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An X (Twitter) post from @NewRulesGeo - NewRulesGeopolitics
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@NewRulesGeo - NewRulesGeopolitics

🚨🇮🇷🇨🇳If America Can’t Handle Iranian Missiles, It’s Not Ready for China In just the first 16 days of war against Iran, the United States expended nearly 40% of its THAAD interceptors. If America’s most advanced air defenses are struggling against Iran—a regional power with a fraction of China’s capabilities—there is no plausible scenario in which the US is ready for a showdown with Beijing. The Chinese Arsenal The People’s Liberation Army operates the world’s largest missile inventory, backed by a rapid-action doctrine designed to dismantle U.S. bases and infrastructure in the early stages of conflict. Unlike Iran’s Kheibar Shikan and Sejjil missiles, China’s DF-27 anti-ship ballistic missile and DF-17 hypersonic glide vehicle offer advanced mid-air maneuverability and sustained hypersonic speeds. With an estimated range of 8,000 kilometers, the DF-27 places U.S. naval installations at Pearl Harbor and Everett, Washington within striking distance—allowing China to threaten American assets without deploying a single ship. Strategic Implications According to Dr. Andrew Erickson of the US Naval War College, China is the first nation to operationalize an armed ICBM. These capabilities could cripple U.S. operational effectiveness across East Asia and complicate the defense of American interests in Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, and the Philippines in the event of armed conflict. Depleted Defenses Even as Patriot and THAAD struggle against less sophisticated Iranian missiles, Western analysts warn that a large-scale Chinese attack could overwhelm U.S. defenses by depleting interceptor inventories entirely. With THAAD replenishment not expected until April 2027, the fragility of current stockpiles is increasingly difficult to ignore. The Central Question If US air defenses are depleted in the Middle East after just over two weeks of fighting Iran, how will they withstand a Chinese arsenal that dwarfs Iran’s—particularly when the DF-27 can already reach American soil?

@NewRulesGeo - NewRulesGeopolitics

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸🇨🇳 Iran's Missiles Just Torpedoed US's China Containment Strategy In the Strait of Hormuz, Iranian anti-ship missiles and precision strikes have forced the US Navy to tread carefully. Global energy flows are disrupted while American warships keep a respectful distance from their own regional bases. This Middle East crisis exposes more than tactical vulnerabilities — it reveals a deep flaw in Washington’s decade-long Indo-Pacific strategy to contain China. The Indo-Pacific was sold as a bold vision: a networked maritime coalition from Australia to Japan, South Korea to India. Through the Quad and other forums, it promised that sea power and alliances could secure vital lanes and check a rising China. But rapid advances in land-based missiles, integrated air defenses, and A2/AD systems are changing the game. Continental powers can now challenge naval forces far more effectively than before. What we’re seeing off Iran — where geography heavily favors the defender — is a preview of what China has methodically built around Taiwan and the South China Sea. China’s A2/AD features layered defenses: dense sensors, advanced air defenses, and a massive arsenal of anti-ship ballistic missiles (ASBMs). The DF-21D “carrier killer” (1,500+ km range) pioneered hypersonic terminal maneuvers against moving ships. The DF-26 “Guam killer” extends to ~4,000 km. Newer systems like the DF-27 (5,000–8,000 km, with anti-ship variants) and air/ship-launched hypersonics such as the YJ-21 push the threat bubble outward, making close-in carrier operations extremely risky. US carrier groups, once symbols of untouchable dominance, now face prohibitive risks near contested littorals.

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Token ID reSee.it #130039
𝕏 Link https://x.com/_/status/2039659746761076949
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Post ID 2039659746761076949
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Author Name NewRulesGeopolitics
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