article five, to unite, to, you know, to pass the threshold of a collective war between Europe and the, you know, combined West. And I think that they know not to do this because that will be the fatal error for for the Russians. Not because they would lose that war, but be because it would it would become orders of magnitude more destructive.
Maybe Europeans cannot prevail over Russia, but, you know, together they can they can do a lot of damage, and so it will be it will be destructive for everybody. You know, the Germans made a mistake in World War one when at one point Kaiser Wilhelm no. Not Kaiser Wilhelm. I forget the name of the general, but, you know, they they declared unrestricted submarine warfare. And now they started sinking American ships that were they knew that they were shipping provisions for their for the Allied powers.
So in a way, from the military point of view, the Germans were justified to do that, but it created the pretext for Europeans to draw the Americans into the war. And I think that of all people, Russians have been very careful to study their history. So while militarily, they would be justified to strike at, let's say, British targets, like, I don't know, production facilities where storm shuttle missiles are being built. They will still not do this. But, you know, if I if I imagine that I was in a in in a Russian control and command hierarchy, I think if you wanted to retaliate, you could take advantage of the new situation in the Middle East.
And so, you know, Trump has been pressuring the French and the British to send their navies to the region and to try to keep the Hormuz gate open. And so if if French and French and British navy naval ships come within the range of Iranian missiles, well, then one one clever way of taking of retaliating would be to help the Iranians sink French and British naval ships. And I think that we might see that, you know, because that would that would do a few things. You know? It would destabilize French and British governments.
It would raise revolt against war. It would weaken them militarily. And in a in a sense, you know, I I I have to wonder if if that isn't part of Trump's agenda as well because he's already now saying, well, you know, if you don't wanna help us, well, I don't see what the point of NATO is. So we already see Trump taking advantage of this situation to say that, okay, you know, maybe we're done with NATO. Maybe NATO makes no sense.
So it's a it's the next you know, it's the next charge to blow up that alliance, which Trump has wanted to do for a long time, but he couldn't because he has too much opposition at home. But now with this new situation, he can can tell his audiences domestically, our European allies are completely useless. They left us completely alone to fight Iran. And so this this alliance is is there's no point maintaining it anymore. So I I I I think that the French and the British might get a black eye in the in the Arabian Sea or the Persian Gulf Persian Gulf or even, who knows, in the Eastern Mediterranean.
So that's that's going to be part of the unraveling of this whole situation. I think that NATO goes down the toilet, European Union probably with it, and in a in a very ugly, disruptive way, maybe the transition to the to the from from Western centric colonialist system in the world, we get a we get a multipolar architecture.
Speaker 0: Yeah. It could be. Well, all of this would have sounded like science fiction only a few four, five years ago, but now it seems it seems now it seems almost science fiction that the the status quo can't continue. So whatever happens after this, I don't think there's any going back to the way things were. So well, as always, thank you for taking the time.
And
Speaker 1: Thank you, Glenn. Always a pleasure to join you. Greetings to your audience, and until the next time.
reSee.it AI Summary
I sat down with Stanislav Krapivnik to discuss the Iran-Israel war, the 82nd Airborne, and the global collapse. He warned of a 20% LNG cut and a looming food crisis, doubted the Kharg Island mission, questioned the US’s drone warfare readiness, and said we’re in the early days of a prolonged conflict with shocking insights.
@MarioNawfal - Mario Nawfal
🚨🇷🇺 EXCLUSIVE w/ STANISLAV KRAPIVNIK ON THE IRAN-ISRAEL WAR, THE 82ND AIRBORNE, & THE GLOBAL ECONOMIC COLLAPSE He’s served in the 18th Airborne Corps and directed supply chains across Eurasia. I sat down with Stanislav Krapivnik to hear his unfiltered views… • Is the world prepared for a 20% cut in global LNG and a massive food crisis? • Will the deployment of the 82nd Airborne to Kharg Island become a "meat grinder suicide mission"? • Can the U.S military handle the reality of modern drone warfare, or are they still "believing their own hype"? When I pressed him on why he believes we are only in the "early days" of a prolonged conflict, his answer wasn’t just about military strategy... …and his answer will shock you. This was a window into the mind of a man who understands both the front lines and the global systems that are now spiraling out of control. @STANISKRAPIVNIK
Video Transcript AI Summary
Stanislav and Speaker 0 discuss a rapidly evolving, multi-front crisis that they argue is in its early days but already sprawling across the region and the global energy order.
Key military and strategic points
- The conflict has expanded from warnings into a broader destruction of regional economic infrastructure, extending from Israel to Iran. Israel began by hitting southern oil fields; Iran responded with attacks on oil and gas facilities and US bases, and warned it would strike “everywhere” including US bases if attacked again.
- Iran’s stated aim includes purging the US from the Persian Gulf by destroying American bases and making hosting US forces prohibitively expensive. This has been coupled with actions that blinded US radars and pressured Gulf Arab states to expel the Americans.
- Israel attacked infrastructure and a nuclear power plant associated with Russia’s project; Israel’s destruction of oil infrastructure and oil fires contributed to a widespread environmental contamination event, with oil smoke and carcinogenic particulates dispersing over Central Asia, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Northern India, and potentially further.
- The war is generating cascading economic damage, including a potential long-term hit to energy supply chains. The speaker who has oil-industry experience (Speaker 1) explains that refinery expansions and LNG projects involve complex, lengthy supply chains and custom equipment; extensive damage means years, not months, to recover, with LNG output potentially 20%–30% lower for Europe, and cascading effects on fertilizer supplies and food production.
- European energy and fertilizer dependencies are stressed: Russia supplies a large share of chemical fertilizer; Europe could face severe energy and food crises, while the US appears more flexible on sanctions and fertilizer sourcing.
- On the military side, there is discussion of a possible ground invasion by US forces, including the 82nd Airborne (as part of the XVIII Airborne Corps) and Marines. The analysis emphasizes the daunting difficulty of any cross-border operation into Iran or even taking forward positions in the Strait of Hormuz or on nearby islands. The speaker argues that the 80th/82nd Airborne’s capabilities are limited (light infantry, no back-up armor), making large-scale incursions extremely costly and unlikely to achieve strategic objectives (e.g., seizing enriched uranium on Kare Island). The argument stresses that “mission impossible” scenarios would yield heavy casualties and limited gains, especially given Iran’s mountainous terrain, entrenched defense, and pervasive drone threat.
- Kare Island (Hormuz Strait) is described as highly vulnerable to drone swarms. FPV drones, longer-range drones, and loitering munitions could intercept or complicate the deployment of troops, supply lines, and casualty evacuation. Even with air superiority, drones combined with coastal defenses could make an island seizure a “turkey shoot” for Iran unless ground troops can be rapidly reinforced and sustained against a rising drone threat.
- The role of drones is emphasized: drones of various sizes, including small FPV systems and larger retranslated-signal drones, could operate from Iranian coastlines to disrupt coastlines such as Kare Island and other Hormuz approaches. The talk highlights how drones complicate casualty evacuation, medical triage, and resupply, and how air assets (helicopters, Ospreys) are vulnerable to drone attacks.
Nuclear and regional deterrence questions
- Enriched uranium: Iran reportedly has around 60% enrichment; 90% would be necessary for weapons, which could provide a deterrent or escalation leverage. The possibility of nuclear weapons remains a major concern in the discussion.
- Fatwas and leadership: The new supreme leader in Iran could alter policy on nuclear weapons; there is debate about whether Iran would actually pursue a weapon given its political culture and regional risk.
Regional and international dynamics
- The role of Russia and China: The discussion suggests the US is being leveraged by adversaries through proxy relationships, with Russia and China potentially supporting Iran as a way to undermine US influence and the Western-led order.
- Regime and leadership dynamics in the US: Speaker 1 predicts intense internal political pressure in the US, including potential civil unrest if casualties rise and if policies become unsustainable. There is skepticism about the willingness of US political leadership to sustain a protracted conflict or a ground invasion.
Recent events and forward-facing notes
- A ballistic missile strike on southern Israel and simultaneous missile salvos from Iran were reported during the interview; there were also reports of air-defense interceptions near Dubai.
- The discussion closes with warnings about the potential for catastrophic outcomes, including a nuclear meltdown risk if nuclear facilities are struck in ways that disable cooling or power systems, and emphasizes the fragility of the current strategic balance as this crisis unfolds.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: So it's been a while we haven't spoken. We spoke in the early days of the war, and a lot has changed since. I won't start listing all the developments since we spoke last, but maybe give me your general overview on how the war is going.
Speaker 1: Well, you know, the war is only three weeks old, so I have to say that it's early days. We still may be in those early days. The war has obviously, this conflict has expanded. It expanded exponentially. We're now into the destruction of the economic infrastructure of the region.
That's the region being, in this case, from Israel to Iran. Israel started by hitting southern oil fields. Trump, I think, is playing a good cop, bad cop. They're still trying to do incremental escalation, trying to control escalation. We'll hit the oil fields, but we they didn't have our permission.
Don't don't hit back. Don't worry. It's not gonna happen again. Typical incrementalism. Iran came back with as it had warned, any attack on our oil fields or gas fields, and we're just gonna hit everybody or where there's any US bases or anything of the sort.
And they've done that. They're making it their job here is to purge The US out of the Persian Gulf by, a, destroying the American bases, and they're doing a good job of that. First of all, having blinded The US by destroying and Israel by destroying the radars. Two, they're making it very expensive for anybody who wants to host US based. They've said flat out, expel the Americans, that's it, you're neutral to us.
Keep the Americans in and we're not going to hold back. And that's something that has been pushed very hard onto these Gulf State Arabs. And when Israel hit the infrastructure, Iran hit and they also hit let's not forget, Israel also hit nuclear power plant, the one that Russia is building. So they've also sorry. A little while, about a week ago, they created Israel created a giant biological chemical catastrophe for the whole region.
They destroyed the oil, that's right. When they destroyed that, not only did 9,000,000 people get covered in oil and By the way, that black rain that was coming down, it's carcinogenic. I've talked to people there that have said their coughs have started and things like that. But that cloud has gone on. It covered Central Asia, it's gone into Pakistan, Afghanistan, Northern India.
It came up into as far as Kazakhstan in the North, the wind dispersing it. You're looking at contamination of farmland, pastureland, possible carry on effects that may last at least one generation. People are going be drinking water, eating plants, no matter. So this is something that if there was an Israel after all of this, the way things are going, that's something that they're gonna be facing, I think, massive lawsuits from every one of these countries because they basically pissed everybody off doing something like that. And they knew it was gonna happen.
You can't tell me they didn't know that setting ablaze that much oil was not gonna have the consequences they had. I know they just don't think they care in the least. We see what they're doing in Lebanon. We see what they're doing in Beirut, particularly. They're trying to Gaza the entire Southern Lebanon.
In Beirut, they're now hitting Christian sections, so the Christian militias that have previously set out this conflict between Hezbollah and Israel are now being involved, whether they like it or not. True, they're not exactly a very powerful military, but that's just something added on that I highly doubt they'll set this one out as Israel continues to bomb Christian neighborhoods and murder Christians, both Orthodox and Catholics. They've closed the churches except for three, always butcher that name, the empty tomb. Of all the churches, that's probably the holiest church for Christianity with Orthodox Pascha and Catholic Easter right on the nose. So that's that's hasn't happened in two thousand years.
No. No. No. In in Jerusalem. In Jerusalem.
Speaker 0: Okay. Okay. Yep.
Speaker 1: They've closed that down since the February 28. So we see this is escalating in every single direction because now you've pulled in the Christian elements after they assassinated Khomeini, they pulled in the Hezbollah, Shia elements. So this is growing. And now that you have an economic catastrophe, is I'm not going yet into possible ground force invasion, which is as insane as it could be, but looks like it's actually going to happen. I'll get to that in a minute.
The economic damage that we're seeing is going to have fallouts for the next years to come. I was a supply chain director for two American oil services companies. I was in Cameron, I was a supply chain director, and I was a regional director for Halliburton over Eurasia. And then I was a director in supply chain for an Italian EPC company, engineering procurement construction, the technical construction. So I know what it takes to expand an oil refinery.
I know what it takes, how much time it takes to get equipment to build up a wellhead and that infrastructure. And I was also director of supply chain on the project for building one of the three phases of the LNG refinery in Amur, which is one of the biggest in the world. So I understand the timelines that are involved in this and getting the equipment in this because I've lived through this. And if the damage is as extensive as what we've seen on all sides, we're looking at years, not months, years before anything gets even near to what it was before and possibly a year to two years before anything is being produced at all because this is a massive amount of damage, this equipment. I mean, just as an example, when we were expanding the Moscow refinery to add another section to it to produce E95 petro, the vessels, there were about 140 vessels that were involved in this process, they varied from one meter to 78 meters in length.
These are all constructed by hand, welded by hand. You're looking at about half a year timeframe to get that much out of one of the bigger producers in Russia. And then part of it was also coming in from Grand Mechanica, Italy, which is very low quality, and we had we do a lot of that work. But then infrastructure for metal construction and so on, you're looking at a year and a half project just there, and that's not counting and that was just for one section of an existing refinery. And that's not counting having to clean up any damaged infrastructure, anything of the sort.
So if we're looking at massive damage, for example, on the LNG plant in Qatar, it may be two, three years before they're producing, depending on just the effect from the flames and the look of it, and the images from the missile strikes, it looked pretty damn damaged. And then you got to figure, you know, a lot of these metal suppliers, construction suppliers, especially if the Russians will more likely and the Chinese be replacing and putting Iran back on its legs, who's going to be doing it for the rest of the Persian Gulf? Definitely it's not going to be Europeans because it's gas heavy manufacturing for the steel manufacturing. So maybe the Americans, but the Americans can't do it all by themselves. It's going to take years to put all this up.
So we're looking at a massive cut in the amount of energy, even if the Straits Of Hormuz are open tomorrow and everything's hunky dory and everybody sits down and has a beer together. You're looking at a year and a half, a year and a half, maybe two years before production starts getting to where it was. So you're looking at a world that literally now has 20% less LNG, which for Europe is a disaster and Russia is turning its back on Europe because Europe's been well, Europe's been what Europe's been and Putin is now talking about, I'm not going to wait until January 27 for you to cut off procurement. We're just going to leave now. Have fun.
Europe is looking at losing about 47% of its LNG, of its gas in general, because most of it's not LNG. And if the Ukrainians are successful in ever blowing up any of the pumping stations for TurkStream, Europe is going to be cut off by another 20%. It's dead in the water. European industry anyways will be dead in the water because that's 80% of all energy gas in this case. The usage is normally heavy industry, not for heating homes.
That's a 20% use on average in industrial society. And then you're looking at just sections of the world that, a, is not going have enough oil. That's going to cause resource wars and conflicts on its own and instability. And b, Europe may face starvation this year. At least now I'm not talking maybe whole nation starving, but actual social class starvation, like the lower classes.
Fertilizer. It is. It's going to be a massive food crisis. We're going to see that in six months because Russia is 40% of the world's chemical fertilizer, which without that you wouldn't have the green revolution, and Qatar was 20% or almost 30%. So the EU just cut off 70%.
By the way, The US last year bought half $1,000,000,000 worth of fertilizer from Russia and that's expanding its procurement. So The US has no problem. It'll level sanctions and nullify them for whatever long term it needs it. So it's it's very flexible. The Europeans, on the other hand, are ideologues to an insane degree, the European leadership, and they'll rather watch their population suffer than back off from their psychotic ideologies, including the green revolution, which is a dead end revolution.
Recyclables are not recyclable, as people think. And they're worse for the environment than the technology that exists, interestingly enough. So we're looking at massive upheavals that are gonna be coming down the line. Now Yeah.
Speaker 0: I I wanna just go through some of the points. You've mentioned a lot. I wanna start with the first thing you said. You said this is the early days of the war, so you're under the impression that this is gonna be a prolonged conflict. Why?
Speaker 1: There are several reasons. First of all, Trump's looking for an off ramp, and the Iranians are not in no mood to give him an off ramp. The Iranians said whatever they already said, we're gonna continue we're not asking for peace. We're definitely not asking for a ceasefire. We're going to continue this conflict until we decide this conflict is no longer in our interest and we've reached our ends.
We can take the damage and go for, you know, they've even, one point said, we could keep this up to November in your elections, which would be a catastrophe and then some. Trump is desperately looking for an off ramp, sort of neocons, because everything went wrong from what they thought they were going to get. They thought they were going get a nicely, nice clean decapitation and then everything would just put our guy in, a new dictator. Even if we wanna call him a shah, he'll still be a dictator, he'll give us all their resources, and it will be rich. Basically the same idiotic plan they had with sanctions for Russia.
You know, two weeks, two months, Russia will be on its knees. Well, four years later, and guess who's on their knees? It's not Russia. So this is the same thing. Lots of wishful thinking, very little understanding of your opponent, and just, you know, not realistic planning.
And I can tell you from my own experience, when I was in eighteenth Airborne Corps, some of the computerized exercises we were doing, eighteenth Airborne Corps, is the eighty second Airborne, one hundred and first Airborne, tenth Mountain and third Mechanized, the only division that has tanks and Bradleys, were tasked to stop no, theoretically stop a Russian field tank army, is impossible. I mean, the only way one was in the middle of the night while the generals were asleep and there was only one or two colonels on duty. You go into the computer system and you go 70% losses, 70% reinforcements, 100% re resupply. Bingo. And then the next day you go, oh, look.
We can lose this. We can win. Because you're cheating. They're not looking at us realistically. And then the generals high five each other, and they send a a report to the Pentagon.
Yeah. We can take a Russian tank army out, which is ludicrous, but that's how the US military has been running for the last thirty years or maybe longer. You know, my experience, I think it was thirty years. This this is the the type of it's insanity that they and they start to believe their own hype, which is dangerous. The Iranians have what what the Iranian condition that they've said, you know, they've they've gave a condition, we want we we don't no ceasefires.
None nothing like what happened in July. We want negotiated terms of peace and de armament of The US in the Persian Gulf. But what they really said on top of that was reparations. And I'll tell you this, most American senators would rather eat their own liver for dinner than pay reparations to Iran because that is the ultimate humiliation for The US if they have to pay reparations. But they don't know what to do to get out of this.
So now we're looking at ground troops. Looks like the eighty second airborne is being gonna be, within the next two days deployed into the Middle East. You've got about 5,000 Marines coming in, but this is a meat grinder suicide mission. And Trump, the greatest war leader ever, who by the way, five deferments from Vietnam, god forbid he actually put a real uniform on, is gonna lead these men or gonna send these men. He's not gonna lead them.
He's gonna send them to their slaughter. This is gonna be a disaster writ large.
Speaker 0: Did you say you were part of the eighty second airborne when you were in the military?
Speaker 1: I was eighteenth airborne corps. That's the the headquarters to that the eighty second belongs into.
Speaker 0: Okay. So can you tell me more about the eighty second airborne which are being dispatched to the region? What are their capabilities, and what does that indicate? Are there, would they be more focused on Karg Island, other islands in the region, or is it more of a special operation within Iran that could lead to the capture of the enriched uranium? One's talking about the capture of the enriched uranium now.
It started off as that as that was the discussion initially. Now it's all about Carg Island.
Speaker 1: Well, let let me just just the illusion anybody that thinks you're gonna take out that enriched uranium. Stop watching Hollywood movies. That's quote, unquote, pardon my French bullshit. It's never gonna happen. It's impossible to do.
The reality of it, it's outside of watching Mission Impossible or or Bore Identity or one of these other movies, it can't be done. Why? You Very simple. Fly into the middle of Iran, which, by the way, has active air defenses. The one F-thirty five just found out about that, even though Trump keeps saying they no longer work.
Fly in the middle of Iran with helicopters. How else you're gonna get there, fight your way through an underground complex, you have to get in there, fight your way through its security forces and whatever forces then are gonna be pulled into the middle, because, by the way, you don't have any supplies except what you're carrying with you, and then carry out 450 kilos of uranium, which, by the way, is highly radioactive, so it has to be in a containment unit. So you're looking at least a thousand kilos, a ton of material you have to climb pull up from, I don't know where, how deep in a mountain, and then in a mountain fortress, and then load it on helicopters and then fly several 100 kilometers back out. I mean, we're talking about a country that's the size of France and Germany combined, and throw in Italy too while you're at it. And you're gonna fly in the middle of there somewhere in a mountain range with helicopters, not get shot down by something as simple as a eagle, which is a which is similar to a stinger that anybody can have, or be just shot down by light light arms fire and fly out.
It's mission impossible. I mean, it's quite literally mission. Special forces operators, they work when they control the entire environment. It's not Hollywood. They go banging and shooting and everything else.
They'll go blow a bridge up. They'll assassinate somebody. They'll train the locals. But it's a very controlled environment where, by the way, most of the time, they don't get involved in firefights because they are they have very specific skill sets. They are always outnumbered, and if they get bogged down by even the cheapest troops, they will get slaughtered.
Ammunition will end, they will not get out because any enemy operation like that, you're outnumbered a hundred, two hundred, 500 to one. You're not talking you're not gonna bring a division in the middle of Iran. And, it would have to be by helicopter. How else would you get the the guys down and then get them back up and a thousand kilos of equipment and uranium? So that's a mission impossible.
It's not gonna happen. You could try to force a convoy in there, but then again, considering it's several 100 kilometers across mountains, very I mean, Iran is 70% mountain ranges. The chances of that's exceeding are about zero, or actually negative, if you can go that far, so it's not going to happen. So what are you down to? Eighty second Airborne is a light infantry division.
They used to have light tanks, Sheridan tanks. Those tanks were retired back in the mid-90s. They tested several replacement tanks that were air deployable so you could drop them with parachutes and chose none. So now they have absolutely no even light armor backup. They're a foot infantry division, deployable by parachute.
Again, you know, you're gonna do what with you can do limited objectives with them. Say drop them off on Karg Island with huge amount of casualties, by the way. Let let's just face reality on that. You're not gonna take on the Iranian army in Iran, Iranian army that is with the militias that they've now mobilized about 2,000,000 men on home turf in defensive positions, prepared defensive position, have been preparing for twenty years in the mountains with what, about ten, twelve thousand men? It's a slaughter.
Now if you take Karg Island, here's the problem with Karg Island. First of all, look on the map. Karg Island's all the way on the other side of the Persian Gulf. Persian Gulf is not that small. It's all the way on the other side of the Persian Gulf.
Any approaches, you're gonna get spotted. It's flat. It's pretty flat. I mean, it's got a little bit of terrain in it, but there's no hills and no mountains. It's the urban buildup.
There's I mean, there's even a water park there if you look closely. Nestorian church, mosques, various suburban environment in the Northeast where the airstrippers by the way, they bombed the airstrip. Trump Trump had the airstrip bombed, so now you can't land c one thirties on there without repairs. That wasn't a very thought through plan. So now you're down to what?
You you can do a c one thirties overhead, and they're relatively slow moving plane. That's a nice fat target. You can do c one thirties overhead dropping the airborne in and dropping supplies air wise. You can do the Ospreys that can come in there, the tilt wing helicopterplanes. But again, they're not exactly super fast either.
You could do helicopter deployments from there. But again, look what you're let's see what you're facing just to land on this island. Number one, there's going to be stinger teams, or in this case, iglet teams all over the place. You've got troops on there, so you're going be fighting for terrain. You've to fight for the beachhead, and then you've to clear building by building, including industrial zones, to get there.
Helicopters are going to be lost. Planes are going to be lost. Iglot will easily take out a c one thirty. Any air defense systems that they have in the area that they haven't switched on or kept on the ground that's on the mainland, the Mainland is 36 kilometers away from the center of Carr Island to just past the beaches. 37 depending on which angle you look at.
Guess what goes 50 kilometers right now on the line of contact in Russia and Ukraine? Drones. Heavy drones, FPV drones, the four quads, they go 50 kilometers with a large battery pack and a nice RPG round underneath them. And then guess what happens? It's it's not just Russia.
It's not just Ukraine that has those drones on each other. The Iranians will be waiting on the shoreline across from Kirk Island, and it becomes a shooting spree or or a turkey shoot, as they say in The US, particularly south. These guys are gonna be chased by drones all over the Skarg Island. This this is a disaster. There's no force to hide
Speaker 0: in there. Quickly, where are they just quickly, where are they gonna come from? Because I know that Skarg Island was already bombed heavily. All the military have been bombed. Also, there's not that many troops on there.
You know, prior to the war, there were estimates, and no one knows for sure. Low thousands or in the hundreds in terms of Iranian troops. Not sure how many they'll be there, whether they evacuated or they've reinforced. And third is you're talking about drones. I know that they'll be targeted to artillery, but you're saying drones will be launched from where?
From the Iranian coastline, from Badr all the place Badr is the closest city. So from that coastline towards Karga Land, it seems a pretty long distance. I'm not sure if the drones could
Speaker 1: 36 kilometers.
Speaker 0: 36 kilometers. Is that enough for does she have drones and all other drones with the GPS? No.
Speaker 1: No. No. No. We're we're not talking she had drones. She had drones could go several 100 kilometers easily, three, four hundred kilometers.
The the the new drones that Russia is providing, the Giran three can go five, six hundred kilometers. That's not an issue. I'm not even talking about big drones. That's what I'm saying. I'm talking about FPV drones, the four rotors on four wings drones, those are used for 50 kilometer range easily.
Speaker 0: Fiber optics. You don't need
Speaker 1: you could do fiber optics, sure, but why? You can do it without fiber optics. Fiber optics actually can lead back to where the person is. Though again, across that kind of region, it's kind of hard. Special forces on the Russian side, they find Ukrainian fiber optic operators by finding the wire and banging, throwing the wire, and you see the the if it's a clear sun, you'll see the the the sun rays shining off of that wire so you can kinda go follow it.
That that's one of those little trips. Both sides are using that. That's not any big secret. So, yeah, that that can create and it creates problems for motorcycles and vehicles too because you get thousands of these all over a big portion of the field. But, no, I'm talking about radio operated.
Look. 36 kilometers, you don't need a big army unit. You know what you need? You need a 100 teenagers who've lost their parents, who've lost their brothers and sisters. You plant one under a tree, one under a bush, one in some house, on a on a roof somewhere across the the sea the waterline.
You give them a dozen drones each. Let's play a game. Let's chase an American, the eighty second airborne trooper or a marine on Carg Island. That's the new game. And you've watched 200 drones and a wave coming across, and you try to stop all that.
Sure. Some will get stopped. A lot of them will get through, and there'll be a lot of casualties. And then next to the question, how do you get these casualties off the island? The heat, there's water issues, food issues, keeping them provisioned.
How do you get the casualties out? When everything is within drone operated range, this is the reality of the modern battlefield. The Americans have done a very good job of ignoring reality, so is NATO in general. They're about to hit strike into that reality. The reality we've lived with for the last five four years.
You where are you gonna go? You're gonna have how do how do you triage your wounded when drones are overhead? How do you get them out? You have to bring in helicopters or Ospreys. By the way, they're coming in.
They're vulnerable to to drones. We've lost helicopters. I mean, the Russian side has lost helicopters to drones. The Ukrainians have lost plenty of helicopters to drones. Again, FPV drones.
An FPV drone with an RPG round striking a helicopter, goodbye helicopter. So that's that's the sole problem. Yeah. You could still get them on there with losses, but what do you do? How do you supply them?
How do you get the wounded off of there? It's always easy to step into quick status. A hell of a lot harder to get out of it. Karg Island is just going be a turkey shoot for all these drone operators. And, where are they sitting there?
You know, it's a a couple of teenagers with VR goggles control and a and a dozen drones here, another couple houses over or under some bush there. That's a long coastline. You could they could be anywhere. You could bomb everything.
Speaker 0: I just thought the the the limited range of the FPV drones make them difficult without fiber optics. But you're saying it's not hard to develop a five to develop FPV drones that could reach Kyle Garden, 30 whatever kilometers.
Speaker 1: They're already on. The the again, the difficulty is in line of sight communications and having a large enough battery pack that they can fly that far. When you you can put up larger drones like well, the Ukrainians use the Baba Yaga. Russia has its own larger drones that retranslate the signal. It's like an Internet retranslator.
So you bounce a signal off the drone, it bounces back to the operator, and you extend the range. The effective range right now on the battlefield is up to 50 kilometers from the battlefield you can get drones in. I mean, I've been in Uddevka when drone enemy drones flying overhead and then being shot down, and that happens every day. And Uddevka is the about the medium rear. The front is 30 kilometers further west.
Yeah. And drones fly every single day over there from the Ukrainian side and Russian drones fly deep in. And that's again without loitering munitions and other types of warhead. This is just regular FDD drones. Technology has moved advanced ahead quite a bit.
So, I mean, that's what these guys are going to be facing. They're going to be facing being attacked by drones day and night. Drones are cheap. Night optics these days are not expensive to put on a drone. Day and night they're going to have drones coming in.
Again, you can't cover the entire coastline to try to find out one, two, ten, twenty, 50 kids or Iranian soldiers are going to be launching drones over and over and over. That's a little problem. Now, reason you have fiber optic is because they're harder to jam. In fact, can't use the radio signal jammers on a fiber optic because their signals are coming down the fiber optic line. You could do that.
And fiber optical drones can go thirty, forty kilometers because they're bigger ones. They'll have a bigger spool of fiber optic cable in the back. You may have to put a slightly smaller charge on them versus an RPG. You know, you may be a smaller RPG round, like an RPG six or an RPG four. But you you could put a smaller mine on there to to explode, but to make up for the weight of the spool.
But it's not that heavy. So there's the problem. You you can do you can cover Cargue Island. By the way, same thing if they try to take the the coastline of the Straits Of Aarous. It's it's gonna be a turkey shoot.
No prepared positions. You're out in the open ahead of your mountains, and guess what's coming off the mountains? You're having FPV drones. I'm not even talking about heavier drones like Shaheeds or Giran threes that can come down and strike larger targets. I'm not talking about loitering munitions.
Yeah. I mean, this is this is the reality. And if you can't suppress and push them out, you know, you're building an island.
Speaker 0: So what the goal is to take these islands throughout throughout the Strait Of Hormuz and use those you know, install radars in those islands to be able to intercept any missiles or drones, to be able to to to give you a sense of control of a kind of a buffer controlled buffer zone for the ships to be able to pass through, prevent Iran from being able to strike the ships. So that is the objective. But what you're saying is that, number one, the the American troops in those islands will become sitting ducks for drones, by the way, you're not the only one that said that, as well as artillery. You didn't talk about the, maybe you mentioned it, but all the artillery guns on the coastline as well and the ongoing missile strikes that Iran continues to strike with the Gulf? Could use a short range very short range missiles for these islands.
Speaker 1: Right. The the short range missiles are more likely what you're gonna be winding up from the heavier aspect. The problem with the tube artillery, even if it's a play deployed on an elevator shaft is it self identifies the moment it fires because you have radar systems that can they're set out in front, and they can trajectory, study a trajectory of velocity. It's a ballistic round, so you've got a parabolic curve on it, and you can study out where it came from by velocity, by speed, and by velocity of speed, by velocity, by angle of approach, and you can kind of figure out where the enemy is and attack those locations. That's what you get, A-10s or F-15s on standoff that can launch missiles into that location.
That's problem with tube artillery. On the other hand, rocket artillery, you drive out somewhere, you shoot, and the moment that rocket takes off, you're gone, you're on your way out. By the time anybody can track a ballistic missile out from where it came from, there's nobody there anymore. That's by the way self propelled artillery works the same way. It stops for two minutes to fire or less, depends how many rounds it wants to fire, and keeps going.
By the time counter battery artillery comes in, there's nothing there. You're just shooting into an empty field or an empty building or an empty forest line. And that's the problem when you have mechanized. If you have tube artillery that's planted in an area, even if it lifts off an elevator, you can identify where it's coming from, And that becomes a problem. But rocket artillery, yeah, it'll do a lot of damage.
Even something as basic as a grid system, because it can pump 120 millimeter rockets on top, a dozen 120 millimeter rockets on top of a grid square. Now having said that, let's look at the Straits Of Hormuz realistically. The main dredged route the Straits Of Hormuz are not deep. There is a main dredged route that goes around the tip. It is 2,700 meters wide.
That's what all your tankers and any heavier ships would have to traverse down that route. It's not hard to close down. It's actually quite easy to close down. If you sink one or two of them, now they're gonna be in the way of anything else coming down, you got to dredge them out. You're not gonna dredge them under fire.
So the Iranians have I mean, you have to theoretically, if you really wanna take control, you need to drop enough troops to go up in the mountains and keep pushing them back at least 30 kilometers from the coastline. It's not 40 kilometers. US does not have the strength for that, nor The US when the casualties start coming in in the thousands, as The US is going to be or the Donald Trump administration is to be able to handle this. Never mind how to feed, how to supply the soldiers that have to do this. Look, know, when you had D Day, you had 125,000 troops coming in, you had manufactured ports that were towed over, and their job wasn't to take the beach.
Their job was to take the battle positions behind the beach and keep pushing the Germans back as far as they could away from the beach for a reason that the Germans couldn't then shell the beach from. And that was cliffs in one area and just a small hillock in another area of the beach. Depends what part of the beach you're in. But either way, after that, it was relatively flat. It really had a lot of hedgerows, but it wasn't a mountain.
It wasn't a mountain range. So we're talking an absolutely different aspect, and, you know, first there was 125,000 landing. You're gonna land, what, 10? 10,000 against an entrenched enemy in the mountains? It's suicide.
It it is absolute suicide. It's it's a butcher's bill that The US is gonna have to pay for for ethereal gains.
Speaker 0: What can you is there any comparisons we can make to the Iran Iraq war where Iran had hundreds of thousands of troops sorry, Iraq and was still not able to invade Iran and still lost the war? What was Iran's strategy in that war? I'm not sure if you're you you know the details.
Speaker 1: Oh, yeah. You know, Iraq did invade Iran. That's the whole point. They did. And they invaded first and primarily in the Southwest of the northern tip near Kuwait because that's more or less flat lands, and there's a lot of oil fields in that area.
And Iraq was pushed on and supplied by The US. And, yes, it went back and forth. Iran did not have a lot of armor, so it used infantry, used a lot of infantry suicidal charges. I mean, it played with the cards that was dealt with the equipment that was that it held. US was supplying Iraq.
In fact, so so was The Soviet Union supplying Iraq. Iraq had the technological advantage. Iran had the human capital. And yes, Iraq lost that war. It was pushed out, it took heavy casualties.
That's when The US started supplying Iraq with chemical weapons. And Iraq killed almost a million people with chemical weapons. It also killed Kurds, also killed the swamp Arabs or Shia. They used chemical weapons in every single direction. And The US was happy with that.
They had no problems with that. So that one of the reasons that Saddam didn't think The US was actually gonna invade them because just two years earlier, they were the best of friends. And Rob Seale was over there, and Cheney was over there at various times shaking his head. Cheney was the minister of defense or secretary of defense, let me phrase that, under George Bush Sr, let's not forget that. So yeah, they had that effect.
But you know what, the point is here that everybody's ignoring is The US and Israel accomplished regime change, generational regime change. They took out the older generation that wanted to talk to them, that was willing to negotiate with them, and they replaced them with the 50. The 50 like Khamenei who spent when he was 17, went to the front as a volunteer infantryman. These are the guys that spent their youth, that was formed their youth watching their friends die as they fought the American proxy in Iraq. These are the people that were hardened by war since they were 16, 17 years old.
This is the people that are now running Iran. They're not going to back off. They want revenge. They want justifiable revenge. Because, again, let let's remember one thing.
When's the last time Iran started a war on its own? When's the last time Iran started a war with somebody? Two hundred years ago. When's the last time The US started a war? Half a year ago, not counting this one.
US has spent almost entire history fighting somebody. It's got, like, about thirteen, fourteen years of no wars. Iran had two hundred years. It didn't start wars. I'm not saying it didn't fight wars because wars were started against it, but it was two hundred years it did not initiate any consulates.
So this is a very different country. This is a country where the people are defending their homeland from their women and children being murdered by indiscriminate shelling. This is you're talking absolutely different levels of motivation. US does not have a moral high ground. There is no rally around the flag for the president.
That's why they're constantly changing the reason for this war because they don't know how to sell it to the public. And if they have to go over a draft, and apparently they're not considering a draft, you're going to have massive civil unrest if not a civil war in The US because the majority of the population is against it. So that'll be very interesting to see. But when the butcher's bill comes due, if they're crazy enough to do this, I don't know how Trump stays in power, honestly speaking. A lot of Republicans will abandon.
Damn. Nancy Graham there. Lindsey, he'll run off at the moment he feels that he's threatened. Believe you me, he's a rat, and he's got a rat that's looking out for himself first and foremost. Trump just happens to be a convenient ship for him to sail on at the moment.
And remember, he was one of the anti Trumpers at his own time. So I mean, a lot of these Republican, by their own political logic, they will abandon Trump in a heartbeat. They follow him because he's popular, not because they like him, and they're going to look out for their own skins, first and foremost. So when this goes South, that support for the imperial presidency is gonna get real thin.
Speaker 0: Do you think I'm just looking at the various comments on where the claims of America implementing a draft, but just a last question on that front, on the ground invasion. Do you think it will happen if you have to guess based on everything you've said? And then I wanna get your thoughts on Iran's military strategy as well and and the strikes on The Gulf, the retaliation to the gas plant attack as well by Israel. But first, do you think you will see troops on the ground?
Speaker 1: If we had a logical regime in Washington, no. This wouldn't happen. Alright. Suicide, anybody, any general that's worth his weight that's not out looking well, unfortunately, they're they're all political. That's how they get chosen these days.
Any general that understands that should be resigning in protest, they won't because resigning in protest means no more prospects of million dollar careers after military service. That's the unfortunate part about the American system these days. Again, if anybody looks at this realistically, logically, in a sound mind, they would never do this. Will they do it? You know, I don't know.
I pray that they're smart enough not to do this for the casualties on both sides. But The US is looking at a meat grinder it's not prepared to deal with. By the way, there's I mean, there's pretty much a blackout on on news in The US. I mean, real news on on what's going on. So that that happens in every war.
I mean, if you ask the average American, you know, in 2000, I don't know, '14, 2015, 2012 about Afghanistan, he'd probably ask you, we're we're still there? I mean, that's the level of news blackout on all of these things. Very, very minimal, and they just avoid talking about it and it just goes away because they block off the air line airways with everything else. Now, of course, the Americans are facing about 30% rise in the cost of gasoline and that Petro isn't gonna go down anytime soon. I mean, The US could put price ceilings in, they could put export controls in, but then the donor class would lose money.
And that would takes a lot of willpower off the president from the president to actually do that. By the way, as
Speaker 0: you as you just just quick update. So as you're speaking, just gonna give you an idea that just to give you an idea of the war. Like, there was ballistic missile launch towards Southern Israel from Iran. So and as you saw as you saw in interview, Hezbollah claimed to have struck an IDF tank. Minutes later, ballistic missiles launched from Iran towards Southern Israel, and then minutes after that, literally simultaneously, alerts are sounding in Dubai and reports of air defense interceptions in the Marina area.
I think that hits close to home because that's where I live. But, yeah, that's all happening as we're speaking. It kinda links to the next point is what could Iran do? And I wanna start with another question I've been thinking about, and that's Iran still has enriched uranium hidden somewhere. We've mentioned it early on in the interview.
Sure. It's at about 60% enriched uranium. Now to to get it to 90% takes a couple of weeks, depending who you ask. And that amount of enriched uranium is enough for 10 to 12 bombs. So putting all that together, is there a possibility?
Is there a risk that Iran, it's boxed into a corner, even now, that they develop some sort of, you know, small nuclear warhead and use that either as a deterrent or either as a strike to try to end the war? Because a lot of people are talking about Israel using a nuclear warhead, which I think is extremely unlikely, but I'm surprised how many people are actually bringing it up. But I'd like to get your thoughts on that as well, but mainly on the Iranian risk.
Speaker 1: Well, if Israel uses a nuclear warhead, there's a nuclear power plant about a 100 kilometers, a 120 kilometers south of Jerusalem. That nuclear power plant will be destroyed, and that's gonna cause nuclear, meltdown in the core, and you're gonna have fallout in that region. Israel's pretty small. Sure, it'll go outside that region, but it'll still hit. I think this time of year, the winds are growing more Northwest, so it'll still cover Tel Aviv, areas like that.
And never mind the ballistic reserves that Iran has would still wipe out a very good chunk of Israel.
Speaker 0: Have the launchers. We have the launchers. We know if we have enough launchers.
Speaker 1: Well, they have plenty of launchers. I mean, come on. The the missiles are going The reason is Look, the reason you're not having this big of a launcher launches right now is you're in phase three. Phase two, phase three. Phase two, most of the You launch in phase one, you wipe out the eyes, the radar systems.
So you go from having a forty minute window of notification opportunity to react to about a three to four minute window of opportunity to react because that's the radar systems have been destroyed. Now you're looking at what phase two then becomes, you just keep shooting and shooting, not so much the necessarily the hit as to use up the enemy's defensive missile capabilities. That's when Hezbollah can launch 200 missiles and 25% of those get through. Because Iron Dome was worn out, Arrow was worn out, US is pulling PAC-two missiles into the PAC-two, into the Patriots, the older missiles. They aren't really designed for ballistic missile interception, just to have something to be able to shoot the THAADs or out, and The US manufacturing base is pathetic when it comes to this.
I mean, The US hand manufactures missiles, by the way, because that's how you maximize the cost of these missiles and maximize the profit. Patriot missiles are produced at about 35 to 40 missiles a month. THAADs are produced at about nine to 10 missiles a month at $12,000,000 a missile. By the way, that's nothing. That's not even one night's worth in a month if you shipped everything there.
The s fours are the s a fours are pretty much so done. You still have s a sixes on the on the larger ships and the aircraft carriers, but, you know, those aren't being used. They're kept in the back to keep them out of missile range. So what do you do at this point? There's nothing for the arrows.
They're you you can put up f you know, the only thing you have left is you can put up f sixteens in the air and use their air to air missiles to try to take out these larger drones and take out the ballistic missiles. Not the best choice to do it, but they can be done. But you're going to go through air to air missiles pretty damn quick if you do it that way. And I think they are doing it this way at this point. When you get to phase three is when you start pulling out the new toys.
You've used up the old toys, you still have when you use up what's left and you start putting on the new toys. And then, for example, the hypersonics. And then you're just doing targeted hits on exact targets. Instead of saturation runs, you don't need to do it. Now you're starting to targeted destruction of enemy facilities, enemy personnel, and so on.
That's the phase we're in now. Iran has plenty of missiles. I've seen the videos of the tunnels. Yeah. The US is being like or hot.
US is being proxied back by Russia and China. Why not? US has proxied Russia for four years. What goes around comes So you think you think now we have Russia and
Speaker 0: China using so you think we I've asked this question to a of people. You think China and Russia are using Iran to proxy the to weaken The US? Oh, yeah.
Speaker 1: Absolutely. US does it to Russia, and US will do it to China the first moment they have. In fact, it does it through a company through organization like USAID trying to get But
Speaker 0: it can't it can't do it.
Speaker 1: To China, you can do a rebar to a billion. So yes.
Speaker 0: It can't it can't so two things. Number one is doing it through China through Taiwan by defending Taiwan, but it's not directly doing it the same way as Ukraine because China is not part of any ongoing war. Hasn't been for decades. So that's why you can't
Speaker 1: No. But it possible,
Speaker 0: and there's no war.
Speaker 1: There's Western what's it called? Western Turkmenistan or basically Western edges of China that has a Muslim population. The US has been trying to proxy that for a long time, rise up rebellions and through Tibet also. So, yes, The US does that. US has been trying to push India into a war with China for years now.
The Indians just happen to be a bit smarter than to go into a suicidal war with China. So far, anyways, hopefully, that'll continue.
Speaker 0: The the previous question and the last question is the risk of a nuclear bomb by Iran. Do you think that this is a risk that should be taken into consideration as well? Because not many people are talking about it unless I'm missing something militarily.
Speaker 1: Look. The guy that kept the moderate, that kept nuclear weapons as foreboding was killed on day one by the Israelis or by the Americans. I'm not sure who struck him for something. Was the Israelis. His son who fought since 17, he can go around that far away.
He's the now the the religious leader. And I think more like you know, if I was running Iran, I'd have a new I've already had nuclear weapons. Different between Iran and North Korea, North Korea can reach out and touch Alaska. They can reach out and touch Hawaii. They can definitely take out any American allies and bases within East Asia, down possibly to Guam, and The US isn't gonna touch them.
They're not gonna touch them because they're afraid of them, because they have nuclear weapons, and they will strike back. But in terms of difference.
Speaker 0: On the on the fatwa, the fatwa is is a religious statement, a religious ruling that can be reversed. The new supreme leader can reverse it. And then if and and also there's an argument being made by the people that believe Iran could be building nuclear weapons is that if you don't wanna build nuclear weapons, why enrich the 60% in the first place? My answer is this is a deterrent. This is more of a threat like Idiot.
If you twist our arm exactly. If you twist our arm, we will build a nuclear weapon. If you don't twist our arm, if you don't attack us, we won't build one. Well, the arm has been twisted and the war has been started. So does that mean there's the the incentive to build a nuclear bomb, whether you whatever your status is on a run, the incentive from a self preservation perspective is there and the risk should be taken into consideration?
Speaker 1: Absolutely. Look. If I was running the show, I would have had new I would be developing nuclear weapons right now. Absolutely. That would be the easiest thing.
You don't have to drop on on on a on Jordan or on on Israel. You go out in the desert and you blow one up as a test and say, we've got three more right now on this on warheads somewhere in the mountains, and everything ends really, really quickly. That's the reality of it. The moment you the moment you're dealing with a nuclear power that's that feels like it's essentially threatened and is willing to use nuclear weapons, everything changes. The logic changes fast.
And by the way, that, by the way, is gonna be the message that's already been sent to every single regional power in the world. You want The US off your back? Build nuclear weapons fast. We're gonna see a massive Trump Trump has just yeah, he destroyed the world order. I mean, I'll give him that.
Not only economic recession and possible depression in large parts of the world, not only civil unrest in large parts of the world, including The US allies not possibly toppling the regimes in the Persian Gulf up and down these little dictatorships that were backed by American military power. I mean, we're going to see a lot of changes in the next year, half a year. I'd like to but everybody that has half a brain cell working is gonna go, oh, nuclear weapons. Whether they're developing them or buying them, they could easily buy them from Pakistan. Could easily buy them from North Korea.
There's gonna be a big market for nuclear weapons for everybody around. This the genie's out of the bottle, and everybody's seen, you know, North Korea doesn't get attacked. Iran got attacked. Why is that? And that's an obvious answer.
Speaker 0: Stanislav, just as we're wrapping up, just got an a report now from one of our sources. We're trying to verify it, but there's a lot of reports coming out that there's a direct strike of an Iranian ballistic missiles in Damona where the nuclear power plant is in Israel. Maybe I could just quickly and there's multiple injuries are alleged are allegedly reported there. What how significant is that if the nuke plant was actually struck?
Speaker 1: It depends where you strike it. The nuclear towers, the cooling towers, I mean, they're designed so they can can withstand a strike from a Boeing 40 seven forty seven slamming into Destroying the cooling towers is difficult, but what's not difficult, which, by the way, the Ukrainians have been trying to do when the Zaporozhye Power Plant and in the Kursk Power Plant when they had the Kursk incursion, which is only about 10% of Kursk, but it gave them the range, was to strike the coolant systems and the backup generators. If you strike the coolant systems, the system that pumps the water in to cool the tank that has the nuclear power rods in it, you could have a meltdown relatively quickly after that. They will heat up, they will go critical. Well, isn't a chain reaction like a nuclear bomb.
They'll go critical heat, they'll melt down, and then they'll go melt through the bottom because the heat the level of the heat will melt through the bottom and you will have a steam explosion. What saved Chernobyl was three guys went underwater underneath where the water reserve was, and they drained it before the core was able to melt its way down to there. Because if the core hit that water reserve, you would have had a massive steam explosion that would have covered even more of Europe in nuclear fallout because they had the nuclear the radioactive material would have been up in the atmosphere with the steam. So yeah, it's if you take out the coolant and you take out the back out or you take out the power generators that are used, yeah, you can actually get into them to melt down. I mean, look, electricity is generated.
It's actually not generated. It's excited. You don't create electricity. The electrons are running there in the wires. You get them going by getting the magnets moving.
You get the magnets moving in different variations. You do it with steam, but steam turns the generators. It's a question of how do you heat the water? You heat it with nuclear, you heat it with gas, you heat it by burning coal, heat it by something. Something has to generate heat.
So in this case, I mean, you have to have a lot of water, a, for the steam and, b, for the cooling in nuclear power plants. So, you know, if if you take that out, you're gonna have a lot of problems, and you could have a nuclear meltdown.
Speaker 0: How much how much damage or can one ballistic missile cause a nuclear meltdown?
Speaker 1: Again, it depends where it hits. If it hits the cooling facilities
Speaker 0: One ballistic missiles in the in the cooling facilities is enough? It could
Speaker 1: cool enough. I'm not talking about the cooling towers. I'm I'm talking about the equipment that pump the pumps, the regulators for the cooling. If you take all that out I mean, I don't know what kind of ballistic missile they fired. You don't know, you know, did they hit straight in?
Did they did they wing it? But theoretically, yes. That's what the Ukrainians have been trying to do with field artillery, shooting at the Zaporozhye power plant, trying to hit the cooling facilities. It was a big enough danger that the Zaporozhye power plants have been shut down. I mean, there's minimum amount of coolant that has to go in there, but they're not working right now.
Why? Because there's a threat that the Ukrainians would start a nuclear meltdown just because that's the people in power there. And if this hits, this could be a surrealist. But again, let's not forget, the Israelis already hit the Iranian nuclear power plants. Thankfully, they didn't cause a nuclear meltdown.
This is getting very close to a total catastrophe. And the Israelis have already caused a catastrophe, one catastrophe, so you know, with the with the oil fire. So this this is spiraling out of control very, very quickly out of any remaining control.
Speaker 0: Wow. Yeah. Alright. Stanislav, really appreciate it. We'll get we're getting developments on this.
Yep. So people by the time we post this interview, people will probably have more clarity on the the whether this is true, report is true, and how much damage it is. But I am seeing a missile, video now of a missile avoiding two interceptors and landing in Southern Israel just moments ago. So it's pretty significant development. But Stanislav, absolute pleasure as always to to have you on the show.
Thank
Speaker 1: you. You. Yep. Have a good day.
reSee.it AI Summary
I warn that the next lockdowns will dwarf COVID: work from home, no driving, energy blackouts, food shortages, and more.
@NeilMcCoyWard - Neil McCoy-Ward
🚨 Get Ready For Energy Lockdowns (What They Have Planned Is Terrifying...) 🔥 The next lockdowns will make the covid lockdowns look like a holiday... Work from home, no driving your car, energy blackouts, food shortages & much more! #energylockdowns #energy #iran #war #foodshortages
Video Transcript AI Summary
- The video discusses energy lockdowns as a forecast reality already beginning in some countries and likely to ripple worldwide. The host emphasizes the content as potentially disturbing and cites a recent IEA report titled “sheltering from oil shocks,” along with data from multiple countries and other worst‑case scenario reports.
- Core plan described: the IEA envisions energy lockdowns that require major changes in daily life and mobility. Measures include:
- Working from home three out of five days per week.
- Dramatically reducing driving speeds and limiting private car access to cities.
- Reducing public transport use and expanding car sharing.
- Assessing whether one has a “key worker” reason to travel.
- Reducing air travel by 40% or requiring a strong justification for flights.
- Promoting 15‑minute cities to minimize travel.
- Encouraging walking or cycling, greater public transport use, and eco‑driving techniques.
- Prioritizing electric vehicles, with questions raised about how this aligns with other fuel choices.
- The host reiterates that these measures would be more severe than COVID lockdowns. They reference the ongoing energy disruptions: strikes on Russian oil refineries, destruction/damage to about 40 energy sites in the Middle East, Europe’s reliance on LNG with tanker reroutes to Asia due to higher payments, and broader geopolitical tensions affecting energy flows.
- Worst‑case scenario categories described in the report:
1) Immediate daily survival hits: low energy caps on homes (heating limited to about 15–18°C, with rolling blackouts in winter), no air conditioning in heat waves, fridges/freezers potentially turned off, cooking restricted if power or gas are limited, water pumps and treatment plants failing, possible boiling water orders, toilets and sewage issues, and widespread darkness with limited internet/TV/charging.
2) Health system breakdown: hospitals running on diesel generators, surgeries canceled, ventilators/oxygen/dialysis impacted, home medical devices useless, ambulance and emergency services underfunded or overwhelmed.
3) Food, water, and supply chain collapse: irrigation and farming halted due to fuel shortages, processing and distribution disrupted, empty shelves and panic buying, potential black markets and rationing reminiscent of wartime scenarios, with starvation risks in weeks in some countries and severe inflation.
4) Transport and mobility lockdowns: fuel rationing (odd/even days), reduced public transport, more cycling/walking, restricted medical visits, difficulty moving goods, economic and job devastation, and unemployment possibly skyrocketing (20–40% in worst cases).
5) Economic and societal collapse: energy‑intensive sectors shut, currency printing for stimulus, social order strain including riots and migrations, education stopping (home schooling), innovation and investment freezes, potential grid or civil breakdown, and excess deaths from extreme temperatures, starvation, and illness.
6) Long‑term societal damage: prolonged crisis causing massive economic contraction, widespread disruption to infrastructure and services, and deep social disruption.
- The host notes current real‑world developments that align with these concerns: numerous countries declaring emergencies, fuel supply challenges, and policy actions such as fuel rationing or travel restrictions. Examples cited include the Philippines declaring a state of emergency, Vietnam and Bangladesh facing oil issues, Slovenia introducing fuel rationing, and South Korea implementing odd‑license‑plate driving bans for public sector workers.
- The video closes with warnings about the potential severity and urges viewers to prepare, arguing that comments by some media or officials predicting quick recoveries could mislead families about the risk. A sense of urgency is conveyed about taking energy and logistical precautions in light of the described scenarios.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Get ready for energy lockdowns because they're already here right now for some countries and they are going to be rippling through the world. Now, if you have a weak disposition and you don't like anything scary, you know, you're the sort of person that covers their eyes when something scary scene comes on the movie, you probably shouldn't watch this video. And I mean that very very seriously because I am gonna tell you the worst case scenario that has been forecast and even when I read it, it really made my hair stand on end. And I mean that genuinely when I read the worst case scenario forecast. Now, you may have seen because it's been about three days now that this report has been going around from the IEA and this is called sheltering from oil shocks.
So I've actually downloaded the report. I've gone through the whole report and I've highlighted a lot of key points for you. But not only have I done that, but I've also taken all of that data. I've collected the data from all of the other countries. I've looked at the and thank you know, it's great having AI for some of this now.
I've collated a lot of the reports, the worst case scenario reports from other countries around energy blackouts, and I've collated this into one succinct video for you. And if you think, well, it's very unlikely, Neil, for this stuff to happen, I promise you, ladies and gentlemen, some of these things will happen. We've already seen some of the the well, and this is a worst case scenario for for Cuba, you know, where they said that the the ventilators would would stop working and people would die in hospitals. That has all already been a reality. So I just wanna let you know this is not, you know, scaremongering here.
This is absolutely what is possible and some of the things are already taken place. And this is why I've been saying for the last four is it three or four weeks now, the media is really downplaying the the the the severity, the gravity of what is going on right now and it's not looking to improve. If anything, it's looking to worsen. The strikes on all the Russian oil refineries have been intense in the last week, unlike anything we've seen in this war. Not just that, we've now seen, what is it, 40 energy sites in The Middle East either destroyed or damaged.
Europe has completely come off. The Russian energy is a is reliant on this LNG. All the tankers have turned around. They were all on their way to Europe. They've gone to Asia now because Asia's willing to pay more.
This is really really serious. So okay. Let's get into the report then. And for those of you that like visuals, this was from the IEA and this is just a snippet of the report. Okay?
So they're recommending it's basically energy lockdowns. This is the only way I can describe it. They are suggesting everyone works from home. They are saying that the you should drive. Reduce the speeds that everyone can drive.
Public transport use, but even that is cutting down public transport. Alternate car access in big cities, increase car sharing. There's even things like what is your reason? Are you a a key worker? Do you need to go to work?
You know, there's all these things but I wanna I wanna go through and just and just talk about a lot of this and it does get more serious and scary as we go along. So this was their 10 plan and this is the the very weak plan as it were. So working from home, they recommend working three out of five days a week from home. This is their recommendations. It's already gone out to most of the most country.
In fact, it's pretty much all countries now that are developed in nature, but even the the non developed countries have received this report as well. They're all it's all being talked about in the different governments. It's going through the departments right now. Reducing the speed limits dramatically, limiting private car access. So they're actually saying you can't that they recommend you can't even drive into certain cities now.
They're saying that that that you need a reason to be able to do it. This was the one I thought was very, very, interesting. If you remember the COVID style lockdowns, they said to reduce air travel by 40%. That is what they are suggesting. The airlines need to reduce flights by 40% or there needs to be a good reason why you're taking that flight.
This sort of stuff annoys me. It annoyed me during COVID as well. And as you know or if you don't know, some of you will like what I'm gonna say, some of you will not like it. During COVID, I had zero lockdowns. I didn't lock down at all.
I carried on. I traveled all around the world like I normally do every year. I didn't do any of that stuff. Now I say some of you won't like that because this is where the comments will come in. Oh, because of you.
But look, I I think a lot of this is intentional. I really do. You've seen the first lockdowns. We talked about how there's probably gonna be some more lockdowns, and now they're talking about energy lockdowns. They're basically use this word using this word.
You've seen it all over the media, governments, energy lockdowns. They're saying we need to reduce air travel. It's all reducing travel. And they're even saying in one of the other reports, this is why we need more fifteen minute cities. This is why the work we've been doing for fifteen minute cities is so important because of energy shocks and things like that.
No. The energy shocks have been caused by a war. Two wars in fact. Russia, Ukraine, and then Iran. What the people didn't cause this.
You didn't cause it. I didn't cause it. It's been caused by leaders. Whoever you wanna put the blame on is being caused by leaders. So promoting public transport.
So increasing the use of public transport, but they suggest walking or cycling. And there was a very interesting video during the rounds of I think it's The Philippines where it's just the streets are full of people walking to and from work at the moment. Seriously, so all these videos going around. Car sharing, carpooling, and if you can't carpool, you need a reason to travel. Eco driving techniques, so prioritizing electric vehicles which doesn't make any sense.
It doesn't make any sense at all. Why would you prioritize electric if there's the possibility that you can use diesel or petrol? Like, wouldn't you balance it out? So what that makes no sense. Why would you prioritize electric and switching fuel methods?
You know, there's all of this stuff that they are talking about. Now, I'm gonna come on to the worst case stuff in a minute. And just before we do that, let's just look at the oil price here. So again, people got really excited today. I I love it when I get these emails.
Neil told you it would come down. Yeah. And guess what? It's gone back. I keep telling you, we're not gonna we've got this resistance around a $100 a barrel and that's what we're seeing.
It just keeps hitting this resistance. People love emailing me saying, you got it wrong. Well, look, we're back at a $100 a barrel, ladies and gents. We're hitting this resistance, and I think it's only gonna go up. Yeah.
You might see it drop. There's some announcement that comes up. It could drop to $80 a barrel. It doesn't matter. You're gonna see resistance at a 100 and it's gonna keep gradually going up.
I'm still seeing a 120, 125, 150 worst case scenario, but if they keep bombing the infrastructure, this is just gonna keep running. What about silver? What about gold? This is the other question people keep asking me. It's it is dropping.
Silver's dropping. Gold's dropping. Silver's at $72 an ounce at the moment. Gold's holding around 4 and a half thousand dollars at the moment. This is what's happening.
But let me tell you why I think gold and silver are doing this. If you look at the mainly the institutions, the big financial players, they've got these enormous margin calls, huge margin calls at the moment. That is what they've they've got. So they're liquidating everything they've got, all sorts of assets. I don't think any of you should be selling your gold and silver unless you hold on.
Let me take it off the shared screen. I don't think you should be selling unless you really need to be selling. I think no. I'm not gonna say people should be buying. People will take it as financial advice.
I don't but but I think it's a big mistake that people are selling at the moment. And actually, let me come on to okay. Let's go on to the worst case scenario stuff. So let's get into the worst case scenario here. So this is energy lockdowns, and these are compiled from a lot of reports.
Remember that. These are government reports I've compiled a lot of this from. So it's it says in black and white, the energy lockdowns will be much more severe than the COVID lockdowns. Think about that for a moment. The energy lockdowns, they're saying, will be much more severe than the COVID lockdowns.
Ladies and gentlemen, that is insane. That is crazy. You look at how severe the COVID lockdowns were. It it it's so strange as well. It feels like it was only last year.
I don't know if you feel like that as well. I don't know why that is. There's some sort of phenomenon going on in the world around time, timelines, but it it feels like it was only a year or two ago. But yet, you think it starts in 2019. We're in 2026 now.
I know it's not seven years, but it's it will be seven years this year when all of this started. It doesn't seem like that long ago. There's something it's just very bizarre how it how it keeps going on. But they're saying in black and white, this will be more severe than the COVID lockdowns because well, we'll get into that in a second. But before I give you the the really severe severe forecast here, I have gotta mention the the channel sponsor here, and that is Monetary Metals.
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So let's go on to now. Here we go. Are you ready for this? Make sure you sat down for this. Number one, again, these are worst case scenarios.
Immediate daily survival hits. These are these are things like cold, cold weather, hot weather, darkness, no basics. So it says homes and businesses limited to low energy caps. The heating could be 15 to 18 degrees Celsius maximum. So 18 degrees not too bad, I think, especially if you're acclimatized.
15 degrees in winter is, especially if there's a wind chill, it's pretty chilly actually. You've also got to think about those people with disabilities and things like that. Doesn't mention anything about that here. There would be power on only at certain hours, although they would induce rolling blackouts. In winter, they warn these are the reports.
They warn there could be widespread hypothermia especially for older people or the elder the elderly, those in badly insulated homes. You'd see excess deaths spike. Real fuel poverty is already, you know, affecting people around the world anyway, so this would only multiply it. People wouldn't be able to turn on the heating or even afford it because the cost would be so, severe. No air conditioning in summer heat waves.
These would be, banned completely which would be insane. Fridges and freezers may need to be turned off under government mandates. What would this result in? You know, food would be spoiled. You've got you've got meat in the freezer.
It would it would rot. You know, you'd have to it this and this is crazy talk. Cooking would be impossible if electrical gas were restricted for that. Water pumps, treatment plants would fail without any power. You'd see shortages, contamination, boil water orders or none at all.
Toilets or sewage could back up. You'd have to use rain water. They talk about buckets and rain water, for doing that. I mean, what what if it's the middle of summer? How are you gonna that that doesn't even make any sense.
How are you gonna fill up a a bucket to flush the toilet? Says no. Be polite here. Says talking about flushing number two but leaving number one. Oh gosh.
That'll be that'll be pretty stinky after a while, but okay. Dark homes, no Internet, TV, charging, you know, they're saying that certain certain heavy usage devices could be restricted, no Zoom calls or videos or streaming, etcetera. You think what this would do actually, you think of the depression and the mental health issues that took place during the lockdown period. And that's when you could speak to other people over over devices. Imagine if they stopped that.
Imagine if they stopped streaming. You'd see all sorts of stuff. You'd see domestic violence, alcoholism, drug abuse. It would be it would just be crazy this stuff. Second point then, this is health and medical system breakdown.
So hospitals on diesel generators, all sorts of things, surgeries would be canceled, ventilators, oxygen, dialysis, these would fail in blackouts. Home medical devices would be pretty useless, they wouldn't work. This goes on and on. It's hard even reading through all this just thinking about the impact on on the people. But there would be a shortfall in ambulances because they wouldn't have enough fuel.
They would only respond to the most urgent of cases, same with the police and emergency services. Food, water, and supply chain collapse. So farms can't run irrigation because they wouldn't be able to pump the water. Tractors or processing tractors wouldn't be able to get the diesel they need. You'd see massive crop and livestock losses.
Empty shelves would be almost strayed away. There'd be massive panic buying. And just a point on that, have you seen what's happening in Australia at the moment? If you are an Australian viewer, which is about I think it's about 10% of my subscribers, please leave a comment. I know you're not gonna see this stream until tomorrow, but let us know around the rest of the world if it's true what we're seeing.
It's over 500 gas stations now completely out. They don't know when they're gonna be restocked. Criminals are siphoning gas off. This is what we're we're being told. They're siphoning gas out of people's tanks, like completely draining it.
Criminal gangs are doing all sorts of crazy stuff in the cities. It just goes on and on and on. They said they might not be able to collect waste, you know, your your waste disposals. Mean, do you remember when I walked around Birmingham? Do you remember what that looked like when they didn't collect the waste?
Stinking rats the size of cats and all sorts. We don't wanna even go down there. The they said supermarkets distribution would halt without refrigeration trucks. We could even go to a World War two style of rationing cards for basics. They'd most likely be black markets which the government and police would have to try and control.
Yeah. Why? Just let it run. Price explosions, huge inflation in in food. It said for many comp many countries, there would be starvation risks risk in weeks if it was prolonged.
It says 1970 style shortages showed how quickly food prices inflation hit and this would be worse with enforced limits from the government. So it says starvation would happen in weeks. And they don't actually mention Western countries but definitely in in developing nations this would hit. But will it happen in in in Western country? Well, let's think about that for a moment.
A lot of people as we know, they don't store any food. They don't have any long life food. I've told you before about my friend. He only goes he he lives in a apartment. I think he's about 60 floors up.
Doesn't I I tell him all the time. I'm like, have you got a backup plan? No. I'll be fine. The world's fine.
He just doesn't believe anything I say. But anyway, that's that's another story. He's watching this right now. He never missed a video. He he doesn't keep any food.
He goes to he orders his food every day or he goes to the supermarket, keeps about two days, three days worth of food in the house, all fresh. I tell him all the time, you you are gonna get hammered when this hits, but there we go. So this would hit a lot of people. People like that, how they're gonna even get down? Because it says that that there would be the elevators would be turned off.
The government would insist that govern elevators are turned off. People will have to take the stairs. 60 floors. Who's gonna take 60 floors? How are you gonna carry water?
I mean, this stuff is worst case, of course. And number four is transport transport and mobility lockdowns. So fuel rationing, they said this is almost a certainty, odds and even days like the nineteen seventies. So if you have an odd number, you can't go to the the fuel station. Public transportation would have to be slashed as well.
They'd encourage more cycling and walking. And if you can't walk to your job, then tough luck basically. You'll have to work from home. Said you can't get you won't be able to commute. Groceries will be difficult.
Visit doctors only if it's urgent or evacuations. Goods won't move. Everything from medicine to parts will stop. Economic and job devastation, they say it would be far worse than what happened during the lockdowns, the COVID lockdowns. Energy intensive sectors, this is manufacturing offices, retail data centers, they would all be shut.
Unemployment would hit 20 to 40% in worst case scenario. This is insane. Small businesses would go bankrupt on mass. And if you think about it, SMEs employ the bulk of workers. So you can imagine the employment scouring cycle that you learned about on Friday when from the walk and talk.
This would just you can see I'm even shocked reading this out at the at the scale of what may happen if this isn't reversed right away. Government currency printing would happen as well. Mass currency creation in order to give money to people, stimulus which will only go into inflation as well. Number six, social order and breakdown. Riots, looting, protests would happen right away.
Home invasions for food if people haven't got food. Migration, massive amounts of migration. People would have to leave the big cities if their accommodation isn't conducive for living. Now it says here for long term societal damage consequences. This says if the crisis goes on for months, as at this point, months.
It says the economy will contract massively. It doesn't give a number here because, again, this is based on different reports. Education will have to stop, so there'll be no schools. It'll be education from home by parents, innovation, investment freezes, potential grid collapse or civil breakdown, excess death from heat, cold, starvation, and treated illnesses. Okay.
This goes on and on and on, ladies and gents. This, I think you can get the idea here of why it's I said it made my hair stand on end when I was collating all these reports and putting it into this big I used AI to to condense everything, consolidate everything. And some of these are are are actually plays that they are they are exercises. They've already been modeled. These are emergency crisis scenarios that have been modeled.
These are some of the things that would take place and will happen. Now, how likely is this? That's that's the question. How likely is this? Well, let's have a look at a couple of articles from today.
This is today. The Philippines has declared a state of emergency in the country. Vietnam, Bangladesh is about to run out of oil. And look, you can see it here. In three weeks, Slovenia has now become the first EU country to introduce fuel rationing.
So that's Europe. Slovenia, Europe fuel rationing. Now you think Europe spent three years moving to the the LNG and moved away from Russian Russian oil and energy. What on earth is Europe gonna do? They're having these emergency crisis meetings but they they honestly if you read some of the transcripts, they don't have an answer.
That they genuinely don't have an answer to this. They they don't know what they're going to do. And here's something that I got today. So I fold that over so you can't see my my address here, but this is from the the company that supplies me. And it says, dear customer, due to the ongoing situation in The Middle East and the resulting volatility in global fuel prices, we are currently unable to provide indicative prices for any new orders.
This, ladies and gentlemen, is why I told you two or three or it's three weeks ago now, fill up get get all your energy now if you're on oil tank, fill it up right away while it was 60 p a liter or whatever. I think mine was 60 p I filled up at 3,000 liters. I said do it today, get it all booked in. When I called up, they didn't even have a clue. They they they they were clueless.
They didn't even see no one had called. They didn't even realize this was gonna happen. So they said so far this is they've been insulated from the increase. However, unless the situation stabilizes soon, our next shipment of fuel is likely to arrive at a significantly higher cost than the last. We're monitoring the developments closely and hope the situation improves before our next shipment.
It's not going to improve. Prices are are rising. At which point, we'll be able to resume quoting. Currently, are no concerns regarding supply supply. Yes.
There are. If you are an automatic delivery customer due due a delivery soon and are concerned, please call us. Thanks for your understanding and patience during this time. And people all around the world are getting these letters at the moment. Everywhere, people are getting these these letters.
What else have we got? Italy has cut fuel taxes by 25¢ a liter. Spain has slashed VAT on fuel, gas, and electric from 21% to 10%. Philippines national emergency, Pakistan closed the school. They've banned travel banned official travel, and they've declared work from home.
Sri Lanka, fuel rationing by license plates number. Indonesia, boosting coal production. Again, work from home policy, so lockdowns. Greece fuel subsidies, fertilizer support. 11 tankers have changed course as well.
Here we go. Let's just show you this so you can actually see that on the screen share. So here we go. These tankers that were on the way to Europe to offload actually turned around and they've they're now going you can see that the trajectory, the route, they're all going to Asia now. So this is another thing that has taken place.
Europe is absolutely screwed. They just don't know it yet. The Netherlands The Netherlands even worse. Do you know that that they poured cement into their gas wells? What moron authorizes that?
Who pours cement into gas wells so they can't be used because of the net this was wasn't recent. This was for the net zero stuff. It is ridiculous. It it it's gosh. They they are deliberately doing some of this stuff.
Taiwan, LNG for 40% of power, the electrical grid power generation 40%. They've got around eleven days left. That's Taiwan. Semiconductors, anybody? South Korea was is another one.
They've just mandated odd license numbers. We haven't seen this since the nineteen seventies, and this is starting today. All public sector employees in South Korea will be banned from driving. At the moment, it's one day a week and they're gonna monitor it. So they're banned, completely banned, and it's the it's based on their last digit of their license plate.
The government initially considered making this mandatory for the private sector as well, but they're holding off at the moment because they don't want to see truck drivers and delivery drivers disproportionately affected by this. There's a 12 emergency plan they're putting into place, this South Korea. The IAEA said 40 energy sites across The Middle East have been damaged and can't deliver at the moment. Goodness me. This is crazy.
What about this one? Let me show you on the shared screen here. For you Australians again, NSW premier calls for COVID style protocol lockdowns, we should say, as fuel crisis explodes. These are just all of the stories coming out today. How on earth?
Ukraine just again bombed another Russian oil, terminal. 60,000,000 tons a year come out of this, and they've just bombed this so Russia can't, export oil to the rest of the world and make a profit from it. Now some of you will probably watch that and say, well, great. I don't we don't want Russia making any money because of the war. No.
It's not great. Put the war to the one side here. Russia could have provided energy and offset a lot of this problem. But instead instead, now with the British help, believe it or not, the British help Ukraine to bomb all of these sites. This is this is insane.
This I I mean, this goes on and on and on, ladies and gents. It goes on and on. We I I could talk about this all day. I've got a 100 stories I could cover, probably only covered a very small portion of them today. This is not good.
Okay? Make sure you've got yourself well positioned, set up right for all of this. I don't really know what else to say. This is this is getting worse. People don't know what they're talking about who are commenting on a lot of this.
Oh, it's all gonna be fine. Give it a couple of weeks. Everything will be back to normal. They shouldn't even have to be able to to speak on on the media when they're saying this because they're gonna cause irreparable harm and damage to families everywhere who are not gonna get prepared because they're believing these morons that say everything's gonna be fine in a couple of weeks. It's not.
Just a reminder about the channel sponsor today. Check that out in the description. Apart from that, I'll see you on the next video. Take care. God bless.
Stay safe out there. See you for the Friday walk and talk.
reSee.it AI Summary
I read that the Strait of Hormuz was open before this war; now fuel lines stretch for hours across Europe, Asia, and Australia. Putin says the damage is worse than COVID, and @HealthRanger warns food and fuel lockdowns are coming to America next. The timeline is weeks, not years.
@RedactedNews - Redacted
The Strait of Hormuz was open before this war started. ✅ Now fuel lines stretch for hours across Europe, Asia, & Australia. Putin says the damage is worse than COVID. @HealthRanger says food & fuel lockdowns are coming to America next. The timeline is weeks, not years https://t.co/LR34XSJkf3
Video Transcript AI Summary
- Speaker 0 notes that the United States Postal Service is adding a fuel charge to every package due to fuel cost increases tied to Iran–Israel tensions and says fuel costs have jumped more than 30% since the war began.
- Reuters/Financial Times mention: US inflation to surge to 4.2% on energy shock; OECD warnings. Fuel lines are long worldwide, with coverage of shortages in Slovenia, parts of Europe, Australia, Thailand, and the Philippines; some countries have run out of petrol or declared a state of emergency.
- Speaker 1 paraphrases Putin, saying the energy shock from the Iran war is devastating globally, harming global logistic and production chains and the fuel industry. He claims Europe will beg Russia for oil and gas, referencing a pipeline blown up by the United States.
- Mike Adams (Speaker 2, Health Ranger) joins to discuss fuel and food shortages and global impacts. He asserts: energy is the primary driver of affordable food, transportation, and personal freedom; farming is hydrocarbon-intensive due to energy inputs for fertilizer and for planting/harvesting; the Strait of Hormuz constriction worsens scarcity. He argues the Strait was open before the war and that actions against Nord Stream pipelines and the Strait have created energy constraints, predicting severe economic and food shortages until Hormuz reopens.
- Speaker 3 (a senator) is shown commenting on the war costs ($2,000,000,000 daily) and casualties; notes that policy decisions and actions have led to escalating prices and potential long-term impacts on Americans.
- Speaker 4 and Speaker 2 discuss a pattern of energy lockdowns, global shortages, and potential government controls: universal basic income (UBI) tied to digital control via a CBDC, with quotas on food and energy consumption; off-ramps include off-grid solar power and EV adoption. They suggest this could lead to government-delivered food and fuel, and to a broader move toward centralized control.
- The conversation covers the European angle: Putin and the diplomats say Europe may beg Russia for cheap energy as Nord Stream pipelines were disrupted; China–Russia energy deals and Mongolia–Northern China gas transmission are noted as supporting Chinese industry.
- Speaker 4 observes European leadership as having pursued energy restrictions and nuclear shutdowns, calling it “energy suicide” and expressing sympathy for European people, while criticizing their leaders for energy policy.
- Speaker 2 discusses the petrodollar system’s fragility, noting potential shifts as allies and non-allies trade outside the petrodollar; warns of inflationary effects on the U.S. and potential mass selling of U.S. Treasuries by indebted economies like Japan.
- The discussion touches on broader implications: a potential shift toward AI and robotics replacing human labor, with energy scarcity viewed as a driver for social and economic controls; concerns about large-scale power disruptions and rationing, and the possibility of a 10-year horizon for significant changes in labor and energy policy.
- In closing, Mike Adams emphasizes the need for viewers to be informed and distinguishes between differing levels of information sources, inviting continued engagement.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: For the first time in US history, the United States Postal Service is now adding a fuel charge to every package that you ship because, well, why else? The Iranian war. Fuel costs have jumped more than 30% since Israel's war with Iran broke out. So now they will add this on top of your shipping cost. Imagine how, like, if you're a small business and you're shipping items on a regular basis, you're not Amazon adding on this additional fuel charge on top of that.
Then this morning, the Financial Times reporting US inflation will surge to 4.2 on energy shock, warns the OECD. Fuel lines around the world are getting very long. We've been covering, of course, what's been happening in Slovenia, parts of Europe, Australia, Thailand, The Philippines. It's just getting worse and worse. Many countries have run out of petrol, gasoline, or have declared now a state of emergency.
President Putin of Russia just declared that the energy shock from this Iran war is having a devastating effect around the world just like COVID. Here was his statement just a a short time ago. Watch.
Speaker 1: That is escalating, and it's making more and more significant contribution to the global situation today. And it's dealing a great damage to the global logistic supply chains, production chains, and entire entire industries of the fuel production, fuel refinery. Now our industries are getting these savvy blows, and it's difficult to predict what happens next because of this.
Speaker 0: So Putin also, through his diplomatic team, are issuing a damning message about this war that we are about to face an energy crisis the likes of which we've never seen before. You don't wanna hear that. And that Europe is going to be begging Russia for oil and gas. Too bad one of your pipelines was blown up by the United States government, but here is, Dimitriv. Listen.
So it's really in their hands now. It's amazing how the tables have been turned, isn't it? Mike Adams is the founder of the Brighteon platforms, the health ranger. You might know him on X. I love following Mike on X because he just cuts through all of the BS and gets right to the heart of the matter.
And, Mike, great. Welcome back to the show. One of the areas you've been very focused on, of course, is fuel shortages, food shortages, and what the global impact of all of this is going to look like. Maybe you can just give us your 30,000 foot assessment before we get into more details.
Speaker 2: Okay. Sure. Great to join you again. Love your work. First of all, I would say that every major form of recognized abundance across our world comes from affordable, abundant energy.
So energy is the primary driver of affordable food, which for many people translates into affordable families because you, you know, you have to feed your kids in most countries, right? Hopefully. Also affordable transportation by plane or by car. So it's personal mobility. It's personal freedom.
And food comes from energy. That's what a lot of people don't necessarily realize is how strongly every calorie of food that comes from a farm today is tied to energy inputs. And not just the fertilizer and the urea, which of course you've covered on your show, are now incredibly scarce because of what's happening in the Strait Of Hormuz and with Trump's war on Iran, but also because of the fuel for transportation and and the fuel for the tractors to do the planting and harvesting, etcetera. So food is extremely hydrocarbon intensive. In fact, farming is really more of a rearranging of hydrocarbons with the help of photosynthesis.
That's what farming really is. And a lot of people didn't realize just how devastating this would be when the Strait Of Hormuz is now constricted. And I just want to remind you, I'll turn it back to you, but the Strait Of Hormuz was open before Trump launched this war by choice. So it was open. So not only did The United States, as you said, destroy the Nord Stream pipelines affecting Western Europe and their affordable abundant energy from Russia.
Now, Trump has effectively indirectly closed the Strait Of Hormuz through his actions. And now he's probably desperately trying to figure out how to get it open again, but that's where we are. Until the Strait Of Hormuz reopens, the world will suffer dramatically, economically, and through food scarcity.
Speaker 0: Mike, you make a great point. In fact, we had a senator just a short time ago on the floor of the senate making that exact point about the Strait Of Hormuz. Watch this.
Speaker 3: Here's the problem. The Strait was open before the war began. We are now seeking to solve a problem that we created. This is insanity. $2,000,000,000 is a lot of money.
That's the minimum amount of money that is being spent every single day on this war. There are over a dozen families who are burying their loved ones in The United States, and there may be dozens more if this war continues. Prices are skyrocketing, not just in America, but all across
Speaker 4: Someone in the chat says Chris Murphy's an idiot. In many ways, I agree with you, but what he's saying is true. Now did congress actually vote to end the war escalation? No. So we can't give congress too much, credit.
Right. You wrote you wrote about how, you know, the mobilization of ICE, the strategic closures of the TSA, and now the looming fuel and food shortages are not disparate things. You said these are visible threads of a deliberate premeditated pattern, one that is weaving a trap to the American people. And you said that it will lead to national lockdowns of movement, food, and fuel. So can you play that out, please?
Speaker 2: Yeah. That's where this is headed. Clearly, in in my view, it's the same pattern as COVID, but now with a different justification. So, already many countries are suffering so called energy lockdowns. You mentioned some of them in the intro, but also, for example, in South Korea.
You're only allowed to drive on certain days of the week if you're a government employee based on your vehicle license plate. In Australia, you know, hundreds of of petrol stations have run out now, and it's not clear when they're gonna be replenished. What's going to come is government controlled delivery of food and fuel. And this will encompass Americans, especially as prices get much higher and more job displacement takes place because of the AI displacement. And you just saw a humanoid robot walking around the White House.
That's also part of the plan. That's why I have the AI background here today behind me. But as you have all this displacement, the public will scream for universal basic income. But the UBI will be tied in my view, and Catherine Austin Fitz talks about this and she's excellent on this subject. It'll be tied to a government controlled CBDC that allows you to purchase a certain amount of food, but builds in the scarcity or the quota allowances through that digital control grid.
And the same thing will happen with fuel, and also the same thing will happen probably with the number of kilowatt hours of energy that you're allowed to consume as a household. And interestingly interestingly, one of the off ramps to that is to have your own off grid solar power system and an EV, which is funny because Trump is becoming the world's greatest EV salesman now. Right. As more people are buying EVs. Go figure.
Speaker 0: Well, you break up a great point. This whole push, like, couldn't help but thinking when we're seeing this TSA move, right, the the long lines at the airports, all of this is tied together and these austerity measures. And just love this CNN headline here, Mike, from, Asia. Asia embraces austerity. Right?
Like, Asians are thrilled about it. Like, look at this picture of this little girl. She it's it's great. Asia embraces energy austerity.
Speaker 4: We're fine with it.
Speaker 0: As dire fuel shortages force Philippines to declare national emergency. They're so they're all across Asia and now through Europe. We'll get to Europe in a minute. I wanna unpack that what Russia just said. But on the Asian side, it's very dire.
But they're embracing this idea of austerity because they want to keep people home. That's been part of the plan all along.
Speaker 4: Sort of see the racist undertones there as like, they're third world, they don't need much, you know, so they don't know any better is sort of what I read from a headline like that. What do you think?
Speaker 2: Well, in in The Philippines, you know, they're very heavily dependent on transportation to and from work. They have long commute times in cities like Manila. And the fact that their fuel is now in short supply is going to be dire. And also the the percentage of The Philippines income that is being spent on fuel is now outrageous and unaffordable and unsustainable. So Philippines is headed for a real dire economic collapse situation if this doesn't get reversed.
But I want to mention something. You said you're going to have Daniel Davis and Colonel MacGregor on the show. They're excellent sources. And I believe that they will tell you that if this land invasion takes place, that it's not going to be a quick fix. The Strait Of Hormuz is not going to be opened in any kind of, you know, permanent, reliable way by US occupation of Southern Iran.
Because Iran is going to fight back, and they're going to fight back from an existential position of their own national survival, as well as their own national pride and thousands of years of Persian civilization. So that means that the Strait Of Hormuz will will not be open anytime soon, not reliably. There might be a few ships that slip through, but they're all gonna be under heavy fire and the insurers won't insure those ships. And US naval vessels will take hits and possibly be destroyed or sent back for repairs like the USS Gerald R. Ford.
So this this situation could go on for literally years, even if we land troops in Iran. And I don't think Trump is factoring that in. That's my position.
Speaker 0: No. That's a great point. We've had so many journalists on our show who have been debanked, literally sitting next to a journalist one afternoon from the gray zone who was debanked right in front of me. He couldn't believe it. All access to his banking account information, and he you know, journalists don't, like, make billions of dollars.
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Rumble, that's the place to go. Wallet.rumble.com. I wanna talk about the European piece of all of this. You heard the message from president Putin today about how this is basically on par, if not worse than COVID, and it's spiraling out of control. You heard from his, diplomats saying that this that Europe will be begging Russia for oil and gas.
And we're already seeing major cutbacks and states of emergency being declared in Europe. We saw what's going on in Slovenia specifically. But this is gonna be a cascade effect all through Europe. Maybe you could just unpack the European Russian perspective on this.
Speaker 2: Well, I I think Russia is absolutely correct here that Europe will be begging Russia for affordable cheap energy or abundant energy because it was upon Russian energy that the European economic miracle, especially in Germany, gave rise in the first place. The industry in Germany, for example, BASF, BASF, and the manufacturing of 45,000 plus synthetic chemicals, plus using the Haber Bosch process, you know, urea and nitrogen based fertilizers, etcetera. All of that has been compromised and shut down because of the destruction of Nord Stream pipelines. But as Putin says, one of those pipelines could still be reopened. And if Europe doesn't want to commit energy suicide, they will beg Putin to open that pipeline and get some gas flowing.
And and don't forget that China and Russia signed a deal six months ago or something to have 50,000,000,000 cubic meters of gas from Russia's Yamal gas fields piped across Mongolia into Northern China to feed China's industry. China's gonna maintain its dominance of the world's industrial sector. The manufacturing coming out of China for vehicles and robots and drones will be incredible because of their access to affordable energy. Some of it, a lot of it coming from Russia.
Speaker 4: I just having lived in Europe for five years, it it astounds me how the European people work so hard not knowing who's holding them under their thumb. So in in such a cruel manner, and it's hard to watch. It's really hard to watch. And, you know, Germany took offline energy sources because of green policies and then also lost access to liquid natural gas. And their leaders are like, that's what we're doing.
We're doing this and then also supporting Ukraine. We've talked a lot about how if we see copious amounts of bloodshed, the American people will revolt, and I hope that that's true. Do you think there will ever be a consequence for the European leaders who have inflicted this on their people?
Speaker 2: Good question, Natalie. I I I don't know the answer to that, but I do know that countries like The UK are busy trying to figure out how to send their young men to die in the war with Russia. So that's part of their answer to stay in control. They want to eliminate their own nationalist populations and then have them exchanged, replaced with someone else coming in across the open borders. But what what you're really getting to is the fact that Western European nations, they decided for one reason or another to commit energy suicide.
You know, they they have the energy in Europe. They have it. They've got the fields. But they close them down and they close the nuke plants, like you said, which is, you know, a carbon free, no no carbon emission source of renewable energy, if you think about it. Yes.
They've made these decisions. It's suicide cult in charge of Europe. That's not the European people. The people, they despise their leaders. The people of Germany despise what the German leaders are doing.
So I'm rooting for the European people to somehow replace or dismantle their overlords who are destroying their cultures and civilizations.
Speaker 4: Yeah. Me too.
Speaker 0: Me too. You know, one of the most troubling pieces of this is that, well, you compare this to COVID. Right? And President Putin just compared this to COVID just a short time ago this morning. But I I argue that there's differences because there was a lack of demand during COVID.
People were being told to stay home. So they were overproducing at all this abundance of oil and natural gas, and they know what to do with it. So that's why you had the now, we have an incredible demand, and we don't have enough of it. So it's the exact opposite. And even like a a short, like, a sort of a 10% supply demand offset imbalance here could be catastrophic.
The other big piece of this, Mike, is that, you know, you've got petrol usually is is not the first to fall. Gasoline is not the first to fall. It's usually diesel jet fuel. And but now we're seeing petrol almost first. We're seeing long lines of gas stations running out UK two day supply throughout The Philippines.
So you're seeing this weird, this weird imbalance from a gasoline perspective, petrol, perspective. And then I'm just curious your thoughts on the diesel, jet fuel, petrol piece of all of this. And how much of a imbalance would it take for this to be catastrophic? 10%, 20%?
Speaker 2: Well, remember that refining oil into diesel fuel requires the right type of oil. So it's not just that we could, you know, we can't just close our borders in America, for example, and just generate all the diesel fuel we want regardless of what else is happening in the world. We need other mixtures of oil, including, you know, Saudi Arabian oil, for example, to fuel the refineries. So the the lack of oil trade, even though we are a net energy exporter in America, lack of oil trade impacts our ability to produce some of these fuels. On top of that, countries like China, for example, have completely halted their export of refined fuels, such as kerosene, jet fuel, diesel, etcetera.
That's affecting Australia. This is why Australia's airlines are going to end up being grounded. And Australia is a massive, large continent, you know, and there's a lot of road miles required to live and work in Australia. That's going to get strongly impacted, strongly shut down. And again, that's why EV sales are skyrocketing in Australia right now, which is extraordinary.
But, you know, to answer your question, it doesn't take much to lead to a collapse scenario because our modern civilization is far more fragile than people thought. Nobody thought about the fact that so much of the world's abundance and food came from, went through one narrow strait, 20 kilometers wide or whatever it is, that can be closed off very simply just by a credible threat from Iran to say we will harass ships. Therefore, no one's allowed to pass unless you pay in Yuan or you pay the, you know, the toll or whatever. So our civilization is very fragile. We stand on the verge of a planetary scale collapse of the system that has kept 8,000,000,000 people alive.
Speaker 4: I want to ask about the petrodollar because it's it's a shaky system as it is. It was negotiated through backdoor negotiations after we promised OPEC leaders we wouldn't do it. And now we are collapsing it ourselves by giving allies and nonallies, all other countries, an incentive to trade outside the petrodollar because we cannot be trusted. What do you think will happen to The US the petrodollar allows us to spend and rack up debt. That's the reason we can do it.
So what happens when that collapses? We will have to feel the nearly $40,000,000,000,000 in debt we've got. That sounds horrific for the world we're handing off to our kids. What do you think of that domino effect that I'm laying out here?
Speaker 2: You're exactly right. You just described it. The repatriation of the inflationary effects of fiat currency creation will be devastating to American consumers. We're going to be living in impoverishment across The United States Of America. And and also countries that are already struggling financially, such as Japan, are about to offload hundreds of billions of dollars of US Treasuries as a means of their own financial survival because of what's happening there.
Trump has, in the meantime, punished our allies like Taiwan through tariffs that are punitive, as well as three zero one sanctions that are punishing Taiwan for for being really good friends of ours and exporting microchips, for example, to The United States and making them affordable, and then they get punished for excess production? You know, what is And and and India gets punished for purchasing oil from from Russia. So, you know, the The US is is being a bad neighbor on the world stage under Trump. And sadly, the American people will suffer as more and more countries choose alternatives to the petrodollar. That's where this is headed.
Speaker 0: And so with this austerity, do you see these lockdowns on a large scale where you talked about EV, the, you know, the electric car piece of this? I can't help but think that this push I mean, it's all intentional. Right? This plan has been in place for decades to move us in this way, in this 2030 agenda, and get us to stay home, use electric energy instead of, instead of gasoline, ration how much we're allowed to eat, tell us that we're not allowed to eat beef, all of these things. So, it seems obvious.
I mean, it seems obvious, I think, to to the three of us sitting here. I guess what comes next? Are will we see wide scale, like, power power disruptions? What is your sense of looking at this, like, playing this out, sort of gaming this out, I guess, on a chessboard?
Speaker 2: Well, as you know, I I believe that the big picture is the widespread replacement of human cognition and labor with either AI agents on the cognition side and AI powered robots, which we just saw introduced again, you know, with Mulan Yeah. There in the White And even she was saying that these can basically replace teachers, which is technically true, but it shows you what they are up to. As AI cognition gains in technology, and Jiang Zhen Huang recently said that he believes that it's already achieved AGI. I have jokingly responded and said AGI is not a very high threshold because the average human worker is not that smart. So, you know, we, there's still a lot more upside to go on that.
But robotics is making a lot of advances. And when you begin to replace labor, which will be a gradual thing, it'll happen over the next ten years, it will take time. Then the question becomes, what is our government's plan for us as human beings when we cannot meaningfully participate in this economy? And I believe that these fuel and food lockdowns, scarcity and rationing are just the opening chapters of what they have in store for us.
Speaker 0: What do you see over the next week to two weeks? Because we're really at the beginning of this. We haven't even felt the ripple effects yet. Like, we're, you know, we're using up stuff left in the pantry, so to speak.
Speaker 2: Yeah. Right. Well, Americans in particular are in a much more generous situation compared to people in The Philippines or other countries. I was just checking, you know, my staff orders bulk food supplies from farmers in America. We are still able to order food that was grown last season.
And my understanding is that at least half of American farmers got the fertilizer that they needed for this current planting season. The real question for America is going to be the next planting season, you know, summer or fall. That's where we're going see a lot of fertilizer scarcity in place if we don't get the Strait Of Hormuz opened between now and then. So, America itself has more of a buffer than almost every other country in the world other than perhaps Russia or, yeah, probably just Russia. But a lot of other countries are going to suffer and as they bid up fuel prices, many American oil companies will end up selling American oil to other countries because they make more on that.
And that will drive up prices domestically for the American consumer. So price increases, but not Mad Max yet.
Speaker 4: Yeah. It's weird to me as, you know, a mother of three housewife. I go to the market and I'm like, we're not panicking about this, but we panicked about COVID. COVID, which had a low mortality rate. But this, like, hey, everybody, put peanut butter in your cart.
Like, that's how I feel all the time.
Speaker 0: Maybe there's cognitive dissonance in The United States, Mike, because like David on our staff here, he no. He's in Thailand, and he said that he he's never seen lines like this. Right, David? I mean, it's
Speaker 5: Yeah. Correct. And and I was gonna say it in the other part you're talking about, the Thailand economy is basically run on motorbikes. I mean, they deliver everything, mail, everything. So if the gas is gone, you're gonna shut down the whole economy here.
Speaker 0: Yeah. I mean, I haven't seen a long line yet.
Speaker 2: Fleet there is in trouble because of a lack of diesel. So they're not they're not fishing as much as they used to either. So some a lot of the big seafood exports are halted. Oh.
Speaker 0: So The United States, I guess my my cognitive dissonance point, I think there's, you know, people just still running to Costco, still living their life. They're not really seeing it yet. They're seeing gas prices going up $1, $2, diesel is going up significantly across the country. As I mentioned, nearly 30% in some areas. That's why the US Postal Service is asking for this fuel surge charge to be added to packages.
But for the average American yet, maybe they're not seeing it in the way that the, you know, people in Thailand or The Philippines are seeing it.
Speaker 2: Well, Clayton, if more Americans just watched Redacted, they would be well informed and they could get ahead of this. The sad part is that people just don't have the information. They have busy lives. They're taking care of whatever. And they're they're just catching glimpses of news from bad sources that won't tell them the truth.
So that's why I'm honored to be on your show. And I'm I'm really I love the work that you're doing and I'm happy to come back anytime. Thank you. You, sir.
Speaker 0: Mike Adams, the Health Ranger. Follow him on on X. Really one of my favorite voices. Really incisive. Always great to see you, Mike.
Thanks so much. We'll be checking in with you as well. Thanks, Mike, as always.
Speaker 2: Alright. Take care.
@Glenn_Diesen - Glenn Diesen
Michael Hudson: World Will Not Be the Same After the Iran War https://youtu.be/htokR5lYvv0 https://t.co/bOBMMjOTT5
Video Transcript AI Summary
Professor Michael Hudson and Glenn discuss how the war against Iran is reshaping the global economy and international order.
Hudson contends this is World War III in the sense that energy, fertilizer, and oil exports are fundamental to the world economy, and the conflict targets these choke points. He notes a recent US stock market rally of about a thousand points, driven by hopes of reversibility, while insisting the war’s effects extend far beyond Iran and are irreversible. He asserts the US is waging a war to maintain control over the world oil economy by preventing any sovereignty that could export oil outside US influence. This includes sanctions on Iran and Russia, and earlier sanctions on Venezuela, with the aim of ensuring oil proceeds flow to US-controlled channels. He argues the US sought to control the Strait of Hormuz to decide who gets Gulf oil, but Trump’s advisers warned that attempting to seize Hormuz would leave troops as “sitting ducks,” yet the underlying goal remains “grab the oil.” He claims Iran’s objective is to guarantee security by removing all US bases in the Middle East and by relief of sanctions imposed by US allies; without that, Iran claims the world will not return to the previous order.
Hudson emphasizes that the war disrupts key supply chains: oil, fertilizer, helium, sulfur, and related inputs. Although Iran allows oil exports via Hormuz for payments, it does not permit fertilizer exports, impacting the upcoming planting season. He forecasts the world entering the most serious depression since the 1930s due to these interruptions and the consequent financial ripples.
On the financial system, Hudson explains that since the 2008 crisis, the US pursued zero or near-zero interest rates to rescue banks, enabling asset price inflation in real estate, stocks, and bonds. He describes a shift where non-bank lenders and private equity could borrow cheaply and buy up assets, creating a debt-led, Ponzi-like dynamic that depended on continued access to credit and rising asset prices. As long as rates stayed low, this system could keep rolling; now, with 10-year treasuries around 4.5 percent and 30-year mortgages above 5 percent, the cost of rolling over debt intensifies. The war-induced disruptions to energy and inputs threaten defaults and a feedback loop of debt collapse, catalyzing a depression.
Regarding the broader international system, Hudson argues Europe is following sanctions on Russia at great economic cost, with Germany already experiencing GDP declines after energy sanctions in 2022. Europe’s shift away from Russian energy, the Ukraine-Hungary/gas dynamics, and the broader energy choke points threaten the cohesion of NATO and the EU. He predicts Europe may suffer consumer price increases and living standard cuts as deficits expand to subsidize heating and energy, leading to a reordering of alliances and economic blocs. He characterizes Asia–Russia–China as increasingly separate from Western systems, with a shift toward Asia as the growth center and Europe/US lagging. He asserts the West’s operational vocabulary frames the conflict as a clash of civilizations, but the underlying dynamic is a clash of classes, where the US seeks to subordinate others through energy and trade controls.
Hudson argues the current trajectory signals not simply a decline but an abrupt systemic change: the end of the postwar Western-led order. He calls for rethinking international institutions and law, including a new framework to replace a discredited United Nations and to organize economic and military arrangements that protect sovereignty outside US-dominated systems. He highlights the need for energy and food self-sufficiency to resist weaponized foreign trade and to avoid being drawn into US-imposed economic chaos.
In closing, Hudson points to Britain’s looming non-viability under deindustrialization and limited energy resources, illustrating how advanced economies may struggle to adapt to a new multipolar order.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Welcome back. Today, we are joined by professor Michael Hudson to discuss how the war against Iran is impacting the global economy. So thank you as always for coming back on the program.
Speaker 1: Well, I'm glad to be back, Glenn.
Speaker 0: So we often discuss the deteriorating state of The US economy, as well as the global economy, which is now based obviously on the foundation which is no longer sustainable. The US knows this is the case. Some countries try to adjust to new realities. Others are trying to delay. Others are trying to reverse what has happened.
But this war against Iran, it really seems to intensify all these dangerous symptoms which we speak of, and it seems like the world can't really go back to the way it was after this war. I was wondering how do you assess it, because this war impacts the global economy on so many levels. Energy, obviously, fertilizers are key, but how do
Speaker 1: you see the ramifications of this war? Well, we've discussed before how I think this is World War three precisely because energy, fertilizer, and the other exports of, oil producing countries are so important for the entire world. That makes it a war that has worldwide implications. And despite the fact that in the last hour or two, the stock market in The US has gone up a thousand points because they imagine that somehow, what has happened is all reversible and that, when Donald Trump says, well, Iran is talking about making an agreement and there are signs on the Internet that Iran says, well, all we're trying to do is protect ourselves, that somehow the world will go back to the way it was, not only before the attack, but really back to the nineteenth century, maybe the eighteenth century. The this isn't simply a war in Iran.
This is a war that, as we've discussed, it's a war by The United States to maintain a choke point on the entire world economy by controlling oil because everybody needs it. And, the reason it went to war with Iran is the same reason why last month it went to war with Venezuela and kidnapped the president and, took Venezuelan oil under US control so The United States can can decide who will get this oil from Venezuela and who will get the money from the oil exports, The United States. Now the The United States, as I think we've discussed, realizes that in order to, base its foreign policy on the ability to cut off oil shipments to the world, it has to, number one, prevent any other country's sovereignty from being able to export oil that's not under US control. And so so far, The United States has imposed sanctions, first on Iran that remain in place. Secondly in Venezuela, which are now relieved, and finally on Russia.
So that the only place where America's allies that agree to impose the sanctions on Russia can get their oil is from places that The United States controls. That's why the United States was so insistent in trying to con last week, and trying to control the Strait Of Hormuz through which much of the Saudi and OPEC oil is exported apart from the Saudi pipeline. Well, Donald Trump apparently is listened to his military advisers that said, look, our any troops that we try to grab the Strait Of Hormuz Islands to control it are going to be sitting ducks. And this is not a defensible situation. And any rate, Donald, don't you wanna just grab the oil?
And Donald Trump has said, despite that, yes, the real aim that we're in Iran and have waged the war has nothing to do with Iran wanting to get an atom bomb because it hasn't been trying to get an atom bomb. It has really nothing to do with Iran's foreign policy. It just wants American oil just like it wanted to grab Iraq's oil and has grabbed Iraq's oil. So all of this this fight is an attempt to use oil and control of its exports in the same way that Donald Trump has used his tariff policy of saying, we will create chaos in your economies if you don't agree to follow the what US diplomats ask you to do in the form of what Trump called gives back givebacks for his access to The US economy by reducing tariffs to a a less extreme level. Well, he's saying the same thing, basically now.
He wants to, grab Iraq Iran's oil. And with that, he will complete the long attempt by The United States stretching, for OPEC since, I guess, 2003, to take control all of the OPEC, the Arab monarchy's oil. And Iran was the last country of all of these, Iraq, Syria, Libya, the whole range of oil exporters. So now The United States alone, is seeking control of of the the Near Eastern oil. Well, that's supposed to give it a stranglehold.
The problem is that Iran is not going to allow itself to be conquered even though it said that, it's, willing to permit, oil exports again and to stop locking them, if other countries will supply its guarantee its security. What it means by security is number one, removal permanently of all US military bases in, The Middle East. And, of course, the largest military base is Israel, which, of course, The United States is not, going to do. Iran will also insist for its security that all of the sanctions that have been imposed by America's allies, by Europe, Japan, Korea, and others be relieved. Until these sanctions removed, until The United States removes its its presence, and in effect surrenders and admits that it's lost the war with Iran, the world is not going to go back to the way it was.
And even if somehow miraculously The United States would say, alright, we've given up our foreign policy. We are no longer going to be The United States as an imperial power. We're going to be just another country following the rules of law that the United Nations lay down. You know, we're, we're going to go back, to a normal world Even if it were to do this obviously impossible policy, the fact that the the oil has been interrupted and the helium supplies that were coming out of the Middle East have been blown up. There are no cutters.
Helium is already cut. And so the foreign companies that were obtaining helium before, certainly here in The United States and throughout the world, have all put cutbacks on helium. There are cutbacks on fertilizers. And although Iran is permitting oil exports through the Strait Of Hormuz in payment for $2,000,000 per ship, it's not permitting fertilizer exports. And so you're having the world going into the planting season.
So no matter what happens, the world is going to be in the most serious, depression since the great depression of the nineteen thirties. No matter what happens, there is no way of avoiding this depression. And that's what's so crazy about the stock market and its recovery. It's as if somehow they can't come to terms with the fact that the actions taken by The United States and Israel are irreversible. Who's going to pay for the reparations to Iran for all of the damage done to make them whole?
All of this is going to take probably at least the balance of this year to work out. So the whole world to answer your question, The US economy and the rest of the world are going into a very serious depression.
Speaker 0: Yeah. This the the energy aspect of this whole thing. I mean, it's you see some clear consistency coming from The United States over the past decades, but Trump has been often more, well, call it blatant or honest as opposed to his predecessors, where he very openly said that in Syria, we want their oil. We want their energy. In Venezuela, we want their oil.
And, of course, the latest now with Iran, we want their oil. It's well, you know that other leaders the other presidents are thinking the same, but it's interesting that it's being said in such an open way. How do you see, though, the this impacting the financial system? Like, to what extent would be energy trade linked to The US financial system? Because, again, with such a financialized economy, if something goes wrong there, something, you know, could unravel in The United States, it seems.
Speaker 1: Well, first, regarding your first comment about the fact that Trump's policy is simply following that of, the all the preceding American presidents. There has been no change at all, and you'll notice not a single former president, not Biden or, Obama or either of the George Bushes, not a single president has criticized Donald Trump and what he's doing. And in fact, the German leaders are all applauding Trump even though they're not letting, America use the airspace over Spain and, Italy now blocking the American airspace in Sicily and France, they're still maintaining the the, sanctions. And nobody in the world, no country has come out and accused Trump of being a war criminal, violating the international laws of war. Nobody's it's as if they are all hesitancy even to imagine a world that is not run by The United States in the way it is.
And such was the confidence in The US economy, to answer your question, that, ever since the crash the junk mortgage crash of two thousand eight, the financial sector has been very overburdened. And the solution by president Obama was to say, well, there's only one way to get the banks out of the negative equity that they've fallen into, and that's to pursue the zero interest rate policy. And with low interest rates, that made it profitable for the banks to lend to real estate, to lend to buyers of stocks and bonds, and that pulled the value of their the price of their collateral, their backing their real estate mortgages and their corporate loans to pull not only to pull The United States, financial system out of the negative equity that it was in, but to achieve the aims of, the Obama administration and the Wall Street interests behind him to, greatly provide a bonanza for the financial sector. Since 2008, American wage levels have been absolutely flat. 40% of Americans today don't have any savings at all.
All of the growth in in wealth has been financialized growth in wealth, real estate, stocks, and bonds. And this is the result of the low interest rate zero interest rate policy making it profitable for private capital. All of a sudden, non bank lenders have big firms, Blackstone and others, have borrowed from the banks at a very low interest, like 1%, and they bought all sorts of companies to do, what required a new word to be introduced into the English language, ensifification, to buy the companies and, just sort of bleed them for whatever they could and to maximize the financial returns by debt leveraging and, to buy them on credit on so little credit with 1% or even 2% interest rates that they could get everything that they could make over this minimal low interest rates. And so you have this enormous financial inverted pyramid based built on this bank credit. And the Federal Reserve system, as treasury secretary Bessent has noticed, has extended enormous credit to the banks based on collateral that they've put up from all of this.
The Federal Reserve will create the credit for banks that will then make make the loans to private equity and then, put all of pledge all of this their collateral, with, the Federal Reserve. So it's been a asset price inflation. In the monetarists, Milton Friedman, monetary economists, make this false assumption that creating money is going to increase the price index, meaning consumer prices. That's not what banks lend money for. They lend money for assets to buy real estate stocks and bonds and what and and the value of a home or an office building or a a stock company is however much the bank will lend against it.
And the lower the interest rate is the more money that can the larger the loan can be capitalized on the basis of whatever the buyer or owner of this asset can squeeze out of it. So you you've had The US economy squeezed in terms of the labor force is squeezed, real economy, the industrial economy has been squeezed and to pull out all of these commitments to the financial sector. And, the this financial, asset price inflation has attracted pension fund money and private investment money, all of which is committed to, somehow making this financial debt pyramiding work. And the only way that you can make it work is to turn the economy into a Ponzi scheme, where you lend the debtors the money to pay the interest to keep current on their loans so they don't default. Well, now you've just seen the interest rates on thirty year mortgages, to, this week went over 5% and the ten year treasury securities of four and a half percent.
This is all of a sudden there's no zero interest rate anymore. All of a sudden all of these loans that have to be rolled over, from the large banking institutions that have made these loans to the private capital companies, find themselves unable to recover their cost of capital by lending these companies enough money to pay to continue the Ponzi scheme that is underway. That's the whole problem for the economy. And the fact that the, war on Iran is it has created irreversible for the time being, interruptions in the chain of payments that was based on oil and gas and ammonia and fertilizers and sulfur and helium. All of these thing there these breaks in the chain of payments are going to lead to defaults.
And once there's a default, you have this exponential growth process of debt reversed, and you have exponential shrinkage on the way down. That's what a depression is.
Speaker 0: You know, it's what's hard to predict how it will play out as well given that there's so many variables and so many actors who will be affected by this. Indeed, it's hard to imagine any country in the world who won't be affected, especially due to the energy alone. But if we look at the other great powers, how do you see them being affected by this war? I mean, we we we see the energy well, for example, energy war, it's not just, you know, with Iran, with with the Russian, for example. You know, NATO's tried to cut off or at least limit the reliable access to a lot of key maritime corridors or choke points, as you referred to them earlier on, for Russia.
That is not to limit Russia in the Black Sea, the Baltic Sea, and also in the Arctic. We see the efforts to not just to, well, hijack Russian oil tankers, but now they wanna seize the oil as well. It's, you know, attacks on its refineries. We you know, the Chinese are worried about these choke points. They they're they're also worried that The US going after Iran is a way of targeting China's own energy access.
And, of course, India will also be greatly impacted by this. The Americans had just convinced them to reduce their purchases of Russian oil, and now, of course, all of it has to be reversed and indeed encourage them to buy more Russian oil to keep the markets up. Yeah. How do you see the, I guess, wider international system adjusting to this? Because The US is trying to sell it very hard, that this is Iran's fault, but but this is The United States that had attacked Iran with Israel, of course.
Speaker 1: Well, is the international system is not adjusting. Russia has said, well, Europe has stated, the NATO countries have stated they're going to stop by buying Russian gas and oil, but actually they've been managing to get some, ever since 2022. Europe has already said that, I think by May, they're going to stop, importing Russian oil and gas. And so Russia says, well, why not stop right now? They've all they've already threatened to break all of their long term contracts that they'd promised.
You know, we'll we'll sell our oil and gas to other countries. And, obviously, with Hormuz closed, the Russia has no problem at all finding other countries to import this. Europe seems to be committing economic suicide by following the sanctions on on Russia, and you'd think that it would see the results that have happened to Germany, above all, of, cutting off, Russian gas and oil. The the the whole of Europe is going to end up looking like Germany looked like after 2022, and its GDP has been going down, and probably will continue to. It seems, not it seems not only dead set or not importing Russian oil and gas, but, Ukraine has cut off the, gas the pipeline supply to Hungary, and I think, the Czechia also.
And, this is, this is a non NATO country. Ukraine has virtually declared war on Hungary, and NATO is supporting the attacker, the foreign attacker of a NATO country. I don't see how NATO and the European Union can survive all of this, you know, because the result of this economic, crisis of is going to force the governments either to violate all of the restrictions on how large can a government deficit be as governments try to pay subsidies to the homeowners and the business to heat their homes or office buildings and have a like presidency to turn on the lights at the higher gas and oil prices. Something has to give. And so far, what you're having is Mertz, in Germany saying, we have to cut back living standards.
We have to cut back social spending to spend more on military to fight Russia so that Russia cannot invade us again and take over East Germany like it used to. This is crazy. There's still the this is the enabling myth of, that, Europeans have, been told that they need American support to protect them against this, the fact that, elephants are going to, somehow invade or flying saucers will invade. Anybody. They can make in any kind of an enemy, that the Russians actually have any interest in invading, when, invading Europe.
Or, obviously, Russia has turned its attention towards Asia and some of most countries. You'll notice a change in the vocabulary of the newspapers and television and media over the last year. I think thirty years ago when I was writing archaeology books, we called Mesopotamia, Iraq, Iran, the Near East. Well, then then it changed to the better term, well, Middle East. But in the middle of what?
In the middle of Europe and Asia. Well, now the word that is used in polite company is West Asia. It's not the Near, Near East that's part of it's recognized that this is now and henceforth part of Asia. And this the whole world's growth area is going to be a part of Asia leaving Europe and The United States, leaving the West behind. So it's a it's a polite way of saying Asia is the East, no longer the West.
And that is the division you're having in the world. America's allies, in Europe, the Western Hemisphere, plus Japan, Korea, and Philippines in Far East Asia, that that's part of a whole different economic block. And what we're seeing is something that I think for years the Americans call, well, it's a clash of civilization. But it's not a clash of civilization. It's a class of it's a clash of an attack on civilization by what The United States is doing and its allies and, breaking all of what people think are the laws of civilization.
The laws of national sovereignty, of non interference with other countries affairs. The laws of war where you're not supposed to attack civilians but limit your attacks to, military targets. You're not supposed to go to war without declaring war. You're not supposed to make sneak attacks, and pretend for war. You you almost every international law in the last few years, and I could almost say decades, has been broken by The United States and president Trump and, his foreign secretaries have said, we don't need international law anymore.
International law no longer serves The United States. But this international law was the integument that is was supposed to hold civilization together. The laws of decent civilized behavior. Well, you're seeing the, the ethnic and religious hatred from Ukraine to Israel to the fundamentalist Christians, that are violating, you know, all of these respect for individualism, respect for freedom, and yet The United States calls this class a clash of civilization between democracies headed by the Ukrainian and, Israeli democracies and the end of The US under Trump against, autocracies, meaning countries with a strong enough government to resist this attack on civilization, of which I must say Iran has been even more, strong than, Russia in making this defense of itself. But, to be sure, it wasn't really left with any alternative.
It's fighting for its its existence and its unwillingness to surrender and essentially to follow what Patrick Henry said, in The United States, in the American Revolution against Britain. Give me liberty or give me death. Well, America didn't have the concept of martyrdom, but, certainly, Iran does and, so did Africa in the British and Dutch and European attack on African tribes in the nineteenth century, willing to fight even against machine guns. That was the morality was, you don't, we're fighting for a way of life against, against people who want to enslave us or deny us of any kind of self independence and self support of autonomy, of the ability to make our own future. This is this is what the fight's all about, and it's ultimately a moral fight, as well that is finding itself translated into, an economic fight and a trade fight, and is leading that's what's leading to the the split.
And it looks like this, no matter what Iran may agree to regarding, oil trade from, through, The Gulf and other countries, this split is going to continue because it's the it's the last chance by America to hold on to a power that it can't hold by being a prosperous country, offering other countries a win win scenario and a or any benefit from, joining and subordinating their interests to American interests. American interests are now juxtaposed to those of every other country quite explicitly in American foreign policy. And yet other countries aren't realizing that in order to avoid being subordinated to American policy at the cost of being pushed into depression, closing down their major industries, unemploying much of their industrial labor, and actually deindustrializing while the rest of, the world, West Asia to the rest of Asia is, growing that, this is this is the the world's destiny. There's no attempt to say, oh, what kind of institutional change a structural change do we need? This is not a marginal change.
And I think we need a new word for it. The word remember the Great Depression? When people had coined that word, it seemed like, what's the depression? Well, you have the world going up, and it's just like a little bit of a downturn to go up. Depression was a euphemism, intended to be a euphemism for just a slight interruption.
But, of course, as it became a plunge leading to World War two, it took on a bad word. So then a new euphemism was developed. Well, recession. Recession was supposed to be even less than a depression. Okay.
A recession is, only a slowing or a a bit of a just, you just tread water until you return to your growth path. But the growth path that the West has followed now has ended. We're, not only, stable it not growing, But as you see in Germany and Europe, you're having the economies actually turned down and you're seeing a desperate downturn in the global South countries that cannot outbid the more the wealthier Asian countries from bidding from obtaining oil and gas and helium and other products, fertilizer at higher prices. So something is going to have to give for all of these countries. And it's not only The US market that where you're going to have an inability of many companies to pay their debts to the banks because of the high price of energy, but, you're going to have, the same break in the chain of payment by countries with heavy foreign debts that, all of a sudden also have to now pay heavy trade deficits to pay for the oil and the gas and the fertilizer and the other commodities whose distribution has been interrupted and whose price is going up to crisis levels.
And there's no way of using regression analysis, trend analysis to project this. It's off the charts everywhere. And if you look at how the stock market has done, even in today's recovery on Wall Street, what's up more than anything else are the high technology, information sector monopolies. And yet all of the growth in these seven big companies that have been leading the whole Nasdaq average in The United States have been companies whose expansion requires energy. And I think we've just before, there's hasn't been very much increase in electric utility output at all in The United States.
There's no energy for them. So what did they do? Well, they begin to say, well, let's go to where the energy is. Let's go to Saudi Arabia and The Emirates and let's go to Bahrain and Google and Amazon and other company Facebook. These other countries have been relocating in the OPEC countries.
But now, Iran has said, well, we will not be secure as not only as long as other US military bases there, but as long as the OPEC economies are in a symbiotic relationship with The United States, depending on The United States for all of their investment in this energy and saving all of their oil revenues by investing in The United States. As long as that symbiosis exists, they're going to be a a threat to our security by being part of The US, group that is encouraging war on us and destruction in on this. So this whole attempt to somehow solve the expansion of The US information technology sector by investing in the OPEC countries is being wiped out as Iran has been bombing all of these centers to say, we want you you, other Arab, Emirates and monarchies, sheikdoms. I hate to call them monarchies. That sort of elevates them in in size to we want you to relocate along Asian lines because you you can't remain as part of The US or we won't feel secure because you're going to try to attack us again and again and again to follow your US, controllers.
So this is part of the political sit system, how it is intertwined not only with the financial system in general, but specifically with the, information technology sector that has been, leading the whole stock market boom and all of the array of companies sent around this sector.
Speaker 0: What I find fascinating though is that for decades now, at least over the past forty, fifty years, there's been a lot of work and literature on what you more or less described as a benign hegemon. That is, said The United States, you know, if it it needs to restore this ability to to dominate. And, countries should see this as being a benefit. Well, we had all these ideas of a benign hegemon, but, you know, it was rooted very much in this concentration of power, which meant that there wasn't any competition. But, you know, making that point short is what's been argued since the seventies and eighties was essentially what happens over time when The US power will begin to wane, when other countries will have rival technologies, when other countries will have their own, you know, navies, they will seek to, you know, not be dominated by The United States.
You have other rising currencies, economies. What happens overall when the hegemon is declining? And the argument then will be, well, it wouldn't be possible for The US to be benign hegemon because a benign hegemon would then secure. It would have open access to maritime corridors, would have free access to technologies, free access to, you know, use of banks, currencies, all of this. But once you have a declining hedge fund, it it has two problems.
First, one, of course, it's it's it's less reliable because it's bankrupt, and also likely it would use a lot of its economic instruments of power as an instrument to keep other great powers down. And, essentially, what would the benign hegemon do if it's in decline? It would have two options. Either it could stop being a hegemon or it could stop being benign. So this, you know, more aggressive approach to essentially restore control over international oil supply or, you know, cutting off tech for the Chinese, cutting off oil trade for the Russians.
All of this is was very much predicted by many people, yet it seems to come as a shock. I my my question, though, was
Speaker 1: Let me say one thing before we just on your vocabulary. We need a much better word than decline. The people who you mentioned who we forecast a decline didn't have a clue as to what they were talking about. A decline is something you know, it's like a business cycle. It goes up and down, then it always recovers, up and down.
But, every there's no there's never been any such thing statistically at the cycle. Here's what happened. There's certainly the so upsweep of the psych upsweep of the psych upsweep upsweep of the cycle and then a crash. Upsweep, it's a ratchet effect. It's not there's no decline.
It's a crash. A decline is sort of like the counterpart to an ascent. The ascent is slow, exponential perhaps, growing, peaking, and then a crash. And that's what's happening now. And it would have been a decline if other countries would have thought of, yes, there'll be a decline.
We have to think of what's going to take the place of the system that, we've been working in under US leadership. But they haven't. And so the this ending we're seeing the ending of an era, not a decline, but an abrupt change. And this change is not stemming from without. The ending of the American power did not re result from any foreign civil war or for or other war against American dominance.
The end came from The United States itself in trying to juxtapose its interest to every other country thinking, you know, we're going to put sanctions against, everyone who doesn't agree with this against we we we hate China because, they're more prosperous than us. We hate Russia because Russia's supporting China. We hate Iran because we don't control its oil. We hate, Iraq and Syria because we don't control, its oil. And now Trump in the last few days has said, we're really angry with Europe because Europe didn't send its navy to commit suicide and, all be killed by joining us in opening the Persian Gulf.
He said, hey, Europe, if you want oil, why don't you send your navy to open up the the Persian Gulf and go and come and get it? We don't need it. It's our war, but your problem. That and well, if the it's The United States, all the way from the Bushes, through Obama, through Trump that has given the rest has closed off The United States from the rest of the world and virtually declared war on the rest of the world, leaving the whole rest of the world with no option except to join Iran. That's what's so amazing in all of this, that it's, The US has ended its own empire.
Well, many of the people talking about decline say there are slow processes that change all of this, but they didn't they've never acknowledged the inherently hostile, position of The US to other countries saying, we will not join any institution internationally in which we do not have veto power and any country wanting the sovereignty to pursue its own interest, we will treat as an enemy and call it an autocracy. An autocracy is a country with the strength to say we will go our own way and not submit to The US democracy, Ukraine, and Israel style. I mean, this is what it is. So we're seeing the we're seeing a systemic change, And a systemic change is a changeover. The the world is no longer part of the past trends.
Those trends and the connections that have, created this trend as a matrix are all ended now. And, you're having a new world trying to structure itself, and there's been so little thought about it. The guests that you've had on your show talk about it, but, we're pretty much in a minority and, other people haven't thought, well, in order to have an alternative to The US run International Monetary Fund, World Bank, United Nations, and a control World Court and Army, We need our own international organization and ultimately our own military force to defend ourselves so that what has happened to Iran and the rest of the Middle East and the other countries that America has gone to war with again and so often since the the nineteen fifties. So this will never never occur again, certainly not in the way it has. And so that we can have a world that indeed is supposed to have a body of international law and rules of war so we're never plunged into this kind of crisis again.
That nobody's talking about how to what kind of a monetary system, a financial system, a trade system, a new body of international law, and a meeting to replace the United Nations, which is now as obsolete as the League of Nations had become by World War two time.
Speaker 0: No. This is, yeah, a great point. I mean, it's easy to point out the mistakes and the decline of the existing system, but what should come next? You know, you would hope there would be more debates around this, but that's a, yeah, excellent point. I I just my last question was, I guess, more specific.
I wanted to look at well, just ask when you see this shortage of energy and fertilizers to focus on these two, how do you see the how can we essentially trace the ripple effects through through the timing? No. Not. It's a specific it has a very vague and wide question, I guess.
Speaker 1: Everybody's answer is going to be the same. Without fertilizer, crop yields fall. And when crop yields fall, prices go up is the way markets work is the people with the most money get to buy the crops that are left available when they when they fall. That's what happens in a crisis. Farmers make more money when there's a crash of output, when there's a when the harvest fail and the prices go up than they make when the the harvests are fine.
Well, in America, you're still having the agricultural system give subsidies to farmers to grow corn to make gas a hole from. That's crazy. I mean, you'd think that in a logical society, these American farmers making gas a whole would be growing food crops to feed the population. That's not happening. I'm not sure what other other countries are going to do.
There's going to probably some countries will shift from plantation export crops to food crops to feed themselves. There's going to be throughout the world a recognition that, you need food self sufficiency to, save yourself from The US weaponization of foreign trade in food, in oil, in fertilizer, and just about anything that The United States can create a choke point for and weaponize. You have to stop foreign trade from being weaponized in the first place. So obviously, there's going to be a lot of people. There are warnings especially for Africa and parts of starvation.
For the big countries in Latin America, Brazil, Argentina, they're gonna be okay in terms of agriculture because they have a lot of people can eat soybeans. Their westerners may not like them as much as Asians, but soybeans are very good for you. High protein, there are all sorts of solutions. Brazil and, Latin America, can probably do okay, but Africa is a real problem because of the distorted monoculture economies that Europe, backed by the World Bank, have created there, especially since World War two, where they've gave up the self sufficiency that they that World War two forced them, to do. And now they're back in a wartime situation where, the only way of survival is to become self sufficient, and that self sufficiency is probably going to last longer than a return to the kind of international specialization of labor that you had between the trade surplus countries and the trade and payments deficit countries.
All of that's going to be changed. The whole philosophy of economic growth is going to be changed to reject the World Bank's emphasis on plantation agriculture and US for foreign ownership of raw materials, land, and basic rent yielding resources.
Speaker 0: It's funny how the world is flipped on its head in this way because ever since World War two, the the countries who allied with The United States, they had reliable access to to international trade. They could make they could afford to make themselves dependent on these trade networks, and they could essentially take this, you know, Ricardo's comparative advantage to the extreme, you know, don't have to co make their own food, don't have to do, you know, develop their own fertilizers. They can become completely dependent on energy. But now, meanwhile, the countries who are adversary adversaries of The United States, they have to develop self sufficiency in many ways that that that technology will across the board. Now that The US is, well, struggling, let's say, this, and the system is breaking down, we see that the lack of strategic autonomy of some of its allies is is quite shocking, and Europe, I think, is a great case.
So I'm not sure if you have any final thoughts before we wrap up?
Speaker 1: Yes. Let's look at Britain. And Britain has access to foreign trade, certainly. But what is it going to how is it going to trade? What does it have to pay for its imports in?
It's been deindustrialized by the combination of Margaret Thatcher and Tony Blair and the conservative and labor parties together have deindustrialized it. So how on earth is Britain going to survive? What does it have to offer the world for, for food and essentials and energy and the other things that it needs? It doesn't have the North Sea oil anymore or rather it's, dwindled way down. I guess Norway is all in Scandi is also finding that its reserves in the North Sea are getting sort of low.
How are, what are these, countries going to do now that they followed neoliberal economics and deindustrialized?
Speaker 0: We'll find out shortly, I guess. It's surprising, though, how how quickly everything changed from the nineties. You know, it was more or less consensus around the end of history that this was it until now this massive crisis. And, well, many people did warn, though, that the war on Iran would just exacerbate all these poor fundamentals, but yet here we are. So, thank you as always for taking some, time and to, yeah, share your insights on these issues.
Speaker 1: Well, I'm glad you've given me a chance to talk about, the big questions.
@RedactedNews - Redacted
The DEATH of the Petro Dollar is here. 🤯@ProfessorWerner says the Iran war is not an accident. It is an intentional dismantling of the current world order to usher in control grids for digital currency. Gas at $4 a gallon is just the beginning. https://t.co/rczEWVT4Ro
Video Transcript AI Summary
Over the past few days, the conversation covered rising U.S. gas prices, with average prices surpassing $4 per gallon on Tuesday, the highest in nearly four years. The discussion then shifted to geopolitical tensions around Iran, Israel, and the United States. It was noted that Donald Trump is reportedly seeking an off ramp from the war against Iran, but every time there are negotiations toward ceasefires or frameworks for talks, Israel allegedly bombs to scuttle those plans. Joe Kent was cited as saying that there is significant frustration inside the Trump administration because Israeli actions derail negotiations.
Further comments stated that whenever Trump attempts to move toward negotiation, Israelis “come in and they kill negotiators,” “kill members of the government,” and “bomb the infrastructure” to show that the U.S. is not negotiating in good faith, with the implication that U.S. verbal assurances are hollow while Israel acts unrestrained. It was suggested that only when the U.S. actually restrains Israel’s support will their behavior change, despite reports of high-level admonitions from the Vice President or others.
Trump published a note on Truth Social addressed to Europe and the UK, criticizing their inability to obtain jet fuel due to the Strait of Hormuz and urging the United Kingdom to buy oil from the United States, build up courage, and take control of Hormuz, implying the U.S. would no longer assist them.
The program then brought in economist Professor Richard Werner to analyze global economic directions amid oil and gas price concerns, food stocks, fertilizer, helium, and related supply chains. Werner, based in Europe, emphasized Europe’s dependence on energy, fertilizer, and other raw materials from abroad, noting that Europe has thrived on an international trade model that moved up value-added production. He described the current situation as a policy-induced crisis or potential catastrophe, with energy supply already restricted by past policy choices (e.g., cutting ties with Russia for energy, decommissioning nuclear and coal plants). He warned of a possible major shock to the economy, comparing the risk to the 2020 experience of policy-induced throttling.
The discussion touched on financial vulnerability, including concerns about how embargos or disruptions could affect food supply chains and economic stability. Werner described the situation as intentional policy shifts and indicated a broader realignment of the global order, with institutions like BRICS, the Belt and Road Initiative, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, and the New Development Bank fostering greater influence for China and other non-U.S. actors. He asserted that there is a push for a new international order that gives more power to alternative players, criticizing U.S. dominance in the IMF and World Bank.
Werner argued that the “petrodollar system” established after the 1970s allowed continued U.S. economic supremacy, and suggested the world is witnessing a shift away from the dollar’s dominance toward alternative systems, potentially including digital currencies. He claimed Western countries are moving toward digital control measures, including strict currency surveillance and restrictions, while BRICS countries show more interest in gold as a store of value. He also described increasing censorship and sanctions in the EU regarding dissenting opinions, tying this to the rollout of digital currencies and the potential for controllable spending if governments “switch off” money.
The exchange concluded with gratitude for Werner’s analysis and a hope for cooler heads to prevail to minimize impact, while acknowledging the likelihood of a new world order.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Well, over the past few days, we've seen gas prices now hit their highest level since 2022 in The United States, respectfully. Average US prices skyrocketed now past $4 per gallon on Tuesday, reaching their highest level in nearly four years. Donald Trump is reportedly looking for some kind of off ramp, if you can actually believe that, from this war against Iran, Israel's war against Iran. But, of course, every time we move close to negotiations to try to end this war, Israel bombs something to basically scuttle those plans. We spoke with Joe Kent earlier this week who said that this is a big frustration inside of the Trump administration that every time we get close to some sort of ceasefire agreement or some sort of framework for negotiations, the Israeli step in and bomb and scuttle those plans.
Watch.
Speaker 1: And then also in terms of every time that president Trump attempts to move us to a place where we can negotiate, the Israelis come in and they they kill negotiators. They kill members of the government. They, like, specifically bomb the infrastructure that president Trump tell says that we're not going to bomb anymore, basically to show the Iranians that, like, we're not negotiating in in good faith or that it really doesn't matter what we say because the Israelis are just gonna jump in and and do whatever they want. And as much as the Israelis have gone against us publicly, we still have yet to restrain them in any meaningful way. I know there's been some reports here and there that, you know, the vice president or somebody else called and, like, yelled at Bebe.
But until we actually take away some of the support that we're giving to the Israelis, their behavior will not change because they basically think that any, you know, kind of, talking to that we give them is just hollow because it because it truly is.
Speaker 0: Ouch. And then president Trump on Tuesday morning published this note on Truth Social. It's really a big FU to Europe and The UK. All of those countries that can't get jet fuel because of the Strait Of Hormuz. And, of course, I just read this to, Captain Ho a few minutes ago.
But he said, like The United Kingdom, which refused to get involved in the decapitation of Iran, I have a suggestion for you. Number one, buy the buy your oil from The United States. We have plenty. Number two, build up some delayed courage and go to the Strait Of Hormuz and just take it. You'll have to start learning how to fight for yourself.
The USA won't be there to help you anymore, just like you weren't there for us. Iran has been essentially decimated. The hard part is done. Go get your oil, president Trump. So we wanna bring in one of the most respected economists in the world, and that is professor Richard Werner, now to analyze where we are heading with this economy because there are all sorts of very troubling signs, just in oil and gas prices, but, of course, from food stocks and stores and, fertilizer, helium.
You heard captain Ho just talk about that a few moments ago. So, professor, great to see you. I guess, I just wanna ask maybe at the top level here before we get into some of the nuance. What are the biggest concerns for me for you economically worldwide with this war right now?
Speaker 2: Thanks for having me on your show. A great fan of your show. It's a pleasure to be here. It is very concerning. I'm based in Europe and Europe is very much dependent on energy from a number of outside sources, including from The Middle East.
It's dependent on fertilizer, it's dependent on other raw materials that are important for either food or industrial production, specialized you know raw materials. So Europe of course has thrived in the past on this international business model where you import raw materials, you add value and you produce high quality, high value added final output. And while international trade is working, this delivers prosperity. And of course, developing countries can do the same. Often they were told by the IMF and the World Bank not to move up the value added ladder.
But that's been the model certainly in Europe. And other successful countries in East Asia have done the same. So we are facing now yet another policy induced crisis, if not catastrophe. If raw material inputs are cut off further because already the energy situation in Europe has been quite dire frankly for the last four years with prices rising significantly and also very much policy induced artificial reduction in the supply of necessary inputs and imports. For example, Europe saying, okay, we won't deal with Russia because they've just delivered for decades very reliably and very cheaply energy to us.
We're going to stop importing that now. We're going to blow up some more nuclear power plants in Germany and some even the traditional coal power plants that blew them up. So we've had these policy induced restrictions already on energy supply. And now we're coming to a point where there could be a real well, what they all call a choke point being utilized on Europe, in particular. It looks better to me looking from the outside in The U.
S. I think the risk is far far more moderate in The U. S, although we do also have strange things happen in The U. S, various food supply chain node points being blown up and having some strange fires in various strange places. But overall, Europe is much more vulnerable.
Asia is also quite vulnerable really. So we could see a major shock to the economy, similar to what happened in 2020, which was another policy induced throttling of the economy.
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That this is a destruction of our own making, of our own policy by these globalists. And so when you see that intentional destruction of this world order right now, we heard from Sergei Lavrov on Tuesday from Russia saying that we are seeing a major recalibration of the world order right now. That the fighting is fierce, but there is going to be a recalibration massively, I think in the next couple of years. That is what we are seeing right now. So, I mean, professor, this sounds like it's intentional.
This is an intentional reordering of the world order in order to either consolidate power. It'll I I don't know exactly. Maybe you can sort of unpack what you see if this is in fact intentional.
Speaker 2: It is intentional. It's policy induced. The policies have been intentionally taken. And of course, there is the usual gap between what they say they're doing and what they're actually doing. And one shouldn't be confused by that.
Basically, there's a lot of lying going on as usual. And what they tell us is their motivation and their reason and what's their goal is not necessarily what the real goal is because some of these people are very well aware that if they spoke plainly, it wouldn't be very popular. So, yes, it's a realignment in the major geopolitical system and it is intentional. The intentionality can also be seen apart from all the events early on, which were also very much intentional in 2022, leading Russia really to, at that time was from a Russian perspective, the only step left for them to make sure that there could perhaps be peace for the ethnic Russian speakers, citizens formerly of Ukraine, but they were subjected to already eight years of war by civil war by the Kyiv government. So that was the next step.
There was no other option left. And then, of course, the way Europe reacted to this was further exacerbating the situation and these choke points were utilized against the West European population, it's quite clear in Europe and similar in some other parts of the world. What's happening now with Iran and the closure of the Strait Of Hormuz, I mean, you wonder really about, for example, the decision by the insurance companies, many leading names of which are based in the city of London in The United Kingdom, to not ensure shipping going through the Hormuz Strait Of Hormuz before the various reactions from Iran and statements from Iran were made. So that seemed to be an indication that already these things have been planned very much in advance. And it was clear that a disruption to international shipping, international trade was really part and parcel of certainly the planning exercises that have been going on in London.
So where is this leading us? Well, from a Russian perspective, and you quoted the Foreign Minister Lavrov, of course, what countries like Russia, China, the BRICS member countries and Iran is one of those BRICS member countries are wanting to see is a new rebalancing of the international order that gives more power to alternative places, not just The U. S. I mean, this is a process that really started quite a while ago. Around 02/2930, China made several very official formal efforts to apply to all the stakeholders in The U.
S. Concerning the IMF World Bank and UN related UN setup in order to get a bigger vote. The International Monetary Fund and the World Bank are dominated by The U. S. Vote and there seem to be no sort of legal real justification anymore why this should be in this way.
And so China basically said, give us a bigger voice and we're happy to work through these organizations and with you continue the international collaboration as it's panned out. But the other countries' rising powers such as China should also have a bit of a say. They were rebuffed. And that's when China then around 2010 launched under the current president launched his landmark Belt and Road Initiative, which perhaps initially was a little bit hard to understand from a Western viewpoint. But from a Chinese viewpoint, it was essentially the Chinese attempt at creating an international structure with China having a larger role commensurate with its economic capacity and also ability and willingness to play a bigger political role and help other countries develop.
So it was centered on corporation, trade and also help for developing countries in various forms, while at the same time securing supply lines, international trade for China. And at the core of this were alternative institutions of the IMF and the World Bank, it's like the Chinese IMF and the Chinese World Bank were created, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank in Beijing and the New Development Bank in Shanghai. Now while these banks have not really received many headlines, They are just really a part of this structure. At the same time, we've got the Shanghai Corporation Organization and we've got the various initiatives by both Belt and Road membership countries and also the BRICS countries. They all are aimed at other countries having a bit more of a voice in what's going on in the world and not just America dictating things.
Speaker 0: Alright. Do you see this professor is is this just an oil shock, or now are we crossing into a much bigger credit shock for the global economy with the Strait Of Hormuz closed, disrupted Brent crude near, you know, $118 a barrel? What do you think breaks first in this financial system?
Speaker 2: Well, of course, when you say oil shock, I mean, the first thing most people think of is historical comparisons. The big oil shock was just more than fifty years ago in the 1970s. And that seemed to be and that's certainly the story that's written about it, Something that's like a bad event happened. There was this oil supply shock, it couldn't be avoided. Then there was inflation.
But really, that's just the cover story. That was also a completely orchestrated event. The inflation was not even due to oil prices. That's the irony of it. There was significant inflation, of course, 1970s, but that was entirely created by the central banks massive money printing and monetary expansion.
Why were they doing that? Because in 1971, The United States defaulted on its international gold obligations. And this default triggered The United States also abandoning the fixed exchange rates that became untenable, the dollar fell. And that was the real problem, the fall of the dollar. This is, of course, currently the same problem when we talk about what we just discussed, know, alternative system, other countries trying to have a bit of a say.
What about the dollar? And that's really the answer. The short answer to your question is, well, the dollar is the central focus of what's going on and we have to watch what this means. It doesn't mean that the dollar necessarily will be the first to fall and crash. Actually, it's the vassal's currencies that are being debauched first, Japan being a case in point.
The yen is ridiculously cheap. It's artificially done to suit America because by artificially weakening major industrialized countries' currencies against the dollar, that's one way of maintaining strength in the dollar. See, mean, currency is always relative, it's always currency pairs. So Japan is made to have this weak currency so that dollar looks stronger basically. And in terms of the economy, of course, Japan has been suppressed for several decades and they've had lost decades.
This is, of course, what's been happening to Europe more recently. Germany in particular, Europe, another group of vassal countries that are made to suffer for the benefit of the U. S. Dollar and The U. S.
Economy and strategic relationship. So really what happened behind the scenes while in the early 70s, the central banks, starting with the Federal Reserve, were reflating, creating money in vast amounts and at vast speed, therefore creating the inflation was to hide the realignment of the international monetary system and really the dollar and the dollars roll from previously being fixed exchange rate and gold linked dollar to a dollar that was no longer linked well, was no longer in fixed exchange rates and was not linked to gold, but was now going to be underpinned because it has to be underpinned by real economic resources to underpinned by oil. And that was being arranged at that time, at the same time. So from 1972, 'seventy March, essentially becoming effectively only in 'seventy four, the petrodollar system then was erected. And that allowed The U.
S. To enjoy another half century of economic supremacy. So I think this is what we're witnessing. We're witnessing the shift at the end of the petrodollar and the shift to a new system, which in the Western countries, the countries that are really part of the U. S.
Empire, if you want to call it that, seems to be aimed at having digital currencies as the next step. So no link to gold or other real resources, but digital and you see this will only work if they step up controls. And that's what we see in the West. I mean, in Europe, it's astonishing in The UK, the European Union, how the media being censored, people are getting censored, sanctioned for just uttering their opinion or what they believe to be professionally sound analyses. And you get sanctions, you can't buy anything, you become an outlaw.
This is the latest they're doing in the EU to some people speaking up and having different opinions from the European Commission. Because basically when you adopt this digital currency system, it is a system of control and it works while you step up all the controls. And then you can control inflation because, well, if you think that people are spending too much, hey, we just switch off your spending power. Your money won't work anymore. And you can fine tune this, you can use AI to run this digital gulag.
So that seems to be happening in the West. This whole digital infrastructure and surveillance and control system is being put in place while we speak. And you see this works by having scarcity as an excuse because if you're going to roll out more measures as we saw in 2020, you need an excuse. And the war against Iran seems to be as good as any excuse, cutting off energy supplies and trade, sorry, we're out of energy, we need some lockdowns now, we need energy lockdowns, you can't use your car, you're maybe not allowed to travel. So that's where things seem to be heading in the West.
While in the BRICS countries, there seems to be a preference for gold. Acquiring gold, shoring up gold reserves. Although to some extent that's true globally, gold is quite popular. You wonder whether in Europe and the Western countries they will allow gold to remain free. I mean, the EU, they're restricting cash payments.
The amount of money that is allowed to be used in the form of cash for transactions is restricted by EU regulation, by the commission. And of course, they're going to constantly bring down those limits. So I think these are the trends. And of course, we have to watch what the currencies are going to do. The currencies are one way to reflect this and the other one is how they're going to deal with our freedoms and restrict our freedoms.
Speaker 0: I think you're spot on with that. Again, very intelligent analysis of this. And I think this is the intentional destruction of the US dollar moving us towards this system of control. Absolutely. Professor, great to see you.
Thank you so much. We'd love to have you back on here. I hope that cooler heads prevail, and we can actually get out of this thing with minimal impact, but it doesn't seem to be the case. But I think we are entering a new world order for sure. Professor, great to see you as always.
Thank you.
Speaker 2: Great to see you. Thank you very much.
Speaker 0: Thanks, professor.
@RedactedNews - Redacted
🫣 Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is at 10% of normal. 2 more months of this triggers a global recession, according to the White House's own economic advisor. Mark Wilburn breaks down where to put your money before it gets worse. https://t.co/0ZFM15U2FM
Video Transcript AI Summary
The discussion centers on the Strait of Hormuz, potential global repercussions, and how investors are reading the shifting geopolitical and technological landscape.
- The Strait of Hormuz is portrayed as a critical chokepoint with the potential for devastating global economic reverberations. The hosts question whether the strait will stay closed and warn it could push the world toward a global recession if blocked for an extended period. A peace delegation has arrived in Pakistan to negotiate, with JD Vance, Jared Kushner, and Steve Witkoff among those involved, but officials warn bombing could resume within 24 hours if no plan is reached.
- Israel reportedly views Iran’s new leadership as more dangerous and is accused of continuing military actions in Lebanon and civilian attacks, undermining hopes for peace. President Trump issued statements criticizing Iran’s restrictions on shipping through Hormuz, while a graph shows Hormuz traffic collapsing to about 10% of normal. Kevin Hassett, the White House adviser, suggested the strait could reopen in two months, a claim met with skepticism.
- Trump and White House spokespeople are characterized as projecting an immediate and complete reopening of the strait, with others labeling that view as unrealistic. Trump said results of talks with Iran would be known in about 24 hours, while describing a “reset” and signaling a pause in Operation Epic Fury before a potential relaunch with harsher consequences. Iran is described as seemingly buying into the pause, with ships refueling and ammunition flowing into the Middle East.
- Marc Rutte (Netherlands) is cited as stating NATO will assist in securing the strait and ensuring safe passage, prompting questions about the logistical capabilities of NATO and the weapons available to support such an operation, raising concerns about the feasibility of a NATO-backed effort.
- On the investment side, the guest, Mark Wilburn, president of Neo’s Capital and author of Understanding the Matthew Effect, emphasizes that a two-month Hormuz closure could trigger a global recession and inflation spikes, while any constructive peace talks could spur market upside. He notes a current bias toward cash and a bearish tilt given geopolitical tensions and the AI/tech disruption cycle.
- The discussion covers “expanded tech,” including Anthropic’s Claude and its potential to replace traditional SaaS functions, leading to capital leaving expanded tech from Intuit, Adobe, ServiceNow, Cadence Designs, and others, and moving into consumer goods, industrials, and utilities. Claude is described as capable of creating agents that could replace standard software solutions, with anecdotes about AI-enabled businesses reaching high valuations and single-person ventures achieving substantial scale.
- The AI revolution raises questions about job displacement, surveillance, and the potential societal transformation, with concerns about a transition to a more monitored, possibly socialist framework if governments fund broad programs.
- The housing market and energy strategy are discussed in the U.S. context. The president’s policies are scrutinized, with speculation that he might emphasize energy dominance to influence global oil dynamics, including Venezuela, Iran, and Saudi Arabia. The potential impact of higher oil prices on inflation and recession risks is highlighted.
- On manufacturing and the dollar, there is debate about a Trump-era push to bring制造 back to the U.S., the costs of domestic production, and whether firms will relocate supply chains despite higher costs, versus continuing offshore production for cheaper inputs. The Nord Stream pipeline destruction and Europe’s LNG shift are cited as context for U.S. energy strategy.
- Mark’s current trading posture is largely cash-based due to the conflict, with a plan to deploy capital if peace talks progress, particularly in tech equities like Amazon. He emphasizes avoiding chasing trades and using inverse ETFs to profit from potential declines. He points to a “transition” phase in many big tech names and suggests opportunities in semiconductor and other meme sectors.
- The two free live training sessions hosted by Mark are scheduled for April 16 at 6 PM ET and April 18 at 4 PM ET, with a landing page at redactedtrading.com. Attendees will learn chart-reading skills, risk management, and portfolio positioning to navigate potential market volatility.
- Final notes stress staying educated and prepared for both optimistic outcomes and downturns, with the overarching message that financial education is essential for protecting assets and making informed decisions amid geopolitical and technological upheaval.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Is Trump trapped by the Strait Of Hormuz and the choke point that could have devastating economic reverberations, around the world? Are we heading for a global recession? Of course, today, we're watching what could be a peace agreement, but by all accounts, seems like that's not going to happen. A peace delegation has, of course, arrived in Pakistan. For today's meeting, JD Vance, Jared Kushner, Steve Witkoff, all there to hash out a peace plan, but the Trump administration seems to be preparing for the worst.
Administration officials saying the bombing will resume. If a plan can't be reached within, like, twenty four hours, they'll kick off this war again. Israel says the new leadership in Iran is more dangerous than the last one, so clearly Israel doesn't want peace. That's why they started bombing Lebanon and carrying out those terrorist attacks on civilians. The president on Thursday released a statement slamming Iran for only allowing Iran friendly ships to flow through the Strait Of Hormuz.
And if you just look at the Hormuz traffic here, it's absolutely stunning. Look at this graph from February down to April. Virtually nothing. And then interestingly, of course, you had yesterday, White House chief economic adviser, Kevin Hassett, saying the Strait Of Hormuz could be reopened in the next two months. I don't where he's getting that information.
Two months, though. And the traffic is currently running at about 10% of the normal pace, he told Fox Business this information. But, of course, if you listen to the Trump administration, you listen to Pete Hegseth, you listen to Carolyn Leavitt, the propagandists in the White House who are standing at the podium telling us that there was a complete and immediate safe reopening of the strait. Hegseth said on Thursday that the strait is now open. Under like, in what world?
What world are they living in? Some sort of bizarro fantasy world? It's not open. And then you have president Trump issuing a statement saying the results of the talks with Iran will be clear in about twenty four hours. We're gonna know soon.
Meaning, what happens today in Pakistan, we'll know. He said, we we have a reset going right now, which has been my theory. He says we're loading up the ships with the best ammunition even at a higher level than we used to do a complete decimation, he said. So in in other words, this was a pause in order to end Operation Epic Fury, put the pause, allow this sort of fake ceasefire agreement to unfold, and then relaunch with devastating consequences. But Iran seems to be falling for it.
They're there at this peace delegation, like, all of these ships to be refueled, allowing all of this ammunition to flow into the Middle East once again. Fool me once. Right? But it seems like the Iranians are going along with it. The last time they met for peace negotiations in Qatar, they were bombed.
So, man, they must be really trusting people. I don't know. I wouldn't trust them with a 10 foot pole. That's for sure. So then you just had Marc Ruta, the head of NATO, of course, the failed leader of The Netherlands, then who gets, of course, promoted to the head of NATO.
That's how these people work. Right? They you fail in life, and then you get elevated to the highest levels of European politics, which is always amazing to me. Anyway, Marc Rutte, just a short while ago, on Friday coming out, announcing that NATO is now going to help secure the Strait Of Hormuz and is gonna allow the safe passage of ships through the Strait. Listen.
Speaker 1: It came time to provide the logistical and other support The United States needed in Iran, some Allies were a bit slow, to say the least. In fairness, they were also a bit surprised. To maintain the element of surprise for the initial strikes, President Trump opted not to inform allies ahead of time, and I understand that.
Speaker 0: So I don't know what he's smoking. Of course, he's from, The Netherlands, so who knows? But with what? Colonel Towner Watkins, formerly of CENTCOM, asked that question. With what?
With what weapons and military prowess are you going to allow ships to flow through the Strait Of Hormuz? With what is NATO gonna pull this off? Good question. So all that to say, it seems like we are heading for a global recession if the Strait Of Hormuz stays closed for two months, as Kevin Hassett has pointed out. That's why I wanted to talk today with Mark Wilburn on the show.
He is the president of Neo's Capital, friend of the show. He's also the author of Understanding the Matthew Effect. And Mark isn't just a theorist. He's a market expert with, like, a surgical record of predicting these exact macro shifts that we're seeing right now. And he he's he's kind of a glass half full kind of guy.
And, he's a he's a positive guy like me even though we're dealing with such dark topics right now. And I wanted to welcome Mark back to the show. Mark, great to see you.
Speaker 2: Clayton, it's awesome to be here with you guys once again.
Speaker 0: Well, my pleasure to have you here. And a lot to unpack because we've got the Fed chair who's refusing to leave, and Trump's trying to push in Kevin Walsh. We've got the Strait Of Hormuz. We've got what's going on with AI right now. We've got moves with the US dollar.
A lot you know, these transactions in the Strait Of Hormuz being settled
Speaker 2: Mhmm.
Speaker 0: In Chinese yuan instead of the US dollar. So, like, this US dollar hegemony, like, all of these pieces you watch very closely. So I wanted to have you back on about it. Just at a 30,000 foot level, how are you feeling right now about what's happening globally with a possible global recession? Am I way off the mark on this?
Speaker 2: I don't think you're off the mark. It's in my opinion, it it can go either way at any moment. Right? So we're in this situation, unfortunately, where if the straight is blocked for another two months, like you're talking about, the White House came out and said that, which again, where does that number come from? That could have huge ramifications across pretty much all Eastern countries.
That causes a go global recession. You're gonna have massive inflation spikes everywhere because oil prices are gonna go through the roof. On the other side, if we do see something good happen, you know, like this past week is a great example. Trump gives this ultimatum and says, hey. Unless something happens by the end of the day, you're gonna see the end of a civilization.
He said they're gonna hold off for two weeks and the market explodes higher. We could continue to see that upside movement. And so it it's almost $50.50 coin flip. I tend to lean more towards the bear side because I don't think it's over in The Middle East. I think there's gonna be some continuation here.
Listen to what you're telling viewers as far as moving assets to The Middle East. That doesn't seem good for a ceasefire. You don't you know, if you're planning a ceasefire and you're planning a a peace treaty, you don't move assets there. You actually start removing assets. But, again, I'm not a geopolitical expert either.
My my job is to follow money flow. And so that's what I'm looking at, and that's how we're we're predicting our what is likely to happen next in the the my the markets.
Speaker 0: So and just at the end of today's show, I wanna talk to you. You you've got a special, live event that you're putting on, I think, on April Mhmm. For people. It's totally free. So we'll talk about that at the end of show, but if people, like, are worried about, like, where to put their money right now, stick around to the end of the show.
We'll talk about this live event. The last one that you did was a huge success. A lot of our redacted viewers, watched it and and thanked us for it. So great stuff. Particularly in these dark times and where to kinda move your money.
So if you're looking at the US dollar, you're that's what you focus on. Right? You're focusing on the money flow. Where
Speaker 1: are
Speaker 0: you seeing the money moving right now?
Speaker 2: Well, I'll tell you what I'm seeing it coming out of is ex what's called expanded tech. And this kinda gets to your AI point that you were mentioning because you have companies like Anthropic with their new cloud updates, and you have a lot of these expanded tech companies like a CRM that are very worried because Claude is able to do what a lot of these companies, individual companies, used to do. And so we're seeing a lot of finances come out of those particular sectors, and we're actually starting to see more money come back into consumer goods, industrials, utilities. So we're starting to see more of what I call a transition happen from where these these stocks have been going down. They're beginning to actually turn and come back up now.
Speaker 0: So when you say expanded tech, educate our audience on that. I'm trying to think of companies that maybe ten years ago I might have used for my business, you know, like Salesforce? Or Mhmm. You know, is that like an expand what is what do you mean by expanded tech and money's flowing out of those companies?
Speaker 2: Very good question. So Intuit, Adobe, ServiceNow, Cadence Designs. Some of these, I still like, like defense companies, cybersecurity companies, like CrowdStrike, decent, Fortinet, but then Take Two Interactive, W Day, Workday. A lot of these are what's considered expanded tech like a SaaS, software as a service type companies because Claude is coming in taking over those areas.
Speaker 0: A friend of mine a friend of mine just set up a whole Claude thing. He he's been a longtime friend of mine. He said, Clayton, I just set up a whole Claude bot on his one computer. He's like, it's unbelievable. And he had to do a whole bunch of API things, and he's building up to and I said, holy smokes.
How are you you know, how did how did you do that? You know, you've seen all these videos going viral about people using Claude. They're going out buying Mac Mac Mini, and they're setting up Claude on a their own Mac Mini so it's not on their main computer. Can you explain to our audience what Claude is and why, like, with Anthropic, this is such a threat to some of these companies?
Speaker 2: Claude is a interface that has the ability to become its own agent. In fact, there was a company with one employee who is the founder who just started selling the weight loss shots, and he crossed over $400,000,000 in annual sales as a single person business setting up and using AI software. It's gonna be a huge game changer. It's gonna be a changer.
Speaker 0: Instead of having a 100 people or a couple 100 people working in your office, we could see the era of, like, the the the solo billionaire with with companies using AI. It's insane.
Speaker 2: Based on valuation measures, this young man's already there. Based like, if you were to if you were to look at a company's valuation and how Wall Street values those companies, he is actually there if he were to go sell his company. And so using Anthropic and Claude, which I'm literally just now starting into, so I don't wanna come out as an expert on that. I've used ChatGPT for a very long time. I've used Grok, as well, but I'm just now getting into Claude.
It what it can do is remarkable. And it is it literally creates these agents that have the ability to replace these normal software as a service type companies. And that's why you're seeing money flow out at a very rapid pace from those areas.
Speaker 0: So when you look at the future of AI and you look at where this is all going, and and as an investor and as someone who educates people on these markets and market conditions right now, I mean, there's lot of people that are really, really scared. And I heard Eric Weinstein the other day say, he said, you know, all of those jobs that you identified as as a title, like, I'm a dentist or I am a doctor or I am a teacher. AI is gonna change all of that. And you're not get Elon Musk has said openly that within three years, Optimus robots or robotics will be far better surgeons than the the human beings that we have doing surgery right now. In three years, they'll be better by leaps and bounds.
So when you're moving money around and when you're seeing these money flows, where are you seeing maybe the biggest upside over the next twenty four months, twelve months?
Speaker 2: Well, I hate to reiterate what I've heard people, like Mike Rowe say, but you're not gonna be able to replace carpenters, plumbers, electricians, these skilled laborers. That's huge. Obviously, you can't really invest a ton in that unless you go into the homebuilder sector, which that has other ramifications because we do go into recession. Typically, home prices drop. So you've gotta be careful in that regard.
But, you know, as far as looking into an occupation, those are awesome skills to have. I mean, I I studied as a carpenter, and that's how I put myself through college is I was a carpenter. I was a trim carpenter. So and I'm very grateful for that skill set. But like you're mentioning, I saw a video of a pulmonologist who was looking at a lung, and he said it took me twenty five years to be able to recognize this cancer, and I have an AI bot that can do it in thirty seconds.
Wow.
Speaker 0: That's insane.
Speaker 2: That's kinda scary. But, you know, the the flip side is it's it's also really awesome because now it opens up the opportunity for everybody. So it it kinda depends on, like you mentioned, glass half full. It's great for society at large. It's terrible when it comes to the occupation that an individual has dedicated their entire life to.
Speaker 0: Right. Right. And, of course, I worry about the surveillance state and the Palantirs of the world and what, you know, what data they're gathering about all of us. That really terrifies me, and I'm not I'm, you know, I'm I'm on a libertarian stay out of my life.
Speaker 2: 100.
Speaker 0: Yeah. That's how I feel. So it's terrifying to see where this is going. So I wanna unpack more of this. So right now, we're seeing you mentioned housing.
When you look at the housing market in The United States, we're in a real problem. And Yes. President Trump obviously is in a real is in real trouble heading into the midterms. His poll numbers have absolutely plummeted. I'm not asking you to be a a political analyst, but when you see how to the American American people do not support this war.
60% of Americans now in a poll this week said they do not support Israel. They have an unfavorable view of Israel, which is a total turnaround. Like, that that never before has had a number like that. And yet the president seems to be all in on the Middle East war, on protecting and supporting Israel. His poll numbers have plummeted.
And so do you see the president of The United States? He's made some big overtures. He said dividend for the American people. Housing. We're gonna, you know, basically declare, you know, housing emergency and try to really turn this around.
Things here on the home front that he could do heading into the midterms, maybe eliminating the income tax. Are there any things you're watching from him that you're saying this could be transformative, whether it's housing or income tax or anything else as we head into the midterms?
Speaker 2: Honestly, I haven't seen anything from, like, the housing perspective that's really come in. I know a a big investor came out and said that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were great steals of a deal right now. That's to be determined, in my opinion. Maybe they are, maybe they're not. However, I'm not seeing any policy that I think could actually bring change and bring transformation.
Now nice thing about the president is he has a couple more years in office. Right? Midterms or senators or congressmen, they don't have that luxury. And so I think that's where the the panic kinda comes in from the Republican standpoint. Maybe some excitement from a democratic standpoint.
But looking at it, I do think that and I have a a big theory on this I kinda wanted to throw at you. I think he's trying to to make a play to control energy more than anything right now. And looking at just this year, the things that have happened going into Venezuela, taking over Maduro, and then taking all of their oil reserves. One thing I didn't know until this year is that Venezuela was actually the largest oil reserve nation on the planet. It's got over 300,000,000,000 barrels of oil.
Then it goes Iran, Saudi Arabia, Canada, and The US. We now own that. Let me rephrase that. We now The US maybe we can edit that. The US now controls that oil.
I find it quite interesting that we go into war with Iran, block the strait. You know, Iran blocks the strait, and now oil prices explode and are up seventy, eighty, 90%. And so is he making a play so that other countries of the world have to come to The US for their oil, for their energy, which then would in turn help the American people because that would bring more prosperity because they're buying stuff from us rather than us buying energy from other nations. Maybe that's that's happening.
Speaker 0: I think it absolutely is. We he's in in even in public statements, Trump is telling, you know, Europe and otherwise, buy your stuff from us now. Stop buying it from stop buying it from Iran. Stop buying it from Russia. Buy your stuff from The United States.
Come on over here. We'll sell it to you. I mean, hell, we blew up their Nord Stream pipeline. United States destroyed under Biden the Nord Stream pipeline coming from Russia to Germany, and then Germany started paying three times as much for natural liquid liquefied natural gas from The United States. So this was already like a plan.
It was even happening under Biden in a lot of ways, but now with this sort of North American energy infrastructure that Pete Hegseth talked about, like, a week or so ago, this idea of, like, the Technate creating this, like, North American energy empire that we control, I think you're absolutely right about that, I think. But, you know, how does that really trickle down to the American people in a meaningful way? Like, when we talk about housing, like, it's gonna make a lot of oil executives a lot of money. How exactly and and if we bring manufacturing back to The United States, are you seeing manufacturing coming back to The United States in an appreciable way?
Speaker 2: Honestly, I'm not qualified to answer that. I haven't personally, but that's that's not something that I would be looking into.
Speaker 0: Like, when you see these companies, like, you see Apple bringing, you know, new manufacturing back to Texas, they've made these overtures. We're gonna hunt hundreds of billions of dollars into the American economy. It's a long play. I know Trump says we're gonna bring manufacturing back to The United States from China and Mexico, and that's a big part of this plan. But
Speaker 2: One of well, one of the things that Trump touts is 4,000,000,000,005 trillion dollars of investments, something like that, in The US from other companies to have their manufacturing plants, which is gonna create jobs for the American people, we hope. The question is, are we getting follow through on that? I know that there's a ton of data centers that have been planned to be launched in 2026, and every single one of those, every single one of those, they're expecting to have delays on at this point. And so are we going to have delays in these factories? Now you do have people like Elon Musk that made the Gigafactory in in Texas, and it's huge, and it's it's awesome.
He's making a new tariff factory that's gonna be even larger, have more jobs there. There are some people who are following through with it. There are some companies that are following through with it, but is every company gonna follow through with it?
Speaker 0: Right. That's a good question. Saudi Arabia's infrastructure and investment in The United States as well and bringing money here. So I know we keep saying we're gonna see a manufacturing boom in The United States. I'm just still waiting to see it.
I'm you know, I hear some overtures from companies, but I really would love to see if that's gonna be the case where we'll actually start making made in America again, and how
Speaker 2: that great, but the cost of that is gonna be very expensive because you can go to overseas labor, and it's significantly cheaper because of the dollar. And Trump has been adamant about talking about weakening the dollar, and that could be one of the reasons so that we do bring more manufacturing here. However, if I'm a if I'm a business owner and I can make the same gene for a tenth of the price and still sell it and have that bigger markup, that's what most of the companies are gonna do, unfortunately. I'm a big proponent of made in America things. But when you look at it just from the corporate I'm gonna use the word corporate greed standpoint, and you're responsible to your shareholders of having the biggest best pricing, You this is why we've seen outsourcing happen.
Right. And so until until there is a reason to stop that, I don't see it really exploding and having this great birth that we've talked about in the past. Now you go to COVID, you go look at the pandemic, and all of our medicines are made overseas, and now we can't do that. That is a reason in and of itself to have your your supply chain local. That's a big reason to have a local supply chain of your food, of your manufacturing, of your your medical supplies.
But are companies taking that initiative, or were they saying, it's a one off?
Speaker 0: Right. Minerals production, all of it. We know that that has been a priority. It just I think we're I think we are in a major shift right now, and, you know, I know you watch it closely with all of these different companies. Where do you see we we talk we've just got these revised GDP numbers this past week, which were not good.
Correct. We also got revised jobs numbers, which were not good. So I know the president loves to say that we had, you know, have the strongest economy. Everything is great. But when you have these numbers coming out on the revised GDP down and jobs numbers down, is it as good as he says it is?
Speaker 2: It's not. And this this is this is one reason I like you, and I like watching your show is you catch these things because the average person doesn't. They just hear the headlines of mainstream media, and it's like, oh, jobs numbers came out, and they look great. They don't report typically on the revised numbers because every jobs report has been revised down for, like, the last six months or a year. That's not a good sign.
And so we don't have this booming economy. And as we're talking about with AI, as Musk is talking about bringing optimist robots who are going to make surgeons obsolete, how many other jobs are they going to make obsolete? In fact, I was in a QT the other day. We're on a road trip to go see some family out in Texas. I was I was stopped at a QT, and there was a robot cleaning the floor.
And it literally, when I walked by, it greeted me. And it's it was just this little cleaning robot, and it said, welcome to QT. Please excuse me while I clean the floor for your convenience. And so I asked the lady
Speaker 0: Go ahead, sir. At
Speaker 2: the counter, I said, I said, hey. How do you like having this robot? She goes, well, unfortunately, it's replaced three of our janitors, but it does make me feel like I'm not alone when I'm here on the night shift.
Speaker 0: Wow. My father-in-law owns a restaurant in the Bay Area. They have a full staff. They haven't had to replace somebody with this, but they have a robot that actually they put the, you know, food on it and brings it out to the table. Mhmm.
And Yeah. They haven't had to replace anybody, and the staff actually was fearful of it, but they actually like it because it frees them up now to be, you know, making sure that, like the line cook, like all of that is going the way that it needs to. But I think these jobs are absolutely gonna be replaced. And you mentioned like the outsourcing of jobs overseas. It's like for cheap labor in Philippines and other places.
But if all of that is now replaced by robotics and AI in The United States, then all of that outsourcing to $1 an hour labor in Vietnam and other places could be repatriated back home. It just won't mean American jobs. It'll be
Speaker 2: That's right.
Speaker 0: You know, profit for these companies, but American jobs are gonna be shift dramatically.
Speaker 2: And if you look at a if you look at a robot like an optimist, for example, or something that has the meticulous skill set that a human currently has, your the cost average of that thing is only going to get better and better with use. Because if you pay a a $40,000 for a $40,000 robot, okay, so that's a $40,000 salary. But then the next year, you don't have to pay that same salary again because you still have the robot.
Speaker 0: Right.
Speaker 2: And it just gets cut in half and cut in half, and and that just continues over so that your profit margin on the bottom line is actually gonna get significantly better at that point.
Speaker 0: I know Elon says that this by moving towards robotics and AI, we're gonna basically eliminate poverty. We're gonna level the playing field on, like, health care. He has very positive views of where this is gonna go. We're gonna eliminate poverty in The United States because things will just become so cheap. I I I I don't know.
I like to think that he's right, but I don't know. What do you think?
Speaker 2: When you're the man making the robot, you gotta spin it in a good way.
Speaker 0: Right.
Speaker 2: Right. This is this is gonna be really good for society because of these ancillary benefits. Maybe it is. Maybe it's not. How does the average person make money to buy it?
And that's where, you know, you've got talk of having the government pay for everything. Well, then if the government pays for everything, the government controls everything. And like you mentioned earlier, I want them as far out of my life as possible.
Speaker 0: Right. A move into a socialist society where they control everything and give us a a universal basic income. Everything tracked. Everything is monitored. It's Right.
You know, deeply the the control grid as Catherine Austin Fitz refers to it. I think it's coming. We've gotta be able to stand up and stop it, and protect our liberties. When you look at where, I mean, where you're investing right now. So every morning, you're on calls with, you know, the people, that you train and you're watching where the market is flowing right now.
Like, where are you putting your money? And if someone watching right now is, like, wanting to learn how they can protect their family, maybe make some investments that'll yield some great results, what are you doing right now? Where are you putting money?
Speaker 2: Great question. Currently, we have gone mainly to cash overall since the war has kicked off. And so what we were looking at doing is we started noticing some things, late January, and then it kicked off in March where we were actually taking a bearish bias on the market. Meaning, we were looking for the market to go down. We hit all of our downside targets, so we pulled some of our profits off the table from that.
And now we're waiting to see what actually does transpire mainly this weekend. Because if this weekend, these peace talks are productive, everything happens really well, and we continue to get this upside movement, that's where we will start putting money back into the overall markets. I do think there's some some big opportunities in tech, like an Amazon right now looks fantastic. It's just had a huge move up. But some of these moves are really parabolic.
And what scares me about a parabolic move, Clayton, is if you have it going up, you typically have one coming back down too. Right? So you've got companies like Amazon that's moved 20% in the last nine days. You may have a 15% correction before it actually starts that upward momentum and that upward trend. And that's what we teach people how to see and how to recognize and what we're gonna go through on this training.
So I always like to tell my students, being in cash is being in a position. Because if you could come in and put your money somewhere on the sidelines where you're not losing eight, ten, 20%, and the market does drop, you're beating the market. Even better, we show people how to position themselves so that if the market goes down, you can participate because there's there's a really cool tool called an inverse ETF that goes up if the market goes down. And so we teach people how to see these, structure these in your portfolio in a responsible way to protect against that downside movement, but then also potentially profit from it. Then when you see a shift in market sentiment and things start getting back bullish, which again, we might be there depending on how all of this goes, you know where to reenter the market with your finances so that you can profit back on the upside.
Speaker 0: Be able to take profits and wait sitting in cash right now. Smart. And so I should mention, yeah, you guys are doing this free live training for anybody watching right now on April 16 and April 18 at at what time?
Speaker 2: We're doing the sixteenth at 6PM and the eighteenth at 4PM eastern time.
Speaker 0: Eastern time. Okay. And if people wanna go there, totally free. Redactedtrading.com. We set up a special landing page for you guys to go there and check it out.
I know you had a lot of redacted viewers on your last free training. What did they say about it?
Speaker 2: Oh, we had some incredible comments. People said that their eyes were opened so that they could actually read a chart, understand price movement for the first time. A lot of first time people were there. First time traders, first time people who are just really interested in the market knowing where can I put my money? And so they came out understanding how to read a chart, how to understand when markets are moving for me or against me.
One of the biggest things that we focus on too, Clayton, is understanding your risk. If you get into a trade, where do I upset my risk tolerance so that if I'm wrong, I can get out and I won't be that I I don't lose that much money. But I also have the potential to make a significant amount of money. And we've had people who've implemented skills from this first webinar, and they actually are already making money. In fact, I got an email today from a lady who said that she's made over $1,200 in the last two weeks alone from that webinar.
Speaker 0: That's great. I love that. I love the educate you know, I'm all about financial education, so thank you. It's free. Again, redactedtrading.com.
People can sign up for this the April 16 and or the April 18, whatever their schedule allows. I guess before I let you go, Mark, I'm just curious when you look at, like, an Amazon, weird you know, you see, like, what Tesla's doing right now. Tesla I mean, it's incredible, And, obviously, the rollout of this robotaxi fleet is coming, and they just announced this past week of what that's gonna look like. These new gold Teslas, they will have a two seats in them, and they'll have a self cleaning service. You can add your own car to the robotaxi fleet.
Tesla's gonna make 25% of that. On top of that, they're rolling out the Optimus robots next year. Each of those will cost, like, $30,000. Multiple trillion dollars of revenue and company. I'd say I can't even wrap my head around Tesla.
So is Amazon anywhere close to, like, what Tesla is doing? Where do you see the biggest upsides and maybe movement for, for Amazon right now?
Speaker 2: So one of the things that I look at is I come from the market from a technical standpoint and a fundamental standpoint. So I would be what's called a technician and a fundamentalist. And the reason I say that is you have a company like a Tesla that has all of this huge potential, and yet they're down sitting around 340, $350 from a $500 high, and they're continuing to make lows. And so for a lot of people, that confuses them until you realize, oh, this this is getting driven down to a good opportunity to buy so that when it starts to move higher, you make significantly more profits.
Speaker 0: So on Tesla, where do you see, like, a good buy target right now? If someone's, hey. Should I invest in Tesla? What's your I'm looking
Speaker 2: I'm looking around $3.25 and then 300. I really like a 300 level on Tesla. And they have earnings coming up. They may be announcing some stuff on earnings that can change that early. But when we start getting into 3 hundreds, I'm looking for about another $45, we'll call it 11% drop from where we're currently seeing, that's where I'm going to start really getting in on a longer term buy, personally.
That's my personal plan.
Speaker 0: I mean, they just they're they're selling out of Model Xs. They just stopped production on the Model s, the Model x. And I know in the state of Colorado, they have one left. Like, they sold out. Once they announced they were stopping production, it went everyone it was like a mad buying rush to buy them at at the last second.
They have they had one left the other day. I think they're probably all sold out now. So, yeah, I wouldn't be surprised if this earnings report is a bit shocking yeah. A bit shocking for people, I would think.
Speaker 2: Well, you when you limit supply and you drive up demand, people like to pay. Exactly. It's a really good business model and that you know, maybe that's what we're doing on oil. But as far as your Amazon question, you know, coming into it right now, it's I was starting to look for a buying opportunity, and it just kind of exploded through it. It's like I said, it's up 20% in the last nine days.
I was really wanting to start a position around $2.16 personally, and, you know, it's up at about $2.40 right now. I think that what I'm looking for on Amazon is a pullback somewhere into 02/25. Maybe we get back to that 02/16 level. And if we do, I'm gonna look for it to come back into $2.50 and then take out all time highs at $2.58, on that. So, again, as a technician, I like there are certain criteria that I like to look for.
And if I get the criteria, great. If I don't, great. One thing I've learned about stock market, Clayton, is there's gonna be another opportunity tomorrow. You'll always get that that next opportunity. And so I never one of the the cheesy comments that we say in our our room is we replace, we don't chase.
So I'm not gonna chase something. I'm just gonna replace it with a better opportunity.
Speaker 0: So we talked to Amazon, talk Tesla. Before I let you go, where are you seeing maybe the biggest opportunities right now, from an investing perspective?
Speaker 2: I like a lot of the mag seven companies that have dropped so dramatically. You know, for example, we we were actually bearish on Google going into March. We took a really nice bearish trade on Google. Depending on how people trade it, they made anywhere from 10% to a 100% if they used options, which is one of the techniques that we look at. But we're seeing a lot of these names go into a phase I call transition, which we'll cover that on the free webinar for everybody.
And that is one of my favorite places to start buying is in that area, that area of transition because it's really where we confirm where institutions are starting to turn the tide and have that upswing happen. So a lot of the max seven companies, I really like, chip manufacturers are going crazy on Friday. I mean, they're they're having huge days, on Friday. And so continuing to watch in those big tech areas, I think we're starting to see a turn and a bottoming. And if if that happens, we're gonna see the S and P and the Nasdaq itself do really, really well.
Again, everything happening in The Middle East with Iran, that could throw a curveball into it. Because one thing I have learned is if the market goes up a 130 points in a day, it can drop a 130 points in a day.
Speaker 0: Right. Well, that's why you need a financial education. You need what Mark teaches. Again, totally free. Join Mark and his team.
Go to redactedtrading.com. We set up a special lander there for people if they wanna learn more about. So, April 16 and April 18, two opportunities. Yeah. One at 6PM eastern and the other at 4PM eastern.
So any final thoughts, Mark?
Speaker 2: I'll just encourage everybody to kinda keep your head on swivel from a financial standpoint. Be prepared for either a great scenario and a wonderful outcome. That's what we hope for. That's what I hope for for everybody. But also get some education so that you know how to protect yourself or at least what questions to ask your financial adviser if things continue to drop.
And that's what we wanna provide for people.
Speaker 0: I love that. Financial education. My old my old friend, Robert Kiyosaki, the author of, rich dad, poor dad, said this is, you know, something they never teach you in high school. Financial education is the is is truly the key and truly and and so thank you for putting on this free free clinic for everybody who wants to take advantage of it in this un uncertain times. Mark, great to see you.
Thank you so much. Really appreciate it as always.
Speaker 2: Thank you, my friend.
@HealthRanger - HealthRanger
You cannot truly understand why the U.S. "closed" the Strait of Hormuz until you understand the global human EXTERMINATION agenda, and why dismantling humanity's energy infrastructure is the single most destructive method for achieving it. https://t.co/vllO3uf2WV
Video Transcript AI Summary
Mike Adams argues that The United States will close strategic maritime chokepoints, beginning with the Strait of Hormuz. He credits Michael Young for predicting this closure months earlier and says the US will also close the Malacca and Singapore Straits next, with the Bab el Mandeb opening to the Red Sea also at risk of being closed. Adams emphasizes that “closing” means harassing ships to the point where they avoid the routes, effectively shutting them down even if not physically blocked. He lists choke points globally—the Strait of Malacca, Singapore Straits, Panama Canal, Suez Canal, Bab el Mandeb, and Hormuz—and asserts that all are or will be restricted. He claims these actions are part of a planetary-scale agenda beyond any one country or administration, aimed at mass extermination of billions through engineered famine, energy and fertilizer disruption, and food shortages.
Adams contends the COVID-19 pandemic was itself a depopulation effort that partly failed, but that governments learned from lockdowns how to trigger broader crises to induce panic and obedience. He asserts that the plan now is to shut down global energy, fertilizer, and food supplies to destroy billions, possibly half of the current population. He states Trump is receiving orders from powerful globalists to keep the war going and close the strait, while Israel is told to maintain violence and famine and to interfere with fertilizer and energy production. He argues that the negotiations between Trump and Iranian leadership over the weekend were theater, with no real move to restore energy supply or food affordability.
Adams claims there are larger, “demonic” forces above leaders like Netanyahu and Trump, responsible for orchestrating a war against humanity, rather than simply national or political rivalries. He extends this to global elites in the UK, Canada, New Zealand, and Australia, describing them as “hardcore demons” who are minor compared to greater bodies that aim to eradicate humanity. He suggests there are powers suppressing free energy technologies (zero-point energy, cold fusion) and patent classifications related to such technologies, implying that those in control prefer to suppress humanity’s progress and propel an extermination agenda.
The broader frame is “wars within wars”—Israel vs. Iran, the US vs. Iran, and internal factional fights within governments (CIA, FBI, FDA, CDC, USDA)—yet the outer war is against humanity, with choke points as the main battleground. He asserts Greenland and proximity to Cuba are of interest because they affect routes between the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic. He predicts the reopening of Hormuz is unlikely in the near term and that energy prices will rise dramatically, fertilizer will become scarce and expensive, and grocery shelves will progressively empty, with the impact felt more noticeably after a growing season or two.
Adams ties these scenarios to a broader thesis: a transition toward post-human colonization and a planetary takeover, with “an extermination phase” that may unfold over millennia rather than days. He cites his 2019 speech at the Gen Six conference as outlining a plan to prepare Earth for a post-human future. In his view, the endgame is not simply geopolitical victory but a systematic reduction or elimination of humanity, facilitated by engineered crises and the restriction of critical choke points and resources. He closes by urging preparedness, decentralized living, and self-sufficiency in food and medicine as essential steps, given the anticipated hardship.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Well, we have to give credit to Michael Young yet again because he called it months ago when he said that The United States would close the Strait Of Hormuz. He said that several times to me during our interviews, and I always kinda blew that off. I I thought, no. Why why would The US close the Strait Of Hormuz? I thought, well, Iran could close it.
Yeah. But Michael insisted several times. He said, no. No. No.
It's what's gonna happen is that The US is gonna close the Strait Of Hormuz. And, you know, again, he was correct. And he's saying right now that it's, quote, just a matter of time before they close Malacca and the Singapore Straits. Those who follow my work have seen this coming for years. And he also says the Zionists are threatening closing Hormuz while blaming Iran.
I've predicted this many times in writing and on interviews. He's absolutely correct as I just described. He has predicted it numerous times. He's also mentioned what's called the Bab El Mandeb Straight which is the opening to the Red Sea that leads to the Suez Canal. And it looks like that straight is also going to be closed by of course the Houthis.
And when I say close, what I mean is they're gonna harass ships to the point where no one will use it. So effectively closed. Not physically closed, but effectively closed. So here we are folks. Here we are with the, you know, these these choke points for the world through which the ships sail that carry energy and and fertilizer and plastics and polymers and sulfuric acid and helium and, you know, lubricants or feedstocks for all kinds of industrial processes, all of this.
They go through just a few choke points on planet earth and those choke points, they're all getting shut down. And so there's actually a bigger agenda here. There's there is an agenda bigger than war with Iran. It's bigger than Israel's Greater Israel project, which, of course, they're pursuing that as well. This is an agenda larger than the Trump administration or the American Empire faction or nation or political party or power or industry, it's a planetary scale agenda, and that's the focus of this particular podcast planetary scale agenda is, of course, mass extermination of billions of human beings through, well, engineered famine.
Let's just call it what it is here. So if you backtrack a few years to COVID, you know that the the COVID pandemic was also a depopulation agenda effort that really did not succeed at the level that the globalists wanted. It's very clear they were hoping to kill billions of people, and they failed. They they killed tens of millions around the world. And in The United States, at least one point five million people, and they injured, you know, around the world hundreds of millions.
But they did not kill billions of people during COVID. They learned a lesson, though. They learned what happens when you order people to shut down everything. Everything. Lockdowns.
COVID lockdowns, and people complied. Local governments complied. Heck, even churches complied, if you can believe that. The media complied, etcetera. Etcetera.
What they learned in all of that is that they can order media energy lockdowns, that they can create a larger crisis and then use it to cause panic and obedience with a new attack on humanity that will shut down global energy and fertilizer and food to effectively, ultimately, the goal is to kill many billions of people, perhaps half of the current human population. This is what is now underway. So let's let's back up one more time here. Let's zoom out. Trump is getting orders from powerful globalists, clearly, that tell him, keep the war going and close the strait.
And so he obediently complies, closing the Strait. Israel is getting orders from globalists to say, keep the violence going, keep the famine going, interfere with fertilizer and energy production, and Israel is complying. See, there there are larger demons than Netanyahu or Trump. Even though Trump just tweeted out himself as as Jesus, that Trump thinks he's Jesus now, that he's healing people like Jesus while he's also attacking the pope, which is hilarious. I mean, I'm no fan of the pope, but you don't see presidents attacking the pope like Trump just did and then tweeting out that he's Jesus, which is insane.
But this goes beyond all of that. This goes beyond any religion, any government. And there are larger and more fearsome demons that sit above people like Netanyahu and Trump. And, you know, the leaders of all these countries UK, Canada, New Zealand and Australia and just just those four right there. Those are some pretty hardcore demons that run those countries and yet they're still the minor demons compared to the greater demons.
The greater demons want to exterminate humanity and they want to clear the planet. You know, I I don't think they'll be fully successful by the way, just saying, but they want to clear out as many humans as possible and they decided after COVID that this is the only way to do it. Engineered famine, global shutdown of energy, of fertilizer, food, fuel, all of it, natural gas, which will ultimately affect the power grid in many countries, you know, the plummeting of industry and manufacturing and medicine, etcetera. This is the new plan. And because this is the new plan see, very few people understand this.
Most Americans think that this is just about reopening the street and getting back to business and getting the oil flowing again. That's not Trump's goal at all. Trump's goal is to keep the strait closed. Those are the orders that he's getting. That's why the negotiations over the weekend with JD Vance, they're negotiating with Iranian leaders in Islamabad, I believe.
It was all theater. Nothing was real about that. It was complete theater. There is no real effort by these leaders to get anything back in place to lower the price of energy to open up the supply of affordable fertilizer creating affordable food in the years ahead. None of that none of that is on the agenda.
From here forward it's going to be you know $10 a gallon diesel, oil is going to go to $200 a barrel or higher, fertilizer will be incredibly very expensive and scarce. Grocery store shelves will go increasingly empty. I'm not saying that they will be fully empty. And especially in America, you won't really notice this probably until later in the year because we already have sort of the, you know, the the the crops from last year that are providing the wheat and the corn and the soy and the rice and everything that's made into all the products that people buy right now. So you have to fast forward at least one growing season and maybe two to start really feeling the famine.
And that's what's coming even in America. It will be felt here as well. So this is agenda that I outlined in 2019 in my speech at a Steve Quayle event in Branson, Missouri. It's called the the gen six conference. And there I gave a forty five minute presentation.
You've probably seen it. That talks about how Earth is being prepared for a post human future and post human colonization. So then the proper way to understand all of this is wars within wars. There is a war against humanity on planet Earth, and within that war, there are smaller wars like Israel against Iran or The United States against Iran, etcetera. But even within those wars, for example, in The US domestically, there are faction wars between different factions of the United States government.
There's, you know, elements of the CIA that are more with Trump versus elements that are more anti Trumpers. You know, there's elements of the FBI. There's elements of I mean, come on. It's a massive bureaucracy. Right?
You know this. FDA, CDC, CDC, USDA. I mean, it's it's a massive bureaucracy. There's a there's a thousand different factions inside The United States. And, you know, a similar thing is true in other countries as well.
So we're talking about wars within wars within wars. But the the outer loop, the bigger war is the war against humanity, and that's the war that needs all of these straits and canals to be restricted or in some cases completely closed off. The real wars will be centered around choke points that I've already mentioned, the Strait Of Malacca, Singapore Straits like Michael Yan said, the Panama Canal, the Suez Canal, the Bab El Mandeb Strait to the Red Sea, as well as the Strait Of Hormuz. And they're also there are waterways that pass near Greenland that are very important, which is why Trump has such a high interest in in Greenland. This is also why Trump is interested in taking over Cuba to control the proximity to routes between the Gulf Of Mexico and the Atlantic.
That's what that's all about, by the way. So what all of this actually means is that you shouldn't count on this trade of Hormuz reopening anytime soon because that's not part of the plan. Not the bigger plan. You see, a lot of people that are betting in the oil markets are betting that there will be peace soon because they would think that rationally, peace must be within the interests of Trump and Israel and Iran and the world. I mean, surely, all the nations of the world want peace.
They wanna be able to get fertilizer and grow food and have energy and keep their economies alive. You know? Surely, cooler heads will prevail. What if that's not the plan? What if the plan is to actually kill off half of humanity, collapse nations, turn off power grids, shut down industry?
If you think about it, this is really just the more radical projection of the climate change cult. They tried that too, you know, before COVID. They tried that for a couple of decades with Al Gore and others tried to say that combustion engines were bad and and all energy use is bad and carbon is the enemy and we have to decarbonize the atmosphere. You remember all that? I mean, some of that's still going on because they're insane.
But it wasn't compelling enough. You know, the arguments didn't make sense. What do you mean carbon dioxide is bad for the planet? Plants need it for photosynthesis, you morons. Right?
So it just wasn't very compelling. But you know what what does cause people to give up combustion engines and using hydrocarbons? You know what works? It's bombing all the hydrocarbon infrastructure or shutting off the choke points. In other words, you don't have to convince people to stop using energy.
You just deprive them of it. You deprive them of it. You shut off the world's choke points and then you let people starve and die. And as long as everybody thinks that this is a necessary sacrifice, you've heard that language among conservatives and Trump supporters is, oh, it's worth it to pay $5 a gallon for gas as long as we get rid of that evil Iran or as Americans say, Iran. See?
So then you can actually get people to support to to literally excuse the fact that they're being, you know, exterminated and and to even support the cutting off of energy and and fertilizer and food. You know, people will even say, well, I'm happy to pay $50 per pound of hamburger as long as we are winning, winning, you know, whatever that means because that's the propaganda. That's what people are being told by Trump. And I think there was a decision to install Trump as president because the the Democrats had kind of worn out their credibility. And the Democrats were becoming a clown show of transgenderism and, you know, rainbow fruit loops and nose piercings and everything.
And it just got insanely stupid, like tampon machines in men's restrooms and, you know, just insanity. So it just it wasn't compelling anymore. But the same globalist knew if they could install Trump as president, then, well, they could they could sweep up all the conservatives and a lot of independents too to go along with whatever Trump did which was really the same agenda. It's an agenda to shut down the world's energy consumption, fossil fuels. I mean, Trump is actually he's like the the the old fat male version of Greta Thunberg, you know.
He's he's the ultimate climate change cultist here, shutting down energy in order to depopulate the world, which was another goal of the the climate lunatics. Trump is doing what Al Gore could not do, shutting down the world's energy consumption by destroying the world's energy infrastructure. Think about it. And it it may be that Trump himself doesn't even fully realize his role in this overarching plot. And the same thing may be true for Netanyahu.
But these people are manipulated by higher forces, funding, you know, money sources and probably occult influences to do the bidding of the greater evil. So you see, it's not just that Trump doesn't answer to the American people, that Trump doesn't answer to his voters. It's not even that Trump answers to Netanyahu. Trump actually answers to a let's call it a a greater demon, a higher evil that has the goal of mass extermination of human beings. That's the real agenda here.
Here. And And once you understand that, a lot of things make sense. For example, the suppression of free energy technology, zero point energy, cold fusion, or the delays on hot fusion. Or let's say the classification of thousands of patents that were describing various forms of free energy technology over the last several decades or let's say the suppression of you know reverse engineering of exotic alien technology for example, things like that. This all makes sense when you understand that the goal has been to suppress humanity's rise, to keep humanity down, and to just kind of put pause on humanity on a planetary scale until the the proper agenda can be whipped up to exterminate half of humanity or more.
Because you see do I wanna go there? There's there's so much more to the story. And I maybe I I'm not gonna cover it today, but you probably have a question. Well, then what comes next after after humans? So what is the colonization of our planet?
Who or what wants to take over the planet? I don't know the final answer to that question. And clearly, there are many theories, but one of the most important things is to make sure from their point of view that we don't nuke the whole planet. So, yeah, they don't want us to launch a nuclear war, whoever they are. But they also they don't want us to, let's say, destroy the entire global ecosystem by having a population of 50,000,000,000 people where we, you know, clear cut every forest and pave every field and turn the entire planet into parking lots and malls and whatever else.
They don't want that either and I think the 8,000,000,000 humans that number just hit a pivot point for whoever's in charge of all of this and they decided that you know it's it's just too many in terms terms of the the planet that they want to colonize and what they want left behind. And, you know, you think about the destruction that humans are achieving through microplastics contamination of the oceans, for example. Bio sludge contamination of the waterways and soils, and some of that stuff lasts for centuries. We're talking about forever chemicals here, you know, PFAS and dioxins and horrific things like that. These don't just go away overnight.
So humanity humanity is involved in the manufacture of, you know, nuclear weapons and pharmaceuticals. There's a lot of pharma runoff and dioxins through polyvinyl chloride manufacturing that comes from petroleum. Don't forget. And so the Middle East to the Persian Gulf and the South Parris field, you know, from this region comes the the molecules that humanity turns into toxic poisons that are poisoning the planet. And thus for whoever wants to take over the planet next, I believe realize they have to stop human access to this, you know, these resources in the Persian Gulf in order to stop our systematic destruction of the planet through all the means I just mentioned.
So there you go. This is actually an ethnic cleansing of the planet or well, more than ethnic cleansing. It's a it's a species cleansing to cleanse planet earth of the human race as much as possible. That's their goal. And, again, whether they are biological beings, extraterrestrials, or the original earthlings or you know, there's all kinds of theories.
Some people think that hollow Earth. You know? People live inside the planet. I I don't believe that one, by the way. I'm just saying there's a lot of different theories out there.
But there's also theories that there's there are interdimensional beings, that there are demons, and that there is extraterrestrial AI or ETAI that's way more advanced than our own AI and that it's kind of like the advanced crew and it's cleansing the planet to make way for the arrival of the biologicals that will follow many years later because of the limitations of faster than light travel and how much energy it takes to move a biological body around space faster than the speed of light versus the much lower energy requirement to push a tiny AI system faster than the speed of light as part of sort of the advanced team. So I know there's a lot of rabbit holes. We could go down here. I'm not gonna do that. Otherwise, this will turn into like a 12 thing.
But that's that's just the tip of the iceberg of kind of where we might be headed. So to to put this another way, there's you know, Trump is at war I guess Trump is at war with the whole world, and he wants his ego to win at the at the expense of everybody else on the planet. But Trump is still a minor player in the big picture here. There's a much larger evil that wants all of humanity to be exterminated. And I was posting over the weekend kinda joking.
I said, gosh, I hope that they don't read x because if they read x, they'll probably, you know, accelerate their extermination agenda of humanity because of how stupid people are. And I said, oops, too late. Too late. Of course, they're reading x. You know, if it's an alien AI system, they're monitoring all communications and they see how dumb everybody is and how destructive humanity has become and largely what a failed species humanity has proven to be in many ways with some some saving properties, let's say, but overall, you know, a species that has really failed to explore its real potential.
And so whoever they are, they've come to realize there's no there's no saving humanity and it's no longer worth any effort to breed with humans because, you know, the dumbed down part just brings everything down to be so stupid that even a even a half breed, a cat, you know, isn't smart enough to function in sustainable way, you know, to be a citizen of the cosmos, etcetera. So the I think they've given up on humanity. And now it's the extermination phase. Yeah. I know.
That's not great news maybe to hear, but there is good news. I don't think they could kill everybody. That's the good news. They can't kill everybody, although they will probably try. Trump's making it easy for them because he's destroying the infrastructure that keeps humans alive.
So just Trump alone could get a couple of billion humans killed. And, you know, Netanyahu, of course, is a genocidal lunatic. But the bigger picture is it's gonna be way beyond just, you know, a few million deaths or hundreds of millions of deaths. It's gonna be it's gonna be billions. Although, you know, the time scale of this could be pretty stretched out because if you think about it, whoever's planning to colonize the planet after us, they have a pretty long time scale perspective.
You know, they think in millennia or centuries, not not in days or months. So their plan may not even come to fruition in our lifetimes, but we are living through the early phases of it, which is the extermination phase. So so there you go. It explains the fluoridation of the water supply. It explains the COVID jabs.
It explains the bioweapons. I mean, come on. It explains the pesticides, the herbicides, the gender benders, the infertility. It explains why Bill Gates is doing everything he's doing. Because if anybody's talking to aliens, it's Bill.
You know? He looks like one of them. You know, you look around and if you think about it, everything that's being done by the governments of the world is trying to get you killed. Think about it. Or or to make you infertile.
And they're always trying to trick you. Like, here, take these jabs. You need them to be safe. Oh, it's a trick. Oh.
They're always trying to trick you. Here, eat this food. I'm laced with, you know, infertility drugs. Laced with pest pesticides. Oh, here.
Take these pharmaceuticals. Oh, it disables your brain, makes you dumb so you can't function. You know? Oh, they tell you, be afraid of the sun. Don't get any sunlight.
Yeah. So you die earlier with chronic degenerative disease, vitamin d deficiency, with turbo cancers, and diabetes. I mean, everything is designed to trick you to die if you think about it. Everything on the news, everything on TV, all the commercials, the ads, the CDC, the FDA, the government, just about everything they tell you is a trick to get you to die. And the government wants you to die sooner just for financial reasons.
They're bankrupt. They can't afford to pay your Social Security if you keep living. Medicare, pensions, come on, benefits, you know, disability. They can't keep paying all that if people keep living. Of course, they want you die.
Why do you think they still have mercury approved in dentistry? They wanna poison you, obviously. And I know that somebody's gonna say out there, well, I don't believe it. It doesn't require your belief. It doesn't matter whether you believe it or not.
It's what matters is whether you can survive it. I mean, really, that's all that matters because humanity has no future if we can't survive this. Because remember, remember, humanity has been slated for termination. And I said it actually seven years ago now. And since then, all the evidence has come out demonstrating it again and again and again.
If you don't see it now, you'll never see it. But humanity has been scheduled ready for crazy scenarios like perhaps far worse than you might have initially believed. Maybe you thought things are gonna get back to normal. Abandon that thought. That's probably never going to happen.
We're beyond things getting back to normal. We're in a whole new territory here of engineered mass extermination. So, of course, having, you know, your own decentralized systems of stored food and emergency medicine and all of that, these things really matter. In effect, they're life and death. So triple down on all your plans plans and and supplies supplies and all of that.
It's gonna be rough to make it through this. That's for sure. And we haven't seen anything yet in terms of the hardship that's coming. While this is happening, of course, I'm gonna stay online as long as I can and bring you good information and also educational information, you know, decentralized knowledge and downloadable books and audiobooks and documentaries I'm working on. Lots of things.
You can help support us and also help yourself get prepared in a couple of ways. Number one, get backup communications from our sponsor, the satellite phone store. And you can find them at sat123.com. And be sure to ask for their Iridium phones because those are the most reliable connections. They're all good, but the the Iridium has the satellites in lower earth orbit, so there's less latency.
Also, you can get storable food and iodine and other things from us at healthrangerstore.com, as you you may know. And thank you for supporting us at healthrangerstore.com. Also, what's happening this week right now is we're running a docu series with doctor Andrew Kaufman or Andy Kaufman. And it has a lot of really miraculous natural healing secrets. And you can get that right It started actually on Saturday, but there's one episode that runs each day.
So episode three is running today and you can watch it for free with registration. Just enter your email address at bright u dot com. That's the word Bright followed by the letter u. Bright U dot com. And that's got a ton of great information about how you can protect your health using off grid medicine.
He even goes into detail about turpentine, which is another amazing natural medicine that very few people know about even though it's made from the distillation of pine tree resin. And I grow pine trees as medicine. Did you know that? And in fact, it was just yesterday I was I was taking my animals out for a walk and I'm walking beside the pine trees and so I grab a couple of pine needles and I fold them up, you know, they're they're green and fresh and I'm I put them in my mouth and I I chew them a little bit and I kinda suck on them while I'm walking and I'm getting the pine I'm getting shakimic acid and vitamin c and, you know, some of the other amazing things that are in pine needles. And, you know, pine needles are are not exactly comfortable to chew on that much, but you're just kinda making your own pine needle tea in your mouth when you do that.
And so I'll have them in my mouth for, you know, five minutes and I'll spit them out. And so every time I go walking when I grab these pine needles, I'm getting natural medicine. I'm getting nutrition, you know, straight from God, frankly, you know, straight from mother nature. Nature. Right?
So these are the kinds of things that you need to know about. If you didn't know that pine needles contain anti plague medicine in the form of shakemic acid, which is the number one ingredient that's in the tab of flu drug, by the way. It's all made it's made from pine needles, folks. It's just made from pine needle extract. Okay?
You can grow it yourself for free. But there are lots of secrets like that that you need to know. And you can get that in this amazing docuseries from doctor Kaufman at bright u dot com. So be sure to check that out. And also then, you can follow my interviews and my podcast at brightvideos.com and then my articles at naturalnews.com.
So get ready for the end of the world. I mean, literally in this case, or the the attempted end of the world. Like I said, I don't think they'll actually succeed, not a 100%, but probably to some degree they will. So it'll be the end of the world for the ignorant, that's for sure. But anyway, that's that's what we need to prepare for.
So thanks for listening. I'll keep you posted. I'm Mike Adams. Take care.
Speaker 1: Stock up on Health Ranger's nascent iodine, highly bioavailable, shelf stable, non g m o, and lab tested for purity. A bug out bag essential. Only at healthrangerstore.com.
reSee.it AI Summary
I’m warning you: we’re about to face triple COVID-like economic collapse, with 500 million pushed into extreme poverty. Hormuz blockade intel no one’s talking about. I’m breaking this. Watch the live X stream now: https://t.co/8NJxfA3NPB
@RealAlexJones - Alex Jones
KEY INTEL: "We Are About To Face Triple COVID In Terms Of The Economic Collapse That's Coming!" Health Expert & Respected AI Engineer Mike Adams Breaks Critical Intel On The Hormuz Blockade That NO ONE Is Talking About! "You Are Going To See 500 Million People Thrust Into Extreme Poverty!" @HealthRanger 🔴WATCH/SHARE THE LIVE X STREAM NOW: https://t.co/8NJxfA3NPB
Video Transcript AI Summary
The speaker warns of an economic collapse three to four times worse than COVID, driven by a roughly 20% reduction in global energy supply. He notes that under modern modeling, energy is the prerequisite that enables labor, capital, and technology; without energy, GDP falls far more than traditional neoclassical models predict.
Key points:
- COVID-era lockdowns caused GDP destruction; the coming shock will be three to four times worse, with COVID-style contractions appearing mild in comparison.
- A 1% drop in global GDP historically pushes about 40–50 million people worldwide into extreme poverty. A 10% global GDP decline could thrust about 500 million people into extreme poverty (unable to eat, dress, shelter, or pay for basic needs).
- The Strait of Hormuz has been effectively shut, reducing oil flow; this is part of a broader energy squeeze impacting global economies. The existing buffer of energy and spare parts will evaporate in a matter of months, worsening supply chains and transportation.
- The result will be a global energy shock causing a significant GDP hit (the speaker estimates at least 10% in GDP, possibly 12–14% or more). This is framed as “triple COVID” with numbers centered around a 10%+GDP reduction.
- The current U.S. energy advantage is described as temporary; allied economies (Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, Australia) will suffer, and Europe faces energy lockdowns as the U.S. allegedly influenced energy geopolitics (including Nord Stream incidents) and the dollar’s role in global energy trade is challenged as BRICS nations move toward other currencies (e.g., yuan).
- The collapse is framed as global and systemic: once energy supplies tighten, there will be a cascade of shortages—tires, lubricants, food, housing—and a widening wealth gap between a small entrenched elite and impoverished masses, with the middle class largely disappearing.
- Social and political consequences are predicted: increased desperation could lead to uprisings and revolutions in some countries; domestic political upheaval in the U.S. is expected, including talk of impeachment dynamics and shifts in power.
- The analysis criticizes neoclassical economics (Cobb-Douglas production function) for treating energy as interchangeable with other inputs; the speaker argues that without energy, you cannot operate the rest of the economy, regardless of labor or capital.
- Historical comparisons: the Great Depression saw a 30% GDP contraction; the 2008 Great Financial Crisis caused about 1–2% global GDP reduction; COVID caused about 3% globally. The coming energy shock is argued to exceed these, with an estimated minimum of a 10% GDP reduction.
- The audience is urged to prepare by decentralizing, becoming more self-reliant, and developing resilience: own gold and silver, consider privacy-focused crypto, grow food, pay off debts, keep stored diesel, and acquire practical skills to survive long-term systemic breakdowns.
- The speaker emphasizes the need to trade with diverse global partners (including China, Russia, Iran) rather than engage in coercive or militaristic policies, arguing that the current path will impoverish the U.S. and hollow out its infrastructure.
- A recurring theme is that the American quality of manufacturing and supply chains has declined; examples are given of quality-control failures in U.S. industry (e.g., a John Deere machine with a poorly tightened bolt, poor auto manufacturing standards) and the claim that the U.S. cannot match China’s manufacturing automation and scale in weapons production. The argument is made that the U.S. would struggle to produce effective weapons at scale and that China’s capabilities (drones, hypersonics, robotics) are far ahead.
- The discussion ties economic collapse to broader geopolitical shifts, warning that sanctions and aggressive postures will backfire, leading to currency collapse and widespread hardship unless a pivot to peaceful, global trade and internal resilience is adopted.
- The message concludes with a practical call to action: take steps to weather the coming period by building self-reliance, acquiring knowledge, and preparing for a prolonged period of economic and societal stress.
Throughout, the speakers frame these developments as imminent and systemic, affecting not only economics but also social stability, infrastructure, and daily life. They stress preparedness, self-reliance, and strategic global engagement as the path to mitigating the coming challenges. The content also includes promotional segments about Infowars-related branding and merchandise, which are not part of the core factual points about the economic analysis.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: We are about to face, you and I, we are about to face triple COVID in terms of the economic collapse that's coming. Three times worse than COVID. Actually, more than three times because COVID let's say COVID was three percent. We're looking at 10, maybe twelve percent. So let's say three to four times worse than COVID.
And most of you watching, you live through COVID. So you remember that. You remember everything was shut down. Heck. They even shut down the churches for some reason.
It was hard to to shop for food, you know, and they they made you wear masks. They made you get jabbed if you wanted to fly on an airplane, all this crazy nonsense. That was a test. That was a test of obedience to see how many people they could get to go along with the new rules that the government was putting onto you through a completely fake hoaxed pandemic. It wasn't even real.
Now it was convincing. It was believe me. It was convincing. I mean, it had me fooled for, you know, a couple of months also. But very quickly, it became obvious that the whole thing was fake and rigged, and they were using it as an obedience test.
So those were the COVID lockdowns. That was the the COVID GDP destruction. Now we're about to have, like I said, three to four times worse. What do you think that's gonna look like? You are going to see oh, wait.
Let me add one more statistic to this. Every 1% reduction in global GDP thrusts about 40 to 50,000,000 people worldwide into extreme poverty. Every 1% reduction. Let's say 50,000,000 people extreme poverty. Not not just in America.
I mean, globally. So if you're looking at a 10% global reduction in GDP, you're looking at 500,000,000 people thrust into extreme poverty. That's half a billion people. And by extreme poverty, what do I mean? Can't eat, can't afford food, can't afford clothing, can't afford a home, rent, shelter.
I mean, living on the streets dumpster diving for food. Okay? That level of extreme poverty, that will strike America and other countries all around the world. So we're talking about thrusting half a billion people into that level of extreme poverty. Alright.
Welcome folks to hour number three of the Alex Jones show. I'm Mike Adams, the health ranger. I'll be filling in for Alex for this entire hour, and I've got some really extraordinary analysis information for you here about the economic ramifications of what has already been set into motion. So regardless of what happens from here forward, we all of us in the Western world, we are going to suffer some rather dire economic consequences even if there's peace tomorrow, which seems incredibly unlikely. I wanna give credit to doctor Chris Martinson also who's another voice out there who is able to see what's about to happen with the world economy.
And as I'm gonna be showing you today a number of different infographics that I've created on on my website, and we'll just be sharing them with you that really help explain the implications of what's coming. The truth is that this has been disastrous for the world GDP, but we've been living in a kind of a a buffer zone here temporarily. And as Americans, we are uniquely blessed with a a really large energy supply that is helping us domestically even though our own allies are going to suffer tremendously, including Taiwan and South Korea and Japan. And, of course, there are major problems right now in Australia with one of their major refineries is burning up, and their fertilizer plants are damaging offline and and, you know, other problems. The UK is going to suffer tremendously.
European countries are, of course, facing energy lockdowns at the same time that their economies and their industries are in a state of utter collapse because of their lack of access to affordable energy since The US blew up the Nord Stream pipelines a few years ago. Also, on top of that, the petrodollar is in lots of trouble now with Russia stating that all future energy sales to European countries will be carried out not in the dollar, but in the Chinese yuan. That's interesting because, of course, Iran said that for the ships that it allows to pass through the Strait Of Hormuz, They have to pay a toll in Chinese yuan also. So the dollar is being abandoned left and right by all the BRICS nations and many more around the world. And as this is happening oh, yeah.
There there's an infographic right there. Let me let me bring that up. It's talking about the right now, the warehouse is burning down in America because people are so broke because of the money printing. It's not even that the corporations that hire them aren't paying them a living wage. It's that the dollar is collapsing rapidly.
And because the dollar is collapsing, the wealth of individuals is collapsing. And because that wealth is collapsing, you know, the purchasing power of the dollars they earn, they're not able to afford groceries. They're not able to afford insurance or to afford housing or rent or to purchase a vehicle or to raise a family, and so they are becoming increasingly desperate. Now they are lashing out at their employers by burning up warehouses, and I think there have been, what, seven or eight warehouses set on fire in the last couple of weeks. That number is probably going to increase, but their anger is misplaced.
It's not the employer. It's the Fed. And as I've said numerous times online, if you wanna end the wars, you have to end the Fed. And if you wanna bring back peace and abundance domestically to the American people, American families, American workers, you have to end the Fed, which means you have to end the currency printing, the counterfeiting operation that is the Fed money printing machine. But Trump is insisting that the Fed should lower interest rates, which would only increase money printing.
And because that's the plan, they're going to massively increase money printing by the trillions to fund a new world war. We're gonna talk about that coming up today. A new world war that will target China primarily. We'll target China. As this is happening, gold and silver will skyrocket in dollar denomination, but the American people will become impoverished as their own infrastructure and nation crumbles around them.
Trump is requesting a $500,000,000,000 increase of funding to the Pentagon, wants to make it officially $1,500,000,000,000 while your local roads have potholes in them, and the bridges are falling down, and the schools don't function, and your society is crumbling. The airports look like third world country airports all across America. We're gonna cover all that and much more, so stay tuned. We'll be right back in one minute here on the Alex Jones show. I'm Mike Adams, and we'll continue right after this short break.
Alright. Welcome back, folks. Mike Adams here for the third hour of the Alex Jones Show coming to you from, my studios, also in or near Austin, Texas. And, of course, I'm the editor of naturalnews.com. Thank you for joining me, and thank you for all your support of independent media.
And, you know, I was just thinking the other day and and by the way, congratulations to Joe Biggs on having his prosecution completely vacated by the DOJ and also to Stuart Rhodes. And I have said many times that those individuals who were wrongfully prosecuted on j six, they deserve $10,000 a day for every day that they were wrongfully incarcerated. $10,000 a day. Absolutely. And, again and it's it's more than just Stuart Rhodes and Joe Biggs, but those are two that you probably know.
And I'm I'm so happy for them to be able to get their veterans benefits back, to be able to own firearms again. You know, they were wrongfully prosecuted. But guess who else was wrongfully prosecuted in civil court who hasn't had his nefarious prosecution overturned. Alex Jones. Alex Jones was raped over the coals in the Sandy Hook trials, as you well know, as Alex has covered many times.
And that I think it was a $1,500,000,000 judgment against Alex that was in my view, it was a it was a complete scam. The trial was rigged. The judge didn't apply the rule of law. Evidence wasn't allowed to be presented, and Alex never even got a trial by jury. Never got a trial by jury.
It was an automatic judgment against Alex by a rigged court system that we now know because of, you know, James O'Keefe and some of what he found out. This whole thing was run by the CIA who who put the the jury in place and, you know, pushed on everybody to get the judgment they wanted to try to shut down Infowars. Well, the fact is, as you are listening to this today, Infowars is not shut down. And even if the courts order the liquidation of the Infowars domain name or the Infowars, you know, hardware for broadcasting, they can't take the Infowars spirit. And if anybody needs to have their judgment reversed, it's Alex Jones.
In fact, I think that the federal government owes Alex Jones $1,500,000,000. But, you know, hey. That day may never come. And and since it may never come, the best way to support Alex Jones right now is at the Alex Jones store dot com. And, you know, they always have great specials.
They're dedicated to your health and your nutrition, and I'm I'm so glad that Alex understands the importance of nutrition because, you know, here I am as the health ranger, and, you know, nutrition is what I live by. I've got my smoothie right here. You know, I'm out exercising. I'm I'm using nutrition every day, and now they've got the ultra methylene red as well as the methylene blue at the alexjonesstore.com. I'm not gonna go through all the details here, but you should check those out.
And that's the best way that you can support this platform because they're not gonna reverse the judgment probably against Alex Jones. So shop at the alexjonesstore.com to help support freedom of speech. Now let's get back to the economic nightmare that is coming for our world. Now if you go to classic neoclassical economics, there's something here called the Cobb Douglas production function. Okay?
And pardon me. I'm I'm I gotta put on my glasses to read my laptop here. It's so small. But the Cobb Douglas production function pretends that all the main inputs into GDP are interchangeable. So they wanna pretend that that labor and energy and capital and technology are all interchangeable.
So and and this is all old, basically Keynesian School of Economics nonsense. Okay? But they believe that if you don't have energy because energy is getting cut off right now, then you can just replace that with, like, capital. So it was like, oh, hey. The power grid's off.
The lights are out. Well, good thing we have extra loans. You know? That doesn't work. Your factory doesn't run without power.
Your trucks don't run without diesel. Come on. It doesn't work that way. So as a result of their bad theories and and by the way, let me say for the record that economics is the one area of academia. Well, one among many, but one of the primary areas where you can be called a scientist and you can win a Nobel Prize when all your theories are complete fantasy nonsense.
That's economics. Okay? Economics should never be called a science. There's almost nothing scientific about it. It's not like physics and chemistry and engineering and biology.
Economics is just people making stuff up all day and claiming that that represents reality. Well, it doesn't. It doesn't. Now and there are some good economists out there. I'm not slamming all of them, but the old school economics doesn't work here.
And the reason this is important for you to understand, not that I'm trying to turn this into economics lesson, is that the roughly 20% reduction in global energy supply now because of the war on Iran and the closure of the Strait Of Hormuz, that according to these old school economists using the Cobb Douglas production function, they think that will only result a one to 2% reduction in global GDP. So they wouldn't even call that a recession. They would just say, oh, it's a it's a little dip, but everything's gonna be fine. Everything's gonna recover. We're fine.
The problem is they're wrong. Because if you don't have energy, you can't do all the other things that make your economy function. Without energy, it doesn't matter how much labor you have. You know? Without energy, you can't run the technology that is a multiplier for corporations and productivity and factories, etcetera.
You need energy to power everything else in the economy. So the truth is that without energy, the impact is gonna be much more than one to 2%. And how much more? Well, I'm gonna tell you. I'm gonna tell you.
But let's step back for a moment. If you go back to the two thousand eight subprime housing collapse, that impact on global GDP was about one to 2%. So that was called the great financial crisis. Right? The GFC.
And, you know, we didn't go into a Mad Max scenario at that time. Thank goodness. That was something that we could all survive. And we didn't run out of energy. We still had oil flowing in the subprime housing collapse.
And by the way, if you haven't seen the movie, the big short, you should definitely check that out. But as that movie depicts and as reality showed, we could recover from a one to 2% reduction in GDP. Now then, you fast forward to the COVID years, which we all lived through. The COVID years starting in 2020, massive contraction of economic activity around the world. Everything was shut down because of all the, you know, the forced lockdowns, the shutdowns, the governments, the freaking concentration camps in Australia, you name it.
Right? It was insane. Oil went negative price at that time. I don't know if you remember that. Oil went to something like minus $45 a barrel, which meant they were giving it away if you could take physical delivery.
That never happened before or since. But there was so much oil in the system. There was so much energy available. They were freaking giving it away. And all the storage was completely full because nobody could take on any more energy at that time.
Well, that entire event, the COVID nineteen event, the economic impacts on the world were about 3% reduction in GDP. Okay? So worse than the great financial crisis of two thousand eight, not nearly as bad as what's coming, which I'm about to explain. So using modern economic modeling and understanding that understands the role of energy in enabling everything else, capital, labor, technology, etcetera, if you have a 20% reduction in energy, you will have at minimum a 10% reduction in GDP. And the real number is probably more like 12% or 14, something like that.
But I'm just gonna say 10% to be conservative here, and it's an easy number to work with. So 20% loss of energy, which is where we are now, that's been in place for, what, six or seven weeks now, and it looks like it's going to continue because Trump and Hegsaith are bragging about how they've closed the Strait Of Hormuz now, even though a week ago, they were bragging about how they had opened it, so nobody can keep track. But it it remains almost entirely closed. It used to be a 120, 130 ships a day would sail through the Strait. Now that number is single digits.
Right? And only typically with Iran's permission. So it's basically closed. So we are going to have at least a 10% reduction in GDP based on this once all of the existing oil buffer in the system runs out. And by the way, when I say oil, I'm using it generically.
I I also mean other hydrocarbons. I mean gas, oil, petroleum products, etcetera. Okay? Different kind of refined products, diesel, kerosene, gasoline, you name. I'm just gonna use the word oil in a generic sense.
So what this means is that we are about to face, you and I, we are about to face triple COVID in terms of the economic collapse that's coming. Three times worse than COVID. Actually, more than three times because COVID let's say COVID was three percent. We're looking at 10, maybe twelve percent. So let's say three to four times worse than COVID.
And most of you watching, you live through COVID, so you remember that. You remember everything was shut down. Heck. They even shut down the churches for some reason. It was hard to to shop for food, you know, and they they made you wear masks.
They made you get jabbed if you wanted to fly on the airplane, all this crazy nonsense. That was a test. That was a test of obedience to see how many people they could get to go along with the new rules that the government was putting onto you through a completely fake hoaxed pandemic. It wasn't even real. Now it was convincing.
It was believe me. It was convincing. I mean, it had me fooled for, you know, a couple of months also. But very quickly, it became obvious that the whole thing was fake and rigged, and they were using it as an obedience test. So those were the COVID lockdowns.
That was the the COVID GDP destruction. Now we're about to have, like I said, three to four times worse. What do you think that's gonna look like? You are going to see wait. Let me add one more statistic to this.
Every 1% reduction in global GDP thrusts about forty to fifty million people worldwide into extreme poverty. Every 1% reduction. Let's say 50,000,000 people, extreme poverty. Not not just in America. I mean, globally.
If you're looking at a 10% global reduction in GDP, you're looking at 500,000,000 people thrust into extreme poverty. That's half a billion people. And by extreme poverty, what do I mean? Can't eat, can't afford food, can't afford clothing, can't afford home, rent, shelter. I mean homeless living on the streets dumpster diving for food.
Okay? That level of extreme poverty, that will strike America and other countries all around the world. So we're talking about thrusting half a billion people into that level of extreme poverty. What happens from there, especially as this closure continues to play out and gets extended in time, is that the desperation spreads. All the buffer of energy and oil and gas in the system and all the supply chain of spare parts, that all evaporates just within a couple of months, I mean, depending on the on the parts.
But that mostly evaporates to the point where people can't get tires for their car. They can't get, you know, air filters for their tractor. They can't buy food. I mean, even the transportation companies can't get tires for their trucks. Things like that.
Okay? I can't get lubricants, and lubricants come from hydrocarbons, of course. When you lose all the lubricants that power the diesel fleets and the transportation fleets, guess what? Yeah. You have a standstill of transportation.
So that scenario is also coming if the closure continues for a period of time of several more months. So when that happens, then all over the world, you get this incredible gap between rich and poor. This chasm of wealth where you've got the the, you know, the top point 1%, whatever it is, that own all the media, they own all the companies, they make all the decisions, they fund all the the campaigns, You know? They they have all the influence in Washington, and and they control all the media. I mean, it's just right?
It's just a handful of people who control, like, 99.9% of the wealth in this country. You've got those people, and then you've got the great masses who are impoverished and increasingly desperate and homeless and starving and dumpster diving. And then the middle class is gone. And what history shows us is that when this chasm becomes very, very large, which the the left would call inequality, but they they mean something different about that. Oh, yeah.
Look at that. Are those scenes from Venezuela? They're dumpster diving for food. I I don't know where that is, but that's gonna be happening in America. You're gonna yeah.
You're gonna see people chasing, like, garbage trucks, looking for lunch, things like that. So when the chasm becomes very wide, what you end up with is uprisings. Uprisings, social revolt, all of that. And then revolutions in some countries. Historically, this is what has happened.
And especially this happens when the people in charge are perceived by the citizens as being arrogant and detached. And I can't think of a better example than where we are right now with, you know, Carolyn Levitt at the White House telling us that over the last year, prices have gone down, way down. And you and I are filling up gas at the gas station. Like, what are you talking about? You're completely living in a fantasy world or Trump telling us grocery prices have gone down.
What are you talking about? Do you not shop for food? Well, no. He doesn't. Or the just the horrible visual of having that DoorDash grandma show up at the White House delivering a bag of McDonald's and Trump handing her a tip.
Like, why are grandmas having to work into their seventies apparently in this economy when this was supposed to be a golden age? People in that age range should be able to retire and live comfortably on their savings. The problem is their savings are being obliterated. So that brings me to another infographic here. So to the producers here, go go back to that one you were just showing the real arsonist infographic that I have on on one of my articles on natural news.
It shows that the money printing is burning your wealth. And as the living wage becomes impossible for people to obtain, even though they are still working, then, you know, the fiat currency is funding debt and war funding and bailouts and corruption, but they're abandoning honest money. Honest money is gold and silver. That's why it's so important. But the problem is then the US dollar, which is based on this pyramid of power and it's a giant Ponzi scheme, then that begins to collapse as more and more countries move away from the dollar.
That's where we are now, and you are going to see a lot more people lashing out, setting warehouses on fire, engaging in felony arson, and other, you know, similar operations. Okay? So that's gonna be a disaster. Now the the first story that I have there, again, to the producers on on natural news is that has an infographic called the coming collapse, and I just wanna walk you through this one next. So the coming collapse is when you examine go go ahead and scroll down to the infographic on that, please.
It's the energy economics and systemic fragility of the system. This is what I was just talking about. You see that right there. It talks about capital, labor, energy, and then there's technology in there. This infographic isn't isn't perfect.
It's AI generated with a long prompt. So sometimes it has typos in it. But, anyway, that's the neoclassical error. And the reality is that energy is the prerequisite that makes all of this possible. So if you scroll down to the second part of that, as I said, it's gonna be more than three times worse than COVID.
So you see the two thousand eight crisis. It says here roughly 2% of GDP is actually considered 1%, 1.5%. COVID pandemic, about 3% of GDP. The coming energy shock will be at least 10 of GDP will be cut. And then the the bottom panel there is modern system fragility.
We live in a just in time interconnected and highly dependent network of supply chains and commodities and rare earths and minerals and so on. That is going to collapse. And what it means is that and this panel on the lower right there, the reason I put that in there is because see, let me back up. The only time in our history that it was worse than this was the Great Depression. I mean, in in history of anybody who could be living today.
That was the great depression. In the great depression, we had a minus 30% GDP contraction. That was devastating. But at that time, the American people were whole different generation, and they had skills that most of us don't have today. At that time, you know, maybe it was your great grandparents or grandparents or or whatever generation it was.
They knew how to do things. Right? They knew how to fix their shoes and mend their clothes, and they knew how to grow food and and canned food. And they they didn't depend as much on centralized systems. They could do things themselves.
They could raise chickens. You know? They could they could raise cattle. They they were more self reliant than we are today. It's not even close.
Right? Today, we are more dependent on the system than at any time, any previous generation in America's history. So even though the people in the Great Depression, they made it through. They suffered, but they made it through because they knew how to do things. They knew how to live off the land.
We don't know that today. Most of our population lives in cities. Most of the people in our country, not not you watching this because, you know, you're you're practical. You're you're well educated about how to do things in the real world, but most people don't know how to change a tire on a car. I'm serious.
And some people wouldn't know what to do if you handed them a pencil sharpener. Like, what is that? You know, the their whole world exists on their mobile phones, and that's all they know is what's what's digital. The only things that they can do with their hands are type, you know, type in messages and likes and things like that, and that's it. They don't know how to build a fence.
They don't know what is a h brace on a fence. You know? They don't know how to keep cattle in. They don't know how to repair barbed wire. Right?
They don't know how to fix a tractor. They don't know how to do any of these things. And so when this economic collapse hits and it's incoming right now, when this hits or maybe I should call it a contraction, not a collapse, this is going to be more devastating to the American people than the Great Depression in terms of the desperation because people don't grow their own food for the most part today. And and very few people are preppers out there. You know, again, the exception is this audience.
You're you're well prepared. You know, you've been getting prepared for a long time. But the mainstream Americans, they're not preppers. They're not gardeners. They don't know how to grow their own food.
So they're entirely dependent on a system that is going to fail them. And when that happens, there's going to be desperation at a level that we have never seen in this country. By the midterms of this year, it's going to be bad, but it's gonna get worse after the midterms. And the midterms probably, if we stay on this current trajectory, the midterms, the GOP is going to get absolutely slaughtered. Marjorie Taylor Greene is correct on this point in my view.
The GOP is going to get slaughtered. It's very likely the Democrats will even take control of the Senate, not just the house. And then beginning in January, Trump is going to be impeached every freaking week. I mean, they're gonna vote to impeach him every week. Now they don't have the votes in the senate to convict him probably, but if he continues to get crazier, then they might have the votes to actually convict him.
And then that would give us president J. D. Vance. But also, by the way, the Democrats are gonna be busy impeaching Hagsteth and others, maybe Marco Rubio. I mean, Hagsteth probably will be charged as a war criminal by the ICC at some point, you know, from the things that he has said and done and threatened and actually carried out.
So not only the reason I say this is because not only are we gonna be facing domestic desperation in terms of economics and famine and, you know, food banks running out of food, we're gonna be facing political upheaval in this country like we probably haven't seen since the nineteen sixties. That's where this is all headed. And you have a preview of what's coming because you watch Infowars, so you have a heads up more so than almost anybody else in society. Take advantage of that. And we're about to go to a quick break.
And when we come back, I will cover some details about what you can do to insulate yourself from what is coming. That's gonna be the most critical survival technique of all is surviving the collapse of how society has functioned our entire lives. So stay with us. I'll be right back. Mike Adams here on the Alex Jones show.
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Speaker 0: Alright. Welcome back, folks. Mike Adams here for the third hour of the Alex Jones show joining you from my studios outside of Austin, Texas. And, you know, we're gonna continue on the economic impacts and how to insulate yourself from what's happening economically because it is a disaster. As I covered in the last segment, it's gonna be three times worse than COVID at the current basis of how much the duration of the closure has been for the Strait Of Hormuz.
As the Strait remains closed, that's gonna get worse and worse and worse with each subsequent week. Gonna get into all of that in China, but I also wanna mention I you know, I'm I'm a nutritionist, and, you know, I I own a a food and food science lab, and we have recently started testing for dioxins, by the way. So after the East Palestine train accident, which released all the polyvinyl chloride substances on fire and which drops dioxins all over the farmland, it's it's it's bad. After that happened, I I committed publicly to purchasing dioxin testing equipment. So I I bought a GCE, which is a gas chromatography instrument with a triple quad mass spec, and it took us over two years to figure out the exact extraction method and everything.
But we finally got it going. We've started releasing dioxin results, which is really interesting. But the reason I mentioned that is because I I know a lot about nutrition. It's my main focus. And when I look at products from the Alice Jones store, like the methylene red, I'm looking at it right now, and I didn't mention this in the last segment, but I wanna bring it up right now.
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I don't know how they're able to get to these prices. They've also got TMG in there. They got co q ten in there. They've got vitamin b six and so on. Also, another form of folate in the same formula.
The ultra methylene red, and it's sweetened by stevia. So stevia, which is great. It's a natural leaf, you know, sweet leaf sweetener. So that is an amazing formula. If if you no.
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And I know this as a nutritionist, as a food scientist. I look at Alex's labels, and I'm like, yes. This is these are the high end ingredients that I would be using in my own formulations. So you can support this broadcast and this platform, but, really, I'm always impressed with what the Alex Jones store is doing with their product line. So check it out.
The alexjonesstore.com, ultra methylene red. That's the the methylated form of vitamin b twelve, so check it out. Alright. Getting back to my topics here. I wanna bring your attention to let's see.
The the Pentagon's desperate doomed plan to turn Ford and GM into weapons factories. That's the title of my the second story that I have there on on natural news. If you scroll down, there's another infographic there that I wanna bring people's attention to. So it it was reported yesterday by the Wall Street Journal that Trump the White House is approaching US automakers and saying, hey. Let's see if we can convert your auto factories into weapons factories.
So number one, this this is a huge red flag that this war is going to be much larger and last much longer. So the the plan is that you're gonna try to take these car factories that are already behind China in terms of, you know, lack of automation, lack of innovation, lack of battery technology, etcetera. And And you gotta try to then churn out weapons because we don't have enough, because we're running out of weapons. Gave a bunch of weapons to Ukraine. They burned them all up fighting Russia.
That didn't work. Gave a bunch of weapons to Israel. They used them all bombing, you know, hospitals in Gaza. Gave a bunch of weapons to the the Gulf State nations. They burned them up, especially the air interceptors trying to stop Iran's incoming drones and missiles, and and also that didn't work.
And then we've spent weeks bombing Iran, just basically using up whatever munitions were left or close to it. So the the panic in the Pentagon and the White House is that we don't have enough weapons remaining, and we need to make more stuff. So that's what you're seeing in the middle zone here on this infographic is, oh, let's let's see if we can make more stuff, more weapons. But the problem with all of this is it's not 1945, folks. It's not the nineteen fifties.
The United States Of America isn't the industrial base of the world any longer. We were post World War two. We could make anything. I mean, that's how we won World War two. Essentially, we we kept making stuff and shipping it over to the Europeans, you know, so they could use it, or or our troops could use it, you know, fighting the Nazis.
But we can make ships, all kinds of, you know, supply ships filled with supplies and and ammunition and boots and artillery rounds and tanks and everything else. We don't do that anymore. That's long gone. China does that. China makes the robots.
China makes the drones. China makes the automobiles. China has the largest GDP in the world, larger than The United States by far at this point. And it's been that way for a a couple years now. But China has the manufacturing automation, which allows China to churn out things like hypersonic missiles at a $100,000 each.
Woah. That's that's like that's a dirt cheap price. The US couldn't build a hypersonic missile for under, you know, $10,000,000, probably. A $100,000 per missile? Yeah.
China can do that because they have incredible automation. China can churn out humanoid robots or dog robots, which can be you know, they can mount rifles on the backs of the dog robots. You've probably seen some of those videos. They can churn those out by the millions if they want to. They can churn out drones, including kamikaze drones, combat drones by the millions.
We can't do that. Now granted, I love the innovation that we do have with the small companies in America that are still making drones or making, you know, knives or swords or or or modern weapons. And we I mean, we still have artisans in America. It's just not like it used to be. We don't have very many machinists.
We don't have people who know how to make things. And when it comes to making ships for the navy, did you know that China has 200 times more naval shipyard capacity than The United States? 200 times. That's why the US Navy is contracting with South Korea to make some of our ships because we don't have the ability to make them in America. So Trump going to Ford and saying, hey, Ford, why don't you make, I don't know, armored personnel carriers, let's say.
I mean I mean, that's that's my guess. I don't know what he said exactly. But or or maybe go to GM and say, can you make drones? Can you make artillery shells? Can you make whatever?
Here's the problem. And, you know, I I own and and run a large manufacturing facility. I know about quality control. I mean, our lab is ISO accredited. Our our facility is GMP certified.
By the way, I I know about this stuff. We in America, we don't have a culture of quality like Japan, for example. Toyota is a good example of that. There's something called the Toyota Way. Japan is meticulous about quality and supply chains.
Japan will take every part from every supplier that comes in to make a Toyota, and they will subject that part to laboratory testing. They'll use, like, ICPMS, mass spec with some acid to dissolve a metal part and then get the atomic breakdown of the elements to make sure it's the right amount of nickel. It's the right amount of chromium. You know, they will Toyota will test everything. And that's why Toyota has quality.
Even if it's assembled in America, it's still subject to Toyota's supply chain quality control, which is extensive. And this has actually been much of the great success of Toyota over the years is its quality. Well, in my view, Ford doesn't have that. You know, the Ford f one fifty Lightning was a total joke. I I think they even canceled making that electric truck because it completely sucked and it wouldn't tow anything.
But there are other manufacturers in America that are are just as bad. I mean, I've even I've had these experiences myself. For example, let's take John Deere. It's a beloved American brand. Goes back, you know, what, generations.
I mean, my grandfather would go buy John Deere tractors for for his farm, and that's how I learned to use tractors. I was riding on an old John Deere back in the nineteen seventies. Well, when I went to buy a John Deere compact track loader, because it's a it's a big machine, you can use it for all kinds of ranch products and shredding and and, you know, moving dirt and things like that. I had only seventy five hours on that machine before the entire left driver the the sprocket that drives the tracks, the entire left side of that thing broke, just broke off. Seventy five hours.
That's considered almost brand new for a compact track loader. Any of you in in construction, you know what I'm talking about. That whole thing broke off. And, of course, that was a warranty repair. I had to get John Deere to come out and fix it, which they did to their credit.
They fixed it. And they told me that the cost to fix it was, like, thousands of dollars. And I said, well, what was the problem? Why did the whole sprocket fall off? They said, well, it looks like nobody tightened the 24 bolts in the factory that hold this thing together.
Like, what do you mean? They didn't tighten the bolts in the factory. You mean I've been driving around with an untightened sprocket for seventy five hours, and it just went kerplunk today. They're like, yeah. That's pretty much what happened.
Like, that is an American quality control problem right there. Toyota wouldn't do that. Toyota would tighten the freaking bolts. You know? They they would have a a checkbox.
Who tightened the bolts? What time were the bolts tightened? How many foot pounds of tightness were on the bolts? You know? And there would be a signature, and there would be a checkbox, and there would be, you know, probably a video camera like, I saw you tighten the bolts.
Right? That's Toyota. And increasingly, China is moving in that direction in terms of their own quality as well. In America, at least in my experience and look. I love my country, but our quality ethic is just not there anymore.
In America, it's like, did you tie the bolts? Yeah. Sure. I did. And while there's smoke and crack in the back alley, whether they're working at Boeing or John Deere or Ford or wherever, yeah, smoking crack and tighten the bolts.
Yeah. In your head, you tighten the bolts, and then it gets shipped. And then the customer gets it, and it just falls apart, which also released a bunch of hydraulic fluid all over my forest floor. That that's another story. This is the problem in America.
So not only do we already have military weapons that frankly largely do not work, Do not work. The f 35 is famous for this. It's it's a piece of junk. Right? Barely flies.
The toilets don't work on the USS Gerald r Ford. You would think that you could build a sewage system because, you know, sewage runs downhill, and you would think you could at least have a sewage system that works, but no. No. After $15,000,000,000 on a floating biosludge hauler now, you can't even get the toilets to work. That's insane.
And, also, they couldn't get the toilet to work on the Artemis spaceship that reportedly flew around the moon recently, and so the astronauts had to go in their own astronaut diapers. Can can you imagine ten days in an enclosed capsule with, like, three or four other astronauts all crapping themselves for ten days and and you can't open the windows? Whoo. Boy, that yeah. They are heroes for enduring that.
Let me tell you. I couldn't get couldn't wait to get back to Earth. Need some fresh air. But we can't make toilets work in this country. It's unbelievable.
No matter what the cost, no matter how many billions, they can't make toilets work. Are you telling me that we're gonna make weapons now that are gonna compete with Russian weapons? The advanced Russian hypersonic missiles, the Kinzon missiles, the Orashnik missile system that is it's it's like a generation ahead of anything The US builds. Or what about Russia's, you know, electronic warfare systems or their air defense systems? They're a generation more advanced than anything in The US.
And in China, it's the same story. Their weapon systems are becoming increasingly capable, far more advanced, swarm technology of drones while we're still bragging about, oh, we made a drone that can drop a grenade. That might have been news a decade ago. That's not news in 2025 or 2026. I mean, give me a break.
So my point is you can go to Ford and you can say, oh, let's make some weapons. You're gonna have to retool the whole factory. You're gonna have to somehow find skilled workers, which practically do not exist anymore because we don't have machinists. We don't have very many skilled welders, anything like that. We I mean, we have a few, but not many.
It's it's a lost skill set for America. So then Ford, in my opinion, will be churning out weapons that don't work, which is pretty much where we are right now. So instead of having no weapons that don't work, we'll have more weapons that also don't work. And that's supposed to be the plan of how to beat China, which brings me to the most important point here. This is all about going to war with China.
And the shutting off of oil from Venezuela to China was a key part of this. And now the shutting off of the Strait Of Hormuz is it's a try to interdict oil going to China. Well, China gets oil from a lot of countries, by the way, is not just out of the Persian Gulf. And, also, China is allies with Russia, and Russia can provide China with gas and oil. In fact, they have a a pipeline that they're building from the Yamal gas fields in Northwestern Russia.
That's that pipeline is gonna go through Mongolia right into the northern industrial cities of China. And that's gonna carry, I think, 50,000,000,000 cubic meters of gas to China every year instead of Europe. So Europe's industry is collapsing. China's industry is gonna have cheap, affordable I mean, affordable, high volume energy to be able to power their factories and power their the creation of polymers and and chemicals and all of the byproducts of hydrocarbons, which includes everything from resins and adhesives and paints and coatings. Everything you can imagine, that's all gonna be coming out of China, plus they have the rare earths.
So you're not gonna be able to strangle China by cutting off their oil supply. That's that's a fantasy. You're not gonna be able to strangle China. All you're gonna do is force China to have new supply chains or to develop more things themselves. For example, we thought in America that we could halt China's advancement in AI technology by banning the export of microchips to China and banning the export of UV lithography equipment out of European countries to China.
You know, that's the equipment that you use to to make microchips. And we thought, oh, that's great. We're gonna we're gonna just block China. They'll never be able to make microchips. Yeah.
Well, the problem with that is China's got a a zillion engineers and math experts, and, you know, you saw them in in your college class if you went to college. The these are the people that were beating you in all the math classes. Right? And they went back to China, and then they they built advanced AI systems like DeepSeek, and they they built advanced physics and and materials engineering. And now they built UV lithography equipment.
Over the next few years, they're gonna be rolling that out. China's gonna make its own microchips. Huawei has invented amazing microchips that the West didn't think were even possible. So this whole idea of saying, oh, we're gonna strangle China, and that's how we're gonna remain dominant and keep the petrodollar all powerful for the West. It's insanity.
It's delusional. It's not gonna happen. What you should do is trade with China. You should trade with Russia. You should trade with Iran.
If you wanna have peace and abundance and a real golden age for America, you should trade with all of these countries around the world instead of bombing them and threatening them and sanctioning them and committing piracy on the high seas by raiding their tanker ships. You know, it's always hilarious to me to hear Marco Rubio or Pete Hegseth talk about, oh, well, that's that's what they're doing is illegal. But when we do it, it's totally legit. You know, like, when we commit piracy on the high seas or bomb a bunch of boats, that's that's totally legit. I mean, even JD Vance the other day admitted that what Iran has done in blocking the Strait Of Hormuz is economic terrorism.
And then he said, well, two can play at that game, so we can be economic terrorists too. I mean, it's they're just openly admitting what they're doing. This is not going to work, folks. It's going to thrust America into poverty and currency collapse. And that's my concern here.
So don't misread anything I'm saying here today. I love my country. I love America, and I want it to succeed. And when I when I'm down on American quality and and and the insanity of what the Trump administration is doing right now, it's not because I hate my country, it's because I love my country. I want my country to do well.
I want the American people to live in abundance and wealth and to have technology and innovation. And the only way to do that at this point is to trade with the world, not to coerce and threaten and bomb the world. I mean, that's that's my thesis here for today, and we're on the wrong path that's gonna end up with The US being completely impoverished, with the currency collapsing, and the American people dumpster diving for food and living in a third world nation. In fact, if you wanna see a preview of what's to come for America, just go to any airport in America. It looks like a collapsed third world airport right now, almost any airport.
I mean, it's it's crazy. When I was living and traveling in South America, I saw a lot of rundown, like, dumpster airports there. Now that's America. You know? The potholes don't get repaired.
The bridges can't get fixed. I mean, here here we are. What was it was it Baltimore when that bridge got torn down or run into by a by a barge? Where are we? Like, a couple of years now?
That thing isn't even rebuilt. Where Iran you know, we bombed that bridge in Iran. That bridge is almost functioning again. Did you know that? They they fixed that bridge in days.
We can't fix a bridge in years. What what's wrong? What happened? What happened to American ingenuity and innovation and the the can do pioneer attitude that made us made us the greatest country in the world at one time? But now we are a failing empire, and the people running this empire, in my view, are on the wrong path.
And we need to strongly encourage them to make a u-turn. You should make peace with Iran. You should divorce APAC and Israel that's driving us in the wrong direction on every single policy. You should make peace with Russia and China and Brazil. Make peace with the world, then reinvigorate our own education system and start churning out the level of engineers and and architects and brilliant minds that America has proven itself to be capable of.
That's the way that we make America great again, Not by bombing everybody else into oblivion and punishing and sanctioning everybody else, but rather by turning our expenditures and investments domestic so that we invest in the American people. We invest in our own infrastructure. We should have railroads that aren't a total joke of the world. We should have high speed rail in this country. We don't have any high speed rail.
We have old clickety clack practically steam locomotives running around. I mean, it's a joke. It it's it honestly, it's a joke. It's a joke to the whole world what has happened to America. We can still turn it around, but it's gonna take some real effort in order to do so.
And I don't see any political willingness to be able to do that. Yeah. Yeah. The show on a graphic, the S and P 500 rallies to all time high. Yeah.
Fake stock market valuations don't create abundance. And manipulation of gold and silver markets, manipulation of oil markets, that doesn't create abundance. So just because you log in to a web page and you see numbers on your screen and say, oh, I'm I'm I'm rich because I own this stock. I own this portfolio, and the numbers are higher. That doesn't mean anything when the great taking comes.
They just take it from you just like that. You don't own it. You don't even you don't even have your name on the shares of those companies. They'll just declare force majeure and take everything. The great taking.
There'll be bank bail ins, and, ultimately, they're gonna try to switch you over to a CBDC bailout where you give up all your your autonomy, your privacy. You know, you give up all your power over your own money by participating in a CBDC a CBDC system. That's what's coming. So how do you how do you resolve all of this? Decentralize your life.
Own gold and silver. Own some private crypto. Not Bitcoin, but privacy oriented crypto. Grow as much of your own food as you can. Pay off your debts if you can.
Don't take on a bunch of new debts. Don't become dependent on the system. Own the title to your house and your land. Have stored diesel because it's becoming extremely valuable. Learn skills.
Know how to do things that matter to make yourself more self reliant, more independent, and resilient against systemic breakdowns that are coming. That's the answer, and that's what I teach every single day. And, well, let me mention this. We've got 50,000 books available that you can download for free at books.brightlearn.ai. Go you can download all the books for free.
We've got 250 audiobooks that are also free now. Just m p three files. No DRM. Nothing. Nope.
No copyright protection. Just download and learn. Learn the skills you need. Learn about, you know, how to build things, how to how to gather sunlight, and have your own off grid energy supply. Learn and grow, and you can make it through all of this.
That's my positive message here at the end of today's show. You can make it through, but you have to take action now. Tough times ahead for all Americans. Thanks for watching today. I'm Mike Adams, the health ranger filling in for Alex Jones here, and thank you for watching.
God bless you all. Take care.
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Michael Hudson: Iran War Ignites Global Financial Armageddon https://youtu.be/pPvP9ojKmpY https://t.co/zIydkp5Fv8
Video Transcript AI Summary
Michael Hudson discusses how the Iran war is accelerating a global economic crisis and signaling a struggle over what the world economic order will look like after the current system breaks down. He emphasizes that energy markets are central to the ripple effects, since disruptions affect fertilizer and agricultural inputs, pharmaceuticals, helium for hospital and tech uses, and highly refined fuels for transportation. In India, fertilizer prices are rising; in the U.S., farmers face constraints from higher input costs and the need to borrow to plant, risking profits as crop prices may not compensate the costs. He notes that crop traders may profit more than farmers, and that the wider impact cascades into electronics and manufacturing through electricity-intensive processes like aluminum refining.
The broader point is that energy is the linchpin of the economy; a disruption in energy flows threatens production across sectors, raising unemployment and undermining manufacturing. Hudson argues that the Iran threat, and the possibility that the United States and Israel would destroy Iran’s refining capacity and electricity, would provoke a depression larger than the 1930s because the physical flow of goods would be constrained beyond what debt relief or wartime Keynesianism can fix. To avoid this, he says, the world must restructure how trade, payments, and international reserves work, which would require reform—or replacement—of the United Nations, since U.S. veto power and international-law violations hinder cooperation and the transition away from fossil fuels toward atomic, solar, or wind energy.
He characterizes the current dynamic as an economic mutually assured destruction: Iran resists being crushed by U.S. and Israeli aggression, while the U.S. seeks to maintain dominance by weaponizing energy and finance. He attributes extreme risk to the U.S. political leadership, describing the internal White House tensions and the possibility of a nuclear impulse as driven by political personalities who would gamble with civilization rather than accept a loss of dominance.
Hudson then contrasts Iran’s position with the U.S. and its allies, noting that U.S. military capability is constrained: the United States has burned through missiles and bombers and cannot easily invade Iran on land. Iran, despite punitive actions against its navy and air force, retains a resilient defense and decoupled administrative networks, and it wields moral authority by opposing what it sees as American-dominated, one-sided control of oil, food, and the dollar. He argues that other countries confront a choice: align with a more independent, multipolar order or accept continued pressure from the United States to surrender sovereignty or face economic isolation.
He critiques the Western use of the term liberalism as misapplied, arguing that the term in contemporary discourse often denotes neoliberals who favor deregulation and reduced government, whereas, historically, public control of essential services and strategic sectors—transportation, banking, health care, education—guided growth. He compares China favorably for keeping banking under public direction and maintaining state-led credit for productive investment, arguing that Western economies have shifted toward financialization and rent-seeking, fueling inequality and instability. He posits that open, liberal trade and investment are not genuinely open under U.S. dominance, since the dollar’s supremacy and centralized control enable coercive extraction.
In closing, Hudson emphasizes that the real question is what economy and political system will replace the current liberal order, with attention to why China’s model—combining public banking, subsidized infrastructure, and state-led development—has produced higher productivity and living standards. He calls for a realistic redefinition of democracy and economic policy to prevent further polarization and decline, and for an international framework that supports productive investment and equitable growth rather than financial extractivism.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Welcome back. We are joined today by professor Michael Hudson to discuss the devastating global economic struggle, which is resulting from the Iran war, and also essentially what is becoming then a, you can say, a competition for the economic world order that will follow well, whatever this world order, whenever this world order comes to an end. So thank you as always for coming back on the program.
Speaker 1: It's always nice to be here because the questions you ask are have to do with the how the whole economy throughout the world is evolving.
Speaker 0: Yeah. And there's so much happening all at once, and these are really, again, historical times when we see the economic architecture from the past eighty years falling apart in front of our eyes, and we wanna I'd like to know what what might follow after this and also explain how the different actors behave. And you wrote you published very recently an excellent article with the name yeah. The sorry. There was the title postponing the world's financial winter for how long.
And I would recommend everyone to to read it, and the link is in the description. So I thought a good place to start would be the energy markets because this is obviously a big hit for the world economy. The US war on Iran essentially plunging all these international energy markets into crisis. I was wondering if you see a silver lining for The US in terms of these energy problems.
Speaker 1: Well, energy markets is just about everything. You have fertilizer, for instance, and fertilizer prices, I'm told in India, have already gone way up. Certainly in America, they're going up to such an extent that farmers are saying if they pay for the fertilizer and for the equipment and for all the other inputs whose price is inflated, they're not going to be able to make money on their crops. Well, course, crop prices may go up because all over the world there's going to be a crop shortage without fertilizer, but farmers need to go to a bank and borrow before they can spend for the spring planting and and the summer and that usually entails selling the crop in advance for a guaranteed price. So the big companies that are the crop trading companies are gonna make a big profit, not the farmers.
So they're really, really being screwed. And, of course, they're the ones who are most loyal to Trump and the and the Republicans. So, of course, they can afford to screw the the farmers because they're, they're his base. But pharmaceuticals are also in there. That's made out of all this, fertilizer, pharmaceuticals.
Already the neon, I'm sorry, the helium, has already been stopped and so that interferes with the, hospital scanning machinery as well as cryogenic freezing of computer chips, then you have just the basic energy for transportation, especially the highly refined, airplane fuels that have already led to huge cutbacks in the airlines planned flights for this summer for the tourist season. So energy is really the whole economy and people, you get the sort of simplistic economic analysis say, well, energy is 10 of GDP, so GDP will go down 10%. But that's not very helpful because if, you have all sorts of things that you need to make a profit, product. And if you don't have energy for it, then that means all the other things are not able to be employed either. And you have unemployment and manufacturing industry.
Aluminum has already been cut back because aluminum's really made out of electricity to do the electrolytic refining of the bauxite. Right down the line, the effect will be more than a 10%. And the genius of Iran's political stance is, if you, the rest of the world, do not stop The United States and Israel from destroying us, which is their explicit threat, They're going to blow up all of our bridges. They're going to destroy all of our refining capacity. They'll destroy all of our electricity.
They'll bring about a regime change and reimpose a police state like the Shah had that led us to have the revolution to overthrow him in 1979 to begin with. If you're just gonna sit by and let the let the world ignore all of the body of international law and the laws of war that the United Nations Charter was supposed to do, then, we're not gonna go down alone. We're going to take the other Arab oil producers with us. That's going to cause such a shortage that it's gonna cause an international depression worse than the nineteen thirties. And the reason why it's worse than the great depression is because that was really a financial, depression, but a cutback in energy and the tangible physical flow of goods is part of the production process itself that that cannot be solved by writing down debts, cannot be solved by saying, let's have a war economy and military Keynesianism to pull us out of the depression.
It's much more serious. So in terms of the world economy, it it's all going going to suffer if other countries do not restructure the way in which all of world trade and payments and finance and how countries save their international reserves is all reformed together. And that requires really a reform of the United Nations or even a it's sometimes easier to create a whole new institution, a new United Nations rather than trying to fix something that is so broken by the United States interference and the corruption not only of the veto power that the United States has to prevent the United Nations from doing anything that The United major that the United States doesn't want, but the corruption of the Atomic Energy Authority acting basically as a spy for Israeli terrorism against Iran or for the fact that the United States is driving the United Nations bankrupt by refusing to pay its bills. And the fact that the United States is blocking any kind of international movements to cope with the global warming, and replace fossil fuels, oil, and gas to begin with with either atomic energy or solar energy or wind energy or, alternatives.
So all of the the entire spectrum has to be changed as a system. It's not just, oh, let's just get the oil flowing again. And that's why I don't I don't understand why the stock markets are saying, well, maybe there can be a a happy medium and everybody can, make a there'll be a position in between global depression and total surrender of Iran and total control shift of international control of the oil trade to The United States to weaponize it to become, basically the world dictator and do to the world what threatens to be the result of destroying OPEC trade today. That's that's the choice, and this choice is seems to be unthinkable as far as the large investments, investors behind the stock and bond markets are concerned.
Speaker 0: What you're describing though is an economic, mutually assured destruction. That is, and I and I can see why, yeah. I think you used that word as well, by the way, in your article, but I can see why Iran is is is is doing this because and no one came to its aid, essentially. That is when The US and Israel attacked in this way, in a very savage way as well, destroying infrastructure, targeting nuclear reactors, talking about killing an entire civilization. Know, what I saw in European papers were, well, now the, you know, the Iranians will have time for will have the opportunity to have freedom now that we you know, now that they have been liberated from, you know, the the dictatorship.
And, essentially, every article, especially in the beginning, seemed to be about how to legitimize this. No one's talking about the international law or pulling back. So, again, if it's only them gonna be destroyed, again, destruction of their civilization, yeah, of course, they wanna push back in this way. But, yeah, it's it does appear to be something that seems like a mutually assured destruction. But if The US you know, it doesn't want the I guess, doesn't want the international economic system to completely melt down, but it doesn't wanna give up its dominance either.
So where do you see this going? Is it
Speaker 1: It would rather crash the whole economy, the world economy, and itself than give up its dominance. It's willing to crash everything. And then you have the personality. Trump wants to be famous. And how, how can you be more famous than ending ending civilization and pushing and taking a thousand years to rebuild it from atomic war?
He will go down as the person that ended the whole, a whole historical epoch of civilization. He he has a motivation for blowing up the world and he's appointed Hegseth is his is the head of the war department who is a Jesus freak who believes that, well, if you end civilization, Jesus will come and he'll save the Christians and send them all to heaven and everyone else to hell. You have crazy people in charge. And so it's not a this is not a situation that you can handle according to all the rational models. It's an irrational model, as you've seen by all of the newspaper reports of the fights that are occurring within the Situation Room of the White House when there are the generals are simply refusing to give Trump the code for the atom bomb because he would they said he would have used it last Saturday.
That's how crazy it is.
Speaker 0: You know, it's, it's just it's incredible that that it's actually gone, to this, distance or length, especially for someone, you know, like Trump was gonna bring Iran who ran on bringing back normality or ending the forever wars. And about the religious dynamic of this, I mean, it's it's quite strange. On on one hand, you see them being overly religious in the way they justify war and try to mobilize, the military and the public, except for when the pope criticizes war, then suddenly there's zero respect for religious authority. I mean, it's it's it's quite extraordinary. It doesn't seem very genuine, to be honest.
But but what do you make of the Iranian defense here, though? Because, again, they're faced with an existential threat. They wanna take down their their their opponents. How how do you see their their ability to withstand all of this? The Economically, this.
Speaker 1: Let's compare the, Iranian and The US ability. The US is, essentially used up most of its available missiles, its bombs, its, missile launchers, it's cut back its airplanes, it's afraid to move its navy within shooting distance of Iran. So The United States has lost its military power to compel. That's why Trump said, well, the army says I can't involve can't invade on land to grab a Karg Island or to grab the uranium. We tried that and it failed.
So if I can't have a military invasion like we we had in such a nice operation in in Venezuela, and if I can't just bomb them because they have their anti aircraft radars that are going to shoot down our planes and the refuel refuelers and, will lose their aircraft. And it's not gonna knock them out anyway because Iran's defenses and Iran's whole administrative network is so decentralized, then we have only one solution, the atom bomb. That's why he asked on Saturday, give me the atom bomb codes. I don't see why the rest of the world doesn't see, where this is is going to lead Because way back in the nineteen seventies, when I worked with Herman Kahn, the Hudson Institute, it was all about working, out what the sequence of political and military responses would be to an atom bomb, and it pretty much means that everybody's going to need one. And, you'd think I mean, the the joke is that in trying to prevent the fiction, the pretense that Iran was trying to get an atom bomb, now everybody realizes we need an atom bomb.
If we don't have our own atom bomb, Israel can bomb us. Israel is the only country in the world that's permitted to have 200 atom bombs to use against whoever it wants, and we can't. So we need 200 countries. Let's we we all need them too. This is the double standard that's occurred.
And, again, countries are not taking steps to isolate The United States and Israel and say, look. If you're going to go down this route of threatening the atom bomb, if you don't get take control of the world oil trade to weaponize it and use it as a choke point to say, can't get oil unless we succumb to, your foreign policy and give and agree to shift our investment, in our major industries into The United States, as a center that you're going to force us into a depression by cutting us off from oil. If if if you're you're you're offering threatening exactly what, Iran has, anticipated for the threat. So, the the US military doesn't have an ability to do anything to really conquer Iran. All it can do is bomb it.
And the Iranians have, main have, despite what, Trump says, their navy is not destroyed, maybe half of it is. Their aircraft is not destroyed, maybe half as it is. The missile launchers are not destroyed. What were destroyed were the balloons that they bought from China and inflated to look like missile launchers, which were, bombed that, Trump said we've destroyed all of their, missile launchers. So Iran is in a a much stronger military position defensively, and Iran's not an offensive power.
The only countries that Iran can threaten are its, Arab neighbors, in the in in West Asia. It's not going to be a world power in in the sense that America, or China is a military power. It's not going to be an investment power itself because it's been stripped of its foreign means of investment. It's not even going to be a major trade power. What is giving it all the power that it has is the moral power that it's got saying, we we are not going to stand up for letting The United States become the world's dictator and using, oil trade, food trade, the dollar as weapons against other countries, to maintain one-sided exploitative control over them.
We're not going to let that happen, and somebody has to draw the line, and it's Iran that has drawn the line. That's what that's what its moral power is, and other countries really don't have any choice except either to tell Iran, you're right. We have to make a change. We have to stop this, aggression by The United States and Israel to say, we will destroy your economy either militarily or economically if you don't do what we want, or they'll, isolate, themselves from The United States and Israel by going their own way. And essentially, that means isolating The United States, until it ends its military and, financial attempt to weaponize everything that it does in every economic and, social, activity.
Speaker 0: It's interesting that this role fell on the Iranians to essentially check The US on this because you and I spoke have spoken before about how a confident hegemon, that is the British in the nineteenth century or or the Americans in the twentieth century, they when when they're confident, have an interest in having an open, liberal, international economic system. That is everyone should have access to technologies, industries. There should be, you know, free access to international trans transportation corridors by sea or land. There should be free access to currencies, banks, etcetera. But but once the hegemon is in decline, it will seek to will reverse its decline by essentially weaponizing all aspects of economic connectivity.
So all the connectivity, which was previously a source for global growth, is now weaponized to restore the hegemonic power. Now, you know, we we see this being used against China, I think, yeah, to to a large extent, not just tech, energy, transportation corridors, but also increasingly Russia. But Iran, it looks like they yeah. They're the one who put the foot down, and but they they also have some abilities to the Strait Of Hormuz. I think this is quite fascinating because by stripping The US of control of the Strait Of Hormuz, I mean, they they can do a lot of other things.
I see now that they set some conditions. They essentially set up a toll booth now, and they said we have you have to everyone has to pay toll, especially the countries who attacked Iran or sanctioned Iran. They have to pay reparations, so that's an additional bonus on top. And, also, they don't want dollars anymore. This is quite extraordinary.
Speaker 1: Well, they that's not possible they have dollars. They had dollars, and The United States has confiscated them. If you have dollars, you The United States will immediately steal them as they stole Russia's $300,000,000,000. The dollar is unusable by any country that wants its own national sovereignty. I wanna say, you used the word liberal, and this is a completely misused term in general.
The takeoff of the industrial nations, Britain, Germany, The United States, they were not liberal. The word liberal has come really means neoliberal. It means no government. Liberal means Mark Thatcher, Ronald Reagan in today's vocabulary. And it means, you you dis you have to dismantle all government subsidy of the economy, instead of the governments running, natural monopolies such as transportation and communications and, providing free schooling and free health care.
All that was nineteenth century. It wasn't neoliberalism. The word they used was socialism in one form or another or social democracy perhaps. But, they did not use liberalism. They rejected the whole idea of free trade in order for governments to shape the markets to so as to prevent rent seeking, shape the markets to prevent real estate prices from going up by taxing away land rent, to prevent monopolies from taking place either by things like the antitrust act of the Sherman antitrust act of 1890 in America and Teddy Roosevelt's trust busting.
Or the but better yet, the government will take all of these natural monopolies into public hands as was done the case from Europe to The United States. United States with the Erie Canal and on. So as to and there was a whole doctrine of looking at government capital formation. Public infrastructure investment was a a factor of production. But unlike industrial capital or capitalist capital, private sector capital and industry capital, the aim of government investment was not to make a profit.
It was to lower it was to provide its basic services for key sectors at subsidized rates or even freely so that you lower the economy's overall cost of doing business. And at the end of all of this, there this this government control was, in finance achieved most clearly in Germany and Central Europe at the end of the nineteenth century where the government and industry, and the banks moved hand in hand to direct the financial system to, provide credit, not to make money financially for financial investors, but to finance capital formation and industry, to build factories largely in the arms producing industries, of course, but to produce actual industry. Well, there was a all of this was what classical political economy was all about. The ideal of the whole political doctrine of industrial capitalism was cap was to minimize economic rent. It was value theory.
That's what Ricardo talked about. John Stuart Mill, Karl Marx, they were all talking about how do you keep prices in line with actual cost of production, the value, and get rid of economic rent, which is the excess of market prices overvalue because of the special privileges that, we inherited from medieval European society. The privilege of absentee hereditary land ownership by a landlord aristocracy, the monopolies that were created by international banks in the fourteenth century on to enable kings to have a revenue to carry their war debts, and general banking to provide credit for economic growth. Well, there was a after World War one, all of that plans for how to develop an industrial economy was essentially put aside and finance replaced industry as the focus of gaining wealth and making a fortune, throughout the West. And if you look at today, the most successful economy in terms of growth of production, living standards is China, and what it's done is exactly the same principle that made The United States wealthy and productive and so dominant in the nineteenth century.
It it's kept natural monopolies in the public hand. Transportation is very inexpensive. It's subsidized. Health care, education is subsidized. But most of all, China's kept banking in the in the hands of the government.
So the bank of the People's Bank of China will create credit for actual tangible production. Unfortunately, lot of this has gone into overproduction of real estate, but the idea is you're not going to make loans for financial speculators to borrow money, buy a corporation, and then essentially loot it, with and, leave it, which is what's happening, in the West. Certainly all week long and for instance, in the Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, there's a discussion to say, well, the major banks and major investment funds that have lent money for private capital formation to take over companies and finance their in the shitification, their downsizing and essentially just looting these companies, were not letting pension funds cash in their holdings unless they take 50%, 80%, lose lose all their money because the whole American economy has become a bubble. So when I talked about what's the effect of the energy stopping before, one of the effects is to bring down this whole highly leveraged financial sector, the whole debt leveraged, buyouts and the debt pyramid, mainly in The United States, as in the depression, The United States was the most highly debt leveraged economy, the whole financial sector will be coming down.
So what what will be destroyed is not only a physical output, it's the whole system of financialization that has led The United States to lag so far behind China, for instance, in countries that, instead of being liberal, say, well, the government has to play a positive role in providing for certain basic needs and to prevent, exploitation. If you don't have a government strong enough to prevent a financial oligarchy from developing, then, you're going to end up like The United States, a failed economy. Or like Germany and most of Western Europe, a failed economy as a result of their neoliberalism. So, I just wanted to be very careful about using that word liberalism. It's a it's a it's an a term against government and against socialism specifically.
That's what caused the whole reaction against industrial capitalism because industrial capitalism itself was evolving into socialism, into a government playing an increasing role in the economy by investing in infrastructure, by preventing monopolies, by taxing away, or preventing land rent and monopoly rent and financial exploitation from occurring. So there there there's a whole ideological superstructure that is gone by the wayside, along with the collapse of, production. Ideology is the last thing to go apparently.
Speaker 0: Yeah. No. That's a good point. Often the word liberal is used because of the openness of the system. But but But it's not open.
No. No. No. I agree. And and and there's nothing else.
Speaker 1: United States says if any if we have open trade, then we can't control it. The United States says there cannot be open trader investment. If we can't grab if, there's if everybody can use the dollar, then we can't grab it all from them and force them to do what we want. Nothing is open. It's a closed system controlled centrally by The United States.
Liberalism is central planning, but it's central planning not by government, but by the financial sector and by the political, military sector. That's a liberalism. You have to realize that central centralized planning, not by the government, not by democracy, but by financial wealth and and the military to protect its dominance.
Speaker 0: No. That's yeah. That's where I was going. I I think the rent seeking rent seeking, not just from the their own public, that is the American public, but also from other countries as well. I think this is why, yeah, the the the assumption of countries who break away from The US led economic system that they would only suffer, but we see, well, like in the Russian case, that they can actually make have have many benefits as well from not, yeah, paying these rents.
But given that this is The US situation, when he was a hegemon, he had, you know, certain privileges in terms of everyone using the dollar, everyone using the banks, everyone using its technologies. How how do you as The US now struggles as a declining hegemon, it seems to be pursuing a very different approach. It's has a very, I guess, extractive approach to to trade. He wants to maximize
Speaker 1: But that's that's
Speaker 0: one of years. If you don't Maybe that's an other story. But who who in who in this situation do do you think wanna invest in The US economy given that it's kind of obvious what they're going for now?
Speaker 1: Well, that's the fantasy of all this. Donald Trump says, well, you know, we we can go one of two ways. Either we Iran you know, we'll attack Iran, to make one last stab to grab its oil, which is how we began. That's nothing to do with Iran wanting an atom bomb. It's nowhere near an atom bomb if America wants its oil.
Or in in that case, will be a world depression. But if there's a world depression, he Trump said, we'll come out ahead. We look at us. We have oil. We have gas.
We we don't need oil oil and gas. Other countries will suffer more and that means we will suffer less than they do and that's what winning is in a shrinking environment, to suffer less than your, opposition. Well, that's his fantasy. But he doesn't realize that, well, the yes. The United States has oil, and gas, but it doesn't have industry.
It doesn't have any means today of being, of producing industrial goods, because it doesn't have an industrial labor force. And even the construction labor force, most of the blue collar work and the dirty work, the low low wage work was being done by immigrants, and Trump has cut that all off. So you no longer have the in immigrant, personal care, restaurants and other things that immigrants do, crop, crop picking that immigrants do, or the blue collar labor working in factories because there aren't any factories now for them to work in. So immigrants have always done, the hard work just like you, is the case in the Arab, Emirates where it's mostly an immigrant population. Same thing in Saudi Arabia.
That's that's how countries recruit the labor force. And the The United States cannot compete industrially or agriculturally with other economies to say, oh, well, we'll export something for you and, for for what you need. You sell sell us what we need, your raw other raw materials, your high, your your whatever it is you produce. Because the the cost of labor is so high in The United States, not because Americans' living standards are high. The the living standards of labor in America have gone down steadily ever since 2008 and really since nineteen eighties or the '19 late nineteen seventy nine was really the key for American labor living standards.
You could afford to buy housing there out of the wages that you had, but especially since Obama's bill out the banks and the junk mortgage fraud that, essentially wiped out a lot of the low income people. And since 2008, all almost all the growth in wealth in America has been, as we've said, to the top wealthiest 10% and its wealth of the finance, insurance, and real estate sector, not the industrial economy at all. So the industrial the American industrial economy has been essentially, dissolved. You had America make it a deal with, Korea and, also with Japan to build affiliates in The United States. And so, Korea said, well, you know, we'd came over here.
We tried to hire American labor. They're not good at construction labor. They're just too, sloppy. We we have to bring our own labor over. Same thing with Taiwan.
They had a multibillion dollar, big, plans to build a computer chip factory, out west. And they found out, well, we have to use our own workers. We can't use American workers for it. They there's essentially, no one wants to be a blue collar worker in The United States, and the only people who do were willing to do the blue collar jobs are now being deported, or under threat of deportation, because they've immigrated and doing a blue collar job is how you get a foothold, in in this country. So, there's this fantasy that somehow if, there is a world depression, America can come out the winner is all of a sudden going to show that America's hollow.
It will be like, like, John McCain called Russia a gas station with atom bombs. Well, that's all that America would be left with under Donald Trump's alternative. To say, okay, we've brought the rest of the world in depression. We have oil and gas, and we have the atom bomb. We don't have any industry, and our agriculture is broke.
So he's turned in he's turned America into a gas station with atom bombs if he goes that route of causing of forcing Iran to defend itself by saying if, we're going to be attacked and destroy our economy, we're going to bring all of the world with us, which is going to force you to make an alternative or just to live in a permanent depression until you figure a way out of it that'll save us along with you. That's that's the political dynamic at work that I see.
Speaker 0: Yeah. This assumption that if the international system breaks down, the global economy somehow, The US will be able to float to the top. It's well, some of it can have some strength in that argument in terms of The US having a lot of energy sovereignty, but their whole similarity one often hears with World War two, it seems a bit, yeah, wrong because, you know, in World War two, there was the the emergence of the big business. There was a lot of technological development, and, overall, after the war was over, The US was the world's factory. It was the world's bank.
These days, it doesn't it outsourced its industries. It's the largest debtor country in the world, in world history. So it's not it's not positioned well as it was back then. So the idea that one can come out strong in a war like this, it doesn't make much sense. But my my my my last question, though, was just on on the partners of of The US.
Because if The US is shifting towards extracting more economic concessions, and you hear that you see this in Europe where, you know, Trump can hand over the Europeans any trade deal they have to sign, whatever. You know, they have to show up at his golf course and sign deal they don't wanna sign. You see some some suggesting that The Gulf States should repay The US for the weapons it has spent in fighting Iran. In East Asia, there's been comments that Taiwan and others should begin to shift their high-tech industries towards The United States. So, again, this very extractive economic, approach, which is now kicking in to reverse the decline.
You know, nobody wants to do this. It appears that the main leverage The US has is that it's a it's the security dependence, The US' security guarantor. But a declining hedge bond often invites insecurity. It doesn't provide security to the same extent as evident in both Europe and and the The Gulf States. So how do you how how durable do you think this is?
Speaker 1: Well, that's just what the Emirates have just said. We we had thought, two things. We thought that when we bought US weapons, they were going to work and the the weapons are only like to have an expensive Rolls Royce in the garage. It looks nice but it's not really the most efficient car. The weapons are not to fight with.
They're not to fight a war with. They're not to attack. They're not to defend. They're just to hold on the ground and to make America happy. The weapons don't work and having a base here, has ended up a threat.
When America attacked Iran, Saudi Arabia and the Arab countries said, well, we weren't consulted. And the European consult countries said, wait a minute. Donald Trump wants now us to die to the last year European was, trying to have a land invasion of Cark Island and Iran, so we'll die when America's not willing to do. The fact is that, America's acting unilaterally by itself in its own interest, and so having a US military base there is, essentially putting yourself as a bull's eye for Iran and, similar all over the world, to, to destroy because The United States military bases are there is a means of attack. They're not defensive.
They're aggressive. And if they're aggressive against any enemy, the enemies the, opponent is going to fight back and wipe it out, and they'll whip out the country that has the military base in it. So obviously, that's not safe. But most of all, I'm glad you mentioned the thought that, Trump has said, well, Iran has to Iraq has to pay us for all the costs that it had for the war we we waged to destroy them, and, we're gonna get pay capture the repayment for that by grabbing its oil. That's he said that explicitly, and so he's grabbed its oil.
And there is obviously, he wants to do the same thing with the Arab OPEC countries. Well, we defended you. Now you have to pay us for the cost of defending you with our military industrial complex of overpriced missiles and aircraft and missile launchers and everything else that didn't have anything like the military effect that we told you it would have. It we're a paper tiger to use Mao's phrase. And, why on earth would any country want an American military base being a military being a paper tiger that's not going to defend it, that just makes it a bull's eye, a target of countries that America is trying to launch a war with as it tries to threaten to destroy them if they don't surrender their sovereignty, to The United States and to Trump personally.
Speaker 0: It seems like a strange time in world history to be banking on US security guarantees. I mean, it's you know, that's it's just it's not in The that The US doesn't have the possibility anymore either. It's I'm I'm so I'm very shocked by when I look around the world how how little adjustment there actually is to the new realities that is this new distribution of power. The assumption that we can still have the hegemonic policies of the nineteen nineties and apply them to 2026 when the distribution of power clearly is now post hegemonic and, yeah, multipolar.
Speaker 1: This security you talk about for seventy, for eighty years now has been a fiction. It's the enabling fiction to say we will provide you for security in case that Russia invades Europe. That's as if Russia is going to invade Europe. Russia has known it's a a fiction to think that Europe needs security against Russia. Russia wants to be left alone by Europe, and it's willing to fight Europe and to bomb Germany and England and France if they try to attack Russia as they're doing or provide Ukraine with missiles to attack Russian oil and refinery production as they're doing.
Russia has already turned its back on Europe and wants to go with the East because Europe is part of a failed civilization. It's going it's going downhill and it's Russia's not only rejecting Europe economically but its social values and its rotten political system. A system that says, if you say that you're against a genocide, we're throwing you in jail. This is a democracy. We're in charge and, you cannot in a democracy say, oh, we're against we're the Palestinians shouldn't be exterminated.
That's against civilization. You go to jail. Germany said that, Britain said that, and France has said that, and they're arresting people to say that. I mean, this is a despicable culture for the rest of of the world, and they're seeing the whole nakedness of, the the the fact that Europe is not a democracy at all and that all of this say saying, we're here to protect you. You have to pay us to protect you is really just you have to pay us to be able to put in place a military system to threaten you with disruption if you don't do what we want and, follow trade policies that are unequal and benefit us, not you.
America has to win as Donald Trump says, and you have to use the dollar that we can just print to get buy up your industry, your raw materials, and other things. You have to pay the debts that are you run up from running trade deficits as a result of following the the pro American investment policies that the World Bank and the IMF produced that say don't produce your own food, buy buy American. The whole system that was supposed pretended to be keeping the world economy prosperous and free turned out to be making it more and more unequal, more and more polarized, less and less safe, and more or less prone to leading to exactly the culmination of this, irrepressible conflict that we're seeing today?
Speaker 0: Yeah. I was I was interviewed two days ago by a German newspaper, and and, you know, I was making the point that if Europe wants to reverse its decline, it has to end the dividing lines in Europe. That is end the conflict with Russia, you know, remove Ukraine from the front lines of of this new war. And and I was asked, well, to what extent is possible because our values are so different, because we have liberal democracy and the Russians are so authoritarian. I was like, this is the same Germany.
I mean, where where again, where you protest against the genocide and they throw you in jail. I it's it's no. It's quite extraordinary that this is still the the very narrow framework we have to interpret the world around us that is simply, you know, good guys versus bad guys. Anyways, any final thoughts before we wrap up?
Speaker 1: Well, the whole question is what is democracy? What seems to be democracy, in the West is exactly what it was in, Aristotle's day in Greece. He said what claims to be democracy is really oligarchy. But you can let people vote for who is going to be the personal leaders and the administrators, but you cannot vote for what kind of an economy are we going to have, what kind of a society we have. All of that is determined by the wealthiest, oligarchic parts of the population.
The the whole purpose of democracy is supposed to be how do you run an economy to prevent it from polarizing and to act on behalf of the population at large, increasing its, living standards and its productivity and its happiness. That can only be done with a strong enough government, in a position to prevent a financial oligarchy from developing and polarizing the economy and dismantling government authority to put the authority in the hands of the creditors and the landowners and the wealth holders. So the whole idea is that the whole ancient Near East, Babylonia, Sumer, they all had rulers who would prevent debts from impoverishing the economy from prevent the land from being forfeited to buyers to centralized landowners who accumulated it all, to prevent the ancient Middle East, West Asia from suffering in the way that Western civilization did from classical Greece to the Roman Empire. And we're still living in the results of that idea of oligarchy creating a government, calling it democracy, and saying government not controlled by the oligarchy is not democratic. When, you and that a country like China whose government is trying to act on behalf of increasing productivity, wealth, and living standards is called, an autocracy.
Well, this is this is the vocabulary of deception that we're, we're living in and that a part of this, resolution of the economic conflict we're having today has to be a resolution of the ideological misuse of language to provide a a more realistic vocabulary to explain why it is that Western economies are polarized and, getting poorer and poorer and other countries, China is not. What is it that China's doing that we're not doing that has enabled it to uplift its population? That, there has to be that discussion, which hasn't even begun yet. It's it's still in the unthinkable phase.
Speaker 0: Yeah. Far away. Well, thank you very much for, yeah, sharing your insights. It's, quite extraordinary what we're seeing. So, yeah.
Thanks again.
Speaker 1: Well, thank you for having me, Glenn.
reSee.it AI Summary
I discuss with ex-Pentagon advisor Jim Rickards the imminent global economic crisis and mass starvation, whether the Iran conflict ends dollar hegemony or the petrodollar, the consequences of Hormuz closure, and how a multipolar world forms as energy shocks mount.
@NewOrder_TV - New Order with Afshin Rattansi
🚨NEW EPISODE OF NEW ORDER🌐 Ex-Pentagon Advisor James Rickards Warns of IMMINENT Global Economic Crisis, Mass Starvation Will the war on Iran mark the end of dollar hegemony or the end of the petrodollar? What are the devastating consequences if the Strait of Hormuz remains shut? How is the multipolar world shaping as the energy shock worsens? We discuss all this and more with Ex-Pentagon Advisor Jim Rickards.
Video Transcript AI Summary
Ashwin Rutansi hosts New Order, examining how India and the global South are calculating in a world of competing financial and geopolitical systems. He notes Ramanujan’s death in 1920 in Tamil Nadu and asks if there is a shift toward a multipolar order or a recalibration of power. Tehran remains the epicenter of geopolitical upheaval, with Trump-Netanyahu wars on Iran and Lebanon affecting civilians. India’s strategic moves unfold on multiple fronts: Defense Minister Rajnath Singh travels to Germany for defense cooperation with the Indian Navy, including potential submarine deals valued around $12 billion; India and China engage at Delhi-Shanghai Cooperation Organization meetings; with Russia, India negotiates S-400 missile deliveries and Pantsir anti-drone systems, plus a Moscow-Delhi Arctic access deal.
The program highlights energy costs and humanitarian costs of conflict, noting the UN estimate that Iran-related funding could have saved 87,000,000 lives if redirected to aid rather than conflict, while in India alone 354,000,000 may be pushed into poverty. Zara Klahn will later field audience questions.
Jim Rickards, best-selling author and former financial war games adviser to the Pentagon, joins from New Hampshire. He asserts a grave danger: the Strait of Hormuz is closed, which matters because 20% of the world’s oil and a high share of LNG transit there. He explains that while some vessels pass Iran’s choke point, the US Navy often stops them, either by seizure or missiles, making bypassing the blockade unlikely in the near term. He describes a “floating pipeline” during the crisis: ships traveled from the Persian Gulf to destinations such as South Korea, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Malaysia, and India; as refineries begin to feel the impact three weeks to two months in, the world will face energy shortages and fertilizer disruptions due to nitrate imports, threatening planting seasons and potential mass hunger. He notes that the blockage’s continuation will worsen the situation, since turning refinery operations back on is a slow process.
Regarding Indian and Chinese responses, Rickards states they’re not yet pivoting aggressively due to limited power to alter the bottlenecks. He says China is in a vulnerable position; the US has built a military alliance with Indonesia controlling the Strait of Malacca, and Washington intends to interdict Iranian vessels regardless of Iran’s actions. He characterizes a US-Russia duopoly that diverts oil away from the Persian Gulf, while Russia benefits from sanctions evasion and managed reserves. He disputes the idea that the petrodollar is collapsing, calling it “petrodollar 2.0” and arguing that the dollar remains strong as a reserve currency, though China and others may seek dollars through Treasury securities rather than dump them.
Rickards explains China’s sale of treasuries does not signal de-dollarization but a need for cash to support its currency and banks, given dollar dependencies. He emphasizes that BRICS has a currency in gold and has developed the New Development Bank and a contingent reserve fund, but the crucial factor for a global reserve currency is a robust bond market and settlement infrastructure, which he argues China does not yet have. He discusses India’s position, noting India’s balance with Russia and the US, and its continued dollar-based oil purchases, while noting yuan’s limited liquidity and India’s access to dollars.
The program moves to an audience Q&A with Zara Khan. Questions touch on whether Trump seeks to break BRICS, the impact of BRICS success on ordinary people, whether BRICS currency could be gold-backed, and why non-aligned regions are quiet. Khan notes that a BRICS currency would likely involve gold and infrastructure rather than a simple currency switch. She emphasizes gold as a potential anchor and cautions that BRICS’ progress is gradual, with gold holdings being a notable strength for India and Russia. The host invites further questions and signs off, asking listeners if the U.S. war on Iran could mark the beginning of the end of the petrodollar.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: I'm Ashwin Rutansi, and this is New Order broadcasting globally, including to nearly one and a half billion on RT India. That's India where today in 1920, one of the greatest mathematicians in history, Ramanujan, died at the age of 32 in Tamil Nadu. On this program, we examine how India and the wider global South are calculating on a world of competing financial and geopolitical systems. Are we witnessing a genuine shift toward a multipolar order or a recalibration of existing power? Tehran continues to be the epicenter for the current geopolitical earthquake, the Trump Netanyahu wars on Iran and Lebanon that have killed, wounded, or displaced millions of civilians.
At the same time, India's strategic positioning is unfolding across multiple fronts. Defense minister Singh arrived in the economic basket case Germany for a three day visit. The aim was to deepen war cooperation with the Indian Navy potentially spending $12,000,000,000 for submarines that critics question in the age of underwater drone warfare. This is mutual cooperation agreements were compounded between India and China at Delhi Shanghai Cooperation Organization meetings. With Russia, India continued to negotiate s 400 missile deliveries and new Pantsir anti drone defense systems.
And all that comes after ratification of a military deal between Moscow and Delhi for Arctic access. But as well as the millions killed, wounded, or displaced by Trump's war, billions have been pushed into hardship by higher energy prices. The UN claimed that reported war on Iran funding could have saved 87,000,000 lives if allocated to helping people instead of killing them. It added that in India alone, 354,000,000 may be pushed into poverty that Trump and Netanyahu stopped bombing instead of the 351,000,000 today. Later in the program, New Order's Zara Klahn will bring us your questions, and we'll answer as many as we can.
Right now, I'm joined by best selling author and former financial war games adviser to the Pentagon, Jim Rickards. He's the author of Currency Wars, The Death of Money, The Road to Ruin, The New Great Depression, Sold Out, and MoneyGBT, and he's in New Hampshire. Jim, welcome, to New Order. So clear that Iran aren't, going anywhere. They defeated US backed Iraq, Saddam Hussein.
The Soleimani defeated US backed ISIS and Al Qaeda. Are there grave dangers, though, that the global South now face regardless of how the Trump war ends?
Speaker 1: Well, are a number of dangers, Ostrand. I agree with you and your audience. The the biggest danger is is is front and center. It's happening now is the the the Strait Of Hormuz is closed. Now, you know, when you do intelligence analysis, always say
Speaker 0: But it's open it's open to some vessels that pay the toll.
Speaker 1: Well, that that that's not clear. Well, the Iranians have let certain vessels go through. You signal the Iranians, you tell them who you are, they put you on a list, they approve you, you pay a toll, and you're allowed through. But no sooner do you get through than a day or two later, you're turned around or seized by the US Navy, either marine for US marine seizures or in some cases, they're actually targeting the vessels and hitting them with missiles. So you're right.
A very small number of vessels have have got through the Iranian choke hold, but then they encountered the US Navy. And and maybe one or two got through. That's that's certainly possible. But you
Speaker 0: you I think there are official figures that it's scores of ships are getting through. I mean, they were Iran have announced with great fanfare the amount of money coming through to them, and some people have been talking about how you can hug the coast from the Strait Of Uruz around Pakistan to Mumbai from coast.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Smuggling smuggling is is as old as civilization. I don't doubt that a couple get through, but you're talking about a a conduit that usually does a 120 vessels per day. So if you say 10 got through, that's fine. That that's that's possible, but the US Navy is waiting for you when you get into the Arabian Sea.
But my my point is is this is not I don't see anything changing this in the short run. So everything else is noise. So J. D. Vance, going to Islamabad, that's noise.
Iranians boycotting the peace talks, that's noise. The ceasefire is noise. Iranian threats of retaliation if The US resumes bombing, it's all noise. I'm not saying it's not important if you happen to be on the wrong end of the bomb, but it's all noise. The the the signal because you're separating noise and signal.
The signal that counts is the Strait Of Hermosa is closed. It's been closed for fifty six days. I don't see what's gonna open it for the foreseeable future. At some point, sure things will change, but not for the foreseeable future. It's 20% of the world's oil energy, a high percentage of the world's or 20% of the world's liquid natural gas.
It's not it's not going anywhere. You only certain vessels can get past the Iranians, and those that do cannot get past the US Navy. Again, maybe a few exceptions. But basically and you say, why hasn't kind of the world come to an end? Why haven't industrial economy shut down already if this has been going on for going on eight, nine weeks, which it is, which it has.
The answer is there were a lot of vessels outside the Persian Gulf when the war started on February 28. So it's I call it a floating pipeline. There were oil tankers headed for South Korea, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Malaysia, and others, and India. And and they've been unloading. Well, the last ones have now unloaded.
It takes two to three weeks to get from the Persian Gulf to South Korea. So for a while, you had new arrivals, and they were filling up storage tanks, etcetera. But that has now dried up. That floating pipeline has gone to zero. There's nothing more on the way.
And now it's really just now, nine weeks into this, where we're gonna start to see refineries shut down, industrial plants shut down. New Zealand has no natural resources, at least no oil or natural gas. They're 100% dependent on imports, and the pipeline is dried up. So we're gonna start to see the impact beginning about now.
Speaker 0: That's throughout the world, let alone just the global South.
Speaker 1: Well, that's correct. As for the global South, they have that problem, which we just described, which is energy inputs. But also they're they're very dependent on when nitrates come from the Persian Gulf and they're used for for fertilizer, basically. This is a planting season in a lot of the world. And if you can't get those nitrates and you can't fertilize the fields, you can't plant your crops, you're looking at potential mass starvation on top of the industrial impact in terms of shutting down refineries and and and industrial plants.
And by the way, when I say shut down, this is not like throwing a switch where you can turn it back on again. If you shut down a refinery because you don't have inputs, you don't have the oil to to create the refined product, it takes weeks or months to gear it back up again. As I say, you can't just throw a switch. You've got temperatures and pressures and a lot of fine tuning that has to go on. So even if the Persian Gulf opened tomorrow, which it will not, but if it did, it could take weeks or months to get, as I say, refineries going again.
But if this blockage continues, which I expect it will, then that situation will get much worse.
Speaker 0: The reason I was offering some skepticism as regards the number of ships that can get through and bypass the US Navy. The US Navy, after all, officially lost its boss last week when Trump fired him. Is perhaps because you'd expect then, given what you've just said, that India and China, for instance, so reliant on supplies, would have been much more assertive on the world stage if the situation was as desperate as you made out. That's why I was I was showing some skepticism there because if it was that desperate, they'd be saying a lot more than they are. Are they not getting the secret stuff out bypassing the US Navy blockade?
Speaker 1: No. They're get they're getting some from Russia. Those that has been in the works actually since since 2022, the beginning of the war in Ukraine when The US or the West, NATO, and The US put sanctions on Russian exports. Russia just pivoted and said, okay. If we can't sell it to Germany, we'll sell it to China.
And so that relationship has expanded, but it's not big enough yet to replace what we're talking about, which is basically the the oil tankers and the the seaborne cargos. China is in a very vulnerable position. Again, part of the reason you haven't heard more, and it's a good question, is what we just talked about, which is there has been there have been deliveries since the February, but those deliveries right now are just starting to dry up. Again, one tanker is not gonna power China for more than more than a day or a few hours at the most. They do have a pretty robust coal coal generated power system, and they have a lot of coal.
That's one thing they do have, and they're they're relying on that to some extent. But the problem is China is even more vulnerable than the Persian Gulf because The United States just struck a very high level military alliance with Indonesia, which controls the Strait Of Malacca. And there's more seaborne cargo going to China that goes through the Strait Of Malacca than comes out of the Persian Gulf. Yeah.
Speaker 0: Your understanding, that's just a rumor that has spread like wildfire when supposedly president Supianto of Indonesia was gonna charge a toll on the Strait Of Malacca.
Speaker 1: Well, he's he's not he's not charging a toll, and I I don't I I I actually hadn't heard that. Add it to my rumor list. No. He's not charging a toll. I'm saying he struck an alliance with The US, and they can sit tight.
But at this point and then what you have to ask yourself is does Trump may want the Straits Of Hormuz closed. He may want that. In other words and actually, United States has said that. Even if Iran woke up tomorrow and said, hey. It's all good.
You know, free free commerce. Anyone can go through. The US Navy is still sitting there, they've said, we're gonna interdict Iranian vessels, vessels leaving Iranian ports, ghost vessels, so called shadow fleet, etcetera. If we think it's coming from Iran, we're gonna interdict it whether the Iranians ease ease up or not. But the reason for that is what's going on.
If you look at the bigger picture, Ashwin, I think this is the key. So The United States has taken over Venezuela and oil. By extension, we've got Guyana and oil. We're opening up Alaska. We're giving drilling oil natural gas drilling permits as fast as we can.
We have the Gulf Of America. The US has taken control of the Panama Canal from China. The Straits Of Famuzia are closed. This is what JD Rockefeller did. JD Rockefeller was not a great oil explorer.
What he did, he controlled transportation and he put his competitors out of business. So what's happening is that The US and Russia are creating a global duopoly and cutting off the Persian Gulf supply. So if you don't have oil from the Persian Gulf, you can pretty much only get it from The US and Russia.
Speaker 0: Although, of course, technically, Russia is has been supplying military equipment to Iran to Sure. Force Yeah. Its ability to to bypass the blockade. So you don't think that one byproduct is really the end of the petrodollar. It's working against them despite their supposed strategy of trying to control the strait.
Actually, it's the end of the petrodollar because it's being bypassed as we speak.
Speaker 1: There is small amounts. It's really loose change. I mean, the the petrodollar is actually getting stronger. I call it petrodollar two point o. By the way, I was in the in the White House with the working with Henry Kissinger's deputy when we set up petrodollar one point o in 1974.
Was working on plans to invade Saudi Arabia, which was the that was the stick. We had a carrot and stick. So secretary William Simon and Jerry Parsky had the carrot, which is, hey. Arribes, you charge sell oil in dollars. And since everyone needs oil, that means everyone needs dollars, and that establish the dollars, the global reserve currency after the end of the gold standard.
This is petrodollar 2, which is the only people who have oil are The United States and Russia that can get out if if you block the Persian Gulf. But this is my point. Trump wants the Persian Gulf closed so he can increase the power of US exports, and that actually reinforces the role of
Speaker 0: the dollar. So from what you're saying there, I I don't know what those people around the table would say today. Some of them some of them obviously no longer with us when you were at that meeting for the petrodollar. How important is it then for Iran to react and Saudi Arabia, GCC countries, against this Trump policy? I'm not sure whether you believe it's a conscious policy or it's a byproduct a byproduct of Israeli policy.
How important is it now for GCC countries and China and India and the new order to react very assertively?
Speaker 1: Well, it's very important. China is well, would say South Korea, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, and China are in the most vulnerable position. So it's one thing to say how would they react is a very good question, but how do you react when you don't have the power? Now the GCC does have the power of oil exports, but that's been choked off by first yeah. You have to go through two tollbooths.
First tollbooth is Iran, second tollbooth is the US Navy. The US Navy will let the GCC oil out, but Iran will not because it's heading to Western Europe,
Speaker 0: which I'm letting can tolls presumably.
Speaker 1: Well, no. There there's there's it's a two factor test. One is do we let you out at all? And then secondly, then pay the toll. You have to you're right.
You have to do both things. But if it if that oil is going to, you know, to Germany or or Rotterdam or Australia for that matter, will the Iranians let that cargo out toll or no toll because they support the West? They support The United States? So that that's the problem. And then, again, beyond that, The US yeah.
If a if a UAE if a Abu Dhabi oil tanker got through the Strait Of Hormuz, the US Navy is going to let that go. Unless perhaps if it's heading to China, we'll have to see. But, again, this is this appears to be intentional on the part of The United States that Trump is in no hurry to reopen the Strait Of Hormuz because it strengthens The US position and by extension Russia. Russia is a big winner out of all this because they're they can and The US has suspended certain sanctions on Russian oil exports. Those sanctions have been in place since 2022.
Now you're right. The Russians got around them pretty easily, but they're still in place. They still have some impact. They increased the expenses. The secretary of the treasury has issued orders to suspend the sanctions, which lets Russia back into the game, least as far as Europe and and and and and the West is concerned.
So it it looks like the only people with oil these days are Russia and The United States.
Speaker 0: Jim, we'll continue after the break. Keep watching New Order. You're watching New Order. Jim Rickards, you were talking about, how it could be, intentional to close the Strait Of Homewoods on Washington's part. I don't know whether you, picked up on the fact that India previously pushed, back against paying for Russian oil in Yuan.
It it said, no way are we paying in Yuan for it. This again arcs a little back to my skepticism about how much oil is actually getting through. And then the other day, Sujata Sharma at the India's energy ministry said to NDTV, meeting our domestic need is the important thing for us. State energy companies are operating within the rules. India was fine importing Russian oil despite Washington and NATO nations telling them they could there seems to be a reticence about the fact that they may be paying for oil in Yuan that as we were talking about in part one, it's difficult to ascertain how much is coming through.
Speaker 1: Well, that's right. But you can always just pay in dollars. Russians will take them, they have their channels, and the Indians have access to dollars without too much difficulty. India is really the Indian political class are really masters at diplomacy. I wish we had more diplomats in The US.
We seem to have a lot of warmongers. But India has for for seventy five years has done a very good job of balancing Russia and The United States. They've never been enemies with either. They've been closer to Russia for a long period of time, warmed up to The United States in in recent years. Now there's a bit of a terror fight going on.
But Russia had or sorry. India has done a very good job of of maintaining relations with both superpowers, so now it's a credit to them. But, yeah, they they bought Russian weapon systems, and it looks it sounds like they're in the market for anti aircraft systems, but they'll also be able to pay for oil and dollars. The the thing about paying in yuan, where where is India going to get the yuan? They they can buy it on the markets, guess, but it's not that liquid, and they don't export that much to China.
Oh, sorry. Yeah. Exactly. So where they would get paid in yuan, they don't want to anywhere. They want they want to it's still in a it's still a dollar based world, Ashok.
I mean, yuan is a as Chinese yuan as a percentage of global transactions is about 3%. You know, the US dollars in terms of reserve currency's nomination, US dollar is about 60. The euro is about 26, 27%. So the the dollar and the euro together 87%. Everyone else Yeah.
In the place.
Speaker 0: I mean, the the show is called New Order, and you know, there's that infamous graph of removal of US treasury bills from China's sovereign wealth funds as it were. They they don't have they've been reducing their amount of US treasury bills. And I suppose we're all seeing this war in terms of how does it proceed. Are we getting Right. Like intimations of the future from the Strait Of Hormuz toll as it were, whether it be crypto, whether it be the dollar, whether it be the yuan?
Speaker 1: Yeah. You're getting into intimations, but the question is what does it mean? So you're right. The Chinese holdings of US treasury securities, that information is publicly available. We all have access to it.
The United States treasury produces a monthly report in spreadsheet form, and you can look at country and security and so forth and see what's going down. It has been going down a little, not massively, but, yes, they have been selling treasuries. But the narrative around that is this is de dollarization. This is the debasement trade. Get out of treasuries.
Get out of the dollars, the end of the dollar, etcetera. That narrative is nonsense. They are selling them, but here's why. They're desperate for dollars. People talk about the dollar as a reserve currency.
There are no reserve currencies. There are reserve assets denominated in a currency. The reserve assets are US treasury securities. And, yes, they're denominated in dollars, but they're not dollars. If you want dollars, you have to sell the treasuries and get the dollars, get the cash.
And then they're using the cash to prop up their own currency and to prop up their banks, which have dollar loans, which are going into default. So when you see China selling treasuries, it doesn't mean they're dumping them. They wish they had more. What it means is that they're short of cash. There's a global dollar shortage China going
Speaker 0: doesn't say once more in fairness. And we don't know what the dollars are being spent on, presumably on their own infrastructure spending or No. Around the world.
Speaker 1: Well, no. Not really. They don't they don't need they don't need dollars for their for internal infrastructure. They just pay everyone that you you want. No.
They they're using the dollars to prop up their own currency on foreign exchange markets because they don't want it to go down too much and also to to bail out their banks. So they do want they do want dollars, but this is not dumping treasuries. This is converting assets as securities into cash because they're desperate for the cash.
Speaker 0: Okay. So all of this So perspective By the way, so is the rest of it. All this perspective you're offering doesn't look very hopeful regarding any talk of a BRICS currency at the Delhi BRICS summit later this year.
Speaker 1: There is a BRICS currency. The BRICS have the BRICS have a currency. It's called gold. In other words, the the idea of the BRICS launching a separate currency, you know, I mean, they had they had the institutions. They have they basically replicated the Bretton Woods institutions on their own terms, most of them based in Shanghai.
So they have the new development bank, is the equivalent of the World Bank. They have a contingent reserve fund, which is the equivalent of the IMF. They build up their own payment channels secure, which It's all a bit slow,
Speaker 0: is it? Do you think it's a bit slow, Jim?
Speaker 1: I think they've come a long way in just five years. I mean, these things let's just say let's just say that you wanted the yuan to be the global reserve currency. If you want that well, it has nothing to do with the currency. It has everything to do with the bond market. Show me the Chinese bond market.
It scarcely exists. And even if you have it, do you have do you have repurchase agreements? Do you have futures? Do you have forwards? Do have one issue trading?
Do you have primary dealers? Do you have settlement and clearance? Do you have a rule of law? The answer to all those questions is no. So the key to being so called reserve currency is not printing money.
It's having securities that people want to invest in. The Chinese don't have that. They're not even close. Could they do it in ten years? I doubt it.
Fifteen years, maybe.
Speaker 0: Well, I mean, in fairness, India, for instance, the big member in BRICS, which is holding the the presidency of BRICS doesn't want Chinese yuan as the new BRICS currency, clearly. Probably wants a new one, which is is which is gold. But then perhaps other members of BRICS wouldn't want that given that India supposedly has the highest reserves of gold in the world according to private holdings.
Speaker 1: Well, if you include private holdings, they have the most gold. I think that's correct. But officially, it's it's it's a large amount, but it's relatively modest compared to The United States, Russia, and China. The big winner in gold is is Russia. That's one of the ways they got through the whole Ukraine war sanctions.
Avira Nabilina, who's the head of the Central Bank of Russia, who we say she's the only central bank in the world who actually understands her job, she put 25% of Russia's reserves in physical gold bullion as safe storage in Russia so it couldn't be basically seized by The United States. So that number at the beginning of the war in Ukraine in 2022, Russia had about $600,000,000,000 in reserves. 150,000,000,000 of that was in physical gold bullion, and that has helped Russia weather the storm. Now US and EU and NATO seized about $200,000,000,000 of Russian treasury securities Russian reserve assets and foreign treasury securities on in custody in Sudell in Brussels. I think that was completely illegal, but they did it.
It was frozen. And that hurt Russia to some extent, but ironically, this caused a run to to the gold market. This is where the beginning of gold, practically tripling from about $2,000 an ounce, up to 5,500 at the top Yeah.
Speaker 0: Around We're running out of time our last, Jim. Just on the buying buying me on that point, surely inflation rises because of the war in Iran, though, mean that it's I mean, it'll be good if you're having a wedding in India because gold prices will go down. Will gold prices go down now as interest rates go up in in response to the higher inflation caused by the war in Iran?
Speaker 1: The answer is no because for a couple of reasons. Gold got smashed. It was 5,400, went down to about 4,600. It's made its way back to about 4,800, but it's on its way back up again. That was because it was the same thing with China and the treasury securities.
People were selling gold to get cash because they were desperate for cash to meet margin calls because they were losing money in other markets. That's over. Gold is on its way back up again. As far as inflation is concerned, we're gonna have inflation. There's no question about it.
But it's not demand driven inflation. It's coming from the supply side.
Speaker 0: Yeah. But the central banks don't listen to that argument, do they? They just raise the interest rates.
Speaker 1: Well, they'll probably just hold them hold them steady. They won't cut them. You're right about that. But the the central banks are kind of impotent. They only affect the very short end of the market.
Yeah. So one a one month bill, a three month bill, maybe it would be a little higher than it would be otherwise. The five year note, ten year note, thirty year bond, German bonds, Japanese government bonds, those are affected by the market, not by the central banks. And interest rates are gonna come down a lot because this this inflation driven by the supply disruption is gonna cause a global recession. You're gonna start you're gonna watch unemployment's gonna spike, factories are gonna be shut down, output's gonna be shut down, transportation's gonna be affected negatively.
That's what's going to happen if we can't reopen straight up from losing. I don't see that don't see the straight opening anytime soon.
Speaker 0: Thank you, Jim Rickards. We'll be sure to have you on as the war progresses.
Speaker 1: Thanks.
Speaker 0: Now I'm joined by Zara Khan to answer some of your questions. Amazing to hear from Jim Rickards, the man who was in the room when petrodollar one point zero was invented, although, he didn't believe that there's much oil being smuggled through.
Speaker 2: And so many of those questions have already been answered for our audience, but they have some more for you, which you've not even heard before. No.
Speaker 0: I haven't heard them.
Speaker 2: The first one is from June RTCB who's asking, is Trump trying to break up bricks? The war seems to indicate that.
Speaker 0: Clearly, Donald Trump wants to break up bricks. He said so on Truth Social before, then he had tariffs on bricks countries, then he didn't. But the fact is Trump is visiting Xi Jinping. So how can he break up BRICS and still smile along with the head of the Chinese Communist Party? This isn't just a war in Iran.
This is a war on BRICS.
Speaker 2: And has asked, let's say BRICS succeeds in building alternative systems. Will it affect how ordinary people save, spend, or invest their money?
Speaker 0: That's a good question. I mean, Jim Riccards was talking about the fact that everything goes down to gold, which, of course, is great for India because as he said, no central bank has the reserves of gold that Indian families do private in their home. Surely, they'll still be buying gold rather than any particular BRICS currency. But then again, the BRICS currency could somehow be tied to gold in a way that, native nation currencies, aren't. They're just political instruments, which are wielded, through sanctions and through other methods.
Speaker 2: So, basically, you're saying we should invest in more gold?
Speaker 0: I'm not gonna give investment advice. It's dangerous, isn't it, that? Gold went down a little anyway during the latter stages of the war, the medium stages of war. We don't know where the Iran war's at now.
Speaker 2: And finally, somebody who's asked questions before as well, Christopher Dobby. Why is the world, those not subject to American domination, so quiet about the state of things?
Speaker 0: Yeah. Which parts of the world aren't subjected to American domination? That's what I want to ask mister Dobby. I suppose there are some places in the middle of the rainforest. Oh, no.
There are huge fact American conglomerates that own parts of that which is chopping down the rainforest. There is nowhere on earth that hasn't been touched by American capitalism, and this war and the way The United States have waged it has created a situation where there is no living thing on earth that is not affected by Trump and Netanyahu to their detriment, but hopefully in the future to some sort of positive outcome.
Speaker 2: Thank you for your answers, Avshin. I mean, these questions just keep coming in every week, so we'll continue this next time.
Speaker 0: Sarchan, thank you. And that's it from me, Afshan Radansi, on New Order. Remember to follow us on social media. And here's a question for you. Will the US war on Iran be the beginning of the end of the petrodollar?
Send us your answer on x at New Order underscore TV. Join us every Sunday as we continue to track shifting global power and where India sits in this new order.
reSee.it AI Summary
I note the Strait of Malacca is next, carrying seven times the Panama Canal’s traffic. @Michael_Yon predicted Nord Stream, Groningen, and a screwworm invasion years ago. He says famine is being engineered on purpose, and the next choke point is already in play.
@RedactedNews - Redacted
The Strait of Malacca is next. It carries 7 times more traffic than the Panama Canal. @Michael_Yon predicted Nordstream, Groningen, and the screwworm invasion years in advance. He says global famine is being engineered on purpose and the next choke point is already in play. https://t.co/HXTcF7Pn4M
Video Transcript AI Summary
The speaker and Masako describe a pattern of accurate predictions they have made, including the Groningen gas field closure in the Netherlands, and Nord Stream being cut, noting they were in the Netherlands and Germany researching these events before they happened. They also claim a prediction about screw worms moving from Panama back to the United States.
They argue that they know what “the beast” is up to, stating that the beast says it and does these things, with the clear aim of creating global famine. They assert that famine would enable various strategic moves, including generating “human osmotic pressure”—the push and pull of migration. They say they have witnessed this through years spent at the Darien Gap in Panama and along the entire US Southern Border, observing an invasion, which they say has set the table and shaped operations for what is unfolding: famine and a large amount of human osmotic pressure that could drive hundreds of millions to move across borders into Europe and into the United States, among other places.
They foresee famine as a forthcoming development and believe it will be accompanied by further unfoldings, such as the closing of the Strait of Malacca. They note that the Strait of Malacca handles seven times more traffic than the Panama Canal, and that the Panama Canal is vital to the United States. They suggest other wars may unfold and reference a map showing the Strait of Malacca and the Singapore Strait as critical, easily interruptible chokepoints.
The speaker highlights Indonesia as a focal point, stating that the United States recently negotiated overflight terms with Indonesia for its military. They describe Indonesia as a perfect place to close the Malacca Strait, adding that Indonesia does not like China and does not like Israel; they claim Israel uses the United States as a surrogate there. They mention Paul Wolfowitz, noting his past roles as ambassador to Indonesia and deputy secretary of defense, his Zionist identity, his leadership at the World Bank, and his reputation as a main architect of the Iraq War, suggesting these connections are related to the broader narrative.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: At this point, Strait Of Malacca is on the chopping board for being closed. Now keep in mind, the reason that Masako and I have been so accurate on predicting so many things like the Groningen gas field would close in Netherlands, biggest gas field in Europe. We successfully predicted that. We were in Netherlands quite a bit researching that actually before it happened. And, let's say, Nord Stream, we were in Germany predicting that before, Nord Stream was cut.
We were publishing. We thought Nord Stream was gonna get cut. And and it did. Right? And and and so many other things like screw worms coming up from Panama back to The United States.
We predicted that several maybe three or four years in advance, maybe four. And in any case, how are we getting this? Because we know what the beast is up to. Because the beast says it, and does these things, we can clearly see that they're trying to create global famine. That's obvious.
Right? And so with global famine, you can do many things if you want to destroy the world as we know it. One is you can create a lot of hop, human osmotic pressure. Human osmotic pressure is the push and pull of migration. So you see these years that we've spent in places like the Darien Gap in Panama or across the entire I've been across the entire US Southern Border watching the invasion.
All of these things have set the table, set conditions. They've been shaping operations for what's now unfolding, which is famine and a huge amount of human osmotic pressure, which can put hundreds of millions to people, you know, flooding over borders into Europe. They've already done so, but also flooding over you know, increased flooding of people into The United States and other places. But at the end of the day, we can see that famine is is coming, and that's how, I think that you're gonna be able to see, other things that are gonna unfold, such as closing the Strait Of Malacca. Strait Of Malacca does maybe seven times more traffic than Panama Canal, and Panama Canal is absolutely vital to The United States.
Now I think you're gonna see other wars unfold eventually. Okay. You've got up on the map there, Strait Of Malacca and the Singapore Strait. Right? So this is absolutely vital, and it's very easy to interrupt.
You see Indonesia right there. The United States just just negotiated overflight terms over with for our military over all of Indonesia. Indonesia is a perfect place to close that down. Right? Now Indonesia does not like China very much.
They don't like Israel very much either, but they use us as a Israel uses us as a sort of a surrogate there. Actually, Paul Wolfowitz used to be the ambassador to to Indonesia, and, he used to invite me to dinner and that sort of thing. He was a deputy secretary of defense. Right? So Paul Wolfowitz is a super Zionist.
He's in his eighties now. He was also the leader of the World Bank for a while till he lost his job there. But Paul Wolfowitz was said to be one of the main architects of the Iraq war. Right? So this is all related.
This is not unrelated to each other.
reSee.it AI Summary
I warn that the Strait of Hormuz closure and disrupted trade could spark a major fertilizer crisis, risking food and energy shortages as nitrogen-based fertilizers vanish and planting seasons falter, with assertions of a deliberately engineered collapse.
@RedactedNews - Redacted
With the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and disruptions to global trade routes, the world is facing a major fertilizer crisis that could trigger serious food and energy shortages. Without nitrogen-based fertilizers, planting seasons will be severely affected. The world is heading toward a famine, driven by a deliberately engineered collapse. We discuss this and more with @HealthRanger.
Video Transcript AI Summary
The first speaker argues that our modern food supply is energy repackaged through photosynthesis to create calories, and that nitrogenous fertilizers produced from natural gas are essential to feeding about half the world. Without these fertilizers, he estimates we could feed only about 4 billion people. He notes a delay in the current situation: we’re still consuming last year’s food for now, but as current crops fail, some farmers have bought fertilizer at high prices, some have applied less, and yields will drop. He warns that the shortage will be felt most during the fall planting season in North America and Canada, and that this will affect the food people eat next year. He predicts that 2027 will be far worse than 2026 for North America and regions including the Middle East, Africa, Southeast Asia, India, and Turkey, and that the real hard part happens in 2027.
The second speaker points to a NaturalNews post describing an engineered collapse by design, referencing the framing of a collapse by design.
The first speaker embraces the idea that the collapse is engineered and compares the COVID years to a pilot program to test obedience, noting how people accepted mask mandates and distancing, which he characterizes as illogical. He suggests that authorities demonstrated they could compel people to accept higher gas prices and other policies, even as conditions worsened, arguing that many would go along with it while others would not. He asserts that for those who want to survive and thrive, preparation is feasible: individuals can learn to grow food, stockpile food, and diversify wealth into assets like gold and silver. He maintains that there are actionable steps to take and that the situation is not the end of the world if one is well informed.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Our modern food supply is simply energy repackaged through photosynthesis to create calories. That's the way the agricultural industrial complex currently operates. And without nitrogenous fertilizers that are produced as a result of natural gas, we would not be able to feed more than about 4,000,000,000 people or about half the current population of the world. And that's that's a very optimistic estimate. So there's a delay, though.
As you mentioned, the the timeline there, there's a delay. So we're still eating last year's food right now for the most part. As current crops begin to fail, and we don't have a total failure in North America, some farmers bought fertilizer, some paid a lot higher of a price, some applied less fertilizer, so they'll have lower crop yields. But it's not Mad Max yet. However, when you get into the fall planting season in America and in places like Canada, that's when you're really gonna feel the shortage, and that impacts then the food that people eat next year.
So 2027 will be far worse than 2026 for North America, for The Middle East, for Africa, for Southeast Asia, India, even Turkey, you name it. So the real hard part of this happens in 2027, and almost nobody is really aware of that yet. I mean, mean, your viewers are, so thank you for covering this issue.
Speaker 1: Well, I just wanna put this up on the screen. You posted this on NaturalNews dot com about the engineered collapse here and the collapse by and I love how you started off the collapse by design because that's exactly what this is.
Speaker 0: Yeah. Absolutely. This is clearly engineered. And it's it's like I said, see, I I think the COVID years were kind of a pilot program to see what they could get away with, what level of obedience could they achieve, what level of shutdowns could they get people to go along with. And and and it turns out that most of the world was very obedient to these insane demands.
Like, you have to wear this mask that doesn't work, and you have to stand five feet away because a virus can't can't fly six feet. You know? Things like that. It was all nonsensical. It was almost like a like a Simon Says game on a global scale for low IQ obedient cultists.
And as a result, then they realized they can tell people almost anything. They can tell people, oh, you're gonna have to pay higher gas prices so that we can win. And that when you're starving, it's a new golden age, things like that. And a lot of people will go along with that, but not the ones that wanna live. So for your audience that wanna survive and thrive, it's actually very doable.
I'm not actually a doomer. If you're well informed and prepared, you can learn to grow food. You can stockpile food. You can, you know, get your money into a system that preserves wealth like actual gold and silver, things like that. There there are things you can do.
It's not the end of the world if you're informed.
@RedactedNews - Redacted
🤯 Fertilizer that doesn't arrive by May won't be applied. Sudan is already on the edge. @Michael_Yon says the Strait of Malacca closes next, famine hits by 2027, and every single choke point is being shut down on purpose. https://t.co/eyKkn00XRj
Video Transcript AI Summary
The segment centers on what hosts and guests describe as a “great fertilizer shock” that could trigger a global food crisis or famine. They argue that data and events point to a looming famine, potentially guaranteed to occur from late 2026 to mid-2027 if strategic chokepoints like the Strait of Hormuz remain closed. The discussion highlights that current visible food availability in U.S. stores masks deeper fragility abroad, noting that much food in shelves may be from last year’s harvest rather than current production.
The guest, Michael Yon, a former U.S. Green Beret turned journalist, has been warning for years about global famine linked to disruptions in fertilizer supply and key shipping routes. He cites data and warnings from various observers, including a reference to Mike Adams of Natural News, who notes that countries like Sudan are highly exposed because more than half of their fertilizer comes from the Gulf, and that civil conflict compounds planting timelines (Sudan’s planting season runs June–July). Other nations cited as facing ticking time bombs include Ethiopia, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. He also notes that even with buffers in India and Brazil, the systemic fragility remains, and the poorest smallholders in the Sahel may struggle to obtain an adequate diet.
Yon explains that fertilizer disruption is part of a broader pattern of efforts to create famine to reduce the global population and control populations through various means, including AI and geoengineering. He argues that the “beast” is aiming to create famine and osmotic pressure that drives mass migration, which he connects to observed migration patterns across the Darién Gap, the U.S.–Mexico border, and elsewhere. He also discusses strategic chokepoints and potential war dynamics: closing the Strait of Malacca would be a critical blow to global trade, given its traffic, and he mentions that Indonesia is a focal point due to its leverage and regional politics with China and Israel. He suggests that closing Hormuz, Malacca, and Turkish and Danish straits could be moves to induce hunger and disrupt food flows, with Panama’s canal and interoceanic trade playing a pivotal role in these dynamics. He also references the Baltic region, the Arctic, and Denmark’s Maersk influence, implying a broad web of logistics and geopolitical maneuvering around food supply.
The conversation weaves in the idea that various geopolitical actors—described as Zionist and Chinese/CCP factions, along with Russian and other oligarchic groups—are in conflict over control of resources and routes, and that these clashes manifest as attempts to degrade global food systems. They connect these tensions to depopulation theories and to specific incidents and alignments in places like Argentina and the Malvinas, suggesting long-running strategic competition over food security and shipping corridors.
Note: The discussion includes speculative claims about geopolitical actors and depopulation strategies. Promotional content present in the original transcript (unrelated product advertising) has been omitted from this summary.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Well, it's being called the great fertilizer shock. Are we about to face a global food crisis and famine? Has it already started? And we're just now waking up to it. Thanks to the worst fertilizer crisis in modern history.
If you look at American food shelves, it probably doesn't look that way. You can probably still run into your Kroger or whatever and see store shelves lined with all kinds of processed food. That's great. But that's grown that was food grown last year. Before this happened, packaged, put up in cans.
We need to look deeper, and we need to look at what's happening in other parts of the world right now. And we simply need to look at the data, which is deeply disturbing, thanks to this war in Iran. Friend of the show Mike Adams over at Natural News just wrote this last night. Data is now showing a potential full blown famine guaranteed to take place from late twenty twenty six to mid twenty twenty seven if the Strait Of Hormuz isn't open soon. Sudan, the most exposed, more than half of its fertilizer comes from The Gulf.
The country is in the grip of a civil war. Its planting season runs from June to July. This is a recipe for mass starvation. It's being treated as a secondary concern. Ethiopia, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, each face their own ticking time bomb ticking clock.
Fertilizer that doesn't arrive by May is fertilizer that won't be applied. The ripple effects will hit the lean season of 2027. Even countries like India, Brazil have some buffers throughout stockpiles or later planting windows, but that only masks the systemic fragility. The poorest smallholders in Bahar and Sahel have no such safety net. As one study notes below certain income levels, it may simply not be possible to obtain an adequate diet.
And these are people who will die first, he writes. Now no one has traveled the world and studied these global movements more than our next guest. I'd I'd be willing to bet. I'd be willing to absolutely bet. Michael Yon is that person.
He's a former US Green Beret turned journalist who spends his time going into the most remote regions on earth from location to location, studying mass migratory patterns, shipping trades, Gulf surveillance, all of these like choke points, Panama, the Strait Of Malacca, all of the Gulf countries. He's been warning for at least the past six years that this was coming. Here was a post from 2023 just as an example. The coming Giga famine will be the most severe famine in human history as he's targeting about all the 50 fertilizer production facilities closing all across Europe. Right now, it's 5AM in Japan.
And Michael has been warning about this for a long time. He's been kind enough to join us, wake up early with us in Japan to talk all about this. Michael, welcome back to the show. Great to see you.
Speaker 1: Thanks for having me on. And, I'm in Japan. As you just mentioned, this is not the ideal place to be in a global famine, which is something I've warned for years. In fact, I've warned the Japanese for years that if you see the Strait Of Hormuz and some other places get closed down, especially Hormuz for any extended time, you you should you should stock up on food and think about, you know, the how how how serious this can get. But, you know, at this point, Strait Of Malacca is on the chopping board for being closed.
Now keep in mind, the reason that Masako and I have been so accurate on predicting so many things like the Groningen gas field would close in Netherlands, biggest gas field in Europe. We successfully predicted that. We were in Netherlands quite a bit researching that actually before it happened. And let's say Nord Stream, we were in Germany predicting that before Nord Stream was cut. We were publishing.
We thought Nord Stream was gonna get cut. And and it did. Right? And and and so many other things like screw worms coming up from Panama back to The United States. We predicted that several, maybe three or four years in advance, maybe four.
And in any case, how are we getting this? Because we know what the beast is up to. Because the beast says it and does these things, we can clearly see that they're trying to create global famine. That's obvious. Right?
And so with global famine, you can do many things if you want to destroy the world as we know it. One is you can create a lot of hop, Human osmotic pressure. Human osmotic pressure is the push and pull of migration. So you see these years that we've spent in places like the Darien Gap and Panama or across the entire I've been across the entire US Southern Border watching the invasion. All of these things have set the table, set conditions.
They've been shaping operations for what's now unfolding, which is famine and a huge amount of human osmotic pressure, which can put hundreds of millions to people, you know, flooding over borders into Europe. They've already done so, but also flooding over you know, increased flooding of people into The United States and other places. But at the end of the day, we can see that famine is is coming, and that's how I think that you're gonna be able to see other things that are gonna unfold, such as closing the Strait Of Malacca. Strait Of Malacca does maybe 7x more traffic than Panama Canal, and Panama Canal is absolutely vital to The United States. Now, I think you're going to see other wars unfold eventually.
Okay, you've got up on the map there, Strait Of and the Singapore Strait. Right? So this is absolutely vital, and it's very easy to interrupt. You see Indonesia right there. The United States just just negotiated overflight terms over with for our military over all of Indonesia.
Indonesia is a perfect place to close that down. Right? Now, Indonesia does not like China very much. They don't like Israel very much either, but they use us as a Israel uses us as a sort of a a surrogate there. Actually, Paul Wolfowitz used to be the ambassador to to Indonesia, and he used to invite me to dinner and that sort of thing.
He was a deputy secretary of defense. Right? So Paul Wolfowitz is a super Zionist. He's in his eighties now. He was also the leader of the World Bank for a while until he lost his job there.
But Paul Wolfowitz was said to be one of the main architects of the Iraq war. Right? So this is all related. This is not unrelated to each other. He used to tell me stories about Indonesia.
I've been to in quite a lot, actually. I've been to Obama's school there in Jakarta. And, anyway, what I'm getting to is this is all related. These things are not separate. Right now, in the last about forty eight hours, seventy two hours, the, Chinese leadership, Singaporean leadership, and Thai leadership from Thailand have all been talking about Malacca and opening a a corridor over the Kra Isthmus.
The Kra Isthmus is that area of Thailand that it's sort of like the elephant trunk that connects down there with Malaysia. And it's anyway, they've been thinking for three to four centuries about building a canal across the Crawl Isthmus. In fact, I just had a book come in a few days ago from Australia from 1881, and it's got maps in there about three three potential locations. That's the map. That's the book right there.
It's written in French. And so that book, I just ordered that from Australia. It's from 1881. And you can see they've got it all charted out right there. So there's the cryosmith you see or that on the bottom the the line on the bottom is the Strait Of Malacca.
But if you wanna bypass Strait Of Malacca, you can go across the Craisimas. But they haven't built have not built a canal over there or or any serious corridor yet because it's just well, they just haven't done it for political reasons and other reasons. Like, the British did not want that does not want a canal there for for, you know, a couple hundred years. They didn't want a canal there. And so but now, you know, the Chinese and the Thais and others, they want that they want that cry ismith open because China can be put into famine by doing what's happening right now.
Cut the Strait Of Hormuz. I would also if I were trying to cause famine, I would cut the Turkish Straits as well. I would I would cut the Strait Of Malacca. I would straight up go for that. Also, control of Panama Canal is important because China gets a lot of their food from Brazil.
I think you're gonna The United States. It's easy to cut The United States food. But but I I think you're gonna end up also, by the way, seeing eventually a war between Argentina and Brazil. And this is going to be related to the food and also the Interoceanic corridor, the bi oceanic corridor that's down there that goes through Brazil, Paraguay, Argentina, and Chile. Masako and I went down there just over a year ago, and we were up in Northern Argentina where that bi Oceanic corridor is being built.
In fact, we were on one of the little trains up there. And so what I'm getting to with this is that is another area of contention. There's a huge fight going on between Zionists and Chinese, by the way. That's a sub fight and all well, it's pretty huge. But as I say, a sub fight, it's it's massive.
But the but it's it's it's massive, but it's invisible to most people. It's not invisible to us because we're watching it unfold in real time in these locations. But what they're what are they trying to do right now? Create famine. They wanna create famine.
They wanna reduce the global population. They wanna control the remnant using AI and that sort of thing. Weather manipulation, geoengineering is, you know, Dane Wiggington's always talking about is which is absolutely important. So there's many ways that they're attacking the food supply. Cutting off fertilizer is just one cutting off in which is incredibly important.
Cutting off energy obviously is another, but just cutting off the Panama Canal has reached saturation point on the ships. There's ships waiting off in in the Pacific side and on the Caribbean side. They're waiting there, you know, for many days on end trying to get through. Keep in mind, the the food ships are the ones that wait the longest because they they're they're cargo is not as valuable as for instance, the energy cargo. So the so the ships that are carrying energy through the Panama Canal, they're able to pay more money and and skip the line.
Right? And so, again but they're they're trying to create famine, and it's not difficult to do in the position that they're in.
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Speaker 2: One of my first thoughts was, well, the hippies will have their way, the ones who don't want any fertilizer or pesticides, and we'll see what kind of world we really live in, the one that the environmentalists, and that means starvation for a lot of people because food won't be accessible. The picture you're painting is that once you see a lifeline to prosperity, Nord Stream pipeline, readily available foods, There's someone, some dark force there trying to thwart it. So you see this sort of play of light and dark. There are people who do want prosperity, and then there are people who are thwarting it. So can you explain who those forces are, the opposing forces?
Speaker 1: The one there's there's many oligarchal groups. The big ones that are really fighting each other in sharp relief are, Zionist and, Chinese Communist Party, oligarchs and Russians, and there's others as well. There's quite a lot. There's not it's it's a jungle. There's a lot.
But the main power force that's trying to create the depopulation, that's Zionist. That's open. That's death jabs. That's, knocking out the fertilizer, for instance. You know, Iran did not knock out Nord Stream.
Right? Iran did not get, you know, Germany to blow up their nuclear plant. What was that? Maybe four or five months ago now down in Bavaria. They invited people to come and watch them blow out the cooling towers.
I don't know if you saw that, but the, you know, so the people that are destroying their own water infrastructure across Europe, there's even a website that tracks water infrastructure being removed. So that that's actually Zionist, and they're really open about it. They don't hide it. So as soon as you say that, of course, they start with the accusations. But I'm just you're the one saying it.
You know what I mean? You're saying it and physically doing it, for instance, with again, with the death jabs. And so it's not difficult when you're in that position, that level of power and the willingness to fight to the last American drop of blood, to and and and as many other people as possible to, for instance, close the Strait Of Malacca. You can do Strait Of Malacca Closing is easy, just like Hormuz. And again, I I published many times and said on many interviews well in advance that I thought The United States slash Zionist would close the Strait Of Hormuz and blame Iran.
And that sounded completely like tinfoil hat stuff until they did it. Right?
Speaker 0: Yeah. You were called a conspiracy theorist. There wait. The US is not gonna go to war with Israel against Iran, close the close the Strait Of Hormuz, and they'll blame it on Iran, of course. And that's exactly what happened.
How bad is it right now with the Strait Of Hormuz being closed? Because you're talking about the Strait Of Malacca, which is still open at this hour. But the Strait Of Hormuz is closed, and we're talking about global famine without even Malacca being a part of the equation at the moment.
Speaker 1: Right. I think, again, Turkish straight is on the menu. Suez, of course, Bob Omandeb, and Masako and I recently were up at the Danish straight, actually. I think that's a significant target. That's why we were just up there at the Baltic as well.
We were up in Sweden, the Norway looking at this. Now keep in mind, The United States has recently made more than 40 basing agreement agreements up in in Finland and Norway, Sweden, and Denmark. Right? This is kind of under the radar, but that's why we just spent so much time up there. We just spent more than a month with Catherine Austin Fitz up in in Netherlands looking at
Speaker 0: the same thing. Pay attention. I I honestly I just saw a friend of mine in a private email chain today say, watch the Baltic. Watch the Baltic and watch the Arctic. I mean, I trust these individuals implicitly and said, keep your eyes on this.
No one's talking about it. We've been talking about the coming war that's coming to the Arctic for a while here on the show. No one's talking about it. And, again, I think it's absolutely coming.
Speaker 1: Right. And that's why we were up in Denmark and at the Baltic, actually, after we left. You know, keep it in mind, Nord Stream, they got blown up, goes to the Baltic. Right? Baltic Sea.
And now if you wanna really close off that area, you're gonna take out Denmark. And Denmark is that's the Danish straight right there. And keep in mind, Denmark is deeply involved in Panama too. Maersk. Right?
So, you know, for instance, China owns a shipping company called Costco, but Maersk owns a country basically called Denmark. Right? I mean, Maersk is a huge logistic company deeply involved in Panama and global logistics. This is all entwined. Right?
And so I I think that you're gonna see, for instance, places like Hamburg could be targeted. Places like Rotterdam and Antwerp could possibly be targeted as well. We were just up in Rotterdam. We spent almost two weeks up there. I'm sorry, in Hamburg looking at, you know, Hamburg is the biggest port in in Germany, right?
It's the third largest in Europe. The biggest in Europe is Rotterdam there at Netherlands, and the second largest is Antwerp there in But these these all are potential targets as they try to create global famine, which they're working on. I think that you're gonna see at least some constraint under at Panama. Right? And, you know, and and and they're signaling this things these things.
Right? And by the way, you see when you look at Panama, the big power structures in Panama are Zionist and Chinese. Full stop. I mean, when I say that again, they're like conspiracy theorists. I'm like, no, you just don't know what you're talking about.
I mean, the same down in Argentina, Masacro and I went to a CPAC thing there. And when was November or December 2025? And they started off with Argentina, Viva Stados Unidos, and Viva Israel. Right? And who spoke there was like Ben Shapiro and that sort of thing.
Right? And so and you've so you've got the Chinese and the Zionist going toe to toe down there in Argentina. And keep in mind, the president of Argentina, his last name is not Mele, it's Melevkovsky. And Netanyahu over in Israel, his last name was Melevkovsky. Right?
So so both of those shared the last name, Melekovsky. Those names were changed. But Melekovsky from Argentina, also known as Mele, was just over in in Israel. Right? There It's clear that Argentina is probably gonna attack Malvinas, by the way.
Speaker 0: Kissing the ring.
Speaker 2: Okay. That's his prediction. Go ahead.
Speaker 0: Yeah. No. No. I just you had a question, but I I just wanna lay out these predictions. We're talking about the Baltics.
We're we're talking about the Arctic. We're talking about Argentina. We're talking about the Strait Of Malacca. Don't be surprised if all of these things come to pass. Did you have a question?
Speaker 2: Oh, I'm just, you know, I'm thinking about it from a human livability perspective because Asia has experienced massive famines in the last two hundred years. And we see that their health and height has all recovered in a time of prosperity. And so what does that mean if we are going to return to I mean, this is called the secular trend in height phenomenon where, you know, Korean women grew almost eight centimeters in eight inches rather in a hundred years after recovering from famine. And that is usually related to other life expectancy immunity. It just general markers of good health.
We will revert to that if the if the globe is returning to famine conditions.
Speaker 1: High chance. You know, my wife Masako did a bunch of research on she's Japanese on Japanese famines. And she found evidence of 503 famines in the last fifteen hundred years here in Japan. Right? This place is, you know, this is Famine Ville.
This is not the ideal place to be and and what's unfolding. And so but the, luckily, there haven't been many actually, this guy right here, his name is Kenjiro. This this guy is famous. You see he's walking, reading a book. I I have several of his statues around.
But he's famous for saving many Japanese from famine in the eighteen hundreds because he saw famine coming. His name is Kenjiro. His statue is in all the Japanese schools. They're starting to take them out, actually. But Kenjiro saw famine coming in the eighteen hundreds for various reasons, like the eggplant tasted different, tasted like fall eggplant, like in the early summer, that sort of thing.
He's he just saw certain signs, but he got his people, you know, prepared. And so none of the people in his area starved to death, but huge amounts of other Japanese starved to death during that famine. So he became famous for that. That's why his statue's all over the place. But, I mean, this place is absolutely, you know, Japan and other countries.
But it's very clear that that the Zionists are trying to push China into famine, and it can be done.
Speaker 0: Well, we're gonna we're gonna hold you to these predictions, Michael. I wanted to get you on to talk about what's going on with the Strait Of Malacca, what's happening with the Strait Of Hormuz and this global famine prediction that's coming. Thank you so much, Michael, for getting up early with us there in Japan at five in the morning. I'm sorry to drag you out of bed for that, but, you know, you've been there in whole
Speaker 1: bunch at four.
Speaker 0: You look better than I do, by the way. Michael, great to see you. Give my love to your wife, and thank you so much for your great work as always.
Speaker 1: Thank you, Natalie. Thank you, Clayton.
Speaker 0: You bet. Thanks, Michael. Great to see you. Thank you so much for watching Redacted. We'd love for you to subscribe to the channel.
It's totally free if you wanna follow us or subscribe. And if we brought you any value at all, please consider sharing this video with a friend or a loved one on social media. Thanks so much, and we'll see you next time.
reSee.it AI Summary
I claim globalists intend all-out nuclear war via a false flag in the US, with Michael Yon joining Alex Jones to break intel on Iran and rising human pressure from food and energy shortages caused by the Strait of Hormuz closure. When famines kick in, the Darién Gap and others could unleash migrants across the US, perhaps up the Mississippi. This is a must-watch interview—tune in now.
@RealAlexJones - Alex Jones
🚨RED ALERT: "I Think That You're Gonna See Billions Dead At This Rate!" The Globalists' Answer To The Great Awakening Is To Trigger All-Out Worldwide Nuclear War Using A False Flag In The US! Former Green Beret & Geopolitical Expert Michael Yon Joins Alex Jones To Break Critical Intel On Latest Iran War Developments, And The Human Osmotic Pressure Building In Populations Around Planet Due To The Food & Energy Crisis Caused By The Strait Of Hormuz Closure! "When These Huge Famines Really Kick Off, The Darién Gap & Other Places Are Gonna Blast Wide Open! Ships Coming Right Up To The US! I Wouldn't Be Surprised To See Ships Come Right Up The Mississippi River As Far North As They Can Go, Dropping Off Tens Of Thousands Of People!" Michael Yon Goes On To Describe The Massive Flood Of Migrants- Triggered By Food Shortages- That Would Invade The US To Conquer & Replace The Current Population! THIS IS A MUST-WATCH/SHARE FULL INTERVIEW! @Michael_Yon 🔴TUNE IN TO ALEX JONES LIVE NOW: https://t.co/gubbZzBLeS
Video Transcript AI Summary
The transcript is a sprawling, high‑tension discussion in which the speakers elaborate a globalist–style scenario of escalating crisis, famine, and war, with frequent references to geopolitics, historical precedent, and provocatively conspiratorial interpretations.
Key points and claims:
- Catastrophic deaths and cascading conflict: The speakers repeatedly state that billions could die at the current pace, with the rate likely to be “the big time,” not merely tens of millions. They describe a trajectory toward full‑scale war and famine that could intensify over years.
- Nuclear war and false flags: They suggest some actors “actually want to have a nuclear war,” and discuss the possibility that a false flag in the United States could trigger broader conflict. They claim globalist actors are manoeuvring toward such outcomes.
- Global famine and migration as a driver of conflict: The conversation centers on famines as the trigger for massive migration pressures. They describe famine as creating “human osmotic pressure” that drives migration through routes like the Darien Gap, potentially to the United States, with ships possibly coming up the Mississippi and other routes to drop off tens of thousands of migrants. They warn Americans will be killed if authorities don’t stop this.
- Military escalation and re‑armament at home: They predict the United States will see a military draft “as they’re gonna Ukraine it,” with native populations replaced by migrants who crossed through places like the Darien Gap. They describe the creation of new foreign armies or “Ukrainian” style armies within the U.S. and even in places like Ireland and Hispaniola.
- Special forces and foreign armies: The discussion invokes Green Berets and OSS history to claim special forces are used to raise up foreign armies or internal resistances, including examples from Iraq and Afghanistan. They argue this is a normal pattern repeated worldwide, with implications for how futures might unfold.
- Strategic chokepoints and “closing” maneuvers: They discuss the closing of major maritime chokepoints—Strait of Malacca, Hormuz, Turkish Straits, and potentially the Danish Straits or Kra Isthmus Canal—as mechanisms to pressure China and other powers into famine or surrender. The claim is that closing these routes would dramatically affect global trade and food supplies, accelerating collapse.
- Iran–Israel–U.S. dynamics and a broader war: They describe a confrontation involving Iran, Iran’s missiles, and attacks near Dubai/UAE, with references to Trump’s shifting stance from “we’re done” to “total war.” They assert that the war could involve the Strait of Hormuz and broader campaigns against multiple nations, including threats to reset the entire geopolitical order.
- attribution of responsibility and power dynamics: They argue Zionist actors are using the United States and other nations to fight China and Russia or to push for famine and disruption. They claim “the Zionists are using The United States against China and Russia” and that Israel is pursuing “Greater Israel” ambitions, with fluctuating opinions within Israel about the approach.
- Argentina, Brazil, and South American pivot: They predict expansion of influence or conflict into South America (Argentina, Brazil), with implications for Chile, Paraguay, and the Drake Passage. They suggest Argentina could become a new focal point for Zionist–Chinese strategies and that Israel may seek relocation of power through places like Argentina or Ukraine in the event of a broader collapse.
- Economic and fertilizer considerations: They note fertilizer shortages impacting the global economy, stressing that 30% of global fertilizer production is affected, contributing to the risk of widespread food insecurity and social unrest.
- Historical and anthropological framing: The speakers frequently frame current events as a continuation of “manifest destiny” and globally systemic strategies to divide, conquer, and reallocate resources. They discuss “anthropological warfare” as a technique historically used to acquired land or resources, and they reference archival sources (e.g., Smithsonian ethnographies, War Department reports) to illustrate how populations have been managed or manipulated in past expansions.
- U.S. domestic and cultural factors: They claim the United States faces domestic upheaval including potential draft scenarios, civil unrest, and demographic shifts tied to migration and military restructuring. They describe the American political and military establishment as being targeted by a broader plan to destabilize and collapse state structures.
- Trump, Netanyahu, and political leverage: The conversation frames Trump and Netanyahu as central players whose actions are instrumental in the ongoing strategic dynamic, including alleged manipulation by Netanyahu to shape U.S. policy. They argue the broader crisis is designed to “kill the recovery” and enable a “great reset.”
- Media, narratives, and stagecraft: There is repeated skepticism about staged events or what they regard as propaganda—examples include discussions of a controversial event at the White House and the portrayal of security and intelligence actions as orchestrated theater. They assert that real action is at the strategic level of infrastructure destruction, famine, and war rather than political theatre.
- Personal and historical anecdotes: Michael Yon is introduced as a guest with a long background as a Green Beret and combat photographer; he and the hosts discuss historical episodes (e.g., the OSS, U.S. expansion, and the role of “Scots‑Irish” in American history) to illustrate patterns of colonization, military strategy, and “the globalist Thunderdome” that have shaped past and present dynamics.
- Call to action and media strategy: The speakers urge listeners to support their network and products as a practical means to sustain reporting and analysis. They frame listeners as “the brains, the guts, the eyes, the blood” of a resistance movement and emphasize rapid sharing of content and recruitment to counter narratives they label as globalist control.
- Closing tone: The speakers insist that the crisis is already underway, with famines and wars advancing, and they insist there is little chance of peaceful resolution unless drastic changes occur. They emphasize preparedness, historical awareness, and continued dissemination of information as essential.
Overall, the dialogue presents a densely interwoven view of imminent famine, geopolitical manipulation, and multipolar conflict, punctuated by strong, conspiratorial framing of Zionist influence, the role of Israel, and the use of historical patterns of conquest and “anthropological warfare” to justify a foreseen, protracted crisis with major implications for global order.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: I think you're gonna see billions dead at this rate. I don't think it'll be tens of millions. I think I mean, this is they're going for the they're going for the big time. They're they're these people think
Speaker 1: they're That's the globalist answer to the global awakening is, oh, the virus went a good enough reset for you. How about a nuclear war? You're right. Most experts agree. This is just gonna cascade into full war.
Go ahead. Sorry.
Speaker 0: I think I think some of them actually want to have a nuclear war. I mean, they I think they think that they can live it out through their through in their in their bunkers, and maybe they can. You know? And maybe some of them will survive. But at the end of the day, it would not be hard to get a nuclear war triggered.
You've talked about many times how it could be a false flag in The United States. You know, that could happen right now. I think when these famines really kick off, that human osmotic pressure, that hop, the human osmotic pressure is the push and pull of migration. Once you've got these huge famines, I think at that point, you're gonna see the Darien Gap and other places is gonna just blast wide open. Right?
Camp Of The Saints, ships coming right up to The United States. I would not be surprised to see ships come right up the Mississippi River and go as far north as they can get and start dropping off tens of thousands of people. I would not be surprised at all. In fact, I would expect it. And, and I think, if Americans don't stop that, they'll just be killed.
I mean, Americans will just be genocided. It's clear. I think I think you can see the writing on the wall that they will start a draft in The United States. They're gonna draft as they're gonna Ukraine it. As many Americans as they can, they're gonna get killed off, they're gonna replace them with those people that you just had on the video.
The people that were coming through the Darien Gap and other places, they're gonna be the US Army. Keep in mind, we got some serious artillery on these bases and serious rockets and helicopters and everything else. You know, I can only imagine what can be done from flat footed at Fort Bragg just shooting artillery from the base, you know, at the nearby towns. I mean, the government, if it's if our military is captured, which is clearly what they're moving to do, is do a Ukraine. You know, they'll they'll end up, you know, making a new Ukrainian army.
They'll do the same in Ireland. Right? They'll do the same in Hispaniola down in Dominican Republic. They'll do it in all these places. This is normal.
Remember, the reason special forces even exist, I mean, Green Berets, was after World War two, the OSS was gone. So now came CIA and Green Berets. What did Green Berets do? They're designed to help raise up foreign armies. Right?
And often, what they do is raise up internal armies. Like, for instance, when I was as a war correspondent in Iraq and Afghanistan, we went in there and started raising up Iraqi army and ANA, Afghan National Army. Now what were those eventually supposed to do? Eventually, those were being designed to attack Iran, but we failed in Iraq and Afghanistan. But those armies were being built up to do that.
You know, it's funny. I was looking at some old manifest records from in in the eighteen fifties, anyway. And and there was an entry in there about the the US Navy in Hawaii raising up Hawaiians to be in the US military and how smart and good they looked in their uniforms and drilling and that sort of thing. In other words, raising up Hawaiians to to go after Hawaiians. This is normal, you know, and using Indians to go after Indians.
You know? This is absolutely normal. It's special forces one zero one. I mean, the Romans were doing it. It's been it's been done all over the world.
It's being done right now all over the world. If
Speaker 1: you are receiving this transmission, you are the resistance. Alright. I told you no guest today unless I could get Michael Yon, and he is woke up for us. He's in Japan 2AM. Former decorated Green Beret known hands down as most prolific combat photographer ever, spending decades in war zones around the world, including with the US military.
And the Iran war, we're in day 65 going into day 66 right now. All of his predictions for years on our show about the straight wars, and that as soon as they move to close the straight and we'd attacked Iran, that we wouldn't be able to open it without a total round invasion, which is a total trap. Israel knew that. They lied to us on the intelligence. Now, different systems and groups are moving to close other major choke points.
A new world war is here. You can call it whatever you want. The CIA called World War three. The Cold War, they're officially calling this in the Pentagon World War four. I know that uneducated people that are literate on geopolitical military affairs like Mark Levin have a heyday with that trending last few months that I'm an insane person.
Tomorrow will be in World War eight. But we are in World War four according to the Pentagon, the CIA in their own documents. They're not really broadcasting that, but that's in the official white papers, and this is a total and complete trap. They're now admitting the ship got attacked. They're not giving details.
First, the Pentagon was denying that. Trump last night ordered the Navy in. A month ago, he ordered them in to quote Shepard ships being blocked out, and then they the the navy said they're gonna take us out with their missiles with the even short range and artillery. It's a death trap, only 12 miles wide. So they got rid of the secretary of the navy, and now they've sent ships in.
That part's confirmed. The Iranians are reportedly hit a cruiser with two missiles. It left. We've looked at the map there. There is no US warship in there up close.
And then a bunch of missiles got fired at Dubai and The UAE. So this is all going on. Trump said on Friday the war was over. Then by the next day, he said, no. Now we're going to total war.
He's done that 30 times. This is this is insane. And and now we were seeing the aftershocks in the economy, not just with oil and gas and energy, but with 30% of the world's fertilizer cut off. Michael Yon, thank you so much for joining us. We'll put your Substack on screen.
People can find your great reports, articles. But, wow, I know you're not happy to be totally vindicated in spades, but but we predicted this. We're right. It's happened. We're deep into this now.
Now he's getting ready ground troops to, quote, secure the straight, only 20,000, 15,000 army, mainly rangers and an airborne, and then 5,000 marines. I've got that in the articles. And so we're sleepwalking into total disaster. We got briefed last week on a ground invasion. We know the head of the army said you gotta have a 100,000 troops, so he fired him.
Michael, this this this this doesn't look good with all of your geopolitical understanding, military background, a team, you know, green beret, training for all these type of scenarios. Give us the larger of where we are in the big picture and then zero in on where this is going. And then because we've been right about the past. No reason to recap that. And then what we should do as American people and others to somehow get Trump to not be held hostage by Netanyahu so he can hold us hostage.
I I think that's really the question is what do we do, Michael Young?
Speaker 0: Right. Yeah. I'm in Japan now. I'm in my library. I haven't even left today.
I've been looking at the big picture. And so the, I don't even pay attention to Trump. He's a waste of time. You know, Alex, I mean, I think you know that better than anybody on the planet. But they're clearly trying to put us into famine.
And this is you know, they don't care if we lose a ship. I think they want that. In fact, I published that before the missile strike today that I think they want us they want to see our ships get sound
Speaker 1: Before the war began before the war began, and we gotta find the clip, you said they wanna get an aircraft carrier or a ship sunk like the Lusitania to pull us fully in, and and thank god the Navy's been saying no, but now they're following his order, it looks like.
Speaker 0: Yeah. And just before this missile strike, I said, they're probably trying right now to get a shot right now. I just put it on Twitter just a few hours ago before this came up. So, I mean, it's it's kind of obvious what they're doing, you know, when you Alex, I mean, you've how many times have you said it? It's really easy if you just maniacally study for years on end, seven days a week, and read what they write and listen to what they say and then watch what they're doing.
And then it's it's kind of it almost feels like cheating to to then predict what they're gonna do next. I think they're gonna end up closing the Strait Of Malacca as well, and that's why we spend so much time over there looking at Strait
Speaker 1: Of Malacca. Even more important. That that's that's explain that. That's in in Asia.
Speaker 0: Right. And I think also the Turkish Straits. But Malacca, when it comes, it's clear that they're trying to actually, put, China into famine. And not just China, but The United States as well and Russia. I don't know if they're gonna be able to famine Russia, but but it's clear that they're they're going that the Zionists are using The United States against China and Russia and using China against The United States.
I mean, it's the normal it's the normal get everybody to man in the middle type thing. Right? And so, meanwhile, the Israelis are popping out to Patagonia and Philippines and Thailand and Panama and United States, and some are even going to Baja, California. I mean, they're going all over the place. They're abandoning ship in Israel.
But I think, actually, Israel itself is scheduled to be genocided by the by the Zionists. They they want that land, but they don't want the Israelis there. They wanna get rid of they wanna keep some of the Israelis as a skeleton crew, but they wanna get rid of a lot of them, especially a lot of the orthodox Jews. They hate those guys.
Speaker 1: That's right. There's a big war in Israel by the modern Zionists even against the Orthodox. That's why the the characters of of of of of of corrupt Zionists as Orthodox Jews is even accurate. But but but pulling back from this, absolutely, Ukraine's blowing up all the pipelines. The CIA already blew up the Nord Stream.
That's causing massive trouble in Europe. Already fertilizer has not been coming out of Ukraine for a few years. If they if they get the Strait to Malacca, that's even more trade goes through there than what goes through the Strait Of Hormuz. This is all all heating up right now, and I I agree with you. Trump doesn't even know this was designed to kill his recovery.
He doesn't even know that Netanyahu openly got him to do this because The US bringing us down is even bigger target than Iran. And, you you know, you say Trump doesn't matter. I know he's been close to just pulling out and ending this, but then he always doubles down. Is that because he's compromised?
Speaker 0: I think he's just part of the game. He's part of the. Right? And, also, I think you may end up seeing a war between Argentina and Brazil as part of this as well. When you wanna put China into famine, you need to do a few things.
One would be cut them off from Brazil, which that would include mitigating
Speaker 1: that would you know,
Speaker 0: if you got a war going with Brazil, that would be helpful because of the well, first of all, there's a lot of food that goes to China from Brazil. So you can take control of the Panama Canal. There also, there's a bi oceanic corridor that's being built between Brazil and Paraguay and Argentina and Chile. In fact, Masako and I went over to the Argentina part about a year ago because, you know, that corridor is gonna be important as well, and also the Drake Passage. I mean, there's different ways that you need to cut off.
If you wanna if you wanna put China in famine, there are certain things you need to do. One would be to cut them off from Brazil. Obviously, US food as well because a lot of their food comes from The US.
Speaker 1: And let's not forget the other big piece would be cut off the old Cuba that China directly works with with Venezuela. Again, we're not fans of Cuba or Venezuela, but the point is all part of this larger geopolitical system to cut off The US, off Europe, and cut off China, crash the global economy. That's why Larry Fink's so happy right now to then put the globalist in charge as the nation states collapse. Just like Frank Herbert's excellent Dune wrote, like, 10 books, but the trilogy is really good because he he was a geopolitical expert and said, this is how he saw future wars. You have the emperor who has two main rivals are the Harkonnens and the Atreides, so he sets it up to have them kill each other.
This is the oldest trick of the book.
Speaker 0: It is. I mean, how long did you have you been talking about this since you were in diapers probably? I mean, you're always talking about this. So, I mean, this is what they're doing. It's an old game, man in the middle, you know, as as Mike Adams mentioned to me earlier today, actually.
Hey. I mean, talk to he Mike Adams today published a man he he put something on x talking about how a man in the middle tried to get you and him to fight each other. Right? He put it on x just like a few hours ago. And, you know, trying to get somebody trying to get Mike to go after you and you to go after Mike.
This is just normal stuff. And and the Zionists are very good at it. They've been, again, using China against us and us against China. And now keep in mind, I'm no fan of CCP. I've written three books about the CCP, you know, the war that's building over time, and I've been all over China.
Right? I mean, they're they're coming too. So it's not like it's not like, you know, there's one good guy and one bad guy here. We're we're in a jungle. And so I think what you're gonna see next, though, is you're gonna see more this is a process war.
It's not an event. It's not just gonna suddenly end unless they start lobbing nukes. But they but it's not just gonna suddenly end. It's a process. It'll unfold probably over years unless they and, again, unless somebody pulls the trigger and starts launching hydrogen bombs.
But if they and short of that, I think you're gonna see billions of people will probably die one way or the other, a lot of them from famine, a lot from pandemic, and a lot from other aspects of war. So this is what they're doing. I think you're gonna see maybe Danish Straits get closed. Masako and I went up there a couple months ago looking at the Danish Strait because of that reason, actually. And, of course,
Speaker 1: Panama briefly talk about the mechanisms. We're in a proxy war in Panama with China. HEX has said we've sat down there last year to quote clear them out. How's that going? What are the triggers to close all these different straits, whether you're talking about Singapore or the Strait Of Malacca or all the others?
Speaker 0: Well, I think it's easy. I mean, like, Malacca is easy to close. You know, Paul Wolfowitz used to be the ambassador to Indonesia, and, you know, he took me out to dinner at different times and whatnot. He told me all kinds of stories. You know, he used to be the ambassador to to Indonesia.
He told me all kinds of stories about Indonesia. Indonesia is right there on the Strait Of Malaga. Right? The United States has just made some nice agreements with Indonesia about overflight rights and these sorts of things. We can close that Strait Of Malaga.
That's why China wants to open the Kra Isthmus Canal or, oh, let's say, not necessarily a canal. It could be just a land Bridge. Now I've been the first time I looked at that land bridge at Kra was in 2014. Al Johnson and I went down there specifically because we thought this day would come. That was 2014.
And and the last time I was there was about a year ago looking at the Kra Isthmus thinking they're gonna close Melaka at some point, and the Chinese are gonna have to, you know, negotiate with Thailand to open that Kra Isthmus Canal, which that canal, they've been thinking about doing that since at least maybe 1667 or so. And Sure. So how deep
Speaker 1: are we into the New World War, and what are the next moves are the bad guys?
Speaker 0: Next moves, I think, will be famine. That that's why I don't even pay attention to the day to day stuff. I mean, this is this is this is much bigger than you know, if they sink an aircraft carrier, it's much bigger than that. That's I mean, it
Speaker 1: And let's explain. It's not like you're saying this. We predicted years ago. It's here. In the growing season, we have over fifty days now, sixty plus of the war, but fit of the straight basically closed.
Just that alone, massive fertilizer shortages all across the world, including United States. That bakes in guaranteed crises next year or or next fall.
Speaker 0: Yep. There it is. I mean, just as we've been mourning. You know? Like I said, like four or five years ago, I flew over to Thailand to talk with the next prime minister.
Abhisat is his name. I wrote the last few pages of his book. The name of the book is The Simple Truth. And I flew in from Europe to tell him if we close this if the Strait Of Hormuz closes and the Turkish Strait closes and a few other things, Thailand itself could be put into famine. Right?
And of course, all the Thais that I speak with, I've been all over Thailand. I've been to every province. Thailand is extremely important. Thailand is the hyphen in Indo Pacific security. But I, you know, I said, like, Thailand can go into famine, much less if we see Pakistan, India, Bangladesh go into famine
Speaker 1: And famine means and famine means war. Once in all actuaries, in societal studies, once a country, any country matter, Asian, black, white, it matter, once 50% of a person's paycheck goes to food and energy, you get unrest. At 60, you get civil war and war. And we're we're already approaching. Yeah.
Speaker 0: Yeah. Countries don't usually governments don't generally survive famines. You know, you see the hungry forties and the eighteen forties in Europe. You know? The governments generally don't survive a famine.
There's cases where they do. But in this case, this will be the biggest famine humankind has ever seen in recorded history. If there was ever a bigger famine than it was before any of the books I've ever seen. So, I mean, this is but this is set to keep in mind, famines tend to grow like wars. They grow like fires.
So, they tend to actually grow, especially the type of famine that we're going in now. There's different types of famine. This is what I call a slow famine. It's a slow famine that you kinda slowly drift into it. Those tend to be the worst kind.
Speaker 1: And for middle class, it's just bad inflation, and you you use up your resources. But then for the working class and the poor, then then crime explodes, then confidence is lost, and then a rioting begins, and then that leads into war.
Speaker 0: Right. In in the slow famines, for instance, in this case, as as the people can't afford food, they're gonna start to steal it, of course. And some people eat their neighbor, Alex. Great song. And and I mean, I shouldn't laugh at that, but here you go.
They'll start stealing from farms. They'll start super gleaning. They'll start stealing from warehouses and from
Speaker 1: trains and boats. Isn't South Africa a perfect example of a slow famine? Destroyed now, collapsing, and it's been going on for a a decade now accelerating.
Speaker 0: Right. And so it'll it'll accelerate. And then the thing is is as they start stealing from the farmers, the farmers don't plant. On this case, the fertilizer is not gonna be there anyway. So but even if the even fertilizer were there and the famine started for some other reason, then on that second season, that's why these slow famines can take look at the 1845 to roughly eighteen fifty four famine in Ireland.
That famine didn't reach its peak until several years into the famine. Right? That was a slow famine. And the British took advantage of that and, you know, cut off their ports and that sort of thing. So, I mean but, you know, the there was you know, the the initial spark was said to be that fungus that got Potato blight.
Potatoes, the black yeah. The black
Speaker 1: So so expanding 100% because BlackRock admits us. They're bragging. Larry Fink looked like he was dying a year ago. Now he's on cloud nine. He says this is great for the great reset.
This will teach us every reset. Teach us to have less. This is gonna go on now, he said, for decades. It's already bad. If it continues a few more months, let's talk about Iran.
I mean, the Iranians backs against the wall, all they've got is closing the straight. We know they can militarily keep it closed. Trump doesn't understand that's what some ships gonna get hit. How long do you see this going, or or how seems it goes from bad to worse.
Speaker 0: It's meant to go worse. I I don't see that's why I'm not paying attention to any peace talks. That's just nonsense. I mean, there's no peace talks. This Mao would call this ta ta ta ta ta.
Right? Ta ta ta means fight fight, talk, talk. That's what this is. I don't Everybody sends me these messages all the time. You know, some of them are people that you and I both know.
And I'm like, Why are you sending me messages about peace talks? There's not It's ridiculous. You're wasting your brain cycles. This is going to be famine. You need to look at the very large picture.
We're talking destroying many, many countries. The governments are gonna be gone. Right? And it's just a matter of time. They there's this war was not designed to be talked out of.
There's no chance of talking out of this war.
Speaker 1: Well, let's quantify that. I was the first to say before it even began, this will be COVID two point o designed to kill the global recovery. Trump walked right into this like he did COVID and very foolish. I don't think he was actually in on him. I'm not defending him.
He he literally I know people inside is throwing fits for months saying, over the damn straight Susie Wallis saying in the war in the war, but Netanyahu's got dirt on him or whatever it is by the shorthairs, so he won't stop. I I just wonder if Trump will continue to be Netanyahu's slave in this because they bit bit because now they're confirming the ship was attacked. They were denying it. Why did Trump say 30 times we won the war, including Friday, to then say, no. We didn't win the war.
I mean, who is getting him to talk like this?
Speaker 0: Well, in the KFAB, he's just a distraction. While people talk about Trump, you know, this thing this thing builds. You know, this is clearly likewise here in Japan. I mean, the things are picking up here in Japan as well. But Trump is part of the act.
He's just an actor on the stage. I mean, he's part of the war war machine. That guy pushed the death jab. He still sticks with it. That's a genocidal weapon.
And so this is a follow-up on that. The, you know, the famines that are coming, which I've been warning just almost daily about for six years. I mean, the famines are are they're gonna be severe. I mean, keep in mind, it's taken years to set conditions for this, Alex.
Speaker 1: Well, I gotta tell you, you said a week and a half ago that you you were sure that was staged at the at the event center there for the White House press correspondence, and I wasn't sure until they released new HD footage of him literally with a gun in front of the canine unit. The guy sees him with the gun, goes in the room, lets him run out with the gun. Now I guess that looks like a drill or something because the because there now are cops standing around scene with a gun doing nothing and and just standing there, or they're just complete cowards. I mean, have you seen that footage?
Speaker 0: I didn't see that, but I'll tell you what I did see is a bunch of people hit me with links, and they're like, did you see this? And I look at it. I watched the Trump thing for about fifteen seconds, maybe maximum a minute, and I'm like, then I put on x. That's fake, and I went back to my books. You know what I mean?
I'm just like, I'm not gonna waste brain cycles on it. I mean, it's another it's another stage act, like the whole ear thing and all these ridiculous things going on. You know, October 7 in Israel, obviously, huge numbers of people were killed, but that was also staged. I mean, as you know, though, look at this. I mean, how does this guy run through
Speaker 1: the Yeah. And and we've got a blown up HD version if they could find it even in that wide shot one. He goes in this room, and the guy with the canine unit goes in the room and then steps out, and he's got a gun. I or the guy froze. Either way, it was just it was just it's just ridiculous.
Speaker 0: Yeah. And he went through there like a linebacker at some some security there. I mean, you can't make up this stuff. That's why, again, I'm not even wasting brain cycles on it. There's too much I mean, they're gone when you get look look down from the grand strategic level, this is a waste of time to to even think about this stuff.
Speaker 1: By the way, we had a woman let me just stop you. Back that up again. Do a little bit more of this because I I didn't mean to get into this yet, but I already did it. There were multiple witnesses who were up against the wall that you can't see right past them who described it perfectly, that he crouches down on a doorway, pulls out a gun, assembles it, and then runs out. Well, we see that, and the KNI guy goes in.
He turns around, and then he just decides to leave and let him go do this. I mean, no cops I know would have instantly blasted him. So did he say, I'm officer such and such or give him the code word for a drill, or or what is this? Because this is insane.
Speaker 0: Yeah. I mean, you can just see the whole thing is insane. It's just part of the act. It's a distraction. It's a distraction from what's going on.
You know, it's like a TV guide they pull out. Okay. And now we have another fake assassination thing, and and people pay attention to that for a while, and that buys us another, you know, ten days or
Speaker 1: So let's be clear. When he He has an assembled, I agree. Back it up again. He has an assembled gun right in front of the cop. The cop goes, okay, turns and walks away, and he runs out with it.
He's looking at him. He has the gun assembled. He comes out with his assembled gun. The cop just walks off.
Speaker 0: Can't make up this stuff, Alex. I mean, it's Hollywood. And, you know, maybe it was a glitch in their Hollywood stage there. I mean, it's clearly Hollywood going on. That's all it is.
I mean, it's fake. It's just fake.
Speaker 1: Can you do a little bit more time on on on on big picture? I know I keep going back to Trump. You say forget Trump. Well, if Israel is controlling Trump, which is on record now, what do we do to put pressure on his administration to stop? You're just saying you think it's a former conclusion, it's a disaster, and so just get ready for what's coming, the bad stuff?
I I'm not saying you're wrong. Stay there. Do a few more minutes with us. We gotta go to break. Alright, folks.
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Take action now. Alright. I wanted to get you on over the twenty minutes because I was jumping in a lot because I wanna there's so many points. He's such an expert. Well, I'll pretty much give it before the next twenty minutes.
Get it all the other side issues and angles to this. But if you see me kinda wringing my hands here, I realized that the economic recovery plan that Trump had that was working well is totally derailed down. It's only getting worse, and the globalist need us bankrupt to bring them the great reset. Global famine, global war, that's their plan against humanity in the great awakening. And so when I say focus on Trump at a leverage point, that's why I asked that question five times and Jan's done with him, and I understand that.
But I'm gonna ask the listeners later we open the phones, what do you think we can do to get Israel and and Netanyahu who controls The US, that a larger issue is not just about Israel's greater Israel project. It's about this global war and attacking the West and collapsing the world economy to bring in the new system, just like COVID was designed to do. So I'm so I'm done talking about that. I'll bring it up after Michael leaves us, but so many other angles. What else is on your radar?
What should people know from one of the leading experts on geopolitical systems like this?
Speaker 0: Well, I think we'll we'll see more and more infrastructure destroyed. I would not doubt, for instance, Mosul Dam might fall at some point in Iraq. I would not I first wrote about that in maybe 2006 or so. I would not doubt even 3 Gorges Dam in China. I mean, if that were to happen, that would be unbelievable.
And in The United States, you know, we could have it's clear that The United States is also a target. So it's not as if we're just fighting everybody, and and there's a hope that The United States is gonna come out fine on the other side. It's clear that Americans are being destroyed. That's obvious. Whether it's the death jabs or hitting us with the same food issues that others are gonna see come down the line, There it's clear that The United States is also scheduled for demolition by the same Zionist.
That's crystal clear. It's quite obvious. Now I think you're gonna see fighting between Zionist and Chinese in places like Panama. I don't know how open it'll be. Argentina, Thailand actually even, and other places.
They're clearly going nose to nose in a lot of places. Most people might not notice it because the fighting will probably happen in ways that they don't quite notice, but they're clearly going toe to toe, for instance, in Argentina. Again, I think you may see Argentina go for the Falklands, you know, the Malvinas. When Masacca and I went down there and looked about a year ago or so, there was, you know, basically, let's take back Malvinas signs all over Buenos Aires. Malvinas is the the that's what the the Argentinians called the Falkland Islands, which are anyway, it after that, I think they're gonna end up going after Brazil.
And I'm sure most of the Argentinians don't know this yet. You know, Mele Melekovsky down in Argentina was just over in Israel seeing the other Melekovsky. Because as you know, Netanyahu's actual name was Melekovsky. And Mele's name down in Argentina, his name was Melekovsky too. I mean, they're coincidentally the same last name.
They were just meeting together down in Israel. Now when about about, let's say, maybe January or November 2025, Masvadova and I were at the CPAC in Argentina. And, you know, they started off with Viva Estados Unidos, viva Argentina, and Viva Israel. Right? Ben Shapiro spoke there.
I mean, Argentina is thick with both Chinese and Zionists. It's very interesting. Buenos Aires is one of the biggest Jewish towns in the world, by the way. A lot of people don't realize that. But after World War two, a lot of Nazis and and and Zionists went down there, you know, because those guys were running buddies.
A lot of people don't get that. They don't like that, but it is the truth. Zionists and Nazis were you know, they were running buddies as you well know.
Speaker 1: Well, all I can tell you is we gotta have you on for, a two hour commercial free because I had to bite my tongue everything you're saying because and I know you're smart, and I I I I didn't think you were, you know, crazy, a lot of stuff you said, but I thought sometimes you would kinda take a leap on things. I'll come back with one minute. I'll tell it, but I watch your stuff and read it, like, know, almost every day. Sometimes I binge on it, and I know you know your facts. Sometimes I I thought I thought the conclusions might not be dead on, but that they have turned out to be.
I'll explain when we come back because I remember you when Mele got in a few years ago saying he's Israeli operative. They're gonna try to steal the country, and then now Israel's openly saying they're gonna try to take it over. Alright. Sixty five days ago, sixty six here in a few hours, they're in The Middle East. From all the war games, all the experts, just known one of the most war game things in the world, trade war moose, Iran war.
I have family worked for the head of CENTCOM for many years as their attache. And and they were gonna be classified info, but they were always like, oh god. We're always trying to stop the politicians attacking Iran because this will happen and that will happen. And so so this is one of the most known things. And so I come out last year during Midnight Hammer and said that Israel trying to get us into full war, and then Trump shut it down.
People said, oh, see, you're wrong. It worked great. I said, well, let's see. And then Israel lied. Mossad lied.
Then Yahoo lied. Even the IDF told Trump, it's now came out two weeks ago. No. You're not gonna get regime change, but if wanna degrade their weapons, yeah, we're we're we're for an attack. But they at least didn't lie.
And so now here we are sixty five, sixty six days in. It's devastating the economy. It's escalating. They control the straight. Trump looks like a fool, and all these little neocon followers are, you know, still just exuberant saying this is 50 d chess.
But larger picture. I remember Michael Yon a few years ago talking about Melee down in the South America and Argentina saying, he's an Israeli operative. He's gonna gut the country, and then they're gonna take all of this land and turn it into Israel. And I knew Israel has some of its biggest settlements there. Israel has its eye openly on Ukraine, admits that, and openly on Argentina.
But then the last six months, they've caught Mossad agents, I guess, when you graduate out of it and also their military. They make you do a three months sabbatical there, and they caught them surveying national parks and land next to private property and setting fires everywhere. And then beyond others said, see, we told you, now Millet will make a deal saying we're gonna set up basically Jewish settlements here. Then three weeks ago, he does that, and now they're saying if Israel falls in this new world war they're starting, then the new Israel will be Argentina and Ukraine. And I'm just like, I wasn't giving magical powers in Netanyahu, you know, two years ago when Yahan said this.
I knew Israel did bad stuff. The liberty got covered it. I just didn't make it front and center. I knew Israel is a powerful lobby. They control a lot of our foreign policy, but now it wants eight front war, controls domestically.
Head of the ADL says, we use pagers to blow up Hamas. Let's do it to Americans that say Israel got us in a war. He said the latest guy says, if you say we cause this war, we're gonna blow you up. So they've gone into mad dog crazy town. Every cliche is now true.
That's why I'm all in because, like like you said, I don't like communist China, but David Rockefeller, the Rothschilds on record set up now, double crossed Chiang Kai shek, put him in. China then fifteen, sixty years ago, double crossed them pulled out. So now the global's like, that's fine. We'll just play America and China off. We'll have Trump mismanage this fight with China, and then it'll bring everything down, and they sit back and take over financially, but not if we're aware of it.
So that's a long ran, but give us your analysis of that and get back to Argentina. Because everything you said, they're literally like, we're gonna give you the land and Jews will leave Israel and come here, and then they're burning down settlements to do it, and they're blowing up all the Christian settlements in in Lebanon and in the West Bank and then calling it the Gaza plan. The I mean, I'm just like Israel is trying to act as evil as it can, Michael Young. And they don't seem to care. They got the lowest approval rating in the world in Gallup.
And exactly, I think Israel gets blown up in this, but it's the detonator to bring in world government, and then all the elites of Israel run to Argentina.
Speaker 0: Mhmm. So yeah. Well, keep in mind, one of the one of the Zionist game plans in pre World War two was to make as many people as possible hate the Jews because that hate is their compressive force that keeps them together. Right? It's a normal psychological operations technique.
If you don't have a glue, then you use compression. So they basically make everybody hate you.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah. Israel bombed thousands of synagogues in Spain, in Europe, in Portugal, in in Italy, and everywhere, and in Iraq and in Syria to drive Jews into Israel. That is declassified mainstream Israeli news that it the Mossad did that.
Speaker 0: Right. And then they just blamed it on, you know, Jew hate, but it was really Zionists doing it. You know, was Theodore Herzl's guys or at least his his you know, they made their whole new language, you know, that that the the what's his name? Pearl or whatever from or the the he wrote that he made the the Israeli Hebrew. Right?
It it well, he changed his name to Yehuda. He he chain he know, he taught his children to speak the new Hebrew and kinda dissolved Yiddish. One time I picked up an old book on Yiddish, and I it was it was in Yiddish. I thought it was German. And I started reading it, and I thought, wow.
This is a strange dialect. And I asked a German professor. I said, what is this dialect? Because I, you know, I read German. And but I I couldn't read all of it, and he said it's Yiddish.
And, you know, but Yiddish is, you know, basically almost verboten in in in Israel. And have
Speaker 1: you noticed that almost all the real Hasidic Yiddish Jews literally hate Zionism?
Speaker 0: Oh, big time. I'm on a private chat with some with some Orthodox Jews. I'm the only one that's not Jewish. Man, those guys, they make me sound like that like I'm pro Zionist. I mean, those guys hate Zionists.
They know the Zionists are genociding Orthodox. I mean, they're they were angry a couple days ago that, you know, that that or you know, that Netanyahu and their crew will want to to draft the the make war slaves out of the Orthodox Jews and kill them off, do a Ukraine on them. Right? And and they will, obviously, but the but the the Orthodox will fight back that, you know, most of them, I think, probably won't answer any draft or at least they won't answer it in any positive way.
Speaker 1: Yeah. We had some of them show up at the office begging us for help just last week, the old office. So so Mhmm. Pull pulling back. Let's go back to Argentina because I can do a ten hours on this.
It's there's Mele saying with Netanyahu, yeah, we're gonna make this the new Israel, and then they and for decades, they've been sending the Israeli since Netanyahu got in the Israeli military over there as their graduation prize to then scope out land, and then now they caught them setting fires everywhere. And I thought, oh, that's just antisemitism. Turned out was true. I mean, the the the boldness of this, the the arrogance of this, and and and and and so clearly, what is the master plan? Like you said, push the world to the total war.
It's bigger than just Israel. It goes all at the BlackRock needing this crisis. How does this unfold? And and know you say, well, just get ready for total destruction. Can't we work on stopping it, or what do we do?
I guess we're doing it right now.
Speaker 0: It's clear that that that they're that they have a what part of the plan at least includes colonizing different places around the world, such as Argentina. I think they're gonna go for it in Guatemala as well. They're definitely going for it in Panama. They're going for it in certain places in Thailand, which I've talked about extensively before, and Philippines. So, I mean, they're going out in Baja, California.
They're going out to certain places that you know, to to I think they're making themselves more resilient by a lot of a lot of the Israelis are leaving Israel and going to other places. Now that means Israel itself. You know, I've been saying for a long time that I think the Zions will genocide most of. They'll use the Israelis to genocide Gaza and genocide Lebanon and other places, but then they'll genocide a lot of the Israelis. I mean, the I know what I'm saying.
I think, you know, a lot of people say, don't you understand? Zionists would never genocide Israel. It's like, you know What do you think?
Speaker 1: They had a deal with Hitler Yeah. They were the Zionists that nobody could get out unless they paid the Zionists and Hitler a bounty with through and moved to Palestine. But let's just stop right there. It is a fact that Israel's doing everything it can to destroy its name. It is a fact that Israel's doing everything it can to scapegoat Jews in general, and the and the dumb Nazis go, oh god, you're offending Jews.
No. You haven't read the Pulitzer Prize winning books. It's mainline history, not the stuff pop history. Mainline history. Steve Pachinik's dad, Jewish.
You you'll kill in World War two. FDR wouldn't let him get here. He he went to Cuba, got in. He knows all this. He exposed it all.
This is history. It is a fact that before Hitler even got in, he had deals with the Zionists to let them manage and force the Jews out of Germany. People just can't listen. You you have Simon Wiesenthal. They never hunted down real Nazis, folks.
They hired all the top Nazis that survived, would get them released out of prison to literally be the Mossad was set up by top SS officers and run by them in assassination teams not to kill other Nazis, but to go kill the officials in Egypt when they were getting ballistic missiles from Russia and all over the place. Guys, just top in. Israel hired top Nazis. The US didn't just have a paper clip and a rat line. Israel had an even bigger one.
Klaus Barbie, all those guys were protected. Guys, just type in the Google. The the most decorated guy in German, Otto. He was
Speaker 0: Yeah. The SS officer with the Sikorsky with his Yeah.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah.
Speaker 0: Sikorsky. With a with his nice dueling scar.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah. He he basically advised them on the whole setup. I mean, think about that because you tell you tell somebody that, though, it just sounds crazy. Yeah.
Yeah. Guys, type in the SS officer that that worked for Mossad. Go ahead.
Speaker 0: Did you see his funeral photos where there was Jewish people at his funeral?
Speaker 1: Yes. In Spain.
Speaker 0: The SS yeah. Yeah. In Spain. That's right. I mean, it's it's I've got a book right over here actually about Nazis cooperating with the Zionists.
They they worked hand in hand together. They were best buddies. I mean, because the the the the Zionists wanted to get they wanted to get, you know, Israel because of Suez Canal. I mean, Israel is such an important piece of real estate there. That's what it's all about.
This is about routes, resources, and ideology. In this case, the ideology is weaponized in service to routes and resources. Every war you've ever studied in your whole life, whatever it is, it's about routes, resources, and ideology. It doesn't always include ideology, but sometimes they're only about ideology. But in this case, it's routes, resources, and ideology.
That's what this is all about. In this case, the ideology is weaponized in service to routes and resources. I mean, the Suez Canal, Ben Gurion Canal, they get it open in the Indo European corridor, Haifa, that gas the energy off of Gaza. Israel is very important, and that's there's gonna be a knockdown drag out for all that land over there. I think the Gulf States, I call them the nineteen twenty two synthetic countries.
I think they're gonna be, in one way or another, dissolved. I think places like Jordan and and Syria also, and, obviously, they're going for Lebanon right now and Israel itself. Israel's synthetic as well, 1948. There are all those countries on the Arabian Peninsula and Lebanon and Israel as well. Those those were all formed synthetically in service to getting routes and resources.
That's what it was all about.
Speaker 1: Absolutely. So Israel has been bragging these newspapers. All the newspapers are saying it's horrible idea. It was I wanna be clear. Israel's not monolithic.
There's a lot of people saying this is terrible. We're gonna be the new superpower. America's gonna fall because of debt. We'll be the new crossroads because it'll be backed by the banks. We will now be the superpower.
Talk about delusions of grandeur here, and and then and even if Netanyahu dies of of cancer, which he supposedly has, but doesn't look healthy, prostate cancer and stuff, they're saying the other guy is just as bad, and and and he's calling for attacking Turkey, just Lebanon. So this is insane.
Speaker 0: I think they'll go for Turkey, and there's various reasons for that. And that's also partly why I think they will probably end up taking out Mosul Dam as well. Again, I first wrote about Mosul Dam in maybe 2005 or '6, something like that. And but Mosul Dam, I think I think they're gonna end up taking that out. And but going for Turkey, they they're gonna wanna close the Turkish Straits for various reasons.
So, you know, that's you know, you know, that that would not be difficult to do to close the Turkish Strait. And and I think they're gonna go for that. I think they're gonna go for Dana the Dana Strait at some point as well.
Speaker 1: Alright. I keep jumping in because you're so on target. We you've gotta send me because I can't remember all your predictions. I know you're busy, but we need to a two hour commercial free just because the stuff you said is evergreen from two, three years ago. It's just all happening.
But instead of that, tell me what else is gonna happen. And, again, I know you won't say it, but what can we do?
Speaker 0: Yeah. I mean, you're not gonna vote your way out of this. That's pretty clear. And, I mean, because who's gonna replace Trump? You know?
I mean, that's it's a it's an entire ecosystem of people. The The United State by the way and this is very important. I think when these famines really kick off, that human osmotic pressure, that hop, the human osmotic pressure is the push and pull of migration. Once you've got these huge famines, I think at that point, you're gonna see the Darien Gap and other places is gonna just blast wide open. Right?
Camp Of The Saints, ships coming right up to The United States. I would not be surprised to see ships come right up the Mississippi River and go as far north as they can get and start dropping off tens of thousands of people. I would not be surprised at all. In fact, I would expect it. And, and I think, if Americans don't stop that, they'll just be killed.
I mean, Americans will just be genocided. It's clear. I think I think, you can see the writing on the wall that they will start a draft in The United States. They're gonna draft as they're gonna Ukraine it. As many Americans as they can, they're gonna get killed off, then they're gonna replace them with those people that you just had on the video.
The people that were coming through the Darien Gap and other places, they're gonna be the US army. Keep in mind, we got some serious artillery on these bases and serious rockets and helicopters and everything else. You know, I can only imagine what can be done from flat footed at Fort Bragg just shooting artillery from the base, you know, at the nearby towns. I mean, the government, if it's if our military is captured, which is clearly what they're moving to do, is do a Ukraine. You know, they'll they'll end up, you know, making a new a new Ukrainian army.
They'll do the same in Ireland. Right? They'll do the same in in Hispaniola, down in Dominican Republic. They'll do it in all these places. This is normal.
Remember, the reason special forces even exist, I mean, Green Berets, was after World War two, the OSS was gone, so now came CIA and Green Berets. What did Green Berets do? They're designed to help raise up foreign armies. Right? And often, what they do is raise up internal armies.
Like, for instance, when I was as a war correspondent in Iraq and Afghanistan, we went in there and started raising up Iraqi army and ANA, Afghan National Army. Now what were those eventually supposed to do? Eventually, those were being designed to attack Iran, but we failed in Iraq and Afghanistan. But those armies were being built up to do that. You know, it's funny.
I was looking at some old manifest records from in in the eighteen fifties, actually, anyway. And there was an entry in there about the the US Navy in Hawaii raising up Hawaiians to be in the US military and how smart and good they looked in their uniforms and drilling and that sort of thing. In other words, raising up Hawaiians to to go after Hawaiians. This is normal, you know, and using Indians to go after Indians. You know?
This is absolutely normal. It's special forces one zero one. I mean, the Romans were doing it. It's been it's been done all over the world. It's being done right now all over the world.
Speaker 1: Well, here's the thing. I love my listeners, because most of them are super hardcore, really smart. They've all got a lot of disciplines. They we open the phones, and a lot of them call in and know things I don't know. So we have one of the most educated informed audiences out there, but still a large portion of them.
Think when I'm like, hey. We're not gonna win this right away. It's gonna jack up prices. We're gonna get sucked into full war, then he'll send in ships, then they'll get attacked, and we'll have boots on the ground. These are threat escalation ladders, known battle plans by the military.
It's not like I just thought this. They understand this has all been war game. And so here we are, and people don't understand we're not just hyping up disaster here. We're already in this. We're already going into the wood chipper.
And I I just it's so and the globalist think the public's so dumb. They'll manage the crisis of famine and war and crisis, and you know, oh, Iran has attacked dolphins. They deserve it. Meanwhile, Iran doesn't have a marine mammal program. The US has the biggest and has the dolphins trained to put mines on boats, and they show it.
But every time we attack somebody, we have to. They're being mean to dolphins. I mean, the fact that we have to go down, have a global depression, a new world war, and tens of millions of dead because the American people have had it easy so long, and they're well, they're being mean to dolphins. It's just the level of propaganda is disgusting.
Speaker 0: I think you're gonna see billions dead at this rate. I don't think it'll be tens of millions. I think I mean, this is they're going for the they're going for the big time. They're they're these people think No.
Speaker 1: I agree. That's the globalist answer to the global awakening is, oh, the virus went into the reset for you? How about a nuclear war? You're right. Most experts agree.
This is just gonna cascade into full war. Go ahead. Sorry.
Speaker 0: I think I think some of them actually want to have a nuclear war. I mean, they I think they think that they can live it out through their through in their in their bunkers, and maybe they can. You know? And maybe some of them will survive. But at the end of the day, it would not be hard to get a nuclear war triggered.
You've talked about many times how it could be a false flag in The United States. You know, that could happen right now. And so it's clear that they would. Look at nine eleven. I mean, nine eleven, you know, for years, I would not even entertain the thought that that was an inside job because I was so far I thought our government would never do that.
You obviously thought that they would, but you saw earlier than I did. But, you know, at some point, it became clear that these things were part of the way that business is done as usual, but our government is highly predatory towards us as well. Right? You know, actually, the more you look historically at these things, you see The United States itself as basically one giant company town. I mean, my family came over in sixteen o nine with the Virginia Company.
That was a company town, you know, and Jamestown was a company town. Virginia Company of London, they sold shares and that sort of thing and got it going selling tobacco. It's normal. They had company towns all over America. Nobody even knows how many.
I got a whole bunch of books on America. I can't even read them all, so many company towns. It's fascinating, actually. But that that's what you see. You know, how news I I found a book the other day in a New Zealand antique bookstore online, and I'm trying to get my hands on it, actually.
And they're talking about how to colonize New Zealand. Right? And how to this is an old book from eighteen fifties. And and so they're talking about how to colonize New Zealand. This is normal.
You see this all over the world, whether it was Panama, whether it was, you know, everywhere. I've got one book from '18 from 1700, exactly 1700. It's the Scottish, very angry that the Spanish and the and the and the English actually had thwarted their attempts to to make a corridor across Panama through Darien. Right? That's why Scotland got absorbed by England into The United Kingdom Of England and Scotland.
Speaker 1: Way, let me ask you that question. Because as I read more Rockefeller Foundation documents and UN documents and the British ones, you and Mac, you've been hundreds of years ago. We gotta stop the Americans because they were infected by the Scottish spirit. And in all these official, even modern documents, it's not about the Scottish spirit of rebellion in America. The Scotts were key in Texas and other things, but it's weird their obsession with the Scotts.
Very strange.
Speaker 0: Yeah. But the Scotts, they have a certain reputation, especially Scotts Irish, which is my culture, and I assume it's probably yours. I mean, the the way that you are. The but the Scotts Irish just have a they're fighting dogs. You know?
And and and we're bred for that, basically. You know, they're not Scots Irish are not Scottish, and they're not Irish. They're a whole different you know, Ulster Scots are a different brand.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Explain what that is. No. It turns out I had my genetics fully done. Now we did the whole litany.
I thought I was mainly German and Welsh, which I am a lot German and some Welsh, but I'm actually almost it's like 40% Scots Irish. I mean, a lot of my family knew who my dad's side was, but I don't know how much on my mom's side too. But they were
Speaker 0: all founders of Scots Irish. Like a mix
Speaker 1: You go ahead.
Speaker 0: Scots Irish are like a mixture between a a Rottweiler and a border collie. You know, they'll fight, but they think it through, you know? And they're famous for that. That's why the reason the Scots Irish performed, actually in the way that we were talking about earlier, the English used the Scottish to fight the Irish. And and then over a long period of time, they the Scottish married into the Irish because they had a habit of doing that.
And they became an entirely different culture called the Scots Irish. There's a book about that called Born Fighting by Webb, the former senator. I read that book. Very interesting.
Speaker 1: And that's exactly what the British talk about is the Scott's Irish particularly. Exactly. And that was the main detonator in Texas revolution and in the 1776.
Speaker 0: It's like It's crazy. You got towns all over Texas named after Scott's Irish. A bunch of our presidents and Apollo astronauts and that sort of thing. But the the Scott's Irish, they were also out there to fight the Cherokee and every the Scott's Irish were the ones that were used to really do big fighting against Indians because they but but one of the things that Scots Irish often did was marry in the Indians as well. Oh, no.
Yeah. Another fascinating story. Yeah.
Speaker 1: Well, that's how you put your that's how you put your spies in.
Speaker 0: Yeah. I mean, well and they married into them like honestly. That's what
Speaker 1: that's my family too. That's how it happened. Dude, three more minutes, we come back and let you go. It's 3AM in in in in Japan. Let's finish up with Scott's Irish.
You're such a historian. Tell us about born the
Speaker 0: great book. I love that book, man. I've I I told one of my old Greenbrae teammates, he lives in West Virginia now. He's a bear hunter. I told him, you gotta read that book, you know, because he's Scots Irish.
And he read it, and he goes, yep. That's me. I said, I know you I know it is, but
Speaker 1: Well, you know did you know that in the British British intelligence manuals, he meant they they talk about the Scots Irish all the time and how how it's a evil spirit they gotta defeat. Did you know that?
Speaker 0: I didn't know that, but Scots Irish are difficult to beat, and that's the backbone of our country.
Speaker 1: Draft politicians for World War three like Lindsey Graham and Ben Shapiro. Let's send them to the front lines. You can get this shirt and other incredible designs at the alexstore.com, which also funds the new network, the Alex Jones network, where you'll find my live feeds, the other great shows, special reports, investigative reports, and more at the new Coordinates of Liberty, alexjoneslive.com, and share that URL as well. You are the modern Paul Revere's. And then, of course, download on Android and Apple the free apps so you can watch the show and more and share it at alexjonesapp.com.
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I'm a let this reel. Geopolitical expert, amazing journalist, most famous combat journalist living, hands down, and, of course, former Green Beret, Michael Young, finish up. But I didn't mean to go off on a jag about the Scots Irish because I read a lot of history books and and, you know, stuff about the Plains Indians and stuff about the East Coast Revolutionary War. But but then as I you obviously, the British I'm not trying to demonize English people in general, but the British Empire system, you know, it got people in control. And their four hundred plus years of war with Scotland, and then, of course, Ireland as well.
They have the bagpipes, and now they have the brigades, and they have the you know, they're they're Scottish troops, and they build it up, and and King Charles, you know, wears the Celt and all that. But they particularly when you get into globalist documents, they say the Revolutionary War and everything else that happened in Western expansion was a Scot Irish Scotch Irish. And you notice Jan such a historian knows more than I even do. He but I remember reading this in history books. When they needed to take over an area or there were certain natives they couldn't beat, they would then send in the Scotch Irish.
Well, the whole families, they they would send them in. Of course, that's what Andrew Jackson was. Of course, was a revolutionary war hero, like, ages 10 to 16, and that his mother and brother killed in a concentration camp. His dad died working the land before the war. It's just amazing.
You do look at the founding of Texas. It was the key people in it were a lot of them were Scotch Irish. So I didn't mean to go off on a jag about that. It's just very, interesting that when you read in all these Lobos documents, they're they're really upset about that and saying that we can just kill this western resistance to our globalist plan. So the globalist wanna kill the West, and when they talk about who they really don't like, and and they they attack all the groups, the Germans and, you know, everybody, but they re and they don't like the Irish who they're flooding with all the illegals.
But they really are obsessed with the Scots Irish who Jan pointed out where the attack dogs brought in to attack the Irish, and that went on for hundreds of years, but then they actually got absorbed and then turned around. They kind of made a great hybrid creature. It's just it's just interesting how the globalist were able with a few thousand troops and tens of thousands of functionaries to conquer India when it had hundreds of millions of people in the great game divide and conquer. They did it with sociology, anthropology, studying groups, playing them off against each other, and they found again and again and again and I go back to my Scott Irish family on my dad's side particularly. It wasn't just that they were trying to marry Native Americans so they could infiltrate us.
I was joking. It was that was survival because a of lot my ancestors was on the genealogy. Some of those, like, a 100, the men, they'd have, like, three, four wives, and they not at one time. Wife one would die. Wife two would die.
Wife three would die. Wife four would die. And then some of my ancestors had, like, thirty, forty kids, because they had to work the land, all the rest of it, you know, drive the wagons down to Galveston and and and the family bible would mean, you know, shootouts with with bandits and all the rest of it. I mean, this was just amazing culture and was mainly Scotch Irish on my dad's side over there that was here at the start of the war. He he got the Spanish land grants even before from Santa Ana.
But it's just so interesting to see that, and then exactly that's why I've got some Native American blood was because ancestors on both sides of my dad's family, and when they track genealogy back, their second wife or third wife died, they would then marry a a native American woman. And so that's just so interesting that Michael Young knows that. Damn. How many books have you read? Because I get this from family and my own research, and, you know, every subject, you know all about it.
It's crazy.
Speaker 0: Oh, man. I got, like, I got the actual Dawes rolls, the original Dawes rolls right here. You know, the you know, how many Scots Irish think they're part Cherokee? I used to pay play cowboys and Indians when I was a a young boy as most of us probably did. Then I then I was told I'm part Cherokee, so I started playing Indian and cowboys.
I was like, I can kill those cowboys. But then but but then I grew up and and became a researcher and realized I'm not part Cherokee, which is still very disappointing. But I've got the Dawes Rolls. You know the Dawes Rolls. Right?
Speaker 1: Yeah. Tell folks about that.
Speaker 0: Oh, the I've got the whole I've got the 1890 original, 1890 census of tax and untaxed Indians, and I've got, like, probably 30 or 40 books on, civilized tribes. All these books, these are the Smithsonian studies right here of can you see? Oh, I got all these books in there.
Speaker 1: Super interesting.
Speaker 0: Yeah. Yeah. The these books these books right here are the Smithsonian studies. I've got the original all all the originals of of all you know, the studies of all the Native Americans across The United States. That's the anthropological warfare you were talking about.
Right? I got just I got so many you wouldn't believe. I got three rooms.
Speaker 1: Well, we've done our genealogy. I'm related to some Cherokee, one other group I always forget the name of. But then growing up, they didn't wanna say what my dad's grandmother who lived like 103, and her real name was Moon, but she had other names she used. She was half Native American. And growing up, they told her, don't don't say what tribe you were.
Can you guess which one that was? Did they send all the kids away to be educated?
Speaker 0: Probably Choctaw or Chickasaw. Yeah. Comanche. Oh oh, Comanches. Oh, I got quite a bit on Comanches.
Comanches were serious dudes. And, you know, the Taliban fight very similar to Comanches. I wrote one book I read one book called the something about the summer moon. Right?
Speaker 1: I That's about Quanah Parker. I'm told I'm vaguely related to him.
Speaker 0: That's right. Quanah Parker. Yeah. That's right. And and and, you know, because they fight the Taliban fight similarly, actually, you know, doing these long movements at night with the moon right and everything.
But the but the the Apaches, you know anyway, not to go into that because we could talk for hours. But, know, a lot of Scots Irish people think that they're part Cherokee. Sometimes they'll say Choctaw or Chickasaw or they don't usually say creek, but some will. But but mostly it's
Speaker 1: Well, the Cherokee were the most prolific at business and everything. They were good survivors. So they were the smart ones that didn't didn't didn't all get wiped out.
Speaker 0: Yeah. In fact, I just got a message from a Cherokee, Scott's Irish blend just, like, couple hours ago. He's off in the war right now. You know? And and he actually grew up speaking Cherokee, and there's not many people like that.
But the but the it's interesting because a bunch of the books anyway, most of my Indian books are in the other
Speaker 1: There's Quanaparta.
Speaker 0: There he is. There there it is right there. And a very famous very famous man right there. Yep. And the but the but the the the the this was so fascinating.
We could go on for hours about this. But, you know, the Scots Irish, like, which is my culture, you know, I we have no use for weak women. You know what I mean? It's like and that's another thing that the that I think a lot of the globalists don't like, you know, because, like, I was at a table with a bunch of women a few years ago, and they were doing the whole anti gun thing. And I was like to the whole table, I was like, Y'all are worthless.
I mean, what would a man want with a woman who can't shoot a bear? And they were shocked because I think that they actually sensed that I was dead serious. You know what I mean? It's like, you're all pretty and rich. Who cares, man?
You're that long No.
Speaker 1: You're right. There's nothing sexier than a woman that knows how to skin a buck and run a trot line and and jump over fences on a horse. There you go. And that's conservatives want powerful women. It's the left that turns everybody into jellyfish.
Speaker 0: I want as strongest woman as I can get. You know what I mean? It's like, there's a bear. I can take that bear. You know what I mean?
Yeah. It's like that's what Scots Irish want. They need a strong woman just to you have to. You gotta have a strong woman to handle the Well,
Speaker 1: I was thinking about the Scots Irish when they would get, like, Andrew Jackson out of he did a recruitment out of Tennessee, Alabama, Georgia, all of it, and he literally said send an army of Scotch Irish down there. You know, he did that ten years before. People say, like I mean, you know that was all set up. The the text revolution was a setup. I mean, we we came in here on purpose to do that.
Speaker 0: You know, a lot of the people watching your show are special operations. But, you know, a lot of the special operations, I don't know how it is now, but, I mean, that's basically like a meeting spot for Scott's Irish. And that's another thing that globalists don't like There's a lot of huge amount of people in special operations through the years have been Scots Irish. I don't know how it is right now, though.
Speaker 1: But I'm saying that's recognized by the globalist, a continued threat. It's it's it's it's interesting.
Speaker 0: Right. But in any case, the history of The United States I wish we had, like, two days, Alex, because this is so fascinating. It's like, road do you wanna go down and talking about these things? But, you know, when it comes down to mapping people and doing census of people, that's always a sign that somebody's about to get you. Right?
And doing atrocity porn. Like, a bunch of my books right here are about about anyway, I wish I could I wish I had known we were gonna talk
Speaker 1: to about something. Three hour commercial free extravaganza. You just tell them where you wanna go. We'll do it.
Speaker 0: Yeah. I'll pull out some books. There's so many things that we could talk about. One would be one would be great to talk about anthropological warfare. And now it may seem boring off the not to you.
You know it's not boring. But for a lot of people that don't understand what anthropological warfare is, it might seem boring or, you know, sort of out in left field until you start to hear and understand it more, and then you're gonna get into it. Then you're gonna go
Speaker 1: Define anthropological warfare. Define it.
Speaker 0: Well, for for instance, the there's many things you can do with the study of anthropology, but one is, like these books here, the ethnographical studies actually of the Native Americans by the Smithsonian. This was used to to to take their land. Right? In my one of my other library rooms over here, I've got all of the all of
Speaker 1: the You're talking about divide and conquer. Great game.
Speaker 0: Oh, yeah. And one of one and one of I've got all of the the the the Department of War studies and reports to the Senate on building the railroads. And a big part of those I think it's 10 books. A big part of those reports to the by the Department of War to the Senate. This would have been in the eighteen fifties.
I got them right in my next room, originals. There it's about, you know, which Indians live there, which frogs, which which cactus
Speaker 1: And how to play them off against each other.
Speaker 0: Oh, absolutely. Because keep in mind, the way that and we're talking about globalist back then. You know, manifest destiny is basically, you know, the great game called manifest destiny. Right? It's a great game part America, manifest destiny.
And so manifest your destiny. And when you look at the, you know, the the the the painting from 1872, the manifest dest or it's actually called American Progress. You know, Columbia. Remember, before uncle Sam, there was Columbia, the woman Let's
Speaker 1: pull that painting up. It's it's American Progress '18 what painting?
Speaker 0: 1872.
Speaker 1: American Progress painting 1872. American Progress painting 1872.
Speaker 0: Let me explain that painting when they pull it up. I got that blown up big in my other library room. I got a huge blow up of it. There it Okay. That woman there, that's Columbia.
Right? She's floating up. That that's like Columbia was replaced by uncle Sam. Right? So back back in the old days, there she is.
Notice in her left hand, she's unfurling a telegraph cable. Right? In her right hand, she's holding a book that says school book. On her head is a star. She's gonna make a new state.
Now behind her, it's lighted. That's the east. That river back there is the Mississippi River, and you can see it's light because that's where we brought civilization already. Right? And so you can see the three railroads of which I've got the original studies right in my next library room here.
And those railroads are going and notice how they're pushing the that that that wagon down there says post that's a US postal. The the but notice they're pushing the Indians in front of them. Can you put that back up? I mean, that painting is
Speaker 1: Yes. We'll put it
Speaker 0: back up. Possible?
Speaker 1: By the way, Columbia is over the Texas capital with the lone star on her crown, and it it it and and and at the battle of San Jacinto, they had a giant banner, took, like, five guys to carry of her in front of them in the war.
Speaker 0: That's wild. I didn't know that. And look you see, now look, they're pushing the Indians out in front and pushing the bears. There's a bear in there and a wolf, and they're pushing the buffalo as well. And you see the darkness in you see in the upper right I'm sorry, upper left.
That's the snow capped mountains of the Rocky Mountains. And they're going towards California, the Pacific. So this is 1872. Keep in mind, 1872 was when Seward completed his first very serious reconnaissance of Panama. Right?
And I have that original report that, you know, is a reconnaissance in Panama. So and and meanwhile, we we were mapping out Japan and mapping out all these other things and starting to colonize Hawaii. We'd been colonizing Hawaii at least for at least fifty years already. They had they had already built up part of the army twenty years before that painting came out. So, I mean, the Hawaiian army made of Hawaiians.
Right? So so, I mean, but the point is is this was all part of you know, The United States was born of globalism. Our country is a globalist enterprise. That's what it is. That's where all the people came to fight.
Right? I mean, the big players all came to America to duke it out.
Speaker 1: And now in closing, Israel is openly having its own manifest destiny, Greater Israel, and thinks America's gonna back it.
Speaker 0: I call it Zionfest destiny. Right? And, the Chinese, I call that one Chinafest destiny. Because the Chinese and and the and the
Speaker 1: let's explain. They are the most Head to head. They are the most homogeneous group. They have their own plan, don't they?
Speaker 0: Oh, yeah. The the Chinese well, China is not really homogeneous, but but, I mean, but the Han Chinese part is
Speaker 1: Well, the dominant group. No. I understand. I'm saying one of the most. Go ahead.
Speaker 0: Wow. Look at that big that's giant. I I I didn't even know that was there.
Speaker 1: Yes. The tallest capital in The US, Texas capital, got Colombia on top of it.
Speaker 0: That's that's amazing. Well, that was the original uncle Sam right there. That was her. Right? And so the Texans know that, obviously.
And so because there it is. But the when it when it Well, let's
Speaker 1: say what it was. It was goddess worship. I mean, they literally had our banners at the Alamos and just sent all of it. Yeah. Have you been to the war memorial for World War one and stuff and for the Napoleonic Wars in in London?
It's giant goddesses all being carried on chariots, and they're always pointing forward, and they put the war memorial for the dead there as a sacrifice to her. Have you seen that? It's incredible.
Speaker 0: No. I haven't. That's I mean, that's pretty amazing. Before late yeah. Ain't it wild?
I mean, these these things are part of our past that are really intense spiritual fights, actually. Manifest Destiny was a spiritual fight as much as anything else, right? That was routes, resources, and ideology, and a big component was ideology, but also to get land and that sort of thing. So there was all all three components were there simultaneously. Like, the missionaries were, you know, out there doing missionary stuff.
I got a huge section on missionary work in my in my other library room here. It's it's unbelievable. I mean, the mission if you wanna really understand what's going on, just follow the missionaries, and that includes the Jesuits and the Protestants and everything else. Just fascinating things that they were doing. But and, you know, when it when it came, though, to to manifest destiny, that didn't stop at California.
That's how I ended up in Japan here. Right? I mean, world war the the the world wars were were just another bloom of that globalist flower. None of this stuff has ever this is not all these wars are not separate. As you know, I mean, I know by the things that you say over the years, these wars are not separate from each other.
This is the same war. The U. S. Civil War, this is the same war. What you're seeing going on in Iran, I know it sounds crazy to a lot of people that don't study this maniacally seven days a week for decades on end, but once you have done that, then it becomes quite obvious.
Speaker 1: By the way, was gonna cover this Saturday, but I had a legal emergency with all these lies they filed. We're gonna beat them. We got them really bad now. I I knew this, but I hadn't seen it in a while. I noticed on X.
They had the map of the Confederacy would have succeeded. They were to slice the whole bottom half of The US off and a bunch of Mexico and a bunch of other stuff for that new empire, and the British were gonna be behind that. We know the British funded the South. And and, again, I'm not saying the North was perfect folks, but it was a setup to break up the country. And and and then the Russians came into Lincoln's aid and the rest of it.
But it's just amazing how the British tried to come in and do that.
Speaker 0: Oh, yeah. I mean, this was a globalist Thunderdome. That's how The United States was born. I mean, it was a Thunderdome. My family came over in sixteen o nine, got shipwrecked on Bermuda with the Virginia Company of London, made that company town called Jamestown, went straight into fighting the Palatine Indians.
I mean, my my ultra great grandparents on the Eastern Side, they're in the book, The Sea Venture. There's a book or they were on the ship, The Sea Venture, which was the flagship of the the the the And let's explain what
Speaker 1: the British Empire did. They said, we're gonna stop fighting these Irish and Scots and Scots Irish. We're gonna ship them in there to fight for us.
Speaker 0: And they did. That's why they're all out in Appalachia and that sort of thing now because they were put out there to fight the Cherokee because Cherokee are pretty serious people, you know? And so, they ended up marrying into the Cherokee and all that. But so, when you come to though these company towns were everywhere, right? So, you know, these books right here, actually, these are books on tobacco.
These are, like, these are, like and this is all like, this is the history of tobacco. Fifteen o seven to 1650
Speaker 1: that don't know, it was tobacco that literally funded and financed as big as sugarcane and rum. The entire Western, the Portuguese, the Spanish, the British, the French, everybody into the new world.
Speaker 0: This was money. All these books are these five books right here, I've got Coffee? This much on tobacco in in my other rooms here. I mean, tobacco was was money. It was huge.
And, actually, it was adulterated too. I found one instance actually in this book, number two, talking about how the Spanish were adulterating tobacco about four hundred years ago. They were putting opium in it or something. They Yeah.
Speaker 1: Spanish Nothing new under the sun.
Speaker 0: Nope. They were putting opium and other things into the tobacco. It's in a book from 1615, actually. But it mentions that in in this book right here, number two.
Speaker 1: Michael Yawn, how do people how do people find your Substack and your your shows and all you do?
Speaker 0: Oh, they they can well, I'm on Substack, Michael Yawn at Big Honey. Man, I wish we had a couple hours, man. I pull these books out. These things are fascinating. I love these books.
I'm either you know, I
Speaker 1: And there's a lot of stuff in books that aren't online. People think AI is so smart. It's not in the books yet. The books haven't been converted over yet.
Speaker 0: No. Stuff like you have to and it's much more effective to like, I got several giant tables like this. I lay out the maps and lay out
Speaker 1: the books. You set it up in the next few weeks. Let's do a you got more energy than I do. You're you're amazing. Let's do a three hour extravaganza.
And and you are I know you're always in Japan and Latin America. Do you still live out in Dripping Springs sometimes?
Speaker 0: Oh, I'll be back. I love Texas. I'll be back. But I got some stuff going on now. I have to tell you offline, though.
But, but the yeah. So I got something going on. I'll tell you when we're not on the air. But let me show you who this guy is. This guy's name is Kenjiro.
He's like my Japanese brother from another mother. In the '18 in the eighteen hundreds, there was a famine getting and he's not he didn't come from very far from here. He there was a famine. He he sensed that a famine was gonna start. And so he started and one of the one of the things that he his name was Kinjiro, k I n j I r o, Kinjiro.
Right? So his statue is in all the Japanese schools. Actually, the leftists are taking them out now. But he saw a famine coming, and he started warning everybody on preparing some a lot of the Japanese on what to do so they don't die. So the people that listened to him, they lived.
And the people that didn't, many of them died. It was a huge famine. Right? Japan's had a lot of big famines. So that's why Kenjiro, he's always he's got you see these statues.
He's reading a book. He's working on the farm. But he after he saved so many people from that there he is. That's Kenjiro. Yeah.
And I've got, like, six of his statues here because I'm Masako and I are gonna make something called Kangiro House. And but it's anyway, it'll be a anyway, we'll talk about that sometime.
Speaker 1: Out of time. Come back soon. Let's do it. Michael Yon, incredible job.
Speaker 0: Thanks, Alex.
Speaker 1: Amazing. Really, that guy's an iconoclast. Very, very interesting, very informed. Wow. Okay.
We went off on a Jag. I was in the Panama Canal for thirty minutes with them, and we went off into all this history. She gotta have all this to know what's going on, that's how you know. They gotta have that depth. Now I'm loaded for bear on Bill Gates releasing deadly Texas all confirmed, just like mosquitoes.
I'm loaded for bear on all this. I've got such preparation. I'm I'm prepared so much. So we got two hours left, but I also wanna take your calls. I'm almost about to not take calls.
I wish I could ask the listener. Somebody you want me to just talk for two hours? I can do that easily. Or do you want me to we'll do a mix. We'll we'll take calls and hit the news.
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Without fertilizer, the planet can only feed 4 billion people. We have 8 billion. The Strait of Hormuz is closed. Natural gas for fertilizer plants isn't shipping. @HealthRanger says 2026 is just the preview. 2027 is when it gets catastrophic. https://t.co/RvOxJreg6C
Video Transcript AI Summary
For weeks the focus has been the food side of the Strait of Hormuz story—fertilizer, shipping routes, diesel, natural gas, and the inputs that keep the global food system moving. Now the war with Iran has shifted this from theory to reality: oil spikes, shipping insurance surges with Lloyd’s of London canceling many contracts through the Strait, fertilizer prices jump, farmers are squeezed, and food prices rise. The host notes this is not a surprise; warnings were issued years in advance.
Mike Adams, founder of Brighteon and naturalnews.com, joins to discuss the looming global food crisis. The Financial Times warned of disruption hitting before the fall harvest. Higher fertilizer prices and lockdowns reduce fertilizer use, leading to less planting and lower future food production. Adams warns Western countries will face higher food prices, while mass starvation could occur in other nations, including Sudan, Yemen, Bangladesh, with India and Egypt also at risk. Tens of millions in these regions rely on food aid, which could become less available or affordable. A double hit compounds the problem: fertilizer exports from China and Russia have halted; China refused fertilizer to India to feed its own population, and Qatar Energy has declared force majeure, meaning even countries with local fertilizer plants may not receive fertilizer. Adams predicts hundreds of millions could face extreme famine later in 2026 and into 2027.
Speaker 2 emphasizes the humanitarian impact on allies and the potential for global instability and conflict as populations face hunger. Adams adds the phrase “nine meals away from anarchy” to illustrate social upheaval when people cannot feed themselves. He points to Egypt’s Suez Canal as a potential leverage point that could be affected if food aid is insufficient. He frames current events as the end of decades of global abundance linked to controlled routes and resources, suggesting a broader energy-food geopolitical shift tied to the war.
The discussion broadens to Europe, with criticism of German leadership and the push to militarize Europe. Adams challenges the idea that depopulation is a conspiracy and references historical coverage of population-control discussions in 1969, including Paul Ehrlich’s Population Bomb and alleged infertility chemical ideas. He cites vaccines in Kenya allegedly tested for infertility and asserts the COVID years were a pilot program. He asserts that the UN and other bodies show famine risk, including in South Sudan.
Adams argues the United States could face higher food prices even if shelves aren’t emptied, and he envisions a mid- to late-2020s scenario where many Americans, especially those earning under $100,000 annually, struggle to feed themselves. He calls for resilience through decentralization: breaking away from the banking system, the medical system, public education, and the energy grid; promoting homepower with solar and batteries, local farming, and community-supported agriculture. He suggests stockpiling food, diversifying wealth (gold and silver), and growing food locally as preparation.
The conversation then covers civil liberties and surveillance. They discuss the extension of FISA Section 702, describing it as an erosion of Fourth Amendment protections and a system enabling widespread spying on Americans, often used for blackmail against public officials. Adams argues that data sharing with foreign nations, including Israel, exacerbates privacy concerns and that tech devices in homes—Alexa, Ring, Windows—provide backdoor access to agencies. He warns that robots and smart devices will intensify surveillance, and advises privacy-focused measures like using Linux and de-Googled devices.
Finally, Adams promotes his resources: naturalnews.com for articles and infographics, brightvideos.com for daily videos, and brightlearn.ai offering free books and Spanish translations at Brightlearn. He reiterates the need for self-reliance, local communities, and preparedness, including solar power and homesteading as resilience strategies.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: For weeks, we've talked about the the food side of the Strait Of Hormuz story, not just the oil, not just the gas prices, but the fertilizer, the shipping routes, the diesel, the natural gas, the basic inputs that, of course, keep the global food system moving. And now it's here. And the war with Iran has essentially pushed this crisis from a theory now into reality. The entire global economy starts seizing up. Oil skyrocketing again.
Here is look at this. The the price of Brent crude jumped to a $126 a barrel, earlier than today and then fell back down about 113, but hitting a high that we haven't seen for years today. Shipping insurance, of course, exploded and also being canceled as we've highlighted here at the Lloyds of London canceling, many of their, insurance contracts through the Strait Of Hormuz. Fertilizer prices surging, farmers getting squeezed, and food prices moving much, much higher now. And most of the infuriating part of all of this, of course, is none of this is a surprise.
The people in power were warned about this. We warned about it here. Our next guest has been warning about it for years, even far longer than we have by a landslide. Mike Adams is the founder of the Brighteon platforms, naturalnews.com. You might follow him on X under the health ranger.
He has been out on this for years. Mike, great to have you back on the show.
Speaker 1: It's great to join you again. Thanks for having me on.
Speaker 0: Our pleasure. You know, the Feet, the Financial Times had a pretty ominous story about a week ago. I just wanna put up the headline here, the coming global food crisis. It's a really interesting read. But I think one of the most interesting parts of this article stood out to me.
The disruption is especially dangerous because it hits before the harvests that are coming in the fall. Higher fertilizer prices now and the lockdown now means that farmers use less fertilizer, have don't have access to it, which means they plant less, which means they produce much less food. And then so we might not see it on our store shelves at the moment, but this is the cascading effect. What do you think about that?
Speaker 1: We will be impacted in Western countries, even in The United States. Although we won't face mass starvation in America, we will face much higher food prices, but there will be mass starvation in other countries around the world. And research, leads to being able to identify exactly which countries those are. That includes The Sudan. It includes Yemen.
It includes Bangladesh. There are risks in India, risks even in Egypt, and many other countries that are on they have tens of millions of people that are just marginally getting by every single year. Many of those people are in states of famine every year, and they would die if not for food aid, but that food aid will not be nearly as available or affordable. So the the food aid organizations around the world are going to be wrecked. Now there's there's actually a there's a double threat here that your audience needs to to keep in mind.
Number one is, of course, fertilizer exports from countries like China and Russia have been halted. So when India went to China and said, hey. We need some fertilizer in order to feed our people. China said, sorry. We have to keep it for ourselves domestically.
But then there are countries like Bangladesh that have their own fertilizer production plants using the Haber Bosch process that converts natural gas into ammonia and urea. But you need natural gas as the feedstock, and, of course, natural gas is not shipping. Qatar Energy has declared force majeure on their commitments. So even if you have a fertilizer plant in your country, you don't get fertilizer right now. So it's a double hit on these countries.
And the bottom line is that literally hundreds of millions of people are about to be thrust into extreme famine and real starvation deaths, later this year and well into 2027.
Speaker 2: The cruelty of on imposing this on countries that are allies, countries that have nothing to do with this. And they can't do anything about it except maybe cry and beg, but the the globalist will do nothing about it. And so, you know, this will create warlike conditions. This is going to create instability. So can we talk about that as well?
Speaker 1: Well, as they say, nine meals away from anarchy. Right? So when your populations can't feed themselves, then they begin to revolt. So we will see social upheaval in many countries, but not in Russia. They can feed themselves.
Not in China because they have resources and multiple trading partners with lots of food redundancy. And and not in America or Canada or The UK, but, again, these vulnerable countries, many of them in Africa, some in The Middle East, and some in Southeast Asia, it's going to be brutal. Even for Thailand, I didn't even mention Thailand. They're they're going to face a lot of political instability because of this. But the bottom line is that that will lead to global instability in supply chains because many of these countries are involved in things that affect us.
For example, Egypt runs the Suez Canal. Right? And if we can't use the Suez Canal for some reason because Egypt is demanding food aid and they're not getting it, they could shut down the canal. And it's like, you know, your your guest and my friend Michael Yon has warned for years about routes and resources. What we're actually witnessing right now on a global scale is the shutting down of those routes and resources that have created food abundance and material abundance for the human species for decades, and that is now ending.
That is ending at least until there's some resolution of this war of choice that Trump has thrust us all into even though he didn't have to. That's where we are.
Speaker 0: You know, I heard a member of congress saying just the other day, you know, it's costing about $1,000,000,000 a day now just for the Strait Of Hormuz to be for us to to be dealing with the Strait Of Hormuz being close. So wait a second. We're spending that now that it's closed, but when it was open, we weren't spending that. It absolutely makes it's it's maddening. It makes no sense at all.
You know, Michael Jan, as you pointed out, he was talking about, of course, about the Strait Of Malacca specifically coming next. And, of course, what's happening in the Baltics, what's about to happen, in the Arctic Circle as well. And, you know, his whole point has been that this is really a globalist push for depopulation agenda. That this is all part of the plan. And so we need to go a layered we need to go look at layer deeper here than what Washington newspapers are telling us.
Right?
Speaker 1: Well, absolutely. And it's hilarious to me that every AI model today and every search engine will still tell you that depopulation is a conspiracy theory. But if you go back to 1969, The New York Times covered a meeting of over 200 organizations that also included president Richard Nixon's science adviser who said that controlling population needs to be the number one priority of every nation on Earth. And that meeting was also they they headlined doctor Paul Ehrlich, the author of, I believe, the Population Bomb. And he specifically proposed, and it was widely supported, that we should put infertility chemicals into the water supply and also into food exports that would affect countries like Africa.
And then, of course, years later, we know that, for example, the Kenyan Catholic Bishops Association started testing the vaccines that were being given to the young women of childbearing age in Kenya and found that they were laced with infertility chemicals. So there has been a decades long effort to achieve depopulation, and I believe that the COVID years were also one test case, kind of a pilot program, to see how much they could get away with, and they got away with a lot. And now we're facing the full rollout. And it is deliberate, and it is going to be devastating to those who are not prepared.
Speaker 0: Yeah. Look at I mean, just look at the United Nations. You put this up on the screen. You mentioned Sudan earlier. I mean, we just put this up on the screen here.
Over half of South Sudan's population faces acute hunger as we speak as we speak right now.
Speaker 2: And then for Americans, there will be supplies. We won't have the same abundance, and it will be incrementally incrementally higher. We saw this happen right away during when the war in Ukraine broke out. Prices went crazy. It's hard to imagine it getting worse, but it will.
Right? Can we talk about that?
Speaker 1: Given that so many Americans are one paycheck away from being kicked out of their apartment or their home, given that Americans are paying the highest prices ever for health insurance, car insurance, home insurance. Many Americans are on the verge of bankruptcy right now, of being homeless. And I've painted a picture where if you fast forward to mid twenty twenty seven, you're going to see millions of Americans, millions more living out of their vehicles, even with their families, with children in a van, trying to raise a family in a van because food is so so expensive that it displaces the income they would otherwise spend on rent or, you know, or a home or other things. Many Americans are going to have to start letting go of key expenditures, in order to not starve. I I do believe the food will still be available in North America.
You're not gonna see shelves completely wiped out, but prices are going to be so high that those who don't have over a $100,000 a year in income are going to find it very difficult to feed themselves.
Speaker 0: It's just absolutely devastating. Let's talk about Europe a little bit. Fredrik Mertz today was playing dress up, wearing a military, you know, garb, like he's about to be attacked, standing there in front of, armored vehicles, talking about Europe and how basically Germany now because it's become massively, militarized and spending billions now to militarize Germany, I guess, to fight Russia. But we will open the Strait Of Hormuz, essentially. Like, we've got to stop this.
Germany is gonna step in now. We are being devastated, but Europe is getting desperate. Just watch Fredrik Mertz here playing dress up. Germany is now gonna step in to secure the sea lanes in the Strait Of Hormuz. So Europe is getting desperate.
And of course, the joke in Europe, you know, where we live for a number of years was, what is it if Germany
Speaker 2: If Germany sneezes, the rest of Europe gets a cold.
Speaker 0: Yeah. So, obviously, so goes Germany, so goes Europe. So they're getting desperate in Europe. This is hitting them particularly hard.
Speaker 1: Well, that saying that you just mentioned actually comes out of an era when Germany was fueled by cheap Russian gas. Right? That era is long gone. Right? So Germany is not the industrial center of Western Europe.
And and by the way, you saw Mertz there, you know, dressing up, as a clown. I I think his, collar is too small. He needs more cowbell for that one right there. It's just it's it's a clown show every single day what what they're doing. But Germany's leaders and and by the way, I'm not directing my comments towards the German people or the or the British people or the French people because there are good people everywhere, and everybody wants to survive and and thrive and and raise families and and be able to keep what they earn.
But their leaders are running a suicide cult. That there's no question about that. It's it's cultural suicide. It's economic suicide. It's energy suicide.
They can dress up all they want. It doesn't change anything. The leaders of Germany are anti German. The leaders of France are anti French. You know?
I mean, it's so bad that Western Europe will be lucky to survive this era of horribly treasonous leadership. And I I just I feel very sad for the people of Western Europe and what they're having to endure.
Speaker 0: Right. Hopefully, you're seeing some signs of life, though, at least from, from the opposition inside of Germany standing up to this Yes. This tyranny. So, hopefully, we'll see a shift there. But, you know, again, I mean, maybe you can just paint a picture for us, Mike, as we we wrap up this segment on the on the energy issue and the food issue right now.
I know you've done some really nice infographics. People can follow you on on X on that to show how this is all layered out. But maybe you could really paint a picture for our audience, like, when these different markers start to hit and how it's gonna start to affect us.
Speaker 1: Well, the the key thing to understand is that our modern food supply is simply energy repackaged through photosynthesis to create calories. That's the way the agricultural industrial complex currently operates. And without nitrogenous fertilizers that are produced as a result of natural gas, we would not be able to feed more than about 4,000,000,000 people or about half the current population of the world. And that's that's a very optimistic estimate. So there's a delay though, as you mentioned the timeline there.
There's a delay. So we're still eating last year's food right now for the most part. As current crops begin to fail, we don't have a total failure in North America, some farmers bought fertilizer, Some paid a lot higher of a price. Some applied less fertilizer, so they'll have lower crop yields, but it's not Mad Max yet. However, when you get into the fall planting season in America and in places like Canada, that's when you're really gonna feel the shortage, and that impacts then the food that people eat next year.
So 2027 will be far worse than 2026 for North America, for The Middle East, for Africa, for Southeast Asia, India, even Turkey, you name it. So the real hard part of this happens in 2027, and almost nobody is really aware of that yet. I mean I mean, your viewers are, so thank you for covering this issue.
Speaker 0: Well, and I just wanna put this up on the screen. You posted this on naturalnews.com the about the engineered collapse here and the collapse by and I love how you started off the collapse by design because that's exactly what this is.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Absolutely. This is clearly engineered, and it's it's like I said, see, I I think the COVID years were kind of a pilot program to see what they could get away with, what level of obedience could they achieve, what level of shutdowns could they get people to go along with. And and and it turns out that most of the world was very obedient to these insane demands. Like, you have to wear this mask that doesn't work, and you have to stand five feet away because a virus can't can't fly six feet.
You know? Things like that. It it was all nonsensical. It was almost like a like a Simon Says game on a global scale for low IQ obedient cultists. And as a result, then they realized they can tell people almost anything.
They can tell people, oh, you're gonna have to pay higher gas prices so that we can win, and that when you're starving, it's a new golden age, things like that. And a lot of people will go along with that, but not the ones that wanna live. So for your audience that wanna survive and thrive, it's actually very doable. I'm not actually a doomer. If you're well informed and prepared, you can learn to grow food, you can stockpile food, you can, you know, get your money into a system that preserves wealth, like actual gold and silver, things like that.
There there are things you can do. It's not the end of the world if you're informed.
Speaker 0: Right. That's what we try to hit on people here. Like, if you've been watching our show, you watch what Mike does, you write you you read what Mike writes. Like, just just take care of your family. Like, are certain steps you can put in place to start really, you know, like we have in our garage, we have, you know, in our food stores, like making sure that we have extra food and extra food supplies that can last years preparing for that and having gold and silver, when this monetary system collapses, which is which is coming.
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Speaker 2: Alright. Well, the house passed a three year extension of FISA section seven zero two, one of the worst violations of American civil liberties in history. It allows Americans to be surveyed under a mass dragnet aimed, of course, at foreign terrorism. They need to do this to stop the terrorists. It's really the terrorists that are doing it.
Little did people know that back during the Obama administration, they entered into an agreement with Israel around FISA to actually share that surveillance about Americans with a foreign nation. And before you ask, yes, that data includes spying materials used on American citizens. We've talked to you about how AI systems being built now would compile your social media, in addition to whatever else has been collected on you to decide on the spot whether or not you need need to be killed. If you think that's only for people in Gaza, wake up. So in other words, the Israeli Israeli government can effectively access data on American citizens with little to no oversight.
Mike Adams is the founder of Brighteon platforms and naturalnews.com. He's been warning about this. What do we make of this? Did I get anything wrong there? Is it in fact as dystopic as I just described?
Speaker 1: Well, it is. It's it's essentially unlimited illegal spying on American citizens because it's very easy under FISA to create a justification to spy on anyone they want. For example, they can have a CIA office overseas email you from a, quote, terror group. And then they can use FISA rules, which require no warrant and no real due process to then hoover up all of your email claiming that you are now adjacent to that terror group that's actually run by the CIA or Mossad or whoever. So this is this is again, this is total violation of the Fourth Amendment.
It's unlimited illegal spying on all Americans for any reason whatsoever. Now the the important thing, though, as as I'm sure your audience knows quite well, is that this is actually used to hoover up blackmail material on important people, whether they be Supreme Court justices or governors, members of Congress. They spy on you. They find something that you might be embarrassed if it went public. It doesn't even have to be anything too crazy.
You know, you you took money from the wrong donor or whatever, or they spy on your family members. Then they can threaten to expose a family member or even a niece or a nephew or or whoever. And then that's used as blackmail material to keep you online. So it's not just that Jeffrey Epstein has blackmail material. You know?
So does the deep state of the United States government. And above all, it's absolutely shameful, in my opinion, that Donald Trump, who himself was a victim of FISA spying, is supporting it now and throwing the American people under the bus in the process.
Speaker 0: You bring up such a great point. Friend of the show, FBI whistleblower, Kyle Saraffin, one of his, like, I I hate to say caused a celeb because it sounds like it's he's doing it for for, I don't know, points, but he really has, like, tied know, he he's been so passionate about fighting this and, educating Americans about all of this and how this is used as this massive dragnet. And then you have, like, members of administration, members of congress who get caught up in this FISA, and it's all intentional so that you have almost like a J. Edgar Hoover style blackmail operation against powerful people in The United States and people in our own government who are you know, this material, however it's being used up, hoovered up, as you say, is totally unrelated to the target. It's like ancillary material that's being sucked up and used.
Am I wrong?
Speaker 1: You're absolutely correct. And remember that this also allows backdoor access into all of the corporate run, services and devices that are in your home that are listening to you. So, you know, your your Alexa device. Remember, one of Amazon's largest customers is the CIA. And everything that you say in your home around a device like that and there are other companies with other devices in the, you know, the doorbell video cameras and so on, that are constantly watching and listening and uploading this information to platforms that can be instantly and illegally accessed by the NSA or even in some cases, the CIA.
Now this is only gonna get worse with robots. So once people start inviting humanoid robots into their homes, then they'll be offered on a lease basis. You know, you pay a monthly fee. This this is still a couple years away, by the way, but it's coming. Those robots are gonna walk around your house, and they're gonna video everything.
And if they see something that they wanna report, oh, I saw an AR 15 leaning up against the ball. Yeah. It's Texas. We have 50 of them, by the way. You know, it's not it's not crazy.
That's gonna get reported, and then, oh, ATF's gonna knock on your door. Why do you have so many guns? Because it's Texas again. But, anyway, that's just an example, or they see gold bars. Where did you get the gold?
You know? That's what's gonna happen. If you invite robots into your home, they're gonna be spy machines unless they're, you know, disconnected from the cloud, which is not the way they will be sold.
Speaker 0: Right. I mean, Alexa devices. Right? I mean, literally, it's like the ultimate, you know, backdoor CIA tool that's been just millions of Americans just, like, allowed it to flow right into their houses. And then, of course, I think, you know, the Ring doorbell, right, was then purchased by Amazon as well.
So that's now part of the the Amazon network.
Speaker 1: Yeah. And, on top of that, you know, Windows, in in my view, based on my research, and I I I have a technical background. I'm a developer. Windows appears to be increasingly just spyware where it it's it's seems to be keylogging. They have a feature that they announced that would be rolled out where it takes a screenshot of your screen every few seconds so that you can have AI go back and undo things or remember what you were doing or organize your projects.
Well, I don't know about you, but I don't want Microsoft Corporation watching my screens all the time. You know, I don't want them listening to monitoring my keystrokes if I'm typing in a password to a banking website or something like that. But that's what's increasingly happening, And all of that has backdoors to the NSA. So, if your audience wants to maintain their privacy, you have to go to more and more well informed measures like using de googled phones or using Linux operating systems and things like that.
Speaker 2: If it comes increasingly arduous to do, and I just feel really sad that Edward Snowden, you know, created this wave of allowing us to know what the government was doing. We had this sort of cursory response from the Obama administration where they introduced the Freedom Act and ended bulk collection. But it's just a reach. They're doing it a different way. So it's still happening and if if not worse.
So what was it all for?
Speaker 1: Well, concentration of power in the hands of the regime, whatever whatever regime happens to be in power. As you know, it's all the same uniparty, and they are just highly focused on maintaining their power. That's also why and I I understand this may be controversial, but I've seen documents from the treasury that talk about how reducing the lifespan of Americans will save the treasury over $11,000,000,000,000 over the coming years because of not having to pay out Social Security and other benefits. So we actually the the more people that get on government benefits, whether it's disability or pensions or Medicare, they become a an accounting liability to the system that then sees, oh, how do we reduce our liabilities so that we can print more money for war and still maintain the currency? And their answer eventually is get people to die off.
Well, how do we do that? Hey. Start a war. Starve everybody. Make make food expensive.
I mean, it's actually it's not a conspiracy. It's accounting. It's accounting at this point. That's what's happening.
Speaker 0: Yeah. Let's just talk about that Israel Israeli piece of this. Again, as you mentioned, Obama or we you mentioned Obama and the the this was made during the Obama administration. This deal was made during the Obama administration under FISA to hand over surveillance data of Americans to the Israelis. Like, what?
Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, we know who runs the current administration, and it's it's not the American people. We know that they answer to seemingly Netanyahu or maybe there there are a lot of blackmail elements from, you know, the Epstein years that are still in circulation. That's the currency of the system is blackmail. So what we're looking at here is the complete abandonment of the representational constitutional republic that we were promised and that we are repeatedly promised in every election cycle.
Vote for me. I'll represent you. Vote for me. I'll put America first. That's not happening, and it never will happen until there's some kind of real fundamental reform of how the money flows through our political system.
And that's why I I'm I'm a fan of colonel Douglas MacGregor. I know you are too. And I think his thinking along these lines is very important, and he's got some good ideas about reform. And I think you're gonna have some interesting interesting and maybe positive things happening ahead, I mean, after this current collapse.
Speaker 0: Well, yeah, I think you well, inevitably, something has to give here because we are in an empire that is collapsing in real time. I mean, $39,000,000,000,000 in debt is unsustainable. And, of course, you saw the new GDP numbers that came out, and you see what's happening right now. The markets are kind of excited about a lot of different things, but underlying massive fault cracks right now seems to, seems similar to right before the Roman Empire collapsed. I mean, it's hard to disagree with that.
Speaker 1: Decentralizing from the control grid is the number one survival method right now. So decentralized out of the banking system if you can, decentralized away from the medical system to the extent you can, decentralized from public education if you can home school, and also decentralized from the energy grid as much as you can. So, you know, home power actually, solar is making a comeback. If you have solar power and a battery system and an EV, then you don't need petroleum to have transportation. I mean, Trump has become the greatest EV salesperson in history, actually,
Speaker 0: because Who would have thought that? Everyone would say, we're gonna go back to gas guzzling cars. We're gonna, you know, get six miles to the gallon. And then suddenly now as this oil shock hits and people are really paying attention to how they can protect their families, and you have all these homesteaders. I I I you know, just go out.
I don't I don't leave the house very much. But when I do, and I occasionally see some redacted viewers, a gentleman came up to me just recently, and he's a homesteader. And he said, yeah, I've got solar panels set up. I've got chickens set up, you know, all of it for my house. And, he's like, you know, I know they love to vilify solar.
He's like, no. My homestead runs on solar. Mean, I look at congressman Massey. It's like being able to protect yourself right now against these people, these globalists.
Speaker 1: Yeah. We we really have to learn to be more self reliant and build local communities. Strong local decentralized communities is where all the action is at, especially when it comes to food resilience. So it's not just grow your own food, but also meet your local farmers and visit the farmer coops and the CSAs, the community supported agriculture, and support them financially by purchasing from them. So, you know, look, humanity will make it through this, but not all current humans will survive it.
I think that's an honest assessment of where we are.
Speaker 0: Yeah. I think you're right. Mike Adams, great to see you as always. Where can people find out more of your great work? Because we follow you on x, but there's plunge you you've got your hands in a lot of different baskets.
Speaker 1: Well, thank you. My articles and infographics are at naturalnews.com. My videos each day are at brightvideos.com. And I have free tools for people. Brightlearn.ai is a free site.
53,000 books available to download free. Hundreds of audiobooks, full length. And now we've just launched books in Espanol. So we have hundreds of them translated into Spanish available completely free.
Speaker 0: Wow. Yeah. I love what you're doing there. I I really do. Mike, great to see you.
Thank you so much for joining us as always.
Speaker 1: Thank you so much. Take care.
Speaker 0: Thank you so much for watching Redacted. We'd love for you to subscribe to the channel. It's totally free if you wanna follow us or subscribe. And if we brought you any value at all, please consider sharing this video with a friend or a loved one on social media. Thanks so much, and we'll see you next time.
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💣 Lockdown stocks are spiking. Oil infrastructure is burning in the UAE. Iran claims it hit a US warship. @DanielLDavis1 says this energy crisis will be bigger than 1973 and something big is coming. https://t.co/Ywp3RnqTxd
Video Transcript AI Summary
The discussion opens with breaking news: President Trump announced that thousands of US forces stationed in Germany would be removed, prompting claims that NATO may have taken its last breath. In the same hours, Iran struck multiple targets across the Middle East, including oil infrastructure in the United Arab Emirates, with oil facilities in the UAE reportedly on fire. Iran also claimed US Navy ships were hit by multiple missiles, while CENTCOM denied the strikes occurred, though Iran maintained they did. British coverage through state media reported that a US warship turned back from the Strait of Hormuz and that two missiles hit a US warship near Jask Island after warnings were ignored; this is contested, with independent verification not established at that moment.
Colonel Daniel Davis, host of The Deep Dive with Dan Davis, joins to discuss NATO, the US force presence in Africa, and the Hormuz situation. The NATO piece centers on the move to pull thousands of troops out of Germany, described as an affront to NATO structure and raising questions about whether NATO is effectively finished. Davis notes it followed French Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s remarks that the United States has no strategy, which Trump reacted to with threats to withdraw troops. He explains that pulling out could take six to twelve months due to the logistics of moving equipment and posts, and suggests the Pentagon might prefer redirecting troops eastward to Romania or Poland rather than home to the US, though Davis doubts that would happen. He argues the purpose would be to have Europe bear more responsibility for its own security, but stresses that a coherent plan with allied coordination would be required. He says NATO’s relevance began to fade after the Soviet Union’s disbandment in 1992, with the alliance failing to improve US national security and becoming a drain, and he predicts NATO may be replaced by something else, though the future shape remains unknown. He criticizes a knee-jerk, emotionally driven approach to the issue.
Speaker 3 (Natalie) references Trump’s “Project Freedom,” criticized as potentially Orwellian in branding, and notes Trump’s shift from offering to escort ships through Hormuz to presenting a humanitarian-guiding service. Davis counters that CENTCOM initially stated it would not escort ships due to lacking the capacity, yet later posts suggested some ships and resources were out in support of the operation, and that two American-flagged vessels were claimed to have moved through the Strait of Hormuz (though Iran disputed this). The administration’s mixed messaging, the possibility of staging or false-flag actions, and the reality that 2,000 ships are clustered in the Persian Gulf are highlighted. There is concern that Iran might be provoked into attacking ships to justify further military responses, potentially escalating tensions and oil disruptions.
The conversation then returns to the broader implications: the oil infrastructure attacks, the uncertain status of vessel movements through the Strait of Hormuz, and the risk that escalation could push global oil prices higher, with projections of spikes to $150–$175 per barrel or higher if the conflict intensifies. Davis notes that the situation could trigger broader economic pain, including energy lockdowns and disruptions in fertilizer, farming, and related supply chains, unless a diplomatic solution is found, which he implies is preferable to more military action.
Finally, the discussion turns to Operation African Lion, where two US soldiers are missing and a search-and-rescue operation is underway. Davis questions the purpose and benefit of continued US involvement in Africa, arguing that similar interventions have occurred for years without clear American national interest or clear outcomes, citing Somalia as an ongoing series of airstrikes (61 in 2026 so far) without a lasting solution. He emphasizes that bombing and troop deployments have not solved the fundamental conditions and warns that continued military engagement risks reputational damage and ongoing costs. The segment closes with Davis reiterating concerns about perpetual intervention and the need for reconsidering strategic aims.
The broadcast ends with the hosts inviting viewers to subscribe and share the program.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Well, NATO may have just took its last breath with the announcement by president Trump that thousands of US forces stationed in Germany would be removed. More on that part of the story in a minute. But first, some breaking news to cover. Over the last few hours, Iran struck multiple targets throughout the Middle East, including oil infrastructure in The United Arab Emirates. And of course, this is vital infrastructure to that region and to the world.
And now a lot of it on fire. Different oil infrastructure, here in The UAE on fire. The US Navy also reportedly attacked, by Iranian ships. Iran hit US Navy ships with multiple missile strikes. Now the CENTCOM is saying that that didn't happen, but Iran is saying, yes.
It absolutely did happen. Here is the British news covering it. Watch.
Speaker 1: The state media that a US warship has turned back from the area of the Strait Of Hormuz, And that according to Iran's navy, it's prevented the entry of US warships into the Hormuz area according to state television, going on to add that two missiles hit a US warship near Jask Island after it ignored Iranian warnings. Now this is being reported by the Fars News Agency. That's state media in Iran. I cannot, at this moment, independently verify that for you. So this what we're hearing from the Iranian.
Speaker 0: On their side saying that this didn't happen, but the Iranian is saying it did. So we're at this sort of impasse now. But, things are deteriorating, it seems, quickly. And Iran says, look, we threatened you. If you try to move through the Strait Of Hormuz, we will attack you.
And that's by all assumptions, that's exactly what happened. Colonel Daniel Davis is the host of the deep dive with Dan Davis, and he joins us now to break down the NATO piece of this, US forces missing in Africa, and what is happening right now with the Strait Of Hormuz. Colonel, great to see you as always. Welcome back to the show.
Speaker 2: Always a delight to be here, Clayton. Thanks for having me back.
Speaker 0: Our pleasure as always. I think we maybe should start with the NATO piece of this. As we've been covering here for a couple of years, it seems that NATO has been on its last legs. Now this move seems a straight affront to the NATO structure by moving thousands of forces out of Germany and basically saying you're on your own. What do you make of this latest move?
And is this just the latest sort of death by a thousand cuts for NATO?
Speaker 2: I it it may just be the latest one, death by a thousand cuts. It's just the next one in line, I suppose. And and, of course, it's it came about just like so many other things that the Trump administration does as a knee jerk reaction to something because, Friedrich Metz, the the lead chancellor of Germany, came out and said that United States has no strategy. They don't know what they're doing in the Iran war just like they didn't in Afghanistan and the Iraq wars. And, what a shock.
Trump didn't like that very much. And so I I think within a day, he, you know, first of all said, well, he's dumb and whatever. But then he said, you know, we're thinking about taking some troops out. And then that seemed to pick up some some speed. Then And we said, you know, actually, we're thinking about maybe taking 5,000 troops out now.
Now, we'll see if that materializes. I've heard various reports connecting to the Pentagon that it could take anywhere from six to twelve months to actually pull that off anyway. Cause it's a big issue. I actually was part of two separate groups during my six years. I lived in Germany during my active duty days where I helped draw down some posts and it's a long painful period of process just to get the thing shut down anyway, unless you literally just don't care.
You just tell everybody to drive to the exits and leave, but you have to move gear and equipment and that's got to be flown back. It's a very, very time consuming process anyway. There's also request of the Pentagon not to take those troops out of Germany and move them back home, but to move them further east, like into Romania or Poland, possibly even. There's some you know, they would love to have that. They wanna pick up whatever Germany may lose.
But I I doubt that we would do that because I I don't think that the point is to, you know, just spread them somewhere else in Europe, but to to bring them back to The United States. But it it's if this was a coherent process, I'm for it. I I think that we should. I think that we've way outlived the the life of NATO, and it it should come to a reasonable end. And the nations in Europe should be responsible for their own security.
They should pay all of it just like we pay all of our security. Nothing special for them. This is no longer 1949 when they were devastated from the Second World War and you know they didn't have the capacity, needed us and we were all together. Made sense then. I was 100%, obviously I wasn't around then, but looking back I would have been 100% for that because it did make sense.
And we all benefited from it to include us, but not anymore ever since the end of the 1992 when the Soviet Union disbanded and then the Warsaw Pact disbanded. The reason for NATO's existence disbanded, but we couldn't do that. We tried to make it something it wasn't etcetera and that's led to the Russia Ukraine war and moving it closer to their border and all that went together. It was a mess and it never did anything to improve our national security. It was just a net drain.
And so it needs to go away. But the problem is now how do you get that done? And again, if it was done with a coherent plan, that would be fine because they may not like it. But if you do it in coordination and cooperation with allies that we've been with for decades, I think that we have a responsibility to do it the right way. But it doesn't look like we are.
It looks like we're going to do it just like so many other things in the Trump administration, emotional driven, and then forget about the consequences and just move out of it. But I think to your bigger question, is NATO done? I I think it is done. And I think it's gonna be replaced by something else, and nobody knows what that's gonna be yet, but they're gonna have to figure it out.
Speaker 3: Now, you're talking about emotionally driven. Over the weekend, President Trump announced what he's now calling Project Freedom. You think you would just stay away from a name like that because it signals Orwellian malintent. But what he's saying is, hey, we can now it's like a humanitarian effort to guide stuck ships through. Before he said we would sort of rhino them through, like, we're the best, we're the greatest, we're gonna guide you through.
When no one took us up on that, he's like, well, then, actually, it's just like an a humanitarian guiding service that we're offering. It's the same effing thing. What how are we supposed to like, is there any difference? He's still trying to do the same thing, just rebranding.
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, I tell you, Natalie, it's just it's even more weird than that because you you had CENTCOM actually put out, there's a lot of contradictory information. First of all, they're saying, well, we're we're not escorting anything through there. Let's be clear on that. We don't have the ships for that. But then they separately put out this post a on X where they said in support of this operation, we have, I forget the number of ships that they have out there.
There's like a 100 aircraft, a bunch of other things that they said. Some of the I can't remember the third category. All this is in support of president's move there to get ships through, etcetera. And then we then we wanna go and we wanna brag and say that we got two American flagged vessels out. So it wasn't international.
There were two. That's disputed too because we claim two American flagged vessels came out. The Iranian side says no vessels came out. I have maybe it's been out there. I haven't seen in the last couple of hours but earlier today when I looked, I didn't see any independent confirmation like where people can track, you know, a ship's tracker as it goes through.
Maybe it's true, I don't know. But then also, Sydcom said that separately or in different order that two American warships went through the Strait Of Hormuz and then allegedly backed out of it and were now in the Arabian Gulf. But then that they didn't escort these tankers through. So, it's not clear what happened. But no matter what you want to say.
Look, there were two ships that allegedly went through. There's about 2,000 of those ships of various kinds that are stuck inside the Persian Gulf. So if you got two out, great. Those are two American flags. They're not anybody else's.
And there was at least one South Korean tanker that was attacked in a report of one other by Iran because they tried to get out without their permission demonstrating that the strait is still closed and that it is still in the control of the Iranian side. So one has to wonder, and this was by Barak Ravine in Axios early this morning, that there are those in the administration that are saying, We just want to set up something so that Iran will then attack these ships and then we can say, See they did it. They were the ones who broke it now we have to go and respond. That's in the news today. That's not any sources that I have.
That's just published in Axios. So, you have to look at what's actually happened and not just what's said because that's the one thing that might make some sense. We'll see what happens later on, though.
Speaker 0: Yeah. Using it as sort of a false flag. You know, here we go. See, we told you these ships are gonna be, gonna be attacked.
Speaker 2: Is is it a false flag when you when you pick the flag up and go, here's the flag I'm gonna put. It's false.
Speaker 0: Right. You know what I mean?
Speaker 2: It's really bad the way we're doing it, but I get your point.
Speaker 0: Also, the oil infrastructure, you know, Iran well, we have this and talk about CENTCOM, this back and forth today with with CENTCOM saying, They would you know, US Navy ship destroyer, whatever, not hit. Iran says, yes, we did hit it. Two two missiles. And they it was forced then to leave as a result and retreat. Of course, in The United States media, you probably won't hear anything about it.
People are sharing all sorts of old videos, fake videos, whatever. So don't fall for those videos that are being shared online about this ship being attacked. One of them, I think, was even from, like, video game footage. So I don't know. It's crazy.
The the lies, the dis you know, the fog of war. Then that and then the attacks on oil infrastructure in The Gulf. I mean, just at a high level, it seems escalating. I thought we were I thought we were getting off of this.
Speaker 2: Yeah. And and the problem is, and going back to that Axios piece that, president Trump is just getting impatient and and that he's he's tired of the situation of no war. Is it a war? Is it a ceasefire? Is it a pause?
What is it? I want it to be solved. So he's trying apparently some kind of forcing mechanism, at least according to the reporting. He initially actually wanted the Navy to physically escort people through there, but man hopefully and I presume it in the article didn't address this, but presumably either the Navy said that's not going to work sir. Then we're going to get our ships hit and we won't be able to defend with with that close range and especially logistically there's 2,000 ships in there.
Are you gonna like send American vessels? Remember the last one that we did there in the Reagan administration. Was in place for nine months and we had more or less something close to double or triple the number of ships available for that. And even that was on selective when we weren't at war with Iran. This time we are, so it's radically different.
But you don't have a fraction of the number of ships to do that. And that wouldn't work anyway because that's not how the Gulf is closed. And you just it would just be inevitable until we finally got them hit. So that's not a solution. The only thing that is for is whether it's false flag or stupidity.
That's how you get things escalated because at some point you're gonna put a ship in there and it's gonna get hit. And then of course we have to respond then and we are not going to let a warship get hit and do nothing. Again, it just really looks like that somebody is hoping that happens so that they can go back to fighting so that they can prove there is no military solution then either. All that's gonna do is get more oil infrastructure burned up throughout the region. It's gonna drive oil two fifty or higher probably because now you're physically taking, the potential for even making more, oil back on the international market, pushing it back into 2027 probably in a best case scenario because it'll take forever to get a lot of this stuff rebuilt.
And right now, we're in a position to where within weeks we could be seeing $151,175 dollars oil and you can't hide that with a paper price anymore because of the problems that are already built in and naturally you can get the fertilizer, the food production, the helium, aluminum, all kinds of stuff already. So we have got, we are really under the gun. We have a very short period of time to get this fixed and off the table very soon, or the price is gonna be more than just a recession, but maybe a depression. Wow.
Speaker 3: I wanna ask you about Operation African Lion because there are two missing soldiers, search and rescue underway. It just feels like one of those times when you're resisting something and you keep going towards it, like there's continuous egg on the face of The US Military. What do you make of this and what it costs us reputationally?
Speaker 2: Listen. I I mean, I've been asking this for years even when I was on active duty. Why are we in Africa Right. At all? Why do we have and and so many things have happened bad.
You know, we've had troops that have been killed there before. On whose benefit are we there for? How is this an American national interest? And and these kinds of things keep periodically happening because all you can have when you get into the hornet's nest is you're gonna get stung periodically. That's just how it works.
And I just for the life of me don't understand why we want to keep going in there. I mean, we sent, you know, the president Trump fired some missiles into Nigeria a few months back, you know, because allegedly there was some, you know, attacks on some Christian churches there. That was legit, there was. But what was the point of it? What you taking to because that was basically something close to a civil war in Nigeria.
There are two big warring factions there. There has been a lot of Christians that were attacking the Muslim groups, and Muslim groups that were attacking the Christian groups. It was more cultural than it was even religion, they just happened to be in those religions. But they were definitely going after each one of them. And now that we went in and they threw a few cruise missiles in, and then what?
What did that solve? Did that solve the war itself? Did that solve any of the fundamentals that were involved with it? Or it is just kind of like, well that's what I did today and now I'm going to move on because I got bored and I went off over here. I mean that's kind of how President Trump operates.
And then we sent some troops in after that to do what was never fully explained. And this is just endemic across the whole African continent is that we keep doing stuff like this in just little bits and pieces. And unfortunately this is not just Trump, this is all the administrations going back a long way. I think Bush did some, Obama did some, certainly Biden did. They they just we just have to have our fingers everywhere towards no evident benefit to our country or even to our allies for that matter.
Speaker 3: Right. It it's it's not just a little bit here, little bit there. In Somalia, we've launched our sixty first airstrike. Anti war is keeping track of that and 61 airstrikes in Somalia since calendar year 2026. And we're in May.
What are we accomplishing? What is that doing? That
Speaker 2: is insane. Mean, we this goes back to the Clinton administration for crying out loud. Nothing has ever been solved here. What do we think is gonna get solved this time? I I mean, this this is just part of the sick mind.
I'm gonna just gonna call it what it is, of many people. This is not just a ding on Trump because this predates him by a large measure, but it's those in the Pentagon and whoever is calling the shots here, and I don't even know for sure, both policymakers and and military leaders, they just have this obsession to doing something because we can. And and you can see, I mean, I I had not seen those numbers for Somalia this year. I've been obviously focused on all these the bigger wars here. And I have to admit that shocks me.
I did not know it was that many because it's been so many years of just languishing doing nothing. And I have argued in the past about why are we in Somalia at all? Because all you do is you can hit targets. It's like Afghanistan. All the time that I was in Afghanistan and was studying it in the years in between my two combat deployments, it was evident that you could have a combat operation every other day and you could kill a quote bad guy.
You could find somebody to consider a bad guy and you could have a tactical operation and we have guys on the ground who are really good at what they do and they can take out this target. They can kill that person. They can blow this thing up. And what? What did it accomplish?
Nothing except servicing a target and keeping alive the flow of needing more money and more deployments and of course all these guys, Natalie, they always do this. It just drives me crazy. All these like leaders, then they'll publish all this stuff about, look at all this thing we accomplished. We attacked all this list of things and we killed all these bad people and then they'll show some pictures, some happy pictures of the Somalia side whose side we are taking. And we are doing all this great stuff and they have improved all this.
It's all fiction. It just all it doesn't mean anything. Either the good stuff or the bad stuff because nothing changes. And it is not going to because you can't solve those problems with bombs and missiles and deployed ground troops. All you can do is periodically get some killed and have some other things that happen.
Who knows what has happened to these current two you are talking about? But it's just the next two in line, and it'll continue happening until we withdraw those troops and let the people of Somalia figure it out without our keeping trying to keep a finger on the scale.
Speaker 0: It's a world going mad. This is what I feel right now. You know, the discussion right now about energy lockdowns, number of experts coming forward saying, we were heading there. We're heading for energy lockdowns, colonel. And it's like, I feel like, you know, you have Scott Benson on TV just a few minutes ago saying, you know, short term pain right now for everything that we're dealing with.
Gas prices will continue to go up. It's it's, you know, you and you're starting to see some of these lockdown stocks. This is concerning to me. Things like Zoom starting to turn a corner in a big way. And all these investors are like flooding into some of these lockdown stocks.
Like I'm just watching the money flowing right now, and it's terrifying. It's terrifying. $1,500,000,000,000 for a military budget scattered around the world right now. Lockdown stocks are starting to pop back. I don't know.
I just you know, I don't wanna go with emotion, but I just feel like something something big is coming, and it's really
Speaker 2: going to tell This is not a conspiracy. I mean, you just just look at the fundamentals, the economic fundamentals, energy fundamentals. I mean I mean, unlike like the COVID time where you had government mandates and this and that, maybe we'll get there some of this, but, know, this this won't even be like that. You don't even hardly have to have any of those. If there's not fuel, you're not driving anywhere.
If if there's not enough diesel, you're not gonna be able to do sufficient amounts of farming. If there's not the fertilizer, you're not gonna be able to grow sufficient amount of food and we're going to be in a real world of hurt. And right now, our actions like what looks to me today that we may have lift the fuse back and I mean, who knows as soon as tonight, tomorrow night, later this week, we could be back into the hot phase of this, which is going guarantee this energy is gonna this energy crisis will extend into next year. And this is gonna be the biggest one in our history, bigger than the 1970, 1973, strikes that have happened, because they were short term and they were relatively small percentage of the oil that was off the market. We're already beyond that.
And when you have these alleged smart people like Scott Besson saying this, he's not a dumb man. So that that almost guarantees he's lying because he can't be can't be this stupid that he believes what he said, that this is just a short term and everything is going to turn around. Anyone with any kind of knowledge about the system understands that that's not true, that it's already baked into real trouble right now and it should send off all the alarm bells to do whatever you have to do to get this stupid war of choice off the table now to limit the damage, but instead it looks like they're ready to ramp up to additional damage, which is gonna make the pain later this fall, even into the summer. But man, when you start getting into the fall and into the winter, into first part of next year, I mean, we're gonna be in a real world of hurt here. And there's no obvious answers to how do you how do you mitigate this further absent finding a diplomatic solution which we'll hate, but is much better than trying one more time with military which will bake in and and physically destroy infrastructure making it take now we're in the years with an s of trying to get out of this, and it's it's gonna be a problem.
Speaker 0: Yeah. I think lit the fuse is the right phrase to be sure. Colonel Davis, always great to see you. Hosted the deep dive. Check him out, of course, on YouTube, on X, and follow him all places.
We love we love having the colonel on. Thank you so much. Great to see you, Dan.
Speaker 2: Always my pleasure. Thanks, you guys.
Speaker 0: Thank you so much for watching Redacted. We'd love for you to subscribe to the channel. It's totally free if you wanna follow us or subscribe. And if we brought you any value at all, please consider sharing this video with a friend or a loved one on social media. Thanks so much, and we'll see you next time.
@HealthRanger - HealthRanger
A snippet of my recent segment with Daniel Davis: The coming famine and its global impact... https://t.co/I4Kmi6fdoC
Video Transcript AI Summary
Speaker 1 argues that the outcome mentioned in the headline is already baked in due to the lack of energy and fertilizer coming out of the Strait of Hormuz. He notes we are in week nine of the conflict, and there doesn’t appear to be a solution in sight. If the conflict lasts a few more months, it becomes catastrophic on a global scale. The countries most impacted will not be the United States but nations that already have tens of millions on the edge of famine, including Sudan and Yemen. Egypt is close to that category, and India and Bangladesh will also have a lot of difficulty.
He explains that Bangladesh has its own nitrogen production plants but relies on imported natural gas to produce nitrogen. Two of Qatar Energy’s 14 natural gas trains, which are production pipelines, are out of commission for three to five years, taking 17% of Qatar Energy’s gas offline. The Haber-Bosch chemical process, which turns gas into ammonia and then into urea and other nitrogenous fertilizers, underpins this. Therefore, the world is already going to face starvation of millions in 2027, and that number could grow to tens of millions or even hundreds of millions if the Strait of Hormuz is not open soon.
Speaker 0 asks for a global explanation of how the food system works and why countries depend on inputs from abroad. Speaker 1 responds that about 8,000,000,000 people globally, or roughly 4,000,000,000 or more, live today because of the Haber-Bosch process that turns hydrocarbons into ammonia and then nitrogenous fertilizers. If the supply chain is lost, and while not all natural gas comes from the Strait of Hormuz, a large amount—25% or more—comes from there for fertilizer production. The destruction of Nord Stream pipelines affected BASF (BASF is a German company) which produced nitrogenous fertilizers from Russian gas, and that cut off years ago. China and Russia have now halted all exports of fertilizers, including to India, which asked China for emergency fertilizer and was told that China needs it for its own populations. The bottom line is that not only is the natural gas feedstock being cut off that would normally feed 4,000,000,000 of the 8,000,000,000 on the planet, but countries are becoming more nationalized with their supplies, leaving vulnerable countries like Bangladesh, Thailand, and India hanging in the wind.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: How serious is that? Because Americans think, okay. That can happen in in Africa. I mean, there's those poor people down there. It's just awful.
But it certainly didn't happen in America. That's never gonna happen in the Western world because, I don't know, we're too modern or something. That's just something that didn't happen here. Is that a safe bet?
Speaker 1: Not any longer. We're we're already in a very dire situation, and that outcome that I mentioned in that headline is already baked in based on the the the lack of energy and fertilizer coming out of the Strait Of Hormuz. What week are we in now? Like, week nine or something like that of of this conflict? The thing is it doesn't look like there's a solution in sight.
You know, you covered this extensively with you and your guests. If this goes on much longer, that is a few more months, then then it becomes rather catastrophic on a global scale. But I I wanna be clear. The the countries that will be most impacted by this are not The United States. They are countries that already have tens of millions of people who are marginally on the edge of famine and starvation even in a good year.
And those include countries like Sudan and even Yemen. Egypt is not quite as severe, but it's in it's close to that category. India will have a lot of difficulty here for a number of reasons. Bangladesh, also will will be on the edge of this. And think about this.
Countries like Bangladesh, they have their own nitrogen production plants there. But in order to produce nitrogen, they have to rely on imported natural gas. And as you have covered extensively, Daniel, Qatar Energy, you know, two of the 14 natural gas trains, they call them, which are really just production pipelines. Two of the 14 are out of commission for three to five years, and that has taken 17% of Qatar Energy's gas offline. And it's the Haber Bosch chemical process that turns gas into, ammonia, which becomes urea and other nitrogenous fertilizers.
So to to answer your question, so sorry to take so long, but, the world is already right now going to face starvation of millions in 2027, and that number could grow to tens of millions or even hundreds of millions if the Strait Of Hormuz is not open soon.
Speaker 0: And can I can I ask you if you can just kind of from a a global perspective, if you could just kinda explain how the global food system works such that all these different countries are so dependent on something comes out of here as opposed to whatever them they'll be able to make it in their in their own country here? Is this one of those supply chain issues like we have with some, you know, electronics or something like that that's also similar in the food production world?
Speaker 1: Yes. Yes. So let's let's say our current population globally is 8,000,000,000 people. We'll we'll just use that as easy number. About 4,000,000,000 or more of those people only are living today because of the Haber Bosch process that I just mentioned, and and which turns hydrocarbons into initially ammonia and then nitrogenous fertilizers.
So if we lose that supply chain, which we haven't lost entirely, and I I wanna be clear that not all the world's natural gas comes out of the Strait Of Hormuz, but it's a large number. It's 25%, maybe even more, that comes out of the Strait. So that means that, you know, we're losing one quarter of the world's natural gas feedstock input for fertilizer production. That's huge. And when you also consider that the destruction of the Nord Stream pipelines, remember, under Biden, you covered that, affecting a company called BASIF out of Germany, BASF, which also produced nitrogenous fertilizers from Russian gas.
That was cut off years ago. On top of that, both China and Russia have now halted all exports of fertilizers, including to countries that desperately need that fertilizer input such as India. So when India asked China for emergency fertilizer, China said, sorry. We need it for our own populations and our own farming. So the bottom line, Daniel, is that not only is the natural gas feedstock being cut off that normally would feed 4,000,000,000 out of the 8,000,000,000 on planet Earth, but also then countries are becoming more nationalized with the supplies that they have for their own protection.
That's leaving the more vulnerable countries like Bangladesh and Thailand and India, really hanging in the wind.
Speaker 0: Bright videos.
@RedactedNews - Redacted
Lockdown stocks are spiking. Oil infrastructure is burning in the UAE. Iran claims it hit a US warship. @DanielLDavis1 says this energy crisis will be bigger than 1973, and something big is coming. He can feel it too. https://t.co/08PHrk36qb
Video Transcript AI Summary
NATO may have just took its last breath with the announcement by president Trump that thousands of US forces stationed in Germany would be removed. More on that part of the story in a minute. But first, some breaking news to cover. Over the last few hours, Iran struck multiple targets throughout the Middle East, including oil infrastructure in The United Arab Emirates. And of course, this is vital infrastructure to that region and to the world, and now a lot of it on fire.
Different oil infrastructure here in The UAE on fire. The US Navy also reportedly attacked, by Iranian ships. Iran hit US Navy ships with multiple missile strikes. CENTCOM is saying that that didn't happen, but Iran is saying, yes, it absolutely did happen. Here is the British news covering it. Watch.
State media that a US warship has turned back from the area of the Strait Of Hormuz, and that according to Iran's navy, it's prevented the entry of US warships into the Hormuz area according to state television. Going on to add that two missiles hit a US warship near Jask Island Island after it ignored Iranian warnings. Now this is being reported by the Fars News Agency. That's state media in Iran. I cannot, at this moment, independently verify that for you. So this what we're hearing from the Iranian.
On their side saying that this didn't happen, but the Iranian is saying it did. So we're at this sort of end pass now. But things are deteriorating, it seems, quickly. And Iran says, look, we threatened you. If you try to move through the Strait Of Hormuz, we will attack you. And that's by all assumptions, that's exactly what happened. Colonel Daniel Davis is the host of the deep dive with Dan Davis, and he joins us now to break down the NATO piece of this, US forces missing in Africa, and what is happening route right now with the Strait Of Hormuz. Colonel, great to see you as always. Welcome back to the show. Our pleasure as always.
I think we maybe should start with the NATO piece of this. As we've been covering here for a couple of years, it seems that NATO has been on its last legs. Now this move seems a straight affront to the NATO structure by moving thousands of forces out of Germany and basically saying you're on your own. What do you make of this latest move? And is this just the latest sort of death by a thousand cuts for NATO?
I it it may just be the latest one, death by a thousand cuts. It's just the next one in line, I suppose. And and, of course, it's it came about like so many other things that the Trump administration does as a knee jerk reaction to something because Friedrich Metz, the lead chancellor of Germany, came out and said that United States has no strategy. They don't know what they're doing in the Iran war just like they didn't in Afghanistan and the Iraq wars. And, what a shock.
Trump didn't like that very much. And so I I think within a day, he, you know, first of all said, oh, well, he's dumb and whatever. But then he said, you know, we're thinking about taking some troops out. And then that seemed to pick up some some speed. And then we said, know, actually, we're thinking about maybe taking 5,000 troops out now.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: NATO may have just took its last breath with the announcement by president Trump that thousands of US forces stationed in Germany would be removed. More on that part of the story in a minute. But first, some breaking news to cover. Over the last few hours, Iran struck multiple targets throughout the Middle East, including oil infrastructure in The United Arab Emirates. And of course, this is vital infrastructure to that region and to the world, and now a lot of it on fire.
Different oil infrastructure here in The UAE on fire. The US Navy also reportedly attacked, by Iranian ships. Iran hit US Navy ships with multiple missile strikes. Now, the CENTCOM is saying that that didn't happen, but Iran is saying, yes, it absolutely did happen. Here is the British news covering it.
Watch.
Speaker 1: State media that a US warship has turned back from the area of the Strait Of Hormuz, and that according to Iran's navy, it's prevented the entry of US warships into the Hormuz area according to state television. Going on to add that two missiles hit a US warship near Jask Island Island after it ignored Iranian warnings. Now this is being reported by the Fars News Agency. That's state media in Iran. I cannot, at this moment, independently verify that for you.
So this what we're hearing from the Iranian.
Speaker 0: On their side saying that this didn't happen, but the Iranian is saying it did. So we're at this sort of end pass now. But things are deteriorating, it seems, quickly. And Iran says, look, we threatened you. If you try to move through the Strait Of Hormuz, we will attack you.
And that's by all assumptions, that's exactly what happened. Colonel Daniel Davis is the host of the deep dive with Dan Davis, and he joins us now to break down the NATO piece of this, US forces missing in Africa, and what is happening route right now with the Strait Of Hormuz. Colonel, great to see you as always. Welcome back to the show. Our pleasure as always.
I think we maybe should start with the NATO piece of this. As we've been covering here for a couple of years, it seems that NATO has been on its last legs. Now this move seems a straight affront to the NATO structure by moving thousands of forces out of Germany and basically saying you're on your own. What do you make of this latest move? And is this just the latest sort of death by a thousand cuts for NATO?
Speaker 2: I it it may just be the latest one, death by a thousand cuts. It's just the next one in line, I suppose. And and, of course, it's it came about like so many other things that the Trump administration does as a knee jerk reaction to something because Friedrich Metz, the lead chancellor of Germany, came out and said that United States has no strategy. They don't know what they're doing in the Iran war just like they didn't in Afghanistan and the Iraq wars. And, what a shock.
Trump didn't like that very much. And so I I think within a day, he, you know, first of all said, oh, well, he's dumb and whatever. But then he said, you know, we're thinking about taking some troops out. And then that seemed to pick up some some speed. And then we said, know, actually, we're thinking about maybe taking 5,000 troops out now.
@HealthRanger - HealthRanger
"Shadow Food" and the man-made catastrophe of incoming mass famine that's getting worse by the day... https://t.co/xg1xA65mj9
Video Transcript AI Summary
Speaker 1 says our food today is largely artificial, what he calls shadow food. Soils are largely depleted for many generations, and without adding fertilizers (N, P, and K), crops do not produce hardly at all. There is a nonlinear response: if you reduce fertilizer by 10% on a high-fertilizer crop like corn, you get far more than a 10% reduction in yield—perhaps a 30% reduction for certain crops. This is why American farmers are switching from corn to soy, a legume that doesn’t need as much fertilizer. This shift will affect dietary habits as well, including more soy lattes and soybeans/tofu. He notes the bottom line: our food depends on a supply chain that comes out of the Persian Gulf, and few people realized that until recently.
Speaker 0 asks whether the catastrophe is due to man-made causes (the war and its consequences) or a system that is too fragile.
Speaker 1 responds: both. Population growth is strongly tied to low-cost food production and abundance. For a long time, the United States and other countries encouraged populations to eat more and have more children, reflecting the original USDA food guidance years ago. That era served post-World War II needs because malnutrition and stillbirths were higher then. Today, the problem is Americans overeating but undernourished—getting too many calories but not enough nutrition—because food has been transformed into shadow food. It looks like a head of lettuce but lacks the nutrition of wild lettuce or what US soils used to produce with trace minerals like selenium, zinc, and copper. Food results from turning hydrocarbons into something you can eat: gas makes fertilizer; oil powers tractors and transport to grocery stores. Cheap energy yields cheap food; scarce energy yields scarce food. It will hit some areas first and more severely than others. It won’t be as severe in the United States as elsewhere. US consumers’ ability to handle economic pain is limited because many families are living paycheck to paycheck, without a large savings cushion, unlike cultures like Japan that can weather famines more easily.
Speaker 0 ends with “Bright videos.”
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Let's go ahead and jump into the article here because the the very opening line here kinda has my attention. Not only is the first category a madman catastrophe, but then you said what I'm about to tell you is not a prediction. It's a warning based on hard evidence. Can you can you distinguish the difference between those two things?
Speaker 1: Yes. And really, that that that's a great segue from what we were just talking about is that our food today is largely artificial. That is, I call it shadow food, actually. You know, I I've been a pretty vocal critic of a lot of the agricultural practices of our modern world. And the truth is that our soils are largely depleted.
They they have been for, you know, many generations. And and without the addition of these fertilizers, n, p, and k, going into the soils, crops just simply do not produce hardly at all. And it's a it's a nonlinear response. What I mean by that is if you reduce fertilizer by 10% on a typical crop, let's say a high fertilizer hungry crop like corn, you get far more than a 10% reduction in the crop yield. So a 10% drop can result in a 30% reduction on certain types of crops.
This is why American farmers are switching right now from corn to things like soy, which is a legume that doesn't need nearly as much fertilizer. So so, Daniel, we're all about to get, you know, extra soy lattes and and soybeans and soy tofu instead of corn because of this fertilizer shortage. This is gonna be a shift that will affect even people's dietary habits as well. But but, anyway, the bottom line is our food depends on a supply chain that comes out of the Persian Gulf, and few people actually realized that until just recently.
Speaker 0: So, continuing on down there, about how it's a man made catastrophe. Is is the is the catastrophe that you're talking about, the man made part, just because of the war we started and all the consequences, or did we build a system that was too fragile?
Speaker 1: Well, yeah, both, I would say. Yeah. Remember that population growth is strongly tied to low cost of food production and, of course, food abundance. So for a long time, The United States Of America and other countries really wanted to encourage their populations to eat as much as possible, have more children, grow the population. This was where the original food guide pyramid came from, the USDA, decades ago.
It was all about really, hey, everybody, eat more food, which actually served America's purpose in the post World War two era because back then, a lot of Americans were malnourished, and there were a lot more stillbirths and things like that resulting from malnutrition. Of course, we have the opposite problem today where we have Americans overeating but undernourished, meaning they're getting too many calories but not enough actual nutrition. That's because the food has been transformed into what I mentioned earlier. I call it shadow food where, yeah, you know, it looks like a head of lettuce, but it doesn't have the same nutrition as the as like wild lettuce or what US soils used to produce with the trace minerals like selenium and zinc and copper and things like that that would be in the food supply. It's also mentioned, you know, food is the result of turning hydrocarbons into something you can eat.
Think about that. So you can take gas, make fertilizer. Fertilizer makes food. You can take oil. Oil powers the tractors.
It powers the transport, trucks that bring food to the grocery store. Cheap energy results in cheap food. Scarce energy results in scarce food. And then it's just a question of which areas will be hit by the scarcity first and how severe will it be. And it won't be as severe in The United States as it will be elsewhere around the world.
There's no question about that. But the ability of US consumers to handle economic pain is pretty shallow because so many American families are just living on the edge right now paycheck to paycheck. They don't have as much of a buffer of savings as cultures like, let's say, Japan. You know, a savings intensive type of culture. They can make it through famines more easily or food scarcity more easily than can typical American consumers.
Speaker 0: Bright videos.
@HealthRanger - HealthRanger
Get ready for "dumpster"-quality food at retail later this year as food supplies become increasingly strained due to shortages, price hikes and transportation challenges. Most of this stems from the U.S. war on Iran and the continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz. https://t.co/BkESRuCFBN
Video Transcript AI Summary
Mike Adams discusses how escalating food costs and scarcity, driven by the war in the Middle East and resulting shortages of natural gas and fertilizer, will affect the quality and availability of food through 2026 and 2027. He asserts that food quality will drop, options in grocery stores will narrow, and fresh produce may appear damaged or of lower quality. He emphasizes the importance of food testing, noting that his lab tests for heavy metals, glyphosate, atrazine, microbiology, and now dioxin contamination, which has proven to be a difficult area to test.
Adams shares an early warning example from his own operations: about 20 pallets of a common grain from a trusted supplier arrived with gravel-like material mixed into the grain. The supplier investigated and paid for the pallets to be returned. He explains that this may reflect farming and harvesting issues, where equipment settings and harvest methods can cause non-food materials to contaminate crops. Different machine heights and cleaning steps can allow rocks or other debris to remain in the grain, potentially leading to significant waste (around 60,000 pounds in this case) and higher cleaning costs. He cautions that this trend could become more common as farmers try to maximize harvests amid lower yields and higher costs due to fertilizer shortages.
Adams suggests that adulteration or contamination could also surface in other ways: a video alleging wood chips in a popular brand’s bread, possibly from grains or seeds that weren’t fully ground or processed. He urges listeners to be vigilant for contaminants like pebbles, rocks, wood chips, metal fragments, or other unusual inclusions in foods, implying that supply chains may be cutting corners to maintain throughput and margins under strain from global conditions. He notes that standards for acceptable produce and processed foods may be lowered in response to scarcity and rising prices, with examples from general industry practice (e.g., discarding rotten fruit for various uses) suggesting that similar shifts could occur across apples, avocados, potatoes, and other staples, potentially increasing the amount of substandard items reaching shelves.
Adams warns of broader societal responses to scarcity, including dumpster diving becoming more common as power outages and wasted food escalate. He recalls episodes where large retailers’ freezers failed, leading to mass disposal of still-edible items, and notes that people may increasingly rely on discarded food during disruptions or outages. He also foresees shifts in what people will consider acceptable fare in urban areas, predicting the emergence of unconventional foods—such as pigeon stew, grasshoppers, crickets, or other alternative proteins—as a response to hunger and scarcity. He stresses the importance of growing local food, supporting farmers, and becoming more self-reliant, recommending gardening and seed kits and storable foods as strategies to weather upcoming hard times.
The transcript ends with Adams thanking supporters and praying for safety and abundance, emphasizing self-reliance and local food production as core responses to the anticipated shortages.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: So as the food supply becomes increasingly expensive and scarcity kicks in, and I'm talking about in the 2026 and throughout 2027. And, you know, this all stems from the war in The Middle East, and it stems from the lack of natural gas and the lack of fertilizer, etcetera. All those exports being stalled out, this will have long term ramifications. But as this happens, what I'm expecting to see as a food scientist and as someone who runs a food laboratory, and I have for over a decade, I'm expecting to see a real drop in the quality of the food that is made available for purchase. In essence, many food providers will be scraping the bottom of the barrel, so to speak.
I'm expecting to see fewer options in the grocery stores and the options that you do see will be more narrow. You know, you won't have the selection that you used to have. You won't have the quality. More and more, the fresh produce might look like it's been beaten up or run over by a dump truck at the parking lot before they put it on the shelves, things like that. This is why food testing is so critical.
And, of course, you know, I I run a food science lab, and we do all kinds of testing of food and raw materials for our own supplements and things like that. We test for heavy metals and glyphosate. We test atrazine. We test for microbiology. We test now for dioxin contamination.
That's a whole difficult area to test for. Believe me, took us more than two years to get that online. But I'm already starting to see some early warning signs. I mentioned this the other day. We had ordered it was like 20 pallets of a of a common food staple, a common grain.
And when and and this is from a trusted supplier. And when we received the shipment and we began opening up the there's like 50 pound bags for our testing, We immediately noticed, and, you know, this was an immediate red flag, we noticed that there was what appeared to be gravel, like small gravel mixed in with the grain. And we sounded the alarm on that. We talked to the supplier. They were aghast.
They don't know what went wrong. Something obviously went wrong in the packaging or the harvesting, etcetera. And so they were gracious, and they paid for those 20 pallets to be shipped back to them. And, you know, we we sent those back, and they were they were happy to, you know, cover the cost of that because that that's not the way they do business either. And it begs the question, so what could result in this?
And it really comes down to farming practices. So, you know, the companies that we buy from, sometimes they are coops that work with multiple farmers and then they take a shipment from their farmers and then, you know, they would package it and they would ship it you know, put it on pallets and ship it off to customers like us that we turn into finished products. And so clearly, one of their farmers had somehow mixed in I'm not saying it's on purpose, but just because of the way the harvest was done, they got a bunch of gravel in their crop. Now, not blaming the farmers, don't get me wrong, but farming is complex and the machinery, it's it's very tricky. It's hard to keep it all well maintained.
And there are different settings of different kinds of machines based on the crop, whether it's corn or wheat or soy or rice or sorghum or alfalfa or whatever. You know, different settings. And a lot of those settings have to do with the the machine height. And if the machine height is set too low, then it might be picking up some of the dirt or some of the small rocks in the dirt. And then depending on the the harvest, even though it might be filtered through some kind of a sieve that shakes out the the really small loose dirt, if the small if there's rocks in there that are roughly the same size as the grain, those rocks could stay in there even though it's gone through a cleaning cycle.
And I believe that's what happened and that's how we ended up seeing this. But of course, have no concerns, we rejected that crop and the supplier is investigating what happened. But that's a shame because you know, that's like 60,000 pounds of food that can't be used without going through some other cleaning cycle. I'm not even sure what that would be but it's gonna it's gonna be very expensive for whatever process has to happen to clean that again. The reason I'm mentioning this is because I'm concerned we're gonna see a lot more of this.
We're gonna see farmers because of the low crop yields due to a lack of affordable fertilizer because of the war in The Middle East. Farmers may tend to get more aggressive on the harvesting settings. Again, not not talking bad about farmers. I honor farmers. Farming is a noble career and it's also a career that barely pays anything at the end of the day.
So you you can't blame farmers for trying to maximize a harvest. But if you miscalculate, you can end up with a lot of non food items in in your food products. In fact, I saw a video on X. I'm not gonna mention the brand name because I can't verify this, but there was a woman on there with a popular brand of bread who was holding up these little tiny wood chips and she said that these wood chips were found in the bread. Like wood chips?
How do wood chips get in bread? And you can imagine maybe it's the same kind of process. Somehow, somehow, I don't know. Is it part of the wheat harvesting or really I think this was a multigrain bread and so it had things in it like oats that weren't ground up. It was kinda like whole oat flakes or something or, you know, would have had other seeds in it like little flax seeds, maybe sesame seeds, you know, multigrain type of bread plus wood chips.
I mean, they look like wood chips. I I don't again, I don't know for sure that that's what this was. That's what she was claiming it was. The thing is, I wouldn't be surprised if we start to see more of that. So one of the things I want to give to you here in terms of an action item is to be on the lookout for more contamination, more weird things in your food, in other words.
Watch out for pebbles and rocks and and wood chips and I don't know what else, you know, pieces of metal from the machines. Whatever. Who knows? You know, hopefully, you don't find crazy stuff in there like a squirrel. You know?
You don't want that, but be on the lookout because everybody's trying to maximize their revenues on the foods. They're trying to maximize the throughput, trying to eliminate waste because of what's happening in The Middle East and because of the lack of fertilizer, etcetera. So this is going to become more common. At the same time, I think you'll see fruit producers and vegetable producers lowering their qualifications for what kind of fruit or vegetables or nuts are acceptable to allow to go to retail. So, you know, right now, there is a quality control mechanism for every large orchard.
You know? Apples have to not be rotten or they the rotten ones go to make the apple cider or whatever, you know, the applesauce. Who knows? I mean, you know, in the peanut butter industry, they take the peanuts that might have aflatoxin in them and those become peanut butter. Seriously, folks.
Seriously. You know, the the malformed, nasty looking peanuts that something's not right yet, that goes into the peanut butter queue. Well, the same thing is true with, you know, apples. If it doesn't look sellable, it goes into the applesauce line. Same thing with, you know, oranges.
Oh, it doesn't look good. It goes into the orange juice line. But those standards may begin to shift and I'm I'm not I'm not calling out any particular company or anything. I'm just saying as an overall industry trend, this is what I'm expecting to see. And it means you'll be at the grocery store and you'll you'll be looking at apples or avocados or potatoes or whatever.
You're like, what happened to this? How is this even on the shelf? Well, the answer is the standards are are changing. The standards are being lowered because of food scarcity and food price increases. And then there's the whole dumpster diving aspect of this where you're gonna have more people, not just in America but around the world, that are gonna become dumpster divers, you know, for for a snack, for a meal, for lunch, for subsistence, to be able to survive.
Dumpster divers. And it turns out that dumpster diving can be it it can actually feed you because I'm not recommending it. Don't don't get me wrong. But grocery stores throw away all kinds of food. You know, like bananas that are too ripe or whatever.
Restaurants throw out food like crazy. Donut shops throw out, you know, trays full of donuts. Not that that's what you would want to live on. But wherever you go in society, fast food and restaurant food and grocery food, there's a dumpster in the back that has a lot of food in it. You know, it's dicey.
You you might you might have a stomach upset, you know. Yeah. I'm not recommending it, but I'm saying that a lot more people are gonna do that because that's a way to to survive. And sometimes, there are cases where you have long power outages and you have entire freezers fail in a grocery store or like a Costco. In fact, this happened a couple years ago at Costco.
The whole freezer section went out and they had to throw out all of the previously frozen food. All of it. Perfectly good. You know, frozen pizzas in the pizza boxes and everything. Frozen chicken.
And by the time they threw it out, it was still half frozen, but it can no longer legally be sold. So it goes into the dumpster. And people could hang out back there by the dumpster sometimes or they can get word of this and they can go collect a bunch of, you know, half defrosted pizzas or or or whatever. And I'm telling you, that's gonna become an option for people, a lot of people, especially as the power grid fails. Remember, when the power grid fails, there's gonna be a bunch of food thrown out somewhere.
So keep that in mind. If the grid goes out for six hours, then there's more food getting thrown out. Really? Seriously? And that and that's not even stealing.
You know, it's not like you looted the grocery store. You know, I mean, you might be on private property. They might not want you there. They might call the police on you, but it's not the same as shoplifting. You know, you're dumpster diving.
That's that's that's a different that's that's not shoplifting in my view. They threw it out, you know? Everybody else is welcome to it. And then in some areas, you'll start to see things like, you know, shish kebab rat or or some other forms of quote cuisine that normally wouldn't be eaten like, you know, pigeon stew and things like that. That's what's gonna be happening not just in America, but especially in certain cities and around the world.
You're gonna see people eating things that they normally would not eat. Grasshoppers, for example, you know, stir fried grasshoppers. The poor families used to eat that in China, in Taiwan, in Asia. I'm talking about a couple of generations ago, but if you go back far enough, they would catch grasshoppers and fry them up in a wok with some oil, you know, crispy little lunch right there with the legs and wings and everything. And crickets, you know, it's gonna be, you know, soldier fly larvae or what I mean, you can only use your imagination.
People are gonna be eating all kinds of stuff just to not starve. So it's a good idea to store a little extra food, maybe maybe more than a little. That's up to you. But more importantly, grow some food. We have garden seeds for sale.
We have the ARC seed kits at healthrangerstore.com. We have storable food at healthrangerstore.com. And and I appreciate your support and thank you. But the more important thing is to grow some of your own food and support your local farmers and, you know, just become more local and self reliant in every way you can. You can only store so much food, you know, but you can learn to grow an unlimited future supply, and that's that's where the magic is really found right there.
So take advantage of that. Get self reliant as much as you can, and you can follow more of my work at brightvideos.com and also naturalnews.com. I'm Mike Adams, the health ranger. I thank you for your support, and I I pray for your safety and and, you know, abundance through all of this. Hard times ahead, but we know how to get through it.
So thank you for your support. Take care.
Speaker 1: Stock up on the long term storable Ranger bucket set. 536 servings of clean organic superfoods for your survival pantry. Certified organic and lab tested for purity. Order now at healthrangerstore.com.
@RealAlexJones - Alex Jones
"Behind The Scenes, Trump's Blowing Up & Freaking Out- He Knows This Has Derailed His Plans! But He Won't Admit That He Got Set Up By Benjamin Netanyahu & Walked Right Into The BlackRock Plan!" Alex Jones Breaks Down How President Trump Stepped Into The Globalists' Trap By Going To War With Iran! Meanwhile, Trump Threatens To Launch FULL WAR If Strait Not Opened- Further Tightening The Snare He's Caught In! 🔴WATCH/SHARE ALEX JONES LIVE NOW: https://t.co/zlXkCIHp6d
Video Transcript AI Summary
Alex Jones discusses behind-the-scenes claims that Trump’s plans have been derailed and that he may have been set up by Benjamin Netanyahu and pushed into the BlackRock plan. He asserts that the other side has a plan and that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon, claiming Iran has been militarily defeated except for a small residual and that a simple plan exists to finish the job quickly.
Jones warns that the coming period will make past tyranny look like a walk in the park, expressing personal pain about what he sees as manipulation of Trump and saying he predicted the situation 73 days earlier on a Saturday show. He describes a spectrum of possible outcomes from horrible to world-ending devastation and states he has a deep, multi-domain understanding of the situation—intellectually, politically, geopolitically, economically, militarily, culturally, and spiritually.
He expresses anger and frustration, saying he is sick of ignorance and proud of his track record, noting that efforts and push-pull dynamics are having some effect but not enough to stop what’s unfolding. He mentions guidance from God and the Holy Spirit to do his job and to leave the rest to God, while lamenting that the trap could have been avoided.
In shifting to other news, Jones notes worse-than-expected numbers: inflation and shortages are off the charts, with the UN and the World Economic Forum pushing for food cuts and signaling looming global famine. He mentions a new hysteria around hunt virus and calls for continued resistance to these developments. He references a national TV clip in which a senator says Trump is the only president Israel can fool, and he notes Trump’s response to China and Netanyahu’s stance on missiles to Iran, criticizing what he views as Israel’s dual role and alleged sharing of secrets with China.
Jones recounts an incident where pilots performed a dangerous mission to remove something from a site, highlighting praise for the pilots and a claim that the mission achieved its aims with significant risk. He questions repeated claims about bracketing or obliterating targets and discusses perceived inconsistencies in reports, including mentions of nuclear material and obfuscated details about uranium and radioactive dust. He describes a sense that the war is being fought with shifting rationales and no clear endgame, noting casualties and civilian deaths in Iran.
He criticizes the administration’s direction, arguing that Donald Trump pledged to keep America out of foreign wars but has entered a new, dangerous course. He recounts disagreements with allies and opponents, including the Kurds, and accuses various actors of deception. The dialogue includes projections about future actions, calls for continued resistance, and appeals to support the broadcast.
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Behind the scenes, and I told you just before anybody knew it, it's been it's now admitted. Trump's blowing up, freaking out. He knows this has derailed his plans, but he won't admit that he got set up by Benjamin Netanyahu and walked right into the BlackRock plan.
Speaker 1: A lot of people said, well, does he have a plan? Yeah. Of course, they do. Have I have the best plan ever. I mean, Iran has been defeated militarily, totally.
They have a little left. They probably built up during this period of time. We'll knock that out in about a day. But I have a plan. You know, it is a very simple plan.
I don't know why you don't say it like it is. Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon.
Speaker 0: Folks, if you think COVID and the lockdowns were bad, if you think all the tyranny we've seen was was was terrible, what we're going into will make the past tyranny look like a walk in the park. I I I take zero pleasure in having to criticize Trump. I have sacrificed. I have been persecuted. My family has been persecuted.
All I got was pain, but I knew overall he was better than the left and the globalist way better. We did so much good. And now to see this happen and and to see him set up and manipulated into this tears my guts up. And I said it seventy three days ago when it started, and that Saturday show, when it started that Saturday. It's a three hour show.
You gotta go watch it. It's re air. In fact, Wilson grab it, reupload it, and I'll give him a headline, but talk about a time machine. Here it is. Alex Jones predicted exactly what happened seventy three days ago.
And now I know what's gonna happen, the different scenarios. It's a spectrum, but it all goes the same place from absolutely horrible to just world ending devastation. And I just have a complete absolute understanding of this. It's not like I just think it on a hunch. I intellectually, politically, geopolitically, economically, militarily, culturally, spiritually know it.
And so I guess I should just stop talking about how I was right and how bad this is, how it needs to stop. And I guess just talk about the different scenarios about bad this is. But when I start even thinking about those, which I've done a lot, it it just folks, if you think COVID and the lockdowns were bad, if you think all the tyranny we've seen was was was terrible, what we're going into will make the past tyranny look like a walk in the park. And that's why I had a cellular gut level and completely freaked out. I'm pissed.
I'm nauseous. I wanna beat somebody's ass. I am sick of people being ignorant. I'm tired of doing my homework and know what I'm talking about. I'm tired of having a track record second to none.
And, yeah, we got big push and pull. We're having some effect, but not enough to stop this. And I gotta remember that God has told me in the Holy Spirit, be the Holy Spirit, to just give it to God, do your job, and stop it. So I'm not throwing a fit here. It just would have been so easy to avoid this trap, but now we've stepped right into it.
Let me finish up with these Trump clips and hit a few more things. I'm gonna shift gears into other news. I mean, the numbers came in. They're worse than I said. There in fact, I was wrong.
It's worse than I said. Off the charts inflation, off the charts shortages of so many key things in manufacturing and in agriculture, and then to watch the UN that's been orchestrating with the WF cutting off food supplies, openly pushing it, then to go, oh god. Global famine. Give us more Oh, see, we told you. Oh, too many people.
And it's just and now they've got huntavirus. They're definitely trying to launch a new hysteria on that front. That's coming up. And I just know we just gotta keep fighting because if we roll over and give up, it'll be 10 times worse. I think these things are all self explanatory.
Just play 21, and they got the senator on national TV talking about Trump being the only president that Israel can fool to do this. And then we've got some of the other clips, and then, Trump responding to China. Netanyahu wouldn't even call for China to stop giving missiles to Iran. So those of us against the war, all traders should taken off the air. We're anti Semites, but Xi Jinping is giving the missile parts and missile fuel and the guidance systems to Iran, and he won't even criticize Xi Jinping.
It's just it's just crazy. That's because Israel sells so many of our secrets to China and is playing both sides against the metal. Let's play these clips back to back. I'm gonna shift gears into another big story.
Speaker 1: And they said to me, just to put it on the record, they said to me, there are only two countries in the entire world that could ever get that stuff out of there because we don't have the equipment and nobody else. They said, China and The United States. So I just wanna let you know those pilots did an unbelievable job, very dangerous job at 01:00 in the morning. Think of it.
Speaker 0: Again, stop again. Stop I I I gotta shut up. But, again, I thought midnight hammer last summer twenty twenty five, I thought it was like you said, oh, they did such a great job. Oh, all their boats to the bottom. Oh, we won the war.
They closed the straight. Rubio says we gotta keep the war going to get it back the way it was. You won't make them a deal just to do that. You want the Iran and everything you say, and they know you'll just reload and hit them again. They're not gonna give up, and they're winning the war of attrition.
But all Rubio and Trump, they just regurgitate. We put their boats about a midnight hammer. Our pilots are great. They just lean on that. What does that have to do with the Strait Of Hormoz and the world economy?
Damn it. What the hell? It's like a broken record. One of those dolls you pull a string, and it says the same thing over and over again. Behind the scenes, and I told you this before anybody knew it, it's been it's now admitted.
Trump's blowing up, freaking out. He knows this has derailed his plans, but he won't admit that he got set up by Benjamin Netanyahu and walks right into the Black Rock plan. Sorry. Just go back to the club.
Speaker 1: Can you tell us anything about that proposal? And what, if any, ever was able to break the stick? It it was just unacceptable. You know, a lot of people said, well, does he have a plan? Yeah.
Of course, they do have have the best plan ever. I mean, Iran has been defeated militarily, totally. They have a little left. They probably built up during this period of time. We'll knock that out in about a day.
But I have a plan. You know, it is a very simple plan. I don't know why you don't say it like it is. Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon. They're very dangerous.
They're very volatile. It's a terrible thing that's happened over there. They've killed And they said to me, just to put it on the record, they said to me, there are only two countries in the entire world that could ever get that stuff out of there because we don't have the equipment and nobody else. They said, China and The United States. So I just wanna let you know those pilots did an unbelievable job, very dangerous job at 01:00 in the morning.
Think of it. No sun no moon, no nothing. We had no light purposely. And every single one of those bombs were right down an air chute in a granite mountain that exploded. And they are unable to get it even if they wanted to, but we're not gonna take a chance.
So that's part of the deal. So mister agreed to allow the removal of all their enriched Yeah. Well, they did that two days ago. I didn't okay. They did two days ago.
They said you're gonna have to take it. We were gonna go with them, but they changed their mind because they didn't put it in the paper. So when they sent us this document that we waited four days for that should have taken ten minutes to do, Look, very simple. We get that. They guarantee no nuclear weapons for a very long period of time and a couple of other minor things, but they just can't get there.
So Mister president? They agree with us, and then they take it back. Well, you just But they they said to us that it was so badly obliterated was the word they actually used. That was my original word. Then it got challenged by some of the fake news.
But and it wasn't challenged with any knowledge. It was just challenged like
Speaker 0: Stop again.
Speaker 1: They were home.
Speaker 0: So you won and got what you wanted a year ago or eleven months ago, but now we have to go back in because Benjamin Netanyahu says we have to get the radioactive dust. They use this term. The public doesn't understand uranium. Just call it the evil dust. Yes.
We'll do that. No. Russia had a deal helping them enrich it that they can't transfer it to us. That's who vetoed this. So again, crap on top of crap on top of crap.
Continue.
Speaker 1: And so successful. No. It was obliterated. We have the greatest military in the world. I built it largely in my first term, and I didn't know I'd be using it quite this much in my second term.
But very simply, when they say, does he have a plan? Yeah. I have a plan. The plan is very simple. You know, in war, have to change.
You have to be flexible. You have a lot of plans, but you have to do different plans in different days. But I have a great plan. But the plan is, like, they cannot have a nuclear weapon.
Speaker 0: So you just repeat
Speaker 1: yourself over here. Of.
Speaker 2: Mister president. Mister president. Absolutely not. This is a war that's making America and our allies less safe. We see constantly shifting rationales.
No endgame. We've taken the lid off Pandora's box without having any idea where this will land.
Speaker 0: By the
Speaker 2: way, in the meantime, we've lost
Speaker 0: By the way, I hate this congressman that has margaritas with MS 13, but Trump is so wrong, he makes these guys right. That's how bad this is now. Continue.
Speaker 2: Soldiers, others 10 scores wounded, Iranian civilians killed, including scores and scores of Iranian schoolgirls. And we have a president who has no idea where this is going or a secretary of defense who knows what he's doing.
Speaker 3: So that's an incredible indictment, what you just said. I I don't think I've heard the clarity of that kind of indictment as clearly as you just provided. Is that message being heard by this administration? Is Donald Trump hearing the criticism both from people like yourself in the senate, but even some in his own party?
Speaker 2: I hope it's punching through to the president because we all remember when Donald Trump pledged during the campaign to keep America out of foreign wars, especially more wars in The Middle East. And we all know what happened in Iraq. The United States got sucked in. We were there for a long time, and it did not, in my view, serve American interests. And yet Donald Trump has plunged us into the exact same situation.
Now, I did hear Israeli prime minister Netanyahu a little while ago saying he's been waiting forty years, these are his words, forty years for this to happen. He just happened to find an American president after forty years that was stupid enough and reckless enough to do it.
Speaker 3: Well, as you said, there
Speaker 1: Do you think we should still be sullen in weapons? United States Well, I'm gonna have that discussion with president Xi. President Xi would like us not to, and I'll have that discussion. That's one of the many things I'll be talking about. Well, the you know, he and I have gotten along well.
Other than with COVID, I I, you know, I was not, I was I was just not accepting of what happened with COVID. But other than that, he and I have had a he's a great gentleman. I find him to be, an amazing an amazing man. And when I say that, the press always says, oh, that's terrible that he called in a you know, he runs 1,400,000,000 people with a pretty iron fist. He's, he loves his country.
I can tell you that. President Xi, I look forward to being there. And if he felt anything, we wouldn't we wouldn't be doing it.
Speaker 0: And now Trump is on his way to China with Elon Musk, which is a good move to bring Elon Musk with him. That really hit us in the polls. Jet those getting shut down really hurt us. That's a good move. Please bring him back in.
Please end the war. Please win the midterms. Please, please, please don't give the globalist the victory. Wow. One more clip of Trump.
Here he is saying, oh, we can't get weapons to the to the Iranians because we gave them to the Kurds and they kept them. Well, the Kurds don't like the Iranians, and they border Turkey and they hate the the Turks. They've always been in it for themselves. What do you think was gonna happen? We gave a bunch of grenade launchers and missile launchers and machine guns.
They're saying a huge amount to them. What do you think they were gonna do? In fact, the Pentagon assessment was before this war started was using the Kurds as an uprising isn't gonna work. But Trump just ignored that because then Yahoo said, no. They will fall.
Remember, the Pentagon said everything I've said to Trump. It's not like I just came up with all this myself. It doesn't matter. The facts don't matter anymore. Here's Trump on the Iranian people.
Speaker 1: The level of ferocity for protests. You know, the the people are watching, and they wanna go out on the streets. They have no weapons. They have no guns. We thought the were gonna give us weapons, but the Kurds disappointed us.
The Kurds take, take, take. They have a great reputation in congress. Congress says, oh, they fight so hard. No. They fight hard when they get paid.
So I'm very disappointed in the Kurds, but they were given I I said it wasn't gonna work, by the way. I just have to say it. I I I disagreed with what they did. They gave it. I said they'll never get there.
And I was right. I like to be right. In this case, too bad, but we sent some guns with ammunition. And it was supposed to be delivered, but they kept it. I said they're gonna keep it.
But what what do I know? I've only been doing this a short period of time. What do I know? Go ahead.
Speaker 0: Yeah. And you went against your own instincts, and the Pentagon told you, but you listened to Israel. Well, not Israel, the Mossad and Netanyahu. The IDF said don't do it. Oh, you're defending Israel.
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@RedactedNews - Redacted
If the Strait of Hormuz stays closed, the world could face an energy crisis worse than anything in modern history. Food, fuel, fertilizer, and the economy are all on the line. @ChristMartenson is with us. https://t.co/Sh4fAHWtgO
Video Transcript AI Summary
Chris Martinson, an economic researcher and futurist specializing in energy and resource depletion, argues the U.S. may be facing a large energy shock driven by the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz. He disputes claims that a “peace agreement” will reopen oil flows, saying Iran has prepared for this for “forty years,” has leverage, and has repeatedly indicated it will not give up control of the Strait, its nuclear material, or its demands for reparations and sanctions relief. He says the floated “wish list” version of the deal appears to reflect everything the U.S. wants, not Iran’s stated conditions.
Martinson describes what he says happened after the U.S. decapitation strike: the U.S. allegedly suffered some of its worst military losses since World War II, bases were targeted, satellite-image releases were restricted, and since March 2 the Strait has been “effectively closed.” He claims Iran’s strategy involved layered missiles, from simpler to more sophisticated, used in sequence, with “extreme precision.”
He says Iran can “run off the clock,” and every day the Strait is closed means oil and oil products not reaching market. He argues that oil-market reactions to statements about a deal—particularly Trump’s tweets—suggest the narrative is driving prices more than supply fundamentals, with oil reportedly dropping after tweets despite the constriction of supply continuing. He cites multiple industry and energy figures saying the situation represents an unprecedented or worst energy shock, but argues the oil price does not respond accordingly.
Using a price-quantity framework, he says prices have been kept at a level where demand remains high. He claims the U.S. has been using Strategic Petroleum Reserve withdrawals and commercial stocks—calling them “seed corn”—to mask the problem, including “below market rates” for political reasons. He estimates constraints in the SPR and Cushing, Oklahoma: Cushing reportedly has 25,000,000 barrels with an operational minimum of 20,000,000, leaving only about 5,000,000. He argues the SPR caverns are salt caverns that limit how much can be drawn without physical damage, making withdrawal capacity uncertain. His “best guess” is about “sixty days until we hit tank bottoms.”
Martinson anticipates inflation impacts through a “double hump inflation” analogy from the 1970s, and says producer price index data at 6% implies consumer prices could rise to around that rate in coming months. He describes inflation as already underway and portrays the situation as a “ticking clock” in negotiations: he says time benefits Iran and increases the likelihood of a broader global economic depression.
He warns that if the U.S. attacks again, Iran has stated it would target Gulf Cooperation Council energy infrastructure, including the East-West pipeline across Saudi Arabia (with the port at Yanbu), the Omani pipeline, and it would close the Bab El Mandeb Strait in the Red Sea. He says this could raise the missing oil impact from 13,000,000 barrels per day to 25,000,000 barrels per day and notes that fixing damaged infrastructure could take months or years. He concludes that U.S. choices are limited and the outcome could be “bad or worse.”
For personal preparation, Martinson emphasizes Maslow’s hierarchy—food, shelter, safety, and warmth—citing steps like solar and lithium batteries, an electric car powered by solar, growing food, and building neighbor-focused local relationships. He frames the situation as broader than oil alone, affecting fertilizer (including urea), natural gas, and other industrial inputs, and says these interconnected disruptions can be “dizzying” and “paralyzing.”
Full Transcript
Speaker 0: Well, are we about to face the largest energy shock in US history? Our next guest says that's exactly what we have in store for us, and people are largely ignoring the story, or they're trying to cover it up and with some fancy math and trying to hide all of it. Nobody who lives in a real world can basically, continue to ignore this as you see it price at the pump, food prices, etcetera, across the board. Chris Martinson is an economic researcher and futurist specializing in energy and resource depletion. He's the co founder of peakprosperity.com, And really one of the keenest intellects, on X, which is saying a lot because there are quite a few keen intellects.
There's also quite a few dolts on X, but Chris is what the top of the list on there. Chris, great to have you on the show.
Speaker 1: Thank you. Thank you. It's so good to be here with both of you and, real pleasure to be on.
Speaker 0: It's our pleasure. I you know, there's lot of topics, and I'd love for you to tell us what you see right now, what you would love to talk about. But at the heart of it for me is obviously this sort of so called peace agreement that's floating around out there over the past few hours that there is going to be some sort of framework in place. We just had Joe Kent on who said he is a glass half full kind of guy. He's he's hopeful about it.
But I I I sense from your tweets that you're not buying what's being sold to us about this peace agreement, which seems to give up almost everything from the Iranian side and sort of hand it over to The United States side. What do you make of peace that might open oil flows again in the Strait Of Hormuz?
Speaker 1: Well, it's it's it's this simple. Seventy three days ago, we had Trump for the first time come out and say the war is over. And almost there's been this periodicity that that people have noticed, particularly people in the markets that Trump has these market moving sort of statements that come out. Always, you know, a deal is near. Iran has just died to fold, and, you know, we we own the straight.
And every time it seems to dump oil and and move markets. So there's a whole component to this which which, you know, has a a side story to it. Here's the deal, though. The United States within five minutes of doing the decapitation strike was suffering some of its worst military losses since World War two. Right?
We 14 bases around the region got dialed in. Within two weeks, The United States was kind of forbidding somehow private satellite companies from releasing actual satellite photos because it would have been embarrassing. And ever since March 2, the Strait has been effectively closed, and it's remains effectively closed. So a winning country, would be in charge of the Strait. Trump just said we control the Strait just today, and it's not true because if we did, there'd be ships going through it that aren't passing through.
So here's the deal. Iran has a a lot of leverage here, and they've been preparing for this for forty years. Right? And they've built tunnels and put all their things under deep mountains, you know, and all their military assets. And it turned out we were largely unable to meaningfully deflect Iran from its strategy.
And its strategy was to use different levels and layers of missiles ranging from relatively crude to highly sophisticated missiles. It used up its, say, you know, crappier stuff first, and then it moved into its more sophisticated materials later. And it showed a remarkable ability, Natalie and Clayton, to to hit what it wanted to hit. I mean, with extreme precision. Okay?
And then we came into the ceasefire deal, and Iran's whole strategy at this point, which I totally understand, is just run off the clock. Every day that the Strait remains closed is another 13,000,000 barrels of oil and oil products that aren't making it to market. And this is an extraordinary shock. We can get into that in a minute. So when I see these things, you asked about the peace deal.
So the one that just got floated today, I actually think it came off of an obscure telegram channel and, you know, the Axios angle, seems to be dead. So they pulled this thing up. And it was just a wish list of it was everything The US wanted. Right? Iran gives up complete control of the straight.
It, you know, folds. It doesn't get any money. You know, all kinds of stuff. And Iran has been very clear. They've always said, look.
We want we're gonna have control of the straight. That's a done deal. You're gonna have to pay us some reparations, you know, and we can discuss that later. We're not giving up our nuclear material. And, oh, yeah, you're gonna have to unfreeze all the sanctions and release our money.
Speaker 0: So Right.
Speaker 1: They haven't wavered from those conditions since ever so far. And and that's all I can tell you from from this point. I don't know what's actually going on, you know, with the negotiators inside. But taking Trump's statements, we're winning. They're losing.
And that's not actually what the facts on the ground say.
Speaker 2: It's very frustrating to see oil prices react to what seems like a meme because we don't have any official source of this peace deal, and yet we've seen slight movement downwards towards price of oil. And so what are we to make of that? Because the constriction of supply has not ended. It's only based on poof, a belief system of social media.
Speaker 1: It it's astonishing. It's astonishing. So I I I don't know how we got here because remember 2022, the Iran the Ukrainian war kicks off, and the world was worried about a 3,000,000 barrel per day potential shortfall. That's a 3,000,000 barrels per day. And oil prices shot up to a $120 a barrel and all that.
And and here we are, an order of magnitude beyond that in terms of actual impact. Secondarily, you're right, Natalie. Every time Trump tweets something, oil just gets slammed. Today, it got slammed for another $5. Went from a 101 all the way down to, like, 96 because of this tweet, you know, string that came out.
And what's amazing is so you have that. You have the tweet moving oil five, six, seven percent usually to the downside. And on the other side, you have Fatih B. Roll, the executive of the International Energy Agency saying, this is the worst energy shock forever. We're running out quickly.
You have, top commodity analyst at JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs. You've you've got, Jeff Curry out of Carlisle saying, wow. We are weeks away from tank bottoms. You have Exxon CEO, Chevron CEO saying the same sorts of things. Basically, everybody who's anybody who really knows this business is just running up the red flag saying, wow.
We are we are, like, weeks away from imminent disaster, and that doesn't cause anything to happen to the oil price. But, uh-oh, Trump tweets out, you know, we're winning, and bang, $5. Right. I'm highly suspicious this isn't organic.
Speaker 0: You're a futurist. I mean, you look at this data more than closely than just about anybody. So I trust your opinion on this, you know, implicitly. When you're you're listening to Jeff Curry, you're listening to all of these individuals, but you're looking at the data, what can we expect over the next few weeks? Like, what is the truth here?
Speaker 1: The truth is that the simplest, most elegant chart in all of economics is the PQ chart, price, quantity, and, and demand. Right? So so there's supposed to be this relationship. If if demand is here, right, and supply is here, you need prices not to make more supply come out of the ground right away, but you need prices to rise so that demand comes down. Now we've been holding prices at a level where demand remains really, really high.
And the way we've been covering that up, we in The United States principally. Last week, for the last reported week, 17,800,000 barrels left The United States of crude oil. It came out of our strategic petroleum reserve, or as I sometimes call it now, our strategic political reserve, and also commercial stocks. And and that's our that's our seed corn. That that's our national that's what we run our country on.
And we're now just selling it at below market rates so that, I think, for political reasons, we can make this seem like it's not as bad a thing as it as it is.
Speaker 0: How much is less in in the in the oil reserves? And how how long can we keep up that charade? Because I've seen you talk about this sort of moving paper around is not enough to hide the real story here, and I find that fascinating.
Speaker 1: Well, you you go until you know, theoretically, you go until you run out. Now what's that? Where's running out? So we have two major stockpiles right now that we track pretty carefully. One is the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.
That's four separate caverns along the Texas, Louisiana borders, near the Gulf. And then we have this big stockpile at Cushing, Oklahoma, the the big Cushing terminals. Cushing's at 25,000,000 barrels right now. Sounds like a lot. Problem.
Its operational minimum is 20,000,000 barrels. It can't go below that because now the pipes are below that level. Like, 20,000,000 barrels is what it takes just to sort of, like, fill the system so it can operate. So we only have 5,000,000 barrels left there. The salt caverns that hold our SPR, different kind of a thing, it's hard to say because it these aren't giant holes in the ground.
Well, they kinda are. But you fill it with oil. But to get the oil back out again, you don't just suck the oil down. You pump water in from below and you float the oil up. Problem is these are salt caverns and salt dissolves in water.
It doesn't dissolve in oil. So as we pump water in there, it's doing some damage. There's only so much you can pump in there before it really would be inadvisable to go any higher than that. And so this is hard data to come by, but but for sure, if they say there's 374,000,000 barrels left in there, it's something less than that that we can actually realistically draw out without actually physically damaging our strategic petroleum reserve. Different from China.
China built above ground storage tanks. They have some underground, but theirs is is like, if they say they have 1,300,000,000 barrels in in reserve, that's pretty tappable for the most part. We have a different situation here. So best guess, we have about sixty days until we hit tank bottoms here, tops.
Speaker 2: Gosh. And so what do you think that this shock will look like for us at home? We've had experts on saying the Big Mac index is gonna go up upwards of 30. Can you imagine a $30 Big Mac? What do you think?
Speaker 1: Well, there's this really famous chart circulating right now, and it shows we went through what was called a double hump inflation in the seventies. Right? So from '73 to '78, there was this big bad round of inflation. Then, oh, no. From '79 to '82, there was this next hump, and that was even worse.
Now that second hump went up to about 14% inflation back then. And see if any of this rhymes. We had this thing called the oil embargo from, you know, the OPEC nations. And so the Arab oil embargo was a cause because oil went up a lot in price all of a sudden. We had this little thing called the Vietnam War, so there was high deficit spending by the US government.
And so you get these twin forces, and it created that double hump of inflation. Almost in a perfect rhyme this time. And so I actually think this next hump of inflation, which has already started, we just had our producer price index. The PPI came out. It's at 6%.
That means in three to four months, the CPI will also be at 6%. But the actual reading for the last month was 1.4% for the month. You annualize that out, and that's closer to 16% yearly inflation. So look at that at 6%. That's the the blended rate, but the single month of April came in at 1.4% just for that one month.
So if that continues, hey. Here we go. So this is the ticking clock. So here's all all these pieces in. Trump can't just sit here and wait for Iran to drag its heels forever and ever.
Iran knows that that's all it has to do. Get close to a peace deal. Walk away. Get get close. Walk away.
Promise you're gonna get closer. Walk away. Because I think Trump legitimately wants out of this quagmire. Mhmm. But all Iran has to do is drag this out a couple more months.
And now we're not just up against the wall. We're now responsible for creating what's a global catastrophe. A giant global economic depression would probably be the right word for it. So if you can't let Iran wait, what do you do? Well, either you're gonna have to give stuff up and negotiate like, a negotiation means you don't come in and dictate terms.
That's what The US has been trying to do. Here's the 15 plan. Take it or leave it, or we're gonna bomb you back to end your civilization kinda. That's our language. If we wanna get out of this with negotiating, it's gonna have to be negotiation.
Hey. We give up some stuff. You give up some stuff. Nobody walks away totally happy, but you get some stuff. We get some stuff.
Problem. That makes us look weak. It makes it it really elevates Iran. You know, they suddenly, you know, actually took the bully on and won. And I don't think that constitutionally, I mean, from an ego standpoint, I'm not sure we have the people in positions of power right now to do that.
Second problem, you can't bomb them and and get the more escalation is not gonna get us anywhere. Iran has already said that. Real worry here. So so listen. This is where I would put out my most urgent warning to all my followers, and you should do the same.
If we do attack again, Iran has very clearly said,
Speaker 2: if you
Speaker 1: do this, we're coming after the rest of The Gulf Coast countries, the GCC energy infrastructure assets. The East West pipeline across Saudi Arabia with the port at Yanbu goes out, the Omani pipeline goes out, and we're gonna close the Bab El Mandeb, Strait in Red Sea, and that's it. That's it. Now we suddenly go from 13,000,000 barrels a day missing to 25,000,000 barrels a day missing. And if they damage those in a way that would take months or years to fix, this is now an absolute unmitigated disaster.
And let me paint how much. If we took 25,000,000 barrels a day of crude oil out of our equation, and then we look back in history and ask the question, when was the last time we were burning that much less oil? The answer is about 2010 when the world economy was 36% smaller than it is today. Wow. That would be the minimum impact.
Great Depression was about a 20% hit. So we're talking something worse than we've seen at a time of the highest debt, highest indebtedness, highest deficits, la la la. Right? So we're not coming into this from a really strong position financially, monetarily at this point. And that's how these pieces come together.
We got talked into a super quagmire, and I don't I I I honestly don't see a way out of this and maybe I'm not clever enough, but it's bad or worse. Those are our choices as a nation right now.
Speaker 0: Wow. When do you think this will hit? And what first of all, I guess I should say, do you think people are prepared? There seems to be a lot of ostriching going on, people burying their heads in the sand about this.
Speaker 1: I I would say most people are unprepared. And a lot of people don't wanna know, you know, actively ostriching. I think that's the right way to put it. Because it's a lot. It's a lot to take in.
I I I get it. This is you know, intellectually, I think most people can handle it. But emotionally, that's where it gets that's best part.
Speaker 0: You gotta take, you know, you gotta get your kids to dance class at night. You know, you've gotta take your son to swim swim practice, and you gotta put food on the table, and you're running around. You're working. You're you're hardworking Americans who watch this show and have big small businesses, and they're busy.
Speaker 1: Mhmm.
Speaker 0: And to, you know, to have to sit down and sort of sit there for thirty minutes and really think, oh my gosh, in the next sixty days, everything could change for us unless we're prepared. What does that preparation look like to you?
Speaker 1: Well, it it for me, it means first thing you do is the bottom of Maslow's hierarchy of needs. Right? Food, shelter, safety, warmth. Right? And so what I've been doing personally is, I've I've bought some more EcoFlow lithium batteries, so I'll be and I've got a solar system, so I'll be able to at least have electricity for sure, you know, which can run some things.
I bought an electric car. Never thought I'd be one of those guys, but it plugs in my solar panels. I I've been I've been thinking this is something like this is coming for a long time. So I actually live on a on a small gentleman's farm here, but I believe in in growing my own food, taking really good care of my neighbors, forming local relationships to as much depth as I can because, I I really duly truly believe if this gets as bad as it could, you know, we're all gonna be, our our neighbors are gonna be our most important assets. So, really, it's it's a fundamental shift in in believing that the systems will be there for you and understanding that maybe you get a little bit of your freedom back by taking care of as much of that as you can.
I don't say go a 100% grow your own food. That's impossible, right, unless you become a subsystems farmer. But if you can grow 5% of your own food, if you had to grow 50%, going from 5% to 50% is easy compared to starting from zero. Nobody wants to start from zero in this story, right, if you have to. But if you can't grow food, well, then you, you know, maybe you got local farmers.
Develop relationships with them. I'm really at at kind of at that level. It's it's very it's very basic. It's it's like food and energy is where I'm really focused because, you know, we talk about oil, oil products. That's the big thing in The Gulf, but it's it's much more than that.
It's a story of sulfur, which is a story of fertilizer as well and also the fertilizer directly in form of urea. Oh, it's also an aluminum story. Wait. It's also got helium. It's yeah.
It's natural gas too. Like, there's so many things that got impacted from this. It's it's it's dizzying, and it's paralyzing. I totally get it.
Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah. Well, thank you for that sobering read. You know, I I think about my son who is in his he's 15 and thinking about getting a summer job. And I think, how are you going to climb this ladder?
We really have just not made it easy for you. And my heart is broken for where they need to start. I feel so guilty for the the world we're putting them into. That's not a question I'm just sharing.
Speaker 1: I I just had the same experience. I was talking with my youngest, my youngest daughter, and she's struggling to find a job right now because the field she's looking in is flooded with people who just got booted out from AI, you know, taking over positions. So she's up against people with decades more experience who are willing to work for peanuts because they're really desperate. And she's just trying to get started. And so, you know, this is where we've this is where we've gone as a nation.
So here here let me be my best glass half full kind of guy. We have to go through these pains, I think, so that we can straighten up and fly right. You know what's that old saying like hard times create good men and good men create easy times and easy times create weak men. Right? Well, we're there.
Right? And weak men create hard times. So, I mean, look at this what we're doing with, like, just AI, which it has an energy component. That's why I analyze it. So much energy is going into these things.
They're boxes. They're basic I call them toasters. They don't make toast. You know? They just literally pour electricity in them.
They make heat and cat videos. And we're doing that at a pace where we have no idea, not even having the national discussion about how people who are displaced, who no longer have a role in society, what we're gonna do with them. We just sort of shrug and go, I guess, you know, sucks to be you. It's awful. Right?
And and so this is why I'm really excited to have these conversations. And I think, listen, if we have the hard times, we'll get back we'll find the good people again. I mean, it's kinda why I'm I'm pretty distraught over the Massey loss because he Yeah. Had integrity. He didn't have to like everything.
He he said, I liked almost most of what he said because he was for the country against deficits, against wars, all the stuff I believe in. So, ideologically, I liked him. But more than that, he had integrity. And Washington DC took one look at that and said, we have no use for a person with that characteristic here. We're gonna replace you with somebody whose own SEAL team members hate it, you know, because he's our kind of guy, right, with outside funding.
So so I'm hopeful that good people get to rise up again, and we we we're gonna but we're gonna have to do some rebuilding in this country. No question.
Speaker 0: Yeah. You're right about that. And we need we need that strength more than ever right now. Chris, great to see you. The website is peakprosperity.com.
Check out your latest episode, by the way, on, called the wake up call. Oil and AI time for some soul, for some soul searching. I like that. So check it out. New episode that just published called the wake up call.
You so much, Chris. Great to see you.
Speaker 2: It was a pleasure.
Speaker 0: Yeah. Real pleasure having you on the show. We'd love to have you back.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Thank you. I'd love to be back. Thank you so much. Deal.
Speaker 0: Thank you so much for watching Redacted. We'd love for you to subscribe to the channel. It's totally free if you want to follow us or subscribe. And if we brought you any value at all, consider sharing this video with a friend or a loved one on social media. Thanks so much, and we'll see you next time.
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I’m sounding the alarm: even if a deal was made today, the logistical nightmare of remobilizing 1,500 parked ships makes a speedy return to normal impossible, setting up the inevitable famine after the disastrous closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Watch the livestream. https://t.co/Vs2zLs39eS
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RED ALERT: Matt Bracken Sounds The Alarm On The Inevitable Famine Set In Motion by The Disastrous Closure Of The Strait of Hormuz Even If A Deal Was Made TODAY, The Logistical Nightmare Of Re-Mobilizing 1,500 Parked Ships Makes A Speedy Return To Normal Impossible Watch the Livestream! ⏬ https://t.co/Vs2zLs39eS